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A proposed feedback loop of sexually transmitted diseases and sexual behavior: the Red Queen's Dilemma. 提出的性传播疾病和性行为的反馈循环:红皇后的困境。
Pub Date : 2003-09-01
Wade C Mackey, Ronald S Immerman

(Micro)organisms, such as bacteria, which cause sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) in humans are presented with an interesting ecological challenge. These microorganisms need humans to have sexual contact with each other in order for the microorganisms to spread to other hosts as well as to have subsequent generations of descendants. However, diseases tend to lower the sex drive and to render the host less sexually attractive. It is argued that, over time, selective advantages sculpted organisms which cause STDs to be minimally symptomatic and to indirectly increase the number of sexual partners of the host. Neisseria gonorrhoeae which cause the STD gonorrhea are used as a prototype for these putative sexual dynamics. As a counter to the (micro)organisms' biological adaptations, human cultural innovations emerged and became integrated into the various traditions of social structures.

引起人类性传播疾病的(微生物),如细菌,面临着一个有趣的生态挑战。这些微生物需要人类彼此有性接触,以便微生物传播到其他宿主以及繁衍后代。然而,疾病往往会降低性欲,使宿主的性吸引力下降。有人认为,随着时间的推移,选择优势塑造了导致性传播疾病症状最小的生物体,并间接增加了宿主性伴侣的数量。引起性传播疾病淋病的淋病奈瑟菌被用作这些假定的性动力学的原型。作为对(微生物)生物适应性的反击,人类文化创新出现了,并融入了社会结构的各种传统。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of age at menarche on the fertility of Chinese women. 初潮年龄对中国妇女生育能力的影响。
Pub Date : 2003-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989073
Sherry L McKibben, Dudley L Poston

This paper examines the effect of age at menarche on children ever born (CEB). We use data from the 1997 Sample Survey of Population and Reproductive Health conducted by the China Population Information and Research Center and the State Family Planning Commission. Poisson regression models are estimated for 10,919 ever married Chinese Han women. The influence of a woman's age at menarche on her CEB is examined while controlling for the social effects of rural/urban residency, education, her number of fecund years, whether her first birth occurred before or after the initiation of China's one child policy, and her age at first marriage. The results support our hypothesized positive association between age at menarche and CEB. That is, the later a woman's age at menarche, the greater her number of children ever born. Holding the other five independent variables constant, we show that for every additional month in age at menarche, a Chinese Han woman's mean number of children ever born increases by 0.5 percent. Some of the implications of these results are explored.

本文探讨初潮年龄对新生儿的影响。数据来源于中国人口信息研究中心和国家计划生育委员会1997年人口与生殖健康抽样调查。用泊松回归模型对10919名已婚汉族妇女进行了估计。研究了初潮年龄对CEB的影响,同时控制了农村/城市居住、教育、生育年限、第一胎是在中国独生子女政策实施之前还是之后以及初婚年龄的社会影响。结果支持我们的假设,初潮年龄与CEB呈正相关。也就是说,女性初潮的年龄越晚,她所生的孩子就越多。保持其他五个自变量不变,我们表明,初潮年龄每增加一个月,中国汉族妇女出生的孩子的平均数量就增加0.5%。对这些结果的一些含义进行了探讨。
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引用次数: 16
How big are educational and racial fertility differentials in the U.S.? 美国的教育和种族生育率差异有多大?
Pub Date : 2003-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989070
Yang Yang, S Philip Morgan

Using pooled data from the 1980, 1985, 1990 and 1995 CPS and 1988 and 1995 NSFG surveys, we show that shifts in fertility timing have occurred disproportionately for the more educated and for whites (compared to the less educated and to African Americans). Such timing shifts imply that the underlying period quantum of fertility is considerably higher for college-educated women and for whites than suggested by the standard total fertility rate. Applying the Bongaarts-Feeney model (1998), we decompose observed racial and educational differences in age-order-specific fertility rates and TFR into tempo and quantum components. We find that a modest part of educational differences and a substantial part of racial difference in period fertility can be attributed to differential changes in tempo. Analysis by race and education shows a clear interaction: higher fertility among African Americans is confined to the less educated.

