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Stochastic Model Predictive Control Based on Polynomial Chaos Expansion With Application to Wind Energy Conversion Systems 基于多项式混沌展开的随机模型预测控制在风能转换系统中的应用
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.39310
Gang Liu, Huiming Zhang
The wind energy conversion system (WECS) has a complex structure, and its state space model is highly nonlinear. Due to the random uncertainty of wind speed, it poses a huge challenge to achieve optimal control tasks and ensure the safe and stable operation of the system. Therefore, this article proposes a stochastic model predictive control strategy based on Polynomial Chaotic Expansion (PCE), which achieves the control tasks of MPPT and constant power regions in wind energy conversion systems. Firstly, a simple algorithm is proposed to obtain a set of basis functions that are suitable for the stochastic variable wind speed. Then, the obtained basis functions are used to propagate the uncertainty of the original uncertain differential equation of the wind energy conversion system through polynomial chaotic expansion. Combining the operating region and constraint conditions of the wind energy conversion system, the original stochastic uncertainty problem is transformed into a deterministic convex optimization problem. Using NREL 5MW wind turbine as the research object for simulation, the task of capturing maximum wind energy in MPPT area and tracking rated power points in constant power area was achieved. The experimental results show that the proposed control method can effectively improve the wind energy capture capability and achieve accurate tracking of output power to rated power.
风能转换系统(WECS)结构复杂,其状态空间模型高度非线性。由于风速的随机不确定性,如何实现最优控制任务并确保系统安全稳定运行是一个巨大的挑战。因此,本文提出了一种基于多项式混沌展开(PCE)的随机模型预测控制策略,实现了风能转换系统中 MPPT 和恒功率区域的控制任务。首先,提出了一种简单的算法,以获得一组适合随机变风速的基函数。然后,利用所获得的基函数,通过多项式混沌扩展来传播风能转换系统原始不确定微分方程的不确定性。结合风能转换系统的运行区域和约束条件,将原始随机不确定性问题转化为确定性凸优化问题。以 NREL 5MW 风力发电机为研究对象进行仿真,实现了在 MPPT 区域捕获最大风能和在恒功率区域跟踪额定功率点的任务。实验结果表明,所提出的控制方法能有效提高风能捕获能力,并实现输出功率对额定功率的精确跟踪。
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引用次数: 0
KWH Cost Analysis of Energy Storage Power Station Based on Changing Trend of Battery Cost 基于电池成本变化趋势的储能电站千瓦时成本分析
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3933
Jie Huang, Rong Nie, Zhenyu Zhao, Yan Wang
Energy storage plays a vital role in enhancing the resilience of the power grid. Utilizing typical capacity and power energy storage application scenarios, coupled with industry research data and technical analysis of energy storage, this study calculates the cost of energy storage per kilowatt-hour and the associated mileage cost. The findings indicate that the current cost per kilowatt-hour of electrochemical energy storage ranges from approximately 0.6 to 0.9 yuan/(kW⋅h), revealing a considerable gap between the target cost for widespread application and the range of 0.3 to 0.4 yuan/(kW⋅h). Therefore, the development of energy storage technologies (EST) should prioritize achieving “low cost, long life, high safety, and easy recycling,” taking into account a comprehensive assessment of system manufacturing, system lifespan, system safety, and recycling. This paper delves into the changing trend of battery costs and their impact on kilowatt-hours, presenting strategic suggestions to reduce the kilowatt-hour cost of ESP stations. The research underscores that a continuous reduction in battery costs will contribute to enhancing the economic benefits of ESP stations and provide robust support for the future development of the energy storage industry.
