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Decomposition of Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions in ASEAN Based on Kaya Identity 基于Kaya恒等式的东盟二氧化碳排放分解
Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v4i2.122
Vivid Amalia Khusna, Deni Kusumawardani
ASEAN is a region with high carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, accompanied by an increase in population, gross domestic product (GDP) and energy consumption. Population, GDP, and energy consumption can be linked to CO2 emissions through an identity equation called the Rich Identity. This research is based on Kaya identity to describe CO2 emissions to calculate the impact of population, economic activity, energy intensity and carbon intensity on CO2 emissions in ASEAN and 8 ASEAN countries (i.e., Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Vietnam, Myanmar and Brunei Darussalam) from 1990 to 2017. The method used is the Logarithmic Mean Division Index (LMDI). The data used are from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the World Bank. Four effects measured and main findings showed that population, economic activity and carbon intensity factor increased by 293.02 MtCO2, 790.0 MtCO2, and 195.51 MtCO2, respectively. Meanwhile, energy intensity effect made ASEAN's CO2 emissions decrease by 283.13 MtCO2. Regarding contributions to the increase in CO2 emissions in all ASEAN countries, the population effect increases CO2 emissions in all countries in ASEAN and the economic activity effect is also the same, except in Brunei Darussalam which makes CO2 emissions in this country decreased by 1.07 MtCO2. Meanwhile, the effects of energy and carbon intensity are different. The effect of energy intensity causes CO2 emissions in lower-middle income countries to decrease, while in upper-middle and high-income countries, it increases carbon emissions. In contrast to the effect of carbon intensity, that actually makes CO2 emissions increase in lower-middle income countries and reduces carbon emissions in upper-middle and high-income countries.
东盟是一个二氧化碳排放量高的地区,伴随着人口、国内生产总值(GDP)和能源消耗的增加。人口、GDP和能源消耗可以通过一个被称为富恒等式的恒等式与二氧化碳排放联系起来。本研究基于Kaya恒等式描述CO2排放,计算1990 - 2017年东盟及东盟8国(印度尼西亚、马来西亚、新加坡、泰国、菲律宾、越南、缅甸和文莱达鲁萨兰国)人口、经济活动、能源强度和碳强度对CO2排放的影响。使用的方法是对数平均分割指数(LMDI)。所使用的数据来自国际能源署(IEA)和世界银行。人口、经济活动和碳强度因子分别增加了29302 MtCO2、790.0 MtCO2和195.51 MtCO2。同时,能源强度效应使东盟的CO2排放量减少了283.13 MtCO2。对于所有东盟国家二氧化碳排放量增加的贡献,人口效应增加了东盟所有国家的二氧化碳排放量,经济活动效应也相同,除了文莱达鲁萨兰国使该国的二氧化碳排放量减少了107 MtCO2。同时,能源强度和碳强度的影响是不同的。能源强度效应导致中低收入国家的二氧化碳排放量减少,而中高收入和高收入国家的碳排放量增加。与碳强度的影响相反,这实际上使中低收入国家的二氧化碳排放量增加,并减少中高收入和高收入国家的碳排放量。
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引用次数: 3
Assessing the Implementation of the Energy Management System in the First ISO 50001 Building in Indonesia 评估印尼第一座ISO 50001建筑能源管理系统的实施情况
Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v4i2.125
R. Kurniawan, Agung Feinnudin
This study focuses on the public building in Indonesia that has implemented an energy management system compliant with ISO 50001 standard. The main objectives of this study are to review the implementation of the energy management system in the building, highlighting the main aspect of the ISO cycle deployment and key lessons learned for further dissemination. We performed the study of the implementation of energy management in the building sector based on the ISO 50001 framework that aims to enhance an organization to pursue the continuous improvement of energy management with a systematic approach. Implementing the plan, do, check and act cycle of the ISO’s framework, it is found that the management keeps a strong commitment to continuous improvement. As part of the energy management system cycle, an Investment Grade Audit (IGA) was performed in 2018. Implementing the IGA recommendation, both passive and active designs have been applied in the Slamet Bratanata building. Active design strategies that have been implemented include building automation system utilization, chiller and lighting replacement and Energy Monitoring System (EMonS) application. Implemented passive designs include windows film installation and an efficient room redesigned for optimizing natural light. To implement the ISO 50001 Energy Management System in the building, the energy management team has also held various activities. It includes developing Standard Operating Procedures, appointing a Person in Charge on each floor, conducting capacity building and performing an energy efficiency campaign. It is estimated that the energy management system has succeeded in reducing energy consumption by 613.188 kWh (in 2018–2020) and the Energy Efficiency Index by 129.06 kWh/m2/year in 2020. Furthermore, management energy implementation also reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 539.60 tons of CO2 equivalent. This study provides a reference for energy management in another building for improving its energy performance.
