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GRU-LSTM Model Based on the SSA for Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction 基于SSA的GRU-LSTM模型短期交通流预测
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2024.9210051
Changxi Ma;Xiaoyu Huang;Yongpeng Zhao;Tao Wang;Bo Du
The transportation department relies on accurate traffic forecasting for effective decision-making. However, determining relevant parameters for existing traffic flow prediction models poses challenges. To address this issue, this study proposes a hybrid model, sparrow search algorithm-gated recurrent unit-long short-term memory (SSA-GRU-LSTM), which leverages the SSA to optimize the GRUs and LSTM networks. The SSA is employed to identify the optimal parameters for the GRU-LSTM model, mitigating their impact on prediction accuracy. This model integrates the predictive efficiency of the GRU, LSTM's capability in temporal data analysis, and the fast convergence and global search attributes of the SSA. Comprehensive experiments are conducted to validate the proposed method via traffic flow datasets, and the results are compared with those of baseline models. The numerical results demonstrate the superior performance of the SSA-GRU-LSTM model. Compared with the baselines, the proposed model results in reductions in the root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.632%–45.206%, the mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.608%–53.327%, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 1.324%–13.723%, and an increase in $R^{2}$ of 0.5%–17.5%. Consequently, the SSA-GRU-LSTM model has high prediction accuracy and measurement stability.
交通部门依靠准确的交通预测来进行有效的决策。然而,对于现有的交通流预测模型,如何确定相关参数是一个挑战。为了解决这一问题,本研究提出了一种混合模型,即麻雀搜索算法-门控循环单元-长短期记忆(SSA- gru -LSTM),该模型利用SSA来优化gru和LSTM网络。SSA用于识别GRU-LSTM模型的最优参数,减轻其对预测精度的影响。该模型综合了GRU的预测效率、LSTM的时间数据分析能力和SSA的快速收敛和全局搜索特性。在交通流数据集上进行了综合实验,验证了该方法的有效性,并与基线模型的结果进行了比较。数值结果证明了SSA-GRU-LSTM模型的优越性能。与基线相比,该模型的均方根误差(RMSE)降低了4.632% ~ 45.206%,平均绝对误差(MAE)降低了2.608% ~ 53.327%,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)降低了1.324% ~ 13.723%,$R^{2}$增加了0.5% ~ 17.5%。因此,SSA-GRU-LSTM模型具有较高的预测精度和测量稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Term Trajectory Prediction Method Based on Highway Vehicle-Following Behavior Patterns 基于公路车辆跟随行为模式的长期轨迹预测方法
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2024.9210045
Zhichao An;Yimin Wu;Fan Zhang;Dong Zhang;Bolin Gao;Suying Zhang;Guang Zhou;Aoning Jia
To address existing shortcomings such as short time domains and low interpretability, this study proposes a long-term trajectory prediction model for leading vehicles that considers the impact of traffic flow. Through an analysis of trailing trajectory data from the HighD natural driving dataset, fitting relationships for the following behavior patterns were derived. Building upon the intelligent driver model (IDM), three long-term trajectory prediction models were established: acceleration delta velocity (ADV), space delta velocity intelligent driver model (SDVIDM), and space velocity intelligent driver model (SVIDM). These models were then compared with the IDM model through simulations. The results indicate that when there is one vehicle ahead, under aggressive following conditions, the ADV model outperforms the IDM model, reducing the root mean square errors in acceleration, speed, and position by 79.61%, 91.26%, and 87.82%, respectively. In scenarios with two vehicles ahead and conservative short-distance following, the SDVIDM model exhibits reductions of 83.42%, 92.85%, and 92.25%, while the SVIDM model shows reductions of 82.31%, 92.47%, and 94.02%, respectively, compared to the IDM model.
