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Best Practices in Evaluating Production Performance: A Niger Delta Case Study with Inter-Reservoir Communication 评价生产动态的最佳实践:尼日尔三角洲油藏间通信案例研究
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198854-MS
Emmanuel Mogbolu, C. Awa, J. Ekwealor, V. Jaja, O. Okereke
Uncertainty management for resource volume of a brown field is relevant. An analytical approach via dynamic model was used to evaluate this impact on a developed gas reservoir (brown) by two other reservoirs. One of them is a green oil-rim reservoir, while the other is a developed oil reservoir. This is due to sand-to-sand juxtaposition with the two reservoirs. Integration of available data over time, while considering all the reservoir uncertainties was adopted. This was buttressed by the continuous production from the gas reservoir, that had already gone past the initially evaluated Gas Initially in Place (GIIP). The brown reservoir is a highly faulted gas reservoir with twenty-seven (27) years production history, by seven wells. The reservoir's GIIP re-evaluation had been done twice over the years. This was because it had fully developed its ultimate recovery, with three wells still producing. This GIIP re-evaluation approach could no longer be utilized, as it had very good well coverage. Fault seal analysis, pressure, PVT sample and log data taken over time reveal the likelihood of communication across the stacked reservoirs. A multi-tank material balance model (MBAL) was built via a multidisciplinary approach. The model was history matched using an experimental design approach that saved time and contacts were calibrated. The result showed the quantity of hydrocarbon in both reservoirs that have flowed into the developed gas reservoir. This provides a snapshot on the resource volume impact of the reservoirs with respect to their development and uncertainty management. Revised development plans and resource booking for the reservoirs are also study outcomes. This is relevant for business decisions on resource volume booking and reservoir management. This approach is a quick win within the Well, Reservoir and Facility Management (WRFM) workspace. Further work by building a 3D simulation model and pressure data acquisition is required for robust benchmarking.
棕地资源量的不确定性管理具有重要意义。通过动态模型的分析方法,评估了另外两个气藏对已开发气藏(棕色)的影响。其中一处为绿色油环油藏,另一处为发达油藏。这是由于两个储层的砂岩并置造成的。在考虑所有油藏不确定性的同时,采用了随时间推移的现有数据整合。这得益于气藏的连续生产,气藏已经超过了最初评估的初始原地产气(GIIP)。棕褐色储层是一个具有27年生产历史的高断裂气藏,共有7口井。多年来,对该水库的GIIP进行了两次重新评价。这是因为它已经完全开发了最终采收率,有三口井仍在生产。这种GIIP重新评价方法不能再使用了,因为它有很好的油井覆盖率。随着时间的推移,断层封闭性分析、压力、PVT样本和测井数据揭示了叠层储层之间存在通信的可能性。采用多学科方法建立了多槽物料平衡模型(MBAL)。使用实验设计方法对模型进行历史匹配,节省了时间,并对触点进行了校准。结果表明,两个储层中均有大量油气流入已发育的气藏。这就提供了油藏在开发和不确定性管理方面对资源量影响的快照。研究结果还包括修订水库的发展计划和资源分配。这与资源量预订和油藏管理的业务决策有关。这种方法在油井、油藏和设施管理(WRFM)工作空间中迅速取得了成功。需要通过建立3D模拟模型和压力数据采集来进行进一步的工作,以实现稳健的基准测试。
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引用次数: 0
The Rise of Business Process Outsourcing in Nigeria's Oil and Gas Industry and Implications for Industrial Relations 尼日利亚石油和天然气行业业务流程外包的兴起及其对劳资关系的影响
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198831-MS
S. Igbatayo
Business Process Outsourcing can be aptly described as the process of forging a contractual relationship with external supplier for the provision of capacity that has been previously undertaken within an organization. In the global oil and gas industry, Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) has emerged in contemporary times as a potent tool in their operational mix. This is particularly hinged on the imperatives to find a delicate balance between rising global demand, diminishing reserves in some of the world's major oil fields, while managing distribution and operating costs. The collapse of crude oil prices from US$100.00 in May 2014 to about US$30.00 and even below in early 2016 has reinforced outsourcing. Empirical studies reveal that outsourcing of non-core activities may result in 25% cost saving associated with on-/near-site operations and as much as 50-75% for offshore operations compared to the cost of engaging in same activities in-house. Apart from cost-cutting, other benefits associated with BPO include a stronger focus on core competencies; improved regulatory conformity and compliance; as well as access to a larger talent pool and novel technologies. The oil and gas industry has emerged as the cornerstone of Nigeria's economy, accounting for about 70% of annual government revenue and more than 90% of the nation's foreign exchange reserves. Since the 1990s, outsourcing has assumed an increasing dimension in the nation's oil and gas industry. Empirical studies reveal, for example, that up until the early 1990s, employees in the oil industry comprised about 70% and 30% of permanent and temporary employees, respectively. The temporary employees were initially focused on non-core activities. However, in recent times core activities are increasingly contracted to service providers, reversing the structure of employment in the industry by 2010, with 40% of permanent employees, while 60% were permanent employees. The increasing replacement of permanent employees with temporary ones has fueled concern in the industry, led by labour unions, which have expressed concern about the sub-standard welfare of contract workers. This development has led the Federal government of Nigeria to issue guidelines on staff contracting and outsourcing in the Nigerian oil and gas industry.
