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Farm size and agricultural productivity of nutritious foods: Evidence from Ethiopia
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12621
Hannah Ameye, Fantu Nisrane Bachewe, Bart Minten, Seneshaw Tamru
Agri‐food systems are transforming quickly in Africa. An important issue in the transformation process of agricultural production is the role of small farms. While many authors have looked at this question, one aspect that has received little attention is the role of small farms in the production of nutritious foods, an important topic given the low availability and relatively high prices of nutritious foods and the consequent low level of nutrition security in the continent. Using a unique large‐scale dataset from Ethiopia—one of the largest countries in Africa that has been transforming rapidly—we look at the production of vegetables and dairy products. We find a strong association between farm size and partial productivity measured in terms of output, value of outputs and profit per hectare/cow, with productivity twice to four times as high for larger farms. These farms have substantially higher input expenditures as well as differences in farm technologies compared to small ones. Our findings have important implications for the debate on the role of small farms and nutritional improvements in the continent.
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引用次数: 0
The effects of unilateral climate policy towards agriculture: A case study of Denmark 单边气候政策对农业的影响:以丹麦为例
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12624
Peter Birch Sørensen, Ulrik Richardt Beck, Asbjørn Kehlet Berg, Simon Christiansen, Cecilie Løchte Jørgensen, Jens Sand Kirk, Louis Birk Stewart, Peter Philip Stephensen
To meet their climate policy obligations towards the EU, some EU member states will have to adopt strict climate policies towards agriculture. Responding to this need, the Danish parliament recently decided to impose a tax on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the country's livestock production. We develop a simple model of primary agriculture and its interaction with the food industry to illustrate the main economic mechanisms determining the impact of a unilateral tax on GHG emissions from domestic agriculture. To study the allocation effects of the GHG tax on agriculture and the impact on the wider economy over time, we then present a disaggregated dynamic simulation model of Danish agriculture, embedded in a large‐scale computable general equilibrium model. The model predicts that a large share of the cost increase induced by the tax will be shifted forward onto higher input prices in the food industry and ultimately onto consumers via higher food prices, but landowners will also bear a significant part of the burden through a fall in land prices. The GHG tax will induce a reallocation from animal to plant production, which would be even more pronounced in the case of a livestock‐specific tax as currently foreseen, and from conventional to organic farming. This will help to reduce the total emissions from agriculture, but the largest share of the emission cuts will stem from a fall in output, as there are still few low‐cost technical abatement possibilities in agriculture.
为了履行对欧盟的气候政策义务,一些欧盟成员国将不得不对农业采取严格的气候政策。为了满足这一需求,丹麦议会最近决定对该国畜牧业产生的温室气体(GHG)排放征税。我们建立了一个简单的初级农业及其与食品工业相互作用的模型,以说明决定单方面对国内农业温室气体排放征税影响的主要经济机制。为了研究温室气体税对农业的分配效应以及随着时间的推移对更广泛经济的影响,我们提出了一个丹麦农业的分解动态模拟模型,该模型嵌入了一个大规模可计算的一般均衡模型。该模型预测,由税收引起的成本增加的很大一部分将转移到食品行业更高的投入价格上,并最终通过更高的食品价格转嫁到消费者身上,但土地所有者也将通过土地价格的下降承担很大一部分负担。温室气体税将导致从动物生产到植物生产的再分配,在目前预计的针对牲畜的税收情况下,这将更加明显,从传统农业到有机农业。这将有助于减少农业的总排放量,但减排的最大份额将源于产出的下降,因为农业方面仍然很少有低成本的技术减排可能性。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of the EU's novel food regulations on firm investment decisions 欧盟新食品法规对企业投资决策的影响
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-12-26 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12622
Alessandro Varacca, Claudio Soregaroli, Maximilian Kardung, Ilaria Espa, Ilaria Colombo, Beatrice Cortesi, Justus Wesseler
In this study, we assess the effect of the European Union's novel food regulations on firms' incentives to invest in such products. We adopt a conceptual framework based on real option value theory, which underpins an empirical analysis of a detailed dataset comprising 326 applications submitted under both the 1997 EU novel food regulation and its 2018 replacement. We investigate the dynamics of novel food applications under these regulations and disentangle the determinants of successful cases. Our results show a relatively stable number of applications over the years, with a spike after the introduction of the 2018 regulation, which sought to simplify and centralise the approval process. This upsurge can be interpreted as a reduction in the real option value of postponing investments, attributable to the introduction of a transitional regime and of 5‐year data protection measures. However, the new regulation did not shorten the authorisation process, with the expected benefits of centralisation compromised by operational bottlenecks and a lower chance of approval. Finally, we find that approvals under the 2018 regulation are more likely when applicants are private entities from non‐EU countries and have substantial experience with novel foods. Our empirical evidence suggests that the new regulation may be insufficient to speed up and streamline the novel food assessment process, which is inevitably constrained by EU food safety principles. This, in turn, may discourage future investments.
