Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-12DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108953
Rajabrata Banerjee , Vandana Arya , Saikat Sinha Roy
This paper examines the effectiveness of foreign aid in the agricultural sector in the presence of climate variability. Climate variability, measured by fluctuations in temperature and precipitation rates, can disrupt production and, in particular, lower agricultural productivity and access to food. On the other hand, foreign aid in agriculture is targeted towards low- and middle-income countries to increase people's welfare and strengthen governments' development goals. Using data from 53 countries during 1990–2019, this study examines the effect of different types of agricultural aid on agricultural labour productivity in the presence of climate change shocks. In particular, four distinct channels of agricultural aid are considered, viz. Education, R&D, Policy, and Services. We find that R&D aid is the most effective channel in mitigating the adverse effects of climate variability. These results are robust to endogeneity biases and alternative estimation techniques. Findings from this study have substantial policy implications, as we show that aid effectively mitigates the impacts of climate change and presents sustainable growth opportunities for poor and developing countries.
{"title":"Can foreign aid mitigate the effects of climate variability in agriculture? Evidence from the low-and middle-income countries","authors":"Rajabrata Banerjee , Vandana Arya , Saikat Sinha Roy","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108953","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108953","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effectiveness of foreign aid in the agricultural sector in the presence of climate variability. Climate variability, measured by fluctuations in temperature and precipitation rates, can disrupt production and, in particular, lower agricultural productivity and access to food. On the other hand, foreign aid in agriculture is targeted towards low- and middle-income countries to increase people's welfare and strengthen governments' development goals. Using data from 53 countries during 1990–2019, this study examines the effect of different types of agricultural aid on agricultural labour productivity in the presence of climate change shocks. In particular, four distinct channels of agricultural aid are considered, viz. Education, R&D, Policy, and Services. We find that R&D aid is the most effective channel in mitigating the adverse effects of climate variability. These results are robust to endogeneity biases and alternative estimation techniques. Findings from this study have substantial policy implications, as we show that aid effectively mitigates the impacts of climate change and presents sustainable growth opportunities for poor and developing countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"244 ","pages":"Article 108953"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146161051","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2025-11-15DOI: 10.1016/j.infoecopol.2025.101150
Damien Girollet
This paper investigates whether mobile network coverage affects the performance of informal firms in Africa. Using business surveys conducted by Research ICT Africa in 2017-18 in eight sub-Saharan African countries, we rely on historic exposure to lightning strikes as an instrument for mobile network coverage to address endogeneity issues. Our findings show that firms with access to mobile connectivity report significantly higher sales and profits, supporting theoretical predictions on the overall positive effects of digital technology diffusion. As expected, this effect is even stronger for informal firms that actively leverage mobile technologies in their business operations, reflecting the direct benefits of purposeful adoption. These findings suggest that, while mobile network coverage and mobile phone ownership have expanded rapidly across Africa, effective adoption of mobile technology remains a key priority. Significant challenges persist regarding digital inequalities in usage, driven by affordability and skill gaps, highlighting the need for public policies to ensure that informal firms have equitable access to the economic opportunities offered by digital infrastructure.
{"title":"Does mobile network coverage increase the performance of informal firms? Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Damien Girollet","doi":"10.1016/j.infoecopol.2025.101150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.infoecopol.2025.101150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates whether mobile network coverage affects the performance of informal firms in Africa. Using business surveys conducted by Research ICT Africa in 2017-18 in eight sub-Saharan African countries, we rely on historic exposure to lightning strikes as an instrument for mobile network coverage to address endogeneity issues. Our findings show that firms with access to mobile connectivity report significantly higher sales and profits, supporting theoretical predictions on the overall positive effects of digital technology diffusion. As expected, this effect is even stronger for informal firms that actively leverage mobile technologies in their business operations, reflecting the direct benefits of purposeful adoption. These findings suggest that, while mobile network coverage and mobile phone ownership have expanded rapidly across Africa, effective adoption of mobile technology remains a key priority. Significant challenges persist regarding digital inequalities in usage, driven by affordability and skill gaps, highlighting the need for public policies to ensure that informal firms have equitable access to the economic opportunities offered by digital infrastructure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47029,"journal":{"name":"Information Economics and Policy","volume":"72 ","pages":"Article 101150"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145584442","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-08DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2026.106324
Tengjiao He , Yijun Yu , Yufei Zhang , Li Wang
This study investigates whether judicial independence can restrain corporate fraud. We take a unique personnel and financial reform in China’s local courts, which shifts the power of financial management and local judge appointment from municipal governments to the provincial level, as a natural experiment. This reform significantly strengthens the judicial independence of the local courts. Collecting data from Chinese A-share listed firms from 2011 to 2021 for empirical analysis, we find that this staggered judicial independence reform significantly restrains corporate fraud. Our mechanism analysis suggests that the judicial independence reform restrains corporate fraud by breaking local judicial protectionism, improving corporate governance, and relaxing financial constraints. This effect is more pronounced for state-owned enterprises, firms with political connections, and firms in poor legal environments. Overall, our research provides new evidence on how judicial independence restrains firm fraud, which provides important policy implications.
