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Incorporating life history diversity in an integrated population model to inform viability analysis 将生活史多样性纳入综合种群模型,为生存能力分析提供信息
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0118
Mark H. Sorel, Jeffrey C Jorgensen, R. Zabel, M. Scheuerell, Andrew R. Murdoch, Cory M. Kamphaus, Sarah J. Converse
Life history diversity can significantly affect population dynamics and effects of management actions. For instance, variation in individual responses to environmental variability can reduce extirpation risk to populations, as the portfolio effect dampens temporal variability in abundance. Moreover, differences in habitat use may cause individuals to respond differently to habitat management and climate variability. To explore the role of life history diversity in population trajectories, population models need to incorporate within-population variation. Integrated population modeling (IPM) is a population modeling approach that offers several advantages for sharing information and propagating uncertainty across datasets. In this study, we developed an IPM for an endangered population of Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) in the Wenatchee River, Washington, USA, that accounts for diversity in juvenile life histories, spawning location, and return age. Our analysis revealed that diversity in the age of juvenile emigration from natal streams had a portfolio effect, resulting in a 20% reduction in year-to-year variability in adult abundance in population projections. Our population viability analysis suggests that management interventions may be necessary to meet recovery goals, and our model should be useful for simulating the outcomes of proposed actions.
生活史多样性会极大地影响种群动态和管理措施的效果。例如,个体对环境变异的不同反应可降低种群灭绝的风险,因为组合效应可抑制丰度的时间变异。此外,栖息地利用的差异可能会导致个体对栖息地管理和气候变异做出不同的反应。为了探索生活史多样性在种群轨迹中的作用,种群模型需要纳入种群内部的变异。综合种群建模(IPM)是一种种群建模方法,在跨数据集共享信息和传播不确定性方面具有多种优势。在这项研究中,我们为美国华盛顿州温纳切河的濒危大鳞大麻哈鱼(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)种群开发了一种 IPM,其中考虑了幼鱼生活史、产卵地点和回归年龄的多样性。我们的分析表明,幼鱼从产地溪流迁出的年龄多样性具有组合效应,从而使种群预测中成年鱼丰度的年际变异性降低了 20%。我们的种群存活率分析表明,要实现恢复目标,可能需要采取管理干预措施,我们的模型应有助于模拟拟议行动的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Note of appreciation 感谢信
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0263
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Volume 81, Issue 1, Page i-i, January 2024.
加拿大渔业和水产科学杂志》(Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences),第 81 卷,第 1 期,第 i-i 页,2024 年 1 月。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of survival estimates generated from tracking downstream migrating juvenile sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) with a miniature acoustic telemetry tag 评估利用微型声学遥测标签追踪顺流而下的幼年海鳗(Petromyzon marinus)所得出的存活率估计值
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0194
Taylor F. Haas, Travis O. Brenden, Zhiqun Daniel Deng, C. M. Wagner
Fish that undertake juvenile migration pass through habitats that vary in mortality risk. The ability to identify regions of persistent low survival would improve fishery management. We conducted a field study combined with predictive modeling of survival in downstream migrating juvenile sea lamprey using a new micro-acoustic telemetry tag designed for implantation into small, slender-bodied fishes. Detection data were collected from eight receivers placed across a coastal riverine-wetland-lake complex. Juvenile sea lamprey initiated downstream movement near nautical twilight, stopped frequently, and were more likely to move during high river discharge. Estimated survival was highest in the riverine reach, declined through the river-wetland complex, and dropped precipitously in the drowned rivermouth lake. However, the high transmission rate and resulting short battery life of the micro-transmitters (as configured) likely resulted in missed detections in the lower reaches. Simulation analyses suggested survival estimation could be improved by increasing the number of tagged lamprey and staggering release locations. We offer practical recommendations for the use of this new transmitter in field studies with small anguilliform fishes.
