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Tuned long short-term memory model for Ethereum price forecasting via an arithmetic optimization algorithm 通过算法优化算法对以太坊价格预测的长短期记忆模型进行了优化
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.3233/his-230003
Luka Jovanovic, I. Strumberger, N. Bačanin, M. Zivkovic, Milos Antonijevic, Peter Bisevac
Machine learning as a subset of artificial intelligence presents a promising set of algorithms for tackling increasingly complex challenges. A notable ability of this subgroup of algorithms to tackle tasks without explicit programming coupled with the expanding availability of computational resources and information transparency has made it possible to utilize algorithms to forecast prices. In recent years, cryptocurrency has increased in popularity and has seen wider adoption as a payment method. Cryptocurrency trading and mining have become a potentially very lucrative venture. However, due to the instability of cryptocurrency prices, casting accurate predictions can be quite challenging. A novel way of approaching this challenge is by tackling it through time-series forecasting. A particularly promising method for tackling this type of problem is through the utilization of long-short-term memory artificial neural networks to attain accurate prediction results. However, the forecasting accuracy of machine learning models is highly dependent on adequate hyperparameter settings. Thus, this work presents an improved variation of the arithmetic optimization algorithm, tasked with selecting the best values of a long-short term neural network casting price predictions. The presented approach has been evaluated on publicly available real-world Ethereum trading price data. The attained results of a comparative analysis against several popular metaheuristics indicate that the presented method achieved excellent results, and outperformed aforementioned algorithms in one and four-step ahead predictions.
机器学习作为人工智能的一个子集,为解决日益复杂的挑战提供了一套有前途的算法。这一算法子组在没有明确编程的情况下处理任务的显著能力,加上计算资源的可用性和信息透明度的扩大,使得利用算法预测价格成为可能。近年来,加密货币越来越受欢迎,并被广泛采用为一种支付方式。加密货币交易和挖矿已经成为一项潜在的非常有利可图的业务。然而,由于加密货币价格的不稳定性,做出准确的预测可能相当具有挑战性。应对这一挑战的一种新颖方法是通过时间序列预测来解决它。解决这类问题的一个特别有前途的方法是通过利用长短期记忆人工神经网络来获得准确的预测结果。然而,机器学习模型的预测精度高度依赖于适当的超参数设置。因此,这项工作提出了一种改进的算法优化算法,其任务是选择长短期神经网络铸造价格预测的最佳值。所提出的方法已经在公开可用的真实以太坊交易价格数据上进行了评估。与几种流行的元启发式方法进行比较分析的结果表明,所提出的方法取得了很好的结果,并且在一步和四步预测中优于上述算法。
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引用次数: 1
Bayesian model selection for barriers in online learning behaviors 在线学习行为障碍的贝叶斯模型选择
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.3233/his-230001
B. Khoi
The study presents an overview of theories related to e-learning barriers and e-learning behavior. Research and synthesize relevant studies at home and abroad. From related studies, identify barrier factors affecting the online learning behavior of students. Then, the research model and hypotheses for the study are presented. In this study, the author identified 5 barriers affecting students’ online learning behavior in Ho Chi Minh City: economic barriers (ECOB), interaction barriers (IB), psychological barrier (PB), environmental barriers (ENI), and regulatory institutional barriers (RIB). Previous studies revealed that using linear regression. The paper uses the optimum selection by Bayesian consideration for e-learning barriers and e-learning behavior. Get the results, then make recommendations and solutions to help educational administrators reduce barriers to increase students’ effectiveness in online learning in a better way.
