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Determining the Accuracy and Interobserver Agreement of 4 Ultrasound Scores in Crohn's Disease Assessment: Correlations With Endoscopy. 确定克罗恩病评估中四个超声评分的准确性和观察者之间的一致性:与内窥镜检查的相关性
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000812
Jing Qin, Li Ma, Meng-Yuan Zhou, Wen-Bo Li, Meng-Su Xiao, Zi-Han Niu, Hong Yang, Qing-Li Zhu

Introduction: Gastrointestinal ultrasound (GIUS) is recommended for monitoring Crohn's disease (CD). GIUS scores are used to quantify CD activity. Among them, International Bowel Ultrasound Segmental Activity Score (IBUS-SAS), Bowel Ultrasound Score (BUSS), Simple Ultrasound Score, and Simple Ultrasound Score for Crohn's Disease are most commonly used. The aim of this study was to compare and correlate the performance of such indicators with endoscopic activity and to calculate interobserver agreement.

Methods: Consecutive patients with CD at our hospital between June 2015 and July 2021 were retrospectively enrolled. All patients underwent ileocolonoscopy after medical treatment. GIUS was performed within 2 weeks, and 4 GIUS scores were independently calculated. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were used to determine a cutoff value. Cohen kappa (κ) coefficient was calculated to estimate the agreement between GIUS findings.

Results: A total of 106 patients with CD were enrolled. 80.2% (85/106) were endoscopic active (Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's disease ≥3), and 8.49% (9/106) were severe cases (Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's disease ≥9). All GIUS features (bowel wall thickness, color Doppler signs, bowel wall stratification, inflammatory signals at the mesentery) were statistically significant in assessing CD activity ( P < 0.05). IBUS-SAS showed the highest area under the curve (0.98; 95% CI: 0.96-1.00) and specificity (95.2%) for a cutoff value of 46.50. However, IBUS-SAS had only moderate agreement (Cohen κ = 0.427; P < 0.001). BUSS had substantial interobserver agreement (Cohen κ = 0.947; P < 0.001), with a similar diagnostic value (sensitivity, 100.0%; accuracy, 95.3%; area under the curve of 0.96 [95% CI: 0.91-1.00] for a cutoff value of 4.58).

Discussion: GIUS score is an efficient and reliable method to assess CD activity. BUSS achieved a high accuracy and excellent interobserver agreement, which is more suitable for treatment assessment.

背景:胃肠超声(GIUS)被推荐用于克罗恩病(CD)的监测。GIUS评分用于量化CD活动。其中,最常用的是IBUS-SAS(国际肠超声节段活动评分)、BUSS(肠超声评分)、Simple- us(简单超声评分)和SUS-CD(克罗恩病简单超声评分)。本研究旨在比较和关联这些指标的性能与内窥镜活动,并计算观察者之间的协议。方法:回顾性纳入2015年6月至2021年7月在我院连续就诊的CD患者。所有患者在治疗后均行回肠结肠镜检查。2周内进行GIUS,独立计算四次GIUS评分。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析确定截断值。计算Cohen's kappa(κ)系数以估计GIUS结果之间的一致性。结果:共纳入106例CD患者。80.2%(85/106)为内镜活动(SES-CD≥3),8.49%(9/106)为重症(SES-CD≥9)。所有GIUS特征(肠壁厚度、彩色多普勒征象、肠壁分层、肠系膜炎症信号)在评估CD活动方面均具有统计学意义(结论:GIUS评分是评估CD活动的有效、可靠的方法。BUSS具有较高的准确性和良好的观察者间一致性,更适合于治疗评估。
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引用次数: 0
Tenofovir vs Entecavir on the Prognosis of Patients With Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Resection: The Role of HBsAg Levels. 替诺福韦与恩替卡韦对乙型肝炎病毒相关性肝癌肝切除术后预后的影响:HBsAg水平的作用
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000814
Zhancheng Qiu, Yueqing Xu, Weili Qi, Junyi Shen, Tianfu Wen, Chuan Li

Introduction: Our study aimed to explore whether hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels affected the role of nucleot(s)ide analog treatment (entecavir [ETV] and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate [TDF]) in improving the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver resection.

Methods: A total of 865 patients with HBV-related HCC after hepatectomy treated with TDF or ETV were included in our study. Patients were divided into the high HBsAg cohort (n = 681) and the low HBsAg cohort (n = 184). Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to reduce the impact of potential confounding factors. Kaplan-Meier method and competing risk analysis were used to compare the survival outcomes.

Results: In the high HBsAg cohort, patients in the TDF group had better recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with patients in the ETV group both before (RFS: P < 0.001; OS: P < 0.001) and after (RFS: P = 0.005; OS: P = 0.035) PSM. TDF treatment was a favorable factor independently associated with RFS (hazard ratio: 0.58, 95% confidence interval: 0.45-0.75, P < 0.001) and OS (hazard ratio: 0.43, 95% confidence interval: 0.28-0.66, P < 0.001). In the low HBsAg cohort, no difference was observed in RFS and OS between the TDF group and the ETV group both before (RFS: P = 0.140; OS: P = 0.640) and after (RFS: P = 0.480; OS: P = 0.920) PSM. TDF treatment remained superiority after controlling for competing events by competing risk analysis in the high HBsAg cohort.