本研究的重点是印度尼西亚的公共建筑,该建筑已经实施了符合ISO 50001标准的能源管理系统。本研究的主要目的是检讨能源管理系统在建筑物内的实施情况,突出ISO循环部署的主要方面和主要经验教训,以供进一步传播。我们根据ISO 50001框架对建筑行业的能源管理实施进行了研究,该框架旨在通过系统的方法提高组织对能源管理的持续改进。实施ISO框架的计划、执行、检查和行动循环,发现管理层对持续改进保持了坚定的承诺。作为能源管理系统周期的一部分,2018年进行了投资级审计(IGA)。执行IGA的建议,在Slamet Bratanata建筑中采用了被动和主动设计。已经实施的主动设计策略包括楼宇自动化系统的利用、制冷设备和照明设备的更换以及能源监控系统(EMonS)的应用。被动式设计包括安装窗膜和为优化自然光而重新设计的高效房间。为了在大楼内实施ISO 50001能源管理体系,能源管理团队还举办了各种活动。它包括制定标准操作程序,在每层指定一名负责人,开展能力建设和开展节能运动。据估算,该能源管理系统在2020年(2018-2020年)成功减少能源消耗613.188千瓦时,能源效率指数(energy Efficiency Index)减少129.06千瓦时/平方米/年。此外,管理能源的实施还减少了539.60吨CO2当量的温室气体排放。本研究可为其他建筑的能源管理提供参考,以提高其能源绩效。
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引用次数: 7
Performance Enhancement of Solar Panels Using Adaptive Velocity-Particle Swarm Optimization (AVPSO) Algorithm for Charging Station as an Effort for Energy Security 基于自适应速度-粒子群优化(AVPSO)算法的充电站太阳能电池板性能提升研究
Pub Date : 2020-08-31 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v3i2.91
Luthfansyah Mohammad, M. Asy’ari, M. F. Izdiharrudin, Suyanto
The growth of public awareness of the environment is directly proportional to the development of the use of electric cars. Electric cars operate by consuming electrical energy from battery storage, which must be recharged periodically at the charging station. Solar panels are one source of energy that is environmentally friendly and has the potential to be applied to charging stations. The use of solar panels causes the charging station to no longer depend on conventional electricity networks, which the majority of it still use fossil fuel power plants. Solar panels have a problem that is not optimal electrical power output so that it has the potential to affect the charging parameters of the battery charging station. Adaptive Velocity-Particle Swarm Optimization (AV-PSO) is an artificial intelligence type MPPT optimization algorithm that can solve the problem of solar panel power optimization. This study also uses the Coulomb Counting method as a battery capacity estimator. The results showed that the average sensor accuracy is more than 91% with a DC-DC SEPIC converter which has an efficiency of 69.54%. In general, the proposed charging station system has been proven capable to enhance the energy security by optimizing the output power of solar panels up to 22.30% more than using conventional systems.
