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Cleaner the better: Macro-economic assessment of ambitious decarbonisation pathways across Indian states 越清洁越好:对印度各邦雄心勃勃的脱碳路径的宏观经济评估
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100027
Surabhi Joshi , Kakali Mukhopadhyay

In first of its kind, this study evaluates socio -economic impacts of two ambitious decarbonisation pathways for India (i) aligned with India's Nationally Determined Commitments (NDC) negotiated through Paris agreement in 2015 and (ii) more ambitious NDC plus decarbonisation trajectory aligned with India's recent COP26 commitments at subnational level. The analysis uses a newly developed dynamic macro-econometric regional simulation model - E3-India to evaluate changes in key economic and emission parameter due to energy transition at both national and state level for India. Impacts on emission intensity of the economy, GDP, employment and income are assessed to highlight the larger macro-economic and regional distributive impacts of existing NDC targets for India . The results provide three key insights, (i) overall socio-economic impacts of committing to an ambitious decarbonisation trajectory primarily articulated through NDCs for India will be positive, but the transition trajectory will have unequal distributive impacts across states and sectors. (ii)The NDC trajectories will have an expansive impact on the harder to abate construction sector so along with decarbonisation of energy sector, steel and cement sector would also need focussed decarbonisation measures. (iii) In absence of policies promoting ‘Just transitions’ smaller coal bearing states will be worst off, stuck with expansion of only primary and extractive mining sectors while high renewable energy potential states will show expansion in technology focussed sectors and high skilled sectors

本研究首次评估了两条雄心勃勃的脱碳路径对印度的社会经济影响(i)与2015年通过《巴黎协定》谈判达成的印度国家自主承诺(NDC)相一致,(ii)更雄心勃勃的NDC加上脱碳轨迹与印度最近在次国家层面的COP26承诺相一致。该分析使用新开发的动态宏观计量经济区域模拟模型E3-India来评估印度国家和州一级能源转型导致的关键经济和排放参数的变化。评估了对经济、GDP、就业和收入排放强度的影响,以突出现有NDC目标对印度更大的宏观经济和区域分配影响。研究结果提供了三个关键的见解:(i)致力于主要通过国家自主贡献来阐明的雄心勃勃的脱碳轨迹对印度的总体社会经济影响将是积极的,但过渡轨迹将在各州和部门之间产生不平等的分配影响。(ii)国家自主贡献轨迹将对更难减排的建筑行业产生广泛影响,因此,除了能源行业的脱碳之外,钢铁和水泥行业也需要有针对性的脱碳措施。(三)如果没有促进“公正转型”的政策,较小的产煤州将处于最糟糕的境地,只会扩大初级和采掘采矿部门,而高可再生能源潜力的州将在技术重点部门和高技能部门进行扩张
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引用次数: 2
Equitable energy transition in Latin America and the Caribbean: Reducing inequity by building capacity 拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的公平能源转型:通过能力建设减少不平等
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100035
Nora Hampl

The study evaluates links between the unfolding energy transition in Latin America and the Caribbean and sustainable development goals (SDGs) relating to innovation (SDG 9), equality (SDG 10), and institutions (SDG 16). The study argues that if energy technology choices in the region continue to be driven by techno-economic rationality, many demands put upon the energy transition will remain unmet, namely, solving the pre-existing challenges (SDGs 9, 10, and 16). Unequal access – to education, training, and capabilities that could make local livelihoods more resilient, will preclude synergies between the latest renewable energy science, cross-sectoral innovation, and equitable institutions, in the end compromising local and regional potential, creativity and productivity. Additionally, given the unique, biodiversity-rich contexts of Latin America, energy technology choices need to account for context-specific climate and ecological imperatives. For the energy transition to be equitable and climate-compatible, the study concludes that new ways of integrating and acting on inter- and transdisciplinary knowledge need to be conceptualized and implemented in practice. This entails creating an interface between local communities (Indigenous and community knowledge), research community (local and international climate-energy knowledge), and policy-makers (policy knowledge).

The proposed concept of Research & Training Centers (RTCs) fills the gap, as it serves as an umbrella institution for collaborative learning across a spectrum of disciplines, transdisciplinary collaborations, and implementation of specific climate-compatible solutions. RTC's integrative forms of research can be directed to help overcome pre-existing gaps and vulnerabilities, and simultaneously promote equitable energy transition and decarbonization pathways compatible with the region's ecological systems.

