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Nomograms and instruments for the initial prostate evaluation: the ability to estimate the likelihood of identifying prostate cancer. 用于前列腺初步评估的图和仪器:评估前列腺癌的可能性的能力。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32520
M. Ohori, P. Swindle
As a result of prostate cancer screening programs, approximately 10% of otherwise healthy men will be found to have an elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level and therefore be at risk for harboring prostate cancer. Patients with an elevated PSA level have a wide variation in the risk for having prostate cancer diagnosed by transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided prostate biopsy. To adequately counsel these patients, some form of individualized risk assessment must be given. There are several tables, artificial neural network (ANN) models, and nomograms that are available to stratify an individual patients risk for having prostate cancer diagnosed by a TRUS biopsy, either initially or on subsequent biopsies after a previous negative biopsy. Presently, nomograms are also being developed to predict the risk not only for having prostate cancer but also for clinically significant prostate cancer. The difficulty in calculating this risk for an individual patient is that the multiple competing clinical and pathologic factors have varying degrees of effect on the overall risk. This problem of competing risk factors can be overcome by the use of nomograms or ANNs. This article reviews the available instruments that are available to the urologist to enable prediction of the risk for having prostate cancer diagnosed by TRUS-guided prostate biopsy.
作为前列腺癌筛查项目的结果,大约10%的健康男性会被发现前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)水平升高,因此有患前列腺癌的风险。PSA水平升高的患者在经直肠超声(TRUS)引导的前列腺活检诊断前列腺癌的风险有很大差异。为了给这些患者提供充分的咨询,必须进行某种形式的个体化风险评估。有几个表格、人工神经网络(ANN)模型和形态图可用于分层单个患者通过TRUS活检诊断为前列腺癌的风险,无论是最初的活检还是在先前阴性活检后的后续活检。目前,nomographic不仅用于预测患前列腺癌的风险,还用于预测具有临床意义的前列腺癌的风险。计算单个患者的这种风险的困难在于,多种相互竞争的临床和病理因素对总体风险有不同程度的影响。这种竞争风险因素的问题可以通过使用图或人工神经网络来克服。这篇文章回顾了泌尿科医生可用来预测前列腺癌风险的仪器,这些仪器是由超声引导的前列腺活检诊断的。
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引用次数: 17
Nomograms for clinically localized prostate cancer. Part I: radical prostatectomy. 临床局限性前列腺癌的影像学检查。第一部分:根治性前列腺切除术。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32493
Misop Han, A. Partin
Many nomograms are currently available for patients' and physicians' use for prediction of pathologic stage based on preoperative parameters, such as prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, clinical stage (tumor, node, metastasis), and Gleason score from prostate biopsy specimen. Based on the probability of final pathologic stage as well as patient comorbidity and life expectancy, patients and physicians can decide whether definitive local therapy, systemic therapy, or palliative therapy would be most appropriate. Nomograms have also been developed based on preoperative parameters for prediction of biochemical recurrence-free survival outcome following surgery. These nomograms can help patients understand the long-term cancer cure rates after radical prostatectomy.
目前,患者和医生可根据术前参数,如前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)水平、临床分期(肿瘤、淋巴结、转移)、前列腺活检标本的Gleason评分等,使用多种形态图预测病理分期。根据最终病理阶段的可能性以及患者的合并症和预期寿命,患者和医生可以决定最终的局部治疗、全身治疗还是姑息治疗是最合适的。nomogram也基于术前参数来预测手术后无复发的生化生存结果。这些图可以帮助患者了解根治性前列腺切除术后的长期治愈率。
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引用次数: 15
Comparisons of nomograms and urologists' predictions in prostate cancer. 前列腺癌的造影图与泌尿科医师预测的比较。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32490
P. Ross, C. Gerigk, M. Gonen, O. Yossepowitch, I. Cagiannos, P. Sogani, P. Scardino, M. Kattan
When applying nomograms to a clinical setting it is essential to know how their predictions compare with clinicians'. Comparisons exist outside of the prostate cancer literature. We reviewed these comparisons and conducted 2 experiments comparing predictions of clinicians with prostate cancer nomograms. By using Medline, we searched studies from January 1966 to July 1999 that compared human predictions with nomogram predictions. Next, we conducted 2 experiments: (1) 17 urologists were presented with 10 case vignettes and asked to predict the 5-year recurrence-free probabilities for each patient; (2) case presentations of 63 prostate cancer patients (including full clinical histories with complete diagnostic data and surgical findings) were made to a group of 25 clinicians who were asked to predict organ-confined disease. We found 22 published studies comparing human experts with nomograms, greater than half (13 of 22) showed the nomogram performing above the level of the human expert. Our first experiment showed urologist modification of 165 nomogram predictions led to a decrease in prediction accuracy (c-index decreased from.67 to.55, P <.05). In our second experiment, clinician predictions of organ-confined disease were comparable to the nomogram (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.78 and 0.79, respectively). A mixed-model suggests the nomogram did not augment clinician prediction accuracy (doctor excess error 1.4%, P =.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -10.9% to 8.2%). Our data suggest that nomograms do not seem to diminish predictive accuracy and they may be of significant benefit in certain clinical decision making settings.
