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The rapid growth in Mendelian randomization studies 孟德尔随机化研究的迅速发展
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01317-7
Gibran Hemani, Stefan Stender, Frank J. Wolters, Albert Hofman, George Davey Smith
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引用次数: 0
Are all ultra-processed foods created equal? Relevance of food processing and nutritional quality 所有的超加工食品都是一样的吗?食品加工与营养质量的相关性
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01327-5
Kenny Mendoza, Frank B. Hu
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引用次数: 0
Cohort profile and representativeness of participants in the Danish monozygotic twin study on migraine 丹麦单卵双胞胎偏头痛研究的队列概况和参与者的代表性
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01329-3
Isa Amalie Olofsson, Jes Olesen, Kaare Christensen, Eva R. Hoffmann, Thomas Folkmann Hansen
The Danish Monozygotic Twin Study on Migraine is a population-based twin study established in 2023–2024. The cohort was created to lay the foundation for innovative studies of the role of environmental, genetic, and epigenetic factors and their complex interactions in the pathogenesis of migraine. The aim of this paper is to describe data collection, content, characteristics of participants and to assess the representativeness of the cohort by comparing participants to non-responders. Danish monozygotic twins born between 1967 and 2000 were invited to participate. Self-reported questionnaires were sent out to 9,036 possible participants. The questionnaires assessed migraine and migraine subtypes, life satisfaction, resilience, stress, childhood trauma and the relationship of the participant to their family. Through linkage to the nationwide Danish registries the cohort contains individual level information on education, income, patient data from hospitals, prescription medication and childbirth. The Danish registries also enable longitudinal data collection on health outcomes. Individuals who responded to the migraine questionnaire were defined as participants. The cohort consists of 3,893 individuals, including 1,822 complete twin pairs, 1,173 individuals with migraine and 280 migraine discordant twin pairs. 123 participants were included in a substudy with a migraine diagnostic interview and collection of blood samples for both genetic and epigenetic studies. Comparison between participants and non-responders showed a higher participation rate among women. For both genders participants were older, had a higher level of education and a higher level of income compared to non-responders. Sociodemographic differences in participation should be considered to avoid biased estimates in future studies based on the cohort.
丹麦单卵双胞胎偏头痛研究是一项基于人群的双胞胎研究,建立于2023-2024年。该队列的建立是为了为环境、遗传和表观遗传因素及其在偏头痛发病机制中的复杂相互作用的创新研究奠定基础。本文的目的是描述数据收集,内容,参与者的特征,并通过比较参与者和无应答者来评估队列的代表性。1967年至2000年间出生的丹麦同卵双胞胎被邀请参与研究。自我报告的问卷被发送给9036名可能的参与者。问卷评估了偏头痛和偏头痛亚型、生活满意度、恢复力、压力、童年创伤以及参与者与家庭的关系。通过与丹麦全国登记机构的联系,该队列包含教育、收入、医院患者数据、处方药物和分娩等个人信息。丹麦的登记处还能够收集关于健康结果的纵向数据。回答偏头痛问卷的个人被定义为参与者。该队列由3893人组成,其中包括1822对完整双胞胎,1173名偏头痛患者和280名偏头痛不一致双胞胎。123名参与者被纳入了一项子研究,其中包括偏头痛诊断访谈和血液样本采集,用于遗传和表观遗传研究。参与者和无反应者之间的比较显示,女性的参与率更高。与无反应者相比,男女参与者年龄更大,受教育程度更高,收入水平更高。应考虑到参与的社会人口统计学差异,以避免在未来基于队列的研究中有偏见的估计。
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引用次数: 0
Chronic high consumption of energy drinks and cardiovascular risk in adolescents-results of the EDKAR-study. 青少年长期高消费能量饮料与心血管风险——edkar研究的结果
IF 5.9 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01292-z
Juliane Menzel, Fabian Spinka, Maria J Pie, Andrea Deichl, Sven Knüppel, Anke Ehlers, Britta Nagl, Frank Edelmann, Cornelia Weikert