Discussion: TDF treatment was superior to ETV treatment in improving RFS and OS of HBV-related HCC patients with high HBsAg level after liver resection. Even after controlling for survival competing events, the advantage of TDF treatment remained. Our findings may better help clinicians to assign individualized antiviral regimens to patients with HBV-related HCC after liver resection.

背景:本研究旨在探讨乙型肝炎表面抗原(HBsAg)水平是否影响核苷类似物治疗(恩替卡韦(ETV)和替诺福韦(TDF))在改善乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)相关肝细胞癌(HCC)患者肝切除术后预后中的作用。方法:本研究共纳入865例肝切除术后接受TDF或ETV治疗的hbv相关HCC患者。患者分为高HBsAg组(n=681)和低HBsAg组(n=184)。采用倾向得分匹配(PSM)分析来减少潜在混杂因素的影响。采用Kaplan-Meier法和竞争风险分析比较生存结局。结果:在高HBsAg队列中,TDF组患者的无复发生存期(RFS)和总生存期(OS)均优于ETV组(RFS: p)。结论:TDF治疗在改善肝切除术后HBsAg水平较高的hbv相关HCC患者的RFS和OS方面优于ETV治疗。即使在控制了生存竞争事件后,TDF治疗的优势仍然存在。我们的发现可能会更好地帮助临床医生在肝切除术后为hbv相关的HCC患者分配个性化的抗病毒方案。
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引用次数: 0
Development of Time-Aggregated Machine Learning Model for Relapse Prediction in Pediatric Crohn's Disease. 开发用于预测小儿克罗恩病复发的时间聚合机器学习模型
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000794
Sooyoung Jang, JaeYong Yu, Sowon Park, Hyeji Lim, Hong Koh, Yu Rang Park

Introduction: Pediatric Crohn's disease (CD) easily progresses to an active disease compared with adult CD, making it important to predict and minimize CD relapses. However, prediction of relapse at various time points (TPs) during pediatric CD remains understudied. We aimed to develop a real-time aggregated model to predict pediatric CD relapse in different TPs and time windows (TWs).

Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on children diagnosed with CD between 2015 and 2022 at Severance Hospital. Laboratory test results and demographic data were collected starting at 3 months after diagnosis, and cohorts were formed using data from 6 different TPs at 1-month intervals. Relapse-defined as a pediatric CD activity index ≥ 30 points-was predicted, and TWs were 3-7 months with 1-month intervals. The feature importance of the variables in each setting was determined.

Results: Data from 180 patients were used to construct cohorts corresponding to the TPs. We identified the optimal TP and TW to reliably predict pediatric CD relapse with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve score of 0.89 when predicting with a 3-month TW at a 3-month TP. Variables such as C-reactive protein levels and lymphocyte fraction were found to be important factors.

Discussion: We developed a time-aggregated model to predict pediatric CD relapse in multiple TPs and TWs. This model identified important variables that predicted relapse in pediatric CD to support real-time clinical decision making.

导言:与成人克罗恩病(CD)相比,小儿克罗恩病(CD)很容易进展为活动性疾病,因此预测并尽量减少 CD 复发非常重要。然而,对小儿克罗恩病不同时间点(TPs)的复发预测研究仍然不足。我们的目的是开发一个实时汇总模型,以预测小儿 CD 在不同时间点和时间窗 (TW) 的复发:这项回顾性研究针对2015年至2022年期间在塞弗兰医院确诊为CD的儿童。从确诊后 3 个月开始收集实验室检查结果和人口统计学数据,并以 1 个月为间隔,使用 6 个不同 TP 的数据组成队列。预测复发定义为小儿 CD 活动指数≥30 点,TW 为 3-7 个月,间隔为 1 个月。结果:结果:来自 180 名患者的数据被用于构建与 TPs 相对应的队列。我们确定了能可靠预测小儿 CD 复发的最佳 TP 和 TW,当以 3 个月的 TW 预测 3 个月的 TP 时,接收者操作特征曲线下面积得分为 0.89。C反应蛋白水平和淋巴细胞比例等变量被认为是重要因素:讨论:我们建立了一个时间聚合模型来预测小儿 CD 在多个 TP 和 TW 中的复发。该模型确定了预测小儿 CD 复发的重要变量,以支持实时临床决策。
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引用次数: 0
Survival Benefit From Corticosteroids in Severe Alcohol-associated Hepatitis Attributed to Clinical and Treatment Differences in a Large Multicenter Cohort. 在一项大型多中心队列研究中,严重酒精相关性肝炎患者使用皮质类固醇的临床和治疗差异导致生存获益。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000791
Claire Durkin, Douglas E Schaubel, David E Kaplan, Nadim Mahmud, Therese Bittermann

Introduction: Corticosteroids are recommended by multiple society guidelines for the treatment of severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH). However, their use remains controversial due to inconsistent studies regarding their survival benefit.

Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of first-time hospitalizations for severe AH (Maddrey discriminant function ≥ 32) admitted to the Veterans Health Administration between January 3, 2005, and December 5, 2020, (i) evaluating the effect of corticosteroid therapy on all-cause survival, (ii) characterizing the clinical and psychosocial factors associated with corticosteroid use, and (iii) determining the effect of duration of corticosteroid therapy on all-cause survival among treatment-responsive patients (Lille score < 0.45).

