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Social Networks, Exchange Rate Fluctuation, and Economic Growth: ARDL Approach 社会网络、汇率波动与经济增长:ARDL方法
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0011
P. Ebrahimi, H. Alipour, Abbas Gholampour, Mahsa Ahmadi
Abstract This study aimed to investigate the effects of social network propaganda on exchange rate and also exchange rate fluctuations on Iran economic growth. This study uses annual data to analyse the long-run and short-run relationship between variables for the period of 1993–2018. Data were collected from the Central Bank of Iran. The autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) method proposed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001) was used. The results of long-run analysis show that a 1% increase in negative propaganda of social media about the exchange rate leads to a 3.8% decline in long-run economic growth. Also, a 1% increase in exchange rate fluctuations results in a 3.5% decrease in economic growth. Research findings also indicate negative short-run impacts of social networks on the excitement of the foreign exchange market and, ultimately, on economic growth.
摘要本研究旨在探讨社交网络宣传对汇率的影响,以及汇率波动对伊朗经济增长的影响。本研究使用年度数据分析1993-2018年期间变量之间的长期和短期关系。数据来自伊朗中央银行。采用Pesaran, Shin, and Smith(2001)提出的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法。长期分析的结果表明,社交媒体上关于汇率的负面宣传每增加1%,就会导致长期经济增长下降3.8%。此外,汇率波动每增加1%,经济增长就会下降3.5%。研究结果还表明,社交网络对外汇市场的兴奋程度以及最终对经济增长的负面短期影响。
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引用次数: 7
Ethics, Legal and Privacy Concerns for the Next Generation of Insurance Policies 新一代保险政策的伦理、法律和隐私问题
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0013
Klaus-Georg Deck, R. Riedl, A. Koumpis
Abstract We present a set of hypothetical scenarios and cases where the need for access, sharing and processing of sensitive personal information increases the transparency of the customer to buyer relationship, although it may irreversibly damage the customer’s sphere of privacy. Highly personalised early risk prediction models for use by insurance companies to estimate the probability that a specific event (heart infarct) or a disease (diabetes) occurs in a given individual over a predefined time can enable earlier and better intervention, prevent negative consequences on a person’s quality of life and thus result in improved individual health outcomes. The challenge is to design, develop and validate new generations of comprehensive models that will be the result of a consensual process with the customers and will be based on artificial intelligence and other state-of-the-art technologies using multiple available data resources and will integrate them in personalised insurance policy pathways that empower the customers to actively contribute to their own individual health-risk mitigation and prevention.
我们提出了一组假设的场景和案例,在这些场景和案例中,对敏感个人信息的访问、共享和处理的需求增加了客户与买家关系的透明度,尽管它可能不可逆转地损害客户的隐私领域。高度个性化的早期风险预测模型供保险公司用于估计特定个体在预定时间内发生特定事件(心脏梗死)或疾病(糖尿病)的概率,可实现更早和更好的干预,防止对个人生活质量产生负面影响,从而改善个人健康结果。面临的挑战是设计、开发和验证新一代综合模型,这些模型将是与客户协商一致的过程的结果,将基于人工智能和其他最先进的技术,利用多种现有数据资源,并将其整合到个性化的保险政策途径中,使客户能够积极地为减轻和预防其个人健康风险作出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
A Content Analysis on the Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in the United States of America 美国中小企业的内容分析
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0014
A. Grigorescu, A. Ion
Abstract The present research was constructed with the idea of offering a detailed view on one of the most important legislative papers of the United States of America (USA), namely, the Small Business Act of 1953. The public policy sector in the USA is a rather complex area of research, and the qualitative study performed through the content analysis has been based on external factors within the Small Business Administration (SBA) for the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) sector in the USA, in terms of financial assistance, regulations and directives, as well as access to information, knowledge and know-how regarding the national and international markets. As a result, the article underlines important elements for both theory and practice. The content analysis performed on the SBA has suggested that, given the administration’s organisational chart and programmes of the American SBA, the latter pushes towards an impersonal connection between the administration and the SME sector through the existence of the business development centres created with the main purpose of assisting the SMEs in their activity.
