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Stochastic preference and randomized strategies for consumer choice 消费者选择的随机偏好与随机策略
Pub Date : 1989-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90005-3
John J. Bernardo

In this article a stochastic model of choice is developed that is based on game theory. The model is developed to demonstrate that a basic stochastic model can yield results similar to phenomena discovered in consumer behavior. In particular, a definition of brand loyalty is developed along with a basis for rational intransitivity of preferences, which is noted by brand switching. A measurement approach is also presented along with an example. The basic intent is to demonstrate that stochastic approaches to choice do have a foundation in both theoretical development beside observations in empirical studies.

本文建立了一个基于博弈论的随机选择模型。该模型的发展是为了证明一个基本的随机模型可以产生类似于消费者行为现象的结果。特别是,品牌忠诚度的定义是随着偏好的理性不可及性的基础而发展起来的,这在品牌切换中得到了注意。给出了一种测量方法,并给出了一个实例。基本意图是证明随机选择方法在理论发展和实证研究观察中都有基础。
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引用次数: 2
Individual valuation, market valuation, and the preference reversal phenomenon 个人估值、市场估值与偏好反转现象
Pub Date : 1989-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90004-1
Don N. MacDonald, William L. Huth

This article reports experiments dealing with individual subject valuation and preference over prospect pairs that are known to generate systematic intransitivities in choice behavior termed “preference reversals”. The authors examine whether alternative procedures to those previously employed for eliciting individual limit selling prices over prospects alters the incidence or dollar magnitude of preference reversals. It is found that when individual limit selling prices over prospects are elicited in a repetitive, second-price sealed Vickrey (1961) auction market framework, rather than under the traditional single response Becker, DeGroot, and Marshak (1964) procedure, that the dollar magnitude of preference reversals declines significantly. Initially, when opening Vickrey auction limit selling prices are combined with individual subject choices over prospects, previous results like those of Grether and Plott (1979) are obtained. When ending Vickrey auction limit selling prices are combined with individual subject choices over prospects, the dollar magnitude of reversals declines significantly. These results imply that markets can be efficient and yield market clearing prices under a given arrangement of property rights even if the behavior of some individuals is inconsistent with expected utility theory.

这篇文章报道了处理个体主体评价和对前景对的偏好的实验,这些实验已知会在被称为“偏好逆转”的选择行为中产生系统的不可及性。作者研究了替代先前用于引出个人限制销售价格的程序是否会改变偏好逆转的发生率或美元规模。研究发现,在重复的、第二价格密封的Vickrey(1961)拍卖市场框架中,而不是在Becker、DeGroot和Marshak(1964)的传统单一反应程序中,个体限制销售价格高于预期价格时,偏好逆转的美元幅度显著下降。最初,当开放的Vickrey拍卖限制销售价格与个体主体对前景的选择相结合时,得到了Grether和Plott(1979)等先前的结果。当维克里拍卖结束限价出售价格与个体主体的选择前景相结合时,美元反转幅度明显下降。这些结果表明,在给定的产权安排下,即使某些个人的行为与预期效用理论不一致,市场也可以是有效的,并产生市场出清价格。
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引用次数: 5
Capital punishment and the deterrent effect revisited: Recent time-series econometric evidence 重新审视死刑和威慑效应:最近的时间序列计量经济学证据
Pub Date : 1989-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90003-X
George A. Chressanthis

This article theoretically develops and empirically tests the relationship between criminal homicide crime rates in the United States for the period 1965–1985 and the deterrent effect of capital punishment by utilizing a recursive system of equations method. The analysis reveals that not only does a deterrent effect of capital punishment exist but also that changes in commonly selected law enforcement, judicial, demographic, and economic control variables are significant in a manner consistent with implications from general theoretical models of criminal behavior and within frameworks specifically dealing with murder and nonnegligent manslaughter.

