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Clean energy, emission trading policy, and CO2 emissions: Evidence from China 清洁能源、排放权交易政策和二氧化碳排放:来自中国的证据
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221094581
Feiyi Yang, Chunchen Wang
This paper constructs a unique dataset of clean energy and adopts static panel models and dynamic panel specifications to explore the correlation between clean energy and CO2 emissions. Furthermore, this paper employs the interaction term of pilot areas and pilot time as the proxy of emission trading policy to examine the effect of China’s emission trading pilot on clean energy. Then, this paper conducts quasi-natural experiments on CO2 emissions. Our findings show a negative correlation between CO2 emissions and clean energy. We also find that China’s emission trading pilot has a significant impact on promoting clean energy. In addition, empirical results affirm that emission trading market pilots can help decrease CO2 emissions. Finally, we put forwards relevant policy recommendations.
本文构建了一个独特的清洁能源数据集,采用静态面板模型和动态面板规范来探讨清洁能源与CO2排放的相关性。此外,本文采用试点地区与试点时间的交互作用项作为排放权交易政策的代理,考察了中国排放权交易试点对清洁能源的影响。然后,本文对CO2排放进行了准自然实验。我们的研究结果表明,二氧化碳排放与清洁能源之间存在负相关关系。我们还发现,中国的排放权交易试点对促进清洁能源发展具有显著的影响。此外,实证结果证实,碳排放交易市场试点有助于减少二氧化碳排放。最后,提出了相关政策建议。
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引用次数: 1
Biomass-based activated carbon for CO2 adsorption–A review 生物质活性炭对CO2的吸附研究进展
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221093465
R. Maniarasu, S. Rathore, S. Murugan
Biomass can be converted into energy, fuels, and value-added products by adopting proper conversion or production methods. For many years, biomass has been considered to be a good candidate for producing biochar or activated carbon. The awareness created on mitigation of carbon dioxide (CO2), which is the major cause of global warming, necessitated developing potential methods and materials for curbing CO2 originating from various sources. Adsorption is the most viable option to mitigate CO2 by using activated carbon which can be derived from various biomass sources. In recent years, activated carbon has been produced from different biomass substances by varying carbonization and activation duration, carbonization and activation temperature, impregnation ratio, and the concentration of the activating agent to improve its surface area and porosity. This review article provides a comprehensive review on utilization, production and characterization of biomass-based activated carbon for CO2 adsorption. Initially, the article discusses the review of research works carried out on utilization of biomass-based activated carbon for CO2 adsorption. Furthermore, the article presents the research works carried out on surface textural characteristics, physicochemical properties, and maximum adsorption capacity of activated carbon obtained from different biomass substances. Finally, the article presents the research works carried out related to the biomass-based activated carbon and the parameters significantly enhancing the CO2 adsorption performance.
通过采用适当的转化或生产方法,生物质可以转化为能源、燃料和增值产品。多年来,生物质一直被认为是生产生物炭或活性炭的良好候选材料。二氧化碳是全球变暖的主要原因,随着人们对减少二氧化碳的认识的提高,有必要开发抑制各种来源的二氧化碳的潜在方法和材料。吸附是最可行的选择,以减少二氧化碳通过使用活性炭,可以从各种生物质来源。近年来,利用不同的生物质物质,通过改变炭化活化时间、炭化活化温度、浸渍比、活化剂浓度等方法来提高活性炭的比表面积和孔隙率。本文综述了生物质基活性炭在CO2吸附方面的研究进展。本文首先对生物质活性炭吸附CO2的研究进展进行了综述。介绍了不同生物质原料制备的活性炭的表面结构特征、理化性质和最大吸附量等方面的研究工作。最后,介绍了生物质基活性炭的相关研究工作和显著提高CO2吸附性能的参数。
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引用次数: 4
Testing the role of economic complexity on the ecological footprint in China: a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach 检验经济复杂性对中国生态足迹的作用:一种非参数分位数因果关系方法
