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Insurance and Industrialisation Nexus in the Gulf of Guinea: The Role of Institutional Strength 几内亚湾的保险与工业化关系:制度实力的作用
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-30 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70050
Obumneke Bob Muoneke, Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere

Despite the prolonged use of external sources of finance, the financing gap for industrialisation in Africa, especially for countries along the Gulf of Guinea, is still enormous amidst numerous episodes of shocks to external sources of finance. This study investigates the influence of institutional strength on the relationship between insurance and industrialisation in 13 countries situated along the Gulf of Guinea. The results consistently show the negative impact of insurance activities on industrialisation across all distribution levels, particularly for countries in the upper quantile. The results from the interaction analysis show that institutional quality in the Gulf of Guinea countries is insufficient to mitigate the negative effect of insurance activities on industrialisation. All stakeholders in the government and the financial system should prioritise floating low-risk and credible debt instruments (insurance premiums) to increase the stock of finance available to induce industrialisation within the region.

尽管长期使用外部资金来源,但在外部资金来源受到多次冲击的情况下,非洲工业化的资金缺口,特别是几内亚湾沿岸国家的资金缺口仍然很大。本研究调查了制度实力对位于几内亚湾沿岸的13个国家的保险与工业化关系的影响。研究结果一致表明,保险活动对所有分布水平的工业化产生了负面影响,尤其是对排名靠前的国家。相互作用分析的结果表明,几内亚湾国家的制度质量不足以减轻保险活动对工业化的负面影响。政府和金融体系中的所有利益相关者都应优先考虑浮动的低风险和可靠的债务工具(保险费),以增加可用于促进该地区工业化的融资存量。
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引用次数: 0
Manufacturer's Channel Strategy in Live Streaming Commerce: Two Business Models 厂商在直播商务中的渠道策略:两种商业模式
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70055
Zhen Liu, Qiang Guo, Jiajia Nie, Lu Wu

Live commerce allows manufacturers to sell products directly to a broad online audience while engaging multichannel networks (MCNs) in promotions. This study investigates two strategic models for manufacturers: vertically integrating an MCN or collaborating with one. Considering the herd effect and the risk of consumer–product mismatch in livestream shopping, we formulate a Stackelberg game model that includes a manufacturer, a retailer, and an MCN. The results show that the effect of the return rate and commission rate on the manufacturer's profit is nonmonotonic. Under the integration model, livestream selling favors the manufacturer when the associated costs are low. In the collaboration model, the manufacturer is incentivized to introduce a less efficient livestream channel. This strategy serves a dual purpose: it constrains the revenue captured by the MCN and leverages inter-channel competition to strengthen the manufacturer's control over the retail channel. Our analysis establishes that the two livestreaming models have distinct applicability conditions. A key finding is that the manufacturer may lack the incentive to integrate the MCN, even when it incurs no cost. This analysis provides valuable insights for manufacturers devising their entry strategy into the livestreaming e-commerce sector.

实时商务允许制造商直接向广泛的在线受众销售产品,同时参与多渠道网络(mcn)的促销活动。本研究探讨制造商的两种策略模式:垂直整合或与MCN合作。考虑到羊群效应和直播购物中消费者-产品不匹配的风险,我们建立了一个包括制造商、零售商和MCN的Stackelberg博弈模型。结果表明,退货率和佣金率对制造商利润的影响是非单调的。在整合模式下,当相关成本较低时,直播销售对制造商有利。在协作模式中,制造商被激励引入效率较低的直播渠道。这种策略有双重目的:它限制了MCN获取的收入,并利用渠道间竞争来加强制造商对零售渠道的控制。通过分析发现,两种直播模式的适用条件不同。一个关键的发现是,制造商可能缺乏整合MCN的动力,即使它不产生成本。这一分析为制造商制定进入直播电子商务领域的进入策略提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Can Green Labeling Foster the Green Transformation of Manufacturing? Evidence From China's Green Factory Certification 绿色标识能促进制造业的绿色转型吗?中国绿色工厂认证的证据
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70049
Tan Liu, Yichao Liu

