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Predictive accuracy of the Violence Risk Assessment Checklist for Youth in acute institutions: A prospective naturalistic multicenter study. 急性机构青少年暴力风险评估清单的预测准确性-一项前瞻性自然主义多中心研究。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2025.3
Anniken Lucia Willumsen Laake, John Olav Roaldset, Tonje Lossius Husum, Stål Kapstø Bjørkly, Carina Chudiakow Gustavsen, Sara Teresia Grenabo, Øyvind Lockertsen

Background: Acute health and social services for children and adolescents often struggle with youth aggression and violence. Early identification of violence risk during institutional stay can help prevent violent incidents. As such, this study assessed the predictive accuracy of the Violence Risk Assessment Checklist for Youth (V-RISK-Y) aged 12-18 in two different juvenile settings providing 24-hour services for youth. Institutions were included from child and adolescent inpatient psychiatry and residential youth care under child protective services.

Methods: A prospective, naturalistic observational study design was employed. V-RISK-Y was administered for youth admitted to four acute inpatient psychiatric units and four acute residential youth care institutions. Incidents of violence and threats during the youth's stay were registered by institutional staff. In total, 517 youth were included in analyses, 59 of whom were registered with at least one incident of violence or threats during their stay. Area under curve (AUC) and logistic regression analyses were used to assess predictive accuracy and validity of V-RISK-Y.

Results: For the overall sample, V-RISK-Y had good predictive accuracy, and the sum score of V-RISK-Y significantly predicted registered violent incidents. Stratified analyses indicated good predictive accuracy of V-RISK-Y for the inpatient units, but not for the residential youth care institutions.

Conclusions: Findings imply that V-RISK-Y is accurate in identifying violence risk for youth admitted to inpatient psychiatric units but has limited predictive accuracy in residential youth care institutions. Future research should explore approaches to correctly identify violence risk in residential care settings.

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引用次数: 0
Use of psychedelic treatments in psychiatric clinical practice: an EPA policy paper. 在精神病临床实践中使用致幻剂治疗:EPA政策文件。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1806
M Destoop, P Mohr, F Butlen, P Kéri, J Samochowiec, L De Picker, A Fiorillo, K P C Kuypers, G Dom

Background: Recent years show an exponential increased interest ("renaissance") in the use of psychedelics for the treatment of mental disorders and broader. Some of these treatments, such as psilocybin for depression, are in the process of formal regulation by regulatory bodies in the US (FDA) and Europe (EMA), and as such on the brink of real-world implementation. In the slipstream of these developments increasing commercial initiatives are taking shape. The European Psychiatric Association (EPA) acknowledges both the therapeutic potential of psychedelic substances and the challenges for both research and clinical implementation. Steps need to be taken toward a well-balanced policy based upon sound scientific evidence and research, aiming at safe, ethical responsible integration of psychedelic therapy available for all patients who can potentially benefit.

Methods: In this EPA policy paper, we highlight the potential benefits, and also the challenges of psychedelic treatments, which can be relevant for the future real-world implementation of these treatments.

Results: In addition to an overview of the current evidence and hypotheses of working mechanisms of psychedelic treatment, this policy paper specifically highlights the importance of the psychosocial components of the treatment as well as the ethical and professional aspects playing a role in real-world implementation.

Conclusions: Four recommendations are formulated for further research and clinical implementation.

背景:近年来,人们对使用致幻剂治疗精神障碍和其他疾病的兴趣呈指数增长(“复兴”)。其中一些治疗方法,如治疗抑郁症的裸盖菇素,正处于美国(FDA)和欧洲(EMA)监管机构的正式监管过程中,因此即将在现实世界中实施。在这些发展的潮流中,越来越多的商业举措正在形成。欧洲精神病学协会(EPA)承认致幻剂的治疗潜力和研究和临床实施的挑战。需要采取步骤,在可靠的科学证据和研究的基础上制定一项平衡的政策,旨在为所有可能受益的患者提供安全、道德、负责任的迷幻治疗。方法:在这篇EPA政策论文中,我们强调了迷幻治疗的潜在好处和挑战,这可能与未来现实世界中这些治疗的实施有关。结果:除了对迷幻药治疗工作机制的现有证据和假设进行概述外,本政策文件还特别强调了治疗的心理社会成分以及在现实世界中发挥作用的道德和专业方面的重要性。结论:提出了进一步研究和临床实施的四点建议。
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引用次数: 0
Positive associations between mean ambient temperature and involuntary admissions to psychiatric facilities. 平均环境温度与精神病院非自愿入院之间的正相关。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1800
Noah L Joore, Marte Z van der Horst, Eric O Noorthoorn, Jurriaan F M Strous, Fleur J Vruwink, Sinan Guloksuz, Peter C Siegmund, Jurjen J Luykx