本文运用递归方程组方法,从理论上发展和实证检验了1965-1985年美国杀人犯罪率与死刑威慑效果之间的关系。分析表明,死刑的威慑作用不仅存在,而且通常选择的执法、司法、人口和经济控制变量的变化在某种程度上与犯罪行为的一般理论模型和专门处理谋杀和过失杀人的框架的含义一致。
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引用次数: 23
How shirking can help productivity: A critique of Carlin and the “Shirking as Harm” theory 逃避如何有助于提高生产率:对卡林和“逃避即伤害”理论的批判
Pub Date : 1989-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90002-8
Thomas R. Ireland

Paul Carlin's article on shirking (Journal of Behavioral Economics, 18[2], 1989) continues a tradition of assuming that shirking, which is defined as a minor form of improper behavior, is a form of employee behavior that is always counterproductive. In this note, the author argues that tolerance of selective shirking must be understood as both an employee benefit that may be less costly than higher wages and as a mechanism for actually increasing productivity.

Paul Carlin关于逃避的文章(Journal of Behavioral Economics, 18[2], 1989)延续了传统,认为逃避被定义为一种次要的不当行为,是一种总是适得其反的员工行为。在这篇文章中,作者认为,对选择性逃避的容忍必须被理解为一种员工福利,这种福利可能比更高的工资成本更低,也是一种实际提高生产率的机制。
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引用次数: 2
Why the incidence of shirking varies across employers 为什么不同雇主的逃避率不同
Pub Date : 1989-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90001-6
Paul S. Carlin

Existing models of shirking are not consistent with the underlying behavior of employers and employees. In these models, either shirking does not occur in equilibrium or it may occur but the offending employee is immediately dismissed. These conclusions conflict with evidence that shirking is sometimes ignored by firms for many years. To resolve this conflict, the author models the interaction between employer and employees as a finite repeated game, and introduces the quasi-fixed costs of dismissing and replacing an employee. Shirking is distinguished from more serious malfeasant behavior by the criterion of imposing current period costs on the employer that are less than the cost of dismissing and replacing a shirking employee. When both the employer and the employees are rational and there are no informational asymmetries, shirking is not deterred by threat of dismissal. Introducing informational asymmetries leads to an equilibrium where shirking is deterred, to a great extent, by the dismissal threat. Comparative static analysis of the model yields testable implications on the incidence of shirking across firms, and contributes to our understanding of other labor market issues.

现有的逃避模式与雇主和雇员的潜在行为不一致。在这些模型中,要么逃避在均衡状态下不会发生,要么可能会发生,但冒犯的员工会立即被解雇。这些结论与一些证据相矛盾,这些证据表明,逃避有时会被企业忽视多年。为了解决这一冲突,作者将雇主和雇员之间的互动建模为有限的重复博弈,并引入解雇和替换雇员的准固定成本。通过对雇主施加的当期成本低于解雇和更换逃避员工的成本的标准,将逃避与更严重的渎职行为区分开来。当雇主和雇员都是理性的,并且不存在信息不对称时,逃避行为不会被解雇的威胁所阻止。引入信息不对称会导致一种均衡,在这种均衡中,逃避行为在很大程度上受到解雇威胁的遏制。对该模型的比较静态分析产生了可检验的关于企业逃避发生率的含义,并有助于我们对其他劳动力市场问题的理解。
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引用次数: 14
On the alleged decline in business ethics 关于所谓的商业道德沦丧
Pub Date : 1989-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90006-5
Richard E. Hattwick, Yanus Kathawala, Matthew Monipullil, Larry Wall

This article reports the results of a 1988 survey of business executives on the issue of ethics. The survey is directly comparable with a similar survey conducted in 1983. With the exception of a few marginal changes the responses showed no significant differences between the two years. Consequently, allegations of a decline in business ethics over the period would appear to be premature.