在本研究中,我们评估了欧盟新食品法规对企业投资此类产品的激励的影响。我们采用了一个基于实物期权价值理论的概念框架,该框架支撑了对一个详细数据集的实证分析,该数据集包括根据1997年欧盟新食品法规及其2018年替代法规提交的326份申请。我们在这些法规下研究了新型食品应用的动态,并解开了成功案例的决定因素。我们的结果显示,多年来申请数量相对稳定,在2018年出台旨在简化和集中审批流程的规定后,申请数量激增。这种激增可以解释为推迟投资的实物期权价值的减少,归因于过渡制度和5年数据保护措施的引入。然而,新法规并没有缩短授权过程,由于操作瓶颈和较低的批准机会,集中化的预期好处受到了损害。最后,我们发现,如果申请人是来自非欧盟国家的私营实体,并且具有丰富的新食品经验,则更有可能根据2018年的法规获得批准。我们的经验证据表明,新法规可能不足以加快和简化新的食品评估过程,这不可避免地受到欧盟食品安全原则的限制。反过来,这可能会阻碍未来的投资。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and soil conservation 气候变化与土壤保持
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12620
Julian Zeilinger, Jochen Kantelhardt, Andreas Niedermayr
Limiting the impact of climate change on agriculture is a major goal of the European Union. This requires the evaluation of farm‐level adaptation measures, available within the Common Agricultural Policy. We investigate how the adoption of soil conservation measures by farms in Austrian arable regions affects their economic performance. By applying an endogenous switching regression model to panel data, we find that climatic conditions significantly influence the decision on whether to adopt soil conservation measures. The net revenue of adopters is less sensitive to long‐term temperature and precipitation changes than for non‐adopters. The measures are profitable for a majority of farms. However, profitability is linked to baseline climatic conditions, with negative effects in cool, wet regions and significantly greater positive effects in warm, dry regions.
限制气候变化对农业的影响是欧盟的一个主要目标。这就需要对共同农业政策范围内农场层面的适应措施进行评估。我们研究了奥地利可耕地地区的农场采取土壤保持措施如何影响其经济效益。通过对面板数据应用内生转换回归模型,我们发现气候条件对是否采用土壤保持措施的决策有显著影响。与非采用者相比,采用者的净收益对长期气温和降水变化的敏感性较低。对大多数农场而言,水土保持措施是有利可图的。然而,盈利能力与基线气候条件有关,在凉爽潮湿地区会产生负面影响,而在温暖干燥地区则会产生显著的正面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Technical and environmental inefficiency measurement in agriculture using a flexible by‐production stochastic frontier model 利用灵活的副业生产随机前沿模型衡量农业的技术和环境低效率
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12619
Ioannis Skevas
In light of the urgent need for farms to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining economic viability, this paper analyses technical and environmental inefficiencies and their determinants based on a flexible multi‐equation by‐production stochastic frontier model, which accounts for the stochastic dependence between good and bad outputs via a copula function. An empirical application to Dutch dairy farms illustrates the distortions in the inefficiency scores and in the estimates of their determinants that occur when the dependence between good and bad outputs is ignored. The empirical results indicate a strong positive dependence between the good output (milk) and the bad output (methane emissions), which is particularly pronounced in the upper tail of the distribution. Notably, farms exhibit high efficiency in maximising their good output and minimising their bad output. Subsidies are negatively related to good output inefficiency but positively related to bad output inefficiency, while stock density exhibits a negative association with inefficiencies in both outputs. Disregarding output dependence leads to distortions in inefficiency estimates, particularly affecting the estimates for their determinants.