Background: Temperature increases in the context of climate change affect numerous mental health outcomes. One such relevant outcome is involuntary admissions as these often relate to severe (life)threatening psychiatric conditions. Due to a shortage of studies into this topic, relationships between mean ambient temperature and involuntary admissions have remained largely elusive.

Aims: To examine associations between involuntary admissions to psychiatric institutions and various meteorological variables.

Methods: Involuntary admissions data from 23 psychiatric institutions in the Netherlands were linked to meteorological data from their respective weather stations. Generalized additive models were used, integrating a restricted maximum likelihood method and thin plate regression splines to preserve generalizability and minimize the risk of overfitting. We thus conducted univariable, seasonally stratified, multivariable, and lagged analyses.

Results: A total of 13,746 involuntary admissions were included over 21,549 days. In univariable and multivariable models, we found significant positive associations with involuntary admissions for ambient temperature and windspeed, with projected increases of up to 0.94% in involuntary admissions per degree Celsius temperature elevation. In the univariable analyses using all data, the strongest associations in terms of significance and explained variance were found for mean ambient temperature (p = 2.5 × 10-6, Variance Explained [r2] = 0.096%) and maximum ambient temperature (p = 8.65 × 10-4, r2 = 0.072%). We did not find evidence that the lagged associations explain the associations for ambient temperature better than the direct associations.

Conclusion: Mean ambient temperature is consistently but weakly associated with involuntary psychiatric admissions. Our findings set the stage for further epidemiological and mechanistic studies into this topic, as well as for modeling studies examining future involuntary psychiatric admissions.

背景:气候变化背景下的温度升高会影响许多心理健康结果。其中一个相关的结果是非自愿入院,因为这些通常与严重(生命)威胁精神疾病有关。由于缺乏对这一主题的研究,平均环境温度与非自愿入院之间的关系在很大程度上仍然难以捉摸。目的:研究精神病院非自愿入院与各种气象变量之间的关系。方法:将荷兰23家精神病院的非自愿入院数据与各自气象站的气象数据联系起来。使用广义加性模型,将限制极大似然法和薄板回归样条结合起来,以保持通用性并最小化过拟合的风险。因此,我们进行了单变量、季节分层、多变量和滞后分析。结果:在21,549天内,共有13,746例非自愿入院。在单变量和多变量模型中,我们发现环境温度和风速与非自愿入院有显著的正相关,预计温度每升高1摄氏度,非自愿入院人数将增加0.94%。在使用所有数据的单变量分析中,发现平均环境温度(p = 2.5 × 10-6,方差解释[r2] = 0.096%)和最高环境温度(p = 8.65 × 10-4, r2 = 0.072%)在显著性和解释方差方面的相关性最强。我们没有发现滞后关联比直接关联更好地解释环境温度关联的证据。结论:平均环境温度与非自愿精神病入院有一致但微弱的关系。我们的发现为进一步的流行病学和机制研究奠定了基础,也为未来非自愿精神入院的建模研究奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
The time has come for revising the rules of clozapine blood monitoring in Europe. A joint expert statement from the European Clozapine Task Force. 是时候修改欧洲氯氮平血液监测规则了。欧洲氯氮平特别工作组的联合专家声明。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1816
Hélène Verdoux, Robert A Bittner, Alkomiet Hasan, Mishal Qubad, Elias Wagner, Alexis Lepetit, Manuel Arrojo-Romero, Christian Bachmann, Marieke Beex-Oosterhuis, Jan Bogers, Andreja Celofiga, Dan Cohen, Domenico de Berardis, Marc de Hert, Carlos de Las Cuevas, Bjørn H Ebdrup, Konstantinos N Fountoulakis, Daniel Guinart, Dolores Keating, Miloslav Kopeček, John Lally, Judit Lazáry, Jurjen J Luykx, Olalla Maronas Amigo, Espen Molden, Jimmi Nielsen, Brian O'Donoghue, Pierre Oswald, Flavian S Radulescu, Christopher Rohde, Marina Sagud, Emilio J Sanz, Ivona Šimunović Filipčić, Iris E Sommer, Heidi Taipale, Jari Tiihonen, Heli Tuppurainen, Selene Veerman, Alina Wilkowska, Edoardo Spina, Peter Schulte

