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Redefining Bankfull Stage Using Machine Learning Prediction in a Large Lowland River 在大型低地河流中使用机器学习预测重新定义河岸阶段
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70211
Amobichukwu C. Amanambu, Joann Mossa, Yin-Hsuen Chen

Understanding and predicting bankfull stage is essential for geomorphic analysis, hydraulic modelling and river corridor management, especially regarding floods and connectivity. This study evaluates traditional geomorphic and hydrologic methods and introduces a machine learning (ML) approach to predict bankfull stage along the upper Apalachicola River, Florida, United States. First, we integrated LiDAR point cloud data with a 2010 hydrographic survey through a triangular irregular network (TIN) following coordinate transformation, producing a 1.5-m resolution digital elevation model (DEM) that captures riverbed elevation. After extracting cross-sections, we applied two geomorphic methods, Width-to-Depth Ratio (WDR) and Hydraulic Mean Depth (HMD), and three (1.1-, 1.5-, 2.0-year) hydrologic return intervals to 344 cross-sections to determine bankfull stage and assessed their agreement with visual and field-verified bankfull elevations. A refined HMD method using shape ratio (Rs) and slope inflection corrections improved geomorphic estimates in 131 cross-sections. Bankfull estimates based on return intervals exhibited substantially lower reliability relative to geomorphic methods, with associated confidence levels falling below 70%. This reduced performance is attributable to stage-based spatial averaging and limited sensitivity to local topographic variability. By contrast, the geomorphic methods (WDR and HMD) achieved confidence levels exceeding 95%, underscoring their stronger agreement and robustness. To improve accuracy, we developed ML models: Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB) and Ensemble model trained on cross-sectional elevation profiles and engineered features such as cross-sectional area, top width, maximum depth, symmetry, etc. The GB model outperformed all others (R2 = 0.94, MSE = 0.21), with feature importance analysis revealing that elevation at the top bank as well as channel area, top width and maximum depth dominated predictions. While this study advances the integration of ML into fluvial systems and provides a replicable framework for large rivers with limited hydrologic data, we recommend that multiple ML models be evaluated across individual reaches to account for the unique geomorphic and hydraulic characteristics of each river reach.

了解和预测河岸阶段对地貌分析、水力建模和河流走廊管理至关重要,特别是在洪水和连通性方面。本研究评估了传统的地貌学和水文学方法,并引入了机器学习(ML)方法来预测美国佛罗里达州阿巴拉契科拉河上游的河岸阶段。首先,我们将LiDAR点云数据与2010年的水文调查数据结合起来,通过三角形不规则网络(TIN)进行坐标转换,生成1.5米分辨率的数字高程模型(DEM),该模型捕获了河床高程。在提取剖面后,我们应用了两种地貌学方法,即宽度与深度比(WDR)和水力平均深度(HMD),以及三个(1.1年、1.5年、2.0年)水文回归间隔,对344个剖面进行了确定河岸的阶段,并评估了它们与目测和现场验证的河岸高程的一致性。利用形状比(Rs)和坡度弯曲修正的改进HMD方法改进了131个断面的地貌估算。与地貌学方法相比,基于回报间隔的Bankfull估计的可靠性要低得多,相关置信度低于70%。这种性能下降是由于基于阶段的空间平均和对局部地形变化的有限敏感性。相比之下,地貌方法(WDR和HMD)的置信水平超过95%,表明它们具有更强的一致性和稳健性。为了提高准确性,我们开发了ML模型:随机森林(RF)、梯度增强(GB)和集成模型,这些模型是在横截面高程剖面和工程特征(如横截面面积、顶宽、最大深度、对称性等)上训练的。GB模型优于所有其他模型(R2 = 0.94, MSE = 0.21),特征重要性分析显示,顶部银行的海拔以及通道面积,顶部宽度和最大深度主导了预测。虽然这项研究推进了ML与河流系统的整合,并为水文数据有限的大型河流提供了一个可复制的框架,但我们建议在单个河段评估多个ML模型,以考虑每个河段独特的地貌和水力特征。
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引用次数: 0
Bedload regime transition detected with seismic measurements during flood events in a morphodynamically active Alpine river 在一条形态动力学活跃的高山河流中,用地震测量检测洪水期间的层载变化
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70208
Adèle Johannot, Florent Gimbert, Firmin Fontaine, Alain Recking

