首页 > 最新文献

China Agricultural Economic Review最新文献

英文 中文
Disparate changes of living standard in China: perspective from Engel's coefficient 从恩格尔系数看中国生活水平的差异变化
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.1108/caer-03-2022-0046
Qingxin Xie, F. Yi, Xu Tian
PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the changes in living standard among families with different socio-economic status in China with the use of Engel's Coefficient. The authors develop a decomposition methodology to figure out the driving forces behind changes in Engel's Coefficient, and investigate how dramatic economic growth, volatile food price and rapid nutrition transition affect living standard among different families.Design/methodology/approachThe authors propose a statistical method to decompose the changes in living standard measured by Engel's Coefficient into structure effect, price effect, quantity effect and income effect. Using the China Health and Nutrition Survey data between 2000 and 2011, the authors estimate these four effects by employing a decomposition method.FindingsResults show that Engel's Coefficient in China decreased by 8.7 percentage points (hereafter “pp”) during 2000–2011, where structure effect leads to 0.2 pp increase, price effect results in 17.7 pp increase, quantity effect brings about 12.4 pp decline and income effect contributes to 14.2 pp decline. Results indicate that rising food prices are the main obstacle to improve households' living standard. Typically, poor and rural families' living standard is more vulnerable to the rise in food prices, and they benefit less from income growth.Originality/valueThis study proposes a decomposition method to investigate the determinants of change in Engel's Coefficient, which provides a deeper understanding of how economic growth, food price change and nutrition transition affect people's living standard in different socio-economic groups in developing countries. This study also provides valuable insights on how to achieve common prosperity from the perspective of consumption upgrading.
目的利用恩格尔系数研究中国不同社会经济地位家庭生活水平的变化。作者开发了一种分解方法来找出恩格尔系数变化背后的驱动力,并研究了急剧的经济增长、波动的食品价格和快速的营养转变如何影响不同家庭的生活水平。设计/方法论/方法作者提出了一种统计方法,将恩格尔系数测量的生活水平变化分解为结构效应、价格效应、数量效应和收入效应。利用2000年至2011年中国健康与营养调查数据,作者采用分解法估计了这四种影响。结果表明,2000-2001年,中国恩格尔系数下降了8.7个百分点,其中结构效应导致0.2个百分点的增长,价格效应导致17.7个百分点的增加,数量效应导致12.4个百分点的下降,收入效应导致14.2个百分点的降低。结果表明,食品价格上涨是提高家庭生活水平的主要障碍。通常,贫困和农村家庭的生活水平更容易受到食品价格上涨的影响,他们从收入增长中受益更少。原创性/价值本研究提出了一种分解方法来调查恩格尔系数变化的决定因素,从而更深入地了解发展中国家不同社会经济群体的经济增长、食品价格变化和营养转型如何影响人们的生活水平。这项研究也为如何从消费升级的角度实现共同富裕提供了宝贵的见解。
{"title":"Disparate changes of living standard in China: perspective from Engel's coefficient","authors":"Qingxin Xie, F. Yi, Xu Tian","doi":"10.1108/caer-03-2022-0046","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-03-2022-0046","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the changes in living standard among families with different socio-economic status in China with the use of Engel's Coefficient. The authors develop a decomposition methodology to figure out the driving forces behind changes in Engel's Coefficient, and investigate how dramatic economic growth, volatile food price and rapid nutrition transition affect living standard among different families.Design/methodology/approachThe authors propose a statistical method to decompose the changes in living standard measured by Engel's Coefficient into structure effect, price effect, quantity effect and income effect. Using the China Health and Nutrition Survey data between 2000 and 2011, the authors estimate these four effects by employing a decomposition method.FindingsResults show that Engel's Coefficient in China decreased by 8.7 percentage points (hereafter “pp”) during 2000–2011, where structure effect leads to 0.2 pp increase, price effect results in 17.7 pp increase, quantity effect brings about 12.4 pp decline and income effect contributes to 14.2 pp decline. Results indicate that rising food prices are the main obstacle to improve households' living standard. Typically, poor and rural families' living standard is more vulnerable to the rise in food prices, and they benefit less from income growth.Originality/valueThis study proposes a decomposition method to investigate the determinants of change in Engel's Coefficient, which provides a deeper understanding of how economic growth, food price change and nutrition transition affect people's living standard in different socio-economic groups in developing countries. This study also provides valuable insights on how to achieve common prosperity from the perspective of consumption upgrading.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49340133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Impact of lockdown and government subsidies on rural households at early COVID-19 pandemic in China 新冠肺炎疫情早期中国封锁和政府补贴对农村家庭的影响
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.1108/caer-12-2021-0239
Nan Li, Muzi Chen, Haoyu Gao, Difang Huang, Xiaoguang Yang
PurposeGiven the scarcity of data during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in China, the decision-making for non-pharmaceutical policies was mostly based on insufficient evidence. The purpose of this study is to assess the effectiveness of these policies, such as lockdown and government subsidies, on rural households and identify policy implications for China and other countries in dealing with pandemics.Design/methodology/approachThe authors survey 2,408 rural households by telephone from 101 counties across 17 provinces in China during the first stage of the pandemic (March 2020). The authors use the ordered probit model and linear regression model to study the overall impact of policies and then use the quantile regression model and sub-sample regression method to study the heterogeneity of the effects of government policies.FindingsThe authors find that logistics disruption due to lockdown negatively affected rural households. Obstructed logistics is associated with a more significant loss for high-income households, while its impact on the loss expectation of low-income households is more severe. Breeding and other industries such as transport and sales suffer more from logistics than cultivation. The impact of logistics on intensive agricultural entities is more serious than that on professional farms. The government subsidy is more effective at reducing loss for low-income households. Lockdown and government subsidies have shown heterogeneous impacts on rural households.Practical implicationsThe overall economic losses experienced by rural households in the early stages of the pandemic are controllable. The government policies of logistics and subsidies should target specific groups.Originality/valueThe authors evaluate the economic impacts of lockdown and government subsidies on rural households and show their heterogeneity among different groups. The authors further demonstrate the policy effectiveness in supporting rural households during the early stages of the pandemic and provide future policy guidance on major public health event.