该研究评估了拉丁美洲和加勒比地区正在展开的能源转型与与创新(可持续发展目标9)、平等(可持续发展目标10)和制度(可持续发展目标16)相关的可持续发展目标(SDG)之间的联系。该研究认为,如果该地区的能源技术选择继续受到技术经济理性的驱动,那么对能源转型的许多要求将无法得到满足,即无法解决已有的挑战(可持续发展目标9、10和16)。获得教育、培训和能力的机会不平等,将阻碍最新的可再生能源科学、跨部门创新和公平制度之间的协同作用,最终损害地方和区域的潜力、创造力和生产力。此外,考虑到拉丁美洲独特的、生物多样性丰富的环境,能源技术的选择需要考虑到具体环境的气候和生态要求。为了实现能源转型的公平性和气候兼容性,该研究得出结论,需要概念化并在实践中实施跨学科知识整合和行动的新方法。这需要在当地社区(土著和社区知识)、研究界(当地和国际气候能源知识)和决策者(政策知识)之间建立一个接口。提出的研究概念;培训中心(rtc)填补了这一空白,因为它是一个跨学科协作学习、跨学科合作和实施具体气候兼容解决方案的伞形机构。RTC的综合研究形式可以用于帮助克服现有的差距和脆弱性,同时促进与该地区生态系统兼容的公平能源转型和脱碳途径。
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引用次数: 5
Low energy demand scenario for feasible deep decarbonisation: Whole energy systems modelling for Ireland 可行的深度脱碳的低能源需求情景:爱尔兰的整个能源系统建模
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100024
Ankita Gaur , Olexandr Balyk , James Glynn , John Curtis , Hannah Daly

Typically, energy system decarbonisation scenarios neglect the mitigation opportunities from reducing and restructuring energy service demands (ESDs), focusing instead on technology and fuel substitutions. Models tend to be designed to factor technologies explicitly while ESDs are exogenous. However, existing literature suggests that the scale and speed of decarbonisation required to limit global warming to 1.5 C by the end of the century requires a shift in energy demands to avoid the need for large-scale negative emission technologies. This can be brought about by major structural changes in drivers of demand such as transport modal shifting, substituting emission intensive materials like cement, and reducing building heat demand through behaviour change and efficiency. Ireland, the subject of this paper, has legislated one of the most ambitious decarbonisation targets in the world: the need to understand the role of demand shift is paramount. To fill this gap, the Irish Low Energy Demand (ILED) mitigation narrative is developed and applied to the TIMES-Ireland Model (TIM), an energy systems optimisation model. ILED represents a scenario where ESDs are decoupled from economic growth by shifting travel, increasing end-use efficiency, densifying urban settlement, focusing on low-energy intensive economic activities and changing social infrastructure. Compared to a scenario where ESDs follow ‘Business-as-usual’ growth, ILED enables the achievement of steep decarbonisation targets with a less rapid energy system transformation, lower capital and marginal abatement costs, and with lower reliance on the deployment of novel technologies.

通常,能源系统脱碳方案忽视了减少和重组能源服务需求(ESDs)所带来的缓解机会,而将重点放在技术和燃料替代上。模型往往被设计为明确地考虑技术因素,而esd是外生的。然而,现有文献表明,要想在本世纪末将全球变暖幅度限制在1.5°C以内,脱碳的规模和速度需要改变能源需求,以避免大规模使用负排放技术。这可以通过需求驱动因素的重大结构变化来实现,例如运输方式的转变,替代水泥等排放密集型材料,以及通过行为改变和效率降低建筑热需求。本文的主题是爱尔兰,该国制定了世界上最雄心勃勃的脱碳目标之一:了解需求转变的作用至关重要。为了填补这一空白,爱尔兰低能源需求(ILED)缓解叙事被开发并应用于时代-爱尔兰模型(TIM),一种能源系统优化模型。在这种情况下,通过改变出行方式、提高终端使用效率、强化城市住区、专注于低能源密集型经济活动和改变社会基础设施,可持续发展将与经济增长脱钩。与ESDs遵循“一切照旧”增长的情况相比,工业自动化能够以较慢的能源系统转型速度、较低的资本和边际减排成本,以及对新技术部署的较低依赖,实现急剧脱碳目标。
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引用次数: 0
Diffusion of demand-side low-carbon innovations and socio-technical energy system change 需求侧低碳创新的扩散和社会技术能源系统变革
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100034
Christina E. Hoicka , Yuxu Zhao , Maria-Louise McMaster , Runa R. Das

