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Journal of Financial Managment Perspective最新文献

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Tail Risk and Excess Stock Return 尾部风险与股票超额收益
Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.36.35
Mostafa Ramezani Sharifabadi, Saeid Ali Ahmadi, Mahdi Aghabikzadeh
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引用次数: 1
A Hybrid Model for Portfolio Optimization Based on Stock Price Forecasting with LSTM Recurrent Neural Network using Cardinality Constraints and Multi-Criteria Decision Making Methods (Case study of Tehran Stock Exchange) 基于基数约束和多准则决策方法的LSTM递归神经网络组合优化混合模型(以德黑兰证券交易所为例)
Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.36.119
Nasimeh Abdi, mehdi Moradzadeh Fard, Hamid Ahmadzadeh, M. Khoddam
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引用次数: 0
Factors Affecting the Prediction of Irregularity Stock Price Bubble 影响股票价格不规则泡沫预测的因素
Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.36.173
Mohammad Khatiri, Sayyed Ali Taghavi, Ammar Asgari, F. Rostami
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the impact of sentiments on stock returns: evidence from reactions to social media content 调查情绪对股票回报的影响:来自对社交媒体内容反应的证据
Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.36.57
Reza Majidi Zavieh, E. Hajizadeh
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引用次数: 0
Behavioral Analysis of Stock Returns Based on Assets Pricing Models in the Framework of Prospect Theory: Evidence from Companies Listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange 基于前景理论框架下资产定价模型的股票收益行为分析——来自德黑兰证券交易所上市公司的证据
Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.36.91
M. Lotfi, Abdolmajid Abdolbaghi ataabadi
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引用次数: 0
Presentation of a scenario-based optimization model for bank loan portfolio under conditions of uncertainty based on robust Mulvey's approach 基于稳健的Mulvey方法提出了不确定条件下银行贷款组合的场景优化模型
Pub Date : 2021-12-18 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.35.67
Mohadese Kouchaki Tajani, Reza Fallah, M. Maranjory, R. Alikhani
Razieh Alikhani *** Abstract In order to maintain the balance of cash flow between lenders and borrowers, banks have to use a financially appropriate ecosystem. When such a flow is rebated and or disrupted by non-performing loans (NPLs), life trends of banks and implementation of national economic policies are damaged seriously. Mis management and flexibility in lending and repaying off a loans are considered a drive force of NPLs.The aim of present research is to present a model for the optimization of bank loans portfolio under conditions of uncertainty, which is based on the robust scenario-based approach developed by Mulvey et al. uncertainty criteria set in this study include such economic factors as exchange rates, inflation, and systematic risks. This model has three objective functions: (1) increasing the returns of banks by increasing current loan, (2) decreasing the credit risk, and (3) mitigating the risk of bankruptcy based on Altman Financial Ratios, which are analyzed by using GAMS software. Using this model, bank managers based on the status and strength of each type of loan under normal circumstances and uncertainty can make the right decision to pay a certain amount of each type of loan according to the optimal limit, which reduces the credit risk and bankruptcy of the bank. The results also show that respectively systematic risk, inflation rate and exchange rate have the greatest impact on
摘要为了保持借贷双方之间的现金流平衡,银行必须使用一个财务上合适的生态系统。当这种流动被不良贷款(NPLs)退回或中断时,银行的生存趋势和国家经济政策的实施将受到严重损害。贷款和偿还贷款的管理不善和灵活性被认为是不良贷款的驱动力。本研究的目的是基于Mulvey等人开发的稳健的基于场景的方法,提出一个不确定条件下银行贷款组合优化模型。本研究中设置的不确定性标准包括汇率、通货膨胀和系统风险等经济因素。该模型有三个目标函数:(1)通过增加流动贷款来提高银行的收益,(2)降低信用风险,(3)基于Altman Financial ratio来降低破产风险,并使用GAMS软件进行分析。利用该模型,银行管理者可以根据正常情况和不确定性下各类贷款的状况和强度,根据最优限额,做出正确的决策,支付各类贷款的一定数额,从而降低了银行的信用风险和破产风险。结果还表明,系统风险、通货膨胀率和汇率对我国经济增长的影响最大
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引用次数: 1
The Effect of Investors' Behavioral Bias on IPO Return: Moderator Role of Audit Quality and Firm Growth 投资者行为偏差对IPO收益的影响:审计质量和公司成长的调节作用
Pub Date : 2021-11-27 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.35.39
H. Sadeqi, A. Daryaei
The present study seeks to answer the question of whether there is a relationship between investor behavioral bias and short-term returns of initial public offering (IPO) or not and whether this relationship is affected by audit quality (audit size) and the firm growths of be moderated or not? In this research, the data of 172 companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) during the years 2008-2021 have been used. To measure investors' interest in lottery through the expected skewness criterion as well as short-term cumulative return, it is calculated within 10 working days after the offer. Regression test was performed based on cross-sectional regression. The results of the study indicate that the direct relationship between the investors’ preference for skewness and short-term returns of IPO and higher audit quality (audit size), reduces the amount of the effect. Also, the intensity of this effect is less in companies that have less growth options than the average than companies that have more growth options than the average.