公众环境意识的增强与电动汽车使用的发展成正比。电动汽车通过消耗电池储存的电能来运行,电池必须定期在充电站充电。太阳能电池板是一种环保的能源,有可能应用于充电站。太阳能电池板的使用使充电站不再依赖传统的电力网络,大多数充电站仍然使用化石燃料发电厂。太阳能电池板有一个问题,即不是最优的电力输出,因此它有可能影响电池充电站的充电参数。自适应速度-粒子群优化算法(AV-PSO)是一种解决太阳能电池板功率优化问题的人工智能型MPPT优化算法。本研究还使用库仑计数法作为电池容量估计器。结果表明,采用DC-DC SEPIC变换器,传感器平均精度可达91%以上,效率可达69.54%。总的来说,拟议的充电站系统已被证明能够通过优化太阳能电池板的输出功率,比传统系统高出22.30%,从而提高能源安全。
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引用次数: 3
Biomass Waste and Low Rank Coal Gasification Technology with Carbon Capture System to Optimize A Clean Energy Production as An Alternative Solution to Achieve Energy Security in Indonesia 生物质废弃物和低阶煤气化技术与碳捕获系统优化清洁能源生产作为实现印尼能源安全的替代解决方案
Pub Date : 2020-08-31 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v3i2.90
A. N. Baskoro, Odara E. Aptari
A shift into a more developed country means an increase in various aspects of economy, energy, social, and even environment. For Indonesia, a major change that the country needs to face is the increase of energy demand of 7% every year, reaching a final average expected energy consumption of 497.77 MTOE in 2050. In order to fulfil all upcoming energy demands and achieve energy security, it is crucial to utilize the available abundant resources that the country possesses. Two of these potential resources include coal (22.6 billion tons) and biomass (32.6 GW). Gasification is an alternative clean technology that can utilize low rank coal or biomass to convert it into syngas. The quality of syngas was characterized using the H2/CO ratio parameter. The greater the carbon density in a material, the greater H2/CO ratio will be. However, syngas produced from conventional gasification still emits CO2. Since CO2 is still emitted in coal gasification technology, a carbon capture system called HyPr-RING process is implemented as an alternative to reduce CO2 and increase the quality of syngas up to 91% volume of H2. The process uses CaO as a sorbent to capture CO2 and convert it into CaCO3 in a gasifier. Then, the CaCO3 is calcinated in a calciner to release back CaO that is recycled to capture more of the CO2. Aside from the high availability of coal and biomass, CaO as a major substance used in the CO2 capture process is also abundant in Indonesia (2,156 billion tons). This technology innovation is also economically feasible as it creates a net profit of USD 58,215 and ROI of 11%.
向更发达国家的转变意味着经济、能源、社会甚至环境各方面的增长。对于印度尼西亚来说,该国需要面对的一个重大变化是能源需求每年增长7%,到2050年达到497.77百万吨油当量的最终平均预期能源消费量。为了满足所有未来的能源需求,实现能源安全,利用国家拥有的丰富资源是至关重要的。其中两种潜在资源包括煤炭(226亿吨)和生物质(32.6吉瓦)。气化是一种可替代的清洁技术,可以利用低阶煤或生物质将其转化为合成气。采用H2/CO比参数对合成气质量进行了表征。材料中碳密度越大,H2/CO比值越大。然而,传统气化生产的合成气仍然会排放二氧化碳。由于在煤气化技术中仍会排放二氧化碳,因此采用了一种名为hyper - ring工艺的碳捕获系统,作为减少二氧化碳的替代方案,并将合成气的质量提高到H2体积的91%。该工艺使用CaO作为吸附剂捕获二氧化碳并在气化炉中将其转化为CaCO3。然后,CaCO3在煅烧炉中煅烧,释放回CaO, CaO被循环利用以捕获更多的二氧化碳。除了煤炭和生物质的高可用性外,CaO作为二氧化碳捕获过程中使用的主要物质在印度尼西亚也很丰富(2156亿吨)。这项技术创新在经济上也是可行的,它创造了58,215美元的净利润和11%的投资回报率。
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引用次数: 2
Bioavtur Synthesis from Palm Fatty Acid Distillate through Hydrotreating and Hydrocracking Processes 棕榈脂肪酸馏分加氢处理和加氢裂化工艺合成生物油
Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v2i2.40
J. S. Sabarman, Evita H. Legowo, D. Widiputri, A. R. Siregar
