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When do multiple pulses of environmental variation trigger tipping in an ecological system? 环境变化的多重脉冲何时会触发生态系统的临界点?
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0205410
Ayanava Basak, Syamal K Dana, Nandadulal Bairagi, Ulrike Feudel

Climate change and anthropogenic impacts have a significant effect on natural ecosystems. As a response, tipping phenomena, i.e., abrupt qualitative changes in the dynamics of ecosystems, like transitions between alternative stable states, can be observed. We study such critical transitions, caused by an interplay between B-tipping, the rate of change of environmental forcing, and a rate-dependent basin boundary crossing. Instead of a slow trend of environmental change, we focus on pulses of variation in the carrying capacity in a simple ecological model, the spruce budworm model, and show how one pulse of environmental change can lead to tracking the current stable state or to tipping to an alternative state depending on the strength and the duration of the pulse. Moreover, we demonstrate that applying a second pulse after the first one, which can track the desired state, can lead to tipping, although its rate is slow and does not even cross the critical threshold. We explain this unexpected behavior in terms of the interacting timescales, the intrinsic ecological timescale, the rate of environmental change, and the movement of the basin boundaries separating the basins of attraction of the two alternative states.

气候变化和人为影响对自然生态系统有重大影响。作为回应,可以观察到临界现象,即生态系统动态中突然发生的质变,如替代稳定状态之间的转换。我们研究的就是这种临界转换,它是由 B-倾覆、环境胁迫的变化率以及与速率相关的流域边界跨越之间的相互作用引起的。在一个简单的生态模型(云杉芽虫模型)中,我们关注的不是环境变化的缓慢趋势,而是承载能力的脉冲变化,并展示了一个环境变化脉冲如何根据脉冲的强度和持续时间,导致追踪当前的稳定状态或向另一种状态倾斜。此外,我们还证明,在第一个脉冲之后再施加第二个脉冲,虽然其速度很慢,甚至没有越过临界阈值,但可以跟踪所需的状态,从而导致倾覆。我们从相互作用的时间尺度、内在生态时间尺度、环境变化率以及分隔两个备选状态吸引力盆地的盆地边界的移动等方面解释了这种意想不到的行为。
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引用次数: 0
A robust time-delay selection criterion applied to convergent cross mapping. 应用于收敛交叉映射的稳健时延选择标准。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0209028
R S Martin, C M Greve, C E Huerta, A S Wong, J W Koo, D Q Eckhardt

This work presents a heuristic for the selection of a time delay based on optimizing the global maximum of mutual information in orthonormal coordinates for embedding a dynamical system. This criterion is demonstrated to be more robust compared to methods that utilize a local minimum, as the global maximum is guaranteed to exist in the proposed coordinate system for any dynamical system. By contrast, methods using local minima can be ill-posed as a local minimum can be difficult to identify in the presence of noise or may simply not exist. The performance of the global maximum and local minimum methods are compared in the context of causality detection using convergent cross mapping using both a noisy Lorenz system and experimental data from an oscillating plasma source. The proposed heuristic for time lag selection is shown to be more consistent in the presence of noise and closer to an optimal uniform time lag selection.

这项研究提出了一种基于优化正交坐标中互信息的全局最大值来选择时间延迟的启发式方法,以嵌入一个动态系统。与利用局部最小值的方法相比,这一标准更加稳健,因为对于任何动态系统,全局最大值都能保证存在于所提出的坐标系中。相比之下,使用局部最小值的方法可能会出现问题,因为在存在噪声的情况下,局部最小值可能难以识别,或者根本不存在。在使用收敛交叉映射进行因果关系检测的背景下,利用噪声洛伦兹系统和振荡等离子体源的实验数据,比较了全局最大值法和局部最小值法的性能。结果表明,所提出的时滞选择启发式方法在存在噪声的情况下更具有一致性,更接近于最佳均匀时滞选择。
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引用次数: 0
Control, bi-stability, and preference for chaos in time-dependent vaccination campaign. 与时间相关的疫苗接种活动中的控制、双稳定性和混乱偏好。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0221150
Enrique C Gabrick, Eduardo L Brugnago, Ana L R de Moraes, Paulo R Protachevicz, Sidney T da Silva, Fernando S Borges, Iberê L Caldas, Antonio M Batista, Jürgen Kurths

