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Issue Information: International Journal of Economic Theory 4/2025 期刊信息:International Journal of Economic Theory /2025
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.12404
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引用次数: 0
Campaign spending in elections with micro-targeting and ideologically biased voters 在有微观目标和意识形态偏见的选民的选举中的竞选支出
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70007
Marco Magnani

We study interactions between campaign spending and ideology in an election where two parties compete over an electorate with ideologically biased voters. The parties target voters with costly persuasive effort, which, together with ideology, defines the party each voter votes for. In equilibrium, the joint distribution of party expenditures reaches a maximum for a specific value of the ideological bias, which identifies the focus of the campaign, that is, the group most heavily targeted by the campaign. This focus shifts from swing voters to the strongest partisans of the party with the smaller budget, as the gap between party budgets increases.

我们研究了在两党争夺有意识形态偏见的选民的选举中,竞选支出和意识形态之间的相互作用。两党以昂贵的说服努力来吸引选民,这与意识形态一起决定了每个选民投票给哪个政党。在均衡状态下,政党支出的共同分配对于特定价值的意识形态偏见达到最大值,该价值确定了竞选活动的重点,即竞选活动最主要的目标群体。随着两党预算差距的扩大,这种关注从摇摆选民转移到预算较少的政党中最坚定的党派。
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引用次数: 0
Learning in random utility models via online decision problems 基于在线决策问题的随机实用模型学习
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70006
Emerson Melo

This paper examines the Random Utility Model (RUM) in repeated stochastic choice settings where decision-makers lack full information about payoffs. We propose a gradient-based learning algorithm that embeds RUM into an online decision-making framework. Our analysis establishes Hannan consistency for a broad class of RUMs, meaning the average regret relative to the best fixed action in hindsight vanishes over time. We also show that our algorithm is equivalent to the Follow-The-Regularized-Leader method, offering an economically grounded approach to online optimization. Applications include modeling recency bias and characterizing coarse correlated equilibria in normal-form games.

本文研究了决策者缺乏关于收益的充分信息的重复随机选择设置中的随机效用模型(RUM)。我们提出了一种基于梯度的学习算法,将RUM嵌入到在线决策框架中。我们的分析建立了汉南一致性,这意味着相对于事后最佳固定行动的平均后悔会随着时间的推移而消失。我们还表明,我们的算法等效于跟随正则化领导者方法,为在线优化提供了一种经济基础的方法。应用包括建模近因偏差和表征在正规博弈的粗相关均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information: International Journal of Economic Theory 3/2025 期刊信息:International Journal of Economic Theory 3/2025
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-20 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.12403
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引用次数: 0
Cross-ownership and environmental R&D risk choices in a differentiated duopoly 差异化双头垄断下的交叉持股与环境研发风险选择
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70005
Dongdong Li, Xiaochan Yan, Yue Zhang

This paper develops a differentiated duopoly model to investigate the optimal environmental R&D (ER&D) risk choices of firms with cross-ownership under an emission tax. The results show that when firms hold shares in each other, cross-ownership incentivizes firms to undertake greater ER&D risks. The private incentive for ER&D risk is lower than the social incentive when the emission tax rate is low relative to the marginal environmental damage. However, a higher share of cross-ownership can bring the private optimum closer to the social optimum under certain conditions. We also find that under unilateral shareholding, a firm partially owned by its rival assumes higher ER&D risk than the firm owning its shares, but both take on less risk than under cross-ownership. Finally, we show that ER&D risk is higher under Bertrand competition than under Cournot competition.

本文建立了一个差异化的双寡头模型,研究了排放税下交叉所有制企业的最优环境研发风险选择。结果表明,当企业相互持有股份时,交叉持股激励企业承担更大的er&d风险。相对于边际环境损害而言,当排放税率较低时,企业对环境污染风险的私人激励低于社会激励。然而,在一定条件下,较高的交叉所有权比例可以使私人最优更接近社会最优。我们还发现,在单方持股的情况下,被竞争对手部分持股的企业承担的er&&d风险高于拥有其股份的企业,但两者承担的风险都低于交叉持股的企业。最后,我们发现贝特朗竞争下的er&d风险高于古诺竞争。
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引用次数: 0
Government's high education policy under a dual economy in developing and developed countries 发展中国家与发达国家二元经济体制下的政府高等教育政策
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70003
Michel Strawczynski

This paper explores the government's role in higher education policy within a dual economy, where skilled workers invest in higher education while unskilled workers do not. The novel question is whether the government should refrain from subsidizing higher education while imposing regulations, supporting a restricted, elitist system. I demonstrate that under an optimal linear income tax, government favors a restricted system. Through simulations, I show that this result also holds under a nonlinear system. Concerning developing countries, their preference for a restricted system is even more pronounced, and if trapped in a low equilibrium, international institutions can provide enhancing social welfare subsidies.

