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Soil erosion estimation in a catchment with implemented soil and water conservation measures 对已实施水土保持措施的集水区进行水土流失估算
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5988
He Wang, Xiang Ji, Xiaopeng Wang, Yue Zhang, Fangshi Jiang, Yanhe Huang, Jinshi Lin

The variations in soil erosion significantly impact regional ecological security. Under rapid urbanisation, extensive ecological restoration and climate change, soil erosion development in the red soil region of southern China is ambiguous. Therefore, this study investigated the current (1980s–2020) and future (2050) erosion characteristics in a typical soil erosion control catchment (Changting section catchment) in this region by using the Cellular Automata Markov model and CMIP6 data to predict future scenarios and the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation to estimate soil erosion. The results showed significant changes in the vegetation coverage of major land uses from 1980s to 2020, which was mainly caused by continuous soil and water conservation (SWC). The land use subtypes that were obtained by reclassifying land use based on the threshold of vegetation cover on soil erosion control, reflect a continuous transformation from those with poor SWC effectiveness to those with great SWC effectiveness. Therefore, the estimated soil erosion intensity continued to decrease from 1980s to 2020, and the contribution of land use/land cover (LULC) impacts ranged from 74%–195%. However, predictions of land use subtypes indicated that LULC may be stable after 2020; thus, soil erosion changed little when the climate was almost unchanged in 2050. Under climate change scenarios, soil erosion may increase by 111%–121%, and the contribution of precipitation impacts was 63%–66%. The major driving factor of soil erosion changes may shift from LULC to precipitation after 2020. Therefore, in the future, the potential for reducing soil erosion by vegetation restoration may be limited, and more engineering measures should be applied to address the erosion risk caused by climate changes. This study provides prospects for land use/land cover and soil erosion in the red soil region of southern China.

水土流失的变化极大地影响着区域生态安全。在快速城镇化、大面积生态修复和气候变化的背景下,中国南方红壤地区的水土流失发展不明确。因此,本研究利用细胞自动机马尔可夫模型和 CMIP6 数据预测未来情景,并利用修订的通用土壤流失方程估算土壤侵蚀量,研究了该地区典型水土流失控制流域(长汀段流域)当前(1980 年代-2020 年)和未来(2050 年)的水土流失特征。结果表明,从 20 世纪 80 年代到 2020 年,主要土地利用的植被覆盖率发生了显著变化,这主要是由持续的水土保持引起的。根据植被覆盖率对水土流失控制的临界值对土地利用进行重新分类后得到的土地利用亚类,反映了从水土保持效果差的土地利用向水土保持效果好的土地利用的持续转变。因此,从 20 世纪 80 年代到 2020 年,估计的土壤侵蚀强度持续下降,土地利用/土地覆被影响的贡献率在 74%-195% 之间。然而,对土地利用亚类的预测表明,2020 年后土地利用/土地覆被可能保持稳定;因此,在 2050 年气候几乎不变的情况下,土壤侵蚀变化不大。在气候变化情景下,土壤侵蚀可能增加 111%-121%,降水影响的贡献率为 63%-66%。2020 年后,土壤侵蚀变化的主要驱动因素可能会从 LULC 转向降水。因此,未来通过植被恢复来减少土壤侵蚀的潜力可能有限,应采用更多的工程措施来应对气候变化带来的水土流失风险。本研究为中国南方红壤地区的土地利用/土地覆被与水土流失提供了展望。
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引用次数: 0
Multiscale characterization of splays produced by a historic, rain-on-snow flood on a large braided stream (Platte River, Central USA) 历史上一场雨夹雪洪水在一条大辫状河(美国中部普拉特河)上造成的飞溅物的多尺度特征描述
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5997
Jesse T. Korus, R. Matthew Joeckel, Aaron R. Mittelstet, Nawaraj Shrestha