Results: During the study period, 2,618 patients were admitted with severe AH, of whom 1,083 (41.37%) received corticosteroids. Although corticosteroids were significantly associated with improved all-cause survival in the unadjusted model ( P = 0.022), no survival benefit was observed in the adjusted model after accounting for baseline and admission characteristics (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.01, P = 0.818). Psychiatry consultation was the only factor evaluated that was protective against mortality (aHR = 0.67, P < 0.001). Among the 428 patients (49.7%) responsive to corticosteroids, duration of therapy was not associated with overall survival on unadjusted ( P = 0.696) or adjusted models (aHR = 1.12, P = 0.710 for a ≥28-day course compared with a ≤7-day reference).

Discussion: Despite being recommended by clinical guidelines for severe AH, corticosteroids have low utilization with no survival benefit after accounting for differences in patient characteristics and practice patterns. Among patients with treatment response per the Lille score, no difference was observed in overall survival between shorter and longer durations of corticosteroid therapy.

背景:皮质类固醇被多个社会指南推荐用于治疗严重酒精相关性肝炎(AH)。然而,由于关于其生存益处的研究不一致,它们的使用仍然存在争议。方法:这是一项回顾性队列研究,对2005年3月1日至2020年12月5日期间在退伍军人健康管理局收治的首次住院的严重AH (Maddrey’s Discriminant Function≥32)患者进行研究,1)评估皮质类固醇治疗对全因生存的影响,2)描述与皮质类固醇使用相关的临床和社会心理因素。3)确定糖皮质激素治疗持续时间对治疗反应患者全因生存的影响(里尔评分)结果:在研究期间,2618例重度AH患者入院,其中1083例(41.37%)接受糖皮质激素治疗。尽管在未调整的模型中,皮质类固醇与全因生存率显著相关(p=0.022),但在考虑基线和入院特征后,调整后的模型中未观察到生存获益(调整后的风险比[aHR]=1.01, p=0.818)。结论:尽管临床指南推荐使用皮质类固醇治疗严重AH,但考虑到患者特征和实践模式的差异,皮质类固醇的使用率很低,没有生存益处。在根据里尔评分有治疗反应的患者中,在较短和较长时间的皮质类固醇治疗中,总生存期没有观察到差异。
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引用次数: 0
Candidate Genetic Loci Modifying the Colorectal Cancer Risk Caused by Lifestyle Risk Factors. 改变生活方式风险因素引起的结直肠癌风险的候选基因位点。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000790
Shabane Barot, Litika Vermani, Johannes Blom, Susanna Larsson, Annelie Liljegren, Annika Lindblom

Introduction: 65%-70% of colorectal cancer (CRC) cases are considered sporadic; they arise under the influence of environmental factors in individuals lacking a family history of CRC. Low-risk genetic variants are believed to contribute to CRC risk, in tandem with lifestyle factors.

Methods: Six hundred sixteen nonfamilial Swedish CRC cases with at least 1 of the following 5 risk factors: smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, adherence to an unhealthy diet, and excess body weight were included in this study. A control group consisting of 1,642 healthy individuals was used. Cases and controls were genotyped from blood samples at the Centre for Inherited Disease Research at Johns Hopkins University within the Colorectal Transdisciplinary Study research collaboration, using the Illumina Infinium OncoArray-500 K BeadChip. Five separate genome-wide haplotype association analyses were performed, one for each risk factor. Logistic regression models were used to estimate associations between haplotypes (exposure) and CRC (outcome) in cases with lifestyle risk factors vs controls. Haplotypes with an odds ratio >1 were considered candidate risk markers, denoting an area of interest in the genome. A significance threshold of P < 5 × 10 -8 was used.

Results: We found 17 haplotype regions significantly associated with CRC in cases vs controls. Several regions included genes linked to inflammation and tumor promotion.

Discussion: We concluded that having certain genetic variants was associated with an increased risk of CRC compared with healthy controls among cases with known lifestyle risk factors. The interplay of lifestyle and genetic risk factors calls for further elucidation.