Green factories, as the central component of the green manufacturing system, represent a critical institutional mechanism for driving the green transformation of the manufacturing sector. This study systematically evaluates the impact of green factory certification on firms' green total factor productivity (GTFP) using data from manufacturing companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-shares between 2012 and 2023, employing a multiperiod difference-in-differences model. The findings indicate that the green factory certification policy significantly enhances firms' GTFP, thereby facilitating the green transformation of the manufacturing industry. This conclusion remains robust after conducting several robustness checks, including parallel trend tests, Bacon decomposition, and machine learning techniques. Mechanism analysis reveals that the policy drives improvements in GTFP by alleviating financing constraints, stimulating green technological innovation, and enhancing the quality of environmental information disclosure. Heterogeneity analysis further demonstrates that the policy has a more pronounced effect in high-pollution industries, whereas its impact is relatively weaker for firms with stronger market bargaining power or political ties. Additionally, the moderating effect analysis reveals that well-established internal corporate governance and external societal supervision can significantly enhance the policy's effectiveness. The study provides empirical evidence and policy recommendations to optimize the green manufacturing policy framework, improve policy precision, and enhance green performance.

绿色工厂作为绿色制造体系的核心组成部分,是推动制造业绿色转型的重要制度机制。本文利用2012 - 2023年沪深两市a股制造业上市公司的数据,采用多期差中差模型,系统评估了绿色工厂认证对企业绿色全要素生产率的影响。研究结果表明,绿色工厂认证政策显著提高了企业的GTFP,从而促进了制造业的绿色转型。在进行了几次鲁棒性检查(包括并行趋势测试、培根分解和机器学习技术)之后,这个结论仍然是稳健的。机制分析表明,政策通过缓解融资约束、刺激绿色技术创新和提高环境信息披露质量,推动了GTFP的提高。异质性分析进一步表明,该政策对高污染行业的影响更为显著,而对具有较强市场议价能力或政治关系的企业的影响相对较弱。此外,调节效应分析表明,完善的公司内部治理和外部社会监督可以显著提高政策的有效性。研究为优化绿色制造政策框架、提高政策精准度、提升绿色绩效提供了实证依据和政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Political Elections and Banking Efficiency in an African Emerging Economy: A Bank Ownership Decomposition Approach 非洲新兴经济体的政治选举与银行效率:银行所有权分解方法
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70051
Baah Aye Kusi, Emmanuel Senanu Mekpor, Stephen Antwi, Jonas Ladime

This study investigates how elections affect banking efficiency in an African emerging economy (Ghana), by inferring from the political choice theory and further decoupling the ownership effects of elections on diverse efficiency proxies. The study employs Tobit regression models and instrumental variable models (Tobit and fixed effect) as robustness models with year control effects for 29 banks between 2000 and 2020. While banking efficiency in the forms of technical, pure-technical, scale, cost, allocative, and revenue is measured using DEA across private, state, listed, unlisted, domestic, and foreign banks, election is measured as a dummy. The study reveals that elections significantly lower banking efficiencies. However, the reducing effect of elections varies across types of banking efficiency indicators and ownership structures. Specifically, while elections adversely affect technical, cost, scale, allocative, and revenue efficiencies of banks, private, state, unlisted, listed, and foreign banks were mostly affected. These suggest that the decline in banking efficiencies during electioneering periods is attributable to political, policy, and fiscal uncertainties and differs significantly depending on bank ownership and efficiency types. While the study presents significant insights, future studies may investigate the effect of elections in phases to include the pre-, during-, and post-election phases to understand the temporal dynamics of election effects in other emerging economies other than Ghana. The results explain the need for political stability and transparency, fostered by electoral and policy reforms, to ensure continuity and a reduction in election-related inefficiencies. Also, bank managers must recognize and factor elections into their efficiency decision-making. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to provide empirical evidence on how elections affect the diverse array of banking efficiencies across different ownership types and nature in an African emerging economy context.

本研究通过政治选择理论的推断,进一步解耦了选举对不同效率代理的所有权效应,研究了选举如何影响非洲新兴经济体(加纳)的银行效率。本研究采用Tobit回归模型和工具变量模型(Tobit和fixed effect)作为具有年控制效应的稳健性模型,对29家银行在2000 - 2020年间进行了研究。当银行效率以技术、纯技术、规模、成本、配置和收入的形式使用DEA衡量私营、国有、上市、非上市、国内和外国银行时,选举是作为虚拟的来衡量的。研究表明,选举显著降低了银行业的效率。然而,选举的减少效果因银行效率指标和所有权结构的类型而异。具体而言,虽然选举对银行的技术、成本、规模、配置和收入效率产生不利影响,但私营银行、国有银行、非上市银行、上市银行和外资银行受到的影响最大。这些研究表明,竞选期间银行效率的下降可归因于政治、政策和财政的不确定性,并且根据银行所有权和效率类型的不同而有很大差异。虽然这项研究提供了重要的见解,但未来的研究可能会分阶段调查选举的影响,包括选举前、选举中和选举后的阶段,以了解除加纳以外的其他新兴经济体选举影响的时间动态。选举和政策改革促进了政治稳定和透明度,以确保连续性和减少与选举有关的低效率。此外,银行经理必须认识到选举,并将其纳入效率决策。据我们所知,本研究首次提供了经验证据,证明在非洲新兴经济体背景下,选举如何影响不同所有制类型和性质的银行效率。
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引用次数: 0
Intellectual Property Protection and Labor Employment—A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on the Pilot Policy of Intellectual Property Demonstration Cities 知识产权保护与劳动力就业——基于知识产权示范城市试点政策的准自然实验
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70054
Tao Meng, Saihu Song, Cheng Chen

