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On mechanisms of trophic cascade caused by anti-predation response in food chain systems 食物链系统中反捕食反应引起的营养级联机制
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-06-18 DOI: 10.5206/mase/10739
Yang Wang, X. Zou
Motivated by a recent field study [Nat. Commun. 7(2016), 10698] on the impact of fear of large carnivores on the populations in a cascading ecosystem of food chain type with the large carnivores as the top predator, in this paper we propose two model systems in the form of ordinary differential equations to mechanistically explore the cascade of such a fear effect. The models are of the Lotka-Volterra type, one is three imensional and the other four dimensional. The 3-D model only considers the cost of the anti-predation response reflected in the decrease of the production, while the 4-D model considers also the benefit of the response in reducing the predation rate, in addition to the cost by reducing the production. We perform a thorough analysis on the dynamics of the two models. The results reveal that the 3-D model and 4-model demonstrate opposite patterns for trophic cascade in terms of the dependence of population sizes for each species at the co-existence equilibrium on the anti-predation response level parameter, and such a difference is attributed to whether or not there is a benefit for the anti-predation response by the meso-carnivore species.
最近的一项实地研究[Nat. common . 7(2016), 10698]关于大型食肉动物的恐惧对食物链型级联生态系统中大型食肉动物作为顶级捕食者的种群的影响,在本文中,我们提出了两个常微分方程形式的模型系统,以机械地探索这种恐惧效应的级联。模型是Lotka-Volterra型,一个是三维的,另一个是四维的。三维模型只考虑了反捕食反应的成本,即产量的减少,而4d模型除了考虑减少产量的成本外,还考虑了响应在减少捕食率方面的收益。我们对这两个模型的动力学进行了彻底的分析。结果表明,3-D模型和4- d模型在共存平衡下各物种种群规模对反捕食反应水平参数的依赖性方面表现出相反的营养级联模式,这种差异归因于中食性物种的反捕食反应是否有利。
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引用次数: 3
Selected Topics on Reaction-Diffusion-Advection Models from Spatial Ecology 空间生态学中反应-扩散-平流模式的专题选择
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-04-16 DOI: 10.5206/mase/10644
King-Yeung Lam, Shuang Liu, Y. Lou
We discuss the effects of movement and spatial heterogeneity on population dynamics via reaction–diffusion-advection models, focusing on the persistence, competition, and evolution of organisms in spatially heterogeneous environments. Topics include Lokta-Volterra competition models, river models, evolution of biased movement, phytoplanktongrowth, and spatial spread of epidemic disease. Open problems and conjectures are presented.P arts of this survey are adopted from the materials in [89,108,109], and some very recent progress are also included.
我们通过反应-扩散平流模型讨论了运动和空间异质性对种群动力学的影响,重点讨论了生物在空间异质环境中的持久性、竞争和进化。主题包括Lokta-Volterra竞争模型、河流模型、偏向运动的演变、浮游植物生长和流行病的空间传播。提出了开放问题和猜想。本次调查采用了[89108109]中的材料,还包括了一些最新的进展。
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引用次数: 15
A mathematical model for the role of macrophages in the persistence and elimination of oncolytic viruses 巨噬细胞在溶瘤病毒的持续和消除中的作用的数学模型
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-04-08 DOI: 10.5206/mase/8543
Nada Almuallem, R. Eftimie
Replicating oncolytic viruses provide promising treatment strategies against cancer. However, the success of these viral therapies depends mainly on the complex interactions between the virus particles and the host immune cells. Among these immune cells, macrophages represent one of the first line of defence against viral infections. In this paper, we consider a mathematical model that describes the interactions between a commonly-used oncolytic virus, the Vesicular Stomatitis Virus (VSV), and two extreme types of macrophages: the pro-inflammatory M1 cells (which seem to resist infection with VSV) and the anti-inflammatory M2 cells (which can be infected with VSV). We first show the existence of bounded solutions for this differential equations model. Then we investigate the long-term behaviour of the model by focusing on steady states and limit cycles, and study changes in this long-term dynamics as we vary different model parameters. Moreover, through sensitivity analysis we show that the parameters that have the highest impact on the level of virus particles in the system are the viral burst size (from infected macrophages), the virus infection rate, the M1$to$M2 polarisation rate, and the M1-induced anti-viral immunity. 