导读:65%-70%的结直肠癌(CRC)病例被认为是散发的;在没有CRC家族史的个体中,它们是在环境因素的影响下出现的。低风险基因变异被认为与生活方式因素一起导致结直肠癌风险。方法:616例非家族性瑞典结直肠癌患者,至少有以下5种危险因素中的1种:吸烟、过度饮酒、缺乏体育活动、坚持不健康饮食和超重。使用了由1,642名健康个体组成的对照组。在结肠直肠癌跨学科研究合作项目中,约翰霍普金斯大学遗传疾病研究中心使用Illumina Infinium oncoarray - 500k头芯片从血液样本中对病例和对照组进行基因分型。进行了5个单独的全基因组单倍型关联分析,每个分析一个风险因素。使用逻辑回归模型来估计生活方式风险因素与对照组的单倍型(暴露)与CRC(结果)之间的关系。比值比为bb0.1的单倍型被认为是候选风险标记,表示基因组中感兴趣的区域。采用显著性阈值P < 5 × 10-8。结果:与对照组相比,我们发现17个单倍型区域与结直肠癌显著相关。一些区域包含与炎症和肿瘤促进相关的基因。讨论:我们的结论是,在已知生活方式风险因素的病例中,与健康对照相比,具有某些遗传变异与CRC风险增加有关。生活方式和遗传风险因素的相互作用需要进一步阐明。
{"title":"Candidate Genetic Loci Modifying the Colorectal Cancer Risk Caused by Lifestyle Risk Factors.","authors":"Shabane Barot, Litika Vermani, Johannes Blom, Susanna Larsson, Annelie Liljegren, Annika Lindblom","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000790","DOIUrl":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000790","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>65%-70% of colorectal cancer (CRC) cases are considered sporadic; they arise under the influence of environmental factors in individuals lacking a family history of CRC. Low-risk genetic variants are believed to contribute to CRC risk, in tandem with lifestyle factors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Six hundred sixteen nonfamilial Swedish CRC cases with at least 1 of the following 5 risk factors: smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, adherence to an unhealthy diet, and excess body weight were included in this study. A control group consisting of 1,642 healthy individuals was used. Cases and controls were genotyped from blood samples at the Centre for Inherited Disease Research at Johns Hopkins University within the Colorectal Transdisciplinary Study research collaboration, using the Illumina Infinium OncoArray-500 K BeadChip. Five separate genome-wide haplotype association analyses were performed, one for each risk factor. Logistic regression models were used to estimate associations between haplotypes (exposure) and CRC (outcome) in cases with lifestyle risk factors vs controls. Haplotypes with an odds ratio >1 were considered candidate risk markers, denoting an area of interest in the genome. A significance threshold of P < 5 × 10 -8 was used.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found 17 haplotype regions significantly associated with CRC in cases vs controls. Several regions included genes linked to inflammation and tumor promotion.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>We concluded that having certain genetic variants was associated with an increased risk of CRC compared with healthy controls among cases with known lifestyle risk factors. The interplay of lifestyle and genetic risk factors calls for further elucidation.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":" ","pages":"e00790"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756881/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142812230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effects of Testosterone Replacement Therapy in Adult Men With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. 睾酮替代疗法对代谢功能障碍伴有脂肪肝的成年男性的影响:系统回顾与元分析》。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000787
Maya Mahmoud, Hassan Kawtharany, Mohamed Awali, Nadine Mahmoud, Islam Mohamed, Wing-Kin Syn

Introduction: Sex steroids modulate metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) pathobiology. We hypothesized that testosterone treatment (TT) modulates progression of MASLD and performed a systematic review to evaluate the efficacy of TT on liver steatosis and fibrosis.

Methods: We searched PubMed and Embase from inception until November 2023. We screened 1,489 studies and identified 9 eligible studies. We assessed risk of bias for randomized trials using RoB-2 "Cochrane risk of bias tool for randomized trials," nonrandomized studies using ROBINS-I tool "Risk of Bias In Nonrandomized Studies-of Interventions," and Murad's tool for single-arm studies. We pooled estimates using RevMan 5.

Results: Three randomized controlled trials|, 4 nonrandomized studies, and 2 single-arm studies were identified. The population of interest comprised men with MASLD. TT was administered at varying doses, routes, and frequencies, with follow-up ranging from 12 weeks to 8 years. Liver fibrosis and steatosis were assessed using liver biopsy in 3 studies, CT/MRI in 5, and serum scores in 2. All studies provided evidence of reduction in liver steatosis with TT compared with no TT. In addition, the LiFT (randomized controlled trials) trial demonstrated a resolution of MASLD/ metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and a regression in liver fibrosis. TT led to decrease in liver enzymes. Studies were heterogenous in terms of population characteristics, treatment modalities, endpoints, and follow-up. Adverse events were comparable between the 2 groups.

Discussion: TT is a promising treatment option for men with MASLD and low testosterone. It may improve liver steatosis and reduce liver fibrosis. Large, double-blinded randomized placebo-controlled trials are needed.