业务流程外包可以恰当地描述为与外部供应商建立合同关系的过程,以提供先前在组织内承担的能力。在全球石油和天然气行业,业务流程外包(BPO)作为一种强大的工具在当今时代的运营组合中脱颖而出。这尤其取决于在全球需求上升、世界一些主要油田储量减少、以及管理分销和运营成本之间找到微妙平衡的必要性。原油价格从2014年5月的100美元暴跌至2016年初的30美元,甚至更低,这加强了外包。实证研究表明,与内部作业相比,非核心作业的外包可以节省25%的现场/近场作业成本,而海上作业的成本则高达50-75%。除了削减成本外,与业务流程外包相关的其他好处还包括更注重核心竞争力;加强监管合规;还有更大的人才库和新技术。石油和天然气行业已成为尼日利亚经济的基石,约占政府年收入的70%,占国家外汇储备的90%以上。自20世纪90年代以来,外包在美国油气行业的规模越来越大。例如,实证研究表明,直到20世纪90年代初,石油行业的员工分别占永久员工和临时员工的70%和30%。临时员工最初专注于非核心活动。然而,近年来,核心业务越来越多地外包给服务提供商,到2010年,该行业的就业结构发生了逆转,40%的固定雇员,而60%是固定雇员。越来越多的正式员工被临时员工取代,引发了以工会为首的行业担忧,工会对合同工的不达标福利表示担忧。这一发展趋势促使尼日利亚联邦政府发布了关于尼日利亚油气行业员工合同和外包的指导方针。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated Effective Stress Ratio and Stress Path Approach to Fracture Gradient Estimation for Virgin and Depleted Reservoirs 综合有效应力比和应力路径法估算原生和衰竭油藏裂缝梯度
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198855-MS
Kelvin Okpako, Olayinka David
The days of easy hydrocarbon Exploration and Production are fast disappearing in the petroleum business. Today, the industry is saddled with the task to sustain world hydrocarbon resources to meet current and future energy demands. This has resulted in prospecting for hydrocarbon in deep hydrocarbon plays or accumulations at much deeper depths in the Earth's subsurface. These deep hydrocarbon plays are sometimes below brown fields with significant production from reservoirs that are depleted and below hydrostatic pressure. Exploiting these deep plays requires wells that could traverse these depleted reservoirs, as well as other virgin reservoirs. These plays are often associated with abnormal formation pressures, with reduced drilling margins, defined by elevated formation pressures and fracture gradients. These pore pressures and fracture gradients information drive the well design and delivery (i.e. mud schedule, casing scheme, and rig/wellhead equipment selection). Thus, in well design and delivery, drilling operations should be planned to manage the different pressure regimes and transition zones to be encountered during drilling. Recently, several Health, Safety, and Environmental (HSE) incidents have been recorded across the globe from well control related incidents that affected lives, assets, and the environment, because formation strength integrity was compromised during oil/gas well operations. One key factor in ensuring that wells are drilled and completed to desired depth without well control incidents is a proper estimation of the formation strength or pressure containment of the open-hole formation during well operations – this is defined by the formation fracture gradient. The main objective of this paper is to propose a new methodology to estimate fracture gradients based on the application of two different methods for virgin and depleted reservoirs: i.e. the Effective Stress Ratio and the Stress Path methods, respectively. These methods were adapted to the Niger Delta in an integrated modeling workflow as proposed in Reservoir GeoMechanics literature (see ref. #6). Uncertainty management relating to their broad application of this workflow to all onshore/shallow offshore wells/fields has been managed by incorporating a new calibration function to validate the estimated fracture gradients using the actual Leak-Off Test (LOT) data, taken from offset or nearby wells in the formation of interest or its analogue. In this paper, 120 LOT data from existing wells drilled across 36 onshore fields in Niger Delta were used to determine a correlation between the ratios of the horizontal/vertical effective stresses and depth. This was then used in the Effective Stress Ratio (ESR) workflow for fracture gradient estimation to obtain the in-situ/original fracture gradient of the formation. This defines the static condition and stress state of the formation and sets the scene for the estimation of the current fracture gradient in the Reserv