目的考虑到新冠肺炎疫情早期中国数据的稀缺性,非药品政策的决策大多基于证据不足。本研究的目的是评估这些政策(如封锁和政府补贴)对农村家庭的有效性,并确定对中国和其他国家应对流行病的政策影响。设计/方法/方法作者在疫情第一阶段(2020年3月)通过电话调查了中国17个省101个县的2408户农村家庭。作者使用有序probit模型和线性回归模型来研究政策的总体影响,然后使用分位数回归模型和子样本回归方法来研究政府政策效果的异质性。研究结果作者发现,封锁造成的物流中断对农村家庭产生了负面影响。物流受阻与高收入家庭更显著的损失相关,而其对低收入家庭损失预期的影响更为严重。养殖业和运输、销售等其他行业受到的物流影响比种植业更大。物流对集约型农业实体的影响比对专业农场的影响更严重。政府补贴在减少低收入家庭的损失方面更为有效。封锁和政府补贴对农村家庭的影响各不相同。实际影响农村家庭在疫情早期经历的总体经济损失是可控的。政府的物流和补贴政策应针对特定群体。原创性/价值作者评估了封锁和政府补贴对农村家庭的经济影响,并显示了不同群体之间的异质性。作者进一步证明了在疫情早期支持农村家庭的政策有效性,并为未来重大公共卫生事件提供了政策指导。
{"title":"Impact of lockdown and government subsidies on rural households at early COVID-19 pandemic in China","authors":"Nan Li, Muzi Chen, Haoyu Gao, Difang Huang, Xiaoguang Yang","doi":"10.1108/caer-12-2021-0239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-12-2021-0239","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeGiven the scarcity of data during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in China, the decision-making for non-pharmaceutical policies was mostly based on insufficient evidence. The purpose of this study is to assess the effectiveness of these policies, such as lockdown and government subsidies, on rural households and identify policy implications for China and other countries in dealing with pandemics.Design/methodology/approachThe authors survey 2,408 rural households by telephone from 101 counties across 17 provinces in China during the first stage of the pandemic (March 2020). The authors use the ordered probit model and linear regression model to study the overall impact of policies and then use the quantile regression model and sub-sample regression method to study the heterogeneity of the effects of government policies.FindingsThe authors find that logistics disruption due to lockdown negatively affected rural households. Obstructed logistics is associated with a more significant loss for high-income households, while its impact on the loss expectation of low-income households is more severe. Breeding and other industries such as transport and sales suffer more from logistics than cultivation. The impact of logistics on intensive agricultural entities is more serious than that on professional farms. The government subsidy is more effective at reducing loss for low-income households. Lockdown and government subsidies have shown heterogeneous impacts on rural households.Practical implicationsThe overall economic losses experienced by rural households in the early stages of the pandemic are controllable. The government policies of logistics and subsidies should target specific groups.Originality/valueThe authors evaluate the economic impacts of lockdown and government subsidies on rural households and show their heterogeneity among different groups. The authors further demonstrate the policy effectiveness in supporting rural households during the early stages of the pandemic and provide future policy guidance on major public health event.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45986576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Off-farm work and rural residential energy transition: a farm-household model and empirical evidence from China 非农就业与农村居民能源转型:一个农户模型和来自中国的经验证据
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-12 DOI: 10.1108/caer-09-2021-0188
Dingqiang Sun, Xinyue Yang, H. Qiu
PurposeThis paper aims to examine the role of off-farm work in the rural residential energy transition in China.Design/methodology/approachTo guide this empirical work, the authors present a simple farm-household model to explain rural energy consumption. The authors then empirically assess three main mechanisms through which off-farm work can speed up energy transition in rural China using panel data methods.FindingsThe study shows that income growth from off-farm work can reduce the consumption of traditional biomass energy and facilitate a shift to commercial energy. The losses of labor available for on-farm production raise the shadow price of non-tradable biomass energy and further dampen the demand for traditional biomass energy. More importantly, the authors find that working in service sectors can significantly promote the consumption of commercial energy by rural households. The sectoral exposure effect indicates that a new working environment may influence rural households' energy preferences and thus accelerate the transition away from traditional biomass energy.Originality/valuePrevious studies focus mainly on the income effect of off-farm work on rural energy consumption. The authors first identify three related but essentially different effects of off-farm work on rural energy transition in China. This study provides new insights into the process of energy consumption transition in rural China.