背景:性类固醇可调节代谢功能障碍相关性脂肪性肝病(MASLD)的病理生物学。我们假设睾酮疗法(TT)可调节MASLD的进展,并进行了一项系统性综述,以评估TT对肝脏脂肪变性和纤维化的疗效:我们检索了从开始到 2023 年 11 月的 PubMed 和 Embase。我们筛选了 1489 项研究,确定了 9 项符合条件的研究。我们使用RoB-2 "Cochrane随机试验偏倚风险工具 "评估了随机试验的偏倚风险,使用ROBINS-I工具 "非随机干预研究的偏倚风险 "评估了非随机研究的偏倚风险,使用Murad工具评估了单臂研究的偏倚风险。我们使用 RevMan 5.Results 对估计结果进行了汇总:结果:确定了 3 项随机对照试验 (RCT)、4 项非随机研究和 2 项单臂研究。研究对象包括患有 MASLD 的男性。TT的给药剂量、途径和频率各不相同,随访时间从12周到8年不等。有 3 项研究使用肝活检、5 项研究使用 CT/MRI、2 项研究使用血清评分对肝纤维化和脂肪变性进行了评估。此外,LiFT(RCT)试验表明,MASLD/MASH 已得到缓解,肝纤维化也有所减轻。TT 可降低肝酶。这些研究在人群特征、治疗方式、终点和随访方面存在差异。两组研究的不良事件具有可比性:TT对于患有MASLD和低睾酮的男性来说是一种很有前景的治疗选择。结论:TT 对患有 MASLD 和低睾酮症的男性来说是一种很有前景的治疗方案,它可以改善肝脏脂肪变性并减轻肝纤维化。需要进行大型双盲随机安慰剂对照试验。
{"title":"The Effects of Testosterone Replacement Therapy in Adult Men With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.","authors":"Maya Mahmoud, Hassan Kawtharany, Mohamed Awali, Nadine Mahmoud, Islam Mohamed, Wing-Kin Syn","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000787","DOIUrl":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000787","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Sex steroids modulate metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) pathobiology. We hypothesized that testosterone treatment (TT) modulates progression of MASLD and performed a systematic review to evaluate the efficacy of TT on liver steatosis and fibrosis.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We searched PubMed and Embase from inception until November 2023. We screened 1,489 studies and identified 9 eligible studies. We assessed risk of bias for randomized trials using RoB-2 \"Cochrane risk of bias tool for randomized trials,\" nonrandomized studies using ROBINS-I tool \"Risk of Bias In Nonrandomized Studies-of Interventions,\" and Murad's tool for single-arm studies. We pooled estimates using RevMan 5.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Three randomized controlled trials|, 4 nonrandomized studies, and 2 single-arm studies were identified. The population of interest comprised men with MASLD. TT was administered at varying doses, routes, and frequencies, with follow-up ranging from 12 weeks to 8 years. Liver fibrosis and steatosis were assessed using liver biopsy in 3 studies, CT/MRI in 5, and serum scores in 2. All studies provided evidence of reduction in liver steatosis with TT compared with no TT. In addition, the LiFT (randomized controlled trials) trial demonstrated a resolution of MASLD/ metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and a regression in liver fibrosis. TT led to decrease in liver enzymes. Studies were heterogenous in terms of population characteristics, treatment modalities, endpoints, and follow-up. Adverse events were comparable between the 2 groups.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>TT is a promising treatment option for men with MASLD and low testosterone. It may improve liver steatosis and reduce liver fibrosis. Large, double-blinded randomized placebo-controlled trials are needed.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":" ","pages":"e00787"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756880/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142582199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Brief Model Evaluated Outcomes After Liver Transplantation Based on the Matching of Donor Graft and Recipient. 一个简短的模型根据供体移植物和受体的匹配情况对肝移植后的结果进行了评估。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000761
Yuancheng Li, Xingchao Liu, Chengcheng Zhang, Ran Tao, Bi Pan, Wei Liu, Di Jiang, Feng Hu, Zeliang Xu, Dehong Tan, Yanjiao Ou, Xun Li, Yuemei You, Leida Zhang

Introduction: A precise model for predicting outcomes is needed to guide perioperative management. With the development of the liver transplantation (LT) discipline, previous models may become inappropriate or noncomprehensive. Thus, we aimed to develop a novel model integrating variables from donors and recipients for quick assessment of transplant outcomes.

Methods: The risk model was based on Cox regression in a randomly selected derivation cohort and verified in a validation cohort. Perioperative data and overall survival were compared between stratifications grouped by X-tile. Receiver-operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis were used to compare the models. Violin and raincloud plots were generated to present post-LT complications distributed in different stratifications.

Results: Overall, 528 patients receiving LT from 2 centers were included with 2/3 in the derivation cohort and 1/3 in the validation cohort. Cox regression analysis showed that cold ischemia time (CIT) ( P = 0.012) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ( P = 0.007) score were predictors of survival. After comparison with the logarithmic models, the primitive algorithms of CIT and MELD were defined as the CIT-MELD Index (CMI). CMI was stratified by X-tile (grade 1 ≤1.06, 1.06 < grade 2 ≤ 1.87, grade 3 >1.87). In both cohorts, CMI performed better in calculating transplant outcomes than the balance of risk score, including perioperative incidents and prevalence of complications.

Discussion: The model integrating variables from graft donors and recipients made the prediction more accurate and available. CMI provided new insight into outcome evaluation and risk factor management of LT.

背景:指导围手术期管理需要一个精确的预后模型。随着肝移植(LT)学科的发展,以前的模型可能变得不合适或不全面。因此,我们旨在开发一种整合供体和受体变量的新型模型,以快速评估移植结果:方法:该风险模型基于随机选择的衍生队列中的 Cox 回归,并在验证队列中得到验证。比较了按X-分层分组的围手术期数据和总生存率。采用接收者操作特征曲线和决策曲线分析来比较模型。生成的小提琴图和雨云图显示了不同分层中LT术后并发症的分布情况:共有来自两个中心的528名接受LT的患者,其中2/3属于推导队列,1/3属于验证队列。Cox回归分析显示,冷缺血时间(CIT)(P=0.012)和终末期肝病模型(MELD)(P=0.007)评分是预测生存率的因素。与对数模型比较后,CIT 和 MELD 的原始算法被定义为 CIT-MELD 指数(CMI)。CMI按X分层(1级≤1.06,1.06< 2级≤1.87,3级>1.87)进行分层。在两个队列中,CMI在计算移植结果(包括围手术期事件和并发症发生率)方面的表现均优于风险平衡评分:结论:整合移植物和受体变量的模型使预测更准确、更可用。CMI为LT的结果评估和风险因素管理提供了新的视角。
{"title":"A Brief Model Evaluated Outcomes After Liver Transplantation Based on the Matching of Donor Graft and Recipient.","authors":"Yuancheng Li, Xingchao Liu, Chengcheng Zhang, Ran Tao, Bi Pan, Wei Liu, Di Jiang, Feng Hu, Zeliang Xu, Dehong Tan, Yanjiao Ou, Xun Li, Yuemei You, Leida Zhang","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000761","DOIUrl":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000761","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>A precise model for predicting outcomes is needed to guide perioperative management. With the development of the liver transplantation (LT) discipline, previous models may become inappropriate or noncomprehensive. Thus, we aimed to develop a novel model integrating variables from donors and recipients for quick assessment of transplant outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The risk model was based on Cox regression in a randomly selected derivation cohort and verified in a validation cohort. Perioperative data and overall survival were compared between stratifications grouped by X-tile. Receiver-operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis were used to compare the models. Violin and raincloud plots were generated to present post-LT complications distributed in different stratifications.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 528 patients receiving LT from 2 centers were included with 2/3 in the derivation cohort and 1/3 in the validation cohort. Cox regression analysis showed that cold ischemia time (CIT) ( P = 0.012) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ( P = 0.007) score were predictors of survival. After comparison with the logarithmic models, the primitive algorithms of CIT and MELD were defined as the CIT-MELD Index (CMI). CMI was stratified by X-tile (grade 1 ≤1.06, 1.06 < grade 2 ≤ 1.87, grade 3 >1.87). In both cohorts, CMI performed better in calculating transplant outcomes than the balance of risk score, including perioperative incidents and prevalence of complications.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>The model integrating variables from graft donors and recipients made the prediction more accurate and available. CMI provided new insight into outcome evaluation and risk factor management of LT.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":" ","pages":"e00761"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756882/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142016547","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-Term Outcomes of EUS-Guided Gastroenterostomy: A Large, Single-Center Experience. eus引导下的胃肠造口术的长期结果:一个大的、单中心的经验。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000648
Judy A Trieu, Sam Kahlenberg, Andrew J Gilman, Kelly Hathorn, Todd H Baron