The European Clozapine Task Force is a group of psychiatrists and pharmacologists practicing in 18 countries under European Medicines Agency (EMA) regulation, who are deeply concerned about the underuse of clozapine in European countries. Although clozapine is the most effective antipsychotic for people with treatment-resistant schizophrenia, a large proportion of them do not have access to this treatment. Concerns about clozapine-induced agranulocytosis and stringent blood monitoring rules are major barriers to clozapine prescribing and use. There is a growing body of evidence that the incidence of clozapine-induced agranulocytosis is very low after the first year of treatment. Maintaining lifelong monthly blood monitoring after this period contributes to unjustified discontinuation of clozapine. We leverage recent and replicated evidence on the long-term safety of clozapine to call for the revision and updating of the EMA's blood monitoring rules, thus aiming to overcome this major barrier to clozapine prescribing and use. We believe the time has come for relaxing the rules without increasing the risks for people using clozapine in Europe.

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引用次数: 0
Symptomatic networks in suicide attempt and reattempt: Relevance of psychiatric comorbidity. 自杀企图和再自杀的症状网络:精神合并症的相关性。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1807
Andres Pemau, Alejandro de la Torre-Luque, Carolina Marin-Martin, Marina Diaz-Marsa, Jorge Andreo-Jover, Wala Ayad-Ahmed, Maria Fe Bravo Ortiz, Maria Teresa Bobes-Bascarán, Manuel Canal-Rivero, Irene Canosa García, Ana Isabel Cebrià, Benedicto Crespo-Facorro, María Ángeles Boti, Matilde Elices, Ana González-Pinto, Iria Grande, Luis Jiménez-Treviño, Diego J Palao, Angela Palao-Tarrero, Carla Pérez-Guerra, Natalia Roberto, Miguel Ruiz Veguilla, Pilar A Sáiz, Víctor Pérez

Background: One of the most relevant risk factors for suicide is the presence of previous attempts. The symptomatic profile of people who reattempt suicide deserves attention. Network analysis is a promising tool to study this field.

Objective: To analyze the symptomatic network of patients who have attempted suicide recently and compare networks of people with several attempts and people with just one at baseline.

Methods: 1043 adult participants from the Spanish cohort "SURVIVE" were part of this study. Participants were classified into two groups: single attempt group (n = 390) and reattempt group (n = 653). Different network analyses were carried out to study the relationships between suicidal ideation, behavior, psychiatric symptoms, diagnoses, childhood trauma, and impulsivity. A general network and one for each subgroup were estimated.

Results: People with several suicide attempts at baseline scored significantly higher across all clinical scales. The symptomatic networks were equivalent in both groups of patients (p > .05). Although there were no overall differences between the networks, some nodes were more relevant according to group belonging.

Conclusions: People with a history of previous attempts have greater psychiatric symptom severity but the relationships between risk factors show the same structure when compared with the single attempt group. All risk factors deserve attention regardless of the number of attempts, but assessments can be adjusted to better monitor the occurrence of reattempts.

