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The Recent and Predictable Future: The U.S. Posture Toward China During and After the Presidential Election Campaign 近期和可预测的未来:美国在总统竞选期间和之后对中国的姿态
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737557921500017
Yinhong Shi
Due to the serious perverse actions of the Trump administration in the fields of strategic rivalry, political/ideological confrontation, diplomatic exchanges and trade war between China and the United States as well as in that of global governance, Biden’s new administration is bound to make revisions somewhat and somehow. However, the current posture of the United States toward China is not only strong and enduring international structural dynamics in many aspects, but also multilateral strong and enduring domestic political and social ones. Therefore, its revision is to be necessarily quite partial and limited, and the confrontation and competition with China in some other areas will probably intensify. To a large extent, the trend of China–US relations after the US election could be influenced or even shaped by China, so China’s strategy and policy and appropriate adjustment are of great importance. China needs to take the initiative to avoid military conflicts with the United States, treating it as the essential highest common interest and the vital “common denominator” and to strive for a sort of pragmatic, focused and concrete dialogue or negotiation with the Biden administration as soon as possible after it took office.
由于特朗普政府在中美战略对抗、政治/意识形态对抗、外交往来、贸易战以及全球治理等领域的严重倒行逆施路,拜登新政府势必会有所修正。然而,目前美国对中国的姿态不仅在许多方面是强大而持久的国际结构动态,而且也是多边的强大而持久的国内政治和社会动态。因此,它的修订必然是相当局部和有限的,在其他一些领域与中国的对抗和竞争可能会加剧。在很大程度上,美国大选后中美关系的走向可能受到中国的影响甚至塑造,因此中国的战略和政策以及适当的调整非常重要。中国应主动避免与美国发生军事冲突,将其视为必不可少的最高共同利益和至关重要的“公约数”,争取在拜登政府上台后尽快与之进行务实、重点突出、具体的对话或谈判。
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引用次数: 0
ASEAN’s Cognition of China–US Gaming and Its Role in Regional Cooperation 东盟对中美博弈的认知及其在区域合作中的作用
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737557921500066
Yunhua Cao
China–US relations will stagnate in a strategic game for some time to come and even for a long historical period. ASEAN will find itself confronted with a new problem and a new challenge as it has to navigate through this situation and cope with inter-state relations and international affairs under this context. As the largest neighbor of China and a main partner to the US in Asia, ASEAN insists on “not choosing any side” and sticks to the “balance of power”. The intensified China–US game has some potential impact on China-ASEAN relations. Securing the centrality of ASEAN in regional cooperation not only helps maintain lasting peace, stability and prosperity in Southeast Asia, but also is in line with the long-term strategic interests of China and the US in the region. China will continue to support the centrality of ASEAN in regional cooperation, promote deep integration of the “Belt and Road” initiative with different institutional arrangements that ASEAN makes for regional integration, and give positive considerations to building production bases in Southeast Asia to improve its global industrial chain.
中美关系在今后一段时期甚至相当长的历史时期内,都将在战略博弈中停滞不前。在这种形势下,东盟如何应对,如何处理国家间关系和国际事务,将面临新的问题和挑战。作为中国最大的邻国和美国在亚洲的主要伙伴,东盟坚持“不选边站”,坚持“均势”。中美博弈加剧对中国-东盟关系有潜在影响。确保东盟在区域合作中的中心地位,不仅有利于维护东南亚地区的持久和平、稳定与繁荣,也符合中美两国在本地区的长远战略利益。中国将继续支持东盟在区域合作中的中心地位,推动“一带一路”倡议与东盟为区域一体化作出的各种制度安排深度融合,积极考虑在东南亚建设生产基地,完善全球产业链。
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引用次数: 1
Japan and Changes of International Order: Concepts and Countermeasures 日本与国际秩序变迁:概念与对策
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737557921500054
Bojiang Yang
The issue of order is the core of international relations. Both the dimensions of history and reality should be explored in order that the relationship between Japan and the world should be acknowledged in a scientific way. This paper analyzes Japan’s cognition and practice from such three aspects as the evolution of Japan’s view of international orders from a historical perspective, the post-war international order and “the crisis of liberal international order” and Japan’s responses to the international order under the ongoing unprecedented changes in the world. Based on principles of pragmatism, Japan strove to maintain its independence while expressing its respect with the order within the framework of the Hua-Yi Order. In face of the impact of rising Western civilization, Japan attempted to extricate itself from and overthrew the Hua-Yi Order and achieve the objective of “leaving Asia and embracing Europe,” and then turned from a follower of the Western dominant order into a challenger. After being defeated in WWII, the US occupation and the democratic transformation, Japan chose to accept and integrate into the liberal international order dominated by the US and gradually formed a unique view of international order through constantly sizing up the international situation, maintaining dynamic adjustment and making efforts to seek advantages and avoid disadvantages. Faced with the changing international relations nowadays, Japan has been committed to enhancing the “comprehensive strategic activity” and repairing the liberal international order in crisis. The relationship between Japan and the international order not only reflects historical continuity but also presents newly emerging characteristics.
