Active potential landslides pose substantial threats to lives and property in alpine-canyon terrain worldwide. Identifying landslide-prone areas and assessing the failure likelihood of potential landslides are crucial for risk mitigation. However, uncertainties from incomplete inventories and variable data quality limit the reliability and practical application of landslide hazard assessments. This study proposes a novel metric method to assess potential landslide hazard in alpine-canyon regions by integrating the advanced observation capability of remote sensing techniques and reliability of geomorphic surveying. A comprehensive inventory of potential landslides was established via multi-temporal interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) mapping of the eastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, with landslide types classified based on their material compositions and movement characteristics. The observed time-series displacements and geomorphological deformation features indicate the progressive creep behaviour of landslide movement, reflecting the different hazard levels of potential landslides across their multiple stages of development. The dynamic trends of most potential landslides are characterised by seasonal accelerating creep and geomorphic movement features that range from localised to intense deformation. The hazard assessment demonstrates that 23.7% of potential landslides have reached or exceeded the high hazard level, with most of these having large and deep characteristics, and closely related to active fault zones in the study area. Internal geological conditions and fluctuating precipitation commonly elevate the landslide hazard level in critical regions. This integrated analysis of the dynamic evolution of potential landslides and geomorphic deformation features improves hazard prediction for landslides in mountainous regions undergoing long-term creep.
{"title":"A novel matrix for landslide hazard identification combining remote sensing observation and geomorphological interpretation","authors":"Wangcai Liu, Yi Zhang, Guan Chen, Yanzhong Yang, Jing Chang, Yuanxi Li, Xiang Wu, Xingmin Meng","doi":"10.1002/esp.70216","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70216","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Active potential landslides pose substantial threats to lives and property in alpine-canyon terrain worldwide. Identifying landslide-prone areas and assessing the failure likelihood of potential landslides are crucial for risk mitigation. However, uncertainties from incomplete inventories and variable data quality limit the reliability and practical application of landslide hazard assessments. This study proposes a novel metric method to assess potential landslide hazard in alpine-canyon regions by integrating the advanced observation capability of remote sensing techniques and reliability of geomorphic surveying. A comprehensive inventory of potential landslides was established via multi-temporal interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) mapping of the eastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, with landslide types classified based on their material compositions and movement characteristics. The observed time-series displacements and geomorphological deformation features indicate the progressive creep behaviour of landslide movement, reflecting the different hazard levels of potential landslides across their multiple stages of development. The dynamic trends of most potential landslides are characterised by seasonal accelerating creep and geomorphic movement features that range from localised to intense deformation. The hazard assessment demonstrates that 23.7% of potential landslides have reached or exceeded the high hazard level, with most of these having large and deep characteristics, and closely related to active fault zones in the study area. Internal geological conditions and fluctuating precipitation commonly elevate the landslide hazard level in critical regions. This integrated analysis of the dynamic evolution of potential landslides and geomorphic deformation features improves hazard prediction for landslides in mountainous regions undergoing long-term creep.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
To understand the relationship between variable flood flow and channel width of the Jamuna River, we developed a five-decade-long, nearly annual temporal resolution delineation of channel width from analysis of satellite imagery and compared this with a daily discharge time series. We show narrow channel conditions in the 1970s and early 1980s, rapid widening in the late 1980s through early 1990s, and a period of channel narrowing since about 2010 that corresponds to decadal-scale shifts in the hydroclimate. We identify the maximum 91-day average discharge for the single previous season's monsoon flood, the average of which is approximately the long-term geomorphically effective discharge for the river, as a strong control over channel width. This empirically determined relation closely fits a hydraulic geometry prediction of active channel width for the discharge divided into three to five principal anabranches. We also show that the inherited width (the width from 1 year previous) and the intensity of revetments explain some variability in the observed channel width. This analysis outlines a compelling alternative hypothesis to the dominant narrative that Jamuna River widening was a response to the Great Assam Earthquake sediment wave. These findings have major implications for ongoing efforts to understand and manage morphodynamically active rivers around the world: they suggest researchers and managers in such environments must consider the potential effects of variable hydroclimate on channel morphology over annual to decadal timescales. Of course, they are also especially relevant to the management of the Jamuna River, where these findings suggest efforts to reclaim land and return the channel to narrower widths observed in the 1970s, a period of notably low flood flows, may increase flood risk by increasing exposure of densely settled areas to channel migration and related embankment-failure flood hazards in wetter hydroclimate periods resulting from natural variability or climate change.
