Background: It is unknown whether nR value [(ALT or AST/ULN) ÷ (AP/ULN)] ≥ 5 is better than alkaline phosphatase less than twice the upper limit of normal (AP < 2x ULN) in identifying hepatocellular drug-induced liver injury (HC DILI) consistent with Hy's law in clinical trials.
Objective: We aimed to compare nR value ≥ 5 and AP < 2x ULN in clinical trial DILI cases with ALT or AST ≥ 3x ULN and total bilirubin (TB) > 2x ULN.
Methods: We retrospectively categorized clinical trial, DILI cases from July 2020 to April 2024 with ALT or AST ≥ 3x ULN and jaundice as meeting nR value ≥ 5, AP < 2x ULN, both, or neither. We determined positive predictive values (PPVs) and sensitivities for HC DILI-related fatality (death or liver transplant) and acute liver failure (ALF).
Results: Of 1314 liver injuries across 73 drug applications, 294 (22%) were attributed to DILI; 55 had ALT or AST ≥ 3x ULN and TB > 2x ULN. We excluded three cases (Gilbert's, high baseline enzymes, hepatitis B reactivation). Of 52 remaining, 16 (31%) met nR ≥ 5, five (10%) AP < 2x ULN, 21 (40%) both, and 10 (19%) neither. There were four DILI fatalities. Excluding one cholestatic fatality, nR ≥ 5 and AP < 2x ULN had PPVs for HC DILI fatality of 8 and 4%, respectively; sensitivities were 100 and 33%, respectively. One patient survived HC DILI-related ALF. Including this ALF case with the fatalities, nR ≥ 5 and AP < 2x ULN had PPVs of 11 and 4%, respectively; sensitivities were 100 and 25%, respectively. All fatalities and ALF cases were due to different drugs.
Conclusion: While the number of cases with the most severe DILI outcomes was small, particularly those that resulted in fatalities or ALF, nR ≥ 5 better approximated Hy's Law and was more sensitive than AP < 2x ULN in detecting fatalities and ALF.
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