本文探讨了政府在双重经济中高等教育政策中的作用,在双重经济中,技术工人投资高等教育,而非技术工人则不投资。一个新颖的问题是,政府是否应该避免在补贴高等教育的同时,施加监管,支持一个受限制的精英体系。我证明了在最优线性所得税下,政府倾向于限制制度。通过仿真,我证明了这个结果在非线性系统下也是成立的。对于发展中国家来说,它们对限制制度的偏好更加明显,如果陷入低均衡,国际机构可以提供增强的社会福利补贴。
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引用次数: 0
Competition between workers and capitalists in the globalized world: A directed technical change approach 全球化世界中工人和资本家之间的竞争:一种定向的技术变革方法
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70004
Óscar Afonso, Pedro Mazeda Gil

This paper analyzes, in the institutional context of globalized market economies, the competition between skilled and unskilled workers and between workers and capital owners (“capitalists”). We consider a directed technical change model with R&D and relocation of production from an innovative to a follower region. Relocations leverage the follower region's comparative advantages and improve resource allocation on a global scale. Consequently, resources are freed up for R&D, benefiting internationally available technological knowledge and ensuring higher economic growth and wages, with reduced inter-region wage inequality. These effects can be enhanced by governmental actions promoting relocations or the producers' market power. Relocations benefit all economic agents' welfare through larger consumption levels and economic growth. But the actions of a region's government promoting market power impacts workers' and capitalists' welfare differently. The workers' welfare is affected by market power through two effects of opposite signs (it penalizes consumption but favors economic growth), while the capitalists' welfare is always improved by more market power. Accordingly, both capitalists and workers favor market power, but the former favor it more than the latter. Lower economic growth exacerbates the circumstances leading to conflict between workers and capitalists.

本文在全球化市场经济的制度背景下,分析了熟练工人和非熟练工人之间以及工人和资本所有者(“资本家”)之间的竞争。我们考虑了一个直接的技术变革模型,包括研发和生产从创新地区转移到跟随地区。迁移利用了跟随地区的比较优势,改善了全球范围内的资源配置。因此,资源被释放出来用于研发,使国际上可获得的技术知识受益,并确保更高的经济增长和工资,同时减少区域间的工资不平等。这些影响可以通过政府促进搬迁或生产者的市场力量的行动来增强。通过更大的消费水平和经济增长,重新安置有利于所有经济主体的福利。但是,一个地区政府促进市场力量的行为对工人和资本家福利的影响是不同的。市场支配力通过两种相反的效应影响工人的福利(抑制消费但有利于经济增长),而市场支配力的增加总是提高资本家的福利。因此,资本家和工人都支持市场力量,但前者比后者更支持市场力量。较低的经济增长加剧了工人和资本家之间的冲突。
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引用次数: 0
Infectious disease and endogenous cycles: Lockdown hits two birds with one stone 传染病和内源性循环:封锁一举两得
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70001
David Desmarchelier, Magali Jaoul-Grammare, Guillaume Morel, Thi K. C. Pham

This paper develops a competitive Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans framework in which an infectious disease is considered. A lockdown is introduced to control the disease spread. Considering the dynamics, a stable limit cycle can emerge near the endemic steady-state, through a Hopf bifurcation, when the share of infectives increases sufficiently the marginal utility of consumption. Particularly, we prove that it is possible to tune the lockdown to simultaneously obtain the limit cycle disappearance and the disease eradication (Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation). In this sense, the lockdown allows hitting two birds with one stone.

本文建立了一个考虑传染病的竞争Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans框架。封锁是为了控制疾病的传播。考虑到动力学,当感染者的份额足够增加到消费的边际效用时,通过Hopf分岔,在地方性稳态附近可以出现稳定的极限环。特别地,我们证明了可以调整锁定以同时获得极限环消失和疾病根除(Bogdanov-Takens分岔)。从这个意义上说,封锁是一箭双雕。
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引用次数: 0
Anticipation under lack of commitment leads to excess growth 缺乏承诺下的预期导致过度增长
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70002
Gerhard Sorger

We study a simple asset accumulation problem in which instantaneous utility depends not only on current consumption but also on anticipated future consumption. This feature of the preferences renders them dynamically inconsistent. We solve the model under the assumptions that the decision maker (i) is aware of the dynamic inconsistency and (ii) lacks commitment power (sophisticated approach). It is shown that asset growth under these assumptions always exceeds the corresponding growth rate under commitment.

我们研究了一个简单的资产积累问题,其中瞬时效用不仅取决于当前的消费,而且取决于预期的未来消费。首选项的这个特性使它们动态地不一致。我们在假设决策者(i)意识到动态不一致性和(ii)缺乏承诺能力(复杂方法)的情况下求解模型。结果表明,这些假设下的资产增长率总是超过承诺下的相应增长率。
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引用次数: 0
Growth and inflation targeting by the government and the central bank: Alignment or conflict? 政府和央行的增长和通胀目标:一致还是冲突?
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/ijet.70000
Gopal K. Basak, Mrinal K. Ghosh, Diganta Mukherjee

We model a stochastic dynamic optimization problem for the government and bank, targeting growth and inflation. These significant objectives are not necessarily aligned. We use a dynamic strategic interaction model under uncertainty, where the two parties involved take decisions alternately. We posit a suitable cost of deviation and joint value function to be optimized. We also demonstrate target achievability and provide real empirical and simulated numerical results that support our conclusions. We highlight that duality leads to a trade-off and, due to staggered decision making, fluctuations in target achievement are inevitable and not proof of inefficiency.

我们建立了一个以经济增长和通货膨胀为目标的政府和银行的随机动态优化问题模型。这些重要的目标不一定是一致的。本文采用不确定条件下的动态战略交互模型,其中涉及的双方交替决策。我们假设了一个合适的偏差代价和待优化的联合值函数。我们还证明了目标的可实现性,并提供了真实的经验和模拟数值结果来支持我们的结论。我们强调,二元性导致权衡,由于交错决策,目标实现的波动是不可避免的,并不是效率低下的证明。
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International Journal of Economic Theory
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