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ESRNet: an exploring sample relationships network for arbitrary-shaped scene text detection ESRNet:用于任意形状场景文本检测的探索样本关系网络
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05773-8
Huageng Fan, Tongwei Lu

Recently transformer-based scene text detection methods have been gradually investigated. However, these methods usually use attention to model visual content relationships in single sample, ignoring the relationships between samples. Exploring sample relationships enables feature propagation between samples, which facilitates detector to detect scene text images with more complex features. Aware of the challenges above, this paper proposes exploring sample relationships network (ESRNet) for detecting arbitrary-shaped texts. In detail, we construct the exploring sample relationships module (ESRM) to model sample relationships in the encoder, capturing interactions between all samples in each batch and propagating features across samples. Because of the inconsistency in batch sizes for training and testing leads to differences in exploring sample relationships between these two phases, so two-stream encoder method is used to solve the problem. Moreover, we propose location-aware factorized self-attention (LAFSA), which incorporates the sequential information of text polygon control points into the modeling and effectively improves the accuracy of label reading order in terms of visual features. Experimental results on multiple datasets demonstrate that ESRNet exhibits superior performance compared to other methods. Notably, ESRNet achieves F-measure of 88.9(%), 88.4(%), and 77.4(%) on the Total-Text, CTW1500, and ArT datasets, respectively.

近年来,基于变换器的场景文本检测方法逐渐得到研究。然而,这些方法通常使用注意力来模拟单个样本的视觉内容关系,而忽略了样本之间的关系。探索样本间的关系可以实现样本间的特征传播,从而有助于检测器检测具有更复杂特征的场景文本图像。意识到上述挑战,本文提出了用于检测任意形状文本的探索样本关系网络(ESRNet)。具体来说,我们构建了探索样本关系模块(ESRM)来模拟编码器中的样本关系,捕捉每个批次中所有样本之间的交互,并在样本间传播特征。由于训练和测试的批量大小不一致,导致这两个阶段的探索样本关系存在差异,因此采用双流编码器方法来解决这个问题。此外,我们还提出了位置感知因子化自关注(LAFSA),将文本多边形控制点的顺序信息纳入建模,有效提高了视觉特征方面标签阅读顺序的准确性。在多个数据集上的实验结果表明,与其他方法相比,ESRNet 表现出更优越的性能。值得注意的是,ESRNet在Total-Text、CTW1500和ArT数据集上的F-measure分别达到了88.9、88.4和77.4。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty modified policy for multi-agent reinforcement learning 多代理强化学习的不确定性修正策略
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05811-5
Xinyu Zhao, Jianxiang Liu, Faguo Wu, Xiao Zhang, Guojian Wang

Uncertainty in the evolution of opponent behavior creates a non-stationary environment for the agent, reducing the reliability of value estimation and strategy selection while compromising security during the exploration process. Previous studies have developed various uncertainty quantification techniques and designed uncertainty-aware exploration methods for multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL). However, existing methods have gaps in theoretical research and experimental verification of decoupling uncertainty between opponents and environment, which can decrease learning efficiency and lead to an unstable training process. Due to inaccurate opponent modeling, the agent is vulnerable to harm from opponents, which is undesirable in real-world tasks. To address these issues, this study proposes a novel uncertainty-guided safe exploration strategy for MARL that decouples the two types of uncertainty originating from the environment and opponents. Specifically, we introduce an uncertainty decoupling quantification technique based on a novel variance decomposition method for action-value functions. Furthermore, we present an uncertainty-aware policy optimization mechanism to facilitate safe exploration in MARL. Finally, we propose a new adaptive parameter scaling method to ensure efficient exploration by the agents. Theoretical analysis establishes the proposed approach’s convergence rate, and its effectiveness is demonstrated empirically. Extensive experiments on benchmark tasks spanning differential games, multi-agent particle environments, and RoboSumo validate the proposed uncertainty-guided method’s significant advantages in attaining higher scores and facilitating safe agent exploration.