背景:与自杀最相关的危险因素之一是曾经有过自杀企图。再次企图自杀者的症状特征值得关注。网络分析是研究这一领域的一个很有前途的工具。目的:分析近期自杀未遂患者的症状网络,并比较多次自杀未遂者和一次自杀未遂者的症状网络。方法:来自西班牙“存活”队列的1043名成年参与者是本研究的一部分。参与者分为两组:单次尝试组(n = 390)和再尝试组(n = 653)。通过不同的网络分析来研究自杀意念、行为、精神症状、诊断、童年创伤和冲动之间的关系。估计一个一般网络和每个亚组一个网络。结果:在基线有多次自杀企图的人在所有临床量表上的得分都明显更高。两组患者的症状网络相同(p < 0.05)。虽然网络之间没有总体差异,但根据群体所属,一些节点的相关性更强。结论:有过自杀史的人精神症状的严重程度更高,但危险因素之间的关系结构与单次自杀组相同。无论尝试次数多少,所有的风险因素都值得关注,但评估可以调整,以更好地监测再次尝试的发生。
{"title":"Symptomatic networks in suicide attempt and reattempt: Relevance of psychiatric comorbidity.","authors":"Andres Pemau, Alejandro de la Torre-Luque, Carolina Marin-Martin, Marina Diaz-Marsa, Jorge Andreo-Jover, Wala Ayad-Ahmed, Maria Fe Bravo Ortiz, Maria Teresa Bobes-Bascarán, Manuel Canal-Rivero, Irene Canosa García, Ana Isabel Cebrià, Benedicto Crespo-Facorro, María Ángeles Boti, Matilde Elices, Ana González-Pinto, Iria Grande, Luis Jiménez-Treviño, Diego J Palao, Angela Palao-Tarrero, Carla Pérez-Guerra, Natalia Roberto, Miguel Ruiz Veguilla, Pilar A Sáiz, Víctor Pérez","doi":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1807","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1807","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>One of the most relevant risk factors for suicide is the presence of previous attempts. The symptomatic profile of people who reattempt suicide deserves attention. Network analysis is a promising tool to study this field.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To analyze the symptomatic network of patients who have attempted suicide recently and compare networks of people with several attempts and people with just one at baseline.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>1043 adult participants from the Spanish cohort \"SURVIVE\" were part of this study. Participants were classified into two groups: single attempt group (n = 390) and reattempt group (n = 653). Different network analyses were carried out to study the relationships between suicidal ideation, behavior, psychiatric symptoms, diagnoses, childhood trauma, and impulsivity. A general network and one for each subgroup were estimated.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>People with several suicide attempts at baseline scored significantly higher across all clinical scales. The symptomatic networks were equivalent in both groups of patients (p > .05). Although there were no overall differences between the networks, some nodes were more relevant according to group belonging.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>People with a history of previous attempts have greater psychiatric symptom severity but the relationships between risk factors show the same structure when compared with the single attempt group. All risk factors deserve attention regardless of the number of attempts, but assessments can be adjusted to better monitor the occurrence of reattempts.</p>","PeriodicalId":12155,"journal":{"name":"European Psychiatry","volume":"68 1","pages":"e4"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142946935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of the live broadcast of Stromae's song L'enfer on social media publications, calls to the national helpline, and suicide attempt rates in France. Stromae的歌曲《L’enfer》的直播对社交媒体出版物的影响,对国家求助热线的呼叫,以及法国的自杀未遂率。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1805
Charles-Edouard Notredame, Chloé Saint-Dizier, Antoine Lamer, Erika Nogue, Emile Fares, Mohamed Lemdani, Guillauma Vaiva, Philippe Courtet, Emilie Olié

On January 9, 2022, Belgian pop singer Stromae performed his new hit "L'enfer" live on French TV. The song addresses his personal struggles with suicidal ideation. To evaluate the impact of Stromae's performance, we modeled the evolution of hospital admission rates for suicide attempts (SAs) in France, calls to the national suicide prevention helpline (3114), and Twitter publications mentioning the singer or the helpline. We employed the Gombay test to identify change points within each time series. We identified a significant increase in mean SA rates among women aged 20-24 years 6 days after the singer's performance. No similar effect was observed in the general population or other young age groups. The show was immediately followed by a peak in tweets referring to the singer, while Twitter activity related to the 3114 remained modest. We did not observe any increase in calls to the helpline. Celebrity testimonies about suicidal experiences can help alleviate stigma but should be accompanied by prevention messages to reduce the risk of contagion.