石油行业轻松勘探和生产碳氢化合物的日子正在迅速消失。如今,油气行业肩负着维持世界碳氢化合物资源以满足当前和未来能源需求的任务。这导致了在深层油气区或地球地下更深处的油气聚集区寻找油气。这些深层油气油气藏有时位于棕色油田下方,这些油田的油藏已经枯竭,且低于静水压力。开发这些深层储层需要钻过这些枯竭的储层和其他未开发的储层。这些油气藏通常与异常地层压力有关,由于地层压力和裂缝梯度升高,钻井裕度降低。这些孔隙压力和裂缝梯度信息决定了井的设计和交付(例如泥浆计划、套管方案和钻机/井口设备的选择)。因此,在井的设计和交付过程中,钻井作业应该计划好,以管理钻井过程中可能遇到的不同压力区和过渡区。最近,由于油气井作业过程中地层强度完整性受到破坏,全球范围内发生了多起与井控相关的健康、安全和环境(HSE)事故,这些事故影响了生命、资产和环境。确保钻完井达到预期深度而不发生井控事故的一个关键因素是在作业过程中对裸眼地层的地层强度或压力控制进行适当的估计,这是由地层破裂梯度决定的。本文的主要目的是在有效应力比法和应力路径法两种不同方法的基础上,提出一种新的裂缝梯度估计方法。这些方法适用于尼日尔三角洲油藏地质力学文献中提出的综合建模工作流程(参见参考文献#6)。该工作流程广泛应用于所有陆上/浅海井/油田,通过整合新的校准功能,利用实际的泄漏测试(LOT)数据验证估计的裂缝梯度,这些数据来自感兴趣地层或类似地层的邻井或附近井。本文使用了尼日尔三角洲36个陆上油田的120口现有井的LOT数据,以确定水平/垂直有效应力比与深度之间的相关性。然后将其用于有效应力比(ESR)工作流程中进行裂缝梯度估计,以获得地层的原位/原始裂缝梯度。这定义了地层的静态条件和应力状态,并为油藏应力路径建模工作流程中当前裂缝梯度的估计设定了场景,该工作流程考虑了地层的动态条件/应力状态,在考虑后期制作和时间推移效应的情况下,提供了更稳健和准确的裂缝梯度估计。此外,这种新方法是一种重大改进,从使用依赖深度的裂缝梯度模型到集成现场参数的模型;即地块、覆盖层/地应力、孔隙压力变化以及相关岩石性质,这些特征描述了地层的地质力学状态。该方法在尼日尔三角洲的一些油气田进行了验证,并将结果与这些油田的LOT数据的测量值进行了比较。结果比较很好,对新方法有很好的信心。应用该方法可以对计划井的钻前裂缝梯度值进行可靠和稳健的预测。它的意义在于井的设计和安全交付,井将在正常和异常压力下穿过未开发地层和枯竭地层,在压力过渡区有大到小的钻井窗口。
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引用次数: 1
Bottom-Hole Pressure Estimation from Wellhead Data Using Artificial Neural Network 基于人工神经网络的井口数据井底压力估算
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198762-MS
O. Akinsete, Blessing Adetoye Adesiji
Accurate pressure losses prediction for flow in tubing installations is of great importance in the petroleum industry. Historically, the Bottom-Hole Pressure (BHP) determination was obtained using down-hole pressure gauges, because of the economic disadvantage and redundancy, this procedure seems to be less effective, this led to the adoption of the BHP prediction process in estimation. The wide acceptance of data-driven analytics makes the estimation procedure a valid approach in the industry today. Recently, the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), a technique which has been widely accepted because the model proved to predict better than the conventional correlations. This present work aims to develop a prediction model for BHP based on input and output data obtained from the Volve production field in Norway. Machine learning algorithm based on ANN was used to predict and further improve the accuracy of the prediction while considering a large production dataset from different wells of the field. In developing the model, the initial dataset was processed to about 2,500 data points; the model was trained, tested and cross-validated based on the parameters from the data. Results affirmed that ANN has the ability to handle large dataset, results also revealed that ANN outperformed other models, with a Coefficient of Determination of 0.99997, Root Mean Squared Error of 0.07405 and Mean Absolute Error of 0.02657, which shows high predictability of the model. These results indicated that the ANN model gives a better prediction of BHP when compared to other mechanistic models. Finally, this work supports the claim, that Production engineers can accurately predict the pressure at the sand-face of a producing well without the use of expensive BHP gauge.