Sediment transport is a key process that strongly influences river morphology but remains difficult to measure and understand, especially during floods in mountainous regions. The paper aims to detect and interpret changes in bedload transport regimes during high-magnitude flood events in an Alpine braided reach (La Séveraisse, French Alps) using continuous seismic monitoring. For the seven investigated floods identified over the 5 years of record, we observe a consistent break in the scaling relationship between the low-frequency seismic power and the high-frequency seismic power, suggesting a change in bedload transport regime linked to sediment mobility. Using time-lapse cameras and hydrological conditions, we find this breakpoint is associated with significant morphological changes occurring at Shields stress ratios approaching a critical value of 2. Based on these results and existing literature, we suggest the break in seismic power corresponds to a transition in bedload regime associated with the disruption of the bed armour layer and particle dynamics being highly influenced by grain–grain interactions. This study demonstrates that changes in sediment transport regime can be accurately identified from seismic observations near rivers, furthering our understanding of the links between sediment transport and channel morphology dynamics.

泥沙输运是影响河流形态的关键过程,但仍难以测量和理解,特别是在山区洪水期间。本文旨在利用连续地震监测,探测和解释阿尔卑斯编织河段(La ssamuveraisse,法国阿尔卑斯山脉)高震级洪水事件中河床输运机制的变化。对于5年记录的7次调查洪水,我们观察到低频地震功率和高频地震功率之间的标度关系一致中断,这表明与沉积物流动性相关的河床输运机制发生了变化。利用延时相机和水文条件,我们发现这个断点与盾应力比接近临界值2时发生的显著形态变化有关。基于这些结果和现有文献,我们认为地震功率的中断对应于与床甲层破坏和颗粒动力学高度受颗粒-颗粒相互作用影响相关的层载状态的转变。该研究表明,通过地震观测可以准确地识别河流附近泥沙输运状态的变化,从而进一步了解泥沙输运与河道形态动力学之间的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Desert pavements: A hidden key to Earth surface processes 沙漠路面:地球表面过程的隐藏钥匙
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70213
Markus Fuchs, Michael Dietze, Alexander Brenning, Daniela Sauer, Kerstin Schepanski, Dirk Wagner

Desert pavements are a global phenomenon in arid environments, representing one of the most extensive geomorphological and geoecological features on Earth. To a large extent, they determine the interplay of key processes governing current and past landscape dynamics including landform evolution, surface runoff, soil water dynamics, weathering and soil formation, microbial processes, dust deposition and entrainment into the atmosphere. Hence, desert pavements and their future trajectories of change have a strong local to global impact on coupled Earth system components. However, knowledge of the comprehensive role that desert pavements play in the Earth surface–atmosphere system is still limited, and a profound interdisciplinary understanding of their evolution, spatial extent, microbiological processes, and inherent environmental feedback mechanisms is lacking. This article provides an overview of the current state of knowledge of desert pavements as an important Earth system component and offers an interdisciplinary perspective on the key processes interacting within desert pavements, which improves our understanding of the role and importance of desert pavements within the Earth system.