目的本文旨在检验非农活在中国农村居民能源转型中的作用。设计/方法/方法为了指导这项实证工作,作者提出了一个简单的农户模型来解释农村能源消费。然后,作者使用面板数据方法实证评估了非农业工作加速中国农村能源转型的三个主要机制。研究结果表明,非农活收入的增长可以减少传统生物质能的消耗,并促进向商业能源的转变。可用于农场生产的劳动力损失提高了不可交易生物质能源的影子价格,并进一步抑制了对传统生物质能源的需求。更重要的是,作者发现,在服务业工作可以显著促进农村家庭对商业能源的消费。部门暴露效应表明,新的工作环境可能会影响农村家庭的能源偏好,从而加速从传统生物质能源转型。原创性/价值以往的研究主要集中在非农活收入对农村能源消费的影响上。作者首先确定了三个相关但本质上不同的非农业工作对中国农村能源转型的影响。本研究为中国农村能源消费转型过程提供了新的视角。
{"title":"Off-farm work and rural residential energy transition: a farm-household model and empirical evidence from China","authors":"Dingqiang Sun, Xinyue Yang, H. Qiu","doi":"10.1108/caer-09-2021-0188","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-09-2021-0188","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper aims to examine the role of off-farm work in the rural residential energy transition in China.Design/methodology/approachTo guide this empirical work, the authors present a simple farm-household model to explain rural energy consumption. The authors then empirically assess three main mechanisms through which off-farm work can speed up energy transition in rural China using panel data methods.FindingsThe study shows that income growth from off-farm work can reduce the consumption of traditional biomass energy and facilitate a shift to commercial energy. The losses of labor available for on-farm production raise the shadow price of non-tradable biomass energy and further dampen the demand for traditional biomass energy. More importantly, the authors find that working in service sectors can significantly promote the consumption of commercial energy by rural households. The sectoral exposure effect indicates that a new working environment may influence rural households' energy preferences and thus accelerate the transition away from traditional biomass energy.Originality/valuePrevious studies focus mainly on the income effect of off-farm work on rural energy consumption. The authors first identify three related but essentially different effects of off-farm work on rural energy transition in China. This study provides new insights into the process of energy consumption transition in rural China.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46320125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Optimization analysis of grain self-production and import structure based on carbon footprint 基于碳足迹的粮食自产自销结构优化分析
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1108/caer-02-2022-0036
Hua Zhang, Fang Zhao, Kexuan Han
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to reduce the carbon footprint of food by adjusting the international trade and planting structure and to provide possible ideas for the improvement of the world's food green production and green trade.Design/methodology/approachUsing the literature analysis method to collect carbon footprint data calculated based on the life cycle assessment (LCA) method, and establishing an optimization model and an ARIMA prediction model for empirical analysis, this paper explores the possibility to reduce carbon emissions by adjusting import structure and self-production structure.FindingsThe results show that only through the adjustment of the import structure, carbon emissions can be reduced by 3.29 million tons at the source of imports. When domestic self-production is included, a total of 4.51 million tons of carbon emissions can be reduced, this provides ideas for low-carbon emission reduction in agriculture and animal husbandry.Originality/valueThis article is the first to use the carbon footprint data obtained by other scholars using LCA to optimize and analyze the grain trade structure and planting structure from a low-carbon perspective, and obtain specific emission reductions.
目的通过调整国际贸易和种植结构来减少粮食的碳足迹,为改善世界粮食绿色生产和绿色贸易提供可能的思路。设计/方法论/方法利用文献分析方法收集基于生命周期评估(LCA)方法计算的碳足迹数据,并建立优化模型和ARIMA预测模型进行实证分析,探索通过调整进口结构和自产结构来减少碳排放的可能性。研究结果表明,只有通过调整进口结构,才能在进口源头减少329万吨碳排放。如果算上国内自产,总共可以减少451万吨碳排放,这为农牧业的低碳减排提供了思路。原创/价值本文首次利用其他学者利用LCA获得的碳足迹数据,从低碳角度对粮食贸易结构和种植结构进行优化分析,得出具体的减排量。
{"title":"Optimization analysis of grain self-production and import structure based on carbon footprint","authors":"Hua Zhang, Fang Zhao, Kexuan Han","doi":"10.1108/caer-02-2022-0036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-02-2022-0036","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to reduce the carbon footprint of food by adjusting the international trade and planting structure and to provide possible ideas for the improvement of the world's food green production and green trade.Design/methodology/approachUsing the literature analysis method to collect carbon footprint data calculated based on the life cycle assessment (LCA) method, and establishing an optimization model and an ARIMA prediction model for empirical analysis, this paper explores the possibility to reduce carbon emissions by adjusting import structure and self-production structure.FindingsThe results show that only through the adjustment of the import structure, carbon emissions can be reduced by 3.29 million tons at the source of imports. When domestic self-production is included, a total of 4.51 million tons of carbon emissions can be reduced, this provides ideas for low-carbon emission reduction in agriculture and animal husbandry.Originality/valueThis article is the first to use the carbon footprint data obtained by other scholars using LCA to optimize and analyze the grain trade structure and planting structure from a low-carbon perspective, and obtain specific emission reductions.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47646476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Climate change adaptation and upland rice yield: evidence from a farm survey in Yunnan, China 气候变化适应与旱稻产量:来自中国云南农业调查的证据
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1108/caer-02-2022-0038
Huaiyu Wang, Xi Hu, Shuangquan Yang, Guoquan Xu
PurposeThe study aims to examine the impact of farmers’ actual adaptations on rice yields in the upland areas of Yunnan province, China.Design/methodology/approachThe paper employs the simultaneous equations model with endogenous switching to investigate the different effects of adaptation strategies on rice yields achieved by adopters and nonadopters based on the cross-sectional data at farm level.FindingsThe results show that farmers’ access to government agricultural extension services significantly encourages rice farmers to make the adjustments in farm managements. The authors find that the adaptation strategies employed by farmers significantly increase rice yields. Adaptations adopted by upland farmers increase rice yields for both adopters and nonadopters, particularly for the nonadopters.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the existing literature by focusing on farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change in uplands of Yunnan using the primary household survey data. The results show the effectiveness of farmers’ adaptation adoptions on rice yields in uplands of Yunnan province.
