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Price Analysis and Forecasting for Bitcoin Using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model 基于自回归综合移动平均模型的比特币价格分析与预测
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0009
Olufunke G. Darley, A. Yussuff, A. Adenowo
Abstract This paper investigated Bitcoin daily closing price using time series approach to predict future values for financial managers and investors. Daily data were sourced from CoinDesk, with Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) for 5 years (January 1, 2016 to May 31, 2021) extracted. Data analysis and modelling of price trend using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was carried out, and a suitable model for forecasting was proposed. Results showed that ARIMA(6,1,12) model was the most suitable based on a combination of number of significant coefficients and values of volatility, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). A two-month test window was used for forecasting and prediction. Results showed a decline in prediction accuracy as number of days of the test period increased; from 99.94% for the first 7 days, to 99.59 % for 14 days and 95.84% for 30 days. For the two-month test period, percentage accuracy was 84.75%. The study confirms that the ARIMA model is a veritable planning tool for financial managers, investors and other stakeholders; especially for short-term forecasting. It is however imperative that the influence of external factors, such as investors’/influencers’ comments and government intervention, that may affect forecasting be taken into consideration.
摘要本文利用时间序列方法研究了比特币的每日收盘价,为财务经理和投资者预测未来价值。每日数据来自CoinDesk,提取了5年(2016年1月1日至2021年5月31日)的比特币价格指数(BPI)。利用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型对价格趋势进行了数据分析和建模,提出了适合的预测模型。结果表明,结合显著系数数和波动率值、赤池信息准则(Akaike Information Criterion, AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(Bayesian Information Criterion, BIC), ARIMA(6,1,12)模型最合适。采用两个月的试验窗进行预测和预测。结果表明,随着试验天数的增加,预测精度下降;前7天为99.94%,14天为99.59%,30天为95.84%。在两个月的测试期间,百分比准确率为84.75%。研究证实,ARIMA模型对于财务经理、投资者和其他利益相关者来说是一个名副其实的规划工具;尤其是短期预测。然而,必须考虑可能影响预测的外部因素的影响,例如投资者/影响者的评论和政府干预。
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引用次数: 3
Phytoconstituents from Markhamia Tomentosa Bind To HPV Oncoprotein with Apoptogenic Potential: A Molecular Modeling Approach 毛毛Markhamia Tomentosa植物成分与具有凋亡潜力的HPV癌蛋白结合:分子模拟方法
Pub Date : 2021-11-15 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0008
M. Ibrahim, A. Kola-Mustapha, Niyi S Adelakun, N. Koorbanally
Abstract Markhamia tomentosa crude extract and fractions exhibited potent growth inhibitory effects capable to induce apoptosis in cervical (HeLa) cancer cell line via in vitro model. Presently, interaction of M. tomentosa phytoconstituents with molecular drug targets to exert its anticancer property is evaluated via in silico study. Identified phytoconstituents from M. tomentosa were retrieved from PubChem database and docked in active sites of HPV 16 E6, caspase -3 and caspase -8 targets using AutoDockVina from PyRx software. Screening for druglikeness; and absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity (ADMET) predictions was carried out with the use of SwissADME and pkCSM web servers. Standard melphalan and co-crystallized ligands of caspases -3 and -8 enzymes were used to validate protein-ligand interactions. Molecular dynamic simulation was used to validate the stability of the hit molecules complexed with caspases -3 and -8. All identified phytoconstituents from M. tomentosa showed binding affinity for HPV with docking scores range of - 5.4 to -2.6 kcal/mol. Ajugol, carnosol, luteolin and phytol showed good docking energy range of -6.8 to -3.6 kcal/mol; and -4.8 to -1.9 kcal/mol for the active sites of caspases -3 and -8 targets respectively. Based on docking scores; drug-likeliness; and ADMET predictions; luteolin and carnosol were selected as hit compounds. These molecules were found to be stable within the binding site of caspase -3 target throughout the 40ns simulation time. These findings identified hit ligands from M. tomentosa phytoconstituents that inhibit HPV 16 E6 oncogene expression with stimulation of caspases -3 and -8 targets.
