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The evolution of two‐stage production and order equilibrium in a random yield supply chain with demand information updating 具有需求信息更新的随机产量供应链中两阶段生产和订单均衡的演变
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4384
Jiawu Peng
The mismatch between production, order, and demand seriously affects supply chain performance. However, most research focus on the mismatch between the retailer's order and customer's demand, which ignores the influence of the supplier's random yield on supply chain members' decision‐making. This paper investigates a two‐stage optimization problem within a two‐echelon supply chain, featuring a supplier with random yield and a retailer updating demand information in real‐time. Faced with a long production lead time, the retailer can either place advance orders at the production season's onset (first‐stage advance order) or opt for instant orders at the beginning of the sales season (second‐stage instant order). To ensure timely order fulfillment, the supplier initially employs a cost‐effective regular production mode with random yield during the production season. If yields are insufficient during sales, a pricier emergency production mode with guaranteed output becomes available. Utilizing a dynamic programming approach, we formulate the two‐stage optimization problem to derive optimal production and order decisions. Our analysis uncovers how realized random yield and stochastic market signals influence emergency production and instant order quantities in the second stage. We compare expected profits in scenarios with perfect and imperfect market signals, probing the members' preferences regarding order strategies. An intriguing finding emerges: as instant wholesale prices rising, the supplier's preferred order strategy diverges from the retailer. By strategic adjustments to the instant wholesale price, we demonstrate the potential for unanimous agreement on preferred order strategies among supply chain members — a quality enhancing the chain's flexibility and performance. Moreover, we extend the model to hybrid order strategies and identify conditions for unanimous preference among the three strategies. To bolster our theoretical findings, we provide numerical examples, lending practical support to our study.
生产、订单和需求之间的不匹配严重影响供应链绩效。然而,大多数研究都集中在零售商订单和客户需求之间的不匹配上,忽略了供应商随机产量对供应链成员决策的影响。本文研究的是一个双梯队供应链中的两阶段优化问题,其特点是供应商具有随机产量,零售商实时更新需求信息。面对较长的生产周期,零售商可以在生产季节开始时提前下订单(第一阶段提前订单),也可以在销售季节开始时选择即时订单(第二阶段即时订单)。为确保及时履行订单,供应商在生产季节最初采用随机产量的经济高效的常规生产模式。如果在销售期间产量不足,则采用价格更高的保证产量的应急生产模式。利用动态编程方法,我们提出了两阶段优化问题,从而得出最佳生产和订单决策。我们的分析揭示了已实现的随机产量和随机市场信号如何影响第二阶段的应急生产和即时订单数量。我们比较了完美和不完美市场信号情况下的预期利润,探究了成员对订单策略的偏好。一个有趣的发现出现了:随着即时批发价格的上涨,供应商的首选订货策略与零售商出现了偏差。通过对即时批发价格进行策略性调整,我们证明了供应链成员就首选订货策略达成一致的可能性--这一特性提高了供应链的灵活性和绩效。此外,我们还将模型扩展到了混合订货策略,并确定了在三种策略中达成一致偏好的条件。为了支持我们的理论研究成果,我们提供了数字实例,为我们的研究提供了实际支持。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking the power of peer influence: Strategies for bridging the adoption chasm in new product diffusion 释放同伴影响的力量:弥合新产品推广中的采用鸿沟的策略
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4379
Zhihui Li, Yuanyuan Jiao, Yangyang Cheng, Zhifeng Shen, Mi Zhou
New product diffusion relies heavily on interpersonal relationships, yet the adoption chasm between the early adopters and the early majority poses a significant challenge. The pervasiveness of peer influence in social networks presents unique opportunities for businesses to effectively bridge this chasm between user groups. This study, grounded in social–psychological theory, examines the micro‐processes of early adopters' peer influence on the early majority within social networks. Utilizing the stimulus–organism–response model, we propose that early adopter peer influence can enhance early majority adoption intention, thereby crossing the chasm of new product diffusion. Empirical findings reveal that early adopters' peer influence, directly and indirectly, affects the early majority's adoption decisions. When indirect effects are at play, the early majority emphasizes the emotional and social values embedded within the new product, driven by the early adopters' peer influence. These insights contribute to understanding how interactions between user types can help bridge the adoption chasm. The study augments, refines, and expands upon existing research on new product diffusion chasms and offers valuable practical guidance for businesses seeking to harness peer influence more effectively to overcome this barrier.