进行幼鱼洄游的鱼类所经过的栖息地死亡风险各不相同。如果能确定存活率持续偏低的区域,就能改善渔业管理。我们进行了一项野外研究,并结合使用新型微型声学遥测标签对顺流而下的幼年海鳗的存活率进行了预测建模,该标签专为植入体型细长的小型鱼类而设计。在沿海河流-湿地-湖泊综合体中放置的八个接收器收集了探测数据。幼年海鯷在接近黄昏时开始顺流而下,经常停止,在河水流量大时更有可能移动。估计存活率在沿河河段最高,在河流-湿地-湖泊复合体中有所下降,在被淹没的河口湖中则急剧下降。不过,由于微发射器(按配置)的传输速率高、电池寿命短,很可能导致下游的漏检。模拟分析表明,可以通过增加标记灯鱼的数量和错开释放地点来提高存活率。我们为在小型鳗鲡野外研究中使用这种新型发射器提供了实用建议。
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引用次数: 0
Determining early marine survival and predation by endothermic predators on acoustically-tagged Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) post-smolts 确定声学标记的大西洋鲑(Salmo salar)蜕皮后的早期海洋存活率和内热捕食者的捕食情况
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0206
G. English, B. M. Wilson, Michael J Lawrence, M. Black, James P Hawkes, David C Hardie, Jason M Daniels, Jonathan W. Carr, Claire Rycroft, Glenn T. Crossin, Fred Whoriskey, Cornelia E. den Heyer, X. Bordeleau, C. McKindsey, Marc Trudel
Many Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) populations have experienced significant declines for decades throughout North America and Europe. Mortality due to marine mammal predation during their early marine life could be an important factor contributing to these declines and limiting their population recoveries. However, quantifying predation events and particularly the extent of marine mammal predation on Atlantic salmon remains a challenge. In this study, we estimated the contribution of mesothermic and endothermic species predation to the mortality of Atlantic salmon post-smolts during their early marine life using acoustic telemetry. Predation events were inferred from changes in temperatures and depths experienced by acoustically tagged hatchery-reared Atlantic salmon smolts. No salmon were consumed by mesothermic predators, with most endothermic predation events being classified as marine mammals. Post-smolt mortality during the study period was low overall in both years (13.1 – 16.7%), with endothermic predation accounting for 33.1 – 42.9% of all marine mortality events (5.2 – 5.6% mortality). Our results suggest that the current low return of adult Atlantic salmon observed in this area in recent years was not heavily influenced by endothermic predation on post-smolts in the first weeks at sea.
几十年来,北美和欧洲的许多大西洋鲑(Salmo salar)种群数量显著下降。海洋哺乳动物在大西洋鲑早期海洋生活中的捕食造成的死亡可能是导致其数量下降并限制其种群恢复的一个重要因素。然而,量化捕食事件,尤其是海洋哺乳动物对大西洋鲑的捕食程度仍然是一个挑战。在这项研究中,我们利用声学遥测技术估算了大西洋鲑鱼早期海洋生活期间中温和内温物种捕食对其死亡率的影响。捕食事件是通过声学标签孵化养育的大西洋鲑幼鱼所经历的温度和深度变化来推断的。没有鲑鱼被中温捕食者吃掉,大多数中温捕食事件被归类为海洋哺乳动物。在研究期间,蜕皮后的死亡率在两年中总体较低(13.1 - 16.7%),在所有海洋死亡事件中,内温捕食占 33.1 - 42.9%(死亡率为 5.2 - 5.6%)。我们的研究结果表明,近年来在这一地区观察到的大西洋鲑鱼成鱼回归量较低的情况,并没有受到蜕皮后的大西洋鲑鱼在出海最初几周内被内热捕食的严重影响。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Predicting favourable streams for anadromous salmon spawning and natal rearing under climate change 更正:预测气候变化条件下有利于溯河鲑产卵和产仔的河流
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0317
Josephine C. Iacarella, J. Daniel Weller
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Ahead of Print.
加拿大渔业和水产科学杂志》,提前印刷。
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引用次数: 0
Tracking aquatic animals to understand a world increasingly shaped by a changing climate and extreme weather events 跟踪水生动物,了解日益受到气候变化和极端天气事件影响的世界
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0145
R. Lennox, Pedro Afonso, K. Birnie‐Gauvin, Lotte S. Dahlmo, C. I. Nilsen, R. Arlinghaus, Steven J. Cooke, Allan T. Souza, Ivan Jarić, M. Prchalová, M. Říha, S. Westrelin, W. Twardek, Eneko Aspillaga, Sebastian Kraft, M. Šmejkal, H. Baktoft, Tomas Brodin, Gustav Hellström, David Villegas-Ríos, K. Vollset, Timo Adam, L. Sortland, Michael G Bertram, Marcelo Crossa, Emma Vogel, Natasha Gillies, Jan Reubens
Despite great promise for understanding the impacts and extent of climate change on aquatic animals, their species, and ecological communities, it is surprising that tracking tools, like biotelemetry and biologging devices, have not been extensively used to understand climate change or develop and evaluate potential interventions that may forestall or mitigate its effects. In this review, we provide an overview of methodologies and study designs that leverage available tracking tools to investigate aspects of climate change on aquatic ecosystems. Key interventions to protect aquatic life from the impacts of climate change, including habitat restoration, protected areas, conservation translocations, mitigations against interactive effects of climate change, and simulation of future scenarios can all be greatly facilitated by using electronic tagging and tracking. We anticipate that adapting study designs (e.g. use of replicated ponds, randomized control trials, physiologging) to effectively use tracking will greatly enhance our understanding of climate change and its impacts on aquatic ecosystems, hopefully also facilitating research into effective solutions and interventions against the most extreme and acute impacts.