{"title":"Timescales of formative discharge and principal controls on the channel width of the Jamuna River, Bangladesh","authors":"Andrew Nelson, Ashley Dudill, Md Ruhul Amin","doi":"10.1002/esp.70212","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70212","url":null,"abstract":"<p>To understand the relationship between variable flood flow and channel width of the Jamuna River, we developed a five-decade-long, nearly annual temporal resolution delineation of channel width from analysis of satellite imagery and compared this with a daily discharge time series. We show narrow channel conditions in the 1970s and early 1980s, rapid widening in the late 1980s through early 1990s, and a period of channel narrowing since about 2010 that corresponds to decadal-scale shifts in the hydroclimate. We identify the maximum 91-day average discharge for the single previous season's monsoon flood, the average of which is approximately the long-term geomorphically effective discharge for the river, as a strong control over channel width. This empirically determined relation closely fits a hydraulic geometry prediction of active channel width for the discharge divided into three to five principal anabranches. We also show that the inherited width (the width from 1 year previous) and the intensity of revetments explain some variability in the observed channel width. This analysis outlines a compelling alternative hypothesis to the dominant narrative that Jamuna River widening was a response to the Great Assam Earthquake sediment wave. These findings have major implications for ongoing efforts to understand and manage morphodynamically active rivers around the world: they suggest researchers and managers in such environments must consider the potential effects of variable hydroclimate on channel morphology over annual to decadal timescales. Of course, they are also especially relevant to the management of the Jamuna River, where these findings suggest efforts to reclaim land and return the channel to narrower widths observed in the 1970s, a period of notably low flood flows, may increase flood risk by increasing exposure of densely settled areas to channel migration and related embankment-failure flood hazards in wetter hydroclimate periods resulting from natural variability or climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/esp.70212","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695004","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Josie Arcuri, Irina Overeem, Marisa Repasch, Robert S. Anderson, Suzanne P. Anderson, Joshua C. Koch, Frank Urban
Bank erosion in Arctic rivers helps shape channel geometry, mobilizes carbon from permafrost and influences sediment delivery to the Arctic Ocean. On Alaska's Arctic coastal plain, rivers begin flowing during snowmelt in late spring while extensive river ice persists in channels, such that hydraulics are altered and water is kept cool. The effects of river ice on permafrost bank erosion are poorly understood, primarily due to a dearth of field observations and a lack of river ice in existing models.
To address this knowledge gap, we developed a numerical model to simulate the melt of substrate interstitial ice and bank collapse along individual permafrost river banks. We parameterize the model with field observations from riverbanks in three different channels on the Canning River delta, which are disparately impacted by river ice during snowmelt. We explore the bank erosion produced without river ice in the model and with modern river ice model scenarios that we drive with different stages and water temperature boundary conditions. We also compare predicted erosion rates to observations from satellite imagery to validate this approach.
In the model, banks are idealized as vertical profiles that rise 1–2 m above the river bed and are comprised of silt- to sand-sized sediment with dense roots in the active layer. Underneath, we generalize bank ice content underneath the active layer to represent ice-rich permafrost on the river corridor boundaries. The model predicts that these ice-rich river banks can erode by 2–6 m/yr. Scenarios without ice underpredict erosion in the distributary channels. Scenarios with varying river ice for different deltaic channels produce erosion rates similar to observations.
Our results suggest that the prolonged melt of thick river ice in a delta nonlinearly impacts permafrost bank erosion by blocking river discharge to certain branches, heightening stage across the distributary network and locally limiting river water warming. Given expected changes in air temperature and hydrology, future estimates of Arctic river bank erosion could be improved by considering river ice.