摘要本研究旨在详细分析美国最重要的立法文件之一,即1953年的《小企业法》。美国的公共政策部门是一个相当复杂的研究领域,通过内容分析进行的定性研究是基于美国中小企业(SME)部门的小企业管理局(SBA)内部的外部因素,包括财政援助、法规和指令,以及获取有关国内和国际市场的信息、知识和专有技术。因此,本文强调了理论和实践的重要内容。对中小企业管理局进行的内容分析表明,鉴于美国中小企业管理局的行政组织结构图和方案,后者通过设立主要目的是协助中小企业开展活动的业务发展中心,推动行政部门与中小企业部门之间建立非个人的联系。
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引用次数: 3
Entrepreneurship and Income Inequality: A Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Analysis 创业与收入不平等:动态空间面板数据分析
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0012
Hanen Ragoubi, Sana El Harbi
Abstract This paper extends the empirical debate of Ragoubi and El Harbi (2018) on the dynamic relationship between entrepreneurship and income inequality. Using a dynamic spatial panel data analysis for both 33 high-income countries and 39 middle-income and low-income countries over the period 2004–2014, the main empirical findings are summarised as follows. First, the results indicate that entrepreneurship is a spatial and persistent phenomenon. Second, there is strong support for the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between entrepreneurship and income inequality espoused by the Kuznets Curve hypothesis for middle-income and low-income countries. Third, the interaction between income inequality and income per capita has a significant negative effect on the entrepreneurial activity for middle-income and low-income countries. Fourth, a significant positive association is found between the interaction variable and entrepreneurship for high-income countries. Fifth, the findings show evidence of significant positive and negative short-run direct effects of income inequality on the entrepreneurial activity for middle-income and low-income countries. Finally, there are significant negative short-run spillover effects of income inequality on the entrepreneurial activity for middle-income and low-income countries.
本文扩展了Ragoubi和El Harbi(2018)关于创业与收入不平等之间动态关系的实证争论。利用2004-2014年期间33个高收入国家和39个中等收入和低收入国家的动态空间面板数据分析,主要实证结果总结如下:第一,创业是一种具有空间性和持续性的现象。其次,在中等收入国家和低收入国家,库兹涅茨曲线假说强有力地支持了企业家精神与收入不平等之间存在倒u型关系。第三,收入不平等与人均收入之间的相互作用对中低收入国家的创业活动具有显著的负向影响。第四,在高收入国家,交互变量与企业家精神之间存在显著的正相关关系。第五,研究结果表明,收入不平等对中低收入国家的创业活动有显著的积极和消极的短期直接影响。最后,收入不平等对中低收入国家的创业活动存在显著的负面短期溢出效应。
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引用次数: 4
Projections for the number of students in the Polytechnic Institute of Guarda: Application of a mathematical model 瓜达理工学院学生人数的预测:数学模型的应用
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0008
Cecília Rosa, M. Natário, J. Salgado, A. Daniel, A. Braga
Abstract The purpose of this paper is to apply a mathematical model, structured in classes, to estimate projections for the number of students for the Polytechnic Institute of Guarda (IPG) and its four schools for the period 2017–2022, based on the historical data from the period 2000–2016. The model has an internal dynamic that represents the flow of students who move from one to the next academic year, and an external dynamic that describes the flow of students who enter or leave the institution. Using the historical evolution in the period 2000–2016, three different scenarios are presented in order to quantify the number of students who will enrol in each school and in the IPG as a whole. We concluded that it is scenario 3 that presents higher enrolled students, projecting a continuous growth in the period under analysis. On the other hand, scenario 1 presents a small decrease in the number of students.
摘要:本文的目的是基于2000-2016年的历史数据,应用一个以课堂为基础的数学模型,对瓜达理工学院(IPG)及其四所学院2017-2022年的学生人数进行预测。该模型具有内部动态,表示从一学年转到下一学年的学生流动,以及外部动态,描述进入或离开该机构的学生流动。利用2000-2016年期间的历史演变,提出了三种不同的情景,以量化每所学校和整个IPG的学生人数。我们得出的结论是,在第三种情况下,入学人数会增加,预计在分析期间会持续增长。另一方面,场景1呈现出学生数量的小幅减少。
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引用次数: 0
Tourism and valorisation of cultural heritage: The case of the Castle of Lanhoso 旅游和文化遗产的增值:兰荷索城堡的案例
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0010
António Cerdeiras, Bruno Pinheiro, L. Vareiro, Raquel Mendes
Abstract Given the relationship of sustainability and mutual benefits that tourism and cultural heritage can and should establish, the present study aims to reflect on the importance of the development of creative activities in the Castle of Lanhoso, in the municipality of Póvoa de Lanhoso (in northern Portugal), as a form of promotion and tourism valorisation of this heritage classified as National Monument. In this context, the study intends to stimulate and streamline the processes of monetization and preservation of the Castle of Lanhoso, making it suitable for sustainable tourism economic activity with the purpose of improving the living conditions of the population, generating employment and revenues, increasing tourism demand, promoting and preserving the identity and the local cultural heritage.