在石油工业中,准确预测油管内流动的压力损失具有重要意义。过去,井底压力(BHP)的确定是通过井下压力表获得的,由于经济上的缺点和冗余性,这种方法似乎不太有效,这导致了在估计中采用BHP预测过程。数据驱动分析的广泛接受使评估过程成为当今行业中有效的方法。近年来,人工神经网络(ANN)被广泛接受,因为它的模型被证明比传统的相关性预测更好。目前的工作旨在根据从挪威Volve生产油田获得的输入和输出数据,为必和必拓开发一个预测模型。利用基于人工神经网络的机器学习算法进行预测,并在考虑油田不同井的大型生产数据集的情况下进一步提高预测的准确性。在开发模型的过程中,最初的数据集被处理到大约2500个数据点;基于数据中的参数对模型进行训练、测试和交叉验证。结果证实了人工神经网络具有处理大数据集的能力,结果也表明人工神经网络优于其他模型,其决定系数为0.99997,均方根误差为0.07405,平均绝对误差为0.02657,表明模型具有较高的可预测性。这些结果表明,与其他机制模型相比,人工神经网络模型可以更好地预测BHP。最后,这项工作支持了生产工程师可以在不使用昂贵的BHP测量仪的情况下准确预测生产井的砂面压力的说法。
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引用次数: 9
Safety and Economic Assessment of the Voltaian Basin Project 伏尔泰盆地工程的安全与经济评价
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198820-MS
E. B. B. Fuah, F. Otoo, W. Anthony
The Voltaian basin, Ghana's largest inland basin is the least explored of the sedimentary basins in Ghana. Based on past reconnaissance surveys, albeit limited survey data, the basin is believed to have prospects of hydrocarbon reserves. The government has therefore renewed interest in the Voltaian Basin Project (VBP) to prepare and promote the basin to allow hydrocarbon exploitation activities. Ghana National Petroleum Corporation (GNPC), has been tasked to undertake this project. This paper undertook a safety assessment of the VBP and post VBP, and also examined its economic impact on the Ghanaian economy using standard risk management techniques and economic modelling respectively. It was deduced that a combination of high to low levels of risk exist in all phases of the project. Out of 64 hazards identified with the VBP and post VBP, three (3) were found to be of high risk, fifty-one (51) of medium risk and ten (10) of low risk. These risks range from gas leakage, through cement plug failure to slips, trips and falls. However, with appropriate mitigation measures such as routine inspection, routine maintenance and repairs, organizing periodic training programs and ensuring a robust Safety Management System, these risks could be reduced to the barest minimum, if not eliminated. The project is therefore a safe endeavour. In the event of commercial discovery, based on reliable data and informed estimations, the project was observed to accrue net earnings based on net present value for all stakeholders in the sums of at least $18.8 billion, $2.5 billion and $23.8 billion for government, GNPC and International Oil Companies respectively after ten (10) years of production. The project, if successful, would contribute immensely to the development of the Ghanaian economy. It is expected to replenish the country's declining reserves, provide a comparatively cheaper means of hydrocarbon exploitation, help build the capacity of the national oil company for operatorship in Exploration and Production operations and enhance Ghana's energy supply, bridging the demand gap.