沙漠路面是干旱环境中的一种全球性现象,代表了地球上最广泛的地貌和地质生态特征之一。在很大程度上,它们决定了控制当前和过去景观动态的关键过程的相互作用,包括地貌演化、地表径流、土壤水动力学、风化和土壤形成、微生物过程、尘埃沉积和大气夹带。因此,沙漠路面及其未来的变化轨迹对耦合的地球系统组件具有强烈的局部到全球影响。然而,对沙漠路面在地球表面-大气系统中所起的综合作用的认识仍然有限,并且缺乏对其演变,空间范围,微生物过程和固有环境反馈机制的深刻跨学科理解。本文概述了沙漠路面作为地球系统重要组成部分的现状,并从跨学科的角度阐述了沙漠路面相互作用的关键过程,从而提高了我们对沙漠路面在地球系统中的作用和重要性的理解。
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引用次数: 0
The Hickory Run Boulder Field, Carbon County, Pennsylvania, USA: Morphology, sedimentology and development 美国宾西法尼亚州卡本郡的山核桃石场:形态、沉积学和发展
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70175
Raven J. Mitchell, Frederick E. Nelson

Boulder fields are low-angle, open-work clast accumulations and are among the most distinctive geomorphic expressions of long-term periglacial processes. Although boulder fields are widely used as indicators of past periglacial environments, uncertainty remains regarding the specific climatic conditions and processes responsible for their formation. The Hickory Run Boulder Field (HRBF) in Carbon County, Pennsylvania (41°03′02” N, 75°38′44” W), located ~2 km south of the Last Glacial Maximum margin, is the largest and most striking feature of its kind in the eastern USA, covering approximately 6.5 ha. The dominant hypothesis suggests allochthonous formation, whereby frost wedging of scarp-like bedrock source outcrops and slow downslope movement of weathered material over impermeable permafrost resulted in HRBF's development. However, direct quantitative analyses of this hypothesis remain sparse, and the geological history of HRBF is incompletely resolved. This study presents a sedimentological investigation evaluating the allochthonous hypothesis through a combination of relative weathering indices (clast volume, sphericity, flatness and rebound hardness) and clast macrofabric analysis. Field data were collected from 22 sites along two subparallel transects, including locations in both the major and minor boulder fields. Statistical analyses, including polynomial regression of relative weathering indices and eigenvalue-based macrofabric assessments, reveal dynamic spatial trends in clast weathering and orientation. Results indicate systematic increases in clast weathering with distance from a local bedrock outcrop and non-random macrofabric orientations consistent with mass movement. These findings confirm that HRBF represents a time-transgressive surface formed under periglacial conditions, with flow-like integration of clasts from bordering upslope areas. The study provides quantitative evidence supporting emplacement by periglacial mass movement, reinforcing the utility of HRBF in paleoclimatic reconstructions of the Appalachian Highlands.

巨石场是低角度、露天的碎屑堆积,是长期冰缘作用最独特的地貌表现之一。尽管巨石区被广泛用作过去冰缘环境的指示物,但其形成的具体气候条件和过程仍然存在不确定性。位于宾夕法尼亚州卡本郡(41°03′02”N, 75°38′44”W)的Hickory Run Boulder Field (HRBF)位于末次冰期最大边缘以南约2公里处,是美国东部最大、最引人注目的特征,占地约6.5公顷。主要的假说是异域形成,即陡坡状基岩源露头的霜楔作用和风化物质在不透水永久冻土上的缓慢下坡运动导致了HRBF的发展。然而,对这一假设的直接定量分析仍然很少,而且HRBF的地质历史也没有完全解决。本文结合碎屑体积、球度、平整度和回弹硬度等相对风化指标和碎屑宏观组构分析,对异源假说进行了沉积学研究。现场数据收集自22个地点沿着两个近平行的样带,包括在主要和次要的巨石领域的位置。统计分析包括相对风化指数的多项式回归和基于特征值的宏观结构评价,揭示了碎屑风化的动态空间趋势和方向。结果表明,随着与局部基岩露头距离的增加,碎屑风化作用有系统的增加,并且与岩体运动相一致的非随机宏观组构取向。这些发现证实了HRBF代表了在冰缘条件下形成的时间海侵面,其中有来自相邻上坡区的碎屑流状整合。该研究为支持冰缘块体运动的侵位提供了定量证据,加强了HRBF在阿巴拉契亚高原古气候重建中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Method, substrate type and sample replication affect measurements of fine sediment content in river beds 方法、基质类型和样品复制影响河床细泥沙含量的测量
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70178
Kate L. Mathers, Morwenna Mckenzie, Victoria S. Milner, Stephen P. Rice, Paul J. Wood