针对目前存在的时域短、可解释性低等缺点,本文提出了一种考虑交通流影响的领先车辆长期轨迹预测模型。通过分析HighD自然驾驶数据集的尾随轨迹数据,推导出以下行为模式的拟合关系:在智能驾驶员模型(IDM)的基础上,建立了加速度增量速度(ADV)、空间增量速度智能驾驶员模型(SDVIDM)和空间速度智能驾驶员模型(SVIDM)三种长期轨迹预测模型。并与IDM模型进行了仿真比较。结果表明,当前方有一辆车时,在主动跟车条件下,ADV模型优于IDM模型,加速度、速度和位置的均方根误差分别降低了79.61%、91.26%和87.82%。在两车前车和保守短距离跟车的情况下,SDVIDM模型比IDM模型分别减少83.42%、92.85%和92.25%,SVIDM模型比IDM模型分别减少82.31%、92.47%和94.02%。
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引用次数: 0
Use of Virtual Reality for Automated Driving Simulation 虚拟现实技术在自动驾驶仿真中的应用
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2024.9210048
Tanjida Tahmina;Mark Fuchs;Chao Shi
This study scrutinizes the use of virtual reality (VR) in automated driving simulation environments, with a focus on publication year, driving simulator type, virtual reality (VR) technology, and the advantages and drawbacks of VR application in autonomous driving simulations. An analysis of 87 articles from 10 databases reveals a notable uptick in VR-related research for autonomous driving simulations after 2015, demonstrating VR's potential in crafting realistic and secure environments for driving research. The identified challenges include motion sickness in participants, validation of driving scenarios, and simulator discomfort, alongside other obstacles and benefits. This study delineates existing research gaps and proposes research directions, aiming to inform and guide subsequent scholarly work at the intersection of VR and autonomous driving research.
本研究对虚拟现实(VR)在自动驾驶模拟环境中的应用进行了详细研究,重点关注了出版年份、驾驶模拟器类型、虚拟现实(VR)技术以及VR在自动驾驶模拟中应用的优缺点。对来自10个数据库的87篇文章的分析显示,2015年之后,与虚拟现实相关的自动驾驶模拟研究显著增加,这表明虚拟现实在为驾驶研究创造现实和安全环境方面具有潜力。确定的挑战包括参与者的晕动病,驾驶场景的验证,模拟器的不适,以及其他障碍和好处。本研究概述了现有的研究差距,并提出了研究方向,旨在为VR和自动驾驶研究交叉领域的后续学术工作提供信息和指导。
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引用次数: 0
Trajectory Prediction of Human-Driven Vehicles on the Basis of Risk Field Theory and Interaction Multiple Models 基于风险场理论和交互多重模型的人驾驶车辆轨迹预测
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2024.9210052
Zhaojie Wang;Guangquan Lu;Jinghua Wang;Haitian Tan;Renjing Tang
This study focuses on predicting the motion states and intentions of HDVs at unsignalized intersections. On the basis of a risk field-driven driving behavior model for uncontrolled intersections, multiple motion hypotheses are formulated to characterize the motion planning process of drivers in multivehicle conflict scenarios. Each motion hypothesis is modeled and expressed separately via the extended Kalman filter (EKF) model. These EKF models were combined to construct an interacting multiple model (IMM) framework. This framework estimates which motion hypothesis the driver is more likely to adopt as a strategy. By integrating the predictions of multiple motion hypotheses, more accurate predictions are obtained. Ultimately, it estimates the driver's travel path and acceptable risk level and predicts the spatiotemporal trajectory of HDVs within a future time window.