储能在增强电网恢复能力方面发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究利用典型容量和功率的储能应用场景,结合行业研究数据和储能技术分析,计算了每千瓦时的储能成本和相关里程成本。研究结果表明,目前电化学储能的每千瓦时成本约为 0.6 至 0.9 元/(千瓦时),与广泛应用的目标成本 0.3 至 0.4 元/(千瓦时)有较大差距。因此,储能技术(EST)的发展应优先实现 "低成本、长寿命、高安全、易回收",并对系统制造、系统寿命、系统安全和回收利用进行综合评估。本文深入探讨了电池成本的变化趋势及其对千瓦时的影响,提出了降低 ESP 电站千瓦时成本的战略建议。研究强调,持续降低电池成本将有助于提高 ESP 电站的经济效益,并为储能产业的未来发展提供有力支持。
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引用次数: 0
Study on PV Power Prediction Based on VMD-IGWO-LSTM 基于 VMD-IGWO-LSTM 的光伏功率预测研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3936
Zhiwei Xu, Kexian Xiang, Bin Wang, Xianguo Li
This research proposes a combined approach for predicting photovoltaic power by integrating variational modal decomposition (VMD), an improved gray wolf optimization algorithm (IGWO), and long- and short-term memory neural network (LSTM) techniques. The model takes into account the impact of varying environmental factors on photovoltaic power and aims to enhance prediction accuracy. Firstly, the four environmental factors constraining the PV output power are decomposed into eigenfunctions (IMFs) through variational modal decomposition; then the improved gray wolf optimization algorithm is used to optimize the long and short-term memory neural network; finally, the dimensionality-reduced dataset is inputted into the LSTM neural network, and the dynamic temporal modeling and comparative analysis on the multivariate feature sequences are carried out. The results show that the VMD-LSTM model optimized by the improved Gray Wolf algorithm predicts better than the comparison models LSTM, VMD-LSTM and VMD-GWO-LSTM, and achieves the accurate prediction of time-volt power in the external environmental changes.
本研究通过整合变异模态分解(VMD)、改进的灰狼优化算法(IGWO)和长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)技术,提出了一种预测光伏发电功率的组合方法。该模型考虑了不同环境因素对光伏发电的影响,旨在提高预测精度。首先,通过变模态分解将制约光伏输出功率的四个环境因素分解为特征函数(IMF);然后采用改进的灰狼优化算法优化长短期记忆神经网络;最后,将降维后的数据集输入 LSTM 神经网络,并对多元特征序列进行动态时序建模和对比分析。结果表明,改进灰狼算法优化的 VMD-LSTM 模型的预测效果优于对比模型 LSTM、VMD-LSTM 和 VMD-GWO-LSTM,实现了对外部环境变化中时间-电压功率的准确预测。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Electricity Balance and Measurement Optimization of New Energy Power System Considering Renewable Energy Consumption Mechanism 考虑可再生能源消纳机制的新能源电力系统电力平衡与计量优化研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3935
Zhihao Guo, Yongzhi Cai, Sheng Huang, Zeming Jiang, KeFei Guan
With the rapid development of renewable energy, the new energy power system is facing the challenge of large-scale grid connection and consumption of renewable energy. In order to achieve efficient utilization and stable power supply of renewable energy, this study proposes a renewable energy consumption mechanism based on optimization methods. By establishing a power and electricity balance model, consider the relationship between different types of renewable energy generation and electricity demand. Various optimization strategies have been proposed for energy consumption issues in different scenarios, including power generation scheduling, energy storage optimization, and flexible load management. Validate the effectiveness of the proposed mechanism in terms of electricity balance and metering optimization through a model. The experimental results indicate that this mechanism can effectively enhance the renewable energy consumption capacity of the new energy power system, reduce energy waste, promote energy cleanliness and sustainable development, and has certain theoretical and practical significance for promoting the sustainable development of the new energy power system and responding to energy transformation.