本文报告了1988年对企业高管道德问题的调查结果。这项调查与1983年进行的一项类似调查有直接可比性。除了一些边际变化外,两年间的反应没有显着差异。因此,关于这一时期商业道德下降的指控似乎为时过早。
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引用次数: 3
The relationship between risk-return preference and knowledge in experimental financial markets 实验金融市场中风险收益偏好与知识的关系
Pub Date : 1989-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90016-8
Dorla A. Evans, James H. Holcomb, William T. Chittenden
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引用次数: 5
Another look at compensating differentials 再看一下补偿微分
Pub Date : 1989-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90017-X
Joni Hersch

Empirical tests of the theory of compensating differentials using a wage-change formulation have had mixed success in providing support for the theory. Previous studies have differed with respect to the measurement and type of working conditions, the sample of workers examined, and the inclusion of firm- specific information. To isolate the role of the differences between previous studies in providing support for the theory, the author estimates a wage-change model using data from a broad sample of workers with self-reported job characteristics. The conclusion is that the general theory of compensating differentials be revised to include firm-specific information. However, it is not clear if any test of the theory can be supported over a broad range of occupations in the short run.

使用工资变化公式补偿差异理论的实证测试在为该理论提供支持方面取得了不同程度的成功。先前的研究在工作条件的测量和类型、工人的检查样本以及公司特定信息的包含方面有所不同。为了分离先前研究之间的差异在为理论提供支持方面的作用,作者使用来自具有自我报告的工作特征的广泛样本的数据来估计工资变化模型。结论是,补偿差异的一般理论需要修正,以包括企业特定信息。然而,目前尚不清楚该理论的任何测试是否可以在短期内广泛的职业范围内得到支持。
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引用次数: 3
The behavior of respondents in contingent valuation: Evidence on starting bids 条件估价中被调查者的行为:启动投标的证据
Pub Date : 1989-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90018-1
Jonathan Silverman, Mark Klock

Data from a contingent valuation survey of New Jersey beaches provides a test of starting point bias. Subsamples were delineated corresponding to levels of respondent understanding of the commodity being valued. A means- difference test showed statistically significant starting point bias for each subsample of respondents. A bid function is used to show that starting point bias is present and it increases as the level of information (understanding) decreases. Starting point bias was found even though respondents were actually using and paying for the commodity in question and the starting bids were in the neighborhood of the entry fee.

来自新泽西州海滩或有估价调查的数据提供了起点偏差的检验。子样本被划分为对应于被调查者对被估价商品的理解水平。均数差异检验显示,每个调查对象的子样本都有统计学上显著的起点偏差。bid函数用于显示起始点偏差的存在,并且随着信息(理解)水平的降低而增加。即使受访者实际使用并为所讨论的商品付费,并且起始出价在报名费附近,也会发现起点偏差。
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引用次数: 39
Dual distribution as a vertical control device 双分布作为垂直控制装置
Pub Date : 1989-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0090-5720(89)90015-6
Malcolm B. Coate, Mark R. Fratrik

This article posits transaction costs as the reason manufacturers use dual distribution (i.e., sell to customers through both independent and company- owned distributions). The authors base their analysis on Williamson's four types of transaction costs, and identify eight explanations for dual distributions. These reasons are lifecycle considerations, lack of distributor competition, information costs, facilitation of collusion, manufacturer opportunism, price discrimination, customer service and manufacturer efficiencies. They conclude that the competitive effect of dual distribution depends on which of the above explanations is relevant. If more than one explanation is valid, it may be necessary to balance the competitive effects in both the manufacturing and retail markets to evaluate the practice.

本文假定交易成本是制造商使用双重分销(即通过独立和公司拥有的分销向客户销售)的原因。作者的分析基于威廉姆森的四种交易成本类型,并确定了对偶分布的八种解释。这些原因包括生命周期考虑、缺乏经销商竞争、信息成本、促进共谋、制造商机会主义、价格歧视、客户服务和制造商效率。他们得出结论,双重分配的竞争效应取决于上述哪一种解释是相关的。如果不止一种解释是有效的,可能有必要平衡制造业和零售市场的竞争影响来评估这种做法。
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引用次数: 3
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The Journal of behavioral economics
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