新产品的推广在很大程度上依赖于人际关系,然而早期采用者和早期大多数人之间的采用鸿沟构成了巨大的挑战。社交网络中普遍存在的同侪影响力为企业提供了独特的机会,使其能够有效地弥合用户群体之间的鸿沟。本研究以社会心理学理论为基础,探讨了社交网络中早期使用者对早期多数使用者产生同伴影响的微观过程。利用 "刺激--有机体--反应 "模型,我们提出,早期采用者的同伴影响可以增强早期多数人的采用意愿,从而跨越新产品传播的鸿沟。实证研究结果表明,早期采用者的同伴影响会直接或间接地影响早期大多数人的采用决策。当间接影响起作用时,在早期采用者的同伴影响的推动下,早期多数会强调新产品所蕴含的情感和社会价值。这些见解有助于理解用户类型之间的互动如何有助于弥合采用鸿沟。这项研究加强、完善并扩展了现有关于新产品传播鸿沟的研究,为企业更有效地利用同伴影响来克服这一障碍提供了宝贵的实用指导。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal reverse channel for end‐of‐life vehicle closed‐loop supply chains 报废汽车闭环供应链的最佳逆向渠道
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4389
Junfei Ding, Wen Zhang, Xujin Pu
This study examines a manufacturer selling directly to customers has three modes for acquiring end‐of‐life vehicles with a key component supplier: supplier‐collection, manufacturer‐collection, and third‐party‐collection modes. We find that the supplier, who is farther away from customers, is the optimal agent to be responsible for recovery activity. Following, we design a simple transfer price contract for the supplier‐collection mode such that the recovery rate achieves the centralized level. Subsequently, a fixed payment is proposed to compensate the supplier, thereby realizing Pareto improvement. Finally, we consider the supplier as the Stackelberg leader and find opposite results regarding optimal reverse channel structure.
本研究考察了一家直接向客户销售的制造商与一家关键零部件供应商收购报废汽车的三种模式:供应商回收模式、制造商回收模式和第三方回收模式。我们发现,距离客户较远的供应商是负责回收活动的最佳代理人。随后,我们为供应商回收模式设计了一个简单的转移价格合同,使回收率达到集中水平。随后,我们提出了一种固定付款方式来补偿供应商,从而实现帕累托改进。最后,我们将供应商视为斯塔克尔伯格领导者,发现了最佳反向渠道结构的相反结果。
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引用次数: 0
Tripartite evolutionary game and simulation of solvency supervision under C‐ROSS II based on prospect theory 基于前景理论的三方演化博弈与 C-ROSS II 下的偿付能力监管模拟
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4388
Shilong Li, Zhijie Tong
This paper focuses on the implementation of “C‐ROSS II” and utilizes an evolutionary game model to investigate regulatory issues. Based on prospect theory, a three‐party evolutionary game model is constructed among regulatory agencies, insurance companies, and consumers with incomplete rationality, examining evolutionary stability strategies. Meanwhile, considering the different attitudes of policyholders in the face of loss and return, the heterogeneous risk preference is analyzed by changing the prospect parameters. The results show that increases in penalty amounts, positive incentives, and consumer sensitivity to losses will promote the evolution of the system to the optimal stable equilibrium point. However, rises in brand incomes and rectification costs, as well as decreases in capital costs, will decrease the probability of regulatory authorities enforcing strict supervision.