{"title":"Can judicial independence restrain corporate fraud? Empirical evidence from Chinese A-share listed firms","authors":"Tengjiao He , Yijun Yu , Yufei Zhang , Li Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.irle.2026.106324","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irle.2026.106324","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates whether judicial independence can restrain corporate fraud. We take a unique personnel and financial reform in China’s local courts, which shifts the power of financial management and local judge appointment from municipal governments to the provincial level, as a natural experiment. This reform significantly strengthens the judicial independence of the local courts. Collecting data from Chinese A-share listed firms from 2011 to 2021 for empirical analysis, we find that this staggered judicial independence reform significantly restrains corporate fraud. Our mechanism analysis suggests that the judicial independence reform restrains corporate fraud by breaking local judicial protectionism, improving corporate governance, and relaxing financial constraints. This effect is more pronounced for state-owned enterprises, firms with political connections, and firms in poor legal environments. Overall, our research provides new evidence on how judicial independence restrains firm fraud, which provides important policy implications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47202,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Law and Economics","volume":"86 ","pages":"Article 106324"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146175232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-01-29DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101694
Jingjing Chen , George J. Jiang , Chenye Liu , Dongming Zhu
We propose a simple momentum indicator positivity, defined as the percentage of days with non-negative returns, and show that it has a strong predictive power for stock returns over long horizons up to five years. The return-predictive power outlasts other conventional momentum indicators, including past stock returns and stock return consistency. We show that winners identified by positivity are young small-medium value firms, with relatively low sales growth but high earnings growth and robust fundamentals. Moreover, we show that in contrast to volatile “glamorous” growth stocks, these steady value stocks receive less attention of short-term speculative and noise traders and have modest valuation. Finally, we show that the long-lasting momentum of high positivity stocks is justified by persistent superior fundamental performance.
{"title":"Positivity and long-lasting momentum","authors":"Jingjing Chen , George J. Jiang , Chenye Liu , Dongming Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101694","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101694","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We propose a simple momentum indicator <em>positivity</em>, defined as the percentage of days with non-negative returns, and show that it has a strong predictive power for stock returns over long horizons up to five years. The return-predictive power outlasts other conventional momentum indicators, including past stock returns and stock return consistency. We show that winners identified by positivity are young small-medium value firms, with relatively low sales growth but high earnings growth and robust fundamentals. Moreover, we show that in contrast to volatile “glamorous” growth stocks, these steady value stocks receive less attention of short-term speculative and noise traders and have modest valuation. Finally, we show that the long-lasting momentum of high positivity stocks is justified by persistent superior fundamental performance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15704,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Empirical Finance","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 101694"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146122635","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-04DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2026.102889
Marta Favara , Joanna Mihaylova , Alan Sánchez
This paper investigates the role of precommitment in making healthy food choices, using a lab-in-the-field experiment embedded in the Young Lives longitudinal study in Peru. Leveraging the fact that participants were scheduled for a blood test and would therefore require a snack afterwards, we elicited participants’ snack choice from a predefined set. Participants were asked whether they wished to pre-commit to their preferred snack choice (either healthy or unhealthy) to be consumed the following day, following their blood test, or to choose the snack on the spot. A randomised subsample was informed about the rationale for precommitment (information treatment) prior to their decision. After deciding whether they would like to pre-commit their snack choice or not, participants were again randomised into two groups: the first group had their preferred choice (either pre-commit or choose on the spot) implemented; in contrast, the second group’s choice was overridden (‘choice override’ treatment). Our findings suggest that: first, there is a high demand for precommitment, with 68.5% of participants wanting to pre-commit their preferred snack choice. Second, the information treatment had no significant effect on participants’ willingness to pre-commit. Third, overriding participants’ precommitment decision leads to asymmetric effects on desired behaviour: for those who had pre-committed to a healthy snack, being forced to choose on the spot decreases healthy food choice; conversely, those who pre-committed to an unhealthy snack were more likely to choose a healthy one. These findings highlight the need to carefully target commitment devices, given their potential asymmetric effects on desired behaviours.