毛毛Markhamia tomentosa粗提物及其组分在体外培养的宫颈癌(HeLa)细胞模型中表现出明显的生长抑制作用,能够诱导细胞凋亡。目前,毛毛菌植物成分与分子药物靶点相互作用以发挥其抗癌作用的研究主要通过硅片研究进行。从PubChem数据库中检索毛毛杆菌中鉴定的植物成分,使用PyRx软件的AutoDockVina对接HPV 16e6、caspase -3和caspase -8靶点的活性位点。药物相似筛选;使用SwissADME和pkCSM网络服务器进行吸收、分布、代谢、排泄和毒性(ADMET)预测。使用标准的melphalan和caspases -3和-8酶的共结晶配体来验证蛋白质与配体的相互作用。通过分子动力学模拟验证了与caspases -3和-8络合的hit分子的稳定性。所有鉴定的毛毛草植物成分对人乳头状瘤病毒具有结合亲和力,对接评分范围为- 5.4 ~ -2.6 kcal/mol。Ajugol、鼠尾草醇、木犀草素和叶绿醇的对接能量范围为-6.8 ~ -3.6 kcal/mol;caspases -3和-8靶标的活性位点分别为-4.8 ~ -1.9 kcal/mol。基于对接分数;drug-likeliness;ADMET预测;选择木犀草素和鼠尾草醇作为hit化合物。在40ns的模拟时间内,这些分子在caspase -3靶点的结合位点内是稳定的。这些发现确定了毛毛分枝杆菌植物成分的命中配体,通过刺激半胱天冬酶-3和-8靶标抑制HPV 16e6癌基因的表达。
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy of Tobacco Leaves (Nicotiana tabacum) as Anaesthetic Agent on the Juveniles and Adults of African Catfish Clarias gariepinus (Burchell 1822) 烟叶(Nicotiana tabacum)对非洲鲇鱼幼鱼和成鱼的麻醉效果(Burchell 1822)
Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0007
M. Mustapha, Jamaldeen A. Aileru
Abstract Various fisheries and aquacultural practices such as handling, transportation, tagging and so on stress fish. To minimise the stress, fish should be anaesthetise using agents that is safe, cheap in cost and extraction, effective and readily available and which should induce anaesthesia and recovery within few minutes as compared to synthetic anaesthetics. This study investigated the efficacy of tobacco leaves extract (Nicotiana tabacum) as an anaesthetic agent on Clarias gariepinus juveniles and adults. Ethanolic extracts of the leaves at 50 mg L−1, 100 mg L−1, 150 mg L−1 and 200 mg L−1 were used to anaesthetise juveniles and adults of the fish in order to vary the effects of increasing concentrations on the fish. Least induction time in juveniles was 166.72 ±7.15s recorded in 200 mg L−1, while highest induction time of 476.32 ±3.29s was in 50 mg L−1. In adult, least induction time was 440.99 ±2.42s in 200 mg L−1 concentration, and highest was 916.75 ±6.65s in 50.00 mg L−1. Highest and lowest recovery times in juveniles were 1078.68 ±19.80s and 751.21 ±7.65s in 200 mg L−1 and 50.00 mg L−1 respectively. In adult, least recovery time was 361.83 ±5.14s in 50.00 mg L−1, while 200.00 mg L−1 produced the highest recovery time at 548.45 ±7.78s. 200 mg L−1 concentration of tobacco extract was the effective concentration, as it induces anaesthesia within 3 minutes and recovery within 9 minutes with no mortality. These high induction and recovery times may be due to scalessness and well vascularised skin of the fish and its high body lipid content which make nicotine to diffuse faster in and out of the body. 200.00 mg L−1 ethanolic extracts of tobacco leaves could be used to anaesthetise fish as it is safe, low cost in terms of purchase and extraction, readily available, biodegradable (without residual effect), eco-friendly and efficient. It can serve as an alternative to expensive, toxic, scarce MS-222 or clove oil in fisheries and aquaculture.