本文以 "C-ROSS II "的实施为重点,利用进化博弈模型研究监管问题。以前景理论为基础,构建了监管机构、保险公司和具有不完全理性的消费者之间的三方演化博弈模型,研究了演化稳定策略。同时,考虑到投保人面对损失和收益的不同态度,通过改变前景参数分析了异质性风险偏好。结果表明,增加惩罚金额、正向激励和消费者对损失的敏感性将促进系统向最优稳定均衡点演化。然而,品牌收入和整改成本的增加以及资本成本的减少会降低监管当局实施严格监管的概率。
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引用次数: 0
Striding towards a greener future: Unlocking the potential of natural resources and employment dynamics in green energy transition in sub‐Saharan Africa 迈向更加绿色的未来:释放撒哈拉以南非洲绿色能源转型中自然资源和就业动态的潜力
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4377
Kingsley I. Okere, Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi, Ismail O. Fasanya
The adoption and utilization of renewable energy offer potential benefits such as enhanced energy efficiency, cost savings, and ecological advantages. However, a key research question addressed in this analysis is whether natural resource rent and employment dynamics influence renewable energy consumption in Africa. Previous research has predominantly focused on the aggregate employment rate, overlooking the nuances of labor diversity across sectors and employment types. Hence, this study evaluates the importance of natural resource rent and employment in driving the transition to green energy in sub‐Saharan Africa from 1991 to 2022. It employs the innovative method of moments quantile regression (MMQR) model for this purpose. The findings reveal a positive connection between natural resource rent and the adoption of green energy. When considering employment types, the study observes that self‐employment and wages/salaried workers undermine clean energy utilization. Moreover, the study highlights that employment across key economic sectors also plays a role. While employment in the agriculture and service sectors fosters green energy utilization, employment in the industrial sector impedes renewable energy consumption. To advance the development of green energy in Africa, this study underscores a range of policy options.
采用和利用可再生能源具有潜在的好处,如提高能源效率、节约成本和生态优势。然而,本分析报告的一个关键研究问题是,自然资源租金和就业动态是否会影响非洲的可再生能源消费。以往的研究主要关注总体就业率,忽略了不同行业和就业类型劳动力多样性的细微差别。因此,本研究评估了自然资源租金和就业在推动撒哈拉以南非洲地区从 1991 年到 2022 年向绿色能源过渡方面的重要性。为此,研究采用了创新的矩量回归模型(MMQR)方法。研究结果表明,自然资源租金与绿色能源的采用之间存在正相关。在考虑就业类型时,研究发现自营职业和工资/受薪工人不利于清洁能源的利用。此外,研究还强调,主要经济部门的就业情况也起着一定作用。农业和服务业的就业促进了绿色能源的利用,而工业部门的就业则阻碍了可再生能源的消费。为推动非洲绿色能源的发展,本研究强调了一系列政策选择。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of financial contagion between real and financial sectors on asset bubbles: A two‐layer network game approach 实体部门和金融部门之间的金融传染对资产泡沫的影响:双层网络博弈方法
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4381
Ruguo Fan, Xiao Xie, Yuanyuan Wang, Jinchai Lin
Understanding the mechanism of asset bubble formation is important for maintaining financial stability and healthy functioning of the economic system. With gradual emphasis on the complex characteristics of financial markets, a new perspective for analyzing the emergence of asset bubbles is emerging: how to integrate the real economy with financial markets composed of heterogeneous individuals. In this study, we propose a two‐layer network game to investigate the impact of financial contagion between the real and financial sectors on asset bubbles. Among their interactions, shadow banking activities in both sectors increase the contagion risk across financial markets and construct a broader financial system. Both credit interactions and peer learning effects are captured in the network framework. Simulating relevant regulation policies, our experiments indicate that regulators should closely monitor returns on assets by setting an upper threshold. Financialization in the real sector significantly exacerbates the formation of asset bubbles, with medium‐level borrowing constraints minimizing bubble dynamics most effectively. The financialization practices of mature industries should be strictly regulated, while innovative industries should be allowed moderately flexible financing practices. The degree of friction within the financial market should be flexibly calibrated for financial institutions and genuine enterprises, aiming to mitigate systemic risks in the financial market while fostering robust growth in the real economy.