2022年1月9日,比利时流行歌手斯特罗梅在法国电视台现场演唱了他的新歌《L’enfer》。这首歌讲述了他个人与自杀念头的斗争。为了评估Stromae的表现的影响,我们模拟了法国自杀未遂住院率的演变,国家自杀预防热线(3114)的电话,以及提到这位歌手或热线的Twitter出版物。我们使用Gombay测试来识别每个时间序列中的变化点。我们发现,在歌手表演6天后,20-24岁女性的平均SA发生率显著增加。在普通人群或其他年轻群体中没有观察到类似的效果。演出结束后,有关这位歌手的推文立即达到高峰,而与3114相关的推文活动则保持温和。我们没有发现拨打热线电话的人数有任何增加。名人关于自杀经历的证词可以帮助减轻耻辱感,但应该伴随着预防信息,以减少传染的风险。
{"title":"The impact of the live broadcast of Stromae's song <i>L'enfer</i> on social media publications, calls to the national helpline, and suicide attempt rates in France.","authors":"Charles-Edouard Notredame, Chloé Saint-Dizier, Antoine Lamer, Erika Nogue, Emile Fares, Mohamed Lemdani, Guillauma Vaiva, Philippe Courtet, Emilie Olié","doi":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1805","DOIUrl":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1805","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>On January 9, 2022, Belgian pop singer Stromae performed his new hit \"L'enfer\" live on French TV. The song addresses his personal struggles with suicidal ideation. To evaluate the impact of Stromae's performance, we modeled the evolution of hospital admission rates for suicide attempts (SAs) in France, calls to the national suicide prevention helpline (3114), and Twitter publications mentioning the singer or the helpline. We employed the Gombay test to identify change points within each time series. We identified a significant increase in mean SA rates among women aged 20-24 years 6 days after the singer's performance. No similar effect was observed in the general population or other young age groups. The show was immediately followed by a peak in tweets referring to the singer, while Twitter activity related to the 3114 remained modest. We did not observe any increase in calls to the helpline. Celebrity testimonies about suicidal experiences can help alleviate stigma but should be accompanied by prevention messages to reduce the risk of contagion.</p>","PeriodicalId":12155,"journal":{"name":"European Psychiatry","volume":" ","pages":"e14"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142946924","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development and predictors of bipolar disorder in children and adolescents with depressive disorders: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression. 儿童和青少年抑郁症患者双相情感障碍的发展和预测因素:系统综述、meta分析和meta回归。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1814
Gonzalo Salazar de Pablo, Violeta Perez-Rodriguez, Javier de Otazu Olivares, Javier Camacho-Rubio, Aditya Sharma, Ana Catalán, Josefien Breedvelt, Claudia Aymerich, Mihai Pop, Carmen Moreno, Ian Kelleher, Jane Anderson, Paolo Fusar-Poli, Christoph U Correll, Allan H Young

Background: Estimating the risk of developing bipolar disorder (BD) in children and adolescents (C&A) with depressive disorders is important to optimize prevention and early intervention efforts. We aimed to quantitatively examine the risk of developing BD from depressive disorders and identify factors which moderate this development.

Methods: In this systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO:CRD42023431301), PubMed and Web-of-Science databases were searched for longitudinal studies reporting the percentage of C&A with ICD/DSM-defined depressive disorders who developed BD during follow-up. Data extraction, random-effects meta-analysis, between-study heterogeneity analysis, quality assessment, sub-group analyses, and meta-regressions were conducted.

Results: Thirty-nine studies were included, including 72,371 individuals (mean age=13.9 years, 57.1% females); 14.7% of C&A with a depressive disorder developed BD after 20.4-288 months: 9.5% developed BD-I (95% CI=4.7 to 18.1); 7.7% developed BD-II (95% CI=3.2% to 17.3%); 19.8% (95% CI=9.9% to 35.6%) of C&A admitted into the hospital with a depressive disorder developed BD. Studies using the DSM (21.6%, 95% CI=20.2% to 23.1%) and studies evaluating C&A with a major depressive disorder only (19.8%, 95% CI=16.8% to 23.1%) found higher rates of development of BD. Younger age at baseline, a history of hospitalization and recruitment from specialized clinics were associated with an increased risk of developing BD at follow-up. Quality of included studies was good in 76.9% of studies.