To mitigate climate change in an accelerated time frame, more research is needed to understand how to achieve effective large-scale diffusion of low-carbon innovations. The conceptualization of sectoral socio-technical system transitions requires extending beyond an economic and technological focus, towards a wider system view that combines societal, behavioural, and institutional elements alongside the natural environments and infrastructures. Any socio-technical system reconfiguration will be shaped by the diffusion of multiple innovations. This study employs a novel empirical and quantitative framework that integrates considerations of system actors, behaviours, innovations, and infrastructure simultaneously. Based on a review of socio-technical literature, the framework scores demand-side, low-carbon innovations on a scale from regime reinforcing to disruptive across the dimensions of decarbonization, democratisation and decentralisation. It also scores the innovations according to the policy (economic, regulatory, informational) and legitimacy (actors, discourse) factors that support or inhibit their diffusion. This allows for the investigation of the relationship between the diffusion of innovations and socio-technical energy system change, including whether a relationship exists, its strength, and direction. In analysing 80 innovations that diffused to the demand-side between 1998-2018 in Ontario, Canada, diffusion is found to be negatively correlated with system disruption and decarbonization. Although economic supports tend to be a focus of mainstream policymaking, this study found that economic instruments, legitimacy through discourse, and combined policy and legitimacy supports are important to the systemic diffusion of demand-side low-carbon innovations.

为了在更快的时间框架内减缓气候变化,需要更多的研究来了解如何实现低碳创新的有效大规模传播。部门性社会技术系统转型的概念化需要超越经济和技术的重点,转向更广泛的系统观点,将社会、行为和体制因素与自然环境和基础设施结合起来。任何社会技术系统的重新配置都将由多种创新的扩散形成。本研究采用了一种新的经验和定量框架,同时集成了对系统参与者、行为、创新和基础设施的考虑。基于对社会技术文献的回顾,该框架在脱碳、民主化和去中心化的维度上,对需求侧的低碳创新进行评分,从强化制度到破坏。它还根据支持或抑制创新传播的政策(经济、监管、信息)和合法性(行动者、话语)因素对创新进行评分。这允许研究创新扩散与社会技术能源系统变化之间的关系,包括这种关系是否存在、其强度和方向。在对加拿大安大略省1998-2018年间扩散到需求侧的80项创新进行分析后,发现扩散与系统中断和脱碳呈负相关。虽然经济支持往往是主流政策制定的焦点,但本研究发现,经济工具、话语合法性以及政策和合法性支持相结合对需求侧低碳创新的系统扩散很重要。
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引用次数: 1
Evolution of GIS-based rural electrification planning models and an application of OnSSET in Nigeria 基于gis的农村电气化规划模式演变及OnSSET在尼日利亚的应用
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100019
Salisu Isihak , Uduak Akpan , Subhes Bhattacharyya

This study carries out an in-dept overview of GIS-based rural electrification planning models with a trace to their historical evolutions. The study focuses on web-based and desktop-based models that have been developed and used extensively in rural electrification planning in recent years. Specifically, four of such models are considered: SOLARGIS, Network Planner, the Reference Electrification Model (REM), and OpeN Source Spatial Electrification Tool (OnSSET). We compare the performance of these models and conclude that OnSSET has better capabilities than the other models. Specifically, we find OnSSET very useful because it is open source. We demonstrate the application of OnSSET in a state in Nigeria, i.e. Kaduna State. The state is selected because of data availability. The result of the study shows that mini-grid solar PV is the cost-effective technology option for most unelectrified communities, followed by Standalone PV. Furthermore, the cost of achieving universal electricity access in the state by 2030 is estimated at US$505.08million while an additional generation capacity of 252MW will be required to achieve universal electricity coverage by 2030. The study concludes that the financial requirement seems to be beyond the capacity of Kaduna State given the prevailing economic realities in Nigeria and recommends that pro-poor public-private partnership strategies be considered for electrification projects in the state.