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-18 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221094573
S. Akadiri, T. Adebayo, Obioma Chinenyenwa Asuzu, Ijeoma Christina Onuogu, Izuchukwu Oji-Okoro
China is known for its large industrial sector and diversified energy mix, which could contribute to environmental pollution, as fossil fuels remain China's main source of energy. With the recent drive by the Chinese government to achieve low carbon emissions and further reduce greenhouse gases, this study adds to the existing literature by combining the quantile-on-quantile (QQ) regression and non-parametric techniques to examine the role of economic complexity, nonrenewables energy and renewable energy consumption on the ecological footprint in China over the period 1985Q1–2019Q4. Overall, results show that renewable energy, non-renewable energy use, economic growth and economic complexity affects ecological footprint positively. In addition, the nonparametric causality outcomes revealed that renewable energy, non-renewable energy use, economic growth and economic complexity can significantly predict variations in ecological footprint at different quantiles. We are of the opinion that policymakers in this region should work on the pro-growth mentality of China, which is majorly fossil fuel-driven. This requires an immediate replacement with more eco-friendly sources and energy-saving technologies for economic activities. Otherwise, fulfilling the SDG 13 goals in China will be challenging. For a sustainable renewable energy investment, China should shift to ancillary and spot markets, where the low energy storage and low marginal cost of renewable energy could facilitate higher reduction in electricity cost and encourage higher trading of electricity.
中国以其庞大的工业部门和多样化的能源结构而闻名,这可能会造成环境污染,因为化石燃料仍然是中国的主要能源来源。在中国政府推动实现低碳排放和进一步减少温室气体排放的背景下,本研究在现有文献的基础上,结合QQ回归和非参数技术,研究了1985年第一季度至2019年第四季度经济复杂性、不可再生能源和可再生能源消费对中国生态足迹的影响。总体而言,可再生能源、不可再生能源利用、经济增长和经济复杂性对生态足迹具有正向影响。此外,非参数因果关系结果显示,可再生能源、不可再生能源利用、经济增长和经济复杂性可以显著预测生态足迹在不同分位数上的变化。我们认为,该地区的政策制定者应该学习中国的促增长心态,因为中国主要依靠化石燃料。这就需要在经济活动中立即用更环保的资源和节能技术来替代。否则,在中国实现可持续发展目标13将是一项挑战。对于可持续的可再生能源投资,中国应该转向辅助市场和现货市场,在那里,可再生能源的低储能和低边际成本可以促进更高的电力成本降低,并鼓励更高的电力交易。
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引用次数: 53
Predictive analysis of the industrial water-waste-energy system using an optimised grey approach: A case study in China 基于优化灰色方法的工业水-废水-能源系统预测分析:以中国为例
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-18 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221094666
Wen-ze Wu, C. Liu, Wanli Xie, M. Goh, Tao Zhang
To estimate the dynamic trend of industrial water-waste-energy (hereinafter referred to as WWE) system, this paper proposes a new method for forecasting specific indicators in such a system. First, the fractional accumulated generation operator, fractional derivative and classic nonlinear grey Bernoulli model are simultaneously coupled to develop an optimised nonlinear grey Bernoulli model that identifies the nonlinear trends in industrial WWE systems. Second, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is employed to determine the optimal model parameters in the newly-designed model. Based on this, simulation studies are conducted to examine the stability of the proposed model. Finally, the model is applied in the industrial WWE system. The results demonstrate that (1) the proposed model outperforms other competitive models in terms of error-value metrics and (2) industrial water use and industrial energy consumption will increase, whereas industrial wastewater discharge will decline. Furthermore, the rationality of the predicted results redis analyzed from a policy perspective.