目的研究云南省旱塬地区农民实际适应对水稻产量的影响。设计/方法/方法本文采用具有内生转换的联立方程模型,基于农业层面的横截面数据,研究了水稻采用者和非采用者的适应策略对水稻产量的不同影响。结果表明:农民获得政府农业推广服务显著地促进了稻农在经营管理上的调整。作者发现,农民采用的适应策略显著提高了水稻产量。旱地农民采取的适应措施提高了采用者和非采用者的水稻产量,特别是对非采用者。原创性/价值本文利用原始入户调查数据,重点研究云南高原农民对气候变化的适应策略,对已有文献进行了补充。结果表明,农民适应措施对云南高原水稻产量的影响是有效的。
{"title":"Climate change adaptation and upland rice yield: evidence from a farm survey in Yunnan, China","authors":"Huaiyu Wang, Xi Hu, Shuangquan Yang, Guoquan Xu","doi":"10.1108/caer-02-2022-0038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-02-2022-0038","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe study aims to examine the impact of farmers’ actual adaptations on rice yields in the upland areas of Yunnan province, China.Design/methodology/approachThe paper employs the simultaneous equations model with endogenous switching to investigate the different effects of adaptation strategies on rice yields achieved by adopters and nonadopters based on the cross-sectional data at farm level.FindingsThe results show that farmers’ access to government agricultural extension services significantly encourages rice farmers to make the adjustments in farm managements. The authors find that the adaptation strategies employed by farmers significantly increase rice yields. Adaptations adopted by upland farmers increase rice yields for both adopters and nonadopters, particularly for the nonadopters.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the existing literature by focusing on farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change in uplands of Yunnan using the primary household survey data. The results show the effectiveness of farmers’ adaptation adoptions on rice yields in uplands of Yunnan province.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41957132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Dual carbon goals and the impact on future agricultural development in China: a general equilibrium analysis 双碳目标及其对中国未来农业发展的影响:一般均衡分析
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1108/caer-02-2022-0020
Wei Wei, Qi Cui, Yu Sheng
PurposeThis paper aims to explore the future path of agricultural development in China toward 2060 under the dual carbon goals, so as to inform better policy choices for facilitating agricultural and rural transformation toward the goal of maintaining food security, sustainable income growth and low carbon emission.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs a single-country, multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model, CHINAGEM model and develops eight illustrative scenarios to simulate the impacts of attaining dual carbon goals on agricultural development in China. Additional two scenarios have also been designed to inform better policy making with the aim to offset the negative impact of the decarbonization schemes through facilitating agricultural technology progress.FindingsDual carbon goals are projected to impose substantial negative impact on agricultural productions and consumptions in China in the coming four decades. Under the assumption of business as usual, agricultural production will reduce by 0.49–8.94% along with the attainment of carbon neutrality goal by 2060, with the production of cereals and high-value being more severely damaged. To mitigate the adverse impact of the decarbonization schemes, it is believed that fastening technology progress in agriculture is one of the most efficient ways for maintaining domestic food security without harming the dual carbon goals. In particular, if agricultural productivity (particularly, for cereals and high-value products) can be increased by another 1% per year, the production losses caused by carbon emission mitigation will be fully offset. This implies that promoting technology progress is still the best way to facilitate agricultural development and rural transformation in future China.Originality/valueThe paper contributes to the literature in better informing the impact of dual carbon goals on China's agriculture and the effectiveness of technology progress in agriculture on buffering the adverse impact of the decarbonization schemes and promoting agricultural development.
目的探讨双碳目标下中国农业到2060年的未来发展路径,为促进农业和农村向维持粮食安全、可持续收入增长和低碳排放的目标转型提供更好的政策选择。本研究采用单一国家、多部门可计算一般均衡模型——CHINAGEM模型,并开发了8个说说性情景来模拟实现双碳目标对中国农业发展的影响。另外还设计了两种情景,以便为更好地制定政策提供信息,目的是通过促进农业技术进步来抵消脱碳计划的负面影响。研究发现,在未来40年,双碳目标预计将对中国的农业生产和消费产生重大负面影响。在一切照旧的假设下,到2060年,随着碳中和目标的实现,农业产量将减少0.49-8.94%,其中谷物和高价值的生产受到的损害更为严重。为了减轻脱碳计划的不利影响,人们认为,在不损害双碳目标的情况下,加快农业技术进步是维持国内粮食安全的最有效途径之一。特别是,如果农业生产力(特别是谷物和高价值产品)每年能再提高1%,那么减少碳排放造成的生产损失将完全抵消。这意味着,推动技术进步仍然是未来中国促进农业发展和农村转型的最佳途径。本文有助于更好地了解双碳目标对中国农业的影响,以及农业技术进步在缓冲脱碳方案不利影响和促进农业发展方面的有效性。
{"title":"Dual carbon goals and the impact on future agricultural development in China: a general equilibrium analysis","authors":"Wei Wei, Qi Cui, Yu Sheng","doi":"10.1108/caer-02-2022-0020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-02-2022-0020","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper aims to explore the future path of agricultural development in China toward 2060 under the dual carbon goals, so as to inform better policy choices for facilitating agricultural and rural transformation toward the goal of maintaining food security, sustainable income growth and low carbon emission.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs a single-country, multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model, CHINAGEM model and develops eight illustrative scenarios to simulate the impacts of attaining dual carbon goals on agricultural development in China. Additional two scenarios have also been designed to inform better policy making with the aim to offset the negative impact of the decarbonization schemes through facilitating agricultural technology progress.FindingsDual carbon goals are projected to impose substantial negative impact on agricultural productions and consumptions in China in the coming four decades. Under the assumption of business as usual, agricultural production will reduce by 0.49–8.94% along with the attainment of carbon neutrality goal by 2060, with the production of cereals and high-value being more severely damaged. To mitigate the adverse impact of the decarbonization schemes, it is believed that fastening technology progress in agriculture is one of the most efficient ways for maintaining domestic food security without harming the dual carbon goals. In particular, if agricultural productivity (particularly, for cereals and high-value products) can be increased by another 1% per year, the production losses caused by carbon emission mitigation will be fully offset. This implies that promoting technology progress is still the best way to facilitate agricultural development and rural transformation in future China.Originality/valueThe paper contributes to the literature in better informing the impact of dual carbon goals on China's agriculture and the effectiveness of technology progress in agriculture on buffering the adverse impact of the decarbonization schemes and promoting agricultural development.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47107272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Spatial governance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration towards low-carbon transition 京津冀城市群向低碳转型的空间治理