Excessive fine sediment (particles <2 mm) in riverbeds negatively impacts river ecology. Riverbed fine sediment measurements are therefore critical in research, monitoring and management seeking to protect, maintain or restore riverine ecosystems. However, there is no single, widely adopted method and limited evidence-based guidance about how to choose between numerous available field techniques to achieve accurate, repeatable and consistent results. We therefore compared the intercorrelations of six commonly employed fine sediment methods across 29 sites (constituting 667 independent observations): the original resuspension method and two alternative turbidity derivatives (turbidity tube and turbidimeter), Wolman pebble counts, McNeil sampling and visual estimations at reach and patch scales. Performance evaluation focused on issues of practical significance, including comparisons of fines content between surface and subsurface measures, local substrate composition, spatial scale of application (reach and patch) and sample replication. Most methods yielded estimates of fines that were strongly correlated with each other, but these differed depending on local substrate composition, suggesting that different methods are better applied to certain substrate types. Differences between reach fine sediment estimates were typically larger as the proportion of fine sediment increased, whilst the converse was true for patch-scale measures. On average, surface measures do not provide reliable information about subsurface fines content. We also found that an inexpensive, rapid version of the resuspension method utilising a turbidity tube performs as well as costlier alternatives, providing a valuable means of estimating fines in most riverine environments. The spatial scale of sampling (reach or patch) and the number of replications made a significant difference to the estimates obtained using visual observations. We make pragmatic recommendations, providing a significant step forward in standardising fine sediment measurement in riverbeds. Practitioners and researchers should select methods that suit local substrate conditions, while recognising that their choices will influence the results obtained.

河床中细小沉积物(颗粒<; 2mm)过多会对河流生态产生负面影响。因此,河床细沉积物测量在寻求保护、维持或恢复河流生态系统的研究、监测和管理中至关重要。然而,关于如何在众多可用的现场技术之间进行选择以获得准确、可重复和一致的结果,目前还没有一种被广泛采用的单一方法和有限的循证指导。因此,我们比较了29个站点(构成667个独立观测)中六种常用的细沉积物方法的相互关系:原始的再悬浮方法和两种替代浊度衍生品(浊度管和浊度计),Wolman卵石计数,McNeil采样和河段和斑块尺度的视觉估计。绩效评估侧重于具有实际意义的问题,包括地表和地下测量的细粒含量比较、局部基质组成、应用的空间尺度(河段和斑块)和样本复制。大多数方法得出的细粒估计值彼此密切相关,但这些估计值因当地基质组成而异,这表明不同的方法更适用于某些基质类型。河段细泥沙估算值之间的差异通常随着细泥沙比例的增加而增大,而斑块尺度测量值则相反。平均而言,地面测量不能提供有关地下细颗粒含量的可靠信息。我们还发现,利用浊度管的廉价、快速的再悬浮方法与昂贵的替代方法一样,为估计大多数河流环境中的细颗粒物提供了一种有价值的方法。采样的空间尺度(到达或斑块)和重复的数量与使用视觉观测获得的估计值有显著差异。我们提出了切实可行的建议,为规范河床细泥沙测量迈出了重要的一步。从业者和研究人员应该选择适合当地基质条件的方法,同时认识到他们的选择将影响所获得的结果。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of catastrophic forest blowdown on large wood loads in headwater streams 灾难性森林排污对源头溪流中大量木材负荷的影响
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70214
Julianne Scamardo, Ian Rutherfurd