复制溶瘤病毒为癌症提供了有前景的治疗策略。然而,这些病毒疗法的成功主要取决于病毒颗粒和宿主免疫细胞之间的复杂相互作用。在这些免疫细胞中,巨噬细胞是抵御病毒感染的第一道防线之一。在本文中,我们考虑了一个数学模型,该模型描述了一种常用的溶瘤病毒——水泡性口炎病毒(VSV)和两种极端类型的巨噬细胞之间的相互作用:促炎M1细胞(似乎可以抵抗VSV感染)和抗炎M2细胞(可以感染VSV)。我们首先证明了这个微分方程模型有界解的存在性。然后,我们通过关注稳态和极限环来研究模型的长期行为,并研究当我们改变不同的模型参数时这种长期动力学的变化。此外,通过敏感性分析,我们发现对系统中病毒颗粒水平影响最大的参数是病毒爆发大小(来自受感染的巨噬细胞)、病毒感染率、M1$~$M2极化率和M1诱导的抗病毒免疫。
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引用次数: 3
Modeling the impact of host resistance on structured tick population dynamics 模拟宿主抗性对结构蜱虫种群动态的影响
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.5206/mase/10508
Mahnaz Alavinejad, J. Sadiku, Jianhong Wu
For a variety of tick species, the resistance, behavioural and immunological response of hosts has been reported in the biological literature but its impact on tick population dynamics has not been mathematically formulated and analyzed using dynamical models reflecting the full biological stages of ticks. Here we develop and simulate a delay differential equation model, with a particular focus on resistance resulting in grooming behaviour. We calculate the basic reproduction number using the spectral analysis of delay differential equations with positive feedback, and establish the existence and uniqueness of a positive equilibrium when the basic reproduction number exceeds unit. We also conduct numerical and sensitivity analysis about the dependence of this positive equilibrium on the the parameter relevant to grooming behaviour. We numerically obtain the relationship between grooming behaviour and equilibrium value at different stages.
对于各种蜱物种,宿主的抗性、行为和免疫反应已在生物学文献中报道,但其对蜱种群动态的影响尚未通过反映蜱完整生物学阶段的动力学模型进行数学公式化和分析。在这里,我们开发并模拟了一个延迟微分方程模型,特别关注导致梳理行为的阻力。利用正反馈时滞微分方程的谱分析方法计算了基本再现数,并在基本再现数超过单位时建立了正平衡的存在性和唯一性。我们还对这种正平衡对与梳理行为相关的参数的依赖性进行了数值和敏感性分析。我们从数值上获得了不同阶段梳理行为与平衡值之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Applying the chemical-reaction definition of mass action to infectious disease modelling 群体作用的化学反应定义在传染病建模中的应用
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-03-23 DOI: 10.5206/mase/9372
M. Al-arydah, S. Greenhalgh, J. Munganga, Robert J. Smith
The law of mass action is used to govern interactions between susceptible and infected individuals in a variety of infectious disease models. However, the commonly used version is a simplification of the version originally used to describe chemical reactions. We reformulate a general disease model using the chemical-reaction definition of mass action incorporating both an altered transmission term and an altered recovery term in the form of positive exponents. We examine the long-term outcome as these exponents vary. For many scenarios, the reproduction number is either 0 or $infty$, while it obtains finite values only for certain combinations. We found conditions under which endemic equilibria exist and are unique for a variety of possible exponents. We also determined circumstances under which backward bifurcations are possible or do not occur. The simplified form of mass action may be masking generalised behaviour that may result in practice if these exponents ``fluctuate'' around 1. This may lead to a loss of predictability in some models.