Increasing concern in fossil fuel depletion and CO2 emissions create an urgent need for biofuel substitution. Bio-jet fuel is a possible alternative for conventional jet fuels which currently accounts for 2% of the world’s CO2 emission. Palm Fatty Acid Distillate (PFAD) is the byproduct of palm oil refinery process, which has a potential to become a promising raw material for the synthesis of bioavtur due to its high free fatty acid content. The oil-to-jet pathway is a possible route to produce bioavtur from PFAD, which includes hydrotreating, hydrocracking, and hydroisomerization processes. This research aims to investigate the hydrotreating and hydrocracking processes. The parameters that were investigated are temperature, solvent to PFAD ratio, catalyst loading, and pressure. The parameters variations were as follows: the temperature at 350oC and 400oC, the pressure at 40 bar and 32.5 bar, the solvent to PFAD ratio at 2:1 and 1:1, and the catalyst loading (%wt) at 1%, 2%, and 3%. Presulfided NiMo/γ-Al2O3 PIDO 120 1.3 was used for one-step hydrotreating and hydrocracking processes. Results indicated that the 400oC provided better free fatty acid (FFA) conversion. FFA is also almost completely removed when the catalyst used is 3% weight. Solvent to PFAD ratio affected the FFA conversion marginally, while higher catalyst loading (3%) improved the FFA conversion. Gas chromatography results show that the hydrocarbon chains are successfully hydrocracked into C9-C17. The best selectivity of the product to bioavtur range was calculated at 68.99%. Solvent ratio affects the hydrocracking more significantly than the catalyst loading. One sample with temperature operation 400oC and solvent to PFAD ratio 1:1 was in the range of conventional avtur density. With the method used in this study, it can be concluded that PFAD is a promising raw material for bioavtur. Keywords: Palm Fatty Acid Distillate (PFAD), hydrotreating, hydrocracking, bioavtur
对化石燃料枯竭和二氧化碳排放的日益关注,迫切需要生物燃料替代品。生物喷气燃料是目前占世界二氧化碳排放量2%的传统喷气燃料的可能替代品。棕榈脂肪酸馏出物(PFAD)是棕榈油精炼过程的副产物,因其游离脂肪酸含量高,有潜力成为合成生物燃料的重要原料。从PFAD生产生物燃料的一个可能途径是石油到喷气的途径,包括加氢处理、加氢裂化和加氢异构化过程。本研究旨在探讨加氢处理和加氢裂化过程。研究的参数包括温度、溶剂与PFAD的比、催化剂负载和压力。温度为350℃和400℃,压力为40 bar和32.5 bar,溶剂与PFAD的比为2:1和1:1,催化剂的负载(%wt)为1%、2%和3%。采用预硫化NiMo/γ-Al2O3 PIDO 120 1.3进行一步加氢处理和加氢裂化工艺。结果表明,在400℃条件下,游离脂肪酸(FFA)转化效果较好。当催化剂重量为3%时,FFA也几乎完全去除。溶剂与PFAD的比例对FFA转化率影响不大,而较高的催化剂负载(3%)提高了FFA转化率。气相色谱分析结果表明,烃链成功加氢裂解为C9-C17。结果表明,该产物在生物转化率范围内的最佳选择性为68.99%。溶剂配比对加氢裂化反应的影响比催化剂用量更大。1个样品在温度操作400oC,溶剂与PFAD的比例为1:1的情况下,在常规密度范围内。通过本研究的方法可以得出结论,PFAD是一种很有前途的生物燃料原料。关键词:棕榈脂肪酸馏出物;加氢处理;加氢裂化
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引用次数: 6
Model Validation of Biomass-Coal Blends Co-Pyrolysis to Produce Hybrid Coal 生物质-煤共热解生产混合煤的模型验证
Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v2i2.41
A. C. A. Zahra, H. A. Prasetyo, J. Rizkiana, W. Wulandari, D. Sasongko
Co-pyrolysis of coal and biomass blend to produce hybrid coal has recently been experimentally studied by some previous researchers. For similar generated energy, a newly developed hybrid coal is claimed to be more environmentally friendly compared to the coal only due to the release of neutral CO2. To acquire a better understanding of co-pyrolysis of coal and biomass blend, an experiment had been carried out in a tubular furnace reactor. For this purpose, the blends of constant mass composition of 20 wt% sawdust and 80 wt% low-rank coal were used throughout the study. It was found from the experiment that