随着可再生能源的快速发展,新能源电力系统面临着可再生能源大规模并网和消纳的挑战。为实现可再生能源的高效利用和稳定供电,本研究提出了基于优化方法的可再生能源消纳机制。通过建立功率和电力平衡模型,考虑不同类型可再生能源发电和电力需求之间的关系。针对不同场景下的能源消耗问题,提出了多种优化策略,包括发电调度、储能优化和灵活的负荷管理。通过模型验证所提机制在电力平衡和计量优化方面的有效性。实验结果表明,该机制能有效提升新能源电力系统的可再生能源消纳能力,减少能源浪费,促进能源清洁化和可持续发展,对促进新能源电力系统可持续发展、应对能源转型具有一定的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Superimposed Positive Sequence Impedance for Detecting Unintentional Islanding in Microgrid 用于检测微电网无意孤岛的叠加正序阻抗
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3938
Indradeo Pratap Bharti, N. Singh, Om Hari Gupta, Asheesh Kumar Singh, Vijay K. Sood
Incorporation of environmentally friendly energy sources (RESs) into the electricity grid has many benefits, including economic, technological, and environmental. However, excessive renewable energy sources (RES) in the power grid provide technical problems, including equipment protection, DG operation, and islanding detection. One of the most serious challenges is the islanding phenomenon. Islanding can cause several problems, such as frequency instability and voltage fluctuations resulting in damage to electrical equipment or threatening utility workers who may be working/accessing the equipment. This research proposes an efficient islanding detection algorithm to lessen the impact of such threats. This novel passive islanding detection scheme is based on superimposed positive sequence impedance (SPSI). For calculating the superimposed positive sequence impedance (SPSI), the voltage and current signals are obtained from targeted DG points. The scheme’s performance is tested on multiple bus systems across islanding and non-islanding conditions using a MATLAB/Simulink environment. It is shown that even in the presence of noise, the algorithm can determine an islanding decision with high accuracy and a short detection time of 84 ms. In comparison to other algorithms, it operates at zero power mismatch (ZPM) and does not affect power quality.
将环境友好型能源(RES)纳入电网有很多好处,包括经济、技术和环境方面。然而,电网中过多的可再生能源(RES)会带来技术问题,包括设备保护、DG 运行和孤岛检测。其中最严重的挑战之一就是孤岛现象。孤岛现象会导致多种问题,如频率不稳定和电压波动,从而损坏电气设备或威胁正在工作/访问设备的电力工作人员。本研究提出了一种高效的孤岛检测算法,以减少此类威胁的影响。这种新颖的被动孤岛检测方案基于叠加正序阻抗(SPSI)。为了计算叠加正序阻抗(SPSI),需要从目标 DG 点获取电压和电流信号。利用 MATLAB/Simulink 环境,在孤岛和非孤岛条件下的多母线系统上测试了该方案的性能。结果表明,即使在存在噪声的情况下,该算法也能以较高的精度和 84 毫秒的较短检测时间做出孤岛决策。与其他算法相比,该算法可在零功率失配(ZPM)条件下运行,且不会影响电能质量。
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引用次数: 0
Load Frequency Control Strategy of Interconnected Power System Based on Tube DMPC 基于管式 DMPC 的互联电力系统负载频率控制策略
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.39311
Xinshan Wang
Solar thermal power generation shares technical characteristics with traditional thermal power generation. This enables rapid adjustment of turbine generator output to meet the demands of the power grid load for frequency modulation. However, fluctuations in light intensity lead to variations in interconnected power system parameters, posing challenges for load frequency control (LFC). In this study, we propose a Robust Distributed Model Predictive Control (RDMPC) method. This method achieves system trajectory tracking by solving the nominal system optimization problem. It also flexibly adjusts the weights of different Tube models to determine the optimal control law using the standard Tube online combination with various gain values. Additionally, we incorporate the states of adjacent areas into the feedback control law to achieve effective coordination between these areas. Using MATLAB/Simulink, we simulated the power system in two areas. Compared to standard Tube DMPC, our proposed algorithm effectively mitigates the impact of light intensity, enhances adjustment speed, reduces frequency fluctuation, and demonstrates superior control effectiveness.