各种渔业养殖作业如搬运、运输、标签等都对鱼类造成压力。为了尽量减少压力,麻醉鱼类时应该使用安全、成本低、提取方便、有效且容易获得的药物,与合成麻醉剂相比,这些药物应该在几分钟内诱导麻醉和恢复。本研究考察了烟叶提取物(Nicotiana tabacum)作为麻醉剂对大鲵幼虫和成虫的麻醉效果。用50 mg L - 1、100 mg L - 1、150 mg L - 1和200 mg L - 1的叶片乙醇提取物麻醉幼鱼和成鱼,以改变浓度增加对鱼的影响。200 mg L−1诱导时间最短,为166.72±7.15s, 50 mg L−1诱导时间最长,为476.32±3.29s。成人在200 mg L−1浓度下诱导时间最短为440.99±2.42s,在50.00 mg L−1浓度下诱导时间最长为916.75±6.65s。在200 mg L−1和50.00 mg L−1条件下,幼鱼的最高和最低恢复时间分别为1078.68±19.80和751.21±7.65s。成人50.00 mg L−1时恢复时间最短,为361.83±5.14s, 200.00 mg L−1时恢复时间最长,为548.45±7.78s。烟草提取物浓度为200mg L−1,可在3分钟内麻醉,9分钟内恢复,无死亡。这些高诱导和恢复时间可能是由于鱼的无鳞和血管通畅的皮肤及其高脂质含量使尼古丁更快地扩散到体内和体外。200.00 mg L−1烟叶乙醇提取物具有安全、购买和提取成本低、易得、可生物降解(无残留效应)、环保和高效等优点,可用于鱼类麻醉。在渔业和水产养殖中,它可以作为昂贵、有毒、稀缺的MS-222或丁香油的替代品。
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引用次数: 0
Immediate and Residual Haematotoxicity in Mice Exposed to Wastewater from a Cocoa Processing Industry 暴露在可可加工工业废水中的小鼠的即时和残留血液毒性
Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0006
O. Alabi
Abstract This study investigated the constituents and haematotoxic potential of wastewater collected from a cocoa processing industry in mice. The mice were intraperitoneally injected for 5 consecutive days with 0.3mL of 1, 5, 10, 25 and 50% concentrations of the wastewater. Blood was collected from some mice on the last day of the injection to assess the immediate effect of the wastewater on selected haematological parameters while blood was collected from others 21 days after the last injection to assess its residual effect. Blood collected were analyzed using an Abacus Reflotron machine. Haematological parameters including packed cell volume (PCV), white blood cells (WBC), red blood cells (RBC), heamaglobin (HGB), lymphocytes, erythrocyte indices: Mean corpuscular heamaglobin count (MCHC), mean corpuscular heamablobin (MCH), mean corpuscular volume (MCV); leucocyte differential count: Neutrophils, Monocytes, Basophils and Eosinophils were analyzed. A significant decrease in basophils, MCH, MCHC, HGB, and PCV; and a significant increase in neutrophils, monocytes, eosinophils, MCV, total WBC count, and lymphocytes were observed in mice exposed to the wastewater compared to the negative control after 5 days. A similar trend of the alterations of the heamatological parameters was observed in mice 21 days after exposure, even though the values were numerically lower than in the 5 days exposed mice. Results further showed the presence of Zn, Cd, As, Mg, Ni, Cu, Fe, Cr, BOD, COD, and EC at concentrations higher than allowable limit by standard organization. Cocoa industry wastewater is capable of inducing hematotoxicity, therefore, proper waste management should be followed in the disposal of such toxic waste.
本研究调查了可可加工工业废水的成分及其对小鼠的血液毒性。小鼠连续5天腹腔注射0.3mL浓度为1、5、10、25和50%的废水。在注射的最后一天采集部分小鼠的血液,以评估废水对选定血液学参数的直接影响,而在最后一次注射后21天采集另一些小鼠的血液,以评估其残留效应。采集的血液用Abacus Reflotron仪进行分析。血液学参数包括堆积细胞体积(PCV)、白细胞(WBC)、红细胞(RBC)、血红蛋白(HGB)、淋巴细胞,红细胞指标:平均红细胞血红蛋白计数(MCHC)、平均红细胞血红蛋白(MCH)、平均红细胞体积(MCV);白细胞差异计数:分析中性粒细胞、单核细胞、嗜碱性粒细胞和嗜酸性粒细胞。嗜碱性粒细胞、MCH、MCHC、HGB和PCV显著降低;与阴性对照相比,暴露于废水5天后小鼠的中性粒细胞、单核细胞、嗜酸性粒细胞、MCV、白细胞总数和淋巴细胞显著增加。暴露后21天小鼠的血液学参数也出现了类似的变化趋势,尽管数值低于暴露后5天的小鼠。结果进一步表明,Zn、Cd、As、Mg、Ni、Cu、Fe、Cr、BOD、COD和EC的浓度均高于标准组织允许的限值。可可工业废水能够诱发血液毒性,因此,在处理此类有毒废物时应遵循适当的废物管理。
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引用次数: 1
Effect of Lambda-Cyhalothrin and Dimethoate on the Growth Response of Cowpea Plants and the Surrounding Soil 高效氯氟氰菊酯和乐果对豇豆植株及周围土壤生长反应的影响
Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0005
B. O. Oladapo, E. Ekundayo, F. Ekundayo, O. Gbaye