本研究对基于gis的农村电气化规划模式进行了深入的概述,并对其历史演变进行了追溯。研究的重点是近年来在农村电气化规划中开发和广泛使用的基于网络和桌面的模型。具体来说,我们考虑了四种模型:SOLARGIS、Network Planner、参考电气化模型(REM)和开源空间电气化工具(OnSSET)。我们比较了这些模型的性能,并得出结论,OnSSET比其他模型具有更好的性能。具体来说,我们发现OnSSET非常有用,因为它是开源的。我们在尼日利亚的卡杜纳州演示了OnSSET的应用。选择状态是因为数据可用性。研究结果表明,对于大多数未通电的社区来说,微型电网太阳能光伏发电是最具成本效益的技术选择,其次是独立光伏发电。此外,到2030年在该州实现普遍电力覆盖的成本估计为5.5008亿美元,而到2030年实现普遍电力覆盖将需要额外的252MW发电能力。该研究的结论是,鉴于尼日利亚目前的经济现实,财政需求似乎超出了卡杜纳州的能力,并建议考虑为该州的电气化项目制定有利于穷人的公私伙伴关系战略。
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引用次数: 9
Techno-economic analysis of an off-grid hybrid system for a remote island in Malaysia: Malawali island, Sabah 马来西亚沙巴州马拉瓦利岛离网混合系统的技术经济分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100040
Alvin Ming Kai See , Kamyar Mehranzamir , Shahabaldin Rezania , Negar Rahimi , Hadi Nabipour Afrouzi , Ateeb Hassan

As a developing country, Malaysia has always faced the problem of rural electrification in its islands. Rural islands cannot be connected to the grid as it is economically not feasible due to the low number of residents. The high greenhouse gas emission of the diesel generator is unfavorable to the residents. This study aims to assess hybrid system implementation in a remote community on Malawali island in Sabah, Malaysia, to provide the lowest price of electricity. Four scenarios, including diesel generator (DG) (A), PV/WT/Battery/DG (B), PV/Battery/DG (C), and PV/WT/Battery (D), are developed. A Techno-economic analysis is carried out to determine the most competitive system. Emissions are also observed to choose the optimum system. Results show that scenario B, with the net present cost (NPC) of 188,814$ and the cost of energy (COE) of 0.198$/kWh, is reliable in delivering the electricity required while having a reasonable cost relatively low emission. Sensitivity analysis is also carried out with different parameters to examine its effects on the system's sustainability throughout its lifetime.

作为一个发展中国家,马来西亚一直面临着岛屿农村电气化的问题。农村岛屿无法接入电网,因为居民数量少,在经济上不可行。柴油发电机组温室气体排放量大,对居民不利。本研究旨在评估混合系统在马来西亚沙巴州马拉瓦利岛偏远社区的实施情况,以提供最低的电价。分为柴油发电机(DG) (A)、PV/WT/Battery/DG (B)、PV/Battery/DG (C)、PV/WT/Battery (D)四种场景。通过技术经济分析来确定最具竞争力的制度。同时对排放进行观测,以选择最优系统。结果表明,方案B的净当前成本(NPC)为188,814美元,能源成本(COE)为0.198美元/千瓦时,能够可靠地提供所需的电力,同时具有合理的成本和较低的排放。采用不同参数进行敏感性分析,考察其对系统全寿命可持续性的影响。
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引用次数: 4
Climate uncertainty and technological innovation shape investments in renewable energy for small off-grid islands 气候不确定性和技术创新影响着小型离网岛屿对可再生能源的投资
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100036
Federico Giudici , Elisabetta Garofalo , Silvia Bozzi , Andrea Castelletti

In this paper, we propose a methodological framework for assessing the influence of climate uncertainty and technological innovation on renewable investments in small off-grid islands.

At the core of the framework, an energy system model calculates the system performance in terms of Present Value of Cost. Through reiterate simulation of the model under different system designs, including photovoltaic, wind turbines, and wave energy converters, and future scenarios, the framework allows to identify the key climate drivers and technological parameters of system performance, and the most robust investments. The framework is demonstrated in the case study of Ustica Island, Italy.

Results highlight wind speed as the key climate driver affecting system performance. The effects of technological innovation are instead strictly dependent on the technology considered and the level of risk aversion of the decision maker.

