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Investigating urban morphological drivers of household water use in developing economies: A structural equation model approach 调查发展中经济体家庭用水的城市形态驱动因素:结构方程模型方法
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241284824
Tazyeen Alam, Ankhi Banerjee
Urban populations are snowballing, increasing household (HH) water consumption. The growing housing density, the expanding infrastructure, and altered land use patterns place increasing pressure on the water supply and usage. This makes it harder for urban HHs to obtain clean water and worsens water scarcity, with infrastructural and environmental implications for highly populated metropolitan areas. This study aims to quantitatively evaluate the impact of urban morphology on household water use in a developing economy using a Structural Equation Model (SEM), specifically within the growing urban centres surrounding Kolkata in South Bengal. The primary hypothesis projects an increase in urban morphological indicators and HH characteristics that significantly affect water use. The findings reveal that increases in urban morphological indicators are associated with a 34.2% decrease in HH water use, highlighting the importance of urban planning strategies that emphasize compact and diverse urban forms. This work highlights new ways of building cities that consider morphological aspects and allow cities to expand in a way that conserves HH water while being resilient to rapid urban change.
城市人口如滚雪球般增长,家庭(HH)用水量也随之增加。不断增长的住房密度、不断扩大的基础设施以及不断改变的土地使用模式给供水和用水带来了越来越大的压力。这增加了城市家庭获取清洁水的难度,加剧了水资源短缺,对人口高度密集的大都市地区的基础设施和环境造成了影响。本研究旨在利用结构方程模型(SEM)定量评估城市形态对发展中经济体家庭用水的影响,特别是在南孟加拉加尔各答周边不断发展的城市中心。主要假设预测城市形态指标和家庭用水特征的增加会显著影响用水量。研究结果表明,城市形态指标的增加与家庭用水量减少 34.2% 相关联,突出了强调紧凑和多样化城市形态的城市规划战略的重要性。这项研究强调了建设城市的新方法,即考虑城市形态方面的因素,使城市在扩展时既能节约家庭用水,又能适应快速的城市变化。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a more realistic estimation of urban land take by combining cadastral parcels and building footprints 通过结合地籍地块和建筑足迹,对城市用地进行更切合实际的估算
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241282092
Apostolos Lagarias, Demetris Stathakis
Despite its importance as a research issue, a widely accepted methodology of estimating land take resulting from urbanization has not yet been reached. Accurate geospatial datasets are currently available at a European and global level; however, different methods of quantifying urban land take could lead to diverse outputs, potentially resulting in underestimation. This can be alarming as encroaching urban sprawl is emerging as a major environmental challenge by destroying natural habitats, consuming productive agricultural land, and contributing to climate change by increasing energy demands. To address this knowledge gap, we propose an estimation of urban land take that combines cadastral parcels and building footprints. Land parcels can be considered as a suitable minimum mapping unit as they are directly related to the spatial level where economic decisions on land use conversion are made. The proposed geospatial method is compared to methods that depend on datasets of High Resolution Layer Imperviousness, Global Building Footprints (alone), Corine Land Cover, Urban Atlas, and Global Human Settlement Layer. The method is exemplified in case studies in Greece, specifically: (a) two islands of the South Aegean Region (Mykonos and Thera), that are heavily impacted by tourism development and sprawl and (b) a peri-urban zone (Thermaikos-Michaniona) within the metropolitan area of Thessaloniki, impacted by intense suburbanization. Results show that urban land consumes important shares of available land since the mid-20th century, this fact highlighting the dynamic encroachment of urban development. Calculation shows that other methods could underestimate urbanized areas by up to 80%–90%. In the discussion section, the advantages of shifting the focus from the pixel to the parcel are further justified, while explicit links to spatial planning policies for sprawl containment are drawn. Such policies could be informed by more realistic estimations of urban land take, in order to proceed with strategic and regulatory measures to support the ‘no net land take’ policy of Europe.