Abstract Insecticides are used widely to control insect pests affecting cowpea and their residues are often deposited in the soil. This may impact the physico-chemical characteristics of the soil and the plant health. This study was designed to investigate the growth response of cowpea treated with lambda-cyhalothrin and dimethoate and the insecticides influence on the physico-chemical characteristics of the soil. Three cowpea seeds were planted per polyethylene bag containing top soil, and later thinned to two plants. The insecticides were assayed singly or combined. The insecticides were applied at the pre-flowering (30th day), flowering (50th day) and at podding (70th day) stages of cowpea growth. The physico-chemical parameters of treated soils were assayed. Treated soils with lambdacyhalothrin and dimethoate and the control were slightly acidic with pH varying from 5.78 to 6.55. Soil organic matter and soil nutrients such as nitrogen, phosphorous, potassium and sodium had lowest values in untreated soil; they had highest values in soil treated with combined insecticides. Lambda-cyhalothrin and dimethoate treatments elicited diverse response from the cowpea plant. Generally, there were slight increase in the vegetative parameters, yield and pod dimensions of treated plants when compared with the control. These insecticides also increased the root nodules, root length and dry weight of cowpea at different concentrations. The combination of these insecticides had positive effect on cowpea without adverse influence on the yield and as well as the soil physicochemical properties.
摘要农药是豇豆害虫防治中广泛使用的一种农药,农药残留常在土壤中沉积。这可能会影响土壤的理化特性和植物的健康。本试验旨在研究高效氯氰菊酯和乐果对豇豆生长的影响及其对土壤理化特性的影响。每个装有表层土的聚乙烯袋种植三颗豇豆种子,后来减少到两颗。采用单独或联合试验。分别在豇豆的开花期(第30天)、开花期(第50天)和结荚期(第70天)施用农药。测定了处理后土壤的理化参数。氯氰菊酯和乐果酯处理土壤和对照土壤呈微酸性,pH值在5.78 ~ 6.55之间。土壤有机质和氮、磷、钾、钠等养分在未处理土壤中含量最低;在混合杀虫剂处理的土壤中,它们的价值最高。高效氯氟氰菊酯和乐果菊酯处理对豇豆植株产生了不同的反应。总体而言,处理植株的营养参数、产量和荚果尺寸均较对照略有增加。不同浓度的杀虫剂对豇豆根瘤、根长和干重均有显著的促进作用。这些杀虫剂的配用对豇豆的产量和土壤理化性质均无不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Geophysical Assessment of Groundwater Vulnerability to Diesel Contamination at a Telecommunication Mast in Adebayo Area, Ado-Ekiti, Southwestern Nigeria 尼日利亚西南部Ado-Ekiti addebayo地区电信桅杆地下水对柴油污染脆弱性的地球物理评估
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0001
O. Olayiwola, Fagbemigun Tokunbo, Ojo Bosede, A. Joel, Oyebamiji Ajibola
Abstract An appraisal of the groundwater vulnerability to contamination risk at Adebayo in Ado-Ekiti, Southwestern Nigeria, was carried out using the electrical resistivity method of geophysical prospecting. Two traverses of length 100 m each were established for both vertical electrical sounding (VES) and dipole-dipole. Six (6) Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) and 2-D dipole-dipole profiling techniques of the electrical resistivity method were adopted for the geophysical investigation. The results show variations in resistivity values, depicting four to five geologic layers: the topsoil, laterite, weathered layer, fractured, and the fresh basement. It was observed from the correlation of the geoelectric section and 2-D resistivity image along traverse 1 (TR1) that the groundwater in the study area flows towards the southwestern part, and the fractured basement serves as a migration pathway to the diesel oil in the same direction as groundwater flow. The fractured basement (Well 2) with no lateritic cover has higher resistivity values compare to the fracture zone that was found directly under the mast which was overlain by the laterite. Comparing the resistivity values of Well 1 and 2, Well 2 that was drilled into the fractured basement has more traces of the contaminant than Well 1.