Conclusions: There is a substantial risk of developing BD in C&A with depressive disorders. This is particularly the case for C&A with MDD, DSM-diagnosed depressive disorders, and C&A admitted into the hospital. Research exploring additional predictors and preventive interventions is crucial.

{"title":"Development and predictors of bipolar disorder in children and adolescents with depressive disorders: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression.","authors":"Gonzalo Salazar de Pablo, Violeta Perez-Rodriguez, Javier de Otazu Olivares, Javier Camacho-Rubio, Aditya Sharma, Ana Catalán, Josefien Breedvelt, Claudia Aymerich, Mihai Pop, Carmen Moreno, Ian Kelleher, Jane Anderson, Paolo Fusar-Poli, Christoph U Correll, Allan H Young","doi":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1814","DOIUrl":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1814","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Estimating the risk of developing bipolar disorder (BD) in children and adolescents (C&A) with depressive disorders is important to optimize prevention and early intervention efforts. We aimed to quantitatively examine the risk of developing BD from depressive disorders and identify factors which moderate this development.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO:CRD42023431301), PubMed and Web-of-Science databases were searched for longitudinal studies reporting the percentage of C&A with ICD/DSM-defined depressive disorders who developed BD during follow-up. Data extraction, random-effects meta-analysis, between-study heterogeneity analysis, quality assessment, sub-group analyses, and meta-regressions were conducted.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Thirty-nine studies were included, including 72,371 individuals (mean age=13.9 years, 57.1% females); 14.7% of C&A with a depressive disorder developed BD after 20.4-288 months: 9.5% developed BD-I (95% CI=4.7 to 18.1); 7.7% developed BD-II (95% CI=3.2% to 17.3%); 19.8% (95% CI=9.9% to 35.6%) of C&A admitted into the hospital with a depressive disorder developed BD. Studies using the DSM (21.6%, 95% CI=20.2% to 23.1%) and studies evaluating C&A with a major depressive disorder only (19.8%, 95% CI=16.8% to 23.1%) found higher rates of development of BD. Younger age at baseline, a history of hospitalization and recruitment from specialized clinics were associated with an increased risk of developing BD at follow-up. Quality of included studies was good in 76.9% of studies.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>There is a substantial risk of developing BD in C&A with depressive disorders. This is particularly the case for C&A with MDD, DSM-diagnosed depressive disorders, and C&A admitted into the hospital. Research exploring additional predictors and preventive interventions is crucial.</p>","PeriodicalId":12155,"journal":{"name":"European Psychiatry","volume":" ","pages":"e16"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142946902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Predicting cardiovascular disease in patients with mental illness using machine learning. 利用机器学习预测精神疾病患者的心血管疾病。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2025.1
Martin Bernstorff, Lasse Hansen, Kevin Kris Warnakula Olesen, Andreas Aalkjær Danielsen, Søren Dinesen Østergaard

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is twice as prevalent among individuals with mental illness compared to the general population. Prevention strategies exist but require accurate risk prediction. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model for predicting incident CVD among patients with mental illness using routine clinical data from electronic health records.

Methods: A cohort study was conducted using data from 74,880 patients with 1.6 million psychiatric service contacts in the Central Denmark Region from 2013 to 2021. Two machine learning models (XGBoost and regularised logistic regression) were trained on 85% of the data from six hospitals using 234 potential predictors. The best-performing model was externally validated on the remaining 15% of patients from another three hospitals. CVD was defined as myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease.

Results: The best-performing model (hyperparameter-tuned XGBoost) demonstrated acceptable discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.84 on the training set and 0.74 on the validation set. It identified high-risk individuals 2.5 years before CVD events. For the psychiatric service contacts in the top 5% of predicted risk, the positive predictive value was 5%, and the negative predictive value was 99%. The model issued at least one positive prediction for 39% of patients who developed CVD.