尽管这是一个重要的研究课题,但目前还没有一种广为接受的方法来估算城市化造成的土地占用。目前,在欧洲和全球范围内都有精确的地理空间数据集;然而,不同的城市土地占用量化方法可能导致不同的结果,从而可能导致低估。这种情况令人担忧,因为城市无计划扩张正在成为一项重大的环境挑战,它破坏了自然栖息地,消耗了农业生产用地,并通过增加能源需求加剧了气候变化。为了弥补这一知识空白,我们提出了一种结合地籍地块和建筑物足迹的城市用地估算方法。地块可被视为合适的最小制图单元,因为它们与做出土地用途转换经济决策的空间层面直接相关。建议的地理空间方法与依赖于高分辨率不透水层、全球建筑足迹(单独)、Corine 土地覆盖、城市图集和全球人类居住层数据集的方法进行了比较。该方法在希腊的案例研究中进行了示范,特别是:(a) 南爱琴海地区的两个岛屿(米克诺斯岛和泰拉岛),这两个岛屿受到旅游业发展和无序扩张的严重影响;(b) 塞萨洛尼基大都市区内的一个近郊区(Thermaikos-Michaniona),受到严重郊区化的影响。结果表明,自 20 世纪中期以来,城市用地消耗了大量可用土地,这一事实凸显了城市发展的动态侵蚀。计算结果表明,其他方法可能会低估城市化面积达 80%-90%。在讨论部分,进一步论证了将关注点从像素转移到地块的优势,同时明确了与遏制无计划扩展的空间规划政策的联系。通过对城市用地进行更切合实际的估算,可以为这些政策提供依据,从而采取战略和监管措施,支持欧洲的 "无净土地占用 "政策。
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引用次数: 0
A sidewalk-level urban heat risk assessment framework using pedestrian mobility and urban microclimate modeling 利用行人流动性和城市微气候建模的人行道级城市热风险评估框架
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241280746
Nicola Colaninno, Rounaq Basu, Maryam Hosseini, Abdulaziz Alhassan, Liu Liu, Andres Sevtsuk
Climate change and the associated increase in heat-related hazards pose a pressing threat to urban residents’ health and well-being. People, when walking in particular, are at risk of experiencing heat stress as they navigate urban environments. This study proposes a novel heat risk assessment framework combining pedestrian mobility modeling with urban microclimate modeling. Using this framework, we assessed pedestrian heat-related exposure and risk in urban areas by integrating the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) as the hazard and pedestrian trips to critical destinations as exposure. We considered temporal variation, in both hazard and exposure, by examining different time periods during the day—morning peak, midday, and evening peak. In addition to hazard and exposure, we also considered vulnerability by focusing on young children and older adults. We contribute to improving the spatial resolution of heat risk assessment by analyzing the hazard for pedestrian trips between home locations and five critical destinations—bus stops, rail stations, parks, schools, and commercial amenities—at the address-point level and using a pedestrian network comprising sidewalks and crosswalks. Our framework helps identify sidewalks with high heat exposure levels as well as home locations with high cumulative heat risk, accounting for walking trips to critical destinations along feasible routes. We demonstrated the effectiveness of this framework by applying it to a 36-square-kilometer area of central Los Angeles, CA. Our findings offer valuable information to urban planners and policy-makers, supporting evidence-based prioritization of intervention sites, climate adaptation strategies, and policy decisions essential for climate-proof planning. By implementing targeted interventions in areas where heat hazard is expected to affect the most vulnerable pedestrians, planners can create heat-resilient, pedestrian-friendly environments while prioritizing the health and well-being of vulnerable groups. This study contributes to the growing knowledge of robust risk assessment methodologies for climate-proof planning, specifically with regard to addressing outdoor heat-related risks during extreme heat events.