本研究旨在回答投资者行为偏差与首次公开发行(IPO)短期收益之间是否存在关系,以及这种关系是否受到审计质量(审计规模)和公司增长是否适度的影响。在本研究中,使用了2008-2021年期间在德黑兰证券交易所(TSE)上市的172家公司的数据。通过预期偏度标准和短期累计收益来衡量投资者对彩票的兴趣,在报价后10个工作日内计算。采用横截面回归进行回归检验。研究结果表明,投资者偏好偏度与IPO短期收益之间的直接关系与较高的审计质量(审计规模)之间的直接关系降低了影响的程度。此外,与拥有更多成长性选择的公司相比,拥有较少成长性选择的公司这种效应的强度要小一些。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of self-control and financial knowledge on financial satisfaction of investors of Tehran Stock Exchange with the mediating role of financial Behavior 自我控制和金融知识对德黑兰证券交易所投资者金融满意度的影响:金融行为的中介作用
Pub Date : 2021-11-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.35.173
Fatteme Rahimpoor Khaneghah, A. Fazlzadeh, Sajad Naghdi, V. Ahmadian
The main purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of self-control and financial knowledge on financial satisfaction mediated by financial behavior among investors in the Tehran Stock Exchange. This research is one of the types of quantitative and applied studies. In this study, sampling was done by Convenience method with Cochran's formula from the target population. Also, the data were collected through a questionnaire with Likert scale and from the opinions of investors of Tehran Stock Exchange. The face and content validity of the questionnaires were confirmed by experts and its reliability was confirmed by Cronbach's alpha coefficient. Finally, the collected data and the analysis of the relationships between the variables were analyzed by structural equation modeling and SPSS and SmartPLS software. Software output shows that self-control and financial knowledge directly affect the financial behavior of investors. Also, financial behavior has a positive effect on financial satisfaction. The important result of this study was that the role of financial behavioral mediator between independent and dependent variables was significant. The results of this study show that the existence of a desirable level of self-control and financial knowledge among investors can strengthen their rational financial behavior and ultimately, provide financial satisfaction to investors.
