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A Preliminary Study of the Emerging and Developing Stock Market of China 中国新兴和发展中的股票市场初步研究
Hai Long
The Chinese share market as an emerging and fast-growing listing venue has experienced a significant development since 2000. Prior studies on this market overwhelmingly concentrate on IPO-pricing-related and post-IPO performance-based propositions with lagging data. Adopting the updated data within the last couple of years, this paper comprehensively explores and accounts for some striking features of the Chinese stock market, and unfolds some new causes contributing to these characteristics.Some new findings are revealed. 1) Two new factors may lead to the extreme underpricing in China’s market, which are the unseasoned investors and their high demands of IPO shares. 2) The foreign-currency trading platform is not effective and efficient to attract the overseas investors. 3) The imbalanced industry structure of the listed firms is very significant, the Chinese share market is dominated by the manufacturing firms. 4) The Growth Enterprise Market of China is essential to address the long-standing financing difficulties for the Chinese Small and Medium-sized Enterprises, which are unqualified to raise capital from the Primary Stock Market.
中国股票市场作为一个新兴的、快速增长的上市场所,自2000年以来经历了重大发展。以往对这一市场的研究绝大多数集中在ipo定价相关和ipo后基于业绩的命题上,数据滞后。本文采用最近几年的最新数据,对中国股票市场的一些显著特征进行了全面的探讨和解释,并揭示了造成这些特征的一些新的原因。揭示了一些新的发现。1)两个新的因素可能导致中国市场的极度低估,即缺乏经验的投资者和他们对IPO股票的高需求。2)外汇交易平台吸引境外投资者的效果和效率不高。3)上市公司行业结构不均衡现象十分明显,中国股票市场以制造业企业为主。4)中国创业板是解决中国中小企业长期存在的融资难问题的必要条件,中小企业没有资格从一级股票市场融资。
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引用次数: 0
Stock Market Reactions to the Announcements and Executions of Stock-Splits and Reverse Stock-Splits 股票市场对股票分割和反向股票分割的公告和执行的反应
Pub Date : 2013-12-12 DOI: 10.15290/OSE.2013.05.65.03
P. Jamróz, Grzegorz Koronkiewicz
The aim of this paper is to analyze the stock market investors reactions to the events of announcement and execution of stock-splits and reverse stock-splits carried out on Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) during the period 2004-2012. The study puts the emphasis on the differences between market reactions to standard stock-splits and reverse stock-splits. The results presented in this paper are based on the methodology of event study. The studied data sample consists of 45 instances of stock-splits and 6 instances of reverse stock-splits that took place on WSE in the specified period of time. Results obtained suggest no statistically significant reaction to the events of: split announcement, split execution and reverse split execution and a statistically significant (mostly negative) reaction to the event of reverse split announcement. Although some anomalies can be observed on close inspection of the data, in general the obtained results can be interpreted as evidence of investors' rationality with regards to events connected with stock-splits on the WSE.
本文的目的是分析股票市场投资者对2004-2012年华沙证券交易所(WSE)进行的股票分割和反向股票分割的公告和执行事件的反应。该研究强调了市场对标准股票分割和反向股票分割反应的差异。本文的研究结果是基于事件研究的方法。所研究的数据样本包括在指定时间段内发生在WSE上的45例股票拆分和6例反向股票拆分。结果显示,对分拆公告、分拆执行和反向分拆执行事件的反应在统计上没有显著性,而对反向分拆公告事件的反应在统计上有显著性(主要是负面的)。虽然在仔细检查数据时可以观察到一些异常,但总的来说,所获得的结果可以被解释为投资者对与WSE股票分割相关的事件的理性的证据。
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引用次数: 3
Oil Price Fluctuation and Stock Market Performance - The Case of Pakistan 油价波动与股市表现——以巴基斯坦为例
Prof.Dr.Masood Mashkoor Siddiqui, Nabeel Muhammad
The level of development in any country is very much dependent upon the rate of investment in the economy. Stock market provides an effective platform for the diversion of funds from surplus to deficient units and their ultimate productive investment. The prevalence of optimistic and pessimistic approach in the stock market determines the rise and fall in the stock index. There are number of local and global macroeconomic variables that determine the stock market performance. In this study the objective of the researcher is to investigate the impact of international oil price fluctuation on the performance of stock markets in Pakistan and KSE-100 Index is taken as sample for analysis. In addition to oil price, other macroeconomic variables i.e. exchange rate and foreign private portfolio investment were also included in the model to strengthen its explanatory power. The study also analyzed the significance of political stability in the determination of stock market performance. The results revealed that the oil prices, exchange rate and foreign private portfolio investment have positive correlation with stock market performance while democratic set up is found to have a negative impact over stock market performance in Pakistan.