With respect to the technology competitiveness, photovoltaic is nowadays the most robust investment irrespective of the future uncertainty on natural resource availability and technological innovation. The competitiveness of wind and wave technologies is instead strictly affected by climate and technological uncertainty. Although wind technology is currently more competitive than wave, except for high-risk averse decision-makers, results show that the wave improvement estimated for 2030 and 2050 could make this technology an effective investment in the short/medium term. This suggests the importance of carefully deciding the timing of the investments reducing current investments in the wind for installing higher wave capacity in the future could in fact lead to more effective investments over the entire planning horizon.

在本文中,我们提出了一个评估气候不确定性和技术创新对小型离网岛屿可再生能源投资影响的方法框架。在该框架的核心,能源系统模型根据成本现值计算系统性能。通过在不同系统设计(包括光伏、风力涡轮机和波浪能转换器)和未来情景下对模型的反复模拟,该框架可以确定系统性能的关键气候驱动因素和技术参数,以及最稳健的投资。该框架以意大利乌斯提卡岛为例进行了验证。结果表明,风速是影响系统性能的关键气候驱动因素。相反,技术创新的效果严格依赖于所考虑的技术和决策者的风险厌恶程度。就技术竞争力而言,无论未来自然资源可用性和技术创新的不确定性如何,光伏发电都是当今最强劲的投资。相反,风浪技术的竞争力受到气候和技术不确定性的严格影响。尽管风能技术目前比海浪更具竞争力,但除了高风险的厌恶决策者之外,结果表明,预计2030年和2050年的海浪改善可以使该技术成为短期/中期的有效投资。这表明仔细决定投资时机的重要性,减少当前对风能的投资,以在未来安装更高的波浪容量,实际上可以在整个规划范围内带来更有效的投资。
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引用次数: 2
The sustainability of decarbonizing the grid: A multi-model decision analysis applied to Mexico 电网脱碳的可持续性:应用于墨西哥的多模型决策分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100020
Rodrigo Mercado Fernandez , Erin Baker

Mexico recognizes its vulnerability to the effects of climate change, including sea level rise, increasing average temperatures, more frequent extreme weather events and changes to the hydrological cycle. Because of these concerns Mexico has a vested interest in developing sustainable strategies for mitigating climate change as it develops its electricity grid. In this study, we use a set of sustainability criteria to evaluate a number of model-derived pathways for the electricity grid aimed at meeting Mexico's climate goals. We use a multi-step approach, combining pathways from multiple large scale global models with a detailed electricity model to leverage geographic information into our multi-criteria sustainability analysis. We summarize the overall ranking of each expansion plan with the use of the weighted sum method. We find that the expansion plans with more than 20% of energy coming from carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies tend to be less sustainable. While CCS technologies have low GHG emissions, they have high air pollution and water-use and require the development of extensive pipeline networks. In particular, these CCS characteristics pose concerns from an environmental justice perspective as high air pollution and water-use can significantly effect local communities: the plan with the most CCS has an extra 14 kg/GWh of weighted air pollution emissions and 199,000 liters/GWh of weighted water use compared to the plan with the most renewables. This analysis provides novel insights on tradeoffs that decisions makers must consider when looking at different sustainable development options to reach long term climate goals.

墨西哥认识到其易受气候变化影响的脆弱性,包括海平面上升、平均气温上升、极端天气事件更频繁以及水文循环的变化。由于这些担忧,墨西哥在发展其电网的同时,制定减缓气候变化的可持续战略符合其既得利益。在本研究中,我们使用一套可持续性标准来评估旨在满足墨西哥气候目标的电网模型衍生路径。我们采用多步骤方法,将多个大规模全球模型的路径与详细的电力模型相结合,将地理信息纳入我们的多标准可持续性分析。利用加权和法对各扩展方案的总体排名进行了总结。我们发现,超过20%的能源来自碳捕获和储存(CCS)技术的扩张计划往往不太可持续。虽然CCS技术的温室气体排放量低,但它们的空气污染和用水量高,并且需要发展广泛的管道网络。特别是,从环境正义的角度来看,这些CCS特征引起了人们的关注,因为高空气污染和水的使用会对当地社区产生重大影响:与可再生能源最多的计划相比,CCS最多的计划有额外的14公斤/千兆瓦时的加权空气污染排放量和19.9万升/千兆瓦时的加权用水量。这一分析为决策者在考虑实现长期气候目标的不同可持续发展选择时必须考虑的权衡提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 1
An experimentation on the limits and potential of Renewable Energy Communities in the built city: buildings and proximity open spaces for energy decentralization 在已建成的城市中,对可再生能源社区的限制和潜力进行实验:建筑和邻近的开放空间用于能源分散
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025
P. Marrone, I. Montella

Energy Transition commonly refers to changes during the time of a specific geographical unit, but rarely considers changes in the spatial organization of the energy system and how urban area, place and scale can shape it. Considering the geographies of a low-carbon energy transition means not only understanding and mapping the consequences of the policies implemented in a place, but also assuming some significant implications, such as the spatial differences of places and the interactions that take place within them at different scales, thus activating creative processes of change.