本研究概述了网络学习障碍和网络学习行为的相关理论。对国内外相关研究进行研究和综合。从相关研究中找出影响学生在线学习行为的障碍因素。然后,提出了本研究的研究模型和假设。在本研究中,作者确定了影响胡志明市学生在线学习行为的5个障碍:经济障碍(ECOB)、互动障碍(IB)、心理障碍(PB)、环境障碍(ENI)和监管制度障碍(RIB)。以往的研究表明,使用线性回归。本文采用贝叶斯考虑对网络学习障碍和网络学习行为进行最优选择。获得结果,然后提出建议和解决方案,以帮助教育管理者减少障碍,以更好的方式提高学生在线学习的效率。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative study of Moroccan stock price prediction with trend technical indicators 趋势技术指标预测摩洛哥股票价格的比较研究
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.3233/his-230002
Abdelhadi Ifleh, Azdine Bilal, Mounime El Kabbouri
Predicting future prices is challenging for both scholars and traders due to the high frequency and complexity of stock markets (SMs). The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) states that stock prices (SPs) follow a random walk and are unpredictably fluctuating. Furthermore, the price contains all accessible data, and we can’t extrapolate profitability from previous or current data, thus technical analysis (TA) is ineffective for projecting future prices. Technical indicators (TI) are calculated using past prices, and they are divided into two categories: trend TI and oscillators. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of predictions for three stocks traded on the Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE): IAM, Attijari Wafa Bank (ATW), and Banque Centrale Populaire (BCP). We combined trend TI with Long Short Term Memory model (LTSM) to make predictions and compared the results to the Random Forest model (RF). We also use Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) to assess prediction accuracy. As a result, LSTM outperforms the RF model in terms of prediction.
由于股票市场的高频率和复杂性,预测未来的价格对学者和交易者来说都是一个挑战。有效市场假说(EMH)指出,股票价格(SPs)遵循随机漫步,并且不可预测地波动。此外,价格包含了所有可获得的数据,我们不能从以前或当前的数据推断盈利能力,因此技术分析(TA)对于预测未来的价格是无效的。技术指标(TI)是使用过去的价格来计算的,它们分为两类:趋势TI和振荡指标。本研究的目的是评估在卡萨布兰卡证券交易所(CSE)交易的三只股票的预测准确性:IAM, Attijari Wafa Bank (ATW)和Banque Centrale Populaire (BCP)。我们结合趋势TI和长短期记忆模型(LTSM)进行预测,并将结果与随机森林模型(RF)进行比较。我们还使用均方误差(MSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)来评估预测的准确性。因此,LSTM在预测方面优于RF模型。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid optimisation and machine learning models for wind and solar data prediction 风能和太阳能数据预测的混合优化和机器学习模型
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.3233/his-230004
Yahia Amoura, Santiago Torres, J. Lima, Ana I. Pereira
The exponential growth in energy demand is leading to massive energy consumption from fossil resources causing a negative effects for the environment. It is essential to promote sustainable solutions based on renewable energies infrastructures such as microgrids integrated to the existing network or as stand alone solution. Moreover, the major focus of today is being able to integrate a higher percentages of renewable electricity into the energy mix. The variability of wind and solar energy requires knowing the relevant long-term patterns for developing better procedures and capabilities to facilitate integration to the network. Precise prediction is essential for an adequate use of these renewable sources. This article proposes machine learning approaches compared to an hybrid method, based on the combination of machine learning with optimisation approaches. The results show the improvement in the accuracy of the machine learning models results once the optimisation approach is used.