In this work, effects of constant and time-dependent vaccination rates on the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SEIRS) seasonal model are studied. Computing the Lyapunov exponent, we show that typical complex structures, such as shrimps, emerge for given combinations of a constant vaccination rate and another model parameter. In some specific cases, the constant vaccination does not act as a chaotic suppressor and chaotic bands can exist for high levels of vaccination (e.g., >0.95). Moreover, we obtain linear and non-linear relationships between one control parameter and constant vaccination to establish a disease-free solution. We also verify that the total infected number does not change whether the dynamics is chaotic or periodic. The introduction of a time-dependent vaccine is made by the inclusion of a periodic function with a defined amplitude and frequency. For this case, we investigate the effects of different amplitudes and frequencies on chaotic attractors, yielding low, medium, and high seasonality degrees of contacts. Depending on the parameters of the time-dependent vaccination function, chaotic structures can be controlled and become periodic structures. For a given set of parameters, these structures are accessed mostly via crisis and, in some cases, via period-doubling. After that, we investigate how the time-dependent vaccine acts in bi-stable dynamics when chaotic and periodic attractors coexist. We identify that this kind of vaccination acts as a control by destroying almost all the periodic basins. We explain this by the fact that chaotic attractors exhibit more desirable characteristics for epidemics than periodic ones in a bi-stable state.

本文研究了恒定疫苗接种率和随时间变化的疫苗接种率对易感-暴露-感染-恢复-易感(SEIRS)季节性模型的影响。通过计算李雅普诺夫指数,我们发现在恒定疫苗接种率和另一个模型参数的特定组合下,会出现典型的复杂结构,如虾米。在某些特定情况下,恒定疫苗接种率并不能起到抑制混沌的作用,在疫苗接种率较高(如大于 0.95)时,可能会出现混沌带。此外,我们还得到了一个控制参数与恒定疫苗接种之间的线性和非线性关系,从而建立了无疾病解。我们还验证了,无论动态是混乱的还是周期性的,总感染人数都不会发生变化。通过加入一个具有确定振幅和频率的周期函数,引入了随时间变化的疫苗。在这种情况下,我们研究了不同振幅和频率对混沌吸引子的影响,得出了低、中和高季节性接触度。根据随时间变化的疫苗接种函数参数的不同,混沌结构可以被控制并成为周期性结构。对于给定的参数集,这些结构主要通过危机进入,在某些情况下,通过周期加倍进入。之后,我们研究了当混沌吸引子和周期吸引子共存时,随时间变化的疫苗如何在双稳态动力学中发挥作用。我们发现,这种疫苗通过破坏几乎所有周期性盆地起到了控制作用。我们的解释是,在双稳定状态下,混沌吸引子比周期吸引子表现出更理想的流行病特征。
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引用次数: 0
Erratum to selecting embedding delays: An overview of embedding techniques and a new method using persistent homology [Chaos: Interdiscip. J. Nonlin. Sci. 33(3), 24 (2023)]. 选择嵌入延迟的勘误:嵌入技术概述和使用持久同源性的新方法[混沌:《非线性科学期刊》(Interdiscip. J. Nonlin. Sci.
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0233347
Eugene Tan, Shannon Algar, Débora Corrêa, Michael Small, Thomas Stemler, David Walker
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引用次数: 0
Model predictive complex system control from observational and interventional data. 从观察和干预数据中预测复杂系统控制模型。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0195208
Muyun Mou, Yu Guo, Fanming Luo, Yang Yu, Jiang Zhang