利用 1980 年、1985 年、1990 年和 1995 年 CPS 以及 1988 年和 1995 年 NSFG 调查的汇总数据,我们表明,受教育程度较高的妇女和白人(与受教育程度较低的妇女和非裔美国人相比)的生育时间发生了不成比例的变化。这种时间上的变化意味着,受过大学教育的妇女和白人的基本生育期数量比标准总和生育率所显示的要高得多。应用 Bongaarts-Feeney 模型(1998 年),我们将观察到的特定年龄段生育率和总和生育率的种族和教育差异分解为速度和数量两个部分。我们发现,教育差异的一小部分和各时期生育率种族差异的一大部分可归因于节奏的不同变化。按种族和教育程度进行的分析表明,两者之间存在明显的相互作用:非裔美国人的生育率较高,但仅限于教育程度较低的人群。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnicity and fertility in Nigeria. 尼日利亚的种族和生育率。
Pub Date : 2003-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989072
Konia T Kollehlon

Using a sample of Hausa-Fulani, Yoruba, Ibo, and all other women from the 1990 Nigerian Demographic and Health Survey, this study examines ethnic fertility differentials in Nigeria within the context of the social characteristics and cultural hypotheses. Among all women, we find the net fertility of Hausa-Fulani women to be lower than that of Other women; with no statistically significant difference in the net fertility of Ibo, Yourba, and Other women. But, among currently married women, we find the net fertility of Hausa-Fulani and Yoruba women to be lower than that of Other women, while the net fertility of Ibo women is higher than that of Other women. Overall, the findings of this study are more consistent with the cultural hypothesis, because statistically significant fertility differentials by ethnicity remain, even after controlling for selected socioeconomic and demographic variables.

本研究利用1990年尼日利亚人口与健康调查中的豪萨-富拉尼、约鲁巴、伊博和所有其他妇女的样本,在社会特征和文化假设的背景下考察了尼日利亚的种族生育率差异。在所有妇女中,我们发现豪萨-富拉尼妇女的净生育率低于其他妇女;Ibo、Yourba和Other女性的净生育率无统计学差异。但是,在已婚妇女中,我们发现豪萨-富拉尼和约鲁巴妇女的净生育率低于其他妇女,而伊博妇女的净生育率高于其他妇女。总的来说,这项研究的结果更符合文化假设,因为统计上显著的种族生育率差异仍然存在,即使在控制了选定的社会经济和人口变量之后。
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引用次数: 13
Double impact: What sibling data can tell us about the long‐term negative effects of parental divorce 双重影响:兄弟姐妹的数据可以告诉我们父母离婚的长期负面影响
Pub Date : 2003-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989065
N. H. Wolfinger, L. Kowaleski-Jones, Ken R. Smith
Abstract Most prior research on the adverse consequences of parental divorce has analyzed only one child per family. As a result, it is not known whether the same divorce affects siblings differently. We address this issue by analyzing paired sibling data from the 1994 General Social Survey (GSS) and 1994 Survey of American Families (SAF). Both seemingly unrelated regressions and random effects models are used to study the effect of family background on offspring's educational attainment and marital stability. Parental divorce adversely affects the educational attainment and the probability of divorce of both children within a sibship; in other words, siblings tend to experience the same divorce the same way. However, family structure of origin only accounts for a trivial portion of the shared variance in offspring's educational attainment and marital stability, so parental divorce is only one of many factors determining how offspring fare. These findings were unchanged when controlling for a number of differences both between and within sibships. Also, the negative effects of parental divorce largely do not vary according to respondent characteristics.
大多数关于父母离婚不良后果的研究只分析了每个家庭的一个孩子。因此,尚不清楚同样的离婚对兄弟姐妹的影响是否不同。我们通过分析1994年综合社会调查(GSS)和1994年美国家庭调查(SAF)的兄弟姐妹配对数据来解决这个问题。采用看似不相关的回归模型和随机效应模型研究了家庭背景对子女受教育程度和婚姻稳定性的影响。父母离婚对兄弟姐妹中两个孩子的受教育程度和离婚的可能性有不利影响;换句话说,兄弟姐妹往往以同样的方式经历同样的离婚。然而,在后代受教育程度和婚姻稳定性的共同差异中,原生家庭结构只占很小的一部分,因此父母离婚只是决定后代如何发展的众多因素之一。在控制了兄弟姐妹之间和兄弟姐妹内部的一些差异后,这些发现没有改变。此外,父母离婚的负面影响在很大程度上并没有根据受访者的特征而变化。
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引用次数: 29
Economic distress and cause-of-death patterns for black and non-black men in Chicago: reconsidering the relevance of classic epidemiological transition theory. 芝加哥黑人和非黑人男性的经济困境和死因模式:重新考虑经典流行病学过渡理论的相关性。
Pub Date : 2003-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989067
Lorella Palazzo, Avery Guest, Gunnar Almgren