当将nomograph应用于临床设置时,了解他们的预测与临床医生的预测相比较是至关重要的。比较存在于前列腺癌文献之外。我们回顾了这些比较,并进行了2个实验,比较临床医生对前列腺癌x线图的预测。通过Medline,我们检索了从1966年1月到1999年7月之间比较人类预测和nomogram预测的研究。接下来,我们进行了2项实验:(1)向17名泌尿科医生提供10例病例图,并要求他们预测每位患者5年无复发概率;(2)将63例前列腺癌患者的病例报告(包括完整的临床病史、完整的诊断资料和手术结果)提交给一组25名临床医生,要求他们预测器官局限性疾病。我们发现22项已发表的研究将人类专家与nomogram进行比较,超过一半(22项中的13项)显示nomogram的表现高于人类专家的水平。我们的第一个实验显示,泌尿科医生修改了165个nomogram预测,导致预测准确性下降(c-index从。67年。55, p < 0.05)。在我们的第二个实验中,临床医生对器官局限性疾病的预测与nomogram(受者工作特征曲线下面积[AUC]分别为0.78和0.79)相当。混合模型表明nomogram并没有提高临床医生的预测准确度(医生超额误差1.4%,P =。75、95%置信区间[CI]: -10.9% ~ 8.2%)。我们的数据表明,图似乎不会降低预测的准确性,它们可能在某些临床决策设置显著的好处。
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引用次数: 235
Nomograms for clinically localized prostate cancer. Part II: radiation therapy. 临床局限性前列腺癌的影像学检查。第二部分:放射治疗。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32494
L. Potters
Prostate cancer can be effectively treated with either external beam radiation techniques or with brachytherapy. This study was designed to address the methodology that is used to assess outcome data in the current radiation literature and to evaluate available nomograms that can be used to predict outcomes. A literature search was performed and 12 articles reviewed. Risk stratification was the most frequently used methodology to analyze data. This method encompasses disease-specific variables: the pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) value and the Gleason score are classified by using cut points into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups. Another methodology uses nomograms to predict outcome. The nomogram uses continuous values of each variable so that the outcome probability for a specific set of parameters is quite specific. The advantage of nomogram analysis over risk stratification analysis is presented. In conclusion, only 3 reports were identified in the radiation literature that used a nomogram to predict outcome. One of the nomograms is proprietary and difficult to interpret. The other 2 nomograms, 1 for 3-dimensional radiation and the other for brachytherapy, have been incorporated into hand-held devices that can be used at consultation with the patient to discuss outcome probabilities to assist in treatment decisions.
前列腺癌可以通过外束放射技术或近距离放射治疗有效治疗。本研究旨在探讨用于评估当前辐射文献中结果数据的方法学,并评估可用的可用于预测结果的nomogram。我们进行了文献检索并回顾了12篇文章。风险分层是最常用的数据分析方法。该方法包含疾病特异性变量:预处理前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)值和Gleason评分通过切点分为低、中、高风险组。另一种方法使用图来预测结果。模态图使用每个变量的连续值,因此一组特定参数的结果概率是相当具体的。指出了模态分析相对于风险分层分析的优势。总之,在放疗文献中,仅发现了3例使用nomogram来预测预后的报道。其中一个图是专有的,很难解释。另外两张图,一张用于三维放射,另一张用于近距离放射治疗,已被纳入手持设备,可用于与患者协商,讨论结果的可能性,以协助治疗决策。
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引用次数: 4
Nomograms as predictive models. 作为预测模型的nomogram。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32936
J. Eastham, M. Kattan, P. Scardino
Nomograms are valuable tools for estimating the likelihood of cancer being diagnosed, the pathologic features of a localized cancer, and the prognosis of a patient after treatment. Although the available nomograms are reasonably accurate, better predictive factors including additional clinical factors and new molecular analyses are needed to improve the accuracy or predictions. Nomogram performance will also be enhanced with larger datasets of patients and longer follow-up. We review the concepts of risk stratification and the development and use of nomograms as predictive tools.