Complex systems, characterized by intricate interactions among numerous entities, give rise to emergent behaviors whose data-driven modeling and control are of utmost significance, especially when there is abundant observational data but the intervention cost is high. Traditional methods rely on precise dynamical models or require extensive intervention data, often falling short in real-world applications. To bridge this gap, we consider a specific setting of the complex systems control problem: how to control complex systems through a few online interactions on some intervenable nodes when abundant observational data from natural evolution is available. We introduce a two-stage model predictive complex system control framework, comprising an offline pre-training phase that leverages rich observational data to capture spontaneous evolutionary dynamics and an online fine-tuning phase that uses a variant of model predictive control to implement intervention actions. To address the high-dimensional nature of the state-action space in complex systems, we propose a novel approach employing action-extended graph neural networks to model the Markov decision process of complex systems and design a hierarchical action space for learning intervention actions. This approach performs well in three complex system control environments: Boids, Kuramoto, and Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS) metapopulation. It offers accelerated convergence, robust generalization, and reduced intervention costs compared to the baseline algorithm. This work provides valuable insights into controlling complex systems with high-dimensional state-action spaces and limited intervention data, presenting promising applications for real-world challenges.

复杂系统的特点是众多实体之间错综复杂的相互作用,会产生突发性行为,其数据驱动建模和控制具有极其重要的意义,尤其是在观测数据丰富但干预成本较高的情况下。传统方法依赖于精确的动力学模型,或者需要大量的干预数据,在实际应用中往往力不从心。为了弥补这一差距,我们考虑了复杂系统控制问题的一个特定场景:在有大量自然演化观测数据的情况下,如何通过一些可干预节点上的少量在线交互来控制复杂系统。我们引入了一个两阶段模型预测复杂系统控制框架,包括一个离线预训练阶段(利用丰富的观测数据捕捉自发进化动态)和一个在线微调阶段(利用模型预测控制的变体实施干预行动)。针对复杂系统中状态-行动空间的高维特性,我们提出了一种新方法,即利用行动扩展图神经网络来模拟复杂系统的马尔可夫决策过程,并设计一个分层行动空间来学习干预行动。这种方法在三种复杂系统控制环境中表现良好:Boids、Kuramoto 和易感-感染-易感(SIS)元种群。与基线算法相比,它能加速收敛、稳健泛化并降低干预成本。这项工作为控制具有高维状态-动作空间和有限干预数据的复杂系统提供了宝贵的见解,为应对现实世界的挑战提供了前景广阔的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Koopman analysis of the singularly perturbed van der Pol oscillator. 奇异扰动范德波尔振荡器的库普曼分析。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0216779
Natsuki Katayama, Yoshihiko Susuki

The Koopman operator framework holds promise for spectral analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems based on linear operators. Eigenvalues and eigenfunctions of the Koopman operator, the so-called Koopman eigenvalues and Koopman eigenfunctions, respectively, mirror global properties of the system's flow. In this paper, we perform the Koopman analysis of the singularly perturbed van der Pol system. First, we show the spectral signature depending on singular perturbation: how two Koopman principal eigenvalues are ordered and what distinct shapes emerge in their associated Koopman eigenfunctions. Second, we discuss the singular limit of the Koopman operator, which is derived through the concatenation of Koopman operators for the fast and slow subsystems. From the spectral properties of the Koopman operator for the singularly perturbed system and the singular limit, we suggest that the Koopman eigenfunctions inherit geometric properties of the singularly perturbed system. These results are applicable to general planar singularly perturbed systems with stable limit cycles.

库普曼算子框架有望对基于线性算子的非线性动力系统进行谱分析。库普曼算子的特征值和特征函数,即所谓的库普曼特征值和库普曼特征函数,分别反映了系统流的全局属性。本文将对奇异扰动范德尔波尔系统进行库普曼分析。首先,我们展示了取决于奇异扰动的谱特征:两个库普曼主特征值是如何排序的,以及它们相关的库普曼特征函数出现了哪些不同的形状。其次,我们讨论了库普曼算子的奇异极限,它是通过快速子系统和慢速子系统的库普曼算子串联得出的。根据奇异扰动系统和奇异极限的库普曼算子的谱特性,我们认为库普曼特征函数继承了奇异扰动系统的几何特性。这些结果适用于具有稳定极限循环的一般平面奇异扰动系统。
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引用次数: 0
Memory and target payoff enhance cooperation in evolutionary social dilemmas. 记忆和目标报酬增强了进化社会困境中的合作。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0220490
Xinle Lin, Jianhe Li, Suohai Fan

