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Modeling Fire Hazards Induced by Volcanic Eruptions: The Case of Stromboli (Italy) 模拟火山爆发引发的火灾危害:斯特龙博利(意大利)案例
Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030070
R. Guardo, G. Bilotta, G. Ganci, Francesco Zuccarello, D. Andronico, A. Cappello
We hereby present VolcFire, a new cellular automaton model for fire propagation aimed at the creation of fire hazard maps for fires of volcanic origin. The new model relies on satellite-derived input data for the topography, land-use, fuel, and humidity information, and produces probabilistic maps of fire propagation simulating fire spread. The model contains several simplifications compared to the current state-of-the-art, limiting its usability to plan fire-fighting interventions during an event in favour of a reduced computational load. The accuracy and reliability of the model are also discussed by presenting its ability to reproduce two recent fires on Stromboli island, with good spatial fit (Brier score of 0.146±0.002 for the 3 July 2019 volcanic fire, and of 0.073±0.001 for the 25 May 2022 anthropogenic fire) and less than 1.5% variation across multiple simulations for the same event.
我们在此介绍一种新的火灾传播蜂窝自动机模型--VolcFire,该模型旨在绘制火山源火灾的火灾危险图。新模型依赖于地形、土地利用、燃料和湿度信息的卫星输入数据,并生成模拟火灾蔓延的火灾传播概率图。与目前最先进的模型相比,该模型包含若干简化功能,这限制了其在事件发生期间规划灭火干预措施时的可用性,而有利于减少计算负荷。该模型具有良好的空间拟合度(2019 年 7 月 3 日火山火灾的布赖尔评分为 0.146±0.002,2022 年 5 月 25 日人为火灾的布赖尔评分为 0.073±0.001),且在同一事件的多次模拟中的变化小于 1.5%。
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引用次数: 0
Si-N Matrix as an Effective Fire Retardant Source for Cotton Fabric, Prepared through Sol–Gel Process 通过溶胶-凝胶工艺制备的作为棉织物有效阻燃剂来源的 Si-N 基质
Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030069
Z. Rehman, Laila Khan, Lee Hwain, Yun Chiho, B. Koo
In this study, process control factors such as dipping time, heat treatment time and curing conditions were optimized to prepare N-Si network sol–gel-based coatings on a cotton fabric. The dipping time was varied from 14 h to 30 min, the heat treatment time at ~90 °C was varied between no heating conditions to 15 h and the curing was performed at 165 °C. The microstructure of the coating was analyzed using low electron scanning microscopy (LV-SEM), while a compositional study of the coated substrate was carried out using FTIR and EDS techniques. From the thermal and combustion analysis of the coated samples using thermogravimetric and vertical flame test techniques, significant resistance to the degradation process was observed, particularly in the initial stages, in addition to the highest char residue for DI-0.5 h-15~32.93%. Similarly, for DI–5 h–RT, the peak degradation temperature was around ~372 °C, accompanied by a notable char residue of approximately 31.12%. The flame spread and burning rate profile further supported the findings; DI-0.5 h-15 and DI-5 h-RT had the lowest flame spread.
本研究对浸渍时间、热处理时间和固化条件等工艺控制因素进行了优化,以制备棉织物上的 N-Si 网络溶胶凝胶涂层。浸渍时间从 14 小时到 30 分钟不等,〜90 °C的热处理时间从无加热条件到 15 小时不等,固化温度为 165 °C。使用低电子扫描显微镜(LV-SEM)分析了涂层的微观结构,并使用傅立叶变换红外光谱(FTIR)和电离辐射分析(EDS)技术对涂层基底进行了成分研究。利用热重法和垂直火焰试验技术对涂层样品进行了热分析和燃烧分析,结果表明,除了 DI-0.5 h-15~32.93% 的炭残留量最高外,涂层样品还具有显著的抗降解能力,尤其是在初始阶段。同样,DI-5 h-RT 的降解峰值温度约为 ~372 °C,残炭率约为 31.12%。火焰蔓延和燃烧速率曲线进一步证实了上述发现;DI-0.5 h-15 和 DI-5 h-RT 的火焰蔓延最小。
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引用次数: 0
An Optimized Smoke Segmentation Method for Forest and Grassland Fire Based on the UNet Framework 基于 UNet 框架的森林和草原火灾烟雾分割优化方法
Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030068
Xinyu Hu, Feng Jiang, Xianlin Qin, Shuisheng Huang, Xinyuan Yang, Fangxin Meng
Smoke, a byproduct of forest and grassland combustion, holds the key to precise and rapid identification—an essential breakthrough in early wildfire detection, critical for forest and grassland fire monitoring and early warning. To address the scarcity of middle–high-resolution satellite datasets for forest and grassland fire smoke, and the associated challenges in identifying smoke, the CAF_SmokeSEG dataset was constructed for smoke segmentation. The dataset was created based on GF-6 WFV smoke images of forest and grassland fire globally from 2019 to 2022. Then, an optimized segmentation algorithm, GFUNet, was proposed based on the UNet framework. Through comprehensive analysis, including method comparison, module ablation, band combination, and data transferability experiments, this study revealed that GF-6 WFV data effectively represent