Splays—fan-shaped depositional landforms produced by overbank deposition by unconfined flows—can damage structures, degrade arable land and incur substantial mitigation costs. Splay-related hazards along many rivers are likely to worsen with the increasing magnitude and frequency of major floods. The highly incomplete understanding of splays on braided streams is a conspicuous knowledge gap in a changing world with more frequent and intense floods. The largest recorded flood on the braided, sand-dominated lower Platte River (eastern Nebraska, USA) in March 2019 resulted from the rapid melting of a deep, moist snowpack during an extreme rain-on-snow, bomb-cyclone event. This flood produced 32 large (as much as 234 ha) splays that buried structures and cropland under sand. A total of 1,438 ha of row crop was buried, equating to 1.2 million dollars in lost revenue. These splays diverged from the channel by 14° to 104° along a 122 km reach. The topography of preexisting abandoned channels strongly controlled the shape and orientation of most splays, although forested areas tended to trap or divert sediment. The flood eroded 2.2 to 202 m2 m−1 of the streambank at 11 of the splays. The five largest splays (>100 ha) deposited as much as 2.4 m of sand. Ground-penetrating radar profiles of the largest splay indicate that it consisted almost entirely of overbank deposits exhibiting simple downstream accretion that buried the pre-flood soil under ≤ 1 m or less of sand. Locally, however, this soil was eroded during the flood. Climate models predict increasing winter precipitation in the Platte River basin; therefore, the frequency of major floods should increase, making splays recurrent hazards. Our geomorphic assessment of the splays on the lower Platte River illustrates the need for future hazard and mitigation planning.

滩涂--由无约束水流的过岸沉积作用产生的扇形沉积地貌--会破坏建筑物、降低耕地质量并产生大量的减灾成本。随着大洪水的规模和频率不断增加,许多河流沿岸与飞溅相关的危害可能会加剧。在洪水日益频繁和剧烈的不断变化的世界中,对辫状河上的飞溅现象的了解非常不全面,这是一个明显的知识空白。2019 年 3 月,普拉特河下游(美国内布拉斯加州东部)以沙为主的辫状河流发生了有记录以来最大的洪水,原因是在一次极端的雨雪交加的炸弹气旋事件中,深厚潮湿的积雪迅速融化。这次洪水造成了 32 处大型(多达 234 公顷)塌方,将建筑物和农田掩埋在沙土之下。共有 1,438 公顷的农作物被掩埋,相当于 120 万美元的收入损失。在 122 千米的河段上,这些飞溅区与河道的偏差从 14°到 104°不等。原有废弃河道的地形在很大程度上控制了大部分裂口的形状和方向,尽管森林地区往往会截留或转移沉积物。洪水侵蚀了其中 11 个缺口处 2.2 至 202 平方米-1 的河岸。五个最大的分水岭(>100 公顷)沉积了多达 2.4 米的泥沙。最大飞溅区的探地雷达剖面图显示,该飞溅区几乎完全由过岸沉积物组成,表现为简单的下游增生,将洪水前的土壤掩埋在≤ 1 米或更低的沙土之下。不过,在局部地区,这些土壤在洪水期间受到了侵蚀。根据气候模型预测,普拉特河流域的冬季降水量将不断增加;因此,大洪水的发生频率也会增加,从而使裂缝成为经常性灾害。我们对普拉特河下游飞溅处的地貌评估表明,未来需要进行防灾减灾规划。
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引用次数: 0
The feasibility of using national-scale datasets for classifying wetlands in Arizona with machine learning 利用国家级数据集对亚利桑那州湿地进行机器学习分类的可行性
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5985
Christopher E. Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Britt W. Smith, Jason Kreitler

The advent of machine learning techniques has led to a proliferation of landscape classification products. These approaches can fill gaps in wetland inventories across the United States (U.S.) provided that large reference datasets are available to develop accurate models. In this study, we tested the feasibility of expediting the classification process by sourcing requisite training and testing data from existing national-scale land cover maps instead of customized sample sets. We created a single map of water and wetland presence by intersecting water and wetland classes from available land cover products (National Wetland Inventory, Gap Analysis Project, National Land Cover Database and Dynamic Surface Water Extent) across the U.S. state of Arizona, which has fewer wetland-specific mapping products than other parts of the U.S. We derived classified samples for four wetland classes from the combined map: open water, herbaceous wetlands, wooded wetlands and non-wetland cover. In Google Earth Engine, we developed a random forest model that combined the training data with spatial predictor variables, including vegetation greenness indices, wetness indices, seasonal index variation, topographic parameters and vegetation height metrics. Results show that the final model separates the four classes with an overall accuracy of 86.2%. The accuracy suggests that existing datasets can be effectively used to compile machine learning training samples to map wetlands in arid landscapes in the U.S. These methods hold promise for the generation of wetland inventories at more frequent intervals, which could allow more nuanced investigations of wetland change over time in response to anthropogenic and climatic drivers.