为了估计工业水-废-能(以下简称WWE)系统的动态趋势,本文提出了一种预测该系统具体指标的新方法。首先,将分数阶累积生成算子、分数阶导数和经典非线性灰色伯努利模型同时耦合,建立了一个优化的非线性灰色伯努利模型,用于识别工业WWE系统的非线性趋势。其次,采用粒子群优化算法确定新模型的最优模型参数;在此基础上,进行了仿真研究,验证了所提模型的稳定性。最后,将该模型应用于工业WWE系统。结果表明:(1)该模型在误差值度量方面优于其他竞争模型;(2)工业用水量和工业能耗将增加,而工业废水排放量将下降。并从政策角度分析了预测结果的合理性。
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引用次数: 1
ICT, carbon emissions, climate change, and energy demand nexus: The potential benefit of digitalization in Taiwan 资讯通讯科技、碳排放、气候变迁与能源需求关系:数位化在台湾的潜在效益
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-13 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221093458
R. Adha, Cheng-Yih Hong, Somya Agrawal, Li-Hua Li
The global rise in energy consumption makes managing energy demands a priority. Here, the potential of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) in controlling energy consumption is still debated. Within this context, the main objective of the current study is to measure the impact of ICT, its potential benefit, and environmental factors on household electricity demand in Taiwan. A panel of data from 20 cities in Taiwan was collected during the period 2004–2018. We adopted PMG estimation and applied the DH-causality test for analysis. The estimation results show that ICT, carbon emissions, and climate change will drive household electricity demand in Taiwan in the long term. However, ICT has a higher potential to reduce electricity demand in the short-term period. In addition, the results of the causality test reveal a two-way interrelationship between ICT and electricity demand. Our study also found that climate change indirectly affects the use of electricity through household appliances. We also presented several policy implications at the end of this paper.
全球能源消费的增长使得管理能源需求成为当务之急。在这里,信息和通信技术(ICT)在控制能源消耗方面的潜力仍在争论中。在此背景下,本研究的主要目的是衡量ICT对台湾家庭电力需求的影响、潜在效益和环境因素。2004年至2018年期间,台湾20个城市收集了一组数据。我们采用PMG估计,并采用dh -因果检验进行分析。结果显示,ICT、碳排放与气候变迁将长期驱动台湾家庭用电需求。然而,信息通信技术在短期内具有更大的减少电力需求的潜力。此外,因果关系检验的结果揭示了ICT与电力需求之间的双向相互关系。我们的研究还发现,气候变化间接影响家用电器的用电。在本文的最后,我们还提出了几个政策含义。
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引用次数: 7
Creating portfolios of firm-specific energy R&D investment under market uncertainty 建立市场不确定性下企业能源研发投资组合
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-11 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221092401
Young Gwan Lee, Kihyun Park, Hyun Jae Kim, Seong‐Hoon Cho
This research determines the optimal distribution of firm-specific energy research and development (R&D) investment that balances firms’ return and risk under market-induced uncertainty. We focus on creating optimal portfolios of target firms and their optimal energy R&D investments that maximize their return on investments (ROIs) for given levels of risk. We employ a stochastic optimization framework that maximizes firms’ ROIs for energy R&D investment, measured by the ratio of the number of patents issued for energy technologies to the amount of annual energy R&D expenditures, for 78 energy firms in South Korea between 2006 and 2017. The findings from our mean-standard deviation tradeoff frontiers are summarized as follows: 1) the tradeoff ratio increases as the weights shift from 100% on maximizing expected ROI toward 100% on minimizing its standard deviation regardless of market conditions and 2) the tradeoff ratio during the downturn is higher than during the upturn. These findings suggest that firms mitigate market-induced risk with a smaller sacrifice in the expected number of issued patents when the initial weight is primarily on maximizing expected ROIs and when the market is experiencing an upturn instead of a downturn. From the distribution patterns of prioritized firms for the two extreme risk preference points along the upturn and downturn tradeoff frontiers, we find that the target firms shift under different market conditions and risk assumptions. These priority shifts highlight the importance of decision-maker flexibility in structuring firms’ portfolios to support energy R&D, depending on the governments’ risk tolerances and market conditions.