摘要利用地球物理勘探中的电阻率法,对尼日利亚西南部Ado-Ekiti地区Adebayo地区地下水污染风险脆弱性进行了评价。垂直电测深(VES)和偶极子-偶极子测深分别建立了两条长度为100 m的导线。地球物理调查采用了六(6)垂直电测深(VES)和电阻率法的二维偶极-偶极剖面技术。结果显示电阻率值的变化,描绘了四到五个地质层:表土、红土、风化层、裂缝和新鲜基底。通过地电剖面与沿导线1 (TR1)的二维电阻率成像对比发现,研究区地下水向西南方向流动,断裂基底与地下水流动方向相同,是柴油运移的通道。没有红土覆盖的裂缝基底(井2)的电阻率值高于井架下方被红土覆盖的裂缝带。对比井1和井2的电阻率值,井2钻入裂缝基底,比井1有更多的污染物痕迹。
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引用次数: 1
Inhibition of Haemoglobin Glycosylation, Glucose Uptake and In Vitro Antidiabetic Activities of Solvent Fractions from Daucus carota Seed 胡萝卜籽溶剂组分对血红蛋白糖基化、葡萄糖摄取及体外抗糖尿病活性的抑制作用
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0004
H. Tijjani, S. A. Imam
Abstract Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a metabolic disorder which result from either absolute or relative insulin deficiency and may lead to dysfunction in some organ systems. Pancreatic α- glucosidase and α- amylase inhibition are an effective strategy to decrease levels of postprandial hyperglycemia through starch control breakdown. The aim of the study is to assess the in vitro antidiabetic activities of fractions from Daucus carota seed extract, a plant used traditionally for the treatment of diabetes mellitus. The aqueous extract (AQE) of Daucus carota seed was partitioned in ethyl acetate (EAE), n – hexane (HEX) and diethyl ether (DEE) to obtain the various fractions. The AQE and EAE expressed significant α – amylase inhibitory activity with IC50 values of 637.0±18.6 μg/mL and 603.0±25.8 μg/mL respectively. AQE, EAE, HEX and DEE expressed α – glucosidase inhibitory activity with IC50 value of 135.85±1.21, 147.59±0.57, 132.64±1.17, and 143.56±0.49 μg/mL respective compared with acarbose (ACA) with 5.42±0.20 μg/mL. Furthermore, DEE fraction expressed inhibitory effects on % glucose uptake in yeast cell comparable with metronidazole. All Daucus carota fractions expressed various inhibitory effects on haemoglobin glycosylation at a concentration of 200 – 1000 μg/mL. The results show that fractions from the aqueous seed extract of Daucus carota possess in vitro antidiabetic potentials with EAE and HEX fractions having most promising inhibitory activities against α-amylase and α-glucosidase respectively.
糖尿病(DM)是一种由绝对或相对胰岛素缺乏引起的代谢性疾病,可导致某些器官系统功能障碍。抑制胰α-葡萄糖苷酶和α-淀粉酶是通过淀粉控制分解降低餐后高血糖水平的有效策略。该研究的目的是评估胡萝卜籽提取物的体外抗糖尿病活性,胡萝卜籽提取物是一种传统上用于治疗糖尿病的植物。用乙酸乙酯(EAE)、正己烷(HEX)和乙醚(DEE)对胡萝卜籽水提物(AQE)进行分割,得到不同馏分。AQE和EAE具有显著的α -淀粉酶抑制活性,IC50值分别为637.0±18.6 μg/mL和603.0±25.8 μg/mL。AQE、EAE、HEX和DEE表达α -葡萄糖苷酶抑制活性,IC50值分别为135.85±1.21、147.59±0.57、132.64±1.17和143.56±0.49 μg/mL,而阿卡波糖(ACA)的IC50值为5.42±0.20 μg/mL。此外,DEE组分对酵母细胞%葡萄糖摄取的抑制作用与甲硝唑相当。在200 ~ 1000 μg/mL浓度下,胡萝卜提取物对血红蛋白糖基化有不同程度的抑制作用。结果表明,胡萝卜籽水提物具有体外抗糖尿病作用,其中EAE和HEX对α-淀粉酶和α-葡萄糖苷酶的抑制作用最强。
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引用次数: 4
Immune Response and Bone Marker Enzyme Activities of Broiler Birds Fed Graded Level Taurine-Supplemented-Diets 分级添加牛磺酸饲粮对肉仔鸡免疫反应和骨标记酶活性的影响
Pub Date : 2021-05-29 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0003
Ogunbode S. Modupe, Bello R. Adijat, A. Salau