机器学习技术的出现导致景观分类产品激增。只要有大量参考数据集来开发精确的模型,这些方法就能填补美国湿地清单中的空白。在本研究中,我们测试了通过从现有的国家级土地覆被图中获取必要的训练和测试数据,而不是定制样本集来加快分类过程的可行性。我们将美国亚利桑那州现有土地覆被产品(国家湿地清单、差距分析项目、国家土地覆被数据库和动态地表水范围)中的水和湿地类别进行交叉,创建了一张单一的水和湿地存在地图,亚利桑那州的湿地特定绘图产品比美国其他地区要少。在谷歌地球引擎中,我们开发了一个随机森林模型,将训练数据与空间预测变量(包括植被绿度指数、湿度指数、季节指数变化、地形参数和植被高度指标)相结合。结果表明,最终模型将四个等级分开,总体准确率为 86.2%。准确率表明,现有数据集可有效用于编制机器学习训练样本,以绘制美国干旱地貌中的湿地地图。这些方法有望以更频繁的间隔生成湿地清单,从而能够更细致地调查湿地随时间推移而发生的变化,以应对人为和气候驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Mind the information gap: How sampling and clustering impact the predictability of reach-scale channel types in California (USA) 注意信息差距:取样和聚类如何影响加利福尼亚(美国)河道类型的可预测性
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5984
Hervé Guillon, Belize Lane, Colin F. Byrne, Samuel Sandoval-Solis, Gregory B. Pasternack

Clustering and machine learning-based predictions are increasingly used for environmental data analysis and management. In fluvial geomorphology, examples include predicting channel types throughout a river network and segmenting river networks into a series of channel types, or groups of channel forms. However, when relevant information is unevenly distributed throughout a river network, the discrepancy between data-rich and data-poor locations creates an information gap. Combining clustering and predictions addresses this information gap, but challenges and limitations remain poorly documented. This is especially true when considering that predictions are often achieved with two approaches that are meaningfully different in terms of information processing: decision trees (e.g., RF: random forest) and deep learning (e.g., DNNs: deep neural networks). This presents challenges for downstream management decisions and when comparing clusters and predictions within or across study areas. To address this, we investigate the performance of RF and DNN with respect to the information gap between clustering data and prediction data. We use nine regional examples of clustering and predicting river channel types, stemming from a single clustering methodology applied in California, USA. Our results show that prediction performance decreases when the information gap between field-measured data and geospatial predictors increases. Furthermore, RF outperforms DNN, and their difference in performance decreases when the information gap between field-measured and geospatial data decreases. This suggests that mismatched scales between field-derived channel types and geospatial predictors hinder sequential information processing in DNN. Finally, our results highlight a sampling trade-off between uniformly capturing geomorphic variability and ensuring robust generalisation.

基于聚类和机器学习的预测越来越多地用于环境数据分析和管理。在河道地貌学中,例子包括预测整个河网的河道类型,以及将河网划分为一系列河道类型或河道形式组。然而,当相关信息在整个河网中分布不均时,数据丰富和数据贫乏地点之间的差异就会造成信息差距。将聚类和预测结合起来可以解决这一信息缺口,但其挑战和局限性仍鲜有记载。尤其是考虑到预测通常是通过两种在信息处理方面存在重大差异的方法来实现的:决策树(如 RF:随机森林)和深度学习(如 DNN:深度神经网络)。这给下游管理决策以及在研究区域内或跨研究区域比较聚类和预测带来了挑战。为此,我们研究了 RF 和 DNN 在聚类数据与预测数据之间的信息差距方面的性能。我们使用了九个聚类和预测河道类型的区域示例,这些示例源于在美国加利福尼亚州应用的单一聚类方法。结果表明,当实地测量数据与地理空间预测数据之间的信息差距增大时,预测性能就会下降。此外,RF 的性能优于 DNN,而且当实地测量数据与地理空间数据之间的信息差距缩小时,两者的性能差距也会缩小。这表明,野外获取的信道类型与地理空间预测因子之间不匹配的尺度阻碍了 DNN 的顺序信息处理。最后,我们的结果强调了在均匀捕捉地貌变异性和确保稳健泛化之间的取样权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Runoff and sediment reduction effects of different Paspalum wettsteinii-planting measures on the slopes of Masson pine plantation in the red soil region of southern China 在中国南方红壤地区的马尾松种植园山坡上采用不同的覆盆子种植措施对减少径流和泥沙的影响
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5959
Feihua Zhou, Ruibo Zha, Zehua Wu, Juan Wu, Qiang Lin, Jieling Wu, Liu Zhang, Liyuan Wang, Xuan Zha