质量作用定律用于控制各种传染病模型中易感个体和受感染个体之间的相互作用。然而,通常使用的版本是最初用于描述化学反应的版本的简化。我们使用质量作用的化学反应定义,将改变的传播项和改变的恢复项以正指数的形式结合起来,重新制定了一般疾病模型。我们考察了这些指数变化的长期结果。在许多情况下,复制数要么为0,要么为$infty$,而它仅对某些组合获得有限值。我们发现了地方性平衡存在的条件,并且对各种可能的指数都是唯一的。我们还确定了可能发生或不发生后向分岔的情况。质量作用的简化形式可能掩盖了如果这些指数在1附近“波动”可能导致的一般行为。这可能导致某些模型失去可预测性。
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引用次数: 1
How to model honeybee population dynamics: stage structure and seasonality 如何模拟蜜蜂种群动态:阶段结构和季节性
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-03-22 DOI: 10.5206/mase/10559
Jun Chen, K. Messan, Marisabel Rodriguez Messan, G. DeGrandi-Hoffman, Dingyong Bai, Yun Kang
Western honeybees (Apis Mellifera) serve extremely important roles in our ecosystem and economics as  they are responsible for pollinating $ 215 billion dollars annually over the world.  Unfortunately,  honeybee population and their colonies have been declined dramatically. The purpose of this article is to explore how we should model honeybee population with age structure and validate the model using empirical data so that we can identify different factors that lead to the survival and healthy of the honeybee colony.  Our theoretical study combined with simulations and data validation suggests that the proper age structure incorporated in the model  and seasonality are important for modeling honeybee population.  Specifically, our work implies that the model assuming that (1) the adult bees are survived from the egg population rather than the brood population; and (2) seasonality in the queen egg laying rate, give the better fit than other honeybee models. The related theoretical and numerical analysis of the most fit model indicate that (a) the survival of honeybee colonies requires a large queen egg-laying rate and smaller values of the other life history parameter values in addition to proper initial condition; (b) both brood and adult bee populations are increasing with respect to the increase in the egg-laying rate and the decreasing in other parameter values; and (c) seasonality may promote/suppress the survival of the honeybee colony. 
西方蜜蜂(Apis Mellifera)在我们的生态系统和经济中扮演着极其重要的角色,因为它们每年在全球范围内负责授粉价值2150亿美元。不幸的是,蜜蜂的数量和它们的栖息地急剧减少。本文的目的是探讨如何建立具有年龄结构的蜜蜂种群模型,并利用经验数据对模型进行验证,从而确定影响蜂群生存和健康的不同因素。我们的理论研究结合模拟和数据验证表明,在模型中纳入适当的年龄结构和季节性对蜜蜂种群建模很重要。具体来说,我们的工作表明,该模型假设:(1)成蜂是从卵群而不是幼虫群中存活下来的;并且(2)季节性在蜂王产卵率上,给予比其他蜜蜂模型更好的拟合性。最拟合模型的相关理论和数值分析表明:(a)蜂群的存活除了需要适当的初始条件外,还需要较大的蜂王产卵率和较小的其他生活史参数值;(b)产蛋率的增加和其他参数值的降低使成虫和幼蜂种群数量均呈增加趋势;(c)季节性可能促进/抑制蜂群的生存。
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引用次数: 6
Analysis of solutions and disease progressions for a within-host Tuberculosis model 宿主内结核病模型的解决方案和疾病进展分析
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-03-07 DOI: 10.5206/mase/10221
Wenjing Zhang, Federico Frascoli, J. Heffernan
Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection can lead to different disease outcomes, we analyze awith-in host tuberculosis infection model considering interactions between macrophages, T lym-phocytes, and tuberculosis bacteria to understand the dynamics of disease progression. Fourcoexisting equilibria that reflect TB disease dynamics are present: clearance, latency, and pri-mary disease, with low and high pathogen loads. We also derive the conditions for backwardand forward bifurcations and for global stable disease free equilibrium, which affect how thedisease progresses. Numerical bifurcation analysis and simulations elucidate the dynamics offast and slow disease progression.
结核分枝杆菌感染可导致不同的疾病结果,我们分析了考虑巨噬细胞、T淋巴细胞和结核细菌之间相互作用的宿主内结核感染模型,以了解疾病进展的动力学。反映结核病动态的四种共存平衡存在:清除率、潜伏期和原发性疾病,病原体载量低和高。我们还推导了前后分叉和全局稳定无疾病平衡的条件,这些条件影响疾病的进展。数值分叉分析和模拟阐明了疾病进展最快和最慢的动力学过程。
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引用次数: 7
Viewpoints on modelling: Comments on "Achilles and the tortoise: Some caveats to mathematical modelling in biology" 建模观点——评《阿喀琉斯与乌龟:生物学数学建模的几点注意事项》
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-02-29 DOI: 10.5206/mase/10267
J. Lei
Mathematical modelling has been proven to be useful in understanding some problems from biological science, provided that it is used properly. However, it has also attracted some criticisms as partially presented in a recent  opinion article cite{Gilbert2018} from biological community. This note intends to clarify some confusion and misunderstanding in regard to mathematically modelling by commenting on those critiques raised in cite{Gilbert2018}, with a hope of initiating some further discussion so that both applied mathematicians and biologist can better use mathematical modelling and better understand the results from modelling.