Forest blowdown, or the widespread felling and snapping of trees due to high wind speeds, can substantially increase the amount of downed large wood (LW) on the landscape. Despite high recruitment potential, few studies have investigated the influence of blowdown on in-channel LW volumes and the subsequent capacity for sediment and water storage. In June 2021, a frontal storm caused widespread blowdown across parts of southeastern Australia, creating an opportunity to better understand interactions between landscape morphology, blowdown intensity, large wood recruitment and in-channel hydrogeomorphic changes. Blowdown area and density (trees per unit area) were mapped remotely across the Wombat State Forest (WSF), Victoria and paired with field-based measurements of in-channel LW and associated sediment and water storage in the Lerdederg River and tributaries. Study reaches were characterized by a range of hillslope gradients, aspects, blowdown intensity and channel and floodplain widths. Eleven percent of the treed area of the WSF was blown down by the June 2021 storm, with winds that exceeded 100 km/hr from a non-typical direction. The blowdown event was the dominant source of in-channel LW, delivering 88% of the volume. LW volumes were more strongly influenced by valley morphology, particularly valley bottom width, than blowdown characteristics (affected area or downed wood density). Most LW (85% by volume) accumulated in porous jams, and about 33% of LW stored sediment and/or water, with storage more likely behind pieces that touched the channel bed. Substantial amounts of LW still remained on the floodplain or spanned above the channel, suggesting that LW loads attributed to the June 2021 storm could continue to increase as overbank flows and wood decay continue to recruit wood into the active channel. Catastrophic blowdown like the June 2021 storm could exert significant control on the wood regime and morphology of forested, headwater channels, particularly as extreme wind events are expected to increase in magnitude and severity in the future.

森林吹落,或由于高风速而广泛砍伐和折断树木,可以大大增加景观中倒下的大型木材(LW)的数量。尽管有很高的吸收潜力,但很少有研究调查排污对河道内LW体积以及随后的泥沙和水储存能力的影响。2021年6月,一场锋面风暴在澳大利亚东南部部分地区造成了广泛的排灌,为更好地了解景观形态、排灌强度、大型木材补充和河道内水文地貌变化之间的相互作用创造了机会。通过远程绘制维多利亚州袋熊州立森林(WSF)的排污面积和密度(单位面积的树木数),并结合ledederg河及其支流的河道内LW、相关沉积物和储水量的实地测量结果。研究河段的特征包括坡度、坡向、排洪强度、河道和洪泛平原宽度等。2021年6月,来自非典型方向的风速超过100公里/小时,WSF 11%的树木被风暴吹倒。排污事件是通道内LW的主要来源,占总量的88%。与排污特性(受影响面积或被击倒的木材密度)相比,河谷形态(尤其是谷底宽度)对LW体积的影响更为强烈。大部分LW(按体积计85%)积聚在多孔堵塞中,约33%的LW储存了沉积物和/或水,更可能储存在接触河床的碎片后面。大量的LW仍然留在洪泛区或跨越通道上方,这表明2021年6月风暴造成的LW负荷可能会继续增加,因为河岸上的水流和木材腐烂继续将木材吸收到活动通道中。像2021年6月的风暴这样的灾难性排污可能会对森林和源头渠道的木材状况和形态产生重大影响,特别是在未来极端风事件的规模和严重程度预计会增加的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental study on accumulation layer landslides based on thermosensitive materials 基于热敏材料的堆积层滑坡试验研究
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70218
Wang Wenxue, Nie Tianyu, Zhu Huaiyu, Xu Chao, Li Tianhui