Grass-planting measure is a crucial vegetation approach to mitigate understory soil erosion and improve ecological environment in the red soil region of southern China. This study aimed to quantify the effects of grass (Paspalum wettsteinii Hackel.)-planting measures on runoff and sediment reduction on slopes of Masson pine plantations under rainstorm conditions. We conducted a rainfall simulation experiment at a rainfall intensity of 2.0 mm/min, comparing single strip (MT1, strip spacing: 145 cm), double strips (MT2, strip spacing: 70 cm), and triple strips (MT3, strip spacing: 45 cm) grass-planting measures on slope surface runoff generation and soil erosion processes of the young Masson pine (MT0, no grass strip) plantation, and the bare slope (CK) was selected as the control. Results revealed that grass-planting measures significantly decreased slope erosion parameters compared to CK and MT0. As the average grass coverage increased (MT1 from 10% to 25%, MT2 from 7.5% to 22.5%, MT3 from 7.3% to 25%), the slope surface erosion parameters under the grass-planting measures decreased, resulting in significantly improved runoff and sediment reduction benefits. The runoff reduction effect could reach 32%, while the sediment reduction effect could reach 88%. Moreover, MT3 demonstrated superior performance over MT2 and MT1, with minimal runoff and sediment reduction effects observed for the MT0. Overall, this study suggests that grass-planting measures, coupled with the increasing of grass coverage rates, significantly improve runoff and sediment reduction benefits on slopes in regions experiencing heavy rainfall. Among the tested configurations, MT3 emerged as most effective measure for controlling understory soil erosion in Masson pine plantations, especially when its average grass coverage rate reached 25%. These findings provide valuable insights for selecting appropriate grass-planting strategies, as well as for understanding the underlying mechanisms of how these measures mitigate soil erosion. This scientific reference will aid in the design and implementation of soil and water conservation measures in the region.

在中国南方红壤地区,植草措施是减轻林下水土流失、改善生态环境的重要植被措施。本研究旨在量化暴雨条件下马尾松种植园坡面植草措施对径流和泥沙减少的影响。我们在降雨强度为 2.0 毫米/分钟的条件下进行了降雨模拟实验,比较了单带(MT1,带间距:145 厘米)、双带(MT2,带间距:70 厘米)和三带(MT3,带间距:45 厘米)植草措施对幼年马松(MT0,无草带)种植园坡面径流产生和土壤侵蚀过程的影响,并选择裸坡(CK)作为对照。结果表明,与 CK 和 MT0 相比,植草措施显著降低了坡面侵蚀参数。随着平均植草覆盖率的增加(MT1 从 10% 增加到 25%,MT2 从 7.5% 增加到 22.5%,MT3 从 7.3% 增加到 25%),植草措施下的坡面侵蚀参数也随之降低,从而显著提高了径流和沉积物的减少效果。径流减少效果可达 32%,泥沙减少效果可达 88%。此外,MT3 的表现优于 MT2 和 MT1,而 MT0 的径流和泥沙减少效果则微乎其微。总之,这项研究表明,在暴雨地区的斜坡上,植草措施与提高草覆盖率相结合,可显著提高径流和泥沙减少效果。在测试的配置中,MT3 是控制马松种植园林下土壤侵蚀最有效的措施,尤其是当其平均植草覆盖率达到 25% 时。这些发现为选择适当的植草策略以及了解这些措施如何减轻土壤侵蚀的内在机制提供了宝贵的见解。这一科学参考资料将有助于该地区水土保持措施的设计和实施。
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引用次数: 0
Applicability of the longitudinal profile–based cirque classification—A test with large cirque datasets in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau 基于纵剖面的圈层分类法的适用性--青藏高原东南部大型圈层数据集测试
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5991
Tian Jia, Ping Fu, Cheng-Zhi Qin