本研究确定了在市场不确定性下平衡企业收益与风险的企业特定能源研发投资的最优配置。我们专注于创建目标公司的最佳投资组合及其最佳能源研发投资,以在给定风险水平下最大化其投资回报率(roi)。我们采用了一个随机优化框架,以2006年至2017年间韩国78家能源公司的能源技术专利数量与年度能源研发支出之比来衡量企业能源研发投资的roi最大化。我们的均值-标准差权衡前沿的研究结果总结如下:1)权衡比率随着权重从100%(最大化预期投资回报率)转向100%(最小化其标准差)而增加,无论市场状况如何;2)经济低迷时期的权衡比率高于经济好转时期。这些发现表明,当最初的权重主要放在最大化预期投资回报率上,并且当市场正在经历上升而不是低迷时,企业通过较小的预期已发行专利数量牺牲来减轻市场引发的风险。从两个极端风险偏好点在上行和下行权衡边界上的优先企业分布模式来看,目标企业在不同的市场条件和风险假设下发生了转移。这些优先级的转变凸显了决策者在构建企业投资组合以支持能源研发方面的灵活性的重要性,这取决于政府的风险承受能力和市场条件。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental sustainability in Asian countries: Understanding the criticality of economic growth, industrialization, tourism import, and energy use 亚洲国家的环境可持续性:了解经济增长、工业化、旅游进口和能源使用的重要性
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-11 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221091543
Daberechi Chikezie Ekwueme, T. Lasisi, K. Eluwole
This paper examines the causation between economic growth, tourism import, industrialization, renewable energy, non-renewable energy use, trade openness, and environmental sustainability which is proxied by carbon emissions for 8 Asian countries (China, Japan, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) over 20 years. Causal relations were tested using Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive distributive lag model (PMG-ARDL) and Dumitrescu and Hurlin's (2012) panel granger causality test The PMG-ARDL model results reveal that in the long-run renewable energy usage, economic growth, and trade have a significant negative influence on the emission of carbon, while non-renewable energy usage, tourism import, and industrialization exhibit a significant positive impact on CO2 emissions of the sampled Asian countries. In the short run, renewable energy has a significant negative influence on CO2 emissions. While economic growth exhibit a significant positive influence on carbon emissions in the short-run. Furthermore, the Granger causality analysis reveals that there is a feedback mechanism between industrialization, tourism import, non-renewable energy, renewable energy, and CO2 emissions meaning that the future dynamics of carbon emissions in the sampled countries can be significantly explained by industrialization, tourism import, renewable energy, and non-renewable energy. Contrarily, trade and economic growth are good to explain the dynamics of carbon effusion of the sampled Asian countries in the future but without feedback. It is recommended that policymakers in Asian countries should formulate stringent environmental policies that will encourage industries in these countries to utilize clean energy sources so that economic growth will be achieved simultaneously with carbon neutrality.
本文以中国、日本、印度、印度尼西亚、韩国、菲律宾、泰国和越南等8个亚洲国家20年来的碳排放为代表,研究了经济增长、旅游进口、工业化、可再生能源、不可再生能源使用、贸易开放和环境可持续性之间的因果关系。采用集合均值组自回归分布滞后模型(PMG-ARDL)和Dumitrescu and Hurlin(2012)面板格兰杰因果检验检验因果关系。PMG-ARDL模型结果显示,在长期内,可再生能源使用、经济增长和贸易对碳排放具有显著的负向影响,而不可再生能源使用、旅游进口和工业化对样本亚洲国家的二氧化碳排放具有显著的正向影响。从短期来看,可再生能源对二氧化碳排放有显著的负面影响。经济增长在短期内对碳排放有显著的正向影响。此外,格兰杰因果关系分析表明,工业化、旅游进口、不可再生能源、可再生能源和二氧化碳排放之间存在反馈机制,即工业化、旅游进口、可再生能源和不可再生能源可以显著地解释样本国家碳排放的未来动态。相反,贸易和经济增长很好地解释了样本亚洲国家未来的碳溢出动态,但没有反馈。建议亚洲国家的政策制定者制定严格的环境政策,鼓励这些国家的工业利用清洁能源,从而在实现经济增长的同时实现碳中和。
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引用次数: 5
A new look at asymmetric effect of oil price changes on inflation: Evidence from Malaysia 重新审视油价变动对通胀的不对称影响:来自马来西亚的证据
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221077336
S. Sek
The existing literature that examined the effect of oil price on domestic price inflation only focused on consumer price at an aggregate level. The studies that focused on producer and production levels, and based on disaggregated data are very lack. Besides, previous studies also mainly applied the linear regression approach in studying the effect of oil price. This study seeks to explore the mentioned issues by focusing on sectoral consumer (CPI), industrial (IPI), and producer (PPI) prices of Malaysia. The Markov-switching (MS) regression technique is applied. The models are innovated by incorporating the asymmetric effects of oil price changes. The results reveal different reactions of sectoral domestic price inflation to oil price changes. The oil price has asymmetric effects on domestic price inflation with higher impacts on industrial and producer prices than the consumer price. The effect is larger in sectors that have higher linkages with oil/ energy resources. These sectors are oil-intensive and are sensitive to oil price changes. Among these sectors are the CPI transportation sector, IPI manufacturing, and electrical sectors as well as PPI fuel, chemicals, and manufacturing sectors. However, oil is not the main factor causes to domestic inflation. The main determinants of inflation are real exchange rate, aggregate supply, and demand. Besides, the policy decisions are also influential on price stability. The sectors of CPI transportation, PPI animals & vegetable oils, and PPI fuel have a high tendency to increase prices and should be well-monitored.