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.1108/caer-04-2022-0069
Haiyue Fu, Shuchang Zhao, Chuan Liao
PurposeThis paper aims to promote urban–rural synergy in carbon reduction and achieve the dual carbon goal, reconstruct the low-carbon urban–rural spatial pattern and explore planning strategies for carbon mitigation in urban agglomerations.Design/methodology/approachThe authors propose the idea of land governance zoning based on low-carbon scenario simulation, using the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration as the empirical research area. Specifically, the authors analyze its spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of carbon balance over the past two decades and simulate the land use pattern under the scenario of low-carbon emission in 2030. Furthermore, the authors create spatial zoning rules combined with land use transition characteristics to classify the urban agglomeration into carbon sink restoration zone, carbon sink protection zone, carbon control development zone and carbon transition agriculture zone and put forward corresponding targeted governance principals.FindingsThe study findings classify the BTH urban agglomeration into carbon sink restoration zone, carbon sink protection zone, carbon control development zone and carbon transition agriculture zone, which account for 28.1%, 17.2%, 20.1% and 34.6% of the total area, respectively. The carbon sink restoration zone and carbon sink protection zone are mainly distributed in the northern and western parts and Bohai Rim region. The carbon transition agriculture zone and carbon control development zone are mainly distributed in the southeastern plain and Zhangjiakou.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors suggest restoring and rebuilding ecosystems mainly in the northwest and east parts to increase the number of carbon sinks and the stability of the ecosystem. Besides, measures should be taken to promote collaborative emission reduction work between cities and optimize industrial and energy structures within cities such as Beijing, Langfang, Tianjin and Baoding. Furthermore, the authors recommend promoting sustainable intensification of agriculture and carefully balance between both economic development and ecological protection in Zhangjiakou and plain area.Originality/valueThe authors propose a zoning method based on the optimization of land use towards low-carbon development by combining “top-down” and “bottom-up” strategies and provide targeted governance suggestions for each region. This study provides policy implications to implement the regional low-carbon economic transition under the “double carbon” target in urban agglomerations in China.
目的促进城乡协同减碳,实现双碳目标,重构低碳城乡空间格局,探索城市群减碳规划策略。设计/方法论/方法以京津冀城市群为实证研究区域,提出了基于低碳情景模拟的土地治理区划思路。具体而言,作者分析了其近二十年来碳平衡的时空演变特征,并模拟了2030年低碳排放情景下的土地利用模式。此外,作者结合土地利用转型特征建立了空间分区规则,将城市群划分为碳汇恢复区、碳汇保护区、碳控制开发区和碳转型农业区,并提出了相应的有针对性的治理原则。研究结果将BTH城市群划分为碳汇恢复区、碳汇保护区、碳控制开发区和碳转型农业区,分别占总面积的28.1%、17.2%、20.1%和34.6%。碳汇恢复带和碳汇保护带主要分布在北部和西部以及环渤海地区。碳转型农业区和碳控制开发区主要分布在东南平原和张家口。研究局限性/含义作者建议主要在西北和东部恢复和重建生态系统,以增加碳汇数量和生态系统的稳定性。此外,应采取措施,促进城市之间的协同减排工作,优化北京、廊坊、天津和保定等城市的产业和能源结构。此外,作者建议在张家口和平原地区促进农业的可持续集约化,并在经济发展和生态保护之间谨慎平衡。独创性/价值作者结合“自上而下”和“自下而上”的战略,提出了一种基于土地利用优化的低碳发展分区方法,并为每个地区提供了有针对性的治理建议。本研究为中国城市群实施“双碳”目标下的区域低碳经济转型提供了政策启示。
{"title":"Spatial governance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration towards low-carbon transition","authors":"Haiyue Fu, Shuchang Zhao, Chuan Liao","doi":"10.1108/caer-04-2022-0069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-04-2022-0069","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper aims to promote urban–rural synergy in carbon reduction and achieve the dual carbon goal, reconstruct the low-carbon urban–rural spatial pattern and explore planning strategies for carbon mitigation in urban agglomerations.Design/methodology/approachThe authors propose the idea of land governance zoning based on low-carbon scenario simulation, using the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration as the empirical research area. Specifically, the authors analyze its spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of carbon balance over the past two decades and simulate the land use pattern under the scenario of low-carbon emission in 2030. Furthermore, the authors create spatial zoning rules combined with land use transition characteristics to classify the urban agglomeration into carbon sink restoration zone, carbon sink protection zone, carbon control development zone and carbon transition agriculture zone and put forward corresponding targeted governance principals.FindingsThe study findings classify the BTH urban agglomeration into carbon sink restoration zone, carbon sink protection zone, carbon control development zone and carbon transition agriculture zone, which account for 28.1%, 17.2%, 20.1% and 34.6% of the total area, respectively. The carbon sink restoration zone and carbon sink protection zone are mainly distributed in the northern and western parts and Bohai Rim region. The carbon transition agriculture zone and carbon control development zone are mainly distributed in the southeastern plain and Zhangjiakou.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors suggest restoring and rebuilding ecosystems mainly in the northwest and east parts to increase the number of carbon sinks and the stability of the ecosystem. Besides, measures should be taken to promote collaborative emission reduction work between cities and optimize industrial and energy structures within cities such as Beijing, Langfang, Tianjin and Baoding. Furthermore, the authors recommend promoting sustainable intensification of agriculture and carefully balance between both economic development and ecological protection in Zhangjiakou and plain area.Originality/valueThe authors propose a zoning method based on the optimization of land use towards low-carbon development by combining “top-down” and “bottom-up” strategies and provide targeted governance suggestions for each region. This study provides policy implications to implement the regional low-carbon economic transition under the “double carbon” target in urban agglomerations in China.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49615476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Coalitions in international relations and coordination of agricultural trade policies 国际关系联盟和农业贸易政策协调