nomographic是评估癌症被诊断的可能性、局部癌症的病理特征以及治疗后患者预后的有价值的工具。虽然现有的形态图相当准确,但需要更好的预测因素,包括额外的临床因素和新的分子分析来提高预测的准确性。更大的患者数据集和更长时间的随访也将增强Nomogram疗效。我们回顾了风险分层的概念以及作为预测工具的诺图图的发展和使用。
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引用次数: 86
Nomograms for clinically localized disease. Part III: watchful waiting. 临床局限性疾病的x线图。第三部分:警惕等待。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32495
E. Schwartz, P. Albertsen
Patients with newly diagnosed, clinically localized prostate cancer need information concerning long-term outcomes to make informed decisions regarding treatment options. Several nomograms have been developed that can help in this decision process. By using a nomogram originally published in 1998, patients and clinicians can predict the 15-year clinical outcomes in the absence of aggressive treatment based on age and Gleason score at diagnosis. These predictions are based on patients diagnosed and treated before the routine use of PSA that has accelerated the diagnosis of prostate cancer by at least 5 years. Longer follow-up of contemporary patients will determine whether this nomogram remains accurate in the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) era. In view of the lead-time bias resulting from PSA testing, the outcomes of contemporary patients are likely to be better rather than worse than the results shown.
新诊断的临床局限性前列腺癌患者需要有关长期预后的信息,以便对治疗方案做出明智的决定。在这个决策过程中,已经开发了几个nomogram来提供帮助。通过使用最初发表于1998年的nomograph,患者和临床医生可以根据年龄和诊断时的Gleason评分来预测在没有积极治疗的情况下15年的临床结果。这些预测是基于在常规使用PSA之前诊断和治疗的患者,PSA使前列腺癌的诊断至少提前了5年。对当代患者进行更长时间的随访将确定该nomogram前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)时代是否仍然准确。鉴于PSA检测导致的前置时间偏倚,当代患者的结果可能比所显示的结果更好,而不是更差。
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引用次数: 10
Outcome predictions for patients with metastatic prostate cancer. 转移性前列腺癌患者预后预测。
Pub Date : 2002-05-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.32938
O. Smaletz, H. Scher
Estimating prognosis with patients with metastatic disease is important for patient counseling, guiding treatment selection, and assessing treatment outcomes. For patients with noncastrate metastatic disease, androgen ablation is considered first-line therapy, with upward of 80% of patients showing clinical benefit. For these patients, information about duration of response to hormones and overall survival is important. Most patients eventually relapse, at which point the mortality from cancer greatly exceeds that from other causes. This article focuses on prognostic models for patients with progressive noncastrate and castrate metastatic prostate cancer.
评估转移性疾病患者的预后对于患者咨询、指导治疗选择和评估治疗结果非常重要。对于非去势转移性疾病患者,雄激素消融被认为是一线治疗,超过80%的患者显示出临床获益。对于这些患者,有关激素反应持续时间和总生存期的信息很重要。大多数患者最终会复发,此时癌症的死亡率大大超过其他原因。本文主要讨论进展性非去势和去势转移性前列腺癌患者的预后模型。
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引用次数: 20
Web resources for patients with prostate cancer: a starting point. 前列腺癌患者的网络资源:一个起点。
Pub Date : 2002-02-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.30396
Emily R Lipp
The information available on the World Wide Web is vast. Patients are becoming increasingly interested in resources available to them on the Internet for health and medical information. As the percentage of Americans with Internet access grows, health care providers are being asked by their patients to facilitate the search for quality information. This article provides the groundwork for urologists counseling their patients about Web-based information on prostate cancer. Internet sites that provide clear, in-depth information about symptoms and characteristics of prostate cancer, common tests performed, prevention, and treatment options are reviewed. Ten high-quality, patient-friendly Web sites that may be used as a resource for patients and physicians are presented.