现有的研究石油价格对国内物价通胀影响的文献只关注总体水平上的消费者价格。以生产者和生产水平为重点,并以分类数据为基础的研究非常缺乏。此外,以往的研究也主要采用线性回归的方法来研究油价的影响。本研究旨在通过关注马来西亚的部门消费者(CPI),工业(IPI)和生产者(PPI)价格来探讨上述问题。采用了马尔可夫切换(MS)回归技术。这些模型的创新之处在于纳入了石油价格变化的不对称效应。研究结果揭示了不同行业国内价格通胀对油价变化的不同反应。油价对国内价格通胀的影响不对称,对工业和生产者价格的影响大于对消费者价格的影响。在与石油/能源资源有较高联系的部门,这种影响更大。这些行业都是石油密集型行业,对油价变化非常敏感。这些部门包括CPI运输部门、IPI制造业、电气部门以及PPI燃料、化工和制造业部门。然而,石油并不是导致国内通货膨胀的主要因素。通货膨胀的主要决定因素是实际汇率、总供给和总需求。此外,政策决定对价格稳定也有影响。CPI类交通运输类、PPI类动植物油类、PPI类燃油类价格上涨趋势较大,应密切监控。
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引用次数: 4
Fracture energy of fiber-reinforced and rubberized cement-based composites: A sustainable approach towards recycling of waste scrap tires 纤维增强和橡胶水泥基复合材料的断裂能:废轮胎回收的可持续方法
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221089223
S. Asad, Ali Gillani, M. R. Riaz, R. Hameed, A. Qamar, A. Toumi, A. Turatsinze
Using crumb rubber particles obtained from end-of-life tires as aggregate in concrete can reduce the environmental overburden caused by the huge accumulation of these scrap tires. However, reduction in the mechanical properties of concrete is observed with the incorporation of rubber aggregates. To counter this detrimental effect of crumb rubber in concrete, amorphous metallic fibers are added to balance the loss in strength and durability issues. Mechanical characteristics along with the fracture energy of rubberized fiber-reinforced mortar are presented here. Four mortar mix compositions were investigated; the first one is reference mortar (control mortar), the second mix containing 30 kg/m3 of metallic fibers, the third mix containing 30% of rubber aggregates as replacement of sand by equivalent volume and fourth containing both rubber aggregates and metallic fibers with the dosage 30% and 30 kg/m3, respectively. Compression tests, modulus of elasticity and direct tension tests were conducted for mechanical characterization. Deformation capacity, residual post-cracking strength and fracture energy of these composite mortar mixes were evaluated through uniaxial direct tension tests. The fracture energy was determined from the obtained complete softening curves. Test results show a reduction in mechanical properties with the incorporation of crumb rubber as aggregates in mortar. However, a significant increase in fracture energy was observed in rubberized fiber-reinforced mortar mixes. Moreover, the mortar mixes containing both rubber aggregates and metallic fibers show positive synergetic effect resulting in enhanced post-cracking residual tensile strength, strain capacity and energy dissipation capacity.