了解资产泡沫的形成机制对于维护金融稳定和经济体系的健康运行非常重要。随着人们对金融市场复杂特性的逐渐重视,分析资产泡沫产生的新视角正在形成:如何将实体经济与由异质个体组成的金融市场结合起来。在本研究中,我们提出了一个双层网络博弈来研究实体经济和金融部门之间的金融传染对资产泡沫的影响。在它们之间的相互作用中,两个部门的影子银行活动增加了整个金融市场的传染风险,并构建了一个更广泛的金融体系。信用互动和同侪学习效应都在网络框架中得到了体现。在模拟相关监管政策时,我们的实验表明,监管机构应通过设定上限值来密切监控资产回报率。实体部门的金融化会大大加剧资产泡沫的形成,而中等水平的借贷约束能最有效地将泡沫动态降至最低。成熟产业的金融化行为应受到严格监管,而创新产业则应允许适度灵活的融资行为。对金融机构和真正的企业应灵活调整金融市场内部的摩擦程度,旨在降低金融市场的系统性风险,同时促进实体经济的强劲增长。
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引用次数: 0
Clear the fog: Can public–private collaborative supervision promote the construction of a high‐quality public health system? 拨开迷雾公私合作监督能否促进高质量公共卫生体系的建设?
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4349
Neng Shen, Jing Zhang, Yang Chun Cao, Lin Zhang, Guoping Zhang
Approaches to stimulating the initiative of collaborative cooperation of multiple subjects and the enthusiasm of public–private collaborative supervision are important to ensure the high‐quality development of the social public health system. This study constructs a four‐agent evolutionary game model with a medical enterprise, health administrative department, medical institution, and the social public as the core subjects. Using MATLAB 2018b to conduct simulation analysis, the cooperation strategy and operation mechanism of multiple subjects in the social public health system under public–private collaborative supervision are revealed, and the evolutionary stability strategy of multiple subjects under different situations is further explored. The results show (1) three evolutionary stability points in the system, which all exist in a state of loose government supervision. (2) Increasing the penalty limit can effectively regulate the behavior of medical enterprises and medical institutions; however, it is not conducive to the performance efficiency of the government in the long run. (3) Government incentives can stimulate the enthusiasm of all subjects to participate in the social public health system but should be controlled within a reasonable range. Excessive financial incentives make it easy for medical enterprises and institutions to form policy dependence.
如何激发多元主体协同合作的主动性和公私协同监管的积极性,是确保社会公共卫生体系高质量发展的重要途径。本研究构建了以医疗企业、卫生行政部门、医疗机构、社会公众为核心主体的四代理演化博弈模型。利用MATLAB 2018b进行仿真分析,揭示了公私协同监管下社会公共卫生体系多元主体的合作策略和运行机制,进一步探讨了不同情境下多元主体的演化稳定策略。结果表明:(1)系统存在三个演化稳定点,均存在于政府宽松监管状态下。(2)提高处罚限额可以有效规范医疗企业和医疗机构的行为,但长期来看不利于政府绩效效率的提高。(3)政府奖励可以激发各主体参与社会公共卫生体系的积极性,但应控制在合理的范围内。过多的经济激励容易使医疗企事业单位形成政策依赖。
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引用次数: 0
How to address enterprise collusion in falsifying carbon emission data: A game theory analysis 如何解决企业串通伪造碳排放数据的问题:博弈论分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4380
Yong Sun, Xinqi Yang, Runtian Wu, Guangxiang Gong, Tianjie Lei
Falsification of carbon emissions data poses a significant challenge to the integrity of the carbon trading market. Addressing this issue requires a comprehensive strategy involving various stakeholders. This paper focuses on collusive behavior in carbon emissions data falsification. An evolutionary game model is established to illustrate the interactions between local governments, carbon‐emitting enterprises, and third‐party carbon verification agencies. The stability of the evolutionary game and its conditions are analyzed, revealing the impact of regulatory penalties, credit losses, and awareness of responsibility. This study proposes a management framework tailored for this tripartite game, providing valuable insights for policy formulation.