approximately 42.1% carbon, and 1.6% of ash were produced from the co-pyrolysis blend. Then, a steady state simulation of co-pyrolysis was developed using Aspen Plus v8.8 to predict the hybrid coal carbon content and required heat to perform the co-pyrolysis. The model simulation showed that hybrid coal yielded 44.0% carbon, which was at 4.5% deviation from the experimental study. The model had also been successfully used to estimate heat required to produce hybrid coal. It predicted that the equivalent heat of 336.2 kW was required to produce hybrid coal from 1,000 kg/h blend feed. The heat generated by the modeling of sawdust biomass combustion for fuel purposes was also estimated to supply heat for endothermic co-pyrolysis. It was found that 1,000 kg/h sawdust was predicted to be equivalent to 371.4 kW. This suggests that for scaling up purpose, ratio of sawdust fuel to blend feed of 1:1.1 is sufficient for this process. Keywords: co-pyrolysis, hybrid coal, low-rank coal, sawdust, Aspen Plus
煤与生物质共热解制混煤的实验研究已经有了一定的进展。对于类似的能源,新开发的混合煤被认为比煤炭更环保,因为它释放的是中性的二氧化碳。为了更好地了解煤与生物质共热解的机理,在管式炉反应器中进行了实验研究。为此,在整个研究中,使用了20 wt%木屑和80 wt%低阶煤的等质量组成的混合物。实验结果表明,共热解共混物产碳量约为42.1%,灰分约为1.6%。然后,利用Aspen Plus v8.8进行共热解稳态模拟,预测混合煤碳含量和共热解所需热量。模型模拟结果表明,混合煤产碳率为44.0%,与实验研究偏差为4.5%。该模型还被成功地用于估算生产混合煤所需的热量。预测1,000 kg/h混合饲料生产混合煤需要336.2 kW的等效热量。木屑生物质燃烧模型产生的热量也被估计为吸热共热解提供热量。结果表明,1000 kg/h锯末的预测发电量为371.4 kW。这表明,为了扩大规模,木屑燃料与混合饲料的比例为1:1.1就足够了。关键词:共热解,混合煤,低阶煤,木屑,Aspen Plus
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引用次数: 1
Realism in the Trans ASEAN Gas Pipeline Project 跨东盟天然气管道项目的现实主义
Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v2i2.39
Rahmadha Akbar Syah, Zaki Khudzaifi Mahmud
To improve connectivity and energy security, especially natural gas, Southeast Asian countries, under the cooperation of Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), are trying to build a gas pipeline that stretches from Indonesia to Myanmar. The project is called the Trans ASEAN Gas Pipeline (TAGP) under the ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation (APAEC) scheme. However, regional countries are still dealing with their domestic problems, and there are fears that TAGP is detrimental to producer countries, resulting in the delay of this project as much by as four years – from 2020 to 2024. The uncertainty of the TAGP project further emphasizes that there is a tendency for countries not to adhere to the ASEAN forum’s agreements. Especially if it has to be juxtaposed with the Russian Gas Pipeline project which was built to distribute natural gas to Western European countries, TAGP is still far behind. In designing this paper, the authors use qualitative methods through literature studies by referring to the realism approach of International Relations to dissect TAGP problems. Furthermore, the author also feels the need to accommodate the neorealism approach to be used as a supportive approach in looking at the issues of disobedience in regional countries in supporting the TAGP scheme. Also, the authors conducted a brief comparison between TAGP and the Russian Gas Pipeline to be used as a case study analysis material that would later provide answers of why TAGP failed to go as planned.Keywords: realism, neorealism, TAGP, Russian Gas Pipeline