{"title":"River ice controls permafrost bank erosion across an Arctic delta","authors":"Josie Arcuri, Irina Overeem, Marisa Repasch, Robert S. Anderson, Suzanne P. Anderson, Joshua C. Koch, Frank Urban","doi":"10.1002/esp.70189","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70189","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Bank erosion in Arctic rivers helps shape channel geometry, mobilizes carbon from permafrost and influences sediment delivery to the Arctic Ocean. On Alaska's Arctic coastal plain, rivers begin flowing during snowmelt in late spring while extensive river ice persists in channels, such that hydraulics are altered and water is kept cool. The effects of river ice on permafrost bank erosion are poorly understood, primarily due to a dearth of field observations and a lack of river ice in existing models.</p><p>To address this knowledge gap, we developed a numerical model to simulate the melt of substrate interstitial ice and bank collapse along individual permafrost river banks. We parameterize the model with field observations from riverbanks in three different channels on the Canning River delta, which are disparately impacted by river ice during snowmelt. We explore the bank erosion produced without river ice in the model and with modern river ice model scenarios that we drive with different stages and water temperature boundary conditions. We also compare predicted erosion rates to observations from satellite imagery to validate this approach.</p><p>In the model, banks are idealized as vertical profiles that rise 1–2 m above the river bed and are comprised of silt- to sand-sized sediment with dense roots in the active layer. Underneath, we generalize bank ice content underneath the active layer to represent ice-rich permafrost on the river corridor boundaries. The model predicts that these ice-rich river banks can erode by 2–6 m/yr. Scenarios without ice underpredict erosion in the distributary channels. Scenarios with varying river ice for different deltaic channels produce erosion rates similar to observations.</p><p>Our results suggest that the prolonged melt of thick river ice in a delta nonlinearly impacts permafrost bank erosion by blocking river discharge to certain branches, heightening stage across the distributary network and locally limiting river water warming. Given expected changes in air temperature and hydrology, future estimates of Arctic river bank erosion could be improved by considering river ice.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/esp.70189","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nádia Mariane Mucha, Luiz Claudio de Paula Souza, Alessandra de Barros Silva Bongiolo, Rodoilton Stevanato, Rafael Espindola Canata, Jairo Calderari de Oliveira
We evaluate the effectiveness of Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR), soil granulometry and geomorphometric analysis in identifying shallow variations of sandy and clayey materials in a colluvial-alluvial plain. In addition, 2D Electrical Resistivity Tomography (2D ERT) was used to provide complementary information about deeper subsurface features, beyond the resolution limit of GPR. Geophysical methods were combined with unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data and particle size analysis to achieve high-resolution detections of sediment variations in a colluvial-alluvial plain. A Digital Terrain Model (DTM) was derived from remote sensing data, providing topographic attributes. Two pieces of equipment were tested for acquiring GPR images: one with a 400 MHz antenna and another with dual frequencies of 250 and 700 MHz. However, GPR data were acquired using a 400 MHz antenna along 16 transects, as it provided the best balance between resolution and electromagnetic (EM) wave penetration depth. The ERT data were collected along a single profile using the dipole–dipole array. Soil cores were sampled at 0.20 m intervals to a depth of 1 m to validate the geophysical interpretations. GPR images showed two distinct patterns: one towards the footslope (West sector) and another towards the lowland (East sector). The topographic attribute LS Factor, with a maximum value of 1.55, on the footslope in the West sector, represents colluvial ramps. Mean TWI (> 10) directly related to mean MrVBF (>2) illustrates areas with higher sediment deposition and moisture accumulation in the East sector. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Spearman's correlation demonstrated that the depth of soil core samples is positively correlated with sand (r = 0.26) and negatively correlated with clay (r = −0.18). GPR images revealed variations in sediment composition (horizontal resolution) at depths of up to approximately 4 m (vertical resolution). The GPR efficiently mapped strong returning signals from sandy lenses and weaker signals from clay, highlighting its potential for areas with similar geomorphology. The real resistivity model revealed a resistive surface layer across the entire line, corresponding to massive migmatite gneiss. The inclusion of geomorphometric data in geophysical analyses contributes to interpreting interactions between surface morphology, soil texture and geophysical properties. Our results encourage further on-site research to characterize materials in terms of colluvial and alluvial origins.