伏尔泰盆地是加纳最大的内陆盆地,也是加纳勘探最少的沉积盆地。根据过去的勘测,尽管勘测数据有限,但认为该盆地具有油气储量的前景。因此,政府重新对Voltaian盆地项目(VBP)产生了兴趣,以准备和促进该盆地的油气开采活动。加纳国家石油公司(GNPC)受命承担这个项目。本文对VBP和VBP后进行了安全评估,并分别使用标准风险管理技术和经济模型研究了其对加纳经济的经济影响。由此推断,在项目的所有阶段中存在着从高到低的风险组合。在确定的与VBP和VBP后相关的64种危险中,3种为高风险,51种为中等风险,10种为低风险。这些风险包括气体泄漏、水泥塞失效、滑倒、起下钻和坠落。然而,通过适当的缓解措施,如例行检查、例行维护和维修、组织定期培训计划和确保健全的安全管理系统,这些风险即使不能消除,也可以减少到最低限度。因此,这个项目是安全的。在商业发现的情况下,根据可靠的数据和知情的估计,该项目观察到,在生产十(10)年后,根据净现值,所有利益相关者的净收益将分别为政府、GNPC和国际石油公司带来至少188亿美元、25亿美元和238亿美元的净利润。该项目如果成功,将极大地促进加纳经济的发展。预计它将补充该国不断下降的储量,提供一种相对便宜的碳氢化合物开采手段,帮助建设国家石油公司从事勘探和生产业务的能力,并增加加纳的能源供应,弥补需求缺口。
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引用次数: 0
Production Restoration Through Innovative Sourcing of Lift Gas - Jacket X Case Study 通过创新的举升气体采购来恢复生产——X套管案例研究
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198834-MS
A. Ganiyu, A. Ochi, Olufemi Adebayo, Awotiku Oluwabiyi, Ibeh Chijioke
Gas lift is one of the most common and economical methods of artificial lift deployed in mature oil fields in the Niger Delta. Availability of lift gas on the oil production jacket or platform is a critical enabler for gas lift initiation. Most mature fields do not have the luxury of gas lift supply on its jackets either because gas flowlines were not laid at inception or the gas flowlines are out-of-service due to integrity issues. Jacket X had four active oil well streams producing on natural flow at inception. In early 2017, these wells stopped production one after the other due to low tubing head pressure (LTHP) because of increasing watercut and declining reservoir pressure. The wells were producing at a combined rate of over 1,000 barrels of oil per day (BOPD) prior to stopping production. Well diagnostic and preliminary Nodal Analysis revealed the need to place the wells on gas lift to improve the vertical lift performance. However, this could not be executed as jacket X was not on the field gas lift flowline network. Without conventional lift gas on Jacket X, it was imperative to source for the most economic means of getting gas on the jacket. This paper highlights the processes and methodology of sourcing lift gas through an existing idle wellbore. During the bi-anual field review, the team of Operations personnel, Facilities Engineering and Asset Management reviewed and mapped out low cost strategy to restore production of the shut-in wells. Since most of these wells stopped production due to LTHP, improving vertical lift performance became the critical success factor. To address this issue economically, the asset team developed an ingenious method of sourcing the required lift gas on the same Jacket X through rigless well intervention on one of the existing idle wellbores. The innovative approach deployed involved identification of gas bearing reservoir in one of the idle wellbores, cement squeeze operations to provide zonal isolation, oriented perforation of identified gas reservoir, topside modification of existing wellhead configuration and eventual supply of lift gas to the casing of the shut-in wells. Utilizing the lift gas, the wells were placed on gas lift with 1,100 barrels of oil and 3.5 MMScfd of gas restored to production. Significant cost savings were realized during the execution of this project through the application of rigless interventions which eliminated the requirement of laying new flowlines to deliver required lift gas to Jacket X. Finally, this paper will share some of the challenges, lesson learned, and best practices adopted while executing this project.
气举是尼日尔三角洲成熟油田最常用、最经济的人工举升方法之一。采油夹套或平台上的举升气体的可用性是气举启动的关键因素。大多数成熟油田的套管上都没有气举供应,这要么是因为天然气管道在一开始就没有铺设,要么是因为天然气管道由于完整性问题而停止使用。套管X在开始时有4口活跃的油井流在自然流动中生产。2017年初,由于含水增加和油藏压力下降,这些井相继停产,原因是油管头压力(LTHP)低。在停产之前,这些井的总产量超过1000桶/天。井诊断和初步节点分析表明,需要将井置于气举状态,以提高垂直举升性能。然而,由于套套X不在现场气举管线网络上,因此无法执行此操作。由于没有使用传统的举升气体,因此必须寻找最经济的方法来为导管套提供气体。本文重点介绍了通过现有的闲置井眼寻找举升气的过程和方法。在两年一次的现场评估中,作业人员、设施工程和资产管理团队进行了评估,并制定了低成本的策略,以恢复关井的生产。由于大多数井由于LTHP而停产,因此提高垂直举升性能成为成功的关键因素。为了经济地解决这个问题,资产团队开发了一种巧妙的方法,通过对现有闲置井眼的无钻机干预,在同一套X上获得所需的举升气体。采用的创新方法包括在闲置井眼中识别含气储层,进行水泥挤压作业以实现层间隔离,对已识别的气藏进行定向射孔,对现有井口结构进行上层改造,并最终向关井的套管提供举升气。利用举升气,这些井进行了气举作业,生产了1100桶石油和350万立方英尺/天的天然气。在项目实施过程中,通过采用无钻机干预措施,实现了显著的成本节约,省去了铺设新管线将所需的举升气体输送到夹克x的要求。最后,本文将分享在执行该项目时所面临的一些挑战、经验教训和最佳实践。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Rock Failure Models for The Determination of a Safe Mud Weight Window During Drilling Operations in The Niger Delta 尼日尔三角洲钻井作业中确定安全泥浆比重窗口的岩石破坏模型评价
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198826-MS
Chioma Ogbechie Success