碳排放数据造假对碳交易市场的诚信构成了重大挑战。要解决这一问题,需要采取涉及各利益相关方的综合策略。本文重点研究碳排放数据造假中的串通行为。本文建立了一个演化博弈模型来说明地方政府、碳排放企业和第三方碳核查机构之间的相互作用。分析了演化博弈的稳定性及其条件,揭示了监管处罚、信用损失和责任意识的影响。本研究提出了针对三方博弈的管理框架,为政策制定提供了有价值的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon differentials and dual channels: The choice and impact of optimal strategies for manufacturer market encroachment 碳差和双通道:制造商蚕食市场的最佳战略选择及其影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4378
Yan Tang, Yunpei Cheng
This study discusses the cannibalization strategy of an outside manufacturer. A game‐theoretic model is developed in which manufacturers sell low‐quality products through retailers. The external manufacturer chooses between the retailer channel and the direct sales channel when considering carbon differences. The results show that carbon differentials and direct marketing costs play a key role in the choice of cannibalization strategy. Cannibalization by external manufacturers through retailers is not necessarily harmful to existing manufacturers. An increase in the degree of carbon differentiation leads to a decrease in wholesale and retail prices, while direct pricing by external manufacturers increases.
本研究讨论了外部制造商的蚕食战略。研究建立了一个博弈论模型,在该模型中,制造商通过零售商销售低质量产品。外部制造商在考虑碳差异的情况下,在零售商渠道和直销渠道之间做出选择。结果表明,碳差异和直销成本在蚕食战略的选择中起着关键作用。外部制造商通过零售商进行蚕食并不一定对现有制造商有害。碳差异程度的增加会导致批发和零售价格的下降,而外部制造商的直接定价则会增加。
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引用次数: 0
Low‐carbon supplier selection in the presence of government subsidy 政府补贴下的低碳供应商选择
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1002/mde.4368
Yang Xia, Yang Hui, Huang Hongfu, Zhu Siyuan, Yu Qingling
Given that the impact of consumers' environmental awareness and government subsidies on retailer sourcing has not been adequately examined in previous research, our study examines the impact of government subsidies on a retailer's low‐carbon sourcing strategies. We define a parameter that characterizes the efficiency of government subsidies and build a game theoretical model that includes an ordinary supplier, a low‐carbon supplier, and a retailer. The retailer's sourcing strategies include three options: only ordinary products (O), only low‐carbon products (L), and both ordinary and low‐carbon products (D). Our analysis shows the following results: First, when the retailer's environmental awareness exceeds a certain threshold, the retailer sources either low‐carbon products or a combination of ordinary and low‐carbon products. Otherwise, the retailer sources both ordinary and low‐carbon products. Second, when the retailer's environmental awareness is relatively high, the government adopts a nonsubsidy policy regardless of the product's abatement level. However, when the retailer's environmental awareness is relatively low, the government's policy depends on the abatement level of the product: It provides a subsidy if the abatement level is low and no subsidy if the abatement level is high. Third, government subsidies to the retailer are not always an effective means of increasing social welfare. Our results have important implications for the design of effective government subsidy policies.
鉴于消费者的环保意识和政府补贴对零售商采购的影响在以往的研究中尚未得到充分考察,我们的研究考察了政府补贴对零售商低碳采购策略的影响。我们定义了一个表征政府补贴效率的参数,并建立了一个包括普通供应商、低碳供应商和零售商的博弈理论模型。零售商的采购策略包括三种选择:只采购普通产品(O),只采购低碳产品(L),同时采购普通产品和低碳产品(D)。我们的分析结果如下:首先,当零售商的环保意识超过一定临界值时,零售商会采购低碳产品或普通产品和低碳产品。否则,零售商既采购普通产品,也采购低碳产品。其次,当零售商的环保意识相对较高时,无论产品的减排水平如何,政府都会采取非补贴政策。然而,当零售商的环保意识相对较低时,政府的政策取决于产品的减排水平:如果减排水平低,政府就提供补贴;如果减排水平高,政府就不提供补贴。第三,政府对零售商的补贴并不总是增加社会福利的有效手段。我们的研究结果对设计有效的政府补贴政策具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Managerial and Decision Economics
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