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-05 DOI: 10.1108/caer-01-2022-0011
R. Mao
PurposeThe author attempts to examine the existence and pattern of coalitions in international relations across countries, and investigates whether international relations of coalition partners influence a country's enaction of agricultural non-tariff measures (NTMs).Design/methodology/approachThe author adopts a machine learning technique to identify international relation coalition partnerships and use network analysis to characterize the clustering pattern of coalitions with high-frequent records of global event data. The author then constructs a monthly dataset of agricultural NTMs against China and international relations with China of each importer and its coalition partners, and designs a panel structural vector autoregressive (PSVAR) model to estimate impulse response functions of agricultural NTMs with regard to international relation shocks.FindingsThe author finds countries to establish coalition partnerships. Two major clusters of coalitions are noted, with one composed of coalitions primarily among “North” countries and the other of coalitions among “South” countries. The United States is found to play a pivotal role by connecting the two clusters. The PSVAR estimation reveals reductions of NTMs against China following improved international relations with China of both the importer and its coalition partners. NTM responses are more substantial for measures that are trade restrictive. These results confirm that coalitions in international relations lead to coordination of agricultural NTMs.Originality/valueThe author provides international political insights into agricultural trade policymaking by showing interactions of NTM enaction across countries in the same coalition of international relations. These insights offer useful policy implications to predict and cope with hidden barriers to agricultural trade.
作者试图考察国际关系中联盟的存在和模式,并探讨联盟伙伴的国际关系是否会影响一个国家农业非关税措施(ntm)的制定。设计/方法/方法作者采用机器学习技术来识别国际关系联盟伙伴关系,并使用网络分析来表征具有全球事件数据高频记录的联盟的聚类模式。然后,作者构建了每个进口商及其联盟伙伴针对中国的农业ntm月度数据集以及与中国的国际关系,并设计了面板结构向量自回归(PSVAR)模型来估计农业ntm在国际关系冲击方面的脉冲响应函数。作者发现各国建立联盟伙伴关系。注意到两组主要的联盟,一组主要由“北方”国家之间的联盟组成,另一组由“南方”国家之间的联盟组成。通过连接这两个集群,美国发挥了关键作用。PSVAR估算显示,在进口商及其联盟伙伴改善与中国的国际关系后,针对中国的ntm减少了。NTM对贸易限制措施的回应更为实质性。这些结果证实,国际关系中的联盟导致农业ntm的协调。原创性/价值作者通过展示在同一国际关系联盟中各国NTM制定的相互作用,为农业贸易政策制定提供了国际政治见解。这些见解为预测和应对潜在的农业贸易壁垒提供了有益的政策启示。
{"title":"Coalitions in international relations and coordination of agricultural trade policies","authors":"R. Mao","doi":"10.1108/caer-01-2022-0011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-01-2022-0011","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe author attempts to examine the existence and pattern of coalitions in international relations across countries, and investigates whether international relations of coalition partners influence a country's enaction of agricultural non-tariff measures (NTMs).Design/methodology/approachThe author adopts a machine learning technique to identify international relation coalition partnerships and use network analysis to characterize the clustering pattern of coalitions with high-frequent records of global event data. The author then constructs a monthly dataset of agricultural NTMs against China and international relations with China of each importer and its coalition partners, and designs a panel structural vector autoregressive (PSVAR) model to estimate impulse response functions of agricultural NTMs with regard to international relation shocks.FindingsThe author finds countries to establish coalition partnerships. Two major clusters of coalitions are noted, with one composed of coalitions primarily among “North” countries and the other of coalitions among “South” countries. The United States is found to play a pivotal role by connecting the two clusters. The PSVAR estimation reveals reductions of NTMs against China following improved international relations with China of both the importer and its coalition partners. NTM responses are more substantial for measures that are trade restrictive. These results confirm that coalitions in international relations lead to coordination of agricultural NTMs.Originality/valueThe author provides international political insights into agricultural trade policymaking by showing interactions of NTM enaction across countries in the same coalition of international relations. These insights offer useful policy implications to predict and cope with hidden barriers to agricultural trade.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42665486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Agricultural carbon footprint and food security: an assessment of multiple carbon mitigation strategies in China 农业碳足迹与粮食安全:中国多种碳减缓战略评估
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.1108/caer-02-2022-0034
Xiangwen Kong, Liufang Su, Heng Wang, H. Qiu
PurposeTo achieve the dual goals of decarbonization and food security, this paper examines China's carbon footprint reduction in 2050 based on current mitigation strategies.Design/methodology/approachConsidering publications as featured evidence, this study develops an investigation of agricultural decarbonization in China. First, the authors summarize the mitigation strategies for agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the existing literature. Second, the authors demonstrate the domestic food production target in 2050 and the projection target's projected life-cycle-based GHG emissions at the commodity level. Lastly, the authors forecast China's emission removal in the agri-food sector in 2050 concerning current mitigation strategies and commodity productions. The authors highlight the extent to which each mitigation strategy contributes to decarbonization in China.FindingsPractices promoting sustainable development in the agri-food sector significantly contribute to GHG emission removal. The authors find mitigation strategies inhibiting future GHG emissions in the agri-food sector comprise improving nitrogen use efficiency in fertilizers, changing food consumption structure, manure management, cover crops, food waste reduction, dietary change of livestock and covered manure. A 10% improvement in nitrogen use efficiency contributes to 5.03% of GHG emission removal in the agri-food sector by 2050. Reducing food waste and food processing from 30% to 20% would inhibit 1.59% of the total GHG emissions in the agri-food sector.Originality/valueThis study contributes to policy discussions by accounting for agricultural direct and indirect emission components and assessing the dynamic changes in those related components. This study also extends existing research by forecasting to which extent the decarbonization effects implemented by current mitigation strategies can be achieved while meeting 2050 food security in China.