{"title":"When choice matters: The asymmetric effects of precommitment implementation on healthy food choice","authors":"Marta Favara , Joanna Mihaylova , Alan Sánchez","doi":"10.1016/j.joep.2026.102889","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.joep.2026.102889","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the role of precommitment in making healthy food choices, using a lab-in-the-field experiment embedded in the Young Lives longitudinal study in Peru. Leveraging the fact that participants were scheduled for a blood test and would therefore require a snack afterwards, we elicited participants’ snack choice from a predefined set. Participants were asked whether they wished to pre-commit to their preferred snack choice (either healthy or unhealthy) to be consumed the following day, following their blood test, or to choose the snack on the spot. A randomised subsample was informed about the rationale for precommitment (information treatment) prior to their decision. After deciding whether they would like to pre-commit their snack choice or not, participants were again randomised into two groups: the first group had their preferred choice (either pre-commit or choose on the spot) implemented; in contrast, the second group’s choice was overridden (‘choice override’ treatment). Our findings suggest that: first, there is a high demand for precommitment, with 68.5% of participants wanting to pre-commit their preferred snack choice. Second, the information treatment had no significant effect on participants’ willingness to pre-commit. Third, overriding participants’ precommitment decision leads to asymmetric effects on desired behaviour: for those who had pre-committed to a healthy snack, being forced to choose on the spot decreases healthy food choice; conversely, those who pre-committed to an unhealthy snack were more likely to choose a healthy one. These findings highlight the need to carefully target commitment devices, given their potential asymmetric effects on desired behaviours.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48318,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Psychology","volume":"114 ","pages":"Article 102889"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146122683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-07DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108947
Fander Falconí , Rafael Burbano , Pedro Cango , Ruthy Intriago
The aim of this article is to examine the causes of the increase in material extraction in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) in a context of weak relative dematerialization. It argues that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, far from reducing pressure on natural resources, has driven the expansion of extraction by sustaining a growth pattern based on material-intensive activities. In this context, the article analyses the causes and consequences of this intensification between 1970 and 2023, highlighting its negative impacts on ecosystems and the emergence of social conflicts, and incorporates a comparative perspective with other world regions. The results, based on a VAR model, show that in LAC and South America extraction increases in response to economic growth, as expressed by GDP; and, using a PVAR model and Granger causality tests reveals that LAC extraction affects only fossil fuel exports. In South America, there is bidirectional causality between extraction and fossil fuel exports, while biomass exports depend on extraction. These findings stress the urgent need to redirect economic strategies toward more sustainable and equitable development models in the region.