考虑到旅游业和文化遗产之间的可持续性和互惠互利的关系,本研究旨在反思位于Póvoa de Lanhoso市(位于葡萄牙北部)的Lanhoso城堡创造性活动发展的重要性,作为一种促进和旅游增值的形式,该遗产被列为国家纪念碑。在此背景下,本研究旨在刺激和简化兰霍索城堡的货币化和保护过程,使其适合可持续的旅游经济活动,以改善人口的生活条件,创造就业和收入,增加旅游需求,促进和保护身份和当地文化遗产。
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引用次数: 3
TDABC for a manufacturing environment: A case study 制造环境的TDABC:一个案例研究
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0007
Ashwin B. Ganorkar, R. R. Lakhe, K. N. Agrawal
Abstract Costing system is an essential part of a company. Determining the accurate cost of a product or service is extremely important for the profitability and performance of a company. Over the years, different approaches and models have been developed to estimate the cost of the product manufactured. However, their models were found to be inadequate in the correct value of the product cost. In the last decade, activity-based costing (ABC) has been successfully adopted by many companies worldwide. Nonetheless, because of its high maintenance and setup cost, it has been abandoned and a new time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) model has been developed. Though adopted by many large scale-manufacturing industries, TDABC has not been implemented in small scale manufacturing companies due to unavailability of resources and also ignorance about its implementation. This paper presents a model for the application of TDABC in the small scale manufacturing industry. The model is implemented in a furniture manufacturing company for the estimation of product cost. The cost obtained from the TDABC is compared with the traditional costing system and established the accuracy of TDABC over the traditional costing system. Along with the case study, this paper also discusses the different data results obtained from TDABC and its utility for the managers and the decision makers.
成本核算系统是企业的重要组成部分。确定产品或服务的准确成本对公司的盈利能力和绩效至关重要。多年来,已经开发了不同的方法和模型来估计制造产品的成本。然而,他们的模型被发现在产品成本的正确值方面是不足的。在过去的十年中,作业成本法(ABC)已经被世界上许多公司成功地采用。然而,由于其高昂的维护和安装成本,它已被放弃,并开发了一种新的基于时间驱动的作业成本(TDABC)模型。虽然TDABC被许多大型制造企业采用,但由于缺乏资源和对其实施的无知,小型制造企业尚未实施TDABC。本文提出了TDABC在小型制造业中的应用模型。将该模型应用于某家具制造企业的产品成本估算。将TDABC法与传统的成本核算法进行了比较,证明了TDABC法相对于传统成本核算法的准确性。结合案例分析,本文还讨论了TDABC所获得的不同数据结果及其对管理者和决策者的实用价值。
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引用次数: 1
Brand management and internationalization: A case study in the sports equipment industry 品牌管理与国际化:以运动器材行业为例
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0009
Ana Passos, B. Sousa, António Azevedo
Abstract Internationalization is a strategy increasingly used by companies. Firms in emerging markets are tardy regarding innovativeness and international orientation. Over the years, internationalization has proved to be a crucial strategy to increase sales and improve corporate performance in an increasingly globalized world. Global markets offer new business and innovation opportunities, and it is therefore likely that companies will shift their focus from domestic to international markets. The internationalization process has been intensively studied and can lead to the exploration of new markets, which often implies the creation of new brands. In this context, brand management is one of the aspects on which many researchers have dedicated attention. The study of the brand requires attention to several kinds of concepts, no less important (e.g., image, notoriety or identity). Recently, there have been new approaches and new contributions in this regard. Through an interdisciplinary perspective, the present study aims to analyse and to understand the process of internationalization and brand management in business contexts (i.e., sports contexts). Specifically, the study focuses on Berg Outdoor, a brand that has as core business articles for outdoor practices (i.e., textiles, footwear or equipment). In-depth semi-structured interviews were conducted with company directors (February 2018) in a qualitative perspective. This paper will attempt to present management development in a brand attachment perspective. Some limitations and the next steps of investigation will be discussed.