The mortality disadvantage of African Americans is well documented, but previous studies have not considered its implications for population theory in the general case of industrialized nation states with high levels of income inequality. This paper examines the relevance of classic epidemiological theory to the extremes of income and mortality observed in Chicago, one of America's most racially divided cities. We analyze cause-specific death rates for black and non-black male populations residing in Chicago's community areas by using linked data from the 1990 Census and from 1989-1991 individual death certificates. The same cause-of-death patterns explain much of the mortality of black and non-black men. These two major structures include one, degenerative diseases, the other, "tough-living" causes (accidents, homicides, and liver disease). Community socioeconomic status is strongly related to tough-living deaths within each racial group, and to degenerative deaths for African Americans. Black men's tough-living mortality is much greater than non-blacks', but their younger age structure suppresses their degenerative death rates. Aggregate unemployment and social disorganization account for the most salient disparities in mortality across racial groups. This patterning of mortality along a socioeconomic continuum supports epidemiological theory and extends its applicability to highly unequal populations within industrialized countries.

非裔美国人的死亡率劣势是有充分记录的,但以前的研究并没有考虑到它对人口理论在收入不平等程度很高的工业化国家的一般情况下的影响。本文考察了经典流行病学理论与芝加哥极端收入和死亡率的相关性,芝加哥是美国种族分化最严重的城市之一。通过使用1990年人口普查和1989-1991年个人死亡证明的相关数据,我们分析了居住在芝加哥社区地区的黑人和非黑人男性人口的特定原因死亡率。同样的死因模式可以解释黑人和非黑人男性的死亡率。这两种主要结构包括一种是退行性疾病,另一种是“生活艰难”的原因(事故、杀人和肝病)。社区社会经济地位与每个种族群体的艰苦生活死亡以及非裔美国人的退化性死亡密切相关。黑人的艰苦生活死亡率比非黑人高得多,但他们年轻的年龄结构抑制了他们的退化性死亡率。总体失业和社会解体是种族间死亡率差异最显著的原因。这种沿社会经济连续体的死亡率模式支持流行病学理论,并将其适用于工业化国家内高度不平等的人口。
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引用次数: 5
Infant mortality in Zambia: socioeconomic and demographic correlates. 赞比亚的婴儿死亡率:社会经济和人口的相关性。
Pub Date : 2003-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989069
Nyovani Janet Madise, Esther Melody Banda, Kabwe Wendy Benaya

Trends in infant mortality in Zambia suggest a reversal of the decline experienced between the 1960s and the late 1970s. From a high of about 140, infant mortality rate declined to about 90 in the late 1970s only to rise again to 100 by 1996. Data on 5,600 births born between 1987 and 1992, and 6,630 births between 1991 and 1996 from the Zambian DHS are analyzed to identify socioeconomic and demographic correlates of infant mortality. Demographic factors such as small size at birth and short birth intervals are associated with higher neonatal mortality. In the post-neonatal period, urban children from poorer households had the highest mortality between 1991-1996. Also, differences in infant mortality rates between provinces narrowed. Children born in the most developed province of Lusaka had as high of risk of dying as those from Luapula, a province with a history of extremely high mortality rates in Zambia.

赞比亚婴儿死亡率的趋势表明,1960年代至1970年代末婴儿死亡率下降的趋势出现了逆转。70年代末,婴儿死亡率从约140的高点下降到约90,但到1996年又上升到100。分析了1987年至1992年期间出生的5600名新生儿和1991年至1996年期间出生的6630名新生儿的数据,以确定婴儿死亡率的社会经济和人口统计学相关性。人口因素,如出生时体型小和出生间隔短,与新生儿死亡率较高有关。在新生儿后期,1991-1996年期间,来自较贫穷家庭的城市儿童死亡率最高。此外,各省之间的婴儿死亡率差异也缩小了。出生在最发达的卢萨卡省的儿童的死亡风险与卢阿普拉省的儿童一样高,卢阿普拉省历来是赞比亚死亡率极高的省份。
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引用次数: 59
The influence of latitude and cloud cover on the seasonality of human births. 纬度和云量对人类出生季节性的影响。
Pub Date : 2003-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989063
David R Cummings

Background: A previous study (Cummings, 2002), hypothesized that human birth seasonality was primarily related to environmental light intensity/photoperiod.