任何国家的发展水平在很大程度上取决于经济中的投资率。股票市场为资金从过剩单位向不足单位转移并最终进行生产性投资提供了有效的平台。股票市场上乐观和悲观态度的盛行决定了股指的涨跌。有许多本地和全球宏观经济变量决定股票市场的表现。在本研究中,研究者的目的是调查国际油价波动对巴基斯坦股票市场表现的影响,并以KSE-100指数为样本进行分析。除石油价格外,模型还纳入了汇率和外国私人证券投资等宏观经济变量,以增强模型的解释力。本研究亦分析了政治稳定对股市表现的影响。结果发现,巴基斯坦的油价、汇率和外国私人证券投资与股市表现呈正相关,而民主制度对股市表现有负向影响。
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引用次数: 20
Competitive Advantages and Performance of Stock Market: The Case of Egypt 竞争优势与股票市场绩效:以埃及为例
N. Alber
This paper aims at analyzing the effects of quality announcement on performance of Egyptian listed companies. This has been conducted by event study methodology using announcements of international and national quality accreditation during the period from 2006 to 2012. Abnormal Returns (ARs) are the differences between actual returns and estimated (normal) returns. It's argued that good informational content may lead to positive abnormal returns. Results indicate that, hypotheses regarding the significance of differences between ARs with an estimation period of 30 days and a window from day -10 to day 10 could be accepted. Also, robustness check using CARs assures this significance. Findings show that informational content of competitive advantages has a positive effect on abnormal return of listed companies in the Egyptian exchange.
本文旨在分析质量公告对埃及上市公司业绩的影响。这是通过2006年至2012年期间国际和国家质量认证公告的事件研究方法进行的。异常收益(ARs)是实际收益与估计(正常)收益之间的差额。本文认为,良好的信息内容可能导致正的异常回报。结果表明,关于估算期为30天和窗口期为-10天至10天的ar差异显著性的假设可以接受。此外,使用car的鲁棒性检查确保了这种重要性。研究结果表明,竞争优势信息含量对埃及交易所上市公司异常收益具有正向影响。
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引用次数: 11
Asymmetric Volatility and Performance of Indian Equity Market- Comparison of SENSEX and S&P CNX Nifty 印度股市的不对称波动和表现——SENSEX和标普CNX指数的比较
R. Gupta
Stock market volatility has its existence from the long time but its complete eradication is not possible, the only thing which can be done is just to know its behavior and pattern that how it behaves. The present study is aimed to understand the nature and different patterns of volatility in Indian equity market. The daily observations comprising of closing data of SENSEX of Bombay Stock Exchange and S&P CNX Nifty of National Stock Exchange for the period of 10 years i.e. from January 2003 to December 2012 is used for analysis. The data was collected from the websites www.bseindia.com and www.nseindia.com. The present study is attempted to examine the volatility of returns in Indian stock market. GARCH models were used to see the volatility of Indian equity market. It was found that there was spillover of information in the Indian stock market and with the significant coefficient of dummy in improved model. It was concluded that negative shocks do have greater impact on conditional volatility compared to positive shocks of the same magnitude in the Indian stock market.