对手行为演化的不确定性为代理创造了一个非稳态环境,降低了价值估计和策略选择的可靠性,同时损害了探索过程中的安全性。以往的研究为多代理强化学习(MARL)开发了各种不确定性量化技术,并设计了不确定性感知探索方法。然而,现有方法在解耦对手与环境之间不确定性的理论研究和实验验证方面存在不足,会降低学习效率,导致训练过程不稳定。由于对手建模不准确,机器人很容易受到对手的伤害,这在实际任务中是不可取的。为了解决这些问题,本研究为 MARL 提出了一种新颖的不确定性引导的安全探索策略,该策略将来自环境和对手的两类不确定性分离开来。具体来说,我们引入了一种不确定性解耦量化技术,该技术基于一种新颖的行动值函数方差分解方法。此外,我们还提出了一种不确定性感知策略优化机制,以促进 MARL 中的安全探索。最后,我们提出了一种新的自适应参数缩放方法,以确保代理的高效探索。理论分析确定了所提方法的收敛率,并通过实证证明了其有效性。在微分游戏、多代理粒子环境和 RoboSumo 等基准任务上的广泛实验验证了所提出的不确定性引导方法在获得更高分和促进代理安全探索方面的显著优势。
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引用次数: 0
Mining emotion soft factors in linguistic preference time sequences based on personalized individual semantics in group decision-making 基于群体决策中的个性化个体语义,挖掘语言偏好时间序列中的情感软因素
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05697-3
Fuying Jing, Mengru Xu, Xiangrui Chao, Enrique Herrera-viedma

Individuals’ emotions, such as hesitation and unwavering confidence, can influence the ability of decision-makers (DMs) to make rational judgments. The emotion is always hidden in individual preference series, which is referred to as emotion soft factors, It is a prerequisite for avoiding unfavorable impacts on consensus reaching process. This study focuses on structuring a consensus model with emotion soft factors in linguistic preference time sequence. Specifically, a personalized individual semantics (PIS) learning process is implemented to obtain the personalized numerical scales of DMs’ linguistic terms. Subsequently, we propose a consensus model incorporating the consensus measurement and feedback modification phase. In the process, a grey clustering scheme is devised to mine emotion soft factors from DMs’ preference sequences and manage individuals in different grey classes. Finally, numerical examples, simulation analysis, and comparison study are presented to illustrate the influence of different parameters and justify the validity of the proposed model.

犹豫不决、信心不坚定等个体情绪会影响决策者(DMs)做出理性判断的能力。情感总是隐藏在个体偏好序列中,被称为情感软因素,它是避免对共识达成过程产生不利影响的前提。本研究的重点是利用语言偏好时序中的情感软因素构建共识模型。具体来说,通过个性化个体语义(PIS)学习过程,获得 DMs 语言术语的个性化数字标度。随后,我们提出了一个包含共识测量和反馈修正阶段的共识模型。在此过程中,我们设计了一种灰色聚类方案,从 DMs 的偏好序列中挖掘情感软因素,并对不同灰色等级的个体进行管理。最后,通过举例说明、模拟分析和对比研究来说明不同参数的影响,并证明所提模型的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-step on-policy deep reinforcement learning method assisted by off-policy policy evaluation 一种由非政策评估辅助的多步骤政策上深度强化学习方法
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05508-9
Huaqing Zhang, Hongbin Ma, Bemnet Wondimagegnehu Mersha, Ying Jin

On-policy deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has the inherent advantage of using multi-step interaction data for policy learning. However, on-policy DRL still faces challenges in improving the sample efficiency of policy evaluations. Therefore, we propose a multi-step on-policy DRL method assisted by off-policy policy evaluation (abbreviated as MSOAO), whichs integrates on-policy and off-policy policy evaluations and belongs to a new type of DRL method. We propose a low-pass filtering algorithm for state-values to perform off-policy policy evaluation and make it efficiently assist on-policy policy evaluation. The filtered state-values and the multi-step interaction data are used as the input of the V-trace algorithm. Then, the state-value function is learned by simultaneously approximating the target state-values obtained from the V-trace output and the action-values of the current policy. The action-value function is learned by using the one-step bootstrapping algorithm to approximate the target action-values obtained from the V-trace output. Extensive evaluation results indicate that MSOAO outperformed the performance of state-of-the-art on-policy DRL algorithms, and the simultaneous learning of the state-value function and the action-value function in MSOAO can promote each other, thus improving the learning capability of the algorithm.