秩序问题是国际关系的核心问题。为了科学地认识日本与世界的关系,应该从历史和现实两个维度进行探索。本文从历史视角下日本国际秩序观的演变、战后国际秩序与“自由主义国际秩序的危机”、世界正在发生的前所未有的变化下日本对国际秩序的回应三个方面来分析日本的认识与实践。日本本着实用主义的原则,在维护独立的同时,对“华夷秩序”表示尊重。面对西方文明崛起的冲击,日本试图摆脱和推翻“华夷秩序”,实现“离开亚洲,拥抱欧洲”的目标,进而从西方主导秩序的追随者转变为挑战者。在经历了二战战败、美国占领和民主转型后,日本选择接受并融入美国主导的自由主义国际秩序,通过不断审时度势,保持动态调整,努力趋利避弊,逐渐形成了独特的国际秩序观。面对当今不断变化的国际关系,日本一直致力于加强“全面战略活动”,修复危机中的自由主义国际秩序。日本与国际秩序的关系既具有历史延续性,又呈现出新的特点。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Vision of International Society and its Construction through Incentive Mechanisms: A Community with a Shared Future for Mankind and the Belt and Road Initiative 人类命运共同体与“一带一路”倡议:中国的国际社会愿景与激励机制建设
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737557921500029
Yuzhu Wang, Y. Yi
Since the launch of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), substantive progress has been achieved through the joint efforts made between China and the collaborative parties, attracting great attention from the international community. However, regarding the relationship between BRI and “a community with a shared future for mankind”, a concept proposed by President Xi Jinping later, the explanations are diversified in the academia. The diversity indicates that a common understanding of this relationship is yet to be reached, calling for a further discussion. This paper argues that “a community with a shared future for mankind” is China’s outlook for the future world facing a period of major change never seen in a century. It is China’s vision of international society but transcends the narrative of international society in the international politics studies, because in the former, each party recognizes the deep interdependence relationships (or a form of shared future) among them and between human and nature, thereby willing to negotiate and cooperate to advance the world’s economic development, deal with conflict of interests and contradictions among states/civilizations, and resolve the dissonance between human and nature. Thus, a peaceful, stable, prosperous, and sustainable world can be created and preserved. In regard to BRI, it is the platform where China constructs a community with a shared future for mankind through incentive mechanisms and applies its vision of international society.
“一带一路”倡议提出以来,在中国与合作各方共同努力下,取得了实质性进展,受到国际社会高度关注。这种差异表明,对这一关系尚未达成共识,需要进一步讨论。本文认为,“人类命运共同体”是面对百年未有之大变局的中国未来世界观。这是中国的国际社会愿景,但超越了国际政治研究中的国际社会叙事,因为在前者中,各方都认识到彼此之间、人与自然之间存在着深刻的相互依存关系(或一种命运共同体),从而愿意通过谈判与合作来推动世界经济发展,处理国家/文明之间的利益冲突和矛盾;解决人与自然的不和谐。这样才能创造和维护一个和平、稳定、繁荣和可持续的世界。“一带一路”是中国通过激励机制构建人类命运共同体、践行国际社会理念的平台。
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引用次数: 0
Dreams and nightmares: Chinese trade and immigration in the Russian Far East. 梦与噩梦:中国在俄罗斯远东的贸易和移民。
Pub Date : 1996-06-01
E Hyer
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引用次数: 0
Economic development and population control. 经济发展和人口控制。
Pub Date : 1983-09-01
W C Robinson
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引用次数: 0
Interaction among fertility, income investment in human capital, female labor force participation, and industrialization in Korea. 韩国生育率、人力资本收入投资、女性劳动参与率与工业化之间的相互作用。
Pub Date : 1982-02-01
K K Ro, J Huh
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引用次数: 0
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The Journal of East Asian affairs
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