We proposed a neighbor selection mechanism based on memory and target payoff, where the target payoff is the maximum value of the group's average expected payoff. According to this mechanism, individuals prioritize selecting neighbors whose average payoffs in the last M rounds are close to the target payoff for strategy learning, aiming to maximize the group's expected payoff. Simulation results on the grid-based Prisoner's Dilemma and Snowdrift games demonstrate that this mechanism can significantly improve the group's payoff and cooperation level. Furthermore, the longer the memory length, the higher the group's payoff and cooperation level. Overall, the combination of memory and target payoff can lead to the emergence and persistence of cooperation in social dilemmas as individuals are motivated to cooperate based on both their past experiences and future goals. This interplay highlights the significance of taking into account numerous variables in comprehending and promoting cooperation within evolutionary frameworks.

我们提出了一种基于记忆和目标报酬的邻居选择机制,其中目标报酬是群体平均预期报酬的最大值。根据这一机制,个体会优先选择在过去 M 轮中平均报酬接近目标报酬的邻居进行策略学习,从而实现群体预期报酬的最大化。基于网格的囚徒困境和雪漂游戏的模拟结果表明,这种机制能显著提高群体的收益和合作水平。此外,记忆长度越长,小组的收益和合作水平就越高。总之,记忆和目标报酬的结合可以导致社会困境中合作的出现和持续,因为个体的合作动机是基于他们过去的经验和未来的目标。这种相互作用凸显了在进化框架内理解和促进合作时考虑众多变量的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
A new four-dimensional chaotic system with rich transitional characteristics between dissipative and conservative. 一种新的四维混沌系统,在耗散和保守之间具有丰富的过渡特性。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0205144
Xu Sun, Xiangxin Leng, Bowen Tian, Baoxiang Du

The general form of the Hamiltonian function serves as the foundation for the creation of a new four-dimensional chaotic system in this study. We discover that the external excitation parameter d, the internal parameter a, and all initial values have a transforming influence on the system property. Additionally, the corresponding fractional-order chaotic system in accordance with the constructed four-dimensional chaotic system is proposed. It is found that as the order q rises, the system transforms gradually from a dissipative system to a conservative system. Multiple coexisting attraction flows based on the Hamiltonian energy magnitude are present in this dual-property chaotic system. The complexity analysis shows that the system has a high level of complexity. NIST test indicates that the chaotic sequences produced by this dual-property chaotic system exhibit good pseudo-randomness. Finally, a Digital Signal Processing-based hardware platform confirms the physical realizability of the system.

本研究以哈密顿函数的一般形式为基础,创建了一个新的四维混沌系统。我们发现外部激励参数 d、内部参数 a 以及所有初始值都会对系统性质产生转化影响。此外,还根据所构建的四维混沌系统提出了相应的分数阶混沌系统。研究发现,随着阶数 q 的增加,系统逐渐从耗散系统转变为保守系统。该双属性混沌系统中存在基于哈密顿能量大小的多种共存吸引流。复杂性分析表明,该系统具有很高的复杂性。NIST 测试表明,该双属性混沌系统产生的混沌序列具有良好的伪随机性。最后,基于数字信号处理的硬件平台证实了该系统的物理可实现性。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of multi-tasks mechanism on cooperation in evolutionary game. 多任务机制对进化博弈中合作的影响。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0210787
Jiarui Fan, Haifeng Du, Guangyu Li, Xiaochen He

Human games are inherently diverse, involving more than mere identity interactions. The diversity of game tasks offers a more authentic explanation in the exploration of social dilemmas. Human behavior is also influenced by conformity, and prosociality is a crucial factor in addressing social dilemmas. This study proposes a generalized prisoner's dilemma model of task diversity that incorporates a conformity-driven interaction. Simulation findings indicate that the diversity of multi-tasks and the path dependence contribute to the flourishing of cooperation in games. Conformity-driven interactions also promote cooperation. However, this promotion effect does not increase linearly, and only appropriate task sizes and suitable proportions of conformity-driven interactions yield optimal results. From a broader group perspective, the interplay of network adaptation, task size, and conformity-driven interaction can form a structure of attractors or repellents.