政策上深度强化学习(DRL)具有利用多步骤交互数据进行政策学习的固有优势。然而,政策上 DRL 在提高政策评估的样本效率方面仍面临挑战。因此,我们提出了一种由非政策政策评估辅助的多步政策上 DRL 方法(简称 MSOAO),它整合了政策上和非政策上的政策评估,属于一种新型的 DRL 方法。我们提出了一种对状态值进行低通滤波的算法来执行非政策政策评估,并使其有效地辅助政策评估。滤波后的状态值和多步交互数据被用作 V-trace 算法的输入。然后,通过同时逼近从 V-trace 输出中获得的目标状态值和当前策略的行动值来学习状态值函数。行动值函数是通过使用一步引导算法来近似从 V 轨迹输出中获得的目标行动值来学习的。广泛的评估结果表明,MSOAO 的性能优于最先进的策略上 DRL 算法,而且 MSOAO 中同时学习状态值函数和行动值函数可以相互促进,从而提高算法的学习能力。
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引用次数: 0
SSGCRTN: a space-specific graph convolutional recurrent transformer network for traffic prediction SSGCRTN:用于交通预测的空间特定图卷积递归变换网络
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05815-1
Shiyu Yang, Qunyong Wu, Yuhang Wang, Tingyu Lin

Current research often formalizes traffic prediction tasks as spatio-temporal graph modeling problems. Despite some progress, this approach still has the following limitations. First, space can be divided into intrinsic and latent spaces. Static graphs in intrinsic space lack flexibility when facing changing prediction tasks, while dynamic relationships in latent space are influenced by multiple factors. A deep understanding of specific traffic patterns in different spaces is crucial for accurately modeling spatial dependencies. Second, most studies focus on correlations in sequential time periods, neglecting both reverse and global temporal correlations. This oversight leads to incomplete temporal representations in models. In this work, we propose a Space-Specific Graph Convolutional Recurrent Transformer Network (SSGCRTN) to address these limitations simultaneously. For the spatial aspect, we propose a space-specific graph convolution operation to identify patterns unique to each space. For the temporal aspect, we introduce a spatio-temporal interaction module that integrates spatial and temporal domain knowledge of nodes at multiple granularities. This module learns and utilizes parallel spatio-temporal relationships between different time points from both forward and backward perspectives, revealing latent patterns in spatio-temporal associations. Additionally, we use a transformer-based global temporal fusion module to capture global spatio-temporal correlations. We conduct experiments on four real-world traffic flow datasets (PeMS03/04/07/08) and two traffic speed datasets (PeMSD7(M)/(L)), achieving better performance than existing technologies. Notably, on the PeMS08 dataset, our model improves the MAE by 6.41% compared to DGCRN. The code of SSGCRTN is available at https://github.com/OvOYu/SSGCRTN.

目前的研究通常将交通预测任务形式化为时空图建模问题。尽管取得了一些进展,但这种方法仍有以下局限性。首先,空间可分为内在空间和潜在空间。内在空间中的静态图在面对不断变化的预测任务时缺乏灵活性,而潜在空间中的动态关系则受到多种因素的影响。深入了解不同空间的具体交通模式对于准确建立空间依赖关系模型至关重要。其次,大多数研究侧重于连续时间段内的相关性,忽略了反向和全局时间相关性。这种疏忽导致模型中的时间表示不完整。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种空间特定图卷积递归变换网络(SSGCRTN),以同时解决这些局限性。在空间方面,我们提出了一种特定空间的图卷积操作,以识别每个空间独有的模式。在时间方面,我们引入了一个时空交互模块,该模块在多个粒度上整合了节点的空间和时间领域知识。该模块从前向和后向角度学习并利用不同时间点之间的并行时空关系,从而揭示时空关联中的潜在模式。此外,我们还使用基于变压器的全局时空融合模块来捕捉全局时空关联。我们在四个真实世界交通流量数据集(PeMS03/04/07/08)和两个交通速度数据集(PeMSD7(M)/(L))上进行了实验,取得了比现有技术更好的性能。值得注意的是,在 PeMS08 数据集上,与 DGCRN 相比,我们的模型提高了 6.41% 的 MAE。SSGCRTN 的代码见 https://github.com/OvOYu/SSGCRTN。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence for the study of human ageing: a systematic literature review 研究人类老龄化的人工智能:系统文献综述
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05817-z
Mary Carlota Bernal, Edgar Batista, Antoni Martínez-Ballesté, Agusti Solanas