鉴于农场迫切需要在保持经济可行性的同时减少温室气体排放,本文基于灵活的多方程分产随机前沿模型,分析了技术和环境效率低下及其决定因素,该模型通过共轭函数考虑了好产出和坏产出之间的随机依赖性。荷兰奶牛场的实证应用说明,如果忽略好产出和坏产出之间的依赖关系,低效率得分及其决定因素的估计值就会发生扭曲。实证结果表明,好的产出(牛奶)和坏的产出(甲烷排放)之间存在很强的正相关性,这在分布的上端尤为明显。值得注意的是,农场在最大化其好产出和最小化其坏产出方面表现出很高的效率。补贴与好产出低效率呈负相关,但与坏产出低效率呈正相关,而存栏密度与两种产出的低效率均呈负相关。忽略产出依赖性会导致低效率估计值失真,特别是影响其决定因素的估计值。
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引用次数: 0
The economic potential for area‐yield crop insurance: An application to maize in Ghana 面积产量作物保险的经济潜力:对加纳玉米的应用
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12618
Ashish Shenoy, Mira Korb
Rainfall index insurance can enable farm households to manage production risk, but demand in developing countries remains low at market prices, in part because the insurance trigger may not correlate well with individual farm losses. Area‐yield crop insurance, which links payouts to average yield in a geographic zone, attempts to increase demand by more accurately targeting insurance payouts to production shortfalls. However, shifting from an exogenous weather‐based to an endogenous yield‐based index introduces concerns of asymmetric information, which can lead to market failures that constrain supply from providers. These features are inversely related: larger insurance zones inhibit index manipulation, but average yield is less informative about any individual plot. We quantify this tradeoff for maize in Ghana using a spatial yield model calibrated to match observed production. Insurers must demarcate zones of no more than 5000 farmers for area‐yield insurance to outperform weather insurance. The framework presented in this paper allows assessment of the relationship between index performance and asymmetric information in new crop insurance products.
降雨指数保险可以帮助农户管理生产风险,但发展中国家的市场价格需求仍然较低,部分原因是保险触发因素可能与单个农场的损失关联度不高。地区产量作物保险将赔付与某一地理区域的平均产量挂钩,试图通过更准确地将保险赔付与产量不足挂钩来增加需求。然而,从基于外生天气的指数转向基于内生产量的指数,会带来信息不对称的问题,从而导致市场失灵,限制提供者的供应。这些特征成反比关系:较大的保险区域会抑制指数操纵,但平均产量对任何单个地块的信息量都较小。我们利用空间产量模型对加纳玉米的这一权衡进行了量化,该模型经过校准,与观察到的产量相匹配。保险人必须划定不超过 5000 个农户的区域,区域产量保险才能优于天气保险。本文提出的框架可以评估新农作物保险产品中指数表现与信息不对称之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Commercialisation, exogenous shocks and nutrition: Evidence from smallholder farmers in Bangladesh 商业化、外来冲击和营养:孟加拉国小农的证据
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-26 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12616
Jaweriah Hazrana, Ashok K. Mishra
This study empirically analyses the effect of agricultural commercialisation on food spending and nutrition outcomes in Bangladesh. We examine whether exposure to exogenous climate shocks moderates these relationships. We construct individual‐level nutrition measures and time‐varying climate extremes using nationally representative panel data. To address endogeneity concerns, we use an instrument variable approach. Results show that commercialisation leads to an improvement in the broad nutritional profile of individuals. However, the commercialisation–nutrition linkage is weaker for households exposed to frequent climate shocks than those in climate‐resilient areas. Importantly, climate shocks dampen the positive nutritional impacts of commercialisation and exacerbate existing inequalities in the nutritional status within the households. Women and girls appear disproportionately vulnerable to the nutrition‐weakening effects of weather stresses in commercialised agricultural households. This highlights twin policy challenges: strengthening smallholders' resilience to escalating climate risks alongside promoting gender‐equitable, nutrition‐sensitive agricultural commercialisation.