Employment is the cornerstone of people's livelihood. It is closely tied to the fundamental interests of the public and serves as the foundation of social well-being. Using the 2012 launch of the Intellectual Property (IP) Demonstration City pilot program as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper applies a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) approach to empirically examine the impact of IP protection on enterprise employment size. The findings are as follows: (1) The IP Demonstration City pilot significantly promotes enterprise employment expansion through channels such as increased production, alleviated financing constraints, and enhanced physical investment, and the results are robust to various tests; (2) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the pilot has a significantly positive effect on the employment size of enterprises located in inland regions, in high-tech industries, and in areas with relatively weak IP protection environments; (3) Further analysis reveals that the pilot facilitates human capital upgrading and increases wage levels of workers in pilot cities, but has a negative effect on labor efficiency. The employment-promoting effect of IP protection is more pronounced in firms that receive higher government subsidies and tax incentives. This study provides theoretical and empirical evidence on how to encourage enterprises to expand employment and improve the quality and adequacy of jobs, offering valuable policy implications for the government to achieve stable and high-quality employment.

就业是民生之本。它与人民群众的根本利益密切相关,是社会福祉的基础。本文以2012年启动的知识产权示范城市试点项目为准自然实验,运用多期差中差(DID)方法实证检验了知识产权保护对企业就业规模的影响。研究发现:(1)知识产权示范城市试点通过增产、缓解融资约束、加大实物投入等渠道显著促进企业扩大就业,且经各项检验结果均具有稳健性;(2)异质性分析表明,试点对内陆地区、高技术产业和知识产权保护环境相对薄弱地区的企业就业规模有显著的正向影响;(3)进一步分析表明,试点促进了试点城市人力资本升级,提高了工人工资水平,但对劳动效率有负面影响。知识产权保护对就业的促进作用在获得政府补贴和税收优惠的企业中更为明显。本研究为如何鼓励企业扩大就业,提高就业质量和充足性提供了理论和实证证据,为政府实现稳定、高质量的就业提供了有价值的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Corruption Priming on Happiness and Negative Emotions 腐败启动对幸福感和负面情绪的影响
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70053
Meytal Machani, Zeev Shtudiner

The 2023 World Happiness Report revealed that Israel had risen from ninth to fourth place in the global happiness index, with the absence of corruption identified as a significant contributing factor. Given the ongoing public discourse surrounding corruption in Israel, this study aimed to isolate and examine the specific impact of corruption perception on subjective happiness and negative emotions. The research employed a priming methodology across four groups (N = 249) to investigate the relationship between corruption perception, happiness, and negative emotions. Results indicated a significant link between corruption perception and increased levels of negative emotions. Additionally, the study highlighted the importance of considering an individual's political stance, as those aligned with the current opposition exhibited higher levels of negative emotions. These findings underscore the need for policymakers to consider both happiness and negative emotion indices, alongside prevailing perceptions of corruption, to foster integrity within governmental systems and promote a stable and corruption-free society.