As society experiences accelerated ageing, understanding the complex biological processes of human ageing, which are affected by a large number of variables and factors, becomes increasingly crucial. Artificial intelligence (AI) presents a promising avenue for ageing research, offering the ability to detect patterns, make accurate predictions, and extract valuable insights from large volumes of complex, heterogeneous data. As ageing research increasingly leverages AI techniques, we present a timely systematic literature review to explore the current state-of-the-art in this field following a rigorous and transparent review methodology. As a result, a total of 77 articles have been identified, summarised, and categorised based on their characteristics. AI techniques, such as machine learning and deep learning, have been extensively used to analyse diverse datasets, comprising imaging, genetic, behavioural, and contextual data. Findings showcase the potential of AI in predicting age-related outcomes, developing ageing biomarkers, and determining factors associated with healthy ageing. However, challenges related to data quality, interpretability of AI models, and privacy and ethical considerations have also been identified. Despite the advancements, novel approaches suggest that there is still room for improvement to provide personalised AI-driven healthcare services and promote active ageing initiatives with the ultimate goal of enhancing the quality of life and well-being of older adults.

Overview of the literature review.

摘要 随着社会加速老龄化,了解受大量变量和因素影响的人类老龄化的复杂生物过程变得越来越重要。人工智能(AI)为老龄化研究提供了一条大有可为的途径,它能够从大量复杂的异构数据中发现规律、做出准确预测并提取有价值的见解。随着老龄化研究越来越多地利用人工智能技术,我们及时进行了一次系统的文献综述,采用严谨、透明的综述方法探索该领域的最新进展。结果,我们共识别、总结了 77 篇文章,并根据其特点进行了分类。机器学习和深度学习等人工智能技术已被广泛用于分析各种数据集,包括成像、遗传、行为和上下文数据。研究结果展示了人工智能在预测与年龄相关的结果、开发老龄化生物标志物以及确定与健康老龄化相关的因素方面的潜力。然而,在数据质量、人工智能模型的可解释性以及隐私和伦理考虑等方面也发现了一些挑战。尽管取得了进步,但新方法表明,在提供个性化人工智能驱动的医疗保健服务和促进积极老龄化倡议方面仍有改进空间,最终目标是提高老年人的生活质量和福祉。
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引用次数: 0
Improving multi-UAV cooperative path-finding through multiagent experience learning 通过多代理经验学习改进多无人机合作寻路
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05771-w
Jiang Longting, Wei Ruixuan, Wang Dong

A collaborators’ experiences learning (CEL) algorithm, based on multiagent reinforcement learning (MARL) is presented for multi-UAV cooperative path-finding, where reaching destinations and avoiding obstacles are simultaneously considered as independent or interactive tasks. In this article, we are inspired by the experience learning phenomenon to propose the multiagent experience learning theory based on MARL. A strategy for updating parameters randomly is also suggested to allow homogeneous UAVs to effectively learn cooperative strategies. Additionally, the convergence of this algorithm is theoretically demonstrated. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm, we conduct experiments with different numbers of UAVs and different algorithms. The experiments show that the proposed method can achieve experience sharing and learning among UAVs and complete the cooperative path-finding task very well in unknown dynamic environments.

本文提出了一种基于多代理强化学习(MARL)的合作者经验学习(CEL)算法,用于多无人机合作寻路,其中到达目的地和避开障碍物同时被视为独立或交互任务。本文受经验学习现象的启发,提出了基于 MARL 的多代理经验学习理论。同时还提出了一种随机更新参数的策略,使同质无人机能够有效地学习合作策略。此外,还从理论上证明了该算法的收敛性。为了证明该算法的有效性,我们使用不同数量的无人机和不同的算法进行了实验。实验结果表明,所提出的方法可以实现无人机之间的经验共享和学习,并能在未知的动态环境中很好地完成合作寻路任务。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-view deep subspace clustering via level-by-level guided multi-level features learning 通过逐级引导的多级特征学习进行多视角深度子空间聚类
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05807-1
Kaiqiang Xu, Kewei Tang, Zhixun Su