This study developed a thermosensitive shear zone material composed of paraffin-quartz sand-clay composites. By constructing artificial shear zones with this material and selectively activating embedded electric heating plates to generate localized shear strength reduction, experimental simulations of both retrogressive and translational landslides are achieved. The results demonstrate that the mechanical parameters of this material exhibit temperature-dependent degradation: cohesion (c) follows a negative exponential decay with temperature increase, while the internal friction angle (φ) decreases linearly. The thermally induced shear strength reduction progressively diminishes the anti-sliding capacity of slip surfaces, ultimately triggering gravity-driven landslide deformation and failure. During testing, tensile cracks initiated at the slope rear edge, with internal deformations dominated by extensional mechanisms. PIV displacement monitoring revealed steep displacement gradient transitions spatially coinciding with tensile crack development. For translational landslides, earth pressure variations in shallow, mid-depth and deep zones displayed synchronized reduction patterns throughout deformation. In contrast, retrogressive landslides exhibited distinct phase differences in earth pressure evolution across depth zones, with the frontal slope's traction effect on the rear being substantially weaker than that of the central part. This research establishes an innovative methodology for simulating landslide disasters through controlled internal weakening of shear zones, which may provide new insights into failure mechanisms and prediction techniques driven by shear strength deterioration.

研制了一种由石蜡-石英砂-粘土复合材料组成的热敏剪切带材料。通过用这种材料构建人工剪切区,并选择性地激活嵌入的电热板来产生局部剪切强度降低,实现了倒退和平移滑坡的实验模拟。结果表明,该材料的力学参数表现出温度相关的退化:黏聚力(c)随温度升高呈负指数衰减,内摩擦角(φ)呈线性减小;热致抗剪强度降低使滑面抗滑能力逐渐降低,最终引发重力驱动型滑坡变形破坏。试验过程中,边坡后缘开始出现拉伸裂纹,内部变形以拉伸机制为主。PIV位移监测结果显示,在空间上,位移梯度陡变与张缝发育一致。对于平移型滑坡,在整个变形过程中,浅、中、深带土压力变化呈现出同步减小的模式。退行性滑坡在各深度区土压力演化表现出明显的相位差,锋面坡对后方的牵引作用明显弱于中部。本研究建立了一种通过受控制的剪切带内部弱化来模拟滑坡灾害的创新方法,为研究剪切强度劣化驱动的破坏机制和预测技术提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Headwater drainage evolution in a foreland basin system using surfaces and topographic metrics (Zadorra River, Upper Ebro, Spain) 基于地表和地形指标的前陆盆地系统源头排水演化(西班牙上埃布罗河Zadorra河)
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70195
Iván Martín-Martín, Pablo G. Silva, Martin Stokes, Antonio Tarriño, Benito Ábalos, Fernando Sarrionandia

Foreland basins are elongate depressions that develop around the flanks of collisional mountain ranges. Rivers are key agents that shape their landscape geomorphology and evolution. Their upstream headwater areas are geomorphologically dynamic locations prone to drainage network reorganisations via headward erosion by the foreland axial river. They are complex areas to investigate due to geological complexity, the absence of fluvial deposits and long timescales over which drainage evolution occurs. In this study, we examined the Zadorra River, a headwater tributary to the Ebro River that preserves a diverse number of different geomorphological features that record long-term drainage evolution. Four key sectors with different surface configurations and topographic characteristics were identified. We have used surfaces (erosional, depositional and composite) in combination with topographic metrics (longitudinal profiles, hypsometry and drainage divide analysis) to understand the patterns and timing of fluvial incision linked to incision wave propagation and headwater drainage integration by the Mediterranean draining Ebro River. The study describes the drainage evolution of the Ebro headwaters, beginning with the transformation of internally drained basins into east- and south-directed tributaries. The paleo-Arakil River, closer to the advancing Ebro headwaters and Mediterranean divide, was integrated first through headward erosion, while the more distant proto-Zadorra River was integrated later. This spatial and temporal shift focused subsequent drainage evolution on the proto-Zadorra, whose northward erosion captured and beheaded the paleo-Arakil, forming the modern Zadorra-Ebro and Arakil-Ebro tributaries. Geological evidence and fluvial terraces indicate this headwater drainage integration spanned from the Miocene to the Quaternary and will continue northward in the future. The study highlights the geological and geomorphological complexity of foreland basin headwater regions and their interplay for drainage expansion and integration.

