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Quantitative Analysis of Japan’s Energy Security based on Fuzzy Logic 基于模糊逻辑的日本能源安全定量分析
Pub Date : 2017-01-23 DOI: 10.1155/2017/4865913
R. Yamanishi
The Fukushima accident of March 2011 had great political, economic, and social impacts on Japan and marked a very important turning point in Japan’s energy policy. As the accident has also greatly exposed the vulnerability of Japan’s energy security, it is crucial to clarify the path that Japan should take to maintain and secure its energy security in case of any possible future outbreak that may threaten its energy security. For this purpose, we conducted a comprehensive and structural analysis of Japan’s energy security based on APERC’s 4As framework and by using fuzzy logic and the Fuzzy-DEMATEL method to quantitatively understand the performance of Japan’s energy security and how the Fukushima accident had impacted the performance. Our results demonstrate that Japan’s energy security has clearly degraded after experiencing Fukushima accident. In addition, the results of the structural analysis by the Fuzzy-DEMATEL method show that the most salient dimension in the 4As framework for improving Japan’s energy security is the “Availability” dimension, and for this purpose nuclear energy and renewables play very important roles in securing the future energy security in Japan; this is consistent with the current energy policy measures announced in the Strategic Energy Plan of 2014.
2011年3月的福岛核事故对日本产生了巨大的政治、经济和社会影响,标志着日本能源政策的一个非常重要的转折点。此次事故也极大地暴露了日本能源安全的脆弱性,因此,在未来可能发生威胁日本能源安全的突发事件时,明确日本应采取的维护和保障能源安全的路径至关重要。为此,我们基于APERC的4As框架,运用模糊逻辑和fuzzy - dematel方法,对日本的能源安全进行了全面的结构性分析,定量了解日本的能源安全绩效以及福岛事故对绩效的影响。我们的研究结果表明,日本的能源安全在经历福岛事故后明显下降。此外,利用Fuzzy-DEMATEL方法的结构分析结果表明,在4As框架中,改善日本能源安全的最突出维度是“可用性”维度,因此核能和可再生能源在确保日本未来能源安全方面发挥着非常重要的作用;这与《2014年能源战略规划》中公布的现行能源政策措施是一致的。
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引用次数: 4
Performances of Molten-Salt Fast Reactor with Self-Sustainability 自持熔盐快堆性能研究
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.029
K. Mitachi
A study is performed on a molten salt fast reactor ( MSFR ) of 1.5 GWe output. The reactor is started up by using transuranium elements reprocessed from spent fuel of a BWR. The fuel salt of the reactor is the mixed fluoride salt NaF – KF – UF 4 – TRUF 3 , which is reprocessed almost continuously by an oxide-precipitation process during the reactor operation. By performing calculations using the nuclear analysis code PIJ – BURN in SRAC2006 and the nuclear data file of JENDL – 3.3, the following re-sults are obtained. ( 1 ) The burn-up characteristics of the reactor are mainly determined by the uranium inventory ( U inv ) in the reactor and the reprocessing cycle ( L rep ) , which is the time interval necessary to reprocess all the fuel salt in the primary loop. ( 2 ) A large U inv and short L rep enhance the breeding performance of the reactor. ( 3 ) The period necessary to keep the radioactive waste under control will be about 400 years in the case of L rep longer than 400 efpd. ( 4 ) Power stations consisting of 20 MSFRs ( total output of 30 GWe ) can operate for 600 years by utilizing 14,000 t of uranium obtained from the spent fuel of LWRs in Japan.