Accurate cirque classification is essential for understanding their formation and palaeoclimatic implications. Longitudinal-profile-based cirque classification offers advantages over expert classification and parameter-based methods. This classification fits exponential or power functions to cirque profiles, employing linear classifiers based on the exponential coefficient (c-value) and cirque height, or a threshold approach based on the power coefficient (b-value) to classify cirques and non-cirques. However, previous studies were limited to small sample sets. Our study extends this methodology to more extensive datasets on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, evaluating its effectiveness across two larger sample sets. Both c-value and b-value based methods are tested with two classifiers: the original classifier from previous studies and the parameter-refitted classifier trained by datasets of this study. The results show that the c-value-based method effectively classifies typical cirques and non-cirques, with notable enhancements in performance based on the refitted classifier compared to the original one. The b-value-based method with the refitted classifier performs well in typical cirque identification but is less effective for non-cirques compared to the original classifier. For all-type cirques and non-cirques, both methods demonstrated improved performance in non-cirque classification although there was a slight trade-off of cirque classification. Additionally, c-value based non-linear classifiers and b-value optimal threshold for classifying cirque and non-cirque have been developed, and their improved performance in this classification is discussed. Overall, the longitudinal-profile-based classification is more effective for typical cirques and non-cirques, with potentials for further improvement by considering additional spatial structure information of cirques.

准确的海蚀圈分类对于了解海蚀圈的形成和古气候影响至关重要。与专家分类法和基于参数的方法相比,基于纵向剖面的峡谷分类法更具优势。这种分类方法将指数函数或幂函数拟合到岩圈剖面上,采用基于指数系数(c 值)和岩圈高度的线性分类器,或基于幂系数(b 值)的阈值方法来划分岩圈和非岩圈。不过,以前的研究仅限于小样本集。我们的研究将这一方法扩展到了青藏高原东南部更广泛的数据集上,在两个更大的样本集上评估了其有效性。基于 c 值和 b 值的方法用两种分类器进行了测试:一种是以前研究中的原始分类器,另一种是本研究数据集训练的参数修正分类器。结果表明,基于 c 值的方法能有效地对典型和非典型椎间盘突出进行分类,与原始分类器相比,基于改良分类器的方法性能明显提高。与原始分类器相比,基于 b 值的方法和改良分类器在识别典型海蚀圈方面表现良好,但对非海蚀圈的识别效果较差。对于所有类型的盘旋和非盘旋,两种方法在非盘旋分类方面的性能都有所提高,但在盘旋分类方面略有折衷。此外,还开发了基于 c 值的非线性分类器和 b 值最佳阈值,用于对圆形和非圆形进行分类,并讨论了它们在该分类中的改进性能。总体而言,基于纵向剖面的分类方法对典型的堰塞湖和非堰塞湖更为有效,通过考虑堰塞湖的其他空间结构信息,还有进一步改进的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Holocene hillslope evolution through extreme rainfall induced landslides in the mountainous region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Geochronology and paleoenvironmental evidence 巴西里约热内卢山区全新世山坡在极端降雨诱发的山体滑坡中的演变:地质年代和古环境证据
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5975
Ana Carolina Facadio, Ana Luiza Coelho Netto, Kita Damasio Macario, Karoline Mayume Ishimine, Ortrud Monika Barth, Renata Jou

Geomorphological, geochronological and paleoenvironmental data were integrated to examine how Holocene environmental changes have influenced geomorphic responses, particularly recurrent landslides and colluvial deposition on the steep slopes of the Rio de Janeiro mountains. This study focuses on a pilot hillslope (32°) with a concave-up topographic hollow and associated shallow translational landslides, enhancing our understanding of how extreme climatic events shaped landscape evolution in the region prior to significant human impact. Recently, the hillslope was reactivated by a shallow landslide triggered by the extreme rainfall event of January 2011, which resulted in over 3600 landslides in the region. Subsequent deep gullying exposed a deposit (>3 m) containing buried, organic-rich colluvial layers. Comprehensive analysis was conducted on sedimentological, geochronological (AMS 14C), palynological, taphonomic and carbon isotope (δ13C) data from this deposit. The geochronological results indicate that the hillslope's evolution involves recurrent shallow translational landslides throughout the Holocene, with organic colluvial layers dating from 10 148 cal years BP at the base to 663 cal years BP at the top. Charcoal fragments of various sizes suggest frequent paleofires during the Holocene. Palynological and taphonomic analyses reveal post-fire herbaceous-shrubby vegetation and ferns (Asteraceae, Poaceae, Alchornea, Baccharis, Celtis and Polypodium), with predominant pollen grains and spores showing mechanical damage indicative of high transport energy and physical stress conditions. The rarefied post-fire vegetation and pioneer forest genera identified in the deposit are associated with a hydrological and mechanical dynamics that likely created less stable conditions on the slope system, promoting the occurrence of shallow landslides throughout the Holocene.