Unstable boreholes due to tensile & shear failure results in serious drilling problems. This increases the non-productive time spent in the field and the cost of reviving failed wells in the oil and gas industry in order to mitigate or prevent borehole failure, different rock strength criteria models have been developed to predict the optimum required mud weight but unfortunately, not all models fit for all formation considering the different drilling conditions, hence these models need to be evaluated to check their validity and accuracy for drilling stable wells in the Niger Delta. To achieve this purpose, collapse and fracture pressure that defines the lower and upper boundary of a mud weight window are calculated using derived formula equations from three failure criteria models; Hoek-Brown failure criterion, Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion and Mogi-Coulomb criterion failure criterion. This is achieved using Microsoft Excel and the simulation is done on a plot to show the different mud window by each model for comparison. The input parameters relevant for this study are pore pressure, in-situ stress data and rock mechanical properties which were acquired from a high-pressured zone in an xxx-onshore oilfield of the Niger Delta. A plot of the predicted optimum mud weight vs the actual mud weight against depth is compared to check the accuracy of each model to conclude on the failure criterion that is best fit for the formation in this field. The results showed that Hoek-Brown failure criterion gave an unrealistic outcome, when used to drill will lead to borehole breakout. Mohr-Coulomb and 3D Mogi-Coulomb criteria gave similar results which can be used but Mogi-Coulomb is recommended for drilling stabilized vertical wells due to the consideration of intermediate principal stress effect on rock strength over the conservative Mohr-Coulomb.
由于拉伸和剪切破坏导致的不稳定钻孔会导致严重的钻井问题。为了减轻或防止井眼破坏,这增加了油田的非生产时间和恢复失败井的成本,已经开发了不同的岩石强度标准模型来预测所需的最佳泥浆比重,但不幸的是,考虑到不同的钻井条件,并非所有模型都适合所有地层。因此,需要对这些模型进行评估,以检验其在尼日尔三角洲钻井稳定井中的有效性和准确性。为了实现这一目的,利用从三种破坏准则模型中导出的公式方程,计算确定泥浆比重窗口上下边界的崩溃和破裂压力;Hoek-Brown破坏准则、Mohr-Coulomb破坏准则和Mogi-Coulomb破坏准则。这是使用Microsoft Excel实现的,并在一个图上进行模拟,以显示每个模型的不同泥浆窗口以进行比较。与本研究相关的输入参数是孔隙压力、地应力数据和岩石力学特性,这些数据来自尼日尔三角洲xxx-陆上油田的一个高压带。将预测的最佳泥浆比重与实际的泥浆比重随深度的变化进行比较,以检查每个模型的准确性,从而得出最适合该油田地层的失效准则。结果表明,Hoek-Brown破坏准则给出的结果不切实际,在钻孔时将导致井眼破裂。Mohr-Coulomb准则和3D Mogi-Coulomb准则给出了类似的结果,可以使用,但由于考虑了中间主应力对岩石强度的影响,相对于保守的Mohr-Coulomb准则,建议使用Mogi-Coulomb准则钻井稳定直井。
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引用次数: 1
Macroeconomic, Sectoral and Distributional Impact of Gas Monetization Policy in Nigeria: A CGE Application 尼日利亚天然气货币化政策的宏观经济、部门和分配影响:CGE应用
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198809-MS
Emmanuel O. Agiaye
The Nigerian gas market experienced growth in recent years due to the gas development policies of the government such as the Nigerian gas master plan. Nevertheless, the gas supply and utilization per capita has barely changed while policy objectives are largely unfulfilled. A new national gas policy 2017 recognized a full-blown energy crises in Nigeria in spite of its abundant gas resources. It thereby aims to increase gas utilization with more contribution to GDP, grow key sectors of the economy and reduce gas flaring to 2 percent. A policy of the magnitude of gas monetization policy a posteriori would have significant positive or negative impacts on macroeconomic, sectoral and distributional indicators. Is gas monetization policy good for all all? Employing the comparative static CGE model, this study carries out evaluation of increased gas supply on the Nigeria economy from 80 percent flare gas reduction and 30 percent reduction in direct tax rate on production. Results show that increased gas supply from flareout have positive influences on economic growth but slowed down with application of production tax incentives. The GDP, real investments, government revenues and sectors experienced growths except agriculture and transport sectors. The drop in average consumer prices encouraged household consumption as well as increased welfare. The study established causal relationship between increased gas utilization and economic growth. Efforts in driving the gas flaredown of monetization policy should be facilitated. The government shall exercise caution to ensure protection of the economy to guarantee proportionate health of the sectors that were negatively impacted such as agriculture and transport.