万维网上可获得的信息是巨大的。患者对互联网上提供给他们的健康和医疗信息资源越来越感兴趣。随着美国互联网接入比例的增长,患者要求医疗服务提供者为搜索高质量信息提供便利。这篇文章为泌尿科医生咨询他们的病人关于前列腺癌的网络信息提供了基础。因特网站点提供了关于前列腺癌的症状和特征、常见检查、预防和治疗选择的清晰、深入的信息。提出了10个高质量、对患者友好的网站,可以作为患者和医生的资源。
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引用次数: 16
Treatment outcomes in localized prostate cancer: a patient-oriented approach. 局部前列腺癌的治疗结果:以患者为导向的方法。
Pub Date : 2002-02-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.30400
R. Lee, D. Penson
Although there are many treatment options available to patients with localized prostate cancer, it remains unclear which is superior in terms of overall survival. Patients, therefore, consider a number of other less traditional outcomes when choosing therapy for newly diagnosed disease. In particular, because each treatment can have a unique and highly individual impact on various aspects of the patient's health and daily life, there is a need for a patient-oriented approach to outcomes that accounts for both quantity and quality of life after therapy. Although all therapies can result in some degree of sexual, urinary, or bowel dysfunction, the degree of bother patients experience does not always correlate with the objective degree of symptoms present. Providers must, therefore, make the important distinction between function and bother when presenting the risks for each therapy to patients. Patients should also be aware that if they experience particular bother from their sexual or urinary dysfunction, there are therapies available that will improve erectile function or lower urinary tract voiding dysfunction and result in better quality of life. Finally, when discussing the probability of unwanted outcomes, such as urinary, sexual, or bowel dysfunction after treatment for localized prostate cancer, providers should strive to present risks by using a number of different styles, facilitating understanding, and leading to a truly informed decision that best fits the patient's goals.
尽管有许多治疗方案可用于局限性前列腺癌患者,但就总生存率而言,尚不清楚哪一种更优越。因此,在为新诊断的疾病选择治疗方法时,患者会考虑许多其他不太传统的结果。特别是,由于每种治疗都可能对患者健康和日常生活的各个方面产生独特和高度个性化的影响,因此需要以患者为导向的方法来实现治疗后生活的数量和质量。尽管所有的治疗方法都可能导致一定程度的性功能、泌尿系统或肠道功能障碍,但患者所经历的困扰程度并不总是与客观症状的程度相关。因此,在向患者介绍每种疗法的风险时,提供者必须对功能和麻烦做出重要区分。患者也应该意识到,如果他们的性功能或泌尿功能障碍给他们带来了特别的困扰,有一些治疗方法可以改善勃起功能或下尿路排尿功能障碍,从而提高生活质量。最后,在讨论局部前列腺癌治疗后可能出现的不良后果时,如泌尿、性功能或肠道功能障碍,医生应努力通过使用多种不同的方式来呈现风险,促进理解,并得出最符合患者目标的真正明智的决定。
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引用次数: 15
Prostate biopsy techniques and indications: when, where, and how? 前列腺活检技术和适应症:何时、何地、如何活检?
Pub Date : 2002-02-01 DOI: 10.1053/SURO.2002.30395
D. Scherr, J. Eastham, M. Ohori, P. Scardino
Transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) and prostate biopsy have become one of the most common office-based procedures for the practicing urologist. During the past 50 years, the techniques, indications, and pathologic interpretation of prostate biopsies have evolved. The abandonment of blind finger-guided needle biopsies in favor of systematic TRUS-guided biopsies epitomizes much of this change. Similarly, the indications for prostate biopsy have become more refined. In the past, the presence of a prostatic nodule on digital rectal examination (DRE) was the primary indication for biopsy until the introduction of prostatic-specific antigen (PSA) in the 1980s and its widespread use for prostate cancer screening. Abnormalities of PSA or its derivatives now represent the most common indication for prostate biopsy. Although TRUS initially began as a tool to direct needles into various locations within the prostate, today a great deal of information can be obtained from prostate ultrasound for the discerning clinician. As such, TRUS-guided biopsy of the prostate has become an important staging and diagnostic tool for the practicing urologist. Here we review the current techniques and indications as well as pertinent pathologic and staging data obtained through TRUS and prostate biopsy.
经直肠超声(TRUS)和前列腺活检已成为执业泌尿科医生最常见的办公室基础程序之一。在过去的50年里,前列腺活检的技术、适应症和病理解释都发生了变化。放弃盲目的手指引导下的针活检,转而采用系统的超声引导下的活检,是这一变化的缩影。同样,前列腺活检的适应症也变得更加精细。在过去,直肠指检(DRE)中出现前列腺结节是活检的主要指征,直到20世纪80年代引入前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)并广泛用于前列腺癌筛查。PSA或其衍生物的异常现在是前列腺活检最常见的指征。虽然TRUS最初是作为一种工具来引导针头进入前列腺内的不同位置,但今天可以从前列腺超声中获得大量信息,以供有眼光的临床医生使用。因此,超声引导下的前列腺活检已成为执业泌尿科医生重要的分期和诊断工具。在这里,我们回顾目前的技术和适应症,以及通过TRUS和前列腺活检获得的相关病理和分期数据。
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引用次数: 34
期刊
Seminars in urologic oncology
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