气候变化以及与之相关的热相关危害的增加对城市居民的健康和福祉构成了紧迫威胁。尤其是步行者,他们在城市环境中穿行时有可能遭遇热应激。本研究提出了一个新颖的热风险评估框架,将行人流动性建模与城市微气候建模相结合。利用这一框架,我们将通用热气候指数(UTCI)作为危害因素,将行人前往关键目的地的行程作为暴露因素,从而评估了城市地区行人的热相关暴露和风险。我们通过研究一天中的不同时段--早高峰、午高峰和晚高峰,考虑了危害和暴露的时间变化。除了危险和暴露,我们还考虑了脆弱性,重点关注幼儿和老年人。我们在地址点层面上,利用由人行道和人行横道组成的行人网络,分析了家庭所在地与五个重要目的地--公交车站、火车站、公园、学校和商业设施--之间的行人出行危险,为提高热风险评估的空间分辨率做出了贡献。我们的框架有助于识别热暴露水平较高的人行道以及累积热风险较高的家庭所在地,同时考虑到沿可行路线步行前往重要目的地的人次。我们将该框架应用于加利福尼亚州洛杉矶市中心 36 平方公里的区域,证明了它的有效性。我们的研究结果为城市规划者和政策制定者提供了宝贵的信息,支持以证据为基础确定干预地点、气候适应战略和政策决策的优先次序,这对于气候防护规划至关重要。通过在预计热危害会影响最脆弱的行人的地区实施有针对性的干预措施,规划者可以创造抗热性强、行人友好的环境,同时优先考虑弱势群体的健康和福祉。这项研究有助于加深人们对抵御气候影响规划的稳健风险评估方法的了解,特别是在极端高温事件期间应对户外高温相关风险方面。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping sense of place as a measurable urban identity: Using street view images and machine learning to identify building façade materials 绘制作为可测量城市身份的地方感:利用街景图像和机器学习识别建筑立面材料
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241279992
Xinghan Chen, Xiangwen Ding, Yu Ye
Sense of place, as an intangible perception, is widely recognized as an urban identity and of great value in both cross-cultural studies and contemporary urbanism. Building façade material can effectively capture sense of place due to its combination of physical and social attributes. Nevertheless, there are no widely implementable and high-resolution approaches to identify façade materials on a large scale. As a response, this study proposes a method using street view images (SVIs) and a set of deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to identify building façade materials. Specifically, a large cross-cultural training set was built to promote generalizability. Buildings within SVIs were divided into high-resolution rectangular images and classified using a well-trained Residual Network-50 (ResNet-50) model. Sense of place and its spatial patterns were then depicted by measuring façade material and analytical indicators including diversity and continuity. Eight cities worldwide with distinctive urban identities were examined. The findings revealed that compared to Asian cities, New York City, Chicago, and London are similar, while Paris and Tokyo are more distinctive. While challenges persist in comprehensively measuring the sense of place, the analysis of façade materials offers an insightful indicator that can assist in enhancing urban identity for contemporary urbanism. This study not only promotes the fine development of urban science through the empowerment of intelligent algorithms but also introduces a new perspective on exploring unmeasurable qualities based on the objective physical environment.
地方感作为一种无形的感知,被广泛认为是一种城市特征,在跨文化研究和当代城市化中都具有重要价值。建筑立面材料由于结合了物理和社会属性,可以有效捕捉地方感。然而,目前还没有可广泛实施的高分辨率方法来大规模识别建筑立面材料。为此,本研究提出了一种使用街景图像(SVI)和一组深度卷积神经网络(CNN)来识别建筑立面材料的方法。具体来说,我们建立了一个大型跨文化训练集,以提高普适性。SVI 中的建筑物被划分为高分辨率矩形图像,并使用训练有素的残差网络-50(ResNet-50)模型进行分类。然后,通过测量外立面材料和分析指标(包括多样性和连续性)来描述地方感及其空间模式。研究考察了全球八个具有独特城市特征的城市。研究结果表明,与亚洲城市相比,纽约、芝加哥和伦敦具有相似性,而巴黎和东京则更具特色。虽然在全面衡量地方感方面仍存在挑战,但对建筑外立面材料的分析提供了一个具有洞察力的指标,有助于增强当代城市化的城市认同感。这项研究不仅通过智能算法的赋能促进了城市科学的精细化发展,还为基于客观物理环境探索不可测量的特质引入了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
From urban modelling to city digital twins – Reflections from the applied urban modelling (AUM) symposia 从城市建模到城市数字双胞胎--应用城市建模(AUM)研讨会的思考
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241279601
Li Wan, Ying Jin, Marcial Echenique, Michael Batty, Michael Wegener
City digital twins (CDTs), as digital replica of urban systems and development processes, have been heralded as the next-generation technology for urban planning and management. Arguably, the concept of CDTs is not new. Prior to CDTs, applied urban modelling has been playing a pivot role in supporting city and infrastructure planning since the 1960s. Examining CDTs in relation to conventional urban models can thus offer valuable insights into their nature, potential, and challenges. Such a comparative, reflective exercise, however, remains rare. This commentary aims to share insights and reflections from a dedicated applied urban modelling (AUM) community. It is argued that to substantiate the power of CDTs, a theory-driven modelling strategy is essential for both practical policy analysis and knowledge discovery. Modellers must think beyond the technical perspective and exploring novel use of CDTs beyond optimisation. A blind pursuit for data without building on and expanding existing domain knowledge remains an existential risk for CDTs.