{"title":"Complementary geophysical, geomorphometric and pedagogical approaches for characterizing shallow and deep subsurface materials in a colluvial-alluvial plain in Atlantic rainforest","authors":"Nádia Mariane Mucha, Luiz Claudio de Paula Souza, Alessandra de Barros Silva Bongiolo, Rodoilton Stevanato, Rafael Espindola Canata, Jairo Calderari de Oliveira","doi":"10.1002/esp.70209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70209","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We evaluate the effectiveness of Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR), soil granulometry and geomorphometric analysis in identifying shallow variations of sandy and clayey materials in a colluvial-alluvial plain. In addition, 2D Electrical Resistivity Tomography (2D ERT) was used to provide complementary information about deeper subsurface features, beyond the resolution limit of GPR. Geophysical methods were combined with unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data and particle size analysis to achieve high-resolution detections of sediment variations in a colluvial-alluvial plain. A Digital Terrain Model (DTM) was derived from remote sensing data, providing topographic attributes. Two pieces of equipment were tested for acquiring GPR images: one with a 400 MHz antenna and another with dual frequencies of 250 and 700 MHz. However, GPR data were acquired using a 400 MHz antenna along 16 transects, as it provided the best balance between resolution and electromagnetic (EM) wave penetration depth. The ERT data were collected along a single profile using the dipole–dipole array. Soil cores were sampled at 0.20 m intervals to a depth of 1 m to validate the geophysical interpretations. GPR images showed two distinct patterns: one towards the footslope (West sector) and another towards the lowland (East sector). The topographic attribute LS Factor, with a maximum value of 1.55, on the footslope in the West sector, represents colluvial ramps. Mean TWI (> 10) directly related to mean MrVBF (>2) illustrates areas with higher sediment deposition and moisture accumulation in the East sector. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Spearman's correlation demonstrated that the depth of soil core samples is positively correlated with sand (r = 0.26) and negatively correlated with clay (r = −0.18). GPR images revealed variations in sediment composition (horizontal resolution) at depths of up to approximately 4 m (vertical resolution). The GPR efficiently mapped strong returning signals from sandy lenses and weaker signals from clay, highlighting its potential for areas with similar geomorphology. The real resistivity model revealed a resistive surface layer across the entire line, corresponding to massive migmatite gneiss. The inclusion of geomorphometric data in geophysical analyses contributes to interpreting interactions between surface morphology, soil texture and geophysical properties. Our results encourage further on-site research to characterize materials in terms of colluvial and alluvial origins.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/esp.70209","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145694942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Paul Demuth, David F. Vetsch, Robert M. Boes, Volker Weitbrecht
The use of locally widened river reaches in river restoration is a common approach that aims to enhance morphological heterogeneity and dynamics and therefore increase habitat availability and quality. However, the success of some implemented locally widened river reaches is limited when there is a lack of morphodynamics, which may be related to factors such as sediment supply, channel slope and bank height, reflecting the degree of river bed incision. Therefore, this study examines the morphodynamic development of widened reaches with a moderate longitudinal slope (0.003) in mobile-bed laboratory experiments. The initial setup consisted of a channel with the adjacent floodplain on one side, measuring 30 channel widths in length and four in width. Sediment supply from upstream corresponded to a rate of 100% of the initial channel transport capacity. Sequences of bed-forming discharges and larger floods were conducted. Three experimental series were tested in which the bank height was varied from high (0.11 m = water depth at HQ30), over medium (0.07 m = water depth at HQ2), to zero (i.e. no offset between river channel and floodplain). Two-dimensional hydrodynamic numerical simulations based on the resulting bed topographies added high-resolution data on bed shear stress. The results show that morphodynamic activity, defined as the areas of erosion and deposition relative to the zones with full sediment transport, remains low for the widening with moderate slope, promoting channel stability across all three experimental series. The high-offset series experienced lateral erosion, with the main channel shifting into the floodplain and subsequently being constrained by the fixed banks. For the series with medium and no floodplain offset, stabilization in the straight channel was observed. These patterns contrast with the understanding of the influence of sediment supply on the morphodynamic activity for steeper slopes. In previous studies, the morphodynamic activity in a widened reach was high for high sediment supply conditions. Our findings from the experiments with the moderate slope (0.003) suggest that under such conditions, there are additional controlling parameters of the widening process.