能源需求的指数级增长导致化石资源的大量能源消耗,对环境造成负面影响。必须促进基于可再生能源基础设施的可持续解决方案,如与现有网络集成的微电网或作为独立的解决方案。此外,今天的主要焦点是能够将更高比例的可再生电力纳入能源结构。风能和太阳能的可变性要求了解有关的长期模式,以便制定更好的程序和能力,以促进与电网的结合。准确的预测对于充分利用这些可再生能源至关重要。本文提出了机器学习方法与混合方法的比较,基于机器学习与优化方法的结合。结果表明,一旦使用优化方法,机器学习模型结果的准确性就会得到提高。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid Intelligent Systems: 22nd International Conference on Hybrid Intelligent Systems (HIS 2022), December 13–15, 2022 混合智能系统:第22届混合智能系统国际会议(HIS 2022), 2022年12月13日至15日
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-27409-1
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引用次数: 0
An hybrid cluster-based data centric routing protocol assisted by mobile sink for IoT system 一种基于混合集群的移动sink辅助物联网系统数据中心路由协议
Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.3233/his-220012
Omnia Mezghani, Mahmoud Mezghani
Nowadays, using mobile computing devices and the Internet of Things (IoT) in networks have posed several challenges to match up the forthcoming technological requirements. Wireless Sensors Network (WSN) is considered as an important component of the IoT which produces a massive amount of data (big data). However, dealing with limited capacities of the elementary components of a network in an IoT enabled WSN, is a key challenge. The existing approaches in the literature are inadequate for large networks and cannot be applied to IoT platform without adaptation. Data Centric Network (DCN) is an important notion for the future Internet architecture to resolve the problems related to big data manipulation. In fact, using a DCN strategy for the resource limited capacities WSN enabled IoT networks is beneficial to manage densely deployed and mobile components to enhance the data gathering mechanism. In this context, this paper proposes an IoT cluster based routing protocol for data centric mobile wireless sensors networks named ICMWSN. The proposed algorithm fits with a WSN belonging a large number of mobile sensors as well as a mobile sink. It is based on a clustering technique to form multi-hops clusters around fixed pre-elected CHs. Besides, an effective tour construction method is involved for the mobile sink to collect data from the eventual cluster heads. The extensive simulation results proved that ICMWSN outperformed the compared methods in terms of energy consumption, network lifetime and data delivery rate.
如今,在网络中使用移动计算设备和物联网(IoT)已经提出了几个挑战,以匹配即将到来的技术要求。无线传感器网络(WSN)被认为是产生大量数据(大数据)的物联网的重要组成部分。然而,在支持物联网的WSN中,处理网络基本组件的有限容量是一个关键挑战。文献中现有的方法对于大型网络来说是不够的,不经过适应就不能应用于物联网平台。数据中心网络(Data Centric Network, DCN)是解决大数据操作相关问题的未来互联网架构的重要概念。事实上,在资源有限的无线传感器网络支持的物联网网络中使用DCN策略有利于管理密集部署和移动组件,从而增强数据收集机制。在此背景下,本文提出了一种基于物联网集群的以数据为中心的移动无线传感器网络路由协议ICMWSN。该算法适用于包含大量移动传感器的无线传感器网络和移动接收器。它基于一种聚类技术,在固定的预选CHs周围形成多跳簇。此外,还提出了一种有效的行程构建方法,使移动sink能够从最终簇头处收集数据。大量的仿真结果证明,ICMWSN在能耗、网络寿命和数据传输速率等方面都优于对比方法。
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引用次数: 1
A bi-objective model for territorial design 地域设计的双目标模型
Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.3233/his-220011
María Beatríz Bernábe Loranca, Carlos Guillén Galván, Rogelio González Velázquez, Gerardo Martínez Guzman, Alberto José Luís Carrillo Canán
The clustering of spatial-geographic units, zones or areas has been used to solve problems related to Territorial Design. Clustering adapts to the definition of territorial design for a specific problem, which demands spatial data processing under clustering schemes with topological requirements for the zones. For small sized instances, once the geographical compactness is attended to as an objective function, this problem has been solved by exact methods with an acceptable response time. However, for larger instances and due to the combinatory nature of this problem, the computational complexity increases and the use of approximated methods becomes a necessity, in such a way that when geographical compactness was the only cost function a couple of approximated methods were incorporated giving satisfactory results. A particular case of this kind of problems that has had our attention in recent years is the classification by partitioning of AGEBs (Basic Geographical Units by its initials in Spanish). Some work has been made related to the formation of compact groups of AGEBs, but additional re-strictions were often not considered. A very interesting and highly demanded application problem is to extend the compact clustering to form groups with for some of its descriptive variables. This problem translates to a multi-objective approach that has to pursue two objectives to attain a balance between them. At this point, to reach a set of non-dominated and non-comparable solutions, a method has been included that allows obtaining the Pareto front through the Hasse diagram, which implies proposing a mathematical programming model and the synthetic resulting between compactness and homogeneity.