城市数字孪生(CDTs)是城市系统和发展过程的数字复制品,被誉为城市规划和管理的下一代技术。可以说,CDT 的概念并不新鲜。在 CDT 之前,应用城市建模自 20 世纪 60 年代以来就一直在支持城市和基础设施规划方面发挥着关键作用。因此,将 CDT 与传统城市模型联系起来进行研究,可以为了解 CDT 的性质、潜力和挑战提供有价值的见解。然而,这种比较性、反思性的工作仍然很少见。本评论旨在分享专门的应用城市模型(AUM)社区的见解和反思。本文认为,要证实 CDT 的力量,理论驱动的建模策略对于实际政策分析和知识发现都至关重要。建模人员必须超越技术视角,探索 CDT 在优化之外的新用途。盲目追求数据而不借鉴和扩展现有的领域知识,仍然是 CDT 存在的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Visualizing the global deployment of Filipina workers 可视化菲律宾工人的全球部署情况
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241281134
Arnisson Andre C Ortega
Filipina migrant workers have played an important role in various economies and societal sectors across the globe, including providing vital support to healthcare systems during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. This graphics article visualizes their overseas global deployment, mapping their migration into countries that have at least 100 Filipina workers in 2019. The map illustrates sizable deployment of Filipinas to the Middle East and East and Southeast Asia, from 2015 to 2019. While labor migration to East and Southeast Asia has been traditionally female-dominated, the Middle East experienced a gendered shift, from a more male-dominated stock working in the oil industry to a more female workforce supporting the thriving service and commercial industries. Meanwhile, European countries have emerged as major destinations for Filipina workers, experiencing high rates of growth of Filipina deployment. These patterns can potentially inspire future research in understanding gendered shifts in labor migration and help guide policy on labor migration and support systems for Filipinas and their families left behind in the Philippines.
菲律宾移民工人在全球各经济和社会领域发挥了重要作用,包括在 COVID-19 大流行期间为医疗保健系统提供重要支持。这篇图文并茂的文章直观地展示了他们在海外的全球部署情况,描绘了他们在 2019 年向至少拥有 100 名菲律宾工人的国家移民的情况。地图显示,从 2015 年到 2019 年,大量菲律宾人被派往中东、东亚和东南亚。传统上,向东亚和东南亚的劳动力迁移一直以女性为主,而中东则经历了性别转变,从石油工业中以男性为主的劳动力群体转变为支持服务业和商业繁荣的女性劳动力群体。与此同时,欧洲国家已成为菲律宾工人的主要目的地,其菲律宾人的部署增长率很高。这些模式有可能启发未来的研究,以了解劳动力迁移中的性别转变,并帮助指导劳动力迁移政策和菲律宾人及其留在菲律宾的家人的支持系统。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of urban form on physical change: A quantitative and diachronic analysis of urban form evolution in Midtown Manhattan 城市形态对物理变化的影响:曼哈顿中城城市形态演变的定量和非同步分析
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241272096
Onur Tümtürk, Justyna Karakiewicz, Fjalar J de Haan
The importance of urban form as a key factor affecting future development and transformation patterns is well-recognised in urban morphology. However, despite the need for a diachronic approach to rigorously understand the form-change relationship, studies utilising longitudinal datasets remain scarce, and only a small fraction employs quantitative methodologies and morphometric approaches. This paper aims to quantitatively examine how the character of urban form elements and their spatial arrangements influence patterns of physical change, and to assess the performance of geometric and configurational urban form measures of plots, buildings, and streets in explaining physical change patterns over time. We hypothesise that configurational measures, being more sensitive to the relations between urban form elements, can better explain physical changes compared to conventional geometric measures predominantly adopted thus far. To test this hypothesis, we present a diachronic and quantitative methodology to measure urban form conditions and the patterns of physical change in Midtown Manhattan through four time frames (1890, 1920, 1956, and 2021), using a longitudinal geospatial database generated from historical cartographic resources and recent digital datasets. The association between urban form and physical change is demonstrated through statistical analysis. The findings prove that while the prevailing hypotheses emphasising the effect of geometric measures, such as size and shape, are often off the mark, configurational and access-based measures of plots and streets can accurately describe the dynamic relationships between form and change. The character of urban form patterns and structures measured by configurational variables is more reliable than the individual and geometric quality of urban form elements in explaining the dynamics of physical change and persistence. Our empirical findings add to the rapidly expanding fields of urban morphometrics and provide data-informed insights to improve the resilience and adaptive capacity of urban spaces.