{"title":"Effect of bank height on morphodynamics in a one-sided widened gravel-bed river","authors":"Paul Demuth, David F. Vetsch, Robert M. Boes, Volker Weitbrecht","doi":"10.1002/esp.70183","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70183","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The use of locally widened river reaches in river restoration is a common approach that aims to enhance morphological heterogeneity and dynamics and therefore increase habitat availability and quality. However, the success of some implemented locally widened river reaches is limited when there is a lack of morphodynamics, which may be related to factors such as sediment supply, channel slope and bank height, reflecting the degree of river bed incision. Therefore, this study examines the morphodynamic development of widened reaches with a moderate longitudinal slope (0.003) in mobile-bed laboratory experiments. The initial setup consisted of a channel with the adjacent floodplain on one side, measuring 30 channel widths in length and four in width. Sediment supply from upstream corresponded to a rate of 100% of the initial channel transport capacity. Sequences of bed-forming discharges and larger floods were conducted. Three experimental series were tested in which the bank height was varied from high (0.11 m = water depth at H<i>Q</i><sub>30</sub>), over medium (0.07 m = water depth at H<i>Q</i><sub>2</sub>), to zero (i.e. no offset between river channel and floodplain). Two-dimensional hydrodynamic numerical simulations based on the resulting bed topographies added high-resolution data on bed shear stress. The results show that morphodynamic activity, defined as the areas of erosion and deposition relative to the zones with full sediment transport, remains low for the widening with moderate slope, promoting channel stability across all three experimental series. The high-offset series experienced lateral erosion, with the main channel shifting into the floodplain and subsequently being constrained by the fixed banks. For the series with medium and no floodplain offset, stabilization in the straight channel was observed. These patterns contrast with the understanding of the influence of sediment supply on the morphodynamic activity for steeper slopes. In previous studies, the morphodynamic activity in a widened reach was high for high sediment supply conditions. Our findings from the experiments with the moderate slope (0.003) suggest that under such conditions, there are additional controlling parameters of the widening process.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/esp.70183","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A numerical model that computes the vertical distribution of different sediment sizes in riverbeds has been used to predict the formation of lenticular sedimentary structures in a flume with antidunes. The Navier–Stokes equations were solved to find the water velocities and the turbulence, and convection-diffusion equations for five different sediment sizes were used to predict the sediment concentrations. Changes in the elevations of the water surface and bed due to erosion and deposition were also included. The model includes algorithms that divide the bed into 1,000 adaptive vertical layers, each with its unique grain size distribution. The spatial resolution of the bedding and the resulting lenticular structures was thereby computed directly. The model predicted the formation of stationary and downstream-moving antidunes that occasionally would move upstream, leading to the formation of the lenticular structures. The numerical model explained the different physical processes with high spatial and temporal variation in velocity, turbulence, pressure, changes in bed sediment size fractions, together with water surface and bed movements. This is documented by detailed figures and animations in the current study.
{"title":"A numerical model predicting lenticular sedimentary structures formed by breaking waves over antidunes","authors":"Nils Reidar B. Olsen, Francisco Núñez-González","doi":"10.1002/esp.70204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70204","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A numerical model that computes the vertical distribution of different sediment sizes in riverbeds has been used to predict the formation of lenticular sedimentary structures in a flume with antidunes. The Navier–Stokes equations were solved to find the water velocities and the turbulence, and convection-diffusion equations for five different sediment sizes were used to predict the sediment concentrations. Changes in the elevations of the water surface and bed due to erosion and deposition were also included. The model includes algorithms that divide the bed into 1,000 adaptive vertical layers, each with its unique grain size distribution. The spatial resolution of the bedding and the resulting lenticular structures was thereby computed directly. The model predicted the formation of stationary and downstream-moving antidunes that occasionally would move upstream, leading to the formation of the lenticular structures. The numerical model explained the different physical processes with high spatial and temporal variation in velocity, turbulence, pressure, changes in bed sediment size fractions, together with water surface and bed movements. This is documented by detailed figures and animations in the current study.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fakhrul Islam, Tahmina Bibi, Nazir Ur Rehman, J. Brian Davis, Rana Waqar Aslam, Nazih Y. Rebouh, Hela Elmannai, Aqil Tariq
In Northern Pakistan, gullying-related soil erosion results in severe soil degradation, detrimentally affecting the region's socioeconomic situation and environment. Gully erosion susceptibility mapping (GESM) is most effective at mitigating the negative impacts of soil erosion. Gully management strategies begin by creating suitable evaluation tools, identifying the causes of the gully and devising solutions for controlling it. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of two models, frequency ratio (FR) and information value (IV), to assess the soil erosion susceptibility of the study area. In the present study, we detected and identified 1287 inventory points of gully erosion using various satellite images, including Google Earth Pro and field surveys. This research considered topographic, geologic and climatic factors as causative parameters. The FR illustrated that a low class of soil erosion covered 21.4% of the area, and medium, high and very high classes covered 34%, 31.4% and 13.2%, respectively. The results of the variables using IV models showed that the areas covered by low, medium, high and very high classes are 28.5%, 37.6%, 15.2% and 18.7%, respectively. The models were validated using the AUC technique, revealing that the success rate curve (SRC) and predicted rate curve (PRC) for IV are 80% and 89%, respectively, whereas the SRC and PRC for FR are 86% and 93%, respectively. The validation results show that the FR model outperformed the IV model. This research is useful for assisting decision-makers and policymakers in devising a strategic plan to mitigate the adverse impacts of soil erosion in this important geographic region.