使用废旧轮胎的橡胶颗粒作为混凝土的骨料,可以减少这些废旧轮胎的大量堆积所造成的环境覆盖。然而,橡胶集料掺入后,混凝土的力学性能下降。为了对抗混凝土中橡胶屑的这种有害影响,加入无定形金属纤维来平衡强度和耐久性问题的损失。给出了橡胶纤维增强砂浆的力学特性及断裂能。研究了四种砂浆配合比;第一种是参考砂浆(对照砂浆),第二种是含有30 kg/m3金属纤维的混合料,第三种是含有30%橡胶骨料的混合料,以等量代替沙子,第四种是橡胶骨料和金属纤维,用量分别为30%和30 kg/m3。进行了压缩试验、弹性模量试验和直接拉伸试验进行力学表征。通过单轴直拉试验,评价了复合砂浆的变形能力、开裂后残余强度和断裂能。根据得到的完整软化曲线确定断裂能。试验结果表明,在砂浆中掺入橡胶屑作为集料会降低其力学性能。然而,在橡胶纤维增强砂浆混合料中观察到断裂能显著增加。同时含有橡胶骨料和金属纤维的砂浆具有良好的协同作用,提高了砂浆的开裂后残余抗拉强度、应变能力和耗能能力。
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引用次数: 2
Evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model on the asymmetric influence of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy markets 基于非线性自回归分布滞后模型的新冠肺炎大流行第一波对能源市场不对称影响证据
IF 4.2 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-21 DOI: 10.1177/0958305X221087502
Dan Armeanu, Ș. C. Gherghina, J. Andrei, Camelia Cătălina Joldeș
The COVID-19 pandemic remained a global risk factor and integrated into various means in the functioning of companies, economies and financial markets. Therefore, this paper investigates how COVID-19 influences the energy market in the main financial markets (China, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the United States), using time series from February 28, 2020, to November 3, 2020. The goal of this research is to investigate the asymmetric impact of COVID-19 from leading financial markets on energy commodities. In this regard, the non-linear auto-regressive distributed lag (NARDL) framework is employed to capture the long-run asymmetric reactions. The econometric design allows to explore the long-term asymmetric reactions of dependent variables through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of changes in the explanatory variables. The quantitative results show a significant long-run asymmetric interdependence between the number of new SARS-CoV-2 incidence and mortality and the daily percent change in close price of future contracts pertaining to Brent oil, crude oil WTI, carbon emissions, gasoline RBOB, heating oil, Chukyo kerosene, and natural gas. Furthermore, no asymmetry is found in the case of ethanol and fuel oil futures. The novelty of this article is the study of the impact of COVID-19 on the energy sector during the first two waves of COVID-19 by applying the NARDL model that allows to capture long-term asymmetric reactions. Certainly, further research on this topic is necessary due to the permanent shifts in the pandemic, as well as the availability of longer data periods on COVID-19.
2019冠状病毒病大流行仍然是一个全球风险因素,并已融入企业、经济和金融市场运作的各种方式。因此,本文采用2020年2月28日至11月3日的时间序列,研究了COVID-19对主要金融市场(中国、法国、德国、意大利、西班牙和美国)能源市场的影响。本研究的目的是调查2019冠状病毒病对主要金融市场对能源大宗商品的不对称影响。在这方面,采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)框架来捕捉长期不对称反应。计量经济学设计允许通过解释变量变化的正负部分和分解来探索因变量的长期不对称反应。定量结果显示,新冠肺炎发病率和死亡率与布伦特原油、WTI原油、碳排放、汽油RBOB、取暖油、中京煤油和天然气期货合约的每日交割价格变化之间存在显著的长期不对称相互依赖关系。此外,在乙醇和燃料油期货中没有发现不对称。本文的新颖之处在于,通过应用NARDL模型研究了COVID-19在前两波疫情期间对能源部门的影响,该模型可以捕捉长期的不对称反应。当然,由于大流行的永久性变化,以及COVID-19数据周期的延长,有必要对这一主题进行进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
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