为了改善互联互通和能源安全,特别是天然气安全,东南亚国家在东盟(ASEAN)的合作下,正在努力建设一条从印度尼西亚延伸到缅甸的天然气管道。该项目被称为跨东盟天然气管道(TAGP),是东盟能源合作行动计划(APAEC)计划的一部分。然而,该地区国家仍在处理其国内问题,人们担心TAGP对生产国有害,导致该项目推迟多达四年,从2020年推迟到2024年。TAGP项目的不确定性进一步强调了各国不遵守东盟论坛协议的趋势。特别是,如果与向西欧国家输送天然气的俄罗斯天然气管道项目相比,TAGP仍然远远落后。在本文的设计中,作者借鉴国际关系学的现实主义方法,通过文献研究,采用定性的方法来剖析TAGP问题。此外,作者还认为有必要适应新现实主义的方法,作为一种支持方法来看待支持TAGP计划的区域国家的不服从问题。此外,作者还对TAGP和俄罗斯天然气管道进行了简要比较,作为案例研究分析材料,稍后将提供TAGP未能按计划进行的答案。关键词:现实主义,新现实主义,TAGP,俄罗斯天然气管道
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引用次数: 0
Laboratory Study 实验室研究
Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v2i2.38
G. Gajah, Ihsan Arifin, R. Hidayat
Polymer injection is a tertiary recovery that lowering the injection-oil water mobility ratio thus more efficient to produce oil. The increase in the polymer used for injection requires a large number of suitable polymers. Laboratory studies are necessary to develop new polymer produced domestically, with easily available materials, do not damage the environment, not harm the environment, and are economical. Seeds of Kluwih and Jackfruit contain the starch as a biopolymer for polymer injection because competent to act as a viscosifying agent thus repair the water-oil mobility ratio. Laboratory study is carried out through a series of processes. From starch extraction to polymer screening. The pure starch extraction is done by the wet method through a series of experiments carried out repeatedly. Observation with polymer screening was carried out on five tests. The rheology of polymers examined at two different polymer concentrations and temperatures to determine the viscosity at varying shear rate. Compatibility tests are reviewed to determine the homogeneous and the solubility of the polymer by the solvent. Filtration test is an entrapment test, know the relation between polymer molecule sizes and pore size distribution. The static polymer test is an adsorption test to know the polymer retention in the core caused by chemical interaction between core and polymer. The polymer flooding procedure is to know polymer performance to pushes remaining oil after waterflooding. The results show a pure starch without impurity content. In liquid, the starch acts as a viscosifying agent. Both of the two polymers degrade by shear rate and (polymer chain) broken at higher temperatures. Kluwih and Jackfruit starch dissolve homogeneously without a lumping. Polymer trapping and adsorption not dominantly occur by Jackfruit and Kluwih. The native polymer can enhance oil recovery but sensitive to the core and polymeric conditions.Keywords: Enhanced Oil Recovery, polymer injection, Kluwih, jackfruit, starch
注聚合物是三次采油,降低了注油水流度比,从而提高了采油效率。注射用聚合物的增加需要大量合适的聚合物。开发国内生产的新型聚合物,材料易得,不破坏环境,不危害环境,经济实惠,需要实验室研究。菠萝蜜和菠萝蜜的种子含有淀粉作为生物聚合物用于聚合物注射,因为它可以作为一种增粘剂,从而修复水油流动比。实验室研究是通过一系列过程进行的。从淀粉提取到聚合物筛选。通过一系列反复进行的实验,采用湿法提取纯淀粉。用聚合物筛选法对5个试验进行了观察。在两种不同的聚合物浓度和温度下测试聚合物的流变性,以确定不同剪切速率下的粘度。综述了相容性试验,以确定溶剂对聚合物的均质性和溶解度。过滤试验是一种包埋试验,了解聚合物分子大小与孔径分布的关系。静态聚合物测试是一种吸附测试,目的是了解由于岩心与聚合物之间的化学相互作用导致的聚合物在岩心中的滞留情况。聚合物驱过程是了解水驱后聚合物驱剩余油的性能。结果表明,淀粉纯度高,不含杂质。在液体中,淀粉起增粘剂的作用。这两种聚合物都以剪切速率降解,并且在较高温度下(聚合物链)断裂。菠萝蜜和菠萝蜜淀粉溶解均匀,不结块。聚合物的捕获和吸附不以菠萝蜜和Kluwih为主。天然聚合物可以提高采收率,但对岩心和聚合物条件敏感。关键词:提高采收率,聚合物注入,Kluwih,菠萝蜜,淀粉
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引用次数: 265
The Impacts of Emission Reduction Targets in Indonesia Electricity Systems 减排目标对印尼电力系统的影响
Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v2i2.42