In recent years, acute cardiovascular effects of high energy drink (ED) consumption have been described, but no data are available on chronic high consumption of EDs and cardiovascular risk in adolescents. As a first study, the present study investigated differences in a variety of cardiological parameters in adolescents (aged 15-18 years) with a chronic high consumption of EDs (ED consumption: ≥ four days/week for ≥ last 12 months, > 3 mg caffeine from EDs/kg bodyweight/day) compared to a control group. In study phase 1 of the cross-sectional EDKAR-study, data from 5100 pupils in Berlin (Germany) on their ED consumption and lifestyle factors were assessed using an online questionnaire. Based on these, adolescents with a chronic high ED consumption (n = 97) and a control group (n = 160) were cardiologically examined at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin. Blood pressure, heart rate, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters were assessed. Cardiological risk factors like educational background, smoking, alcohol consumption and sleep duration were investigated. The study noticed no significant and/or clinically relevant differences in any of the cardiological parameters e.g., heart rate (Chronic high ED consumption: Geometric mean (95%-CI): 74.8 BPM (68.5-81.8) vs. control group: 71.9 BPM (65.2-79.2), p = 0.23). However, half of the high consumers reported having experienced adverse effects after consuming EDs. Furthermore, adolescents with chronic high ED consumption reported a considerably higher intake of alcohol, higher smoking rates and shorter sleep duration in comparison to the control group. Accordingly, chronic high ED consumption is associated with lifestyle factors with a potential negative impact on the cardiovascular system.

近年来,高能量饮料(ED)消费对心血管的急性影响已被描述,但没有关于青少年长期高能量饮料消费和心血管风险的数据。作为第一项研究,本研究调查了与对照组相比,慢性高ED摄入量青少年(15-18岁)(ED摄入量:≥4天/周,≥过去12个月,从ED中摄取咖啡因3毫克/公斤体重/天)各种心脏病参数的差异。在横断面edkar研究的第一阶段研究中,使用在线问卷对来自德国柏林5100名学生的ED消费和生活方式因素进行了评估。在此基础上,慢性高ED消耗的青少年(n = 97)和对照组(n = 160)在charity - Universitätsmedizin Berlin进行了心脏病检查。评估血压、心率、心电图和超声心动图参数。研究人员调查了教育背景、吸烟、饮酒和睡眠时间等心脏病风险因素。该研究没有发现任何心脏参数的显著和/或临床相关差异,例如心率(慢性高ED消耗:几何平均值(95%-CI): 74.8 BPM (68.5-81.8) vs.对照组:71.9 BPM (65.2-79.2), p = 0.23)。然而,一半的高消费者报告说,在服用ed后出现了不良反应。此外,与对照组相比,慢性高ED青少年的酒精摄入量、吸烟率和睡眠时间都明显增加。因此,长期高ED消耗与生活方式因素有关,对心血管系统有潜在的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Moderate alcohol drinking and incident dementia: a risk assessment 适度饮酒与痴呆:风险评估
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01325-7
Tomoyuki Kawada
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引用次数: 0
Coffee and tea intake, circulating inflammatory biomarkers, and long-term risk of dementia: findings from two longitudinal studies. 咖啡和茶的摄入量、循环炎症生物标志物和痴呆的长期风险:两项纵向研究的结果。
IF 5.9 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01302-0
Minqing Yan, Jie Shen, Mengjia Zhao, Leqi Fei, Yuhui Huang, Minyu Wu, Ting Shen, Gulisiya Hailili, Dan Liu, Geng Zong, Yan Zheng, Dong Hang, Changzheng Yuan

The associations of coffee and tea intake with long-term risk of dementia have not been thoroughly established. Additionally, the potential mediating roles of circulating inflammatory biomarkers in these associations remain less explored. We included 6,001 participants from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS, 2013-2020) and 2,650 participants from the Framingham Heart Study Offspring cohort (FOS, 1998-2018), all free of dementia at baseline. Coffee and tea intake was assessed using a semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire in both cohorts. Dementia diagnosis was ascertained using a validated algorithm and clinical review panel. Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to evaluate the associations of coffee and tea intake with dementia. Mediation analysis was conducted to examine whether circulating inflammatory biomarkers mediated these associations. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years in HRS and 11.1 years in FOS, 231 individuals in HRS and 204 in FOS developed all-cause dementia. Compared with intake of less than 1 cup of coffee per day, consuming ≥ 2 cups daily had a 28-37% lower risk of dementia (Hazards ratio [HR] = 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.52, 0.99, P-trend = 0.045 in HRS; HR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.45, 0.90, P-trend = 0.015 in FOS). Compared to non-consumers, moderate tea consumption was associated with a lower dementia risk in HRS (HR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.48, 0.89 for > 0 to < 1 cup/day; HR = 0.53, 95% CI: 0.30, 0.94 for ≥ 1 to < 2 cups/day), but no significant association was observed in FOS. In the mediation analysis, the association between coffee intake and dementia was partially mediated by interleukin-10 (IL-10, 29.30%), Cystatin C (24.45%), C-reactive protein (CRP, 16.54%), interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA, 11.06%), and soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (sTNFR-1, 10.78%). In conclusion, higher coffee consumption (≥ 2 cups per day) is associated with a lower risk of dementia, partially mediated by a set of inflammatory biomarkers. Moderate intake of tea (0-2 cups per day) may relate to a lower risk of dementia. Further large-scale observational and interventional studies are warranted to confirm these findings.

咖啡和茶的摄入量与患痴呆症的长期风险之间的联系还没有完全确定。此外,循环炎症生物标志物在这些关联中的潜在介导作用仍然较少探索。我们纳入了来自健康与退休研究(HRS, 2013-2020)的6,001名参与者和来自弗雷明汉心脏研究后代队列(FOS, 1998-2018)的2,650名参与者,他们在基线时均无痴呆。在两个队列中,使用半定量食物频率问卷来评估咖啡和茶的摄入量。痴呆诊断是通过一个有效的算法和临床评审小组确定的。使用Cox比例风险模型来评估咖啡和茶摄入与痴呆的关系。进行中介分析以检查循环炎症生物标志物是否介导了这些关联。在HRS组中位随访时间为7.0年,FOS组中位随访时间为11.1年,HRS组中位随访时间为231年,FOS组中位随访时间为204年。与每天摄入少于1杯咖啡的人相比,每天饮用≥2杯咖啡的人患痴呆的风险降低28-37% (HRS的风险比[HR] = 0.72, 95%可信区间[CI]: 0.52, 0.99, p趋势= 0.045;FOS的风险比[HR] = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.45, 0.90, p趋势= 0.015)。与不喝茶的人相比,适度喝茶的人在HRS中患痴呆症的风险较低(HR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.48, 0.89)
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引用次数: 0
The early-onset cancer epidemics: evidence synthesis using the prospective cohort incident-tumor biobank method. 早发性癌症流行:使用前瞻性队列事件-肿瘤生物库方法的证据合成。
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01322-w
Shuji Ogino,Satoko Ugai,Tsuyoshi Hamada,Tomotaka Ugai
Tumors likely develop over years/decades, implying that assessing long-term exposure to risk factors is crucial in cancer epidemiology. An increasing trend of long-term risk factor exposures starting from early life since the mid-twentieth century appears to have contributed to the epidemics of early-onset cancer (EOC) worldwide. A rising incidence of EOC has been reported in various body sites such as the bone marrow, bile duct, breast, colorectum, esophagus, gallbladder, head and neck, kidney, liver, pancreas, stomach, and uterine corpus. To address an intractable gap between long-term exposure assessments and tumoral molecular/microenvironmental profiling in EOC research, here we describe a framework using the prospective cohort incident-tumor biobank method (PCIBM), which was recently conceptualized. The PCIBM enables prospective molecular pathological epidemiology research that can link long-term exposures with tumor pathogenic signatures. We illustrate this framework using the study of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC). First, one recognizes overlaps of the characteristics of EOCRC and later-onset counterparts. Second, EOCRC tumoral, multi-omic, or microenvironmental features are discovered and replicated. Third, using the PCIBM, long-term exposure variables are examined in relation to the incidence of all-age colorectal cancer subtypes possessing EOCRC tumoral features. Fourth, identified putative risk factors are tested for EOCRC incidence. This framework, which has provided etiological insights and advanced our understanding of EOCRC pathogenesis, is widely applicable to EOC in various organs. In addition, this research modality with artificial intelligence-driven computational tools should be used in lifecourse and other prospective cohort studies to improve our knowledge of EOC pathogenesis.