information related to forest and grassland fire smoke. The CAF_SmokeSEG dataset was found to be valuable for pixel-level smoke segmentation tasks. GFUNet exhibited robust smoke feature learning capability and segmentation stability. It demonstrated clear smoke area delineation, significantly outperforming UNet and other optimized methods, with an F1-Score and Jaccard coefficient of 85.50% and 75.76%, respectively. Additionally, augmenting the common spectral bands with additional bands improved the smoke segmentation accuracy, particularly shorter-wavelength bands like the coastal blue band, outperforming longer-wavelength bands such as the red-edge band. GFUNet was trained on the combination of red, green, blue, and NIR bands from common multispectral sensors. The method showed promising transferability and enabled the segmentation of smoke areas in GF-1 WFV and HJ-2A/B CCD images with comparable spatial resolution and similar bands. The integration of high spatiotemporal multispectral data like GF-6 WFV with the advanced information extraction capabilities of deep learning algorithms effectively meets the practical needs for pixel-level identification of smoke areas in forest and grassland fire scenarios. It shows promise in improving and optimizing existing forest and grassland fire monitoring systems, providing valuable decision-making support for fire monitoring and early warning systems.
烟雾是森林和草原燃烧的副产物,是精确和快速识别的关键,是早期野火探测的重要突破,对森林和草原火灾监测和预警至关重要。针对森林和草原火灾烟雾的中高分辨率卫星数据集稀缺以及识别烟雾的相关挑战,构建了用于烟雾分割的 CAF_SmokeSEG 数据集。该数据集基于 2019 年至 2022 年全球森林和草原火灾的 GF-6 WFV 烟雾图像创建。然后,基于 UNet 框架提出了优化的分割算法 GFUNet。通过方法比较、模块消融、波段组合和数据可移植性实验等综合分析,本研究发现 GF-6 WFV 数据能有效地表示森林和草原火灾烟雾的相关信息。研究发现,CAF_SmokeSEG 数据集对像素级烟雾分割任务很有价值。GFUNet 具有强大的烟雾特征学习能力和分割稳定性。它的 F1 分数和 Jaccard 系数分别为 85.50% 和 75.76%,明显优于 UNet 和其他优化方法,显示出清晰的烟雾区域划分。此外,用额外的波段增强常用光谱波段也提高了烟雾划分的准确性,特别是沿海蓝色波段等较短波段,优于红边波段等较长波段。GFUNet 结合了常见多光谱传感器的红、绿、蓝和近红外波段进行训练。该方法显示出良好的可移植性,能够在空间分辨率相当、波段相似的 GF-1 WFV 和 HJ-2A/B CCD 图像中分割烟雾区域。将 GF-6 WFV 等高时空多光谱数据与深度学习算法的先进信息提取能力相结合,可有效满足森林和草原火灾场景中像素级烟区识别的实际需求。它有望改进和优化现有的森林草原火灾监测系统,为火灾监测和预警系统提供有价值的决策支持。
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引用次数: 0
Wind Effect on External Fire Spread through Openings under the Protection of Horizontal Projections or Vertical Spandrels—A Numerical Study 风对在水平突出物或垂直吊顶保护下穿过开口的外部火势蔓延的影响--数值研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-25 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030066
Yining Tang, Zhaofeng Tian, Xiao Chen, Brigitta Suendermann, Grant Gamble, Zefeng Huang
A numerical investigation has been conducted to analyse the effect of wind on the vertical spread of fire through a front opening in a building’s external walls. The study utilises a building geometry established from previous experimental work conducted by the National Research Council of Canada (NRCC). A horizontal projection or a vertical spandrel is introduced above the opening of the compartment of fire origin. The purpose of the projection or spandrel is to inhibit the vertical spread of the fire, following the relevant requirements in the Australian National Construction Code (NCC). A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) package for fire-driven fluid flow, namely the Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), is employed to simulate the fire behaviour. The FDS model is validated against the NRCC’s experimental results, and a good agreement is achieved. Winds from three horizontal directions (front wind is normal to the opening, side wind is parallel to the opening, and back wind is from behind the building) have been investigated, with speeds ranging up to 10 m/s for each wind direction. Front wind speeds below 1 m/s are found to slightly enhance the vertical spread of the fire, while speeds exceeding 1 m/s are inclined to promote horizontal spread. The impact of side wind on the vertical fire spread was also found to vary with wind speed. The increase in the speed of back wind influences flame buoyancy, resulting in an augmented vertical fire spread. Furthermore, the numerical results reveal that a vertical spandrel of 1100 mm height is less effective in preventing vertical fire spread through openings, compared to a 1100 mm deep horizontal projection. The study suggests that the fire safety design in reducing the hazard of vertical fire spread through openings in buildings’ external walls could be further improved if the effect of wind is considered.