{"title":"Extraction and dematerialization in Latin America, 1970–2023","authors":"Fander Falconí , Rafael Burbano , Pedro Cango , Ruthy Intriago","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108947","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108947","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The aim of this article is to examine the causes of the increase in material extraction in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) in a context of weak relative dematerialization. It argues that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, far from reducing pressure on natural resources, has driven the expansion of extraction by sustaining a growth pattern based on material-intensive activities. In this context, the article analyses the causes and consequences of this intensification between 1970 and 2023, highlighting its negative impacts on ecosystems and the emergence of social conflicts, and incorporates a comparative perspective with other world regions. The results, based on a VAR model, show that in LAC and South America extraction increases in response to economic growth, as expressed by GDP; and, using a PVAR model and Granger causality tests reveals that LAC extraction affects only fossil fuel exports. In South America, there is bidirectional causality between extraction and fossil fuel exports, while biomass exports depend on extraction. These findings stress the urgent need to redirect economic strategies toward more sustainable and equitable development models in the region.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"244 ","pages":"Article 108947"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146135183","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-13DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107344
Nick Dorward , Kristian Hoelscher
Africa is undergoing a rapid process of urban demographic change. Increasingly youthful population structures are defining the continent’s towns and cities. Scholarship suggests this will be associated with greater protest incidence and lower levels of voting and electoral participation. However, these findings often rely on national-level data, despite there being considerable subnational variation in population structures between African cities. Building on existing theory, we argue that local demographic contexts matter for political behaviour. Specifically, we hypothesise that youthful urban demographic structures will be associated with lower levels of formal political participation (voting) and greater levels of informal contentious mobilisation (protest) for all individuals, and that the magnitude of this effect will be greater for younger people. We test these expectations using novel geospatial data on the spatial extent of unique urban settlements, urban-level age and sex structures, and geolocated individual-level survey data from 399 cities in 36 countries across Africa. Using multilevel regression, we find that individuals are more likely to vote in more youthful urban contexts, with young people no more or less likely to vote than their older counterparts. Conversely, we find no significant relationship between individual protest participation and city youth shares overall. However, young people in more youthful cities are significantly more likely to protest than older people. In light of these findings, we discuss how the demographic composition of individual cities in Africa nuances our understanding of political behaviour and contentious mobilisation.
{"title":"Urbanisation and the political demography of African cities","authors":"Nick Dorward , Kristian Hoelscher","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107344","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107344","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Africa is undergoing a rapid process of urban demographic change. Increasingly youthful population structures are defining the continent’s towns and cities. Scholarship suggests this will be associated with greater protest incidence and lower levels of voting and electoral participation. However, these findings often rely on national-level data, despite there being considerable subnational variation in population structures between African cities. Building on existing theory, we argue that local demographic contexts matter for political behaviour. Specifically, we hypothesise that youthful urban demographic structures will be associated with lower levels of formal political participation (voting) and greater levels of informal contentious mobilisation (protest) for all individuals, and that the magnitude of this effect will be greater for younger people. We test these expectations using novel geospatial data on the spatial extent of unique urban settlements, urban-level age and sex structures, and geolocated individual-level survey data from 399 cities in 36 countries across Africa. Using multilevel regression, we find that individuals are more likely to vote in more youthful urban contexts, with young people no more or less likely to vote than their older counterparts. Conversely, we find no significant relationship between individual protest participation and city youth shares overall. However, young people in more youthful cities are significantly more likely to protest than older people. In light of these findings, we discuss how the demographic composition of individual cities in Africa nuances our understanding of political behaviour and contentious mobilisation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"202 ","pages":"Article 107344"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146193122","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-21DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115196
Carlos Guadarrama , Yaya Liu
This paper examines why extensive adoption of off-grid and mini-grid “best practice” policies has not translated into improved electricity access outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. Building on the Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy (RISE), we combine a cross-sectional analysis of rural electrification rates with a nested analysis of four contrasting country cases—Kenya, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, and South Sudan. We find that higher RISE off-grid and mini-grid scores are not associated with better rural electrification outcomes, and that countries with near-complete policy adoption can exhibit low access rates. The case studies show that local capabilities, a small number of cross-cutting policies, financing availability, and appropriate policy sequencing matter more than policy quantity. These findings highlight the limits of best-practice benchmarking in low-capacity contexts and suggest that RISE is most useful as a diagnostic policy database rather than a performance metric. The results have implications for policymakers and development partners seeking to accelerate progress toward SDG7.
