Earthquake-related hydrochemical changes in thermal springs have been widely observed, yet the temporal dynamics and controlling mechanisms of pre- and post-seismic hydrochemical changes remains poorly constrained. By employing unsupervised machine learning (SOM-KM), this study investigates earthquake-induced changes of major elements, trace elements, and hydrogen-oxygen isotopes by high-frequency monitoring data in two thermal springs (XXX and LTG) along the Xianshuihe fault zone during the 2021–2022 Ms ≥ 6.0 earthquake sequence. The result shows that: the XXX spring (Moxi segment) exhibited consistent co-seismic dilution of major ions (Na+, K+, Cl−, HCO3−) and trace elements, attributed to shallow fracture opening under low normal stress (200–400 MPa), thereby facilitating meteoric water recharge (81–89 % mixing ratio). Conversely, the LTG spring (Kangding segment) showed enrichment of deep-sourced constituents of pre-seismic major elements (Na+, K+, Cl−, HCO3−) surges during the 2021 Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake, and post-seismic trace element fluctuation in 2022 Ms ≥ 6.0 earthquake sequence, driven by high stress (400–600 MPa) enhancing deep fracture dilation, fluid ascent, and water-rock interaction (obvious δ18O drift). Cross-analysis of hydrogeochemical signatures with geological and geophysical evidence demonstrates that earthquake-induced hyrochemical anomalies are governed by (1) regional tectonics stress; (2) fault-segment heterogeneity; (3) fluid pathway reorganization and water-rock interaction dynamics. This work advances the understanding of fault-zone fluid response mechanisms to seismicity and offers novel insights into crustal fluid-tectonic interactions during earthquake cycles.
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