城市形态是影响未来发展和转型模式的关键因素,其重要性在城市形态学中已得到广泛认可。然而,尽管需要采用非同步的方法来严格理解形态与变化之间的关系,但利用纵向数据集进行的研究仍然很少,只有一小部分研究采用了定量方法和形态计量学方法。本文旨在定量研究城市形态要素的特征及其空间布局如何影响物理变化模式,并评估地块、建筑和街道的几何和构型城市形态测量方法在解释物理变化模式方面的表现。我们假设,与迄今为止主要采用的传统几何测量方法相比,配置测量方法对城市形态要素之间的关系更加敏感,可以更好地解释物理变化。为了验证这一假设,我们提出了一种非同步的定量方法,利用从历史地图资源和最新数字数据集生成的纵向地理空间数据库,通过四个时间框架(1890 年、1920 年、1956 年和 2021 年)测量曼哈顿中城的城市形态条件和物理变化模式。通过统计分析证明了城市形态与物理变化之间的关联。研究结果证明,尽管强调大小和形状等几何指标影响的普遍假设往往是不正确的,但基于地块和街道的配置和交通指标可以准确描述形式与变化之间的动态关系。与城市形态元素的个体和几何质量相比,以配置变量衡量的城市形态模式和结构的特征在解释物理变化和持久性的动态方面更为可靠。我们的实证研究结果为快速发展的城市形态计量学领域增添了新的内容,并为提高城市空间的复原力和适应能力提供了数据依据。
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引用次数: 0
Interdependence and coordination challenges: EV charging infrastructure and carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta 相互依存与协调挑战:长江三角洲电动汽车充电基础设施与碳排放
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241277865
Qiqi Huang, Changying Xiang
The ambition towards net-zero emission fuels the significance of electric vehicle charging infrastructure (EVCI) as a strategic asset. Yet, a conspicuous gap remains in the comprehensive quantitative analysis of its impact on carbon emissions stemming from fossil fuel combustion, referred to as ODIAC-CE. This study embarks on a longitudinal comparison of EVCI and ODIAC-CE data in 2018 and 2020, further classifying cities by scale to analyze the association between expansion of EVCI and ODIAC-CE change. Utilizing a battery of analytical tools, including correlation analysis, spatial autocorrelation, and coupling coordination analysis, the study dissects the evolving relationship between EVCI and ODIAC-CE within Yangtze River Delta in China. The results underscore a growing interdependence between EVCI expansion and ODIAC-CE change, yet pronounced heterogeneities in coupling coordination are evident across urban scales. Megacity and supercity exhibit quality coordination between rapid expansion of EVCI and ODIAC-CE dynamics. However, in most large, medium-sized, and small cities, the impact of EVCI growth on ODIAC-CE change has proven to be inconsistent or mismatched, affected by various factors such as location and infrastructure, industrial and technological patterns, and social practice and awareness. The study provides systematic insights into potential solutions for decarbonization through EVCI deployment at regional and city levels.
实现净零排放的目标使电动汽车充电基础设施(EVCI)成为一项重要的战略资产。然而,在全面定量分析其对化石燃料燃烧产生的碳排放(即 ODIAC-CE)的影响方面,仍存在明显差距。本研究开始对 2018 年和 2020 年的 EVCI 和 ODIAC-CE 数据进行纵向比较,进一步按规模对城市进行分类,以分析 EVCI 扩展与 ODIAC-CE 变化之间的关联。研究利用相关分析、空间自相关和耦合协调分析等一系列分析工具,剖析了中国长三角地区EVCI和ODIAC-CE之间不断演变的关系。研究结果表明,EVCI 的扩张与 ODIAC-CE 的变化之间的相互依存关系日益增强,但耦合协调在不同城市尺度上存在明显的异质性。特大城市和超级城市的 EVCI 快速扩张与 ODIAC-CE 动态之间呈现出高质量的协调。然而,在大多数大中小城市,受区位和基础设施、产业和技术模式、社会实践和意识等多种因素的影响,EVCI 增长对 ODIAC-CE 变化的影响被证明是不一致或不匹配的。本研究为通过在区域和城市层面部署 EVCI 来实现脱碳的潜在解决方案提供了系统性见解。
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引用次数: 0
Rail journey cost calculator for Great Britain 英国铁路旅行费用计算器
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241276569
Federico Botta
Accessibility of different places, such as hospitals or areas with jobs, is important in understanding transportation systems, urban environments, and potential inequalities in what services and opportunities different people can reach. Often, research in this area is framed around the question of whether people living in an area are able to reach certain destinations within a prespecified time frame. However, the cost of such journeys, and whether they are affordable, is often omitted or not considered to the same level. Here, we present a Python package and an associated data set which allows to analyse the cost of train journeys in Great Britain. We present the original data set we used to construct this, the Python package we developed to analyse it, and the output data set which we generated. We envisage our work to allow researchers, policy makers, and other stakeholders, to investigate questions around the cost of train journeys, any geographical or social inequalities arising from this, and how the transport system could be improved.