综合地貌学、地质年代和古环境数据,研究全新世环境变化如何影响地貌反应,特别是里约热内卢山区陡坡上的经常性滑坡和冲积沉积。这项研究的重点是一个具有凹上地形凹陷和相关浅层平移滑坡的试点山坡(32°),以加深我们对极端气候事件如何在人类造成重大影响之前塑造该地区地貌演变的了解。最近,该山坡因 2011 年 1 月的极端降雨事件引发的浅层滑坡而重新活跃起来,这次降雨事件导致该地区发生了 3600 多处滑坡。随后的深层沟壑暴露出一个沉积物(>3 米),其中含有被掩埋的富含有机物的冲积层。对该沉积物的沉积学、地质年代学(AMS 14C)、古植物学、岩石学和碳同位素(δ13C)数据进行了综合分析。地质年代学结果表明,山坡的演变涉及整个全新世的反复浅层平移滑坡,有机冲积层的年代从底部的公元前 10 148 年到顶部的公元前 663 年不等。不同大小的木炭碎片表明全新世期间古火灾频繁。古植物学和岩石学分析显示,火灾后出现了草本灌木植被和蕨类植物(菊科、禾本科、蕨类、桦木、盾叶蕨和多孔蕨),主要的花粉粒和孢子出现了机械损伤,表明了高运输能量和物理应力条件。在沉积物中发现的稀有火后植被和先锋林属与水文和机械动力有关,这种动力很可能导致斜坡系统的稳定性降低,从而在整个全新世促进了浅层滑坡的发生。
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引用次数: 0
Tsunami propagation and flooding maps: An application for the Island of Lampedusa, Sicily Channel, Italy 海啸传播和洪水地图:意大利西西里海峡兰佩杜萨岛的应用
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5996
Laura Borzì, Pietro Scala, Salvatore Distefano, F. X. Anjar Tri Laksono, Giorgio Manno, Sara Innangi, Fabiano Gamberi, János Kovács, Giuseppe Ciraolo, Agata Di Stefano

The Mediterranean coastlines are densely populated zones which host key socio-economic and commercial activities. For this reason, coastal areas are vulnerable sites in case of natural disasters as tsunamis that can strike coasts causing widespread damage to the population and facilities. For these reasons, several studies were performed over the last decade to study the impact of tsunami waves on the coasts. This research assessed the inundation risk due to a tsunami wave which can hit the southeastern coast of Lampedusa Island. The coastal low-lying geomorphological setting of the southeastern part of the island led to significant socio-economic growth, but Lampedusa falls within the Mediterranean Sea, a high-tsunamigenic area, therefore, the need to investigate tsunami propagation and coastal flooding of this sensitive site emerged. For this scope, a calculation chain model was implemented incorporating three steps: the DELFT-3D software for earthquake effects modelling, MIKE 21 Flow Model FM for nearshore propagation and HEC-RAS for onshore tsunami inundation modelling. The simulations illustrate the impact of three tsunami scenarios with different magnitudes (Mw 8.5, 7.5, 6.5) generated by hypothetical earthquakes in the Hellenic Arc. In the Mw 8.5 magnitude scenario, significant flooding occurs in the harbour region, with maximum water depths reaching approximately 3.5 m. The maximum water velocity in this scenario reaches about 15 m/s in the eastern portion, adjacent to cliffs impacted by the tsunami wave. In contrast, the Mw 7.5 magnitude scenario demonstrates reduced flooded areas, with the cliffs containing the waves and preventing further flooding. Water depths and velocities in the Mw 7.5 scenario remain minimal. Changes in both propagation and flooding are not significant between scenarios Mw 7.5 and Mw 6.5. This methodology can be employed for more accurate tsunami wave simulations not only in the Mediterranean region but also in various case studies.