由于尼日利亚天然气总体规划等政府的天然气开发政策,尼日利亚天然气市场近年来经历了增长。然而,人均天然气供应和利用几乎没有变化,政策目标基本上没有实现。2017年新的国家天然气政策承认,尽管尼日利亚拥有丰富的天然气资源,但该国仍面临全面的能源危机。因此,它的目标是提高天然气利用率,对GDP做出更大贡献,发展关键经济部门,并将天然气燃除率降至2%。事后的天然气货币化政策将对宏观经济、部门和分配指标产生重大的积极或消极影响。天然气货币化政策对所有人都有利吗?本研究采用比较静态CGE模型,通过减少80%的火炬气和减少30%的生产直接税率,对尼日利亚经济增加的天然气供应进行了评估。研究结果表明,因燃除而增加的天然气供应对经济增长有积极影响,但由于生产税收优惠的实施而放缓。国内生产总值、实际投资、政府收入和除农业和运输部门外的其他部门均出现增长。平均消费价格的下降鼓励了家庭消费,也增加了福利。该研究建立了天然气利用增加与经济增长之间的因果关系。应促进推动货币化政策的努力。政府应谨慎行事,确保对经济的保护,以保证农业和运输等受到负面影响的部门的相应健康。
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引用次数: 0
Data Envelopment Analysis DEA of Natural Gas Utilization in Nigeria 尼日利亚天然气利用数据包络分析DEA
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198783-MS
Lolo Ojaraida, O. Iledare, Adekunle J. Idowu
Nigeria has huge natural gas resources, yet there is a great concern on the availability of natural gas supply for primary energy requirement to power its economy. This paper focuses on evaluating the efficiency of natural gas utilization in Nigeria from 1995 to 2017. Its purpose is to evaluate gas use with respect to industrial development and susceptibility of GDP to a sudden decrease in natural gas production. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), which is a mathematical (optimization) tool for assessing the relative efficiencies of decision making units (DMU), was applied to show that natural gas is not fully utilized in Nigeria and has thus impacted economic growth negatively. The vulnerability indexes for the period under consideration were high, suggesting that Nigeria is not self-sufficient in natural gas. In addition, there is strong evidence from empirical results to suggest that as gas consumption increases GDP rises as well. This implies that a right policy framework and implementation strategies need to be in place to advance Nigeria's economic growth aspiration.
尼日利亚拥有丰富的天然气资源,但人们对天然气供应的可用性非常担忧,因为天然气供应是推动其经济发展的一次能源需求。本文重点评价了尼日利亚1995 - 2017年的天然气利用效率。其目的是评价天然气使用对工业发展的影响以及国内生产总值对天然气产量突然减少的敏感性。数据包络分析(DEA)是一种评估决策单元(DMU)相对效率的数学(优化)工具,该分析表明,尼日利亚的天然气没有得到充分利用,因此对经济增长产生了负面影响。考虑到这一时期的脆弱性指数很高,这表明尼日利亚在天然气方面无法自给自足。此外,从实证结果中有强有力的证据表明,随着天然气消费量的增加,GDP也会上升。这意味着需要制定正确的政策框架和实施战略,以推进尼日利亚的经济增长愿望。
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引用次数: 1
Retrofit Gas Lift Deployment for Oil Production Optimization in Onshore Niger Delta: A Case Study of EROTON E & P Oil Fields 尼日尔三角洲陆上油气产量优化改造气举部署——以EROTON e&p油田为例
Pub Date : 2019-08-05 DOI: 10.2118/198790-MS
O. Emeka, Y. Adeeyo, A. Etim, Opeyemi Oluwalade, Onyema Ohabuike, Uzoamaka Okene, Leziga Bakor, I. Ukauku, Niyi Afolabi, Jolomi Esimaje
OML 18, operated by Eroton Exploration and Production Company (EROTON E&P) and located within the Coastal Swamp of Eastern Niger Delta contains several producing fields. As a brown asset with over 50 years historical production and ageing infrastructure, rapidly declining oil production caused by rising water cut and depleting reservoir pressure has become a normal feature for most of the reservoirs in the block. There arises therefore, urgent need to maximize the value of these mature fields by deploying fit for purpose and cost-effective technologies and methods. Thus, we deployed artificial lift technique using the abundant associated gas resources within the asset as one method of managing the