Purpose: There are two primary goals: to explain seasonality differences between U.S., Canada, and Europe and to test the influence of environmental light intensity/photoperiod at divergent latitudes.

Methodology: Existing seasonality data were extracted from previous studies at various locations throughout the world. Daily cloud cover amounts (clearness) were utilized as indices for environmental light intensity.

Discussion: Results were evaluated and discussed for each sub-study.

Conclusion: Sub-study results support the hypothesis that human birth seasonality may be influenced by environmental light intensity and photoperiod. This conclusion is supported by logical links between increased light intensity/photoperiod and conceptions at different latitudes. Irrefutable proof may involve correlating long term changes in cloud cover with long term changes in human birth seasonality.

背景:之前的一项研究(Cummings, 2002)假设人类的出生季节性主要与环境光强度/光周期有关。目的:有两个主要目标:解释美国、加拿大和欧洲之间的季节性差异,并测试不同纬度环境光强度/光周期的影响。方法:现有的季节性数据是从以前在世界各地进行的研究中提取的。利用日云量(净度)作为环境光强的指标。讨论:对每个子研究的结果进行评估和讨论。结论:子研究结果支持人类出生季节性可能受环境光强和光周期影响的假设。这一结论得到了光强/光周期增加与不同纬度观念之间的逻辑联系的支持。无可辩驳的证据可能涉及将云量的长期变化与人类出生季节性的长期变化联系起来。
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引用次数: 10
Human ecology, crime, and crime control: linking individual behavior and aggregate crime. 人类生态、犯罪与犯罪控制:连结个体行为与集体犯罪。
Pub Date : 2003-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989066
Joanne Savage, Bryan Vila

The paper extends previous research published by Cohen, Machalek, Vila, and others on the evolutionary-ecological paradigm for understanding criminal behavior. After reviewing literature related to human ecology and crime, the paper focuses on elements relevant to human ecology-biology, development, and ecological factors--and their role in criminal behavior. Major emphasis is placed on the linkages between individual factors and macro-level crime using chronic offending as a case in point. The principles of evolutionary ecology then are used to discuss counterstrategies to crime, and the prospects for protection/avoidance, deterrent, and nurturant strategies in light of evidence on chronic offending.

这篇论文扩展了先前由Cohen、Machalek、Vila和其他人发表的关于理解犯罪行为的进化-生态范式的研究。在回顾了与人类生态学和犯罪相关的文献之后,本文重点讨论了与人类生态学相关的要素——生物学、发展和生态因素——以及它们在犯罪行为中的作用。主要重点放在个人因素和宏观层面的犯罪之间的联系,以长期犯罪为例。然后,进化生态学的原则被用来讨论犯罪的对策,以及根据长期犯罪的证据,保护/避免、威慑和培育策略的前景。
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引用次数: 4
Reconciling heart disease mortality and ICD codes. 协调心脏病死亡率和ICD代码。
Pub Date : 2003-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2003.9989068
David P Smith, Benjamin Bradshaw

This study uses 61 years of death certificates for Bexar County, Texas, uniformly coded under ICD 9, to describe the transition in heart disease mortality from 1935-1995. We find that life expectancy for persons dying with heart diseases increased throughout this period, with clear differences in rates of increase for males and females, associated with acute ischemic heart disease. Our data point to an epidemic of AIHD in the 1950s and 1960s, which is now abating. Findings are less clear for chronic ischemic heart disease, while other major heart diseases cannot be traced with any confidence owing to changes over time in the emphasis accorded particular causes. Our findings suggest caution with respect to the socioeconomic analysis of heart disease mortality data, particularly where the instability of the coding conventions has been most acute.

这项研究使用了德克萨斯州比尔县61年的死亡证明,按照ICD 9统一编码,以描述1935年至1995年心脏病死亡率的转变。我们发现,在此期间,死于心脏病的人的预期寿命增加了,与急性缺血性心脏病有关,男性和女性的预期寿命增加率有明显差异。我们的数据表明,AIHD在20世纪50年代和60年代流行,现在正在减弱。慢性缺血性心脏病的调查结果不太清楚,而其他主要心脏病由于对特定原因的重视随着时间的推移而发生变化,无法确定。我们的研究结果表明,对心脏病死亡率数据的社会经济分析要谨慎,特别是在编码惯例最不稳定的地方。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Social biology
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