尽管对了解气候变化对水生动物、其物种和生态群落的影响和程度有很大的希望,但令人惊讶的是,跟踪工具,如生物遥测和生物记录设备,尚未广泛用于了解气候变化或开发和评估可能预防或减轻其影响的潜在干预措施。在这篇综述中,我们概述了利用现有跟踪工具来研究气候变化对水生生态系统影响的方法和研究设计。通过使用电子标签和跟踪,可以极大地促进保护水生生物免受气候变化影响的关键干预措施,包括栖息地恢复、保护区、保护易位、缓解气候变化的相互影响以及模拟未来情景。我们预计,调整研究设计(例如使用复制池塘、随机对照试验、生理学)来有效地利用跟踪,将大大提高我们对气候变化及其对水生生态系统影响的理解,并有望促进针对最极端和最严重影响的有效解决方案和干预措施的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Life-cycle modeling reveals high recovery potential of at-risk wild Chinook salmon via improved migrant survival 生命周期模型显示,濒危野生大鳞大麻哈鱼通过提高洄游存活率具有很高的恢复潜力
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0167
Gregory R. Jacobs, R. Thurow, C. Petrosky, C. Osenberg, Seth J. Wenger
Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) in the Columbia River basin are threatened by anthropogenic changes to migratory corridors, estuaries, and natal habitats. Streams provide spatially heterogeneous natal habitats essential for salmon spawning and rearing life stages. We fit a statistical state-space model to salmon populations in Idaho’s Middle Fork Salmon River (MFSR) to assess spatial variation in natal productivity and population growth. Our model integrated multiple long-term data sets to estimate variation in per-capita smolt production and smolt-to-adult (SAR) survival. Smolt production varied across stream segments, averaging 104.48 female smolts per spawning female, while SARs averaged 0.74%. Chinook salmon population growth rates exceeded replacement in 17% of segments (four of 23). By increasing SARs to 1.8% (near the lower bound of Columbia River basin recovery targets), we predict that all 23 MFSR segments will yield positive population growth rates at contemporary (very low) spawner densities. Our analysis suggests that for Snake River basin populations within high-quality natal habitats, SAR improvements will elevate salmon population growth rates and enhance restoration of at-risk wild Chinook salmon.
哥伦比亚河流域的奇努克鲑鱼(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)受到迁徙走廊、河口和出生栖息地的人为变化的威胁。溪流为鲑鱼产卵和饲养生命阶段提供了空间异质性的出生栖息地。本文拟合了爱达荷州中叉鲑鱼河(MFSR)鲑鱼种群的统计状态-空间模型,以评估出生生产力和种群增长的空间变化。我们的模型整合了多个长期数据集来估计人均幼崽产量和幼崽到成年(SAR)存活率的变化。幼崽产出量因河段而异,平均为104.48只雌崽产出量为每只雌崽产出量为0.74%。支努克鲑鱼种群增长率超过更替率的比例为17%(23条中的4条)。通过将SARs增加到1.8%(接近哥伦比亚河流域恢复目标的下限),我们预测在当前(非常低的)产卵密度下,所有23个MFSR段将产生正的种群增长率。我们的分析表明,对于高质量出生栖息地内的蛇河流域种群,SAR的改善将提高鲑鱼种群的增长率,并促进濒危野生奇努克鲑鱼的恢复。
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引用次数: 0
Lake characteristics drive concordant trophic responses across ecosystems in three top predator fish species 湖泊特征驱动三种顶级掠食性鱼类在不同生态系统中做出一致的营养反应
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0240
Mary Thelen, David Gallagher, Payton Johnson, Sara Kangas, Dylan McNulty, Alexandra Morrison, B. R. Herwig, David F Staples, K. Zimmer
Understanding similarities in trophic ecology of top predators is crucial given their influences on food webs. We sampled walleye (Sander vitreus), northern pike (Esox lucius), and muskellunge (Esox masquinongy) from 17 Minnesota (USA) lakes and used δ13C and δ15N to estimate littoral carbon use, trophic position, and isotopic niche size of each species. All three species showed large inter-lake variability yet had concordant trophic responses across lakes, as littoral carbon use, trophic position, variability in littoral carbon and trophic position, and niche size were all positively related among species across lakes. Concordant responses were driven by a few key lake variables, with trophic position positively related to proportion littoral area and depth of hypoxic water, littoral carbon positively related to depth of hypoxic water and presence of zebra mussels (Dreissena polymorpha), and niche size inversely related to lake area. Our results indicate lake characteristics may influence food webs via consistent effects on multiple top predators. They also show that the amount of suitable habitat can be important for the ecosystem size hypothesis for trophic position.