前陆盆地是围绕碰撞山脉两侧发育的细长凹陷。河流是塑造地貌和演化的关键因素。它们的上游源区是地形动态位置,容易因前陆轴流的侵蚀而发生排水网络重组。由于地质的复杂性、河流沉积物的缺乏和排水演化发生的长时间尺度,这些地区的调查非常复杂。在这项研究中,我们研究了扎多拉河,这是埃布罗河的一条源头支流,保留了大量不同的地貌特征,记录了长期的排水演变。确定了四个具有不同表面结构和地形特征的关键扇区。我们利用表面(侵蚀面、沉积面和复合面)结合地形指标(纵向剖面、剖面和分水岭分析)来了解河流切割的模式和时间,这些模式和时间与切割波传播和地中海排水的埃布罗河源头排水整合有关。该研究描述了埃布罗河源头的排水演变,从内部排水盆地转变为向东和向南的支流开始。靠近埃布罗河上游和地中海分水岭的古阿拉基勒河首先通过向上游的侵蚀被整合,而更远的原扎多拉河则在后来被整合。这种空间和时间上的转变使后来的水系演化集中在原扎多拉河上,其向北的侵蚀夺取并切断了古阿拉基勒河,形成了现代的扎多拉-埃布罗河和阿拉基-埃布罗河支流。地质证据和河流阶地表明,这种源头排水整合跨越中新世至第四纪,并将在未来继续向北发展。研究强调了前陆盆地源区地质地貌的复杂性及其对流域扩展和整合的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
A novel matrix for landslide hazard identification combining remote sensing observation and geomorphological interpretation 结合遥感观测与地貌解译的滑坡灾害识别新矩阵
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70216
Wangcai Liu, Yi Zhang, Guan Chen, Yanzhong Yang, Jing Chang, Yuanxi Li, Xiang Wu, Xingmin Meng

Active potential landslides pose substantial threats to lives and property in alpine-canyon terrain worldwide. Identifying landslide-prone areas and assessing the failure likelihood of potential landslides are crucial for risk mitigation. However, uncertainties from incomplete inventories and variable data quality limit the reliability and practical application of landslide hazard assessments. This study proposes a novel metric method to assess potential landslide hazard in alpine-canyon regions by integrating the advanced observation capability of remote sensing techniques and reliability of geomorphic surveying. A comprehensive inventory of potential landslides was established via multi-temporal interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) mapping of the eastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, with landslide types classified based on their material compositions and movement characteristics. The observed time-series displacements and geomorphological deformation features indicate the progressive creep behaviour of landslide movement, reflecting the different hazard levels of potential landslides across their multiple stages of development. The dynamic trends of most potential landslides are characterised by seasonal accelerating creep and geomorphic movement features that range from localised to intense deformation. The hazard assessment demonstrates that 23.7% of potential landslides have reached or exceeded the high hazard level, with most of these having large and deep characteristics, and closely related to active fault zones in the study area. Internal geological conditions and fluctuating precipitation commonly elevate the landslide hazard level in critical regions. This integrated analysis of the dynamic evolution of potential landslides and geomorphic deformation features improves hazard prediction for landslides in mountainous regions undergoing long-term creep.