肿瘤可能在数年/数十年内形成,这意味着评估长期暴露于危险因素在癌症流行病学中至关重要。自20世纪中期以来,从生命早期开始长期接触危险因素的趋势日益增加,这似乎促成了世界范围内早发性癌症(EOC)的流行。据报道,EOC在骨髓、胆管、乳房、结直肠、食道、胆囊、头颈部、肾脏、肝脏、胰腺、胃和子宫等身体部位的发病率都在上升。为了解决EOC研究中长期暴露评估与肿瘤分子/微环境分析之间难以解决的差距,我们在这里描述了一个使用前瞻性队列事件-肿瘤生物银行方法(PCIBM)的框架,该方法最近被概念化。PCIBM使前瞻性分子病理流行病学研究能够将长期暴露与肿瘤致病特征联系起来。我们使用早发性结直肠癌(EOCRC)的研究来说明这一框架。首先,人们认识到EOCRC和晚发性对应物的特征重叠。其次,EOCRC肿瘤、多组学或微环境特征被发现和复制。第三,使用PCIBM,研究了长期暴露变量与具有EOCRC肿瘤特征的全年龄结直肠癌亚型发病率的关系。第四,对确定的假定危险因素进行EOCRC发病率检测。该框架提供了病因学上的见解,促进了我们对EOCRC发病机制的理解,广泛适用于各种器官的EOC。此外,这种人工智能驱动的计算工具的研究模式应该用于生命历程和其他前瞻性队列研究,以提高我们对EOC发病机制的认识。
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引用次数: 0
The association between a pro-inflammatory diet and brain age in middle-aged and older adults. 中老年人促炎饮食与大脑年龄的关系
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01318-6
Michelle M Dunk,Huijie Huang,Jiao Wang,Abigail Dove,Sakura Sakakibara,Jie Guo,Adrián Carballo-Casla,David A Bennett,Weili Xu
Pro-inflammatory diets are associated with cognitive decline and dementia, but their impact on brain aging is unclear. We investigated the association between a pro-inflammatory diet and brain age, taking into account age, genetic risk for dementia, and systemic inflammation. UK Biobank participants (N = 21,473) aged 40-70 years and free of neurological disorders were included. The Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII) was calculated from participants' average intake of 31 nutrients, assessed up to five times via 24-h recalls. Participants were categorized into four DII groups (group 1, anti-inflammatory, DII < -2; group 2, DII -2 to < 0; group 3, DII 0 to < 2; group 4, DII ≥ 2), with group 4 reflecting the most pro-inflammatory diet. Brain age was estimated using a machine learning model based on 1079 structural and functional MRI measures, obtained approximately 9 years after baseline. We calculated brain age gap (BAG; brain age minus chronological age), where BAG > 0 reflects a biologically older brain than chronological age. An Alzheimer's disease polygenic risk score (PRSAD), APOE4 status, and a composite score of systemic inflammation (INFLA-score) were determined from baseline blood samples. More pro-inflammatory diets were associated with increasingly greater BAG, with advanced brain age by [Formula: see text]=0.50 [95% CI 0.20, 0.80] years among those in group 4. There were no interactions between DII and age, PRSAD, or APOE4 in relation to BAG, but associations were stronger among adults ≥ 60 years. INFLA-score mediated 8% of the DII-BAG association. These findings suggest that a pro-inflammatory diet may accelerate brain aging, especially in older adults.