股票市场波动长期以来一直存在,但不可能完全消除,唯一能做的就是了解它的行为和模式。本研究旨在了解印度股票市场波动的性质和不同模式。每日观测数据包括孟买证券交易所SENSEX指数和国家证券交易所s&p;P; CNX Nifty指数的收盘数据,为期10年,即2003年1月至2012年12月。数据收集自www.bseindia.com和www.nseindia.com网站。本研究试图检验印度股票市场收益的波动性。GARCH模型被用来观察印度股票市场的波动。结果表明,印度股票市场存在信息溢出,改进模型的虚拟系数显著。结论是,在印度股市中,与同等规模的正面冲击相比,负面冲击对条件波动的影响确实更大。
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引用次数: 3
Dynamic Analysis of Time-Varying Correlations and Cointegration Relationship between Australia and Frontier Equity Markets 澳洲与前沿股市时变相关与协整关系之动态分析
Sudharshan Reddy Paramati, Rakesh Gupta, K. Tandon
This paper aims to demonstrate to what extent Australian stock market is correlated with those of 18 frontier markets of five different regions. We also investigate the long-run relationship between these markets. Empirical results of AGDCC GARCH model reveal that the correlations of Australian stock market with those of frontier markets are changing over time. Results show that Australia has weak correlations with all the frontier markets that are considered. Further, our analysis confirms that the effect of the GFC on stock markets' interdependence is limited to only few markets. The cointegration test results display that there is no evidence of long-run relationship between Australia and frontier markets. Empirical findings of our study suggest that Australian stock market is weakly correlated with those of frontier markets. Therefore, our study findings suggest that the Australian investors can diversify their portfolios into these frontier markets for gaining higher risk-adjusted returns.
本文旨在证明澳大利亚股票市场与五个不同地区的18个前沿市场的相关性。我们还研究了这些市场之间的长期关系。AGDCC GARCH模型的实证结果显示,澳大利亚股市与前沿市场的相关性随时间变化。结果表明,澳大利亚与所有被考虑的前沿市场之间存在弱相关性。此外,我们的分析证实,全球金融危机对股票市场相互依赖的影响仅限于少数市场。协整检验结果显示,澳大利亚与前沿市场之间不存在长期关系。实证研究结果表明,澳大利亚股市与前沿市场的相关性较弱。因此,我们的研究结果表明,澳大利亚投资者可以将其投资组合分散到这些前沿市场,以获得更高的风险调整回报。
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引用次数: 5
Do Emerging Markets Provide Currency Diversification Benefits? 新兴市场能带来外汇多元化的好处吗?
Pub Date : 2013-07-11 DOI: 10.1504/IJBAAF.2013.058087
I. Chaieb, V. Errunza, Basma Majerbi
We examine the role of emerging markets in providing currency diversification benefits. We use global sectoral portfolios for developed and emerging markets. Our empirical tests based on a conditional international asset pricing model show that on average the prices of currency risks are very close to zero but they increase significantly during crisis periods. We find that the currency exposures and risk premia are lowest for the G7 portfolios augmented with a small set of eight emerging markets over most of the time period for almost all sectors. Finally, holding a most diversified portfolio of developed and emerging markets may not provide additional benefits.
我们考察了新兴市场在提供货币多元化利益方面的作用。我们在发达市场和新兴市场使用全球行业投资组合。我们基于有条件国际资产定价模型的实证测试表明,货币风险的平均价格非常接近于零,但在危机期间它们会显著增加。我们发现,在几乎所有行业的大部分时间里,G7投资组合的货币敞口和风险溢价最低,其中包括八个新兴市场。最后,持有最多样化的发达市场和新兴市场投资组合可能不会带来额外的好处。
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引用次数: 2
The Role of Private Equity Investments in Public Firms: International Evidence 私募股权投资在上市公司中的作用:国际证据
Sandeep Dahiya, Leora F. Klapper, H. Parthasarathy, Dorothe Singer
This paper compares the raising of external equity capital from private equity investors via private investments in public equity (PIPEs) and seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) using a sample of 456 PIPEs and 1,910 SEOs drawn from nine Asian countries. Consistent with the idea that insiders attempt to time the markets, firms issuing SEOs are preceded by a significantly higher run-up in stock price compared with those issuing PIPEs. This result is consistent with the undervaluation hypothesis that states that firms are more likely to issue PIPEs when they perceive their stock to be undervalued. In contrast to the United States where this undervaluation appears to be driven by financial distress and asymmetric information, the results show PIPE and SEO issuers to be statistically undistinguishable from each other. The announcement of a PIPE offering is on average associated with a significantly higher stock market reaction compared with an issue of a SEO, suggesting that private equity investors may play a certification or monitoring role. However, a comparison of PIPE issuers' operating performance and stock market returns in the pre-issue and the post-issue periods does not detect any significant improvements.