活跃的潜在滑坡对世界范围内的高山峡谷地形的生命财产构成了重大威胁。确定滑坡易发地区和评估潜在滑坡的破坏可能性对减轻风险至关重要。然而,不完整的清单和可变的数据质量的不确定性限制了滑坡危害评估的可靠性和实际应用。本研究提出了一种将遥感技术的先进观测能力与地貌测量的可靠性相结合的高寒峡谷地区滑坡危险性评价方法。观测到的时间序列位移和地貌变形特征反映了滑坡运动的渐进蠕变行为,反映了潜在滑坡在不同发展阶段的不同危害程度。大多数潜在滑坡的动态趋势的特点是季节性加速蠕变和地貌运动特征,范围从局部到强烈变形。危险性评价结果表明,23.7%的潜在滑坡达到或超过高危险性等级,这些滑坡大多具有大而深的特征,与研究区内的活动断裂带密切相关。内部地质条件和波动降水共同提高了关键区域的滑坡危险性。通过对潜在滑坡动态演化和地貌变形特征的综合分析,提高了对长期蠕变山区滑坡灾害的预测能力。
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引用次数: 0
Timescales of formative discharge and principal controls on the channel width of the Jamuna River, Bangladesh 孟加拉贾穆纳河河道宽度形成流量的时间尺度和主要控制因素
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70212
Andrew Nelson, Ashley Dudill, Md Ruhul Amin

To understand the relationship between variable flood flow and channel width of the Jamuna River, we developed a five-decade-long, nearly annual temporal resolution delineation of channel width from analysis of satellite imagery and compared this with a daily discharge time series. We show narrow channel conditions in the 1970s and early 1980s, rapid widening in the late 1980s through early 1990s, and a period of channel narrowing since about 2010 that corresponds to decadal-scale shifts in the hydroclimate. We identify the maximum 91-day average discharge for the single previous season's monsoon flood, the average of which is approximately the long-term geomorphically effective discharge for the river, as a strong control over channel width. This empirically determined relation closely fits a hydraulic geometry prediction of active channel width for the discharge divided into three to five principal anabranches. We also show that the inherited width (the width from 1 year previous) and the intensity of revetments explain some variability in the observed channel width. This analysis outlines a compelling alternative hypothesis to the dominant narrative that Jamuna River widening was a response to the Great Assam Earthquake sediment wave. These findings have major implications for ongoing efforts to understand and manage morphodynamically active rivers around the world: they suggest researchers and managers in such environments must consider the potential effects of variable hydroclimate on channel morphology over annual to decadal timescales. Of course, they are also especially relevant to the management of the Jamuna River, where these findings suggest efforts to reclaim land and return the channel to narrower widths observed in the 1970s, a period of notably low flood flows, may increase flood risk by increasing exposure of densely settled areas to channel migration and related embankment-failure flood hazards in wetter hydroclimate periods resulting from natural variability or climate change.

为了了解贾穆纳河的变化洪水流量与河道宽度之间的关系,我们通过对卫星图像的分析,开发了一个长达50年、几乎每年一次的河道宽度时间分辨率图,并将其与日流量时间序列进行了比较。我们发现,20世纪70年代和80年代初河道狭窄,20世纪80年代末到90年代初河道迅速变宽,大约从2010年开始河道变窄,与水文气候的年代际变化相对应。我们确定了前一个季节季风洪水的最大91天平均流量,其平均值近似于河流的长期地貌有效流量,对河道宽度有很强的控制作用。这一经验确定的关系与划分为三到五个主要支流的流量的主动河道宽度的水力几何预测非常吻合。我们还表明,继承宽度(1年前的宽度)和护岸强度解释了观察到的河道宽度的一些变化。这一分析概述了一个令人信服的替代假设,以取代主流叙事,即贾穆纳河的拓宽是对阿萨姆邦大地震沉积物波的反应。这些发现对正在进行的理解和管理世界各地形态动力学活跃的河流的努力具有重大意义:它们建议在这种环境中的研究人员和管理者必须考虑在每年到十年的时间尺度上变化的水文气候对河道形态的潜在影响。当然,它们也与贾穆纳河的管理特别相关,这些研究结果表明,在20世纪70年代(一个洪水流量明显减少的时期),开垦土地并使河道恢复到更窄的宽度的努力可能会增加洪水风险,因为在自然变率或气候变化导致的湿润水文气候时期,密集定居地区暴露于河道迁移和相关的堤岸破坏洪水灾害中。
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Earth Surface Processes and Landforms
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