不同地点(如医院或有工作的地区)的可达性,对于了解交通系统、城市环境以及不同人群所能获得的服务和机会中可能存在的不平等现象非常重要。该领域的研究通常围绕一个问题展开,即生活在某一地区的人们是否能够在预先规定的时间内到达某些目的地。然而,这些旅程的成本以及他们是否负担得起的问题往往被忽略或没有在同等程度上加以考虑。在此,我们介绍一个 Python 软件包和相关数据集,用于分析英国火车旅行的成本。我们将介绍用于构建该数据集的原始数据集、我们为分析该数据集而开发的 Python 程序包以及我们生成的输出数据集。我们希望我们的工作能让研究人员、政策制定者和其他利益相关者研究与火车旅行成本有关的问题、由此产生的任何地理或社会不平等,以及如何改进交通系统。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating green space measures into future town planning in Zhejiang, China 将绿地措施纳入中国浙江未来城镇规划
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1177/23998083241274913
Yuanzhao Wang, ChengHe Guan
Various spatial indices have been used by scholars to evaluate the built environment of towns. However, previous analysis has fallen short in systematically addressing the distribution of green space in future town planning. This paper fills the gap by integrating green space indices in an expanded urban intensity framework and comparing existing conditions (2018) and future planning schemes (2030) of eleven towns in Zhejiang Province, China. In this paper, we computed spatial indices in ARCGIS and FRAGSTATS, used correlation analysis in STATA for statistical analysis, and adopted demographic, economic, and environmental variables to validate the selected indices. The results show that: (1) The future planning schemes can result in either reduction of green spaces in town centers or uneven distribution of green spaces; (2) Validation of green space indicators reveals observable association with the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), which implies that the chosen framework can effectively reflect the condition of greenery; and (3) The regulatory detailed planning does not always improve the future spatial layout of towns, especially after considering green space distributions. These findings emphasize the importance of suitable spatial layouts of green spaces over large monolithic blocks for effective planning. Moreover, achieving optimal urban intensity necessitates a balanced distribution of the built and green spaces. Finally, the integration of green space factors and the adoption of a comprehensive approach, as highlighted in this study, can serve as a valuable guide for town planners and policymakers in different jurisdictions to achieve more desirable spatial layouts.
学者们使用各种空间指数来评价城镇的建筑环境。然而,以往的分析未能系统地解决未来城镇规划中的绿地分布问题。本文将绿地指数纳入城市强度扩展框架,并比较了中国浙江省 11 个城镇的现有条件(2018 年)和未来规划方案(2030 年),从而填补了这一空白。本文使用 ARCGIS 和 FRAGSTATS 计算空间指数,使用 STATA 的相关分析进行统计分析,并采用人口、经济和环境变量对所选指数进行验证。结果表明(1) 未来规划方案可能导致城镇中心绿地减少或绿地分布不均;(2) 绿地指标验证显示与归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)存在可观察到的关联,这意味着所选框架能有效反映绿化状况;(3) 规范性详细规划并不总能改善城镇的未来空间布局,尤其是在考虑绿地分布后。这些发现强调了在大型单体街区上适当布局绿地对于有效规划的重要性。此外,要达到最佳的城市强度,就必须平衡建筑与绿地的分布。最后,本研究强调的整合绿地因素和采用综合方法,可为不同地区的城市规划者和决策者提供宝贵的指导,以实现更理想的空间布局。
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Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science
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