本研究的重点是在无信号交叉口预测高速公路的运动状态和意图。在风险场驱动的非受控交叉口驾驶行为模型的基础上,建立了多车冲突场景下驾驶员运动规划过程的多运动假设。每个运动假设分别通过扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)模型建模和表示。将这些EKF模型组合起来,构建一个交互多模型(IMM)框架。这个框架估计驾驶员更有可能采用哪种运动假设作为策略。通过对多个运动假设的预测进行整合,可以得到更准确的预测结果。最后,它估算驾驶员的行驶路径和可接受的风险水平,并预测未来时间窗内hdv的时空轨迹。
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引用次数: 0
Decision Making and Control of Autonomous Vehicles Under the Condition of Front Vehicle Sideslip 前车侧滑情况下自动驾驶汽车的决策与控制
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2023.9210044
Jian Chen;Yunfeng Xiang;Yugong Luo;Keqiang Li;Xiaomin Lian
The behaviors of front vehicles are important factors that can influence the driving safety of autonomous vehicles on highways. This situation poses a serious threat to the security of autonomous vehicles, especially when front vehicle sideslip occurs. To address this problem, a decision-making approach can be used to promote the emergency obstacle avoidance capability of autonomous vehicles. First, the front sideslip vehicle trajectory was predicted by the kinematic models Constant Acceleration (CA), Constant Turn Rate and Velocity (CTRV), and Constant Turn Rate and Acceleration (CTRA) based on the front vehicle sideslip identification results. The CTRA prediction approach is chosen by comparing the prediction errors of the three models. To enhance the obstacle avoidance ability of autonomous vehicles, a novel trajectory planning method based on a driving characteristic vector is proposed. Model prediction control (MPC) is used to track the planned trajectory. Finally, the cosimulation platform of Simulink and Carsim was built. The simulation results show that autonomous vehicles can avoid collisions with front sideslip vehicles through the proposed approach, and the proposed trajectory planning approach has better obstacle avoidance ability than does the traditional approach.
前方车辆的行为是影响自动驾驶汽车在高速公路上行驶安全的重要因素。这种情况对自动驾驶汽车的安全性构成了严重威胁,尤其是在发生前车侧滑的情况下。为了解决这一问题,可以采用一种决策方法来提高自动驾驶汽车的紧急避障能力。首先,基于前侧滑辨识结果,采用恒加速度(CA)、恒转弯速率和速度(CTRV)和恒转弯速率和加速度(CTRA)运动学模型对前侧滑车辆轨迹进行预测;通过比较三种模型的预测误差,选择CTRA预测方法。为了提高自动驾驶汽车的避障能力,提出了一种基于驾驶特征向量的轨迹规划方法。采用模型预测控制(MPC)对规划轨迹进行跟踪。最后,搭建了Simulink与Carsim的联合仿真平台。仿真结果表明,该方法能有效避免自动驾驶车辆与前侧滑车辆的碰撞,且轨迹规划方法比传统方法具有更好的避障能力。
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引用次数: 0
Advancements and Prospects in Multisensor Fusion for Autonomous Driving 自动驾驶中多传感器融合的研究进展与展望
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2023.9210042
Chen Tu;Liang Wang;Jaehyuck Lim;Inhi Kim
The advancement of technology has propelled autonomous driving into the public spotlight over the past decade, establishing it as a strategic focal point for technological competition among countries (Lin et al., 2023b). For instance, the U.S. Department of Transportation released a series of influential documents outlining top-level designs for autonomous driving, ranging from the ‘Federal Autonomous Vehicle Policy Guide’ in 2016 to the ‘Ensuring the U.S. Leadership in Automated Driving: Autonomous Vehicle 4.0’ in 2020. In 2016, Japan formulated a roadmap to promote the adoption of autonomous driving, culminating in the launch of its inaugural L4-level autonomous vehicle public road operation service in 2023. Moreover, the development of autonomous driving in Europe is primarily concentrated in countries such as Germany, France, UK, and Sweden. These countries boast robust automotive industry foundations in the field of autonomous driving, accompanied by advanced systems and frameworks in terms of regulations and standards.