Abstract Taurine, a derived amino acid has been proven to play an important biological roles in enhancing bone strength and immune activities of broiler birds. This research investigated the effect of the different concentrations of graded level dietary taurine supplement on immune response of birds against Newcastle Disease Virus (NCDV) and Infectious Bursal Disease Virus (IBDV), as well as on enzymatic markers of bone metabolism and effect on mineral composition. A total of 300 unsexed day-old arbor acre broiler birds were used for this research. The birds were randomly distributed using a completely randomized design into five dietary treatment of six replicates with 10 birds per replicate. Treatment one (T1) served as the control group with 0% taurine supplement. Treatments 2, 3, 4, and 5 contained dietary taurine supplements at 0.002, 0.004, 0.006, and 0.008%. Antibody titre against NCDV and IBDV were determined according to standard procedures. The study lasted 42 days. Birds on 0.002% taurine had the highest antibody titre (128.38) against NCDV, while birds on the 0.006% taurine-supplemented-diet also portrayed a distinct (p<0.05) titre value (1029) against IBDV. Serum alkaline phosphatase and bone specific alkaline phosphatase (132.74 and 150.66) at the 42nd day were highest (p<0.05) for birds on 0.004 and 0.002% dietary taurine supplement respectively. The activity of serum tartrate resistant acid phosphatase (44.94) was notably highest (p<0.05) for birds on 0.008% taurine. Bone mineral contents showed that birds fed with 0.002% taurinesupplemented- diet had the highest percentage (p<0.05) of phosphorous (9.50), calcium (32.18) and phosphate (21.77) composition. Conclusively, inclusion of taurine as dietary supplement has proven useful not only in enhancing the birds’ immunity against NCDV an IBDV, but also in boosting bone mineral composition of meat type poultry birds.
牛磺酸是一种衍生氨基酸,已被证明在增强肉鸡骨骼强度和免疫活性方面具有重要的生物学作用。本研究旨在研究饲粮中添加不同浓度的分级牛磺酸对禽类新城疫病毒(NCDV)和传染性法氏囊病病毒(IBDV)免疫应答的影响,以及对骨代谢酶标记物和矿物质组成的影响。试验选用300只无性别日龄乔木亩肉仔鸡。试验采用完全随机设计,随机分为5个饲粮处理,每6个重复,每个重复10只鸡。治疗1 (T1)为对照组,添加0%牛磺酸。处理2、3、4和5分别添加0.002、0.004、0.006和0.008%的牛磺酸。按照标准程序测定NCDV和IBDV抗体滴度。研究持续了42天。0.002%牛磺酸组对NCDV的抗体滴度最高(128.38),而0.006%牛磺酸组对IBDV的抗体滴度也显著(p<0.05)(1029)。饲粮中添加0.004和0.002%牛磺酸组第42天血清碱性磷酸酶和骨特异性碱性磷酸酶分别为132.74和150.66 (p<0.05)。血清抗酒石酸酸性磷酸酶活性(44.94)以0.008%牛磺酸组最高(p<0.05)。骨矿物质含量表明,添加0.002%牛磺酸的饲粮中磷(9.50)、钙(32.18)和磷酸盐(21.77)组成比例最高(p<0.05)。总之,牛磺酸作为膳食补充剂已被证明不仅可以增强鸟类对NCDV和IBDV的免疫力,而且还可以提高肉禽的骨矿物质组成。
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引用次数: 1
Interest Rate Modelling in the Presence of Discontinuities and its Sensitivities 存在不连续的利率模型及其敏感性
Pub Date : 2021-05-12 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2021-0002
A. Udoye, E. Ogbaji, L. S. Akinola, Maurice N. Annorzie
Abstract Interest rate paths experience discontinuities in the presence of certain factors. Much of the work on interest rate modelling has no consideration for effects of such unexpected occurrences in real life. A good risk manager needs to have a better model that considers possibility of unexpected occurrences. In this paper, we discuss step by step extension of Vasicek model to both jump model and jumpdiffusion model using Itô’s formula as the major tool. We also derive the greeks ‘delta’ and ‘vega’ that measure sensitivity of the interest rate with respect to both changes in its initial interest rate and volatility in an interbank rate.