Multi-view subspace clustering has attracted extensive attention due to its ability to efficiently handle data from diverse sources. In recent years, plentiful multi-view subspace clustering methods have emerged and achieved satisfactory clustering performance. However, these methods rarely consider simultaneously handling data with a nonlinear structure and exploiting the structural and multi-level information inherent in the data. To remedy these shortcomings, we propose the novel multi-view deep subspace clustering via level-by-level guided multi-level features learning (MDSC-LGMFL). Specifically, an autoencoder is used for each view to extract the view-specific multi-level features, and multiple self-representation layers are introduced into the autoencoder to learn the subspace representations corresponding to the multi-level features. These self-representation layers not only provide multiple information flow paths through the autoencoder but also enforce multiple encoder layers to produce the multi-level features that satisfy the linear subspace assumption. With the novel level-by-level guidance strategy, the last-level feature is guaranteed to encode the structural information from the view and the previous-level features. Naturally, the subspace representation of the last-level feature can more reliably reflect the data affinity relationship and thus can be viewed as the new, better representation of the view. Furthermore, to guarantee the structural consistency among different views, instead of simply learning the common subspace structure by enforcing it to be close to different view-specific new, better representations, we conduct self-representation on these new, better representations to learn the common subspace structure, which can be applied to the spectral clustering algorithm to achieve the final clustering results. Numerous experiments on six widely used benchmark datasets show the superiority of the proposed method.

多视角子空间聚类因其能有效处理来自不同来源的数据而受到广泛关注。近年来,出现了大量多视角子空间聚类方法,并取得了令人满意的聚类性能。然而,这些方法很少考虑同时处理非线性结构的数据和利用数据固有的结构和多层次信息。为了弥补这些不足,我们提出了通过逐级引导多级特征学习(MDSC-LGMFL)的新型多视角深度子空间聚类方法。具体来说,每个视图使用一个自动编码器来提取特定视图的多层次特征,并在自动编码器中引入多个自表示层来学习与多层次特征相对应的子空间表示。这些自表示层不仅为自动编码器提供了多条信息流路径,还强制多个编码器层生成满足线性子空间假设的多级特征。有了新颖的逐层引导策略,最后一层特征就能保证编码来自视图和前一层特征的结构信息。自然,最后一级特征的子空间表示能更可靠地反映数据的亲和关系,因此可以被视为视图的新的、更好的表示。此外,为了保证不同视图之间的结构一致性,我们并不是简单地通过强制要求其接近不同视图的新的、更好的表征来学习共同的子空间结构,而是对这些新的、更好的表征进行自表征来学习共同的子空间结构,并将其应用到光谱聚类算法中,从而实现最终的聚类结果。在六个广泛使用的基准数据集上进行的大量实验表明了所提方法的优越性。
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引用次数: 0
Improved generative adversarial imputation networks for missing data 针对缺失数据的改进生成式对抗估算网络
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05814-2
Xiwen Qin, Hongyu Shi, Xiaogang Dong, Siqi Zhang, Liping Yuan

Conventional statistical methods for missing data imputation have been challenging to adapt to the large-scale new features of high dimensionality. Moreover, the missing data imputation methods based on Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) are plagued with gradient vanishing and mode collapse. To address these problems, we have proposed a new imputation method based on GAN to enhance the accuracy of missing data imputation in this study. We refer to our missing data method using Generative Adversarial Imputation Networks (MGAIN). Specifically, the least squares loss is first introduced to solve the gradient vanishing problem and ensure the high quality of the output data in MGAIN. To mitigate mode collapse, dual discriminator is used in the model, which improved the diversity of output data to avoid the degradation of computational performance caused by single data. As a result, MGAIN generates rich and accurate imputation values. The MGAIN enhances imputation accuracy and reduces the root mean square error metric by 21.66% compared to the baseline model. We evaluated our method on baseline datasets and found that MGAIN outperformed state-of-the-art and popular imputation methods, demonstrating its effectiveness and superiority.