人类游戏本质上是多种多样的,涉及的不仅仅是身份互动。游戏任务的多样性为探索社会困境提供了更真实的解释。人类行为也受到一致性的影响,而亲社会性是解决社会困境的关键因素。本研究提出了一个任务多样性的广义囚徒困境模型,其中包含了顺应性驱动的互动。模拟结果表明,多任务的多样性和路径依赖性有助于促进博弈中的合作。一致性驱动的互动也会促进合作。然而,这种促进作用并不是线性增长的,只有适当的任务规模和适当比例的一致性驱动互动才能产生最佳结果。从更广阔的群体视角来看,网络适应、任务规模和一致性驱动的互动之间的相互作用可以形成一种吸引或排斥的结构。
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引用次数: 0
Can specific THz fields induce collective base-flipping in DNA? A stochastic averaging and resonant enhancement investigation based on a new mesoscopic model. 特定太赫兹场能否诱导 DNA 中的集体碱基翻转?基于新介观模型的随机平均和共振增强研究。
IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0208609
Wang Sang Koon, Houman Owhadi, Molei Tao, Tomohiro Yanao

We study the metastability, internal frequencies, activation mechanism, energy transfer, and the collective base-flipping in a mesoscopic DNA via resonance with specific electric fields. Our new mesoscopic DNA model takes into account not only the issues of helicity and the coupling of an electric field with the base dipole moments, but also includes environmental effects, such as fluid viscosity and thermal noise. Also, all the parameter values are chosen to best represent the typical values for the opening and closing dynamics of a DNA. Our study shows that while the mesoscopic DNA is metastable and robust to environmental effects, it is vulnerable to certain frequencies that could be targeted by specific THz fields for triggering its collective base-flipping dynamics and causing large amplitude separation of base pairs. Based on applying the Freidlin-Wentzell method of stochastic averaging and the newly developed theory of resonant enhancement to our mesoscopic DNA model, our semi-analytic estimates show that the required fields should be THz fields with frequencies around 0.28 THz and with amplitudes in the order of 450 kV/cm. These estimates compare well with the experimental data of Titova et al., which have demonstrated that they could affect the function of DNA in human skin tissues by THz pulses with frequencies around 0.5 THz and with a peak electric field at 220 kV/cm. Moreover, our estimates also conform to a number of other experimental results, which appeared in the last couple years.

我们研究了介观 DNA 通过与特定电场共振的蜕变性、内部频率、活化机制、能量转移和集体碱基翻转。我们的新介观 DNA 模型不仅考虑了螺旋度和电场与碱基偶极矩的耦合问题,还包括环境效应,如流体粘度和热噪声。此外,所有参数值的选择都是为了最好地代表 DNA 打开和关闭动态的典型值。我们的研究表明,虽然介观 DNA 对环境影响具有稳态和稳健性,但它很容易受到某些频率的影响,而特定的太赫兹场可能会触发其集体碱基翻转动力学,并导致碱基对的大振幅分离。根据弗里德林-文采尔随机平均法和新开发的共振增强理论对我们的介观 DNA 模型的应用,我们的半分析估计表明,所需的场应该是频率在 0.28 THz 左右、振幅在 450 kV/cm 左右的 THz 场。这些估计值与 Titova 等人的实验数据相差无几,后者证明,频率约为 0.5 THz、峰值电场为 220 kV/cm 的 THz 脉冲可以影响人体皮肤组织中 DNA 的功能。此外,我们的估算也符合最近几年出现的其他一些实验结果。
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引用次数: 0
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