我们进行了一项数值研究,分析风对火灾通过建筑物外墙前开口垂直蔓延的影响。这项研究采用了加拿大国家研究理事会(NRCC)先前进行的实验工作中确定的建筑物几何形状。在起火隔间的开口上方引入一个水平投影或垂直吊杆。根据《澳大利亚国家建筑规范》(NCC)的相关要求,凸出部分或支撑部分的目的是抑制火势的垂直蔓延。火灾动力学模拟器 (FDS) 是一款针对火灾驱动流体流动的计算流体动力学 (CFD) 软件包,用于模拟火灾行为。FDS 模型与 NRCC 的实验结果进行了验证,结果一致。研究了来自三个水平方向的风(正面风为开口处的正常风向,侧面风为平行于开口处的风向,背面风为来自建筑物后方的风向),每个风向的风速最高可达 10 米/秒。研究发现,低于 1 米/秒的前风速略微增强了火势的垂直蔓延,而超过 1 米/秒的风速则倾向于促进火势的水平蔓延。侧风对火灾垂直蔓延的影响也随风速的变化而变化。逆风速度的增加会影响火焰浮力,从而导致火势的垂直蔓延加剧。此外,数值结果表明,与 1100 毫米深的水平投影相比,1100 毫米高的垂直翼板在防止火灾通过开口垂直蔓延方面的效果较差。研究表明,如果考虑到风的影响,可以进一步改进消防安全设计,减少火灾通过建筑物外墙开口垂直蔓延的危险。
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引用次数: 0
Regional-Scale Assessment of Burn Scar Mapping in Southwestern Amazonia Using Burned Area Products and CBERS/WFI Data Cubes 利用烧毁面积产品和 CBERS/WFI 数据立方体对亚马孙西南部烧伤疤痕绘图进行区域评估
Pub Date : 2024-02-25 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030067
Poliana Domingos Ferro, G. Mataveli, Jeferson de Souza Arcanjo, D. J. Dutra, Thaís Pereira de Medeiros, Y. Shimabukuro, Ana Carolina Moreira Pessôa, G. de Oliveira, L. O. Anderson
Fires are one of the main sources of disturbance in fire-sensitive ecosystems such as the Amazon. Any attempt to characterize their impacts and establish actions aimed at combating these events presupposes the correct identification of the affected areas. However, accurate mapping of burned areas in humid tropical forest regions remains a challenging task. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of four operational BA products (MCD64A1, Fire_cci, GABAM and MapBiomas Fogo) on a regional scale in the southwestern Amazon and propose a new approach to BA mapping using fraction images extracted from data cubes of the Brazilian orbital sensors CBERS-4/WFI and CBERS-4A/WFI. The methodology for detecting burned areas consisted of applying the Linear Spectral Mixture Model to the images from the CBERS-4/WFI and CBERS-4A/WFI data cubes to generate shadow fraction images, which were then segmented and classified using the ISOSEG non-supervised algorithm. Regression and similarity analyses based on regular grid cells were carried out to compare the BA mappings. The results showed large discrepancies between the mappings in terms of total area burned, land use and land cover affected (forest and non-forest) and spatial location of the burned area. The global products MCD64A1, GABAM and Fire_cci tended to underestimate the area burned in the region, with Fire_cci underestimating BA by 88%, while the regional product MapBiomas Fogo was the closest to the reference, underestimating by only 7%. The burned area estimated by the method proposed in this work (337.5 km2) was 12% higher than the reference and showed a small difference in relation to the MapBiomas Fogo product (18% more BA). These differences can be explained by the different datasets and methods used to detect burned areas. The adoption of global products in regional studies can be critical in underestimating the total area burned in sensitive regions. Our study highlights the need to develop approaches aimed at improving the accuracy of current global products, and the development of regional burned area products may be more suitable for this purpose. Our proposed approach based on WFI data cubes has shown high potential for generating more accurate regional burned area maps, which can refine BA estimates in the Amazon.