Introduction: Endoscopic ultrasound-guided gastroenterostomy (EUS-GE) is effective and safe in benign and malignant indications. However, there is a paucity of literature on the outcomes of these patients. Our study evaluates the long-term outcomes of patients who underwent EUS-GE and stent-related adverse events (AEs).

Methods: This retrospective study was performed at a tertiary care institution from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2022. Patients who underwent EUS-GE were included. Procedure details and outcomes were recorded. Patients were followed for at least 3 months after the procedure.

Results: A total of 207 patients (50.3% male, mean age 62.3 years) underwent EUS-GE for malignant (N = 117, 56.5%) and benign (N = 90, 43.5%) indications. Overall technical success was 95.7%. Patients were followed for a mean of 406 days. Stents were removed in 25.6% of patients; common reasons include completed access for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (N = 13, 25%), resection/resolution of gastric outlet obstruction (GOO) (N = 28, 53.8%), and surgical resection of malignant GOO (N = 8, 15.4%). EUS-GE stents remained in place in 63.6% of patients for ≥3 months and in 21% of patients for ≥1 year. Late AEs occurred in 3.4%. Among patients who were stent-dependent (N = 24, 11.6%) and underwent annual stent exchanges, no late AEs occurred.

Discussion: Long-term outcomes of EUS-GE are promising with few AEs, particularly with pre-emptive annual exchanges of stents to prevent stent delamination and occlusion among patients who require long-term indwelling stents. EUS-GE plays an increasing role in access for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in altered anatomy, acute or chronic management of benign GOO, or bridge to definitive surgery for GOO.

导读:eus引导下的胃肠造口术(EUS-GE)在良恶性适应症中都是有效和安全的。然而,关于这些患者的预后的文献很少。我们的研究评估了接受EUS-GE和支架相关不良事件(ae)的患者的长期预后。方法:本回顾性研究于2014年1月1日至2022年12月31日在一家三级医疗机构进行。接受EUS-GE的患者被纳入研究。记录手术细节和结果。术后随访患者至少3个月。结果:共有207例患者(男性50.3%,平均年龄62.3岁)接受了EUS-GE,其中恶性(N=117, 56.5%)和良性(N=90, 43.5%)指征。总体技术成功率为95.7%。患者平均随访406天。25.6%的患者取出了支架;常见原因包括完成内镜逆行胆管造影(ERCP) (N=13, 25%),切除/解决胃出口梗阻(GOO) (N=28, 53.8%),手术切除恶性GOO (N=8, 15.4%)。63.6%的患者EUS-GE支架放置≥3个月,21%的患者放置≥1年。晚期ae发生率为3.4%。在支架依赖患者(N=24, 11.6%)中,每年进行支架更换的患者未发生晚期ae。讨论:EUS-GE的长期结果是有希望的,几乎没有不良事件,特别是在需要长期留置支架的患者中,每年先发制人地更换支架以防止支架分层和闭塞。EUS-GE在解剖改变、急性或慢性良性粘粘症治疗或粘粘症最终手术的ERCP通路中发挥越来越重要的作用。
{"title":"Long-Term Outcomes of EUS-Guided Gastroenterostomy: A Large, Single-Center Experience.","authors":"Judy A Trieu, Sam Kahlenberg, Andrew J Gilman, Kelly Hathorn, Todd H Baron","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000648","DOIUrl":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000648","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Endoscopic ultrasound-guided gastroenterostomy (EUS-GE) is effective and safe in benign and malignant indications. However, there is a paucity of literature on the outcomes of these patients. Our study evaluates the long-term outcomes of patients who underwent EUS-GE and stent-related adverse events (AEs).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective study was performed at a tertiary care institution from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2022. Patients who underwent EUS-GE were included. Procedure details and outcomes were recorded. Patients were followed for at least 3 months after the procedure.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 207 patients (50.3% male, mean age 62.3 years) underwent EUS-GE for malignant (N = 117, 56.5%) and benign (N = 90, 43.5%) indications. Overall technical success was 95.7%. Patients were followed for a mean of 406 days. Stents were removed in 25.6% of patients; common reasons include completed access for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (N = 13, 25%), resection/resolution of gastric outlet obstruction (GOO) (N = 28, 53.8%), and surgical resection of malignant GOO (N = 8, 15.4%). EUS-GE stents remained in place in 63.6% of patients for ≥3 months and in 21% of patients for ≥1 year. Late AEs occurred in 3.4%. Among patients who were stent-dependent (N = 24, 11.6%) and underwent annual stent exchanges, no late AEs occurred.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>Long-term outcomes of EUS-GE are promising with few AEs, particularly with pre-emptive annual exchanges of stents to prevent stent delamination and occlusion among patients who require long-term indwelling stents. EUS-GE plays an increasing role in access for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in altered anatomy, acute or chronic management of benign GOO, or bridge to definitive surgery for GOO.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":" ","pages":"e00648"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756879/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142766749","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
International Validation of a Novel PEACE Scale to Improve the Quality of Upper Gastrointestinal Mucosal Inspection During Endoscopy.
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000786
Marcin Romańczyk, Madhav Desai, Michal F Kamiński, Seiichiro Abe, Asma A Alkandari, Torsten Beyna, Raf Bisschops, Krzysztof Budzyń, Monika Bugdol, Samir C Grover, C Prakash Gyawali, Haruhiro Inoue, Prasad G Iyer, Helmut Messmann, Krish Ragunath, Yutaka Saito, Sachin Srinivasan, Christopher Teshima, Rena Yadlapati, Cesare Hassan, Prateek Sharma