国际化是越来越多的企业采用的战略。新兴市场的公司在创新和国际定位方面进展缓慢。多年来,国际化已被证明是在日益全球化的世界中增加销售和改善公司绩效的关键战略。全球市场提供了新的商业和创新机会,因此企业很可能将其重点从国内市场转移到国际市场。国际化进程已得到深入研究,并可导致开拓新市场,这往往意味着创造新品牌。在此背景下,品牌管理成为众多研究者关注的领域之一。对品牌的研究需要注意几类同样重要的概念(如形象、名声或身份)。近年来,在这方面出现了新的做法和新的贡献。通过跨学科的视角,本研究旨在分析和理解国际化和品牌管理在商业环境(即体育环境)中的过程。具体来说,这项研究的重点是Berg Outdoor,一个以户外活动(即纺织品、鞋类或设备)为核心业务文章的品牌。从定性角度对公司董事进行了深入的半结构化访谈(2018年2月)。本文将尝试在品牌依恋的视角下呈现管理发展。本文将讨论一些局限性和下一步的研究。
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引用次数: 3
The introduction of accrual accounting and budgeting in the city state of Hamburg: A qualitative analysis of the reform process and its benefits 汉堡市引入权责发生制会计和预算制:改革过程及其效益的定性分析
Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0004
Kristin Wagner‐Krechlok, D. Hilgers, Helge C. Brixner
Abstract In a multiple-step reform process, the city-state of Hamburg introduced a full accruals accounting and budgeting system. Based on a document analysis, this paper describes how the reforms were implemented, who the supporters were, and what the motivation behind their support was. It also analyses what benefits users of financial information have gained from the reforms by using responses resulting from semi-structured interviews. The authors find that the main actors were the state parliament and the state government, whose primary aim was to increase transparency about public resources and their consumption. These actors benefitted from the reforms because they now have information available that enables them to fulfil their respective roles within the budget process, and to achieve their political objectives. The authors conclude that under these conditions information use is encouraged and, thus, contribute to a better understanding of how reforms in public sector financial management succeed.
在一个多步骤的改革过程中,汉堡城邦引入了一个完整的权责发生制会计和预算制度。在文献分析的基础上,本文描述了改革是如何实施的,支持者是谁,以及他们支持的动机是什么。它还分析了财务信息使用者从改革中获得的好处,使用了半结构化访谈的结果。作者发现,主要行为者是州议会和州政府,它们的主要目标是提高公共资源及其消费的透明度。这些行动者从改革中受益,因为他们现在获得了资料,使他们能够在预算过程中发挥各自的作用,并实现其政治目标。作者的结论是,在这些条件下鼓励使用信息,从而有助于更好地了解公共部门财务管理改革如何取得成功。
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引用次数: 0
How might harmonization influence the future prevalence of public sector creative accounting? 协调如何影响公共部门创造性会计的未来流行?
Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.2478/tekhne-2019-0001
R. Hodges
Abstract This paper considers the significance of future harmonization on public sector creative forms of accounting (PSCA) in the context of both national accounting and government financial reporting. The analysis is carried out through a review of studies provided in the academic and official literatures. Examples are provided of PSCA in a ‘broad’ context of any manipulation of financial information and in a ‘focused’ context, referring to the reporting of deficit / surplus and associated levels of debt. The analysis is related to the influence of harmonization using the classification of information-manipulating behaviour drawn from Birnberg, Turopolec, and Young (1983). There is potential for accounting harmonization to improve the analysability of data to restrict PSCA. However, although many techniques of PSCA have been identified, the drivers and controllers of PSCA remain unclear. Accounting researchers should use their specialist understanding to draw out the differences between apparently consistent frameworks of accounting and to understand the policy effects and social implications of harmonization and related creative forms of accounting. There are relatively few studies of PSCA. This paper represents the first study that seeks to relate PSCA to the increasing tendency towards harmonisation of accounting in the public sector context. An agenda is included to guide researchers towards issues that are worthy of further consideration in this important area of study.
摘要本文考虑了在国家会计和政府财务报告的背景下,未来协调公共部门创造性会计形式(PSCA)的意义。分析是通过审查学术和官方文献中提供的研究来进行的。提供了PSCA在任何财务信息操纵的“广泛”背景下和在“集中”背景下的例子,指的是赤字/盈余和相关债务水平的报告。利用Birnberg、Turopolec和Young(1983)对信息操纵行为的分类,分析了协调的影响。有可能会计协调,以提高数据的可分析性,以限制PSCA。然而,尽管PSCA的许多技术已经被确定,但PSCA的驱动和控制仍然不清楚。会计研究人员应该利用他们的专业知识来找出表面上一致的会计框架之间的差异,并了解协调和相关创造性会计形式的政策影响和社会影响。关于PSCA的研究相对较少。本文代表了第一项研究,旨在将PSCA与公共部门背景下会计协调的日益增长的趋势联系起来。其中包括一个议程,以指导研究人员在这一重要研究领域中值得进一步考虑的问题。
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引用次数: 6
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Tékhne
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