促炎饮食与认知能力下降和痴呆有关,但它们对大脑衰老的影响尚不清楚。考虑到年龄、痴呆的遗传风险和全身性炎症,我们调查了促炎饮食与脑年龄之间的关系。纳入英国生物银行参与者(N = 21,473),年龄40-70岁,无神经系统疾病。饮食炎症指数(DII)根据参与者的31种营养素的平均摄入量计算,通过24小时回忆评估多达5次。参与者被分为四个DII组(1组,抗炎组,DII < -2组;2组,DII -2至0反映了生理上比实际年龄大的大脑。从基线血液样本中确定阿尔茨海默病多基因风险评分(PRSAD)、APOE4状态和全身炎症综合评分(infla评分)。在第4组中,更多的促炎饮食与越来越大的BAG相关,与脑年龄的延长相关[公式:见原文]=0.50 [95% CI 0.20, 0.80]年。DII与年龄、PRSAD或与BAG相关的APOE4之间没有相互作用,但在≥60岁的成年人中相关性更强。infla评分介导了8%的DII-BAG关联。这些发现表明,促炎饮食可能会加速大脑衰老,尤其是在老年人中。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of long-term adherence to physical activity recommendations in midlife on plasma proteins associated with frailty in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. 社区动脉粥样硬化风险(ARIC)研究中,中年长期坚持体力活动建议对与虚弱相关的血浆蛋白的影响
IF 5.9 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01282-1
Fangyu Liu, Jennifer A Schrack, Keenan A Walker, Jeremy Walston, Rasika A Mathias, Michael E Griswold, Priya Palta, B Gwen Windham, John W Jackson

Clinical trials have shown favorable effects of exercise on frailty, supporting physical activity (PA) as a treatment and prevention strategy. Proteomics studies suggest that PA alters levels of many proteins, some of which may function as molecules in the biological processes underlying frailty. However, these studies have focused on structured exercise programs or cross-sectional PA-protein associations. Therefore, the effects of long-term PA on frailty-associated proteins remain unknown. Among 14,898 middle-aged adults, we emulated a target trial that assigned individuals to either (i) achieve and maintain the recommended PA level (≥ 150 min/week of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity [MVPA]) through 6 (± 0.3) years of follow-up or (ii) follow a "natural course" strategy, where all individuals engage in various amounts of habitual MVPA. We estimated the effects of long-term adherence to recommended MVPA versus the natural course strategy on 45 previously identified frailty-associated proteins at the end of the follow-up using inverse probability of weighting (IPW) and iterative conditional expectations (ICE). We found that long-term adherence to recommended MVPA improved the population levels of many frailty-associated proteins (ranged from 0.04 to 0.11 standard deviation); the greatest benefits were seen in proteins involved in the nervous system (e.g., voltage-dependent calcium channel subunit alpha-2/delta-3 [CACNA2D3], contactin-1 [CNTN1], neural cell adhesion molecule 1 [NCAM1], and transmembrane protein 132D [TMEM132D]) and inflammation (e.g., high-temperature requirement serine protease A1 [HTRA1] and C-reactive protein [CRP]). Our findings suggest improved nervous system and reduced inflammation as the biological basis of long-term engagement in adequate PA as an intervention strategy for frailty.