Introduction: The performance of a high quality esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is dependent on the mucosal cleanliness. Recently, the Polprep: Effective Assessment of Cleanliness in EGD (PEACE) scale was created to assess the degree of mucosal cleanliness during EGD. The aim of this study was to validate this scoring system in a cohort of international endoscopists.

Methods: In total, 39 EGD videos, with different degrees of mucosal cleanliness were retrieved from a previously conducted prospective trial. All experts rated the cleanliness of the mucosa on each video using the PEACE scale. To evaluate agreement of all scores (0-3), intraclass correlation coefficient 2.1 was used. The agreement on adequate (scores 2 and 3) and inadequate (scores 0 and 1) cleanliness was assessed using kappa values.

Results: Videos evaluating esophagus, stomach, and duodenum cleanliness were reviewed by 16 endoscopists. The PEACE scores demonstrated good agreement (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.82, 95% CI 0.75-0.89), especially for esophagus (0.84; 95% CI 0.71-0.95) and stomach (0.81; 95% CI 0.69-0.91), while agreement was moderate for the duodenum (0.69; 95% CI 0.51-0.87). The agreement was similar between Eastern (0.86; 95% CI 0.79-0.92) and Western experts (0.80; 95% CI 0.72-0.88). Similarly, agreement regarding adequate cleanliness was comparable between Eastern (0.70; 95% CI 0.55-0.85) and Western (0.74; 95% CI 0.64-0.84) endoscopists being overall 0.75 (95% CI 0.65-0.85).

Discussion: The PEACE scoring system is a simple and reliable scale to assess the cleanliness during EGD. The score is now validated among international experts with high concordance, justifying its use in clinical practice.

{"title":"International Validation of a Novel PEACE Scale to Improve the Quality of Upper Gastrointestinal Mucosal Inspection During Endoscopy.","authors":"Marcin Romańczyk, Madhav Desai, Michal F Kamiński, Seiichiro Abe, Asma A Alkandari, Torsten Beyna, Raf Bisschops, Krzysztof Budzyń, Monika Bugdol, Samir C Grover, C Prakash Gyawali, Haruhiro Inoue, Prasad G Iyer, Helmut Messmann, Krish Ragunath, Yutaka Saito, Sachin Srinivasan, Christopher Teshima, Rena Yadlapati, Cesare Hassan, Prateek Sharma","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000786","DOIUrl":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000786","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>The performance of a high quality esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is dependent on the mucosal cleanliness. Recently, the Polprep: Effective Assessment of Cleanliness in EGD (PEACE) scale was created to assess the degree of mucosal cleanliness during EGD. The aim of this study was to validate this scoring system in a cohort of international endoscopists.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In total, 39 EGD videos, with different degrees of mucosal cleanliness were retrieved from a previously conducted prospective trial. All experts rated the cleanliness of the mucosa on each video using the PEACE scale. To evaluate agreement of all scores (0-3), intraclass correlation coefficient 2.1 was used. The agreement on adequate (scores 2 and 3) and inadequate (scores 0 and 1) cleanliness was assessed using kappa values.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Videos evaluating esophagus, stomach, and duodenum cleanliness were reviewed by 16 endoscopists. The PEACE scores demonstrated good agreement (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.82, 95% CI 0.75-0.89), especially for esophagus (0.84; 95% CI 0.71-0.95) and stomach (0.81; 95% CI 0.69-0.91), while agreement was moderate for the duodenum (0.69; 95% CI 0.51-0.87). The agreement was similar between Eastern (0.86; 95% CI 0.79-0.92) and Western experts (0.80; 95% CI 0.72-0.88). Similarly, agreement regarding adequate cleanliness was comparable between Eastern (0.70; 95% CI 0.55-0.85) and Western (0.74; 95% CI 0.64-0.84) endoscopists being overall 0.75 (95% CI 0.65-0.85).</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>The PEACE scoring system is a simple and reliable scale to assess the cleanliness during EGD. The score is now validated among international experts with high concordance, justifying its use in clinical practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":"16 1","pages":"e00786"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756887/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143031975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development and Validation of a Survival Prediction Model for Patients With Pancreatic Cancer. 胰腺癌患者生存预测模型的建立与验证。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000774
Paul D James, Fatema Almousawi, Misbah Salim, Rishad Khan, Peter Tanuseputro, Amy T Hsu, Natalie Coburn, Balqis Alabdulkarim, Robert Talarico, Anastasia Gayowsky, Colleen Webber, Hsien Seow, Rinku Sutradhar