本研究从经验角度分析了农业商业化对孟加拉国食品支出和营养结果的影响。我们研究了外源气候冲击是否会调节这些关系。我们利用具有全国代表性的面板数据,构建了个人层面的营养指标和随时间变化的极端气候。为了解决内生性问题,我们使用了工具变量法。结果表明,商业化会改善个人的总体营养状况。然而,对于频繁遭受气候冲击的家庭来说,商业化与营养之间的联系要弱于气候抗御地区的家庭。重要的是,气候冲击削弱了商业化对营养的积极影响,并加剧了家庭内部现有的营养状况不平等。在商业化农业家庭中,妇女和女孩似乎更容易受到气候压力对营养削弱的影响。这凸显了双重政策挑战:在促进性别平等、对营养敏感的农业商业化的同时,加强小农对不断升级的气候风险的抵御能力。
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引用次数: 0
Adoption of agronomic practices and their impact on crop yield and income: An analysis for black gram and green gram in India 农艺措施的采用及其对作物产量和收入的影响:对印度黑糯米和绿糯米的分析
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-25 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12617
Poornima Varma, Julius Manda
Black gram and green gram are important pulse crops in India, but their production has faced fluctuations and stagnancy in yields over the last few decades. The Government of India has implemented several measures to enhance crop yield, including recommending and promoting the adoption of crop‐specific agronomic practices. However, there is limited empirical evidence on the determinants of the adoption of these practices and their impact on yield and income. In this context, this study analyses the determinants of the adoption of climate and plant management practices among black gram and green gram farmers and their impact on yield, crop revenue and net income across four major crop‐producing Indian states using a multinomial endogenous treatment effects model. Our analysis shows that information, contact with government extension services and access to off‐farm activities are crucial in adopting climate and plant management practices. The results strengthen the view that the adoption of knowledge‐intensive practices happens via formal information sources and plot‐level demonstrations. In addition, the results indicate that farmers who experience frequent crop loss exhibit an aversion towards adopting climate and plant management practices. While adopting these practices had a positive impact on crop yield and crop revenue, the impact on net income was observed only in the case of climate management.
黑糯米和青糯米是印度重要的豆类作物,但在过去几十年里,它们的产量一直处于波动和停滞状态。印度政府已采取多项措施提高作物产量,包括推荐和推广采用针对特定作物的农艺措施。然而,关于采用这些做法的决定因素及其对产量和收入的影响的经验证据却很有限。在此背景下,本研究采用多项式内生处理效应模型,分析了印度四个主要作物生产邦的黑禾和绿禾农民采用气候和植物管理方法的决定因素及其对产量、作物收入和净收入的影响。我们的分析表明,信息、与政府推广服务机构的联系以及参与非农活动的机会对采用气候和植物管理方法至关重要。研究结果进一步证实,知识密集型实践的采用是通过正规信息来源和地块示范实现的。此外,结果表明,经常遭受作物损失的农民对采用气候和植物管理方法表现出反感。虽然采用这些做法对作物产量和作物收入有积极影响,但只有在气候管理情况下才会对净收入产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
From informal farmland rental to market‐oriented transactions: Do China's Land Transfer Service Centers help? 从非正规农地租赁到市场化交易:中国的土地流转服务中心有用吗?