In this context, the paper explores the potentialities and limitations of decentralized energy production systems in urban environments. With the aim of implementing climate mitigation actions, it analyzes how the structure and the spatial organization of some different built-up urban districts in Rome can affect the configuration and the sizing of a decentralized renewable energy production system.

The results of the first analysis in the pilot cases of Testaccio, Balduina and Prima Porta show the impact of scale difference on the configuration of Renewable Energy Communities. Investigating how the organization of the built-up urban districts can influence the decentralized energy system, the paper highlights not only the supply of renewable energy but also the balance between demand and supply of energy for different local uses and the reciprocal role between buildings and proximity open spaces could have a key role in the urban energy transition process. Inevitably, this balancing act will depend on the specific characteristics of the urban patterns and, therefore, each urban landscape will condition the organization of the energy system.

能源转型通常是指某一特定地理单位时间内的变化,但很少考虑能源系统空间组织的变化以及城市面积、地点和规模如何塑造能源系统。考虑低碳能源转型的地理位置不仅意味着理解和绘制在一个地方实施的政策的后果,而且还意味着假设一些重要的影响,例如地方的空间差异和在不同尺度上发生的相互作用,从而激活变革的创造性过程。在此背景下,本文探讨了分散能源生产系统在城市环境中的潜力和局限性。为了实施气候减缓行动,本文分析了罗马一些不同建成区的结构和空间组织如何影响分散式可再生能源生产系统的配置和规模。对Testaccio、Balduina和Prima Porta试点案例的首次分析结果表明,规模差异对可再生能源社区配置的影响。研究了城市建成区的组织如何影响分散的能源系统,论文强调,不仅可再生能源的供应,而且不同地方使用的能源供需之间的平衡,以及建筑物和邻近开放空间之间的相互作用,在城市能源转型过程中可能发挥关键作用。不可避免地,这种平衡行为将取决于城市模式的具体特征,因此,每个城市景观将制约能源系统的组织。
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引用次数: 5
Designing multi-phased CO2 capture and storage infrastructure deployments 设计多阶段二氧化碳捕获和存储基础设施部署
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rset.2022.100023
Erick C. Jones Jr. , Sean Yaw , Jeffrey A. Bennett , Jonathan D. Ogland-Hand , Cooper Strahan , Richard S. Middleton

CO2 capture and storage (CCS) is a climate change mitigation strategy aimed at reducing the amount of CO2 vented into the atmosphere by capturing CO2 emissions from industrial sources, transporting the CO2 via a dedicated pipeline network, and injecting it into geologic reservoirs. Designing CCS infrastructure is a complex problem requiring concurrent optimization of source selection, reservoir selection, and pipeline routing decisions. Current CCS infrastructure design methods assume that project parameters including costs, capacities, and availability, remain constant throughout the project’s lifespan. In this research, we introduce a novel, multi-phased, CCS infrastructure design model that allows for analysis of more complex scenarios that allow for variations in project parameters across distinct phases. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach with theoretical analysis and an evaluation using real CCS infrastructure data.

二氧化碳捕集与封存(CCS)是一种减缓气候变化的战略,旨在通过捕集工业排放的二氧化碳,通过专用管道网络输送二氧化碳,并将其注入地质储层,从而减少排放到大气中的二氧化碳量。设计CCS基础设施是一个复杂的问题,需要同时优化源选择、储层选择和管道路由决策。目前的CCS基础设施设计方法假设项目参数,包括成本、容量和可用性,在项目的整个生命周期内保持不变。在本研究中,我们引入了一种新颖的、多阶段的CCS基础设施设计模型,该模型允许对更复杂的场景进行分析,这些场景允许不同阶段的项目参数变化。我们通过理论分析和使用真实CCS基础设施数据的评估来证明我们方法的有效性。
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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition
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