M. Irsyad, A. Halog, Rabindra Nepal, Deddy P. Koesrindartoto
Climate change policy often contradicts the least-cost objective of electricity generation in developing countries. The objective of our study is to propose electricity generation mixes that can meet emission reduction targets in Indonesia. We estimate the optimal generation mix, costs, and emissions from three scenarios, namely existing power plant planning, and 11% and 14% emission reductions in Indonesia’s electricity sector. The estimations are based on linear programming, input-output analysis, and life-cycle analysis, integrated into an agent-based modeling (ABM) platform. The simulation results confirm the existing power plant planning, which is dominated by coal-based power plants, as the lowest-cost scenario in the short-term; however, this scenario also produces the highest emissions. Emission reduction scenarios have lower emissions due to a higher share of renewables and, therefore, the Indonesian electricity system is robust from fossil fuel price increases. In the long-term, costs incurred in the emission reduction scenarios will be lower than electricity generation costs under the existing power plant planning. Our findings should be a basis for re-evaluating energy policies, power plant planning, and the research agenda in Indonesia. Keyword: linear programming, agent-based modelling (ABM), input-output analysis, life-cycle analysis
气候变化政策往往与发展中国家发电成本最低的目标相矛盾。我们研究的目的是提出可以满足印度尼西亚减排目标的发电组合。我们估计了三种情况下的最佳发电组合、成本和排放,即现有电厂规划,以及印度尼西亚电力部门减排11%和14%。评估基于线性规划、输入输出分析和生命周期分析,并集成到基于代理的建模(ABM)平台中。仿真结果表明,短期内以燃煤电厂为主的现有电厂规划是成本最低的方案;然而,这种情况也会产生最高的排放量。由于可再生能源的比例较高,减排方案的排放量较低,因此,印度尼西亚的电力系统在化石燃料价格上涨的情况下保持强劲。从长远来看,在减排情景下产生的成本将低于现有电厂规划下的发电成本。我们的发现应该成为重新评估印尼能源政策、电厂规划和研究议程的基础。关键词:线性规划,基于agent的建模(ABM),投入产出分析,生命周期分析
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引用次数: 0
Wind Energy in Indonesia 印尼的风能
Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.33116/ije.v2i2.37
Danur Lambang Pristiandaru, N. A. Pambudi
Like many countries, an increase in population and economic growth has made Indonesia’s energy demands significantly raise. By 2050, Indonesia hopes to have 31% of its energy supply met by tapping on renewable energy, like the wind which can yield up to 16.7% of the power. However, the development of wind energy in Indonesia is still low. One underlying reason is the average speed of wind in Indonesia quite low, making it very difficult to produce energy on a large scale. Many of Indonesia’s current wind energy systems installed in remote locations, often as part of a development or research project in stand-alone or hybrid systems. These partly caused by a lack of confidence in wind power and not being sure of where could be the best locations for wind plants. This paper studies the status of wind energy in Indonesia, the challenges that it faces and future policies.Keywords: wind energy, Indonesia, potential, future policy
与许多国家一样,人口的增长和经济的增长使得印尼的能源需求显著提高。到2050年,印尼希望利用可再生能源来满足其31%的能源供应,如风能,其发电量可达16.7%。然而,印尼的风能发展仍然很低。一个潜在的原因是印尼的平均风速很低,这使得大规模生产能源非常困难。印度尼西亚目前的许多风能系统安装在偏远地区,通常是作为独立或混合系统开发或研究项目的一部分。这在一定程度上是由于对风力发电缺乏信心,以及不确定风力发电厂的最佳选址。本文研究了印尼风能的现状、面临的挑战和未来的政策。关键词:风能,印尼,潜力,未来政策
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Indonesian Journal of Energy
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