地中海沿岸是人口稠密区,主要的社会经济和商业活动都在这里进行。因此,沿海地区在发生海啸等自然灾害时非常脆弱,海啸会袭击海岸,对居民和设施造成大面积破坏。因此,在过去的十年中进行了多项研究,以了解海啸波对海岸的影响。这项研究评估了可能袭击兰佩杜萨岛东南海岸的海啸波造成的淹没风险。兰佩杜萨岛东南部沿海低洼的地貌环境带来了显著的社会经济增长,但兰佩杜萨岛位于地中海,属于高海啸区,因此需要对这一敏感地区的海啸传播和沿海洪水进行研究。在这一范围内,实施了一个计算链模型,包括三个步骤:DELFT-3D 软件用于地震影响建模,MIKE 21 流量模型 FM 用于近岸传播,HEC-RAS 用于陆上海啸淹没建模。模拟结果显示了希腊弧地区假定地震引发的三种不同震级(8.5 级、7.5 级和 6.5 级)海啸的影响。在海啸威力为 8.5 级的情况下,港口地区会出现严重的洪水,最大水深约为 3.5 米。相比之下,在 7.5 级海啸情况下,由于悬崖挡住了海浪,防止了进一步的洪水泛滥,洪水淹没区域有所减少。7.5 级海啸的水深和流速仍然很小。7.5 级和 6.5 级地震的传播和洪水变化都不大。不仅在地中海地区,而且在各种案例研究中,都可以采用这种方法对海啸波进行更精确的模拟。
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引用次数: 0
Debris-flow fan channel avulsions: An important secondary erosional process along the Ichino-sawa torrent, Japan 泥石流扇形河道崩塌:日本一野泽激流沿岸重要的二次侵蚀过程
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5994
Haruka Tsunetaka, Norifumi Hotta, Fumitoshi Imaizumi, Yuichi S. Hayakawa

Sediment transported from debris-flow initiation zones is typically stored in a topographic feature called a debris-flow fan, the formation process of which governs secondary sediment transport further downstream. Although sediment transport from debris-flow fans can impact sediment regimes and change landforms, the determinants of progressive fan formation are not well constrained. To identify such determinants, this study monitored debris flows and performed topographic surveys of debris-flow fans in the Ichino-sawa torrent (Japan) during 2016–2017. In this period, eight debris flows occurred, two of which eroded the existing fan and formed a new channel with a short recurrence interval (~40 days). Consequently, these two cases induced substantial sediment transport further downstream from the fan. The examined rainfall indices did not provide a threshold for diagnosing the occurrence of such sediment transport. Debris flows with a large flow depth and a long duration led to changes in the runout direction and subsequently formed new channels. Before these processes, the existing channel was backfilled and plugged by previous debris flows, forming a steep fan surface around the fan apex. The results suggest that increasing the magnitude and the duration of debris flows potentially triggers sediment transport from fans coupled with channel plugging. The annual sediment transport from the fan exceeded almost all sediment yields of the world rivers and was found comparable with that linked with volcanic eruptions and their aftermath. Thus, the fan-formation process can induce substantial sediment transport, independent of volcanic perturbations and extreme climatic events, and is dependent on the sediment supply from repeated occurrence of debris flows in the initiation zones.