{"title":"GIS- and RS-based models for gully erosion susceptibility mapping using machine learning and remote sensing data","authors":"Fakhrul Islam, Tahmina Bibi, Nazir Ur Rehman, J. Brian Davis, Rana Waqar Aslam, Nazih Y. Rebouh, Hela Elmannai, Aqil Tariq","doi":"10.1002/esp.70198","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70198","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In Northern Pakistan, gullying-related soil erosion results in severe soil degradation, detrimentally affecting the region's socioeconomic situation and environment. Gully erosion susceptibility mapping (GESM) is most effective at mitigating the negative impacts of soil erosion. Gully management strategies begin by creating suitable evaluation tools, identifying the causes of the gully and devising solutions for controlling it. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of two models, frequency ratio (FR) and information value (IV), to assess the soil erosion susceptibility of the study area. In the present study, we detected and identified 1287 inventory points of gully erosion using various satellite images, including Google Earth Pro and field surveys. This research considered topographic, geologic and climatic factors as causative parameters. The FR illustrated that a low class of soil erosion covered 21.4% of the area, and medium, high and very high classes covered 34%, 31.4% and 13.2%, respectively. The results of the variables using IV models showed that the areas covered by low, medium, high and very high classes are 28.5%, 37.6%, 15.2% and 18.7%, respectively. The models were validated using the AUC technique, revealing that the success rate curve (SRC) and predicted rate curve (PRC) for IV are 80% and 89%, respectively, whereas the SRC and PRC for FR are 86% and 93%, respectively. The validation results show that the FR model outperformed the IV model. This research is useful for assisting decision-makers and policymakers in devising a strategic plan to mitigate the adverse impacts of soil erosion in this important geographic region.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695549","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dianbao Chen, Ke Wang, Wei Liu, Donghong Hu, Dexuan Chen, Baotian Pan
Knowledge of how the avulsion style of river, channel mobility and floodplain reworking changes under different paleoclimatic conditions, helps to understand the morphodynamics of fluvial intrinsic behaviours and its impact on shaping basin alluvial stratigraphic architecture. In order to elucidate the relationship between extrinsic factors and internal fluvial processes, here, we explored how river morphodynamics change across the mid-Pleistocene climate change. Sedimentary facies analyses in the Jiudong Basin of western-central Hexi Corridor were applied to constrain changes in channel-floodplain processes. Ten lithofacies and nine facies associations involved in general shallow lake, delta front, delta plain, overbank and channel sub-environments were identified. These data do show evidence of elevated channel mobility, floodplain reworking and avulsion style changed significantly after 0.8 Ma. Taken together with studies of erosion rate/sediment flux variability and paleoclimate evidence from the region, the most plausible explanation of these findings from the Jiudong Basin is that, sedimentary processes subjected to declining vegetation and floodplain cohesiveness, due to a dry and unstable climate, experienced accelerated channel dynamics after 0.8 Ma. In the context of climate change across the mid-Pleistocene, these findings provide an important perspective on the complex links between fluvial dynamics, floodplain reworking and climate change.
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Saba Shakeel Raina, Dnyanesh Borse, Basudev Biswal
<p>Complex evolutionary processes imprint distinct geomorphic signatures on the landscapes, offering valuable insights into the evolution of Earth and other planetary surfaces. In fluvial landscapes, river networks are thought to evolve toward configurations that minimize the energy expenditure required to transport water and sediments. Thus, the evolutionary stage of a landscape can be assessed by its energy expenditure; however, this has not yet been systematically studied using real landscape data. In this study, we quantify the relative energy expenditure <span></span><math>