传统的缺失数据估算统计方法在适应大规模高维新特征方面一直面临挑战。此外,基于生成对抗网络(GAN)的缺失数据估算方法也存在梯度消失和模式崩溃的问题。针对这些问题,我们在本研究中提出了一种基于 GAN 的新估算方法,以提高缺失数据估算的准确性。我们称这种缺失数据估算方法为生成对抗估算网络(MGAIN)。具体来说,首先引入最小二乘损失来解决梯度消失问题,确保 MGAIN 输出数据的高质量。为了缓解模式崩溃,模型中使用了双判别器,提高了输出数据的多样性,避免了单一数据造成的计算性能下降。因此,MGAIN 可以生成丰富而准确的估算值。与基线模型相比,MGAIN 提高了估算的准确性,并将均方根误差指标降低了 21.66%。我们在基线数据集上对我们的方法进行了评估,发现 MGAIN 的性能优于最先进和流行的估算方法,这证明了它的有效性和优越性。
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引用次数: 0
PM2.5 prediction based on dynamic spatiotemporal graph neural network 基于动态时空图神经网络的 PM2.5 预测
IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10489-024-05801-7
Haibin Liao, Mou Wu, Li Yuan, Yiyang Hu, Haowei Gong

Air pollution is one of the main public health and safety issues facing humanity. PM2.5 concentration prediction (PCP) helps the public to prevent and make government decisions in advance. PCP is a typical knowledge mining problem based on spatiotemporal sequential data, which still faces great challenges up to now. Aiming at the complex conundrum of meteorological, geographical, and temporal factors interference and concentration sudden changes, a dynamic spatiotemporal graph neural network (DST_GNN) method for PCP is proposed by using the advantages of graph neural network (GNN) and mechanism model. Its main methods are: The graph structure is used to construct the spatial relationship of PM2.5 among different monitoring stations, the mechanism model HYSPLIT is used to construct the dynamic edge relationship among graph nodes, and the gate recurrent unit of attention mechanism is used to learn the timing of PM2.5 concentration, thus forming a GNN architecture that integrates machine learning and domain knowledge. In addition, a loss function based on trend and shape is proposed when the model objective function is designed. The proposed model innovatively uses HYSPLIT to assist in building a dynamic spatiotemporal graph network and uses trend loss function for model training, which provides a new way for the dynamic construction of GNN, and provides a reference for PCP by combining domain knowledge and deep learning. Experimental results show that the proposed method has the best prediction accuracy among GNN based methods, which reduced the mean absolute error by about 14% and root mean square error by about 13% compared with the advanced GNN methods. The mean absolute error within 48 h forecast is less than 50, which predictive performance is far superior to the traditional mechanism model, and it also has the characteristics of flexible deployment and easy implementation.

空气污染是人类面临的主要公共健康和安全问题之一。PM2.5 浓度预测(PCP)有助于公众提前预防和政府决策。PM2.5 浓度预测是一个典型的基于时空序列数据的知识挖掘问题,至今仍面临巨大挑战。针对气象、地理、时间等因素相互干扰、集中突变的复杂难题,利用图神经网络(GNN)和机制模型的优势,提出了一种针对 PCP 的动态时空图神经网络(DST_GNN)方法。其主要方法有利用图结构构建不同监测站点之间 PM2.5 的空间关系,利用机制模型 HYSPLIT 构建图节点之间的动态边缘关系,利用注意机制的门递归单元学习 PM2.5 浓度的时间,从而形成一个融合了机器学习和领域知识的 GNN 架构。此外,在设计模型目标函数时,提出了基于趋势和形状的损失函数。所提出的模型创新性地利用 HYSPLIT 辅助构建动态时空图网络,并利用趋势损失函数进行模型训练,为动态构建 GNN 提供了一种新的方法,并通过结合领域知识和深度学习为 PCP 提供了参考。实验结果表明,所提出的方法在基于 GNN 的方法中预测精度最高,与先进的 GNN 方法相比,平均绝对误差降低了约 14%,均方根误差降低了约 13%。48 小时内预测的平均绝对误差小于 50,预测性能远优于传统的机制模型,同时还具有部署灵活、易于实现的特点。
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引用次数: 0
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