Conclusions: A machine learning model can accurately predict CVD risk among patients with mental illness using routinely collected electronic health record data. A decision support system building on this approach may aid primary CVD prevention in this high-risk population.

背景:心血管疾病(CVD)在精神疾病患者中的发病率是普通人群的两倍。预防策略已经存在,但需要准确的风险预测。本研究旨在开发和验证一种机器学习模型,利用电子健康记录中的常规临床数据预测精神疾病患者的心血管疾病事件。方法:一项队列研究使用了2013年至2021年丹麦中部地区74880名患者和160万名精神科服务接触者的数据。两种机器学习模型(XGBoost和正则化逻辑回归)使用234个潜在预测因子对来自6家医院的85%的数据进行了训练。表现最好的模型在另外三家医院的其余15%的患者身上进行了外部验证。CVD被定义为心肌梗死、中风或外周动脉疾病。结果:表现最好的模型(超参数调优的XGBoost)表现出可接受的区分,在训练集和验证集上,接收器工作特征曲线下的面积分别为0.84和0.74。在心血管疾病发生前2.5年确定高危人群。预测风险前5%的精神科服务接触者,阳性预测值为5%,阴性预测值为99%。该模型对39%的CVD患者做出了至少一项阳性预测。结论:使用常规收集的电子健康记录数据,机器学习模型可以准确预测精神疾病患者的心血管疾病风险。在此基础上建立的决策支持系统可能有助于高危人群的初级心血管疾病预防。
{"title":"Predicting cardiovascular disease in patients with mental illness using machine learning.","authors":"Martin Bernstorff, Lasse Hansen, Kevin Kris Warnakula Olesen, Andreas Aalkjær Danielsen, Søren Dinesen Østergaard","doi":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2025.1","DOIUrl":"10.1192/j.eurpsy.2025.1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is twice as prevalent among individuals with mental illness compared to the general population. Prevention strategies exist but require accurate risk prediction. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model for predicting incident CVD among patients with mental illness using routine clinical data from electronic health records.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort study was conducted using data from 74,880 patients with 1.6 million psychiatric service contacts in the Central Denmark Region from 2013 to 2021. Two machine learning models (XGBoost and regularised logistic regression) were trained on 85% of the data from six hospitals using 234 potential predictors. The best-performing model was externally validated on the remaining 15% of patients from another three hospitals. CVD was defined as myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The best-performing model (hyperparameter-tuned XGBoost) demonstrated acceptable discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.84 on the training set and 0.74 on the validation set. It identified high-risk individuals 2.5 years before CVD events. For the psychiatric service contacts in the top 5% of predicted risk, the positive predictive value was 5%, and the negative predictive value was 99%. The model issued at least one positive prediction for 39% of patients who developed CVD.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>A machine learning model can accurately predict CVD risk among patients with mental illness using routinely collected electronic health record data. A decision support system building on this approach may aid primary CVD prevention in this high-risk population.</p>","PeriodicalId":12155,"journal":{"name":"European Psychiatry","volume":" ","pages":"e12"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142946908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence of anxiety symptoms and associated factors at 2 months postpartum, results from a 2021 French national prospective cohort study. 2021年法国国家前瞻性队列研究的结果:产后2个月焦虑症状的患病率及相关因素
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1799
Alexandra Doncarli, Virginie Demiguel, Camille Le Ray, Catherine Deneux-Tharaux, Elodie Lebreton, Gisèle Apter, Julie Boudet-Berquier, Catherine Crenn-Hebert, Marie-Noëlle Vacheron, Nolwenn Regnault, Sarah Tebeka

Background: Postpartum anxiety (PPA) symptoms have harmful effects on child development and mother-infant interactions. Accordingly, in-depth knowledge of associated risk factors is crucial for prevention policies. This study aimed to estimate PPA symptom prevalence at 2 months and to identify associated risk factors in a representative sample of all women who gave birth in France in 2021, and in two subgroups: women with no postpartum depression (PPD) symptoms, and those with no history of mental health care.