本研究的主要目的是探讨德黑兰证券交易所投资者自我控制和金融知识对金融满意度的影响,并以金融行为为中介。本研究属于定量研究和应用研究的一种。本研究采用Cochran公式,采用便利法对目标人群进行抽样。采用李克特量表和德黑兰证券交易所投资者意见问卷收集数据。问卷的表面效度和内容效度由专家确认,信度由Cronbach’s alpha系数确认。最后,通过结构方程建模和SPSS、SmartPLS软件对收集到的数据进行分析,并对变量之间的关系进行分析。软件产出表明,自我控制和金融知识直接影响投资者的金融行为。此外,财务行为对财务满意度有积极影响。本研究的重要结果是财务行为在自变量和因变量之间的中介作用显著。本研究结果表明,投资者良好的自我控制水平和金融知识的存在可以增强其理性的金融行为,最终为投资者提供金融满意度。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the effects of financial volatility spillover between digital currencies (application of multivariate GARCH approach) 数字货币间金融波动溢出效应研究(基于多元GARCH方法的应用)
Pub Date : 2021-11-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.35.143
Naeim Shokri, Morteza Sahab Khodamoradi, Amir hossein Hajiloo moghadam
Virtual money is one of the emerging phenomena that can be considered as one of the results of the penetration and expansion of cyberspace in human life. Facilitating financial transactions without the presence of intermediaries such as banks and financial institutions can be considered as one of the goals of creating virtual money. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of volatility spillover from Bitcoin as the largest digital currency on other digital currencies. In this study, the variables were converted into Rial currency to reflect Rial fluctuations simultaneously. One component of this analysis is identifying the digital currencies that have been most affected by the price bubbles and the free fall of bitcoin prices. The findings of the present study show that Bitcoin has the highest fluctuations on Dogecoin and dash among digital currencies, respectively, and it receives overflow from other digital currencies that have high transaction value. According to the results of the present study, the bubbles in the digital currency market show that the market is irrational and due to the effects of the existing overflow, it may spread to domestic financial markets and cause a lot of fluctuations.
虚拟货币是一种新兴的现象,可以认为是网络空间在人类生活中的渗透和扩展的结果之一。在没有银行和金融机构等中介机构存在的情况下,促进金融交易可以被视为创造虚拟货币的目标之一。本研究的目的是探讨比特币作为最大数字货币的波动性溢出对其他数字货币的影响。在本研究中,将变量转换为里亚尔货币,以同时反映里亚尔的波动。这种分析的一个组成部分是确定受价格泡沫和比特币价格暴跌影响最大的数字货币。本研究结果表明,比特币在数字货币中分别比Dogecoin和dash波动幅度最大,并且从其他高交易价值的数字货币中获得溢出。根据本研究的结果,数字货币市场的泡沫表明市场是非理性的,由于现有溢出的影响,可能会蔓延到国内金融市场,造成很大的波动。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of the Informed and Noise Traders Perceptions from the Financial Reports on Stock Returns: Text Mining Approach 财务报告中知情和噪音交易者感知对股票收益的影响:文本挖掘方法
Pub Date : 2021-11-22 DOI: 10.52547/jfmp.11.35.119
M. Aram, A. Soroushyar, Daruosh Foroghi
The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of informed and noise investors' perceptions of financial statements on stock returns. In this regard, the qualitative data of the reports of the board of directors of 116 companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange during the period 2011-2019 have been used. To qualitative analyzing the reports of the board of directors and extracting the textual elements considered by the two groups of informed and noise traders, the text mining and Lasso regression approach was used and to separate the capital market traders into two groups of informed and noise traders, Kalman filter was used. Findings of the study show that both groups of informed and noise traders can achieve abnormal returns by using the information of board reports and basing words and separating them into words with real and fact basis. In the case of mix-meanning based words, the perception of informed traders can affect abnormal stock returns, while noise traders are unable to distinguish mix-meaning words and do not seem to pay much attention to them in their decisions. The results of the research are generally in line with the theory of noise traders and show the behavioral basis (imitative effect) in the Tehran Stock Exchange.
本研究的目的是探讨知情和噪音投资者对财务报表的看法对股票收益的影响。在这方面,本文使用了2011-2019年期间在德黑兰证券交易所上市的116家公司董事会报告的定性数据。采用文本挖掘和Lasso回归方法对董事会报告进行定性分析,提取知情交易者和噪声交易者两组考虑的文本元素,并使用卡尔曼滤波将资本市场交易者分为知情交易者和噪声交易者两组。研究结果表明,无论是知情交易者还是噪音交易者,都可以通过利用董事会报告的信息,并将其划分为具有真实基础和事实基础的单词来实现异常收益。在基于混合含义的词的情况下,知情交易者的感知会影响股票的异常收益,而噪音交易者无法区分混合含义的词,在他们的决策中似乎不太注意它们。研究结果与噪音交易者理论基本一致,显示了德黑兰证券交易所的行为基础(模仿效应)。
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Journal of Financial Managment Perspective
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