考虑到它们对食物网的影响,了解顶级捕食者营养生态的相似性是至关重要的。我们从美国明尼苏达州的17个湖泊中采集了白眼鱼(Sander vitreus)、梭子鱼(Esox lucius)和muskellunge (Esox masquinongy),并利用δ13C和δ15N估算了各物种的沿海碳利用、营养位置和同位素生态位大小。3种物种均表现出较大的湖间变异性,但在湖泊间具有一致的营养响应,湖泊间物种间的滨水碳利用、营养位置、滨水碳和营养位置变异性以及生态位大小均呈正相关。生态位大小与湖泊面积呈负相关,生态位大小与湖泊面积呈负相关,生态位大小与湖泊面积呈负相关,生态位大小与湖泊面积呈负相关。我们的研究结果表明,湖泊特征可能通过对多种顶级捕食者的一致影响来影响食物网。他们还表明,适宜栖息地的数量对生态系统大小假设的营养地位很重要。
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引用次数: 0
Time to treat the climate and nature crisis as one indivisible global health emergency 是时候将气候和自然危机视为一个不可分割的全球卫生紧急事件
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0324
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Volume 80, Issue 12, Page i-iii, December 2023.
加拿大渔业与水产科学杂志,第80卷,第12期,第1 - 3页,2023年12月。
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引用次数: 0
Cross-scale environmental impacts across persistent and dynamic aggregations within a complex population: implications for fisheries management 复杂种群中持续和动态聚集的跨尺度环境影响:对渔业管理的影响
IF 2.4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2023-0120
Georgios Kerametsidis, James T Thorson, Vincent Rossi, D. Álvarez-Berastegui, Cheryl Barnes, Gregoire Certain, Antonio Esteban, Encarnacion García, A. Jadaud, Safo Piñeiro, Miguel Vivas, Manuel Hidalgo
Accounting for marine stocks spatiotemporal complexity has become one of the most pressing improvements that should be added to the new generation of stock assessment. Disentangling persistent and dynamic population subcomponents and understanding their main drivers of variation are still stock-specific challenges. Here, we hypothesized that the spatiotemporal variability of two adjacent fish stocks density is associated with spatially structured environmental processes across multiple spatiotemporal scales. To test this, we applied a generalized Empirical Orthogonal Function and Dynamic Factor Analysis to fishery-independent and -dependent data of red mullet, a highly commercial species, in the Western Mediterranean Sea. Areas with persistent and dynamic high aggregations were detected for both stock units. A large-scale climatic index and local open-ocean convection were associated with both stocks while other variables exhibited stock-specific effects. We also revealed spatially structured density dynamics within the examined management units. This suggests a metapopulation structure and supports the future implementation of a spatial stock assessment. Considering the common assumptions of panmictic structure and absence of connectivity with neighbouring stock units, our methodology can be applied to other species and systems with putative spatial complexity to inform a more accurate structure of biological populations.
考虑海洋种群的时空复杂性已成为新一代种群评估中最迫切需要改进的内容之一。解开持久的和动态的种群子成分,并了解其变异的主要驱动因素仍然是种群特有的挑战。在此,我们假设两种相邻鱼类种群密度的时空变异与跨时空尺度的空间结构化环境过程有关。为了验证这一点,我们将广义经验正交函数和动态因子分析应用于西地中海高度商业物种红鲻鱼的渔业独立和依赖数据。在这两种种群中都发现了持续和动态高聚集的区域。大尺度气候指数和局部公海对流与两种种群有关,而其他变量则表现出种群特有的效应。我们还揭示了在检查的管理单元内的空间结构密度动态。这表明了一种元种群结构,并支持了未来空间种群评估的实施。考虑到泛群结构和与邻近种群单位缺乏连通性的常见假设,我们的方法可以应用于具有假定空间复杂性的其他物种和系统,以提供更准确的生物种群结构。
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引用次数: 0
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Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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