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12615
Pengfei Fan, Ashok K. Mishra, Shuyi Feng, Min Su
Farmland rental markets are important in production agriculture. Informal farmland rental markets have taken root in Chinese agriculture. However, farmland rental markets need to be transparent for increased efficiency and smooth functioning. This study uses three waves of nationally representative panel data and a difference‐in‐differences framework to examine the effect of China's Land Transfer Service Centers (LTSCs) on market‐oriented farmland transfers. The result indicates that LTSCs enhance farmland transfer marketisation, encouraging landowners to rent their land to large‐scale operators, engage in fixed‐term contracts and charge pecuniary rents. However, the LTSCs' “discrimination” against smallholders may limit their impact on the overall market. Additionally, LTSCs have weaker effects in villages with large clans and stronger effects in villages with bank outlets. The results illustrate the potential value of intermediary service organisations (ISOs) in land rental markets.
耕地租赁市场在生产型农业中非常重要。非正式的农田租赁市场已在中国农业中扎根。然而,耕地租赁市场需要透明化,以提高效率和平稳运行。本研究利用三波具有全国代表性的面板数据和差分法框架,考察了中国土地流转服务中心对市场化农地流转的影响。结果表明,土地流转服务中心促进了农地流转市场化,鼓励土地所有者将土地出租给规模化经营者,签订固定期限合同并收取租金。然而,土地流转服务公司对小农户的 "歧视 "可能会限制其对整个市场的影响。此外,在有大宗族的村庄中,土地托管公司的影响较弱,而在有银行网点的村庄中,土地托管公司的影响较强。这些结果说明了中介服务组织在土地租赁市场中的潜在价值。
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引用次数: 0
Farmers' cooperation to improve water quality under scientific uncertainty: A lab‐in‐the‐field experiment 科学不确定性下的农民合作改善水质:实验室-田间试验
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/1477-9552.12614
Simone Angioloni, Simone Cerroni
Cooperation amongst natural resource users is key to manage ecosystems sustainably and achieve environmental goals proposed by policy and regulations. This paper focuses on the impact that livestock farming can have on the quality of a water body and investigates farmers' willingness to cooperate to preserve water quality under two different sources of uncertainty and four different degrees of uncertainty. The first source relates to the level of water quality that must be guaranteed in a river catchment to avoid irreversible deterioration of aquatic ecosystems (threshold uncertainty, i.e. with catastrophic consequences). The second source relates to the financial losses that farmers will experience in the long run if they fail to cooperate (impact uncertainty). To this end, a lab‐in‐the‐field experiment was conducted with livestock farmers of Northern Ireland. A local public good game with threshold uncertainty was framed around an agri‐environmental scheme designed to create ungrazed buffer zones for water quality preservation. Results indicate that uncertainty generally hampers farmers' cooperation and the provision of information geared to reduce uncertainty enhances it. Impact uncertainty has a milder negative impact on cooperation than threshold uncertainty. Risk preferences and probability weighting do not influence cooperation, while loss aversion has an influence on cooperation.
自然资源使用者之间的合作是可持续管理生态系统和实现政策法规提出的环境目标的关键。本文重点探讨了畜牧业对水体质量的影响,并研究了在两种不同的不确定性来源和四种不同的不确定性程度下,农民为保护水质而进行合作的意愿。第一种不确定性与为避免水生生态系统不可逆转的恶化而必须保证的集水区水质水平有关(阈值不确定性,即具有灾难性后果)。第二个来源是农民如果不合作,从长远来看将遭受的经济损失(影响的不确定性)。为此,我们与北爱尔兰的畜牧业者开展了一项实验室实地实验。实验围绕一项农业环境计划展开,该计划旨在为保护水质而建立非放牧缓冲区。结果表明,不确定性通常会阻碍农民的合作,而提供旨在减少不确定性的信息则会加强合作。与阈值不确定性相比,影响不确定性对合作的负面影响较小。风险偏好和概率加权不影响合作,而损失规避对合作有影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Agricultural Economics
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