rapid decline in oil production. Gas lift is a robust and inexpensive artificial lift solution which can be deployed at any period in the life-cycle of a well. The natural reservoir energy to move liquids to the surface through a well at expected rates declines with production time. Changing well and reservoir conditions, such as declining pressure, increasing gas liquid ratios and rising water cut can make consistent and predictable oil production a challenge. A review of the entire wells portfolio within the asset enabled an identification of all potential candidates with potential to benefit from gas lift installation. This was followed by feasibility studies to establish a connection between the magnitude of expected oil resources to be added, the oil rate potential, the existing completion status and surface facility equipment availability such as compression, gas lines and scrubbers etc. Screening of identified opportunities, often conducted in multi-disciplinary review sessions, yielded ranked list of opportunities for further maturation through design, execution and operation. Three (3) fields with over 60 wells and 38 developed reservoirs were selected for the review. The screening criteria included but not limited to reserves to be added, ease of execution, economics and regulatory approval requirements. Since these wells were not originally equipped with gas lift mandrel, alternative means of deploying gas lift equipment downhole had to be designed and implemented. Considering the advanced age of most of the wells, due consideration was given to well integrity in the final execution decision. Despite inherent challenges, EROTON was able to successfully deploy in-house technical knowledge and experience to embark on rigless well intervention campaign to restore production using retrofit gas lift equipment in existing wells, which have ceased to flow due to vertical lift issues, thus extending the life of the wells. We have successfully performed a safe and commercially viable production restoration exercise, returning a total of twelve (12) wells back to full production potential and achieving the well intervention objectives. The operation has accelerated production adding over 5,000 bopd. This paper will discuss the concept of brown fiel
OML 18由Eroton勘探与生产公司(Eroton E&P)运营,位于尼日尔三角洲东部沿海沼泽,包含几个生产油田。作为具有50多年生产历史和基础设施老化的棕色资产,由于含水率上升和储层压力下降导致的产油量迅速下降已成为该区块大多数油藏的正常特征。因此,迫切需要通过采用适合目的和具有成本效益的技术和方法来最大化这些成熟油田的价值。因此,我们采用了人工举升技术,利用该资产内丰富的伴生气资源,作为控制石油产量快速下降的一种方法。气举是一种坚固且廉价的人工举升解决方案,可以在油井生命周期的任何阶段进行部署。随着生产时间的推移,将液体以预期速率从井中移至地面的天然储层能量会下降。不断变化的井和储层条件,如压力下降、气液比增加、含水率上升等,会给稳定和可预测的石油产量带来挑战。对该资产内的所有井组合进行了审查,确定了所有可能从气举装置中受益的潜在候选井。随后进行可行性研究,以确定预期增加的石油资源的大小、石油产量潜力、现有完井状态和地面设施设备的可用性(如压缩、天然气管道和洗涤器等)之间的联系。筛选已确定的机会,通常在多学科审查会议中进行,通过设计、执行和操作产生进一步成熟的机会排名。选择了3个油田,60余口井,38个已开发油藏进行了评价。筛选标准包括但不限于新增准备金、执行难易程度、经济效益和监管审批要求。由于这些井最初没有配备气举心轴,因此必须设计和实施在井下部署气举设备的替代方法。考虑到大多数井的井龄较长,在最终的执行决策中充分考虑了井的完整性。尽管存在固有的挑战,EROTON仍然能够成功地利用内部的技术知识和经验,在现有的由于垂直举升问题而停止生产的井中,利用改造后的气举升设备,开展无钻机修井活动,恢复生产,从而延长了井的寿命。我们已经成功地进行了一次安全且具有商业可行性的生产恢复试验,总共使12口井恢复了全部生产潜力,并实现了油井干预目标。此次作业使产量增加了5000多桶/天。本文将讨论通过改造气举延长棕地寿命的概念、所采用的工作流程和精选现场实例的结果。RAMA油田BAKU-07井作为该方法成功恢复的候选井之一,进行了进一步的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
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