临床试验表明运动对虚弱有良好的影响,支持体育活动(PA)作为一种治疗和预防策略。蛋白质组学研究表明,PA改变了许多蛋白质的水平,其中一些蛋白质可能在潜在脆弱的生物过程中起分子作用。然而,这些研究都集中在有组织的锻炼计划或横断面pa蛋白关联上。因此,长期PA对脆弱相关蛋白的影响尚不清楚。在14898名中年人中,我们模拟了一项目标试验,将个体分配为(i)在6(±0.3)年的随访中达到并保持推荐的PA水平(≥150分钟/周的中高强度体育活动[MVPA]),或(ii)遵循“自然过程”策略,所有个体都参与不同量的习惯性MVPA。在随访结束时,我们使用加权逆概率(IPW)和迭代条件期望(ICE)估计了长期坚持推荐的MVPA与自然疗程策略对45种先前确定的脆弱相关蛋白的影响。我们发现,长期坚持推荐的MVPA可改善许多与虚弱相关的蛋白质的人群水平(范围为0.04至0.11标准差);最大的益处是涉及神经系统的蛋白质(如电压依赖性钙通道亚基α -2/ δ -3 [CACNA2D3]、接触蛋白-1 [CNTN1]、神经细胞粘附分子1 [NCAM1]和跨膜蛋白132D [TMEM132D])和炎症(如高温要求丝氨酸蛋白酶A1 [HTRA1]和c反应蛋白[CRP])。我们的研究结果表明,神经系统的改善和炎症的减少是长期参与足够的PA作为虚弱干预策略的生物学基础。
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引用次数: 0
Who got tested and who got sick? Sociodemographic inequalities in COVID-19 testing and hospitalization among 1.48 million individuals in Sweden. 谁接受了检测,谁生病了?瑞典148万人COVID-19检测和住院方面的社会人口不平等。
IF 13.6 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-025-01321-x
Olof M Östergren,Emilie Counil,Arizo Karimi,Tove Fall,Jonas Björk,Karl Gauffin
In the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, PCR testing served different purposes for individuals and for policy makers. Policy makers relied on testing for representative case numbers to track and mitigate the spread of the disease whereas individuals needed tests to protect themselves and others, or to travel or go work. Systematic differences in testing across population groups can bias case numbers, making it more difficult for policy makers to implement effective non-pharmaceutical interventions. We link records of 494 699 PCR-tests taken between 2020-07-01 and 2020-12-31 to individual records in several administrative registers for 1 480 126 working age individuals in the counties of Stockholm and Scania in Sweden. We estimate the likelihood of getting tested, test positivity rate and hospitalization risk by sex, household size, migration background, education, income and medical risk factors in the individual or in the household using regression models with age, occupation and neighbourhood as fixed effects. We find that testing behaviour vary independently by several demographic, socioeconomic and medical factors. Several groups that were at an elevated risk of being hospitalized for COVID-19, including men, individuals born outside Europe and those with low education, had low testing rates and high positivity rates. Numbers of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections reflect both infection rates and the testing behaviour of the population. To improve the utility of testing in future pandemics, policy makers may collect data on negative tests and dedicate part of the testing capacity for representative screening.
在COVID-19大流行的早期阶段,PCR检测对个人和决策者有不同的目的。决策者依靠检测具有代表性的病例数来跟踪和减轻疾病的传播,而个人需要检测来保护自己和他人,或旅行或上班。不同人群间检测的系统性差异可能导致病例数偏倚,使决策者更难实施有效的非药物干预措施。我们将2020年07月1日至2020年12月31日期间进行的494 699次pcr检测记录与瑞典斯德哥尔摩和斯堪尼亚县的1 480 126名工作年龄个人的几个行政登记处的个人记录联系起来。我们根据性别、家庭规模、移民背景、教育程度、收入和个人或家庭的医疗风险因素,使用以年龄、职业和社区为固定影响的回归模型,估计接受检测的可能性、检测阳性率和住院风险。我们发现,检测行为会因几个人口、社会经济和医学因素而独立变化。几个因COVID-19住院风险较高的群体,包括男性、在欧洲以外出生的人和受教育程度较低的人,检测率低,阳性率高。确诊的SARS-CoV-2感染人数反映了感染率和人群的检测行为。为了提高检测在未来大流行中的效用,决策者可以收集阴性检测的数据,并将部分检测能力用于代表性筛查。
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European Journal of Epidemiology
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