空间地理单元、区域或区域的聚类已被用于解决与国土设计相关的问题。聚类适应特定问题的地域设计定义,这就要求在具有区域拓扑要求的聚类方案下进行空间数据处理。对于小型实例,一旦将地理紧凑性作为目标函数来考虑,这个问题就可以用具有可接受响应时间的精确方法来解决。然而,对于更大的实例,由于这个问题的组合性质,计算复杂性增加,近似方法的使用成为必要,当地理紧凑性是唯一的成本函数时,一些近似方法被合并,给出了令人满意的结果。近年来引起我们注意的这类问题的一个特殊案例是通过划分ageb(西班牙语中按其首字母缩写划分的基本地理单位)进行分类。已经进行了一些与形成密集的agb群体有关的工作,但往往没有考虑到额外的限制。一个非常有趣且需求很高的应用问题是扩展紧凑聚类,以对其一些描述性变量形成组。这个问题转化为一种多目标方法,必须追求两个目标以达到两者之间的平衡。在这一点上,为了达到一组非支配和不可比较的解,已经包含了一种方法,允许通过Hasse图获得Pareto前,这意味着提出一个数学规划模型和紧性和同质性之间的综合结果。
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引用次数: 0
Soft computing and image processing techniques for COVID-19 prediction in lung CT scan images 肺部CT扫描图像中COVID-19预测的软计算和图像处理技术
Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.3233/his-220009
Neeraj Venkatasai L. Appari, Mahendra G. Kanojia
COVID-19 is a contagious respiratory illness that can be passed from person to person. Because it affects the lungs, damages blood arteries, and causes cardiac problems, COVID-19 must be diagnosed quickly. The reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is a method for detecting COVID-19, but it is time consuming and labor expensive, as well as putting the person collecting the sample in danger. As a result, clinicians prefer to use CT scan and Xray images. COVID-19 classification can be done manually, however AI makes the process go faster. AI approaches include image processing, machine learning, and deep learning. An AI model is required to diagnose COVID-19, and a dataset is necessary to train that model. A dataset consists of the information from which the model is trained. This paper consists of the review of different image processing, machine learning and deep learning papers proposed by different researchers. As well as models based on deep learning and pretrained model using gradient boosting algorithm The goal of this paper is to provide information for future researchers to work with.
COVID-19是一种传染性呼吸道疾病,可以在人与人之间传播。由于COVID-19会影响肺部,损害血液动脉并导致心脏问题,因此必须迅速诊断。逆转录聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)是一种检测新冠病毒的方法,但它既耗时又昂贵,而且采集样本的人也处于危险之中。因此,临床医生更喜欢使用CT扫描和x射线图像。COVID-19的分类可以手动完成,但人工智能使这一过程更快。人工智能方法包括图像处理、机器学习和深度学习。诊断COVID-19需要人工智能模型,训练该模型需要数据集。数据集由用来训练模型的信息组成。本文综述了不同研究者提出的不同的图像处理、机器学习和深度学习论文。以及基于深度学习的模型和使用梯度增强算法的预训练模型。本文的目的是为未来的研究人员提供信息。
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引用次数: 1
Cost-forced and repeated selective information minimization and maximization for multi-layered neural networks 多层神经网络的代价强制和重复选择信息最小化和最大化
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.3233/his-220008
R. Kamimura
The present paper aims to propose a new information-theoretic method to minimize and maximize selective information repeatedly. In particular, we try to solve the incomplete information control problem, where information cannot be fully controlled due to the existence of many contradictory factors inside. For this problem, the cost in terms of the sum of absolute connection weights is introduced for neural networks to increase and decrease information against contradictory forces in learning, such as error minimization. Thus, this method is called a “cost-forced” approach to control information. The method is contrary to the conventional regularization approach, where the cost has been used passively or negatively. The present method tries to use the cost positively, meaning that the cost can be augmented if necessary. The method was applied to an artificial and symmetric data set. In the symmetric data set, we tried to show that the symmetric property of the data set could be obtained by appropriately controlling information. In the second data set, that of residents in a nursing home, obtained by the complicated procedures of natural language processing, the experimental results confirmed that the present method could control selective information to extract non-linear relations as well as linear ones in increasing interpretation and generalization performance.
