Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90016-5
William J. Sheppard
Today, research funding is under pressure because of rising costs for labor, raw materials, and equipment, as well as changes in public policy. Since research costs are not a direct part of the cost of current production any reduction in research costs will increase current earnings or will make funds available for more pressing uses within the firm. In addition, there is a drive to increase the productivity of expenditures on research, as with all other expenses. Therefore, industrial research is carefully planned and continuosly managed.
{"title":"Relevance analysis in research planning","authors":"William J. Sheppard","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90016-5","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90016-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Today, research funding is under pressure because of rising costs for labor, raw materials, and equipment, as well as changes in public policy. Since research costs are not a direct part of the cost of current production any reduction in research costs will increase current earnings or will make funds available for more pressing uses within the firm. In addition, there is a drive to increase the productivity of expenditures on research, as with all other expenses. Therefore, industrial research is carefully planned and continuosly managed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 4","pages":"Pages 371-379"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90016-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73150036","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90034-7
H. Linstone
{"title":"Book reviewTechnological forecasting: A practical approach : Marvin J. Cetron, Gordon and Breach, Science Publishers, New York, 1969","authors":"H. Linstone","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90034-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90034-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"33 1","pages":"329-330"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90992509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90031-1
Alan R. Fusfeld
{"title":"The technological progress function: A new technique for forecasting","authors":"Alan R. Fusfeld","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90031-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90031-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 3","pages":"Pages 301-312"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90031-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92085984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90017-7
Manfred Fischer
This paper includes an operational definition of relevance numbers as used in evaluation matrices and relevance trees. This definition enables a better understanding of the concept, a derivation of the formalism, and an analysis of the error propagation in relevance trees. For technical systems a special measure of utility based on distance in parameter space is introduced, which can be used to obtain relevance numbers from a computerized model of that process.
{"title":"Toward a mathematical theory of relevance trees","authors":"Manfred Fischer","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90017-7","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90017-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper includes an operational definition of relevance numbers as used in evaluation matrices and relevance trees. This definition enables a better understanding of the concept, a derivation of the formalism, and an analysis of the error propagation in relevance trees. For technical systems a special measure of utility based on distance in parameter space is introduced, which can be used to obtain relevance numbers from a computerized model of that process.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 4","pages":"Pages 381-389"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90017-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86213908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90027-X
T.J. Gordon , S. Enzer , R. Rochberg
{"title":"An experiment in simulation gaming for social policy studies","authors":"T.J. Gordon , S. Enzer , R. Rochberg","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90027-X","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90027-X","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 3","pages":"Pages 241-261"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90027-X","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79174553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90033-5
Erich Jantsch
{"title":"Technological forecasting at national level in Japan:","authors":"Erich Jantsch","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90033-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90033-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 3","pages":"Pages 325-327"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90033-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92085983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1970-03-01DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90029-3
N. Dalkey , B. Brown , S. Cochran
{"title":"Use of self-ratings to improve group estimates","authors":"N. Dalkey , B. Brown , S. Cochran","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90029-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90029-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 3","pages":"Pages 283-291"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90029-3","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92111595","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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