太阳能热发电与传统的火力发电具有相同的技术特点。这使得涡轮发电机的输出能够快速调整,以满足电网负载对频率调节的需求。然而,光照强度的波动会导致互联电力系统参数的变化,给负载频率控制(LFC)带来挑战。在本研究中,我们提出了一种鲁棒分布式模型预测控制(RDMPC)方法。该方法通过解决标称系统优化问题实现系统轨迹跟踪。它还能灵活调整不同管道模型的权重,利用标准管道在线组合与各种增益值来确定最优控制法则。此外,我们还将相邻区域的状态纳入反馈控制法,以实现这些区域之间的有效协调。我们使用 MATLAB/Simulink 模拟了两个区域的电力系统。与标准 Tube DMPC 相比,我们提出的算法能有效减轻光照强度的影响,提高调节速度,减少频率波动,并显示出卓越的控制效果。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Environmental Performance and Measurement of Smart City Power Supply Based on Non Radial Network DEA 基于非径向网络 DEA 的智慧城市供电环境绩效与测量研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3934
Ying Sun, Jiajia Huang, Fusheng Wei, Yanzhe Fu, LiangZhao He
The continuous development of smart cities has put forward higher requirements for the supply of power systems. In response to the constraints in the environmental performance and measurement of smart city power supply, this paper proposes a research model for smart city power supply environmental performance and measurement based on non-radial network DEA based on the characteristics of DEA model and distance function. This model can combine different stages of power supply to conduct more reasonable statistics and analysis of efficiency in different regions. In addition, correlation coefficients were analyzed for the impact of efficiency factors on the phase ratio in the production and sales stages of the power supply system. The research results indicate that there is a positive correlation between the output value and power generation of electricity sales and the efficiency of the electricity sales stage, with correlation coefficients of 0.57 and 0.092, respectively; The length of newly added lines, capacity of new equipment, and line loss rate are all negatively correlated with their efficiency, with correlation coefficients of −0.42, −0.12, and −0.46, respectively. Based on the above analysis, this study provides more theoretical support for the study of environmental performance and measurement of smart city power supply.
智慧城市的不断发展对电力系统的供给提出了更高的要求。针对智慧城市供电环境绩效与衡量中存在的制约因素,本文根据 DEA 模型和距离函数的特点,提出了一种基于非径向网络 DEA 的智慧城市供电环境绩效与衡量研究模型。该模型可以结合供电的不同阶段,对不同区域的供电效率进行更合理的统计和分析。此外,还分析了供电系统生产和销售阶段效率因素对相位比影响的相关系数。研究结果表明,售电产值和发电量与售电阶段效率呈正相关关系,相关系数分别为 0.57 和 0.092;新增线路长度、新增设备容量、线损率均与其效率呈负相关关系,相关系数分别为-0.42、-0.12 和-0.46。基于以上分析,本研究为智慧城市供电环境绩效研究与测量提供了更多理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Power Grid User Behavior Based on Data Mining Algorithms – System Design and Implementation 基于数据挖掘算法的电网用户行为分析 - 系统设计与实施
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3937
Yan Wang, Jiawei Xu, Xiaowen Chen, Ying Huang
A data mining based power grid user behavior analysis system has been designed to address the issues of insufficient stability and accuracy in existing power grid user behavior analysis systems. Design the overall structure of the power grid user behavior analysis system; In terms of system hardware design, select a core controller, build and install a server as the foundation for system information transmission and logical operation; Based on ZigBee wireless communication technology, a ZigBee wireless communication protocol stack and communication expansion board were designed; In terms of system software design, Python is used to crawl user behavior data in the system data collection layer, and Python language is used to maintain the crawling program; Use the K-means algorithm to perform secondary mining and clustering on power grid user behavior data, obtain the analysis results of power grid user behavior, and transmit them to the system visualization display layer. The weight and Rand coefficient of data analysis were used as indicators to test the application effect of the method in this paper. The experimental results showed that the system can stably and accurately analyze the behavior of power grid users, and has good application effect. This research achievement has important reference significance for the research in the field of power grid user behavior analysis in the world scientific community.