《2023年世界幸福报告》显示,以色列的全球幸福指数从第9位上升到第4位,没有腐败被认为是一个重要因素。鉴于围绕腐败的公共话语在以色列持续进行,本研究旨在分离并检验腐败感知对主观幸福感和负面情绪的具体影响。本研究采用启动方法对四组(N = 249)调查腐败感知、幸福感和负面情绪之间的关系。结果表明,腐败认知与负面情绪水平增加之间存在显著联系。此外,该研究强调了考虑个人政治立场的重要性,因为与当前反对派结盟的人表现出更高水平的负面情绪。这些发现强调了政策制定者需要考虑幸福感和负面情绪指数,以及对腐败的普遍看法,以促进政府系统内的诚信,促进稳定和无腐败的社会。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing Equal Channel Power, Distinct Channel Power and Crisis Cartel in Mitigating the Effect of Production Cost Disruptions—A Game Theoretic Approach 均衡渠道权力、差异化渠道权力和危机联盟在缓解生产成本中断影响中的比较——博弈论方法
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70045
Sarin Raju, Rofin T M

The study checks the opportunities and challenges in using different competition models between downstream channel partners, namely, comparable channel power, distinct channel power and crisis cartel during production cost disruption. We employed a supply chain consisting of a manufacturer-modern trade outlet-e-tailer, and different game theoretic models like Nash, Stackelberg and Collusion games were used to analyse the pre-disruption and disruption cases. The research revealed that the downstream channel partners could enhance profitability during disruptions by engaging in crisis cartels or operating under the competitor's leadership, surpassing pre-disruption levels. However, models involving channel leadership and comparable channel power yield lower profits for downstream partners during disruption. Surprisingly, none of the models offer improved profitability for the manufacturer during production cost disruptions, and both the crisis cartel and channel leadership models prove detrimental to the manufacturer's profits. Similarly, none of the models could improve the consumer surplus of customers. Additionally, we extend the basic model by analysing the impact of customer channel preference and the price elasticity of demand during production disruptions. We found that the channel preference coefficient plays a crucial role in determining the profitability of all supply chain partners. Furthermore, the price elasticity of demand significantly affects pricing strategies for the modern trade outlet and e-tailer but does not influence the manufacturer.

研究考察了下游渠道合作伙伴在生产成本中断过程中使用不同竞争模型的机遇与挑战,即可比渠道权力、独特渠道权力和危机卡特尔。我们采用了一个由制造商-现代贸易网点-电子零售商组成的供应链,并使用了不同的博弈论模型,如纳什,Stackelberg和共谋游戏来分析破坏前和破坏情况。研究表明,下游渠道合作伙伴可以通过参与危机卡特尔或在竞争对手的领导下运营来提高中断期间的盈利能力,超过中断前的水平。然而,涉及渠道领导和可比渠道权力的模式在中断期间为下游合作伙伴带来较低的利润。令人惊讶的是,在生产成本中断期间,没有一种模型能提高制造商的盈利能力,而且危机卡特尔模型和渠道领导模型都证明对制造商的利润有害。同样,这些模型都不能提高顾客的消费者剩余。此外,我们通过分析客户渠道偏好和生产中断期间需求的价格弹性的影响来扩展基本模型。我们发现渠道偏好系数在决定所有供应链合作伙伴的盈利能力方面起着至关重要的作用。此外,需求的价格弹性显著影响现代贸易直销店和电子零售商的定价策略,但对制造商没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Can Industrial Robot Applications Enhance Corporate Capital Allocation Efficiency?—Based on the Perspective of Cash Holdings 工业机器人应用能提高企业资金配置效率吗?基于现金持有量的视角
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70046
Lin Liang, Peng Liang

Industrial robots play a vital role in transforming and upgrading the manufacturing industry. They harness automation technologies to drive industrial production and enhance their value through innovations in production tools and knowledge. This paper analyzes annual data from China's A-share nonfinancial manufacturing listed companies during the period from 2007 to 2019, examining the impact of industrial robot applications on corporate cash holdings. The study discovers that the application of industrial robots notably reduces corporate cash holdings, thereby confirming the effect of capital allocation. The analysis rules out the possibility that this reduction occurs through alleviating agency problems. Mechanism analysis reveals that the application of industrial robots reduces cash holdings for precautionary motives by reducing labor leverage and enhancing labor productivity and operational efficiency. Additional tests reveal that the reduction in corporate cash holdings due to industrial robot applications is more pronounced in enterprises with intense market competition, labor-intensive and nonstate-owned enterprises. This study deepens the research focus on industrial robot applications and corporate cash holdings, providing a theoretical basis for policymakers to promote technological innovation and industrial advancement.