Introduction: Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) face challenging treatment decisions following their diagnosis. We developed and validated a survival prognostication model using routinely available clinical information, patient-reported symptoms, performance status, and initial cancer-directed treatment.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients with PDAC from 2007 to 2020 using linked administrative databases in Ontario, Canada. Patients were randomly selected for model development (75%) and validation (25%). Using the development cohort, a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression with backward stepwise variable selection was used to predict the probability of survival. Model performance was assessed on the validation cohort using the concordance index and calibration plots.

Results: There were 17,450 patients (49% female) with a median age of 72 years (interquartile range 63-81) and a mean survival time of 9 months. In the derivation cohort, 1,469 patients (11%) had early stage, 4,202 (32%) had advanced stage disease, and 7,417 (57%) had unknown stage. The following factors were associated with an increased risk of death by more than 10%: tumor in the tail of the pancreas; advanced stage; hospitalization 3 months before diagnosis; congestive heart failure or dementia; low, moderate, or high pain score; moderate or high appetite score; high dyspnea and tiredness score; and a performance status score of 60-70 or lower. The calibration plot indicated good agreement with a C-index of 0.76.

Discussion: This model accurately predicted one-year survival for PDAC using clinical factors, symptoms, and performance status. This model may foster shared decision making for patients and their providers.

胰腺导管腺癌(PDAC)患者在诊断后面临着具有挑战性的治疗决策。我们利用常规可用的临床信息、患者报告的症状、表现状态和最初的癌症指导治疗,开发并验证了生存预测模型。方法:这项回顾性队列研究纳入了2007年至2020年加拿大安大略省相关行政数据库的PDAC患者。随机选择患者进行模型开发(75%)和验证(25%)。在研究队列中,采用多变量Cox比例风险回归和反向逐步变量选择来预测生存概率。使用一致性指数和校准图在验证队列中评估模型的性能。结果:17450例患者(49%为女性),中位年龄72岁(IQR 63-81),平均生存时间9个月。在衍生队列中,1469例(11%)患者为早期,4202例(32%)患者为晚期,7417例(57%)患者为分期不详。以下因素与死亡风险增加10%以上相关:胰腺尾部肿瘤、晚期、诊断前3个月住院、充血性心力衰竭或痴呆、低、中或高疼痛评分、中或高食欲评分、高呼吸困难和疲劳评分,以及表现状态评分为60-70或更低。校正图显示C指数为0.76,与校正图吻合良好。讨论:该模型使用临床因素、症状和表现状态准确预测PDAC患者的一年生存率。这种模式可以促进病人和医生共同决策。
{"title":"Development and Validation of a Survival Prediction Model for Patients With Pancreatic Cancer.","authors":"Paul D James, Fatema Almousawi, Misbah Salim, Rishad Khan, Peter Tanuseputro, Amy T Hsu, Natalie Coburn, Balqis Alabdulkarim, Robert Talarico, Anastasia Gayowsky, Colleen Webber, Hsien Seow, Rinku Sutradhar","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000774","DOIUrl":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000774","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) face challenging treatment decisions following their diagnosis. We developed and validated a survival prognostication model using routinely available clinical information, patient-reported symptoms, performance status, and initial cancer-directed treatment.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study included patients with PDAC from 2007 to 2020 using linked administrative databases in Ontario, Canada. Patients were randomly selected for model development (75%) and validation (25%). Using the development cohort, a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression with backward stepwise variable selection was used to predict the probability of survival. Model performance was assessed on the validation cohort using the concordance index and calibration plots.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 17,450 patients (49% female) with a median age of 72 years (interquartile range 63-81) and a mean survival time of 9 months. In the derivation cohort, 1,469 patients (11%) had early stage, 4,202 (32%) had advanced stage disease, and 7,417 (57%) had unknown stage. The following factors were associated with an increased risk of death by more than 10%: tumor in the tail of the pancreas; advanced stage; hospitalization 3 months before diagnosis; congestive heart failure or dementia; low, moderate, or high pain score; moderate or high appetite score; high dyspnea and tiredness score; and a performance status score of 60-70 or lower. The calibration plot indicated good agreement with a C-index of 0.76.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>This model accurately predicted one-year survival for PDAC using clinical factors, symptoms, and performance status. This model may foster shared decision making for patients and their providers.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":" ","pages":"e00774"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756872/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142766719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology
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