在某些因素的影响下,利率路径经历了不连续性。很多关于利率模型的工作都没有考虑到现实生活中这些意外事件的影响。一个好的风险管理者需要有一个更好的模型来考虑意外发生的可能性。本文以Itô公式为主要工具,讨论了Vasicek模型逐步推广到跳跃模型和跳跃扩散模型。我们还推导出希腊的“delta”和“vega”,它们衡量利率对初始利率变化和银行间利率波动的敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Characterization of Petrophysical and Mechanical Properties of Siliciclastic Reservoir Rocks within a compressional structure of the Teapot Dome Oilfield, Wyoming, USA 美国怀俄明州Teapot Dome油田挤压构造中硅质储层岩石物理力学性质对比表征
Pub Date : 2020-11-24 DOI: 10.2478/ast-2020-0009
Rotimi Oluwatosin John, Ogunkunle Temitope, Onuh Charles Yunusa, A. Anthony, Enaworu Efeoghene, Ekeledo Ifeoma Faith, G. Amaechi
Abstract Working with subsurface engineering problems in Hydrocarbon exploration as regard rock elastic and petrophysical properties necessitate accurate determination of in-situ physical properties. Several techniques have been adopted in correlating log-derived parameters with petrophysical and mechanical behavior of the rocks. However, limited field applications show there are no particular parameters and correlations that are generally acceptable due to the regional variation in geologic features (i.e., degree of mineralogy, texture, etc.). This study presents a method that assesses the disparity in petrophysical properties of oil and gas reservoir rocks in relation to their elastic/mechanical properties from 10 well-logs and 3D migrated seismic data. Two distinct facies were identified from seismic data after computing attributes. Reflection strength attribute of 2.5 and above depicts Bright spots within the central section of the field as clearly revealed by Variance and Chaos attributes. Formation properties calculated from logs were conformally gridded in consonance with the reflection patterns from the seismic data. The average Brittleness index (BI) of 0.52 corresponds to Young’s modulus (E) values of between 8 and 16 for the dense portion. This portion is the laminated, reasonably parallel, and undeformed part, flanked by the unlaminated and chaotic zones. From cross plots, the distinguished lower portion on the plot is the segment with higher sand of more than 50 %. This segment corresponds to the reservoir in this study as confirmed from the genetic algorithm neural network Acoustic impedance inversion process result. Similarly, the plot of Compressional velocity (Vp) and Poisson’s ratio (ν), reveals the laminated sand value of not less than 0.32 of ν, and Vp of about 4.2 km/s. The average porosity is about 16 %, average water saturation is about 16 %, and average permeability is approximately 25 md. Rock properties trends in a unique pattern and showing fluctuation that confirms the compressive nature of the structure with corresponding petrophysical properties. This trend is sustained in permeability computed and suggests a significant gravity-assisted compaction trend and fluid movement. It gives a reasonable idea of the fluid movement interplay and mechanical property variation within the sequence and across the dome. This part probably has been subjected to fair compressional deformational forces initiated from outside the survey.
摘要在油气勘探中,地下工程问题涉及岩石弹性和岩石物性,因此需要准确地确定原位物性。在将测井参数与岩石的物理和力学行为联系起来时,采用了几种技术。然而,有限的现场应用表明,由于地质特征(即矿物学程度、结构等)的区域差异,没有普遍可接受的特定参数和相关性。该研究提出了一种方法,通过10口测井和3D偏移地震数据,评估油气储层岩石物理性质与弹性/力学性质之间的差异。计算属性后,从地震资料中识别出两种不同的相。2.5及以上的反射强度属性描绘了场中央部分的亮点,方差和混沌属性清楚地揭示了这一点。根据测井计算的地层性质与地震资料的反射模式进行了保形网格化。致密部分的平均脆性指数(BI)为0.52,对应的杨氏模量(E)值在8 ~ 16之间。这部分是层压的、相当平行的、未变形的部分,两侧是未层压的和混沌的区域。从交叉样地看,样地下部明显为含沙量大于50%的段。遗传算法神经网络声阻抗反演过程结果证实,该段对应本研究的储层。同样,纵波速度(Vp)和泊松比(ν)曲线也显示了层压砂值不小于ν的0.32,Vp约为4.2 km/s。平均孔隙度约为16%,平均含水饱和度约为16%,平均渗透率约为25md。岩石性质呈独特的趋势,呈现波动,证实了具有相应岩石物理性质的结构的压缩性质。这一趋势在渗透率计算中得到了延续,表明存在明显的重力辅助压实趋势和流体运动。给出了层序内和圆顶内流体运动、相互作用和力学性能变化的合理概念。这部分可能受到了来自外部测量的相当大的压缩变形力。
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