{"title":"Good students, mimics and laggards: Policy lessons for closing electricity access gaps in Africa","authors":"Carlos Guadarrama , Yaya Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115196","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115196","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines why extensive adoption of off-grid and mini-grid “best practice” policies has not translated into improved electricity access outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. Building on the Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy (RISE), we combine a cross-sectional analysis of rural electrification rates with a nested analysis of four contrasting country cases—Kenya, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, and South Sudan. We find that higher RISE off-grid and mini-grid scores are not associated with better rural electrification outcomes, and that countries with near-complete policy adoption can exhibit low access rates. The case studies show that local capabilities, a small number of cross-cutting policies, financing availability, and appropriate policy sequencing matter more than policy quantity. These findings highlight the limits of best-practice benchmarking in low-capacity contexts and suggest that RISE is most useful as a diagnostic policy database rather than a performance metric. The results have implications for policymakers and development partners seeking to accelerate progress toward SDG7.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"213 ","pages":"Article 115196"},"PeriodicalIF":9.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147386859","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-02-20DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115150
Paolo Mastropietro, Pablo Rodilla
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Support mechanisms for low-carbon hydrogen: The risks of segmenting a commodity market” [Energy Policy 202 art 114605 DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114605]","authors":"Paolo Mastropietro, Pablo Rodilla","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115150","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"213 ","pages":"Article 115150"},"PeriodicalIF":9.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147386894","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115214
Yugang He
Cleaner production is central to reconciling economic growth with climate goals, yet its drivers operate unevenly across space. This study examines the determinants of provincial carbon emissions using an annual panel of Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2023, with explicit attention to structural, technological, and institutional heterogeneity. The analysis evaluates the roles of renewable energy deployment and green innovation, while systematically accounting for GDP per capita, industrial structure, urbanization, foreign direct investment, and environmental regulation. Across a suite of complementary estimators that address cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity, higher renewable energy shares and stronger innovation capacity are consistently associated with lower CO2 emissions. These mitigation effects are economically meaningful and robust, whereas economic growth remains emissions-increasing. By contrast, industrial upgrading and stringent environmental regulation are linked to significant emission reductions, urbanization exhibits a modest positive association, and the effect of foreign direct investment is weak and context dependent. Distribution-sensitive estimates further reveal pronounced asymmetries: the emissions-reducing impacts of renewable energy and innovation intensify markedly in high-emission provinces, highlighting the limits of uniform policy prescriptions. Machine-learning validation confirms the dominant importance of renewable energy and innovation among competing drivers and supports the stability of the empirical patterns. Taken together, the findings underscore the value of regionally differentiated strategies that integrate clean energy expansion, innovation incentives, and enforceable regulation. Such an approach directly advances SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and SDG 13 (Climate Action), while reinforcing SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure) and SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production) through cleaner and more resilient production systems.
{"title":"Energy policy strategies for cleaner production: The roles of renewable energy and green innovation","authors":"Yugang He","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115214","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115214","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cleaner production is central to reconciling economic growth with climate goals, yet its drivers operate unevenly across space. This study examines the determinants of provincial carbon emissions using an annual panel of Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2023, with explicit attention to structural, technological, and institutional heterogeneity. The analysis evaluates the roles of renewable energy deployment and green innovation, while systematically accounting for GDP per capita, industrial structure, urbanization, foreign direct investment, and environmental regulation. Across a suite of complementary estimators that address cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity, higher renewable energy shares and stronger innovation capacity are consistently associated with lower CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. These mitigation effects are economically meaningful and robust, whereas economic growth remains emissions-increasing. By contrast, industrial upgrading and stringent environmental regulation are linked to significant emission reductions, urbanization exhibits a modest positive association, and the effect of foreign direct investment is weak and context dependent. Distribution-sensitive estimates further reveal pronounced asymmetries: the emissions-reducing impacts of renewable energy and innovation intensify markedly in high-emission provinces, highlighting the limits of uniform policy prescriptions. Machine-learning validation confirms the dominant importance of renewable energy and innovation among competing drivers and supports the stability of the empirical patterns. Taken together, the findings underscore the value of regionally differentiated strategies that integrate clean energy expansion, innovation incentives, and enforceable regulation. Such an approach directly advances SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and SDG 13 (Climate Action), while reinforcing SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure) and SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production) through cleaner and more resilient production systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"213 ","pages":"Article 115214"},"PeriodicalIF":9.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147386908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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