从泥石流起始区运出的沉积物通常会被储存在一个被称为泥石流扇的地形特征中,其形成过程会影响下游的二次沉积物运移。虽然泥石流扇的沉积物搬运会影响沉积物系统并改变地貌,但逐步形成泥石流扇的决定因素并不明确。为了确定这些决定因素,本研究在 2016-2017 年期间对一野泽洪流(日本)的泥石流进行了监测,并对泥石流扇进行了地形测量。在此期间,共发生了八次泥石流,其中两次侵蚀了现有扇面,并形成了新的河道,且重现间隔很短(约 40 天)。因此,这两次泥石流造成了大量沉积物从扇面向下游迁移。所考察的降雨指数并没有为诊断这种泥沙淤积的发生提供阈值。流速大、持续时间长的泥石流会改变流向,进而形成新的河道。在这些过程之前,现有河道已被之前的泥石流回填和堵塞,在扇形顶点周围形成了陡峭的扇形表面。研究结果表明,增加泥石流的规模和持续时间可能会引发泥沙从扇面迁移,同时造成河道堵塞。扇面的年泥沙输移量几乎超过了世界上所有河流的泥沙输移量,并与火山爆发及其后的泥沙输移量相当。因此,扇形的形成过程可以引起大量的泥沙输运,不受火山扰动和极端气候事件的影响,并且取决于起始区反复出现的泥石流所提供的泥沙。
{"title":"Debris-flow fan channel avulsions: An important secondary erosional process along the Ichino-sawa torrent, Japan","authors":"Haruka Tsunetaka,&nbsp;Norifumi Hotta,&nbsp;Fumitoshi Imaizumi,&nbsp;Yuichi S. Hayakawa","doi":"10.1002/esp.5994","DOIUrl":"10.1002/esp.5994","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Sediment transported from debris-flow initiation zones is typically stored in a topographic feature called a debris-flow fan, the formation process of which governs secondary sediment transport further downstream. Although sediment transport from debris-flow fans can impact sediment regimes and change landforms, the determinants of progressive fan formation are not well constrained. To identify such determinants, this study monitored debris flows and performed topographic surveys of debris-flow fans in the Ichino-sawa torrent (Japan) during 2016–2017. In this period, eight debris flows occurred, two of which eroded the existing fan and formed a new channel with a short recurrence interval (~40 days). Consequently, these two cases induced substantial sediment transport further downstream from the fan. The examined rainfall indices did not provide a threshold for diagnosing the occurrence of such sediment transport. Debris flows with a large flow depth and a long duration led to changes in the runout direction and subsequently formed new channels. Before these processes, the existing channel was backfilled and plugged by previous debris flows, forming a steep fan surface around the fan apex. The results suggest that increasing the magnitude and the duration of debris flows potentially triggers sediment transport from fans coupled with channel plugging. The annual sediment transport from the fan exceeded almost all sediment yields of the world rivers and was found comparable with that linked with volcanic eruptions and their aftermath. Thus, the fan-formation process can induce substantial sediment transport, independent of volcanic perturbations and extreme climatic events, and is dependent on the sediment supply from repeated occurrence of debris flows in the initiation zones.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"49 14","pages":"4759-4775"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142251631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of geomorphological classification uncertainty using rough set theory: A case study of Shaanxi Province, China 利用粗糙集理论评估地貌分类的不确定性:中国陕西省案例研究
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1002/esp.5965
Jilong Li, Shan He, Han Wu, Jiaming Na, Hu Ding

Geomorphological classification is affected by classification principles, indicators, methods, and data resolution, which can lead to uncertainty in the results. Such uncertainty directly affects the quality and subsequent applications of geomorphological classification. To quantify and control the uncertainty, it is important to select an appropriate and effective method for evaluating the uncertainty of geomorphological classification. This study evaluated the uncertainty of geomorphological classification of Shaanxi Province at the ground-feature class and image scales, which derived from rough set theory: rough entropy, approximate classification quality, and approximate classification accuracy. The three indicators helped effectively assess the uncertainty of geomorphological classification at multi-scale and measured the degree to which different factors affected the uncertainty of geomorphological classification. The relative impacts of three factors on the uncertainty of classification decreased in the order of classification methods, data resolution, and classification indicators. This finding is helpful to objectively evaluate and control the uncertainty generated in the process and results of geomorphological classification, and can provide targeted reference and guidance for future geomorphological classification work, which is more conducive to decision-making and application. At the same time, this study is also a beneficial supplement to the geomorphological research based on digital terrain analysis.

地貌分类受分类原则、指标、方法和数据分辨率的影响,会导致结果的不确定性。这种不确定性会直接影响地貌分类的质量和后续应用。为了量化和控制不确定性,必须选择合适有效的方法来评估地貌分类的不确定性。本研究对陕西省地貌分类在地物等级和图像尺度上的不确定性进行了评估,评估指标来源于粗糙集理论:粗糙熵、近似分类质量和近似分类精度。这三个指标有助于有效评估多尺度地貌分类的不确定性,衡量不同因素对地貌分类不确定性的影响程度。三个因素对分类不确定性的相对影响依次为分类方法、数据分辨率和分类指标。这一发现有助于客观评价和控制地貌分类过程和结果中产生的不确定性,可为今后的地貌分类工作提供有针对性的参考和指导,更有利于决策和应用。同时,本研究也是对基于数字地形分析的地貌研究的有益补充。
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引用次数: 0
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Earth Surface Processes and Landforms
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