工业机器人在制造业转型升级中发挥着至关重要的作用。他们利用自动化技术来推动工业生产,并通过生产工具和知识的创新来提高其价值。本文分析了2007 - 2019年中国a股非金融制造业上市公司的年度数据,考察了工业机器人应用对企业现金持有量的影响。研究发现,工业机器人的应用显著降低了企业的现金持有量,从而证实了资本配置的效果。分析排除了通过缓解代理问题来实现这种减少的可能性。机理分析表明,工业机器人的应用通过降低劳动杠杆,提高劳动生产率和运营效率,减少了出于预防动机的现金持有量。额外的测试表明,工业机器人应用导致的企业现金持有量减少在市场竞争激烈的企业、劳动密集型企业和非国有企业中更为明显。本研究深化了对工业机器人应用与企业现金持有量的研究重点,为政策制定者推动技术创新和产业进步提供理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
Mobile Payment Adoption in China: A Comment on Vatsa et al. 移动支付在中国的普及:对Vatsa等人的评论
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70047
Muzaffarjon Ahunov, Leo Van Hove

Vatsa et al. examine the determinants of mobile payment adoption in China. They do so by applying a probit model to data from a nationally representative survey. In this comment, we identify several conceptual and econometric limitations that affect the robustness of Vatsa et al.'s findings. By improving the methodological approach—most notably by accounting for potential selection bias—we find substantially different results: Health status and party membership are no longer statistically significant, the effects of economic status and social participation prove to be nonlinear, and the impact of most other factors differs in magnitude. When we, in a final step, also try to improve upon Vatsa et al.'s specification, we find, for a sample consisting of mobile phone owners, that the new constructs digital skills and internet experience have a significant positive impact on mobile payment use. Conversely, privacy concerns do not.

Vatsa等人研究了中国移动支付采用的决定因素。他们通过对一项具有全国代表性的调查的数据应用概率模型来做到这一点。在这篇评论中,我们确定了影响Vatsa等人研究结果稳健性的几个概念和计量经济学限制。通过改进方法——最显著的是考虑潜在的选择偏差——我们发现了本质上不同的结果:健康状况和党员资格不再具有统计意义,经济地位和社会参与的影响被证明是非线性的,大多数其他因素的影响在量级上不同。当我们在最后一步尝试改进Vatsa等人的规范时,我们发现,对于一个由手机用户组成的样本,新构建的数字技能和互联网体验对移动支付的使用有显著的积极影响。相反,对隐私的担忧则不然。
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引用次数: 0
Reverse Referral Decisions for Telemedicine-Based Healthcare Alliance Considering Patient Online Choice Behavior 考虑患者在线选择行为的远程医疗联盟反向转诊决策
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1002/mde.70044
Miao Yu, Bowen Jiang, Zhi-Yu Li, Wen-wen Wang

To address the disparities between medical resources and patient needs in large general hospitals (GHs), this study examines the coordination of referral processes between GH and community health centers (CHCs) enabled by telemedicine-based online service channels used by GH as gatekeepers. A three-stage game model is developed within a queuing theory framework to investigate the dynamic decision-making interactions among patients, CHC, and GH. The equilibrium decisions are given concerning the arrival rates of both initial offline and online patients, the service capacity of CHC, and the referral threshold of GH. The analysis compares system performance under partial and full referral scenarios. The findings reveal a counterintuitive result: Partial reverse referral from online services may prompt the CHC to reduce its service capacity for profit-seeking purposes, thereby diminishing patient welfare. Numerical experiments indicate that the online reverse referral mechanism is effective when the scale of online patients is sufficiently large. When patient scale is inadequate, the CHC, lacking profit margins, tends to withdraw from the referral system. Moreover, under conditions of expanded GH service capacity, partial reverse referral outperforms full reverse referral in improving overall system efficiency.

为了解决大型综合医院(GHs)医疗资源和患者需求之间的差异,本研究考察了GH和社区卫生中心(CHCs)之间转诊过程的协调,这些转诊过程是由GH作为看守者使用的基于远程医疗的在线服务渠道实现的。在排队理论框架下,建立了一个三阶段博弈模型来研究患者、CHC和GH之间的动态决策互动。给出了初始离线和在线患者到达率、CHC服务能力和GH转诊阈值的均衡决策。该分析比较了部分引用和完全引用场景下的系统性能。研究结果揭示了一个违反直觉的结果:来自在线服务的部分反向转诊可能会促使CHC降低其服务能力,从而降低患者的福利。数值实验表明,当在线患者规模足够大时,在线反向转诊机制是有效的。当患者规模不足时,缺乏利润空间的CHC往往退出转诊系统。此外,在扩大GH服务能力的条件下,部分反向转诊在提高系统整体效率方面优于完全反向转诊。
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引用次数: 0
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Managerial and Decision Economics
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