对输出功率为1.5 GWe的熔盐快堆(MSFR)进行了研究。该反应堆是利用沸水堆乏燃料后处理的超铀元素启动的。反应器的燃料盐为混合氟化盐NaF - KF - UF - 4 - TRUF - 3,在反应器运行过程中,该混合氟化盐通过氧化沉淀过程几乎连续地进行后处理。利用SRAC2006中的核分析代码PIJ - BURN和JENDL - 3.3核数据文件进行计算,得到以下结果:(1)反应堆的燃耗特性主要由反应堆内铀库存(U inv)和后处理周期(L rep)决定,后处理周期是一次回路中所有燃料盐后处理所需的时间间隔。(2)较大的U比和较短的L比提高了反应器的增殖性能。(3)在L rep大于400 efpd的情况下,控制放射性废物所需的时间约为400年。(4)利用日本轻水堆乏燃料获得的铀14000 t,由20个MSFRs(总产量30gwe)组成的电站可运行600年。
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引用次数: 1
Preparation of Sodium Uranates 铀酸钠的制备
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.035
Masayoshi Uno, K. Yokoyama, Y. Murakami
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Ambient Dose Equivalent Rates Owing to Natural Radioactive Nuclides in Eastern Japan by Car-Borne Surveys Using KURAMA–II 利用KURAMA-II车载调查评估日本东部天然放射性核素的环境剂量当量率
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.023
M. Andoh, N. Matsuda, Kimiaki Saito
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引用次数: 21
Proposal of Methodology of Tsunami Accident Sequence Analysis Induced by Earthquake Using DQFM Methodology 基于DQFM方法的地震海啸事故序列分析方法的提出
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.019
H. Muta, K. Muramatsu
Since the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear power station accident, the Japanese regulatory body has improved and upgraded the regulation of nuclear power plants, and continuous effort is required to enhance risk management in the midto long term. Earthquakes and tsunamis are considered as the most important risks, and the establishment of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methodologies for these events is a major issue of current PRA. The Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA) addressed the PRA methodology for tsunamis induced by earthquakes, which is one of the methodologies that should be enhanced step by step for the improvement and maturity of PRA techniques. The AESJ standard for the procedure of seismic PRA for nuclear power plants in 2015 provides the basic concept of the methodology; however, details of the application to the actual plant PRA model have not been sufficiently provided. This study proposes a detailed PRA methodology for tsunamis induced by earthquakes using the DQFM methodology, which contributes to improving the safety of nuclear power plants. Furthermore, this study also states the issues which need more research.
自福岛第一核电站事故发生以来,日本监管机构对核电站的监管不断完善和升级,中长期风险管理需要不断加强。地震和海啸被认为是最重要的风险,建立这些事件的概率风险评估方法是当前概率风险评估的一个主要问题。核监管局(NRA)提出了地震诱发海啸的PRA方法,这是PRA技术不断完善和成熟所需要逐步加强的方法之一。2015年《核电厂地震PRA程序》AESJ标准提供了该方法的基本概念;然而,应用于实际工厂PRA模型的细节尚未充分提供。本研究提出了一种详细的基于DQFM方法的地震海啸PRA方法,有助于提高核电站的安全性。此外,本研究还指出了需要进一步研究的问题。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluation of Atmospheric-Pressure Change in Tornado Using Fujita Model 用Fujita模式评价龙卷风的气压变化
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.009
Juntaro Shimizu, Shunsuke Ohtsubo
Evaluation of the atmospheric-pressure change ( APC ) in a tornado is necessary to assess the integrity of nuclear-related facilities. The Rankine model has been most frequently used to theoretically calculate the APC in a tornado. The result, however, is considered to be overly conservative because the Rankine model wind speed at the ground is larger than that in reality. On the other hand, the wind speed of the Fujita model is closer to that of actual tornadoes but is expressed by more complicated algebraic equations than that in the Rankine model. Also, because it is impossible to analytical-ly derive the APC equation using the Fujita model, numerical computation is required. A previous study employed the finite element method ( FEM ) for such a purpose. However, a general-purpose FEM code often requires complicated input parameters. In order to conduct parametric studies to evaluate the integrity of facilities in various cases of tornadoes, the finite-difference method code “TORPEC”, which is specialized to analyze the APC, was developed as a convenient design tool. TORPEC is based on Poisson’s equation derived from the Navier-Stokes equation. It also runs on widely available technical calculation software such as Microsoft ® Excel VBA or MATLAB ® . Taking advantage of such convenience, various calculations have been conducted to reveal the characteristics of APC as functions of the maximum tangential wind speed, axial position and tornado radius. TORPEC is used as a benchmark in the existing paper. The case study results obtained by TORPEC show a constant ratio of the pressure drop of the Fujita model against the Rankine model. This factor can be used to derive the Fujita model result from the Rankine model result without FEM analysis.