在过去十年中,技术的进步使自动驾驶成为公众关注的焦点,使其成为各国之间技术竞争的战略焦点(Lin等人,2023b)。例如,美国交通部发布了一系列有影响力的文件,概述了自动驾驶的顶层设计,从2016年的《联邦自动驾驶汽车政策指南》到2020年的《确保美国在自动驾驶领域的领导地位:自动驾驶汽车4.0》。2016年,日本制定了推动自动驾驶普及的路线图,最终于2023年推出了首个l4级自动驾驶汽车公共道路运营服务。此外,自动驾驶在欧洲的发展主要集中在德国、法国、英国和瑞典等国家。这些国家在自动驾驶领域拥有强大的汽车工业基础,并在法规和标准方面拥有先进的系统和框架。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Representation of Traffic States: A Novel Method for Link Selection of Urban Road Networks 改进交通状态表征:城市道路网络链路选择的一种新方法
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2023.9210047
Syed Muzammil Abbas Rizvi;Bernhard Friedrich
The macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) represents the aggregated traffic states of a road network. However, the uniqueness of an empirically estimated MFD cannot be guaranteed due to the problem of link selection. Instationarity and varying flow patterns make it difficult to select link flows that are representative of the traffic state in the whole network. This study developed a new method for selecting links equipped with loop detectors that represent a particular traffic state of a road network. The method utilizes a metric of heterogeneity characterizing the role of a network link over the time of day. The dispersion metric indicates the heterogeneity in traffic states and the dynamic role of each time interval. It ranks links based on the heterogeneity-weighted saturation level, with the highest-rank links representing the most homogeneous subset of sample links. This study compared classical and proposed dynamic weights using loop detector data from Zurich and London and a simulated network. Sample links were selected based on different saturation levels, and the saturation level was associated with the heterogeneity level to identify the links creating heterogeneity in the road network.
宏观基本图(MFD)表示路网的总体交通状态。然而,由于链路选择问题,经验估计的MFD的唯一性不能得到保证。不稳定性和流量模式的变化使得选择能够代表整个网络中流量状态的链路流变得困难。本研究开发了一种新的方法,用于选择配备环路检测器的链路,该环路检测器代表道路网络的特定交通状态。该方法利用异构度量来表征网络链路在一天中的作用。离散度指标反映了交通状态的异质性和每个时间间隔的动态作用。它根据异质性加权饱和水平对链接进行排名,排名最高的链接代表样本链接中最均匀的子集。本研究使用来自苏黎世和伦敦的环路检测器数据和模拟网络比较了经典和提议的动态权重。根据不同的饱和水平选择样本链路,并将饱和水平与异质性水平相关联,以识别路网中产生异质性的链路。
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引用次数: 0
Extracting Networkwide Road Segment Location, Direction, and Turning Movement Rules From Global Positioning System Vehicle Trajectory Data for Macrosimulation 从全球定位系统车辆轨迹数据中提取网络范围内道路段位置、方向和转向运动规则用于宏观仿真
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2023.9210046
Adham Badran;Ahmed El-Geneidy;Luis Miranda-Moreno
The emergence of road users' global positioning system (GPS) trajectory data is attracting increasing research interest in knowledge discovery to improve transport planning-related methods and tools. In fact, the widespread use of GPS-enabled smartphones and the mobile internet has increased the availability and size of such data. With the increase in GPS data coverage and availability, some research has expanded its use to estimate state-wide vehicle-miles travelled, to classify driving maneuvers for road safety assessment, or to estimate environmental performance indicators, such as vehicular fuel consumption and pollution emissions. In computer science, research has used GPS data to infer road network maps. Although the inferred maps provide a correct topology and connectivity, they lack the essential details to be used for transport modeling. Therefore, this work proposes a method to extract network-wide road direction and turning movement rules. In addition, building a road network model under the widely used macroscopic transport modeling software serves as a proof of concept. A sensitivity analysis was carried out to determine the output quality and recommend future improvements. Road segment geometry and directionality were extracted accurately (case study accuracy of 95%); however, turning movement rules can be extracted more accurately using a larger GPS vehicle trajectory sample (case study accuracy of 68%).