数学建模已被证明在理解生物科学中的一些问题方面是有用的,只要使用得当。然而,它也引起了一些批评,正如最近一篇来自生物界的评论文章cite{Gilbert2018}所部分提出的那样。本文旨在通过评论cite{Gilbert2018}中提出的批评,澄清一些关于数学建模的困惑和误解,希望能引发一些进一步的讨论,以便应用数学家和生物学家都能更好地使用数学建模,更好地理解建模的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Global asymptotic stability of a delayed plant disease model 一类时滞植物病害模型的全局渐近稳定性
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-02-24 DOI: 10.5206/mase/9451
Yuming Chen, Chongwu Zheng
In this paper, we consider the following system of delayed differentialequations,[left{begin {array}{rcl}frac {dS(t)}{dt} & = & sigma phi-beta S(t)I(t-tau)-eta S(t),frac {dI(t)}{dt} & = & sigma(1-phi)+betaS(t)I(t-tau)-(eta+omega)I(t),end {array}right.]which can be used to model plant diseases. Here $phiin (0,1]$,$tauge 0$, and all other parameters are positive. The case where $phi=1$ is well studiedand there is a threshold dynamics. Thesystem always has a disease-free equilibrium, which is globallyasymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number $R_0triangleqfrac{betasigma}{eta(eta+omega)}le 1$ and is unstable if$R_0>1$; when $R_0>1$, the system also has a unique endemic equilibrium,which is globally asymptotically stable. In this paper, we study thecase where $phiin (0,1)$. It turns out that the system only has anendemic equilibrium, which is globally asymptotically stable. Thelocal stability is established by the linearizationmethod while the global attractivity is obtained by the Lyapunovfunctional approach. The theoretical results are illustrated withnumerical simulations.
在本文中,我们考虑以下延迟微分方程组,[left{bbegin{array}{rcl}frac{dS(t)}{dt}&=sigmaphi-beta S(t)I(t-tau)-eta S(t。这里$phiin(0,1]$,$tauge 0$和所有其他参数都是正的。$phi=1$的情况已经得到了很好的研究,并且存在阈值动力学。该系统总是具有无病平衡,如果基本繁殖数$R_0triangleqfrac{betasigma}{eta(eta+omega)}le 1$,则全局症状稳定,如果$R_0>1$,则不稳定;当$R_0>1$时,系统还具有一个唯一的地方性均衡,该均衡是全局渐近稳定的。在本文中,我们研究了$phiIn(0,1)$的情形。结果表明,系统只有一个半平衡点,它是全局渐近稳定的。通过线性化方法建立了局部稳定性,通过李亚普诺夫函数方法获得了全局吸引性。通过数值模拟对理论结果进行了说明。
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引用次数: 4
A prey-predator system with herd behaviour of prey in a rapidly fluctuating environment 在快速波动的环境中具有群体行为的捕食系统
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2019-12-06 DOI: 10.5206/mase/8196
G. Samanta, A. Mondal, D. Sahoo, P. Dolai
A statistical theory of non-equilibrium fluctuation in damped Volterra-Lotka prey-predator system where prey population lives in herd in a rapidly fluctuating random environment has been presented. The method is based on the technique of perturbation approximation of non-linear coupled stochastic differential equations. The characteristic of group-living of prey population has been emphasized using square root of prey density in the functional response.
本文提出了一种快速波动随机环境中猎物群居的阻尼Volterra-Lotka捕食系统的非平衡涨落的统计理论。该方法基于非线性耦合随机微分方程的摄动逼近技术。在功能响应中,利用猎物密度的平方根强调了猎物群体生活的特征。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Mathematics in applied sciences and engineering
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