Methods: Among the 12,723 women included in the representative French national perinatal survey 2021ENP, 7,133 completed the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) self-administered questionnaire - including three anxiety-specific items (EPDS-3A) - at 2 months postpartum. We estimated the adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR) of PPA symptoms using Poisson regression models with robust variance.

Results: PPA symptom prevalence at 2 months was 27.6% (95% CI [26.5-28.8]). Associated risk factors were: age ≤ 34 years (maximum aPR = 1.38 [1.22-1.58] obtained for persons aged 25-29 years vs. 35-39 years), poorer health literacy (1.15 [1.07-1.23]), a history of medical termination of pregnancy (1.32 [1.05-1.68]), psychological (1.31 [1.17-1.47]) or psychiatric (1.42 [1.24-1.63]) care history since adolescence, nulliparity (1.23 [1.12-1.35]), no weight gain or loss (1.29 [1.03-1.61] vs. 9-15 kg gain) or gain ≥23 kg (1.20 [1.00-1.43]) during pregnancy, ≥3 pregnancy-related emergency consultations (1.16 [1.03-1.31] vs. none), poor/good support during pregnancy, (1.16 [1.00-1.34] and 1.15 [1.05-1.26], respectively, vs. very good), sadness (1.52 [1.36-1.69]), anhedonia (1.48 [1.27-1.72]), or both (1.99 [1.79-2.21]) during pregnancy, not at all/not very satisfied with pain management during childbirth (1.16 [1.01-1.32] vs. quite/very satisfied). Similar risk factors were found in the 'no PPD symptoms' and 'no history of mental health care' subgroups.

Conclusions: Estimated PPA symptom prevalence at 2 months in our study sample was 27.6%. The risk factors we identified may guide future prevention policies.

背景:产后焦虑(PPA)症状对儿童发育和母婴互动有不良影响。因此,深入了解相关风险因素对预防政策至关重要。本研究旨在估计PPA症状在2个月时的患病率,并在2021年在法国分娩的所有妇女的代表性样本中确定相关的危险因素,并分为两个亚组:无产后抑郁症(PPD)症状的妇女和无精神病史的妇女。方法:在法国具有代表性的国家围产期调查2021ENP的12,723名妇女中,7,133名妇女在产后2个月完成了爱丁堡产后抑郁量表(EPDS)自填问卷,其中包括三个焦虑特异性项目(EPDS- 3a)。我们使用具有稳健方差的泊松回归模型估计PPA症状的校正患病率(aPR)。结果:2个月时PPA症状患病率为27.6% (95% CI[26.5-28.8])。相关的危险因素有:年龄≤34岁(25-29岁对35-39岁的最大aPR = 1.38[1.22-1.58]),健康素养较差(1.15[1.07-1.23]),有医学终止妊娠史(1.32[1.05-1.68]),心理(1.31[1.17-1.47])或精神(1.42[1.24-1.63]),青春期以来的护理史,未生育(1.23[1.12-1.35]),孕期体重未增加或减少(1.29[1.03-1.61]对9-15公斤增加)或体重增加≥23公斤(1.20 [1.00-1.43]),≥3次与妊娠相关的紧急咨询(1.16[1.03-1.31]对无),孕期支持差/好(分别为1.16[1.00-1.34]和1.15[1.05-1.26],对非常好),孕期悲伤(1.52[1.36-1.69]),快感缺乏(1.48[1.27-1.72]),或两者都有(1.99[1.79-2.21]),对分娩疼痛管理不满意/不太满意(1.16[1.01-1.32]对相当/非常满意)。在“无PPD症状”和“无精神病史”亚组中也发现了类似的危险因素。结论:在我们的研究样本中,估计PPA症状在2个月时的患病率为27.6%。我们确定的风险因素可以指导未来的预防政策。
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引用次数: 0
The growing need to integrate digital mental health into psychiatric and medical education. 将数字心理健康整合到精神病学和医学教育中的需求日益增长。
IF 7.2 2区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1802
Jorge Lopez-Castroman, Antonio Artés-Rodríguez, Philippe Courtet, Cecile Hanon, Tomasz Gondek, Enrique Baca-García, Umberto Volpe
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引用次数: 0
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European Psychiatry
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