道路使用者全球定位系统(GPS)轨迹数据的出现引起了人们对知识发现的兴趣,以改进与交通规划相关的方法和工具。事实上,具有gps功能的智能手机和移动互联网的广泛使用增加了此类数据的可用性和大小。随着GPS数据覆盖范围和可用性的增加,一些研究已将其应用范围扩大到估计全州范围内的车辆行驶里程,对道路安全评估的驾驶动作进行分类,或估计环境绩效指标,如车辆燃料消耗和污染排放。在计算机科学领域,研究使用GPS数据来推断道路网络地图。尽管推断的映射提供了正确的拓扑和连通性,但它们缺乏用于传输建模的基本细节。因此,本文提出了一种提取全网道路方向和转弯运动规则的方法。此外,在广泛使用的宏观交通建模软件下建立路网模型作为概念验证。进行敏感性分析以确定输出质量并建议未来的改进。准确提取道路段的几何形状和方向性(案例研究准确率为95%);然而,使用更大的GPS车辆轨迹样本可以更准确地提取转弯运动规则(案例研究精度为68%)。
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引用次数: 0
Application of the Traffic Fundamental Diagram to Assess Detector Performance 交通基本图在评估检测器性能中的应用
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2023.9210050
Katherine Riffle;Edward J. Smaglik;Steven Procaccio;Steven R. Gehrke;Brendan J. Russo;David Hurwitz
This study develops new methods for evaluating detector health via event-based outputs and existing traffic flow theory. In this work, event-based detector data outputs were used to develop empirical vehicle volume-density curves per Greenshields fundamental model. Through integration, these empirical lines were compared with a conceptual volume-density curve for each detector, which was generated with average headway and posted speed limit data. The detector performance and site information were also used to model a predicted volume-density relationship for each detector on the basis of empirical observations, which was then compared with the conceptual line in the same manner as the empirical lines. The outcomes of each comparison were then used to create a database for assessing detector health within the structure of an algorithm. The algorithm is presented and discussed, followed by directions for future research, applications for practice, lessons learned, and limitations of this work.
本研究开发了基于事件输出和现有交通流理论的检测器健康评估新方法。在这项工作中,基于事件的检测器数据输出用于根据Greenshields基本模型开发经验车辆体积密度曲线。通过整合,将这些经验线与每个探测器的概念体积密度曲线进行比较,该曲线由平均车头距和公布的限速数据生成。探测器的性能和地点信息也被用来在经验观察的基础上对每个探测器的预测体积密度关系进行建模,然后以与经验线相同的方式与概念线进行比较。然后使用每次比较的结果创建一个数据库,用于在算法结构内评估检测器的健康状况。本文提出并讨论了该算法,随后给出了未来研究方向、实践应用、经验教训以及本工作的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Coordinated Optimization of Signal Timing for Intersections with Dynamic Shared Through- and Right-Turn Lanes 动态共享直行和右转车道交叉口信号配时的协调优化
Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.26599/JICV.2023.9210038
Zhe Zheng;Jian Yuan;Kun An;Nan Zheng;Wanjing Ma
Through and right-turn shared lanes are widely designed to increase the capacity of through traffic, but they can also cause delays for right-turn vehicles. This study presents a dynamic control method for a shared lane that prioritizes right-turn vehicles at the beginning of the cycle and subsequently allows through traffic to queue in the shared lane for saturated discharge. The traffic wave model is employed to reveal the dynamics of the traffic flow under this control and to derive the relationships among major traffic parameters. Constrained by the major relationship, a linear programming approach to minimize the total queue length is developed to determine the proper values of control parameters, including the shared area length, subordinate signal time lag, and shared or exclusive duration. A sensitivity analysis of the control parameters for different arrival rates and flow ratios is performed. Comparisons are conducted among the dynamic shared lane, the fixed exclusive lane, and the fixed shared lane. The results show that the dynamic control method results in a lower delay for both through and total traffic.
通行和右转共用车道的设计广泛用于提高通行能力,但也会造成右转车辆的延误。本研究提出了一种共用车道的动态控制方法,在周期开始时优先考虑右转车辆,随后允许直行车辆在共用车道上排队等候饱和放行。研究采用交通波浪模型来揭示这种控制下的交通流动态,并推导出主要交通参数之间的关系。在主要关系的约束下,开发了一种线性规划方法来最小化总排队长度,从而确定控制参数的适当值,包括共享区域长度、从属信号时滞以及共享或独占持续时间。对不同到达率和流量比的控制参数进行了敏感性分析。对动态共享车道、固定独享车道和固定共享车道进行了比较。结果表明,动态控制方法可降低直通和总流量的延迟。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles
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