本文旨在提出一种新的信息论方法来重复最小化和最大化选择性信息。特别是我们试图解决信息不完全控制问题,即由于内部存在许多矛盾因素,信息无法得到完全控制。针对这一问题,引入了以绝对连接权和为代价的代价,用于神经网络在学习过程中增加和减少信息以对抗相互矛盾的力量,如误差最小化。因此,这种方法被称为控制信息的“成本强制”方法。该方法与传统的正则化方法相反,在正则化方法中,成本被被动或消极地使用。目前的方法试图积极地利用成本,这意味着成本可以在必要时增加。将该方法应用于一个人工对称数据集。在对称数据集中,我们试图证明通过适当控制信息可以获得数据集的对称性质。在第二个数据集,即通过复杂的自然语言处理程序获得的养老院居民数据集中,实验结果证实了本方法既可以控制选择性信息提取非线性关系,又可以提高线性关系的解释和泛化性能。
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引用次数: 0
Federated learning: Applications, challenges and future directions 联邦学习:应用、挑战和未来方向
Pub Date : 2022-04-21 DOI: 10.3233/HIS-220006
Subrato Bharati, M. Mondal, Prajoy Podder, V. Prasath
Federated learning (FL) refers to a system in which a central aggregator coordinates the efforts of several clients to solve the issues of machine learning. This setting allows the training data to be dispersed in order to protect the privacy of each device. This paper provides an overview of federated learning systems, with a focus on healthcare. FL is reviewed in terms of its frameworks, architectures and applications. It is shown here that FL solves the preceding issues with a shared global deep learning (DL) model via a central aggregator server. Inspired by the rapid growth of FL research, this paper examines recent developments and provides a comprehensive list of unresolved issues. Several privacy methods including secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption, differential privacy and stochastic gradient descent are described in the context of FL. Moreover, a review is provided for different classes of FL such as horizontal and vertical FL and federated transfer learning. FL has applications in wireless communication, service recommendation, intelligent medical diagnosis system and healthcare, which we review in this paper. We also present a comprehensive review of existing FL challenges for example privacy protection, communication cost, systems heterogeneity, unreliable model upload, followed by future research directions.
联邦学习(FL)是指一个中央聚合器协调多个客户端努力解决机器学习问题的系统。此设置允许训练数据分散,以保护每个设备的隐私。本文概述了联邦学习系统,重点是医疗保健。本文从框架、体系结构和应用等方面对FL进行了综述。本文表明,FL通过中央聚合器服务器使用共享的全局深度学习(DL)模型解决了上述问题。受FL研究快速增长的启发,本文研究了最近的发展,并提供了未解决问题的全面列表。本文介绍了安全多方计算、同态加密、差分隐私和随机梯度下降等保密方法,并对不同类型的保密方法如水平保密、垂直保密和联邦迁移学习进行了综述。在无线通信、服务推荐、智能医疗诊断系统和医疗保健等领域具有广泛的应用前景。同时,本文也对现有的数据流技术在隐私保护、通信成本、系统异构性、模型上传不可靠等方面的挑战进行了综述,并对未来的研究方向进行了展望。
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引用次数: 16
期刊
International journal of hybrid intelligent systems
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