针对现有电网用户行为分析系统稳定性和准确性不足的问题,设计了基于数据挖掘的电网用户行为分析系统。设计电网用户行为分析系统的整体结构;在系统硬件设计方面,选择核心控制器,搭建安装服务器,作为系统信息传输和逻辑运算的基础;基于 ZigBee 无线通信技术,设计了 ZigBee 无线通信协议栈和通信扩展板;在系统软件设计方面,在系统数据采集层使用Python抓取用户行为数据,使用Python语言维护抓取程序;使用K均值算法对电网用户行为数据进行二次挖掘和聚类,得到电网用户行为分析结果,并传输到系统可视化展示层。本文以数据分析的权重和兰德系数为指标,检验该方法的应用效果。实验结果表明,该系统能够稳定、准确地分析电网用户行为,具有良好的应用效果。该研究成果对世界科学界电网用户行为分析领域的研究具有重要的参考意义。
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引用次数: 0
Two-Input Single-Output Boost Converter with Fault Tolerant Operation 具有容错操作功能的双输入单输出升压转换器
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3939
K. Karishma, A. Sivaprasad, Nithin Raj
The need for multi-input DC-DC converters is highly demanded in the context of the integration of different energy sources. When integrating several energy sources, such as batteries, solar PV arrays, fuel cells, etc., multi-input DC-DC converters preferred over multiple single-input DC-DC converters. The vast majority of MISO converters in use today only have one mode of operation, which is conventional operation using all sources. Very few MISO topologies have been presented with fault-tolerant capability. In this work, a non-isolated two-input single-output (MISO) boost converter is investigated for low-voltage DC (LVDC) applications with fault tolerant capability. The presented converter works in three modes, such as DC sources of equal values, DC sources of unequal values, and one of the DC sources that is faulty or out of order. The converter is simulated in a MATLAB/Simulink environment and experimentally validated using a scaled prototype. The outcomes demonstrate that the converter can integrate systems with two DC energy sources, accommodates DC sources of equal values, DC sources of unequal values, and works even when one of the DC sources is faulty or out of order. This work points out that the presented MISO converter would be an apt solution for integrating varying input voltage sources with fault-tolerant capability.
在整合不同能源的背景下,对多输入 DC-DC 转换器的需求非常高。在集成电池、太阳能光伏阵列、燃料电池等多种能源时,多输入 DC-DC 转换器比多个单输入 DC-DC 转换器更受欢迎。目前使用的绝大多数 MISO 转换器只有一种工作模式,即使用所有能源的常规工作模式。很少有 MISO 拓扑具有容错能力。在这项工作中,研究了一种非隔离式双输入单输出(MISO)升压转换器,适用于具有容错能力的低压直流(LVDC)应用。该转换器可在三种模式下工作,如直流源等值、直流源不等值以及其中一个直流源故障或失常。该转换器在 MATLAB/Simulink 环境中进行了仿真,并使用按比例缩小的原型进行了实验验证。实验结果表明,该转换器可集成具有两个直流电源的系统,可容纳等值直流电源和不等值直流电源,即使其中一个直流电源出现故障或失灵也能正常工作。这项工作表明,所提出的 MISO 转换器将是整合具有容错能力的不同输入电压源的合适解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Distribution Substation Topology Identification Methods 配电变电站拓扑识别方法研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3932
Weidong Hu, Zhao Bo, Chen Jie
With the advancement of digital transformation in distribution substations, a large number of smart devices are being integrated into substations. Addressing the challenges of automatic topology recognition and the issue of unstable recognition accuracy in distribution substations has become crucial. This paper proposes a substation topology recognition method based on an improved matrix approach and the Minimum Conditional Probability of Packet Loss Theorem. The improved matrix approach is utilized to calculate the topological signals, enabling automatic bottom-up topology recognition within the substation. The application of the Minimum Conditional Probability of Packet Loss Theorem in processing topological data significantly enhances the accuracy of substation topology recognition, reducing the impact of external factors on recognition accuracy. Experimental validation demonstrates that the proposed method is highly feasible and exhibits fault tolerance, indicating practical engineering applications.
随着配电变电站数字化转型的推进,大量智能设备被集成到变电站中。解决配电变电站拓扑自动识别的挑战和识别精度不稳定的问题变得至关重要。本文提出了一种基于改进矩阵方法和丢包最小条件概率定理的变电站拓扑识别方法。改进矩阵法用于计算拓扑信号,从而实现变电站内自下而上的自动拓扑识别。在处理拓扑数据时应用丢包最小条件概率定理,可显著提高变电站拓扑识别的准确性,减少外部因素对识别准确性的影响。实验验证表明,所提出的方法具有很高的可行性和容错性,可应用于实际工程中。
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引用次数: 0
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Distributed Generation & Alternative Energy Journal
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