本文比较了私募股权投资者通过公共股权(pipe)和经验丰富的股权发行(seo)的私人投资筹集外部股权资本的情况,使用了来自9个亚洲国家的456个pipe和1910个seo样本。与内部人士试图把握市场时机的观点一致,发行seo的公司之前的股价涨幅明显高于发行pipe的公司。这一结果与估值过低假说是一致的,该假说认为,当公司意识到自己的股票被低估时,它们更有可能发行pipe。在美国,这种低估似乎是由财务困境和信息不对称驱动的,与此相反,结果显示,PIPE和SEO发行人在统计上彼此无法区分。平均而言,与发布搜索引擎优化(SEO)相比,PIPE发行的公告与股市的反应要高得多,这表明私人股本投资者可能会发挥认证或监督作用。然而,比较PIPE发行人在发行前和发行后的经营业绩和股票市场回报,并没有发现任何显著的改善。
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引用次数: 2
The Sources of Country and Industry Variations in ASEAN Stock Returns 东盟股票收益国家和行业差异的来源
T. Chong, C. Hooy, Meng Horng Lee
This paper examines the possible determinants for the sources of variations in ASEAN stock returns across financial crises. Using a comprehensive data of 4043 firms from six ASEAN countries and 40 industries, we find that lagged country return and concentration are among the determinants that explain the country factors in the region, while size proved to be the determinant of industry factors for both tradable and non-tradable industries. In general, a higher previous return and lower industrial concentration would increase the country factor. We documented the loss of explanatory power of these determinants in the presence of crisis effects.
本文探讨了金融危机期间东盟股票收益变化来源的可能决定因素。利用来自6个东盟国家40个行业的4043家企业的综合数据,我们发现滞后的国家回报和集中度是解释该地区国家因素的决定因素之一,而规模被证明是可贸易和不可贸易产业的行业因素的决定因素。一般来说,较高的先前收益和较低的工业集中度会增加国家因素。我们记录了在危机影响下这些决定因素的解释力的丧失。
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引用次数: 0
Does Emerging Market Recognize Intangible Capital? Evidence from China 新兴市场是否承认无形资本?来自中国的证据
Yin Yu, Carol Padgett
Emerging markets are characterized by rapidly changing capital structures and advancing technology; but how well is intangible capital recognized in the capital market? This paper investigates equity market valuation of firm intangible capital and asset pricing model in the Chinese A-share market. While intangible capital is recognized as a risk factor in developed markets, we want to investigate whether this is the case in an emerging market. We derive a systematic model to identify and to value firms’ intangible capital relative to that of their industry peers and competitors. In this paper, firm intangible capital effect divides into human capital (HCF), external capital (ECF), and organizational capital (OCF). Using capital market data from China, we find that the traditional asset pricing model can be statistically enhanced by the presence of intangible capital and that market is able to recognize the value of intangible capital. Portfolios with low HCF, OCF, and ECF firms systematically outperform portfolios of high HCF, OCF, ECF firms by an average of 1.43%, 12.8%, and 4.02%. As shown in time series Fama-French three factors model, we found that the risk component proxied by intangible capital is not included in the traditional asset pricing model. Also large/state owned companies react to these risk proxies more than small/private companies.
新兴市场的特点是快速变化的资本结构和先进的技术;但是,资本市场对无形资本的认可程度如何呢?本文研究了中国a股市场企业无形资本的股票市场估值和资产定价模型。虽然无形资本在发达市场被认为是一个风险因素,但我们想调查的是,在新兴市场是否也是如此。我们推导了一个系统的模型来识别和评估企业相对于其行业同行和竞争对手的无形资本。本文将企业无形资本效应分为人力资本(HCF)、外部资本(ECF)和组织资本(OCF)。利用中国资本市场的数据,我们发现无形资本的存在可以在统计上增强传统的资产定价模型,并且市场能够识别无形资本的价值。低HCF、OCF和ECF公司的投资组合系统地优于高HCF、OCF和ECF公司的投资组合,平均高出1.43%、12.8%和4.02%。通过时间序列Fama-French三因素模型,我们发现传统的资产定价模型中并没有包含无形资本所代表的风险成分。此外,大型/国有企业对这些风险代理的反应比小型/私营企业更强烈。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Econometric Modeling: International Financial Markets - Emerging Markets eJournal
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