对龙卷风中大气压力变化(APC)的评估是评估核相关设施完整性的必要条件。朗肯模型一直是最常用的理论计算龙卷风APC的方法。然而,这一结果被认为过于保守,因为朗肯模型的地面风速比实际风速大。另一方面,Fujita模型的风速更接近实际龙卷风的风速,但比Rankine模型用更复杂的代数方程来表示。此外,由于无法使用Fujita模型解析推导APC方程,因此需要进行数值计算。先前的研究采用了有限元法(FEM)来实现这一目的。然而,通用有限元程序往往需要复杂的输入参数。为了进行参数化研究,评估各种龙卷风情况下设施的完整性,开发了专门用于分析APC的有限差分方法代码“鱼雷”,作为一种方便的设计工具。鱼雷是基于由纳维-斯托克斯方程导出的泊松方程。它还运行在广泛使用的技术计算软件,如Microsoft®Excel VBA或MATLAB®。利用这一便利,我们进行了各种计算,揭示了APC随最大切向风速、轴向位置和龙卷风半径的函数特征。现有的论文以鱼雷为基准。鱼雷的实例研究结果表明,藤田模型的压降与朗肯模型的压降之比是恒定的。该因子可用于不经有限元分析而由朗肯模型结果推导出藤田模型结果。
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引用次数: 1
Differences in opinions on nuclear power generation between Japanese and Korean university students 日本和韩国大学生对核能发电的不同看法
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.016
Yuka Watanabe, K. Kudo, K. Idemitsu
Yuka WATANABE, Kazuhiko KUDO and Kazuya IDEMITSU Research Institute for East Asia Environments, Kyushu University Professor Emeritus at Kyushu University Department of Applied Quantum Physics and Nuclear Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819–0395, Japan (Received June 17, 2016; accepted in revised form September 28, 2016; published online January 11, 2017)
渡边优香、工藤和彦、出光和也东亚环境研究所,九州大学九州大学工程研究生院应用量子物理与核工程系名誉教授,日本福冈西区元冈744号,819-0395,日本(2016年6月17日收到);2016年9月28日;2017年1月11日在线发布)
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引用次数: 0
A Study on Enhancing the Effectiveness of Safety Culture in Nuclear Power Plants 提高核电厂安全文化有效性的研究
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.002
A. Yamamoto, N. Sekimura
Akihiro YAMAMOTO and Naoto SEKIMURA Nuclear Safety Division, Safety and Environment Department, Fukui Prefectural Government, 3–17–1 Ote, Fukui-shi, Fukui 910–8580, Japan Department of Nuclear Engineering and Management, Graduate School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo, 7–3–1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113–8656, Japan (Received April 11, 2016; accepted in revised form January 6, 2017; published online June 27, 2017)
日本东京大学工程研究生院核工程与管理系,7-3-1 Hongo,文京区,Tokyo 113-8656,日本福井县政府安全与环境部门,3-17-1 Ote, Fukui 910-8580,日本福井县(收到2016年4月11日;2017年1月6日以修改后的形式接受;2017年6月27日在线发布)
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引用次数: 0
Temperature Measurement of Control Rod Using Melt Wire in High-Temperature Engineering Test Reactor (HTTR) 高温工程试验堆(HTTR)控制棒用熔体丝测温
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/TAESJ.J16.036
S. Hamamoto, D. Tochio, T. Ishii, Hiroaki Sawahata
At the time of a reactor scram, the control rods are inserted into the high-temperature reactor core, where they are exposed to a thermal load. When a high-temperature engineering test reactor ( HTTR ) is constructed, the control rod temperature is evaluated conservatively because there is no way to accurately measure the actual temperature. In this study, to measure the temperature of the control rods in an HTTR, we installed a “melt wire” made of alloys with various melting points in the tips of the control rods. After experiencing a reactor scram at 100 % power, the melt wires were in-spected visually. The melt wires clearly showed a molten state. The result of the visual inspection claritied that the highest temperature reached at the tip of the control rods was in the range of 505 to 651 ℃ . The temperature measurement technique established by this study will lead to the improved accuracy of temperature estimation by design calculation and structural integrity assessment of the components in an HTTR.
在反应堆停堆时,控制棒被插入高温反应堆堆芯,在那里它们暴露在热负荷下。在建设高温工程试验堆(HTTR)时,由于无法准确测量实际温度,对控制棒温度的评估较为保守。在这项研究中,为了测量HTTR中控制棒的温度,我们在控制棒的尖端安装了由不同熔点的合金制成的“熔化线”。在经历了一次100%功率的反应堆停堆后,对熔丝进行了目测检查。熔丝清楚地显示出熔融状态。目测结果表明,控制棒尖端的最高温度为505 ~ 651℃。本研究所建立的温度测量技术,将有助于通过设计计算和结构完整性评估来提高温度估算的精度。
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引用次数: 1
Design and Construction plan of Spent Fuel Removal Structure for Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Unit 3 福岛第一核电站3号机组乏燃料清除结构设计与施工方案
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.3327/JAESJB.59.1_23
I. Matsuo
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Atomic Energy Society of Japan
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