为了实现脱碳和粮食安全的双重目标,本文在现有减缓策略的基础上,对中国2050年的碳足迹减少进行了研究。设计/方法/途径考虑到出版物作为特征证据,本研究对中国农业脱碳进行了调查。首先,作者总结了现有文献中的农业温室气体(GHG)排放减缓策略。其次,作者展示了2050年国内粮食生产目标和预测目标在商品层面基于生命周期的预测温室气体排放。最后,作者根据当前的减排策略和商品生产预测了2050年中国农业食品部门的减排情况。作者强调了每种缓解策略对中国脱碳的贡献程度。促进农业食品部门可持续发展的做法对消除温室气体排放有重大贡献。作者发现,抑制农业食品部门未来温室气体排放的缓解策略包括提高肥料中的氮利用效率、改变食物消费结构、粪肥管理、覆盖作物、减少食物浪费、改变牲畜和覆盖粪肥的饮食。到2050年,氮素利用效率提高10%,将使农业食品部门的温室气体排放量减少5.03%。将食品浪费和食品加工从30%减少到20%将减少农业食品部门温室气体排放总量的1.59%。独创性/价值本研究通过计算农业直接和间接排放成分,并评估这些相关成分的动态变化,有助于政策讨论。本研究还通过预测在满足2050年中国粮食安全的情况下,当前减缓战略实施的脱碳效果能在多大程度上实现,对现有研究进行了扩展。
{"title":"Agricultural carbon footprint and food security: an assessment of multiple carbon mitigation strategies in China","authors":"Xiangwen Kong, Liufang Su, Heng Wang, H. Qiu","doi":"10.1108/caer-02-2022-0034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-02-2022-0034","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeTo achieve the dual goals of decarbonization and food security, this paper examines China's carbon footprint reduction in 2050 based on current mitigation strategies.Design/methodology/approachConsidering publications as featured evidence, this study develops an investigation of agricultural decarbonization in China. First, the authors summarize the mitigation strategies for agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the existing literature. Second, the authors demonstrate the domestic food production target in 2050 and the projection target's projected life-cycle-based GHG emissions at the commodity level. Lastly, the authors forecast China's emission removal in the agri-food sector in 2050 concerning current mitigation strategies and commodity productions. The authors highlight the extent to which each mitigation strategy contributes to decarbonization in China.FindingsPractices promoting sustainable development in the agri-food sector significantly contribute to GHG emission removal. The authors find mitigation strategies inhibiting future GHG emissions in the agri-food sector comprise improving nitrogen use efficiency in fertilizers, changing food consumption structure, manure management, cover crops, food waste reduction, dietary change of livestock and covered manure. A 10% improvement in nitrogen use efficiency contributes to 5.03% of GHG emission removal in the agri-food sector by 2050. Reducing food waste and food processing from 30% to 20% would inhibit 1.59% of the total GHG emissions in the agri-food sector.Originality/valueThis study contributes to policy discussions by accounting for agricultural direct and indirect emission components and assessing the dynamic changes in those related components. This study also extends existing research by forecasting to which extent the decarbonization effects implemented by current mitigation strategies can be achieved while meeting 2050 food security in China.","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41587192","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Agricultural production agglomeration and total factor carbon productivity: based on NDDF–MML index analysis 农业生产集聚与全要素碳生产率——基于NDDF–MML指数分析
IF 5.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1108/caer-02-2022-0035
Hongman Liu, Shibin Wen, Zhuang Wang
PurposeAgricultural carbon productivity considers the dual goals of “agricultural economic growth” and “carbon emission reduction”. Improving agricultural carbon productivity is a requirement for promoting green and low-carbon development of agriculture. Agricultural production agglomeration is widespread worldwide, but the relationship between agricultural production agglomeration and agricultural carbon productivity is inconclusive. This paper aims to study the impact of agricultural production agglomeration on agricultural carbon productivity, which is conducive to a better understanding of the relationships among agglomeration, agricultural economic development and carbon emission, better planning of agricultural layout to build a modern agricultural industrial system and achieve the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.Design/methodology/approachBased on China's provincial data from 1991 to 2019, this paper uses non-radial directional distance function (NDDF) and Metafrontier Malmquist–Luenberger (MML) productivity index to measure total factor agricultural carbon productivity. Subsequently, using a panel two-way fixed effect model to study the effect and mechanism of agricultural production agglomeration on agricultural carbon productivity, and the two-stage least squares method (IV-2SLS) is used to solve endogeneity. Finally, this paper formulates a moderating effect model from the perspective of the efficiency of agricultural material capital inputs.FindingsThe empirical results identify that Chinese provincial agricultural carbon productivity has an overall growth trend and agricultural technological progress is the major source of growth. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between agricultural production agglomeration and agricultural carbon productivity. The input efficiency of agricultural film, machine and water resources have moderating effects on the inverted U-shaped relationship. Agricultural production agglomeration also promotes agricultural carbon productivity by inhibiting agricultural carbon emissions in addition to affecting agricultural input factors and its internal mechanisms are agricultural green technology progress and rural human capital improvement.Originality/valueThis paper innovatively adopts the NDDF–MML method to measure the total factor agricultural carbon productivity more scientifically and accurately and solves the problems of ignoring group heterogeneity and the shortcomings of traditional productivity measurement in previous studies. This paper also explains the inverted U-shaped relationship between agricultural production agglomeration and agricultural carbon productivity theoretically and empirically. Furthermore, from the perspective of agricultural material capital input efficiency, this paper discusses the moderating effect of input efficiency of fertilizers, pesticides, agricultural film, agricultural machines and water resources on agricultural production agglomeration affecting ag
农业碳生产力考虑了“农业经济增长”和“碳减排”的双重目标。提高农业碳生产率是推进农业绿色低碳发展的必然要求。农业生产集聚在世界范围内普遍存在,但农业生产集聚与农业碳生产率之间的关系尚无定论。本文旨在研究农业生产集聚对农业碳生产率的影响,有助于更好地理解集聚、农业经济发展和碳排放之间的关系,更好地规划农业布局,构建现代农业产业体系,实现碳调峰和碳中和的目标。基于1991 - 2019年中国省际数据,采用非径向定向距离函数(NDDF)和metfrontier Malmquist-Luenberger (MML)生产率指数对全要素农业碳生产率进行测度。随后,采用面板双向固定效应模型研究农业生产集聚对农业碳生产率的影响及其机理,并采用两阶段最小二乘法(IV-2SLS)求解内生性问题。最后,本文从农业物质资本投入效率的角度构建了一个调节效应模型。实证结果表明,中国省级农业碳生产率总体呈增长趋势,农业技术进步是增长的主要来源。农业生产集聚与农业碳生产率呈倒u型关系。农膜投入效率、农机投入效率和水资源投入效率对二者之间的倒u型关系具有调节作用。农业生产集聚除了影响农业投入要素外,还通过抑制农业碳排放来促进农业碳生产率,其内在机制是农业绿色技术进步和农村人力资本改善。创新性/价值本文创新性地采用NDDF-MML方法,更加科学、准确地测度了农业全要素碳生产率,解决了以往研究忽视群体异质性的问题和传统生产率测度的不足。本文还从理论和实证两方面解释了农业生产集聚与农业碳生产率之间的倒u型关系。进一步,从农业物质资本投入效率的角度,探讨了化肥、农药、农膜、农机和水资源投入效率对农业生产集聚影响农业碳生产率的调节作用,回答了农业生产集聚碳减排的机制。
{"title":"Agricultural production agglomeration and total factor carbon productivity: based on NDDF–MML index analysis","authors":"Hongman Liu, Shibin Wen, Zhuang Wang","doi":"10.1108/caer-02-2022-0035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/caer-02-2022-0035","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeAgricultural carbon productivity considers the dual goals of “agricultural economic growth” and “carbon emission reduction”. Improving agricultural carbon productivity is a requirement for promoting green and low-carbon development of agriculture. Agricultural production agglomeration is widespread worldwide, but the relationship between agricultural production agglomeration and agricultural carbon productivity is inconclusive. This paper aims to study the impact of agricultural production agglomeration on agricultural carbon productivity, which is conducive to a better understanding of the relationships among agglomeration, agricultural economic development and carbon emission, better planning of agricultural layout to build a modern agricultural industrial system and achieve the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.Design/methodology/approachBased on China's provincial data from 1991 to 2019, this paper uses non-radial directional distance function (NDDF) and Metafrontier Malmquist–Luenberger (MML) productivity index to measure total factor agricultural carbon productivity. Subsequently, using a panel two-way fixed effect model to study the effect and mechanism of agricultural production agglomeration on agricultural carbon productivity, and the two-stage least squares method (IV-2SLS) is used to solve endogeneity. Finally, this paper formulates a moderating effect model from the perspective of the efficiency of agricultural material capital inputs.FindingsThe empirical results identify that Chinese provincial agricultural carbon productivity has an overall growth trend and agricultural technological progress is the major source of growth. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between agricultural production agglomeration and agricultural carbon productivity. The input efficiency of agricultural film, machine and water resources have moderating effects on the inverted U-shaped relationship. Agricultural production agglomeration also promotes agricultural carbon productivity by inhibiting agricultural carbon emissions in addition to affecting agricultural input factors and its internal mechanisms are agricultural green technology progress and rural human capital improvement.Originality/valueThis paper innovatively adopts the NDDF–MML method to measure the total factor agricultural carbon productivity more scientifically and accurately and solves the problems of ignoring group heterogeneity and the shortcomings of traditional productivity measurement in previous studies. This paper also explains the inverted U-shaped relationship between agricultural production agglomeration and agricultural carbon productivity theoretically and empirically. Furthermore, from the perspective of agricultural material capital input efficiency, this paper discusses the moderating effect of input efficiency of fertilizers, pesticides, agricultural film, agricultural machines and water resources on agricultural production agglomeration affecting ag","PeriodicalId":10095,"journal":{"name":"China Agricultural Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2022-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47416580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 12
期刊
China Agricultural Economic Review
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1