火灾是亚马逊等对火敏感的生态系统的主要干扰源之一。要确定火灾影响的特征并制定旨在应对这些事件的行动,前提是正确识别受影响的区域。然而,在潮湿的热带森林地区准确绘制烧毁区域的地图仍然是一项具有挑战性的任务。在本文中,我们评估了亚马逊西南部区域范围内四种运行 BA 产品(MCD64A1、Fire_cci、GABAM 和 MapBiomas Fogo)的性能,并提出了一种使用从巴西轨道传感器 CBERS-4/WFI 和 CBERS-4A/WFI 数据立方体中提取的分数图像绘制 BA 地图的新方法。检测烧毁区域的方法包括对来自 CBERS-4/WFI 和 CBERS-4A/WFI 数据立方体的图像应用线性光谱混合模型生成阴影分数图像,然后使用 ISOSEG 非监督算法对其进行分割和分类。在常规网格单元的基础上进行回归和相似性分析,以比较 BA 映射。结果表明,在焚烧总面积、受影响的土地利用和土地覆盖(森林和非森林)以及焚烧区的空间位置方面,绘图之间存在很大差异。全球产品 MCD64A1、GABAM 和 Fire_cci 有低估该地区烧毁面积的趋势,其中 Fire_cci 低估了 BA 面积的 88%,而地区产品 MapBiomas Fogo 最接近参考值,仅低估了 7%。本研究提出的方法估算出的烧毁面积(337.5 平方公里)比参考值高出 12%,与 MapBiomas Fogo 产品相比差异较小(BA 高出 18%)。这些差异可以解释为用于检测烧毁区域的数据集和方法不同。在区域研究中采用全球产品可能会低估敏感地区的总烧毁面积。我们的研究强调了开发旨在提高当前全球产品准确性的方法的必要性,而开发区域烧毁面积产品可能更适合这一目的。我们提出的基于 WFI 数据立方体的方法在生成更准确的区域烧毁面积地图方面具有很大的潜力,可以完善亚马逊地区的 BA 估计值。
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引用次数: 0
Ignition of Forest Fires by Cigarette Butts: Using Pinus massoniana Needles as an Example 烟头引发的森林火灾:以松针为例
Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030065
Yunlin Zhang, Lingling Tian
As a cigarette butt falls onto the forest surface fuel, it first smolders the fuel, then ignites into flames, and spreads as forest fire under certain conditions. In this study, the needles under a typical stand of P. massoniana were used as the research object. Needle beds with different moisture content and packing ratios were constructed indoors. Cigarette butt-ignition experiments were conducted under different wind velocities, and 30 experiment cycles were conducted under different conditions. There was a total of 5 (packing ratio) × 4 (moisture content) × 6 (wind velocity) = 120 sets of conditions, and a total of 3600 ignition experiments were conducted. The results showed that (1) the total ignition probability of the cigarette butts was 2.36%, which only occurred when the fuelbed moisture content was <10% and the wind velocity was >1 m/s. The ignition time of cigarette butts ranged from 2.73 to 7.25 min. (2) The fuelbed moisture content and wind velocity significantly influenced the ignition probability and time. With an increase in moisture content, the ignition probability of cigarette butts decreased, while the time required for ignition showed an increasing trend. Wind velocity had a dual effect on ignition. The ignition effect was optimal at a wind velocity of 4 m/s. With an increase in wind velocity, the ignition probability first increased and then decreased, and the ignition time first decreased and then increased. (3) The packing ratio had no significant effect on the ignition probability; however, the ignition time significantly decreased as the packing ratio increased. (4) The logistic regression method (LRM), general linear method (GLM), and nonlinear regression method (NLM) were used to establish a prediction model of ignition probability. The prediction effect of GLM was the worst, followed by LRM, and the NLM had the best prediction effect. The GLM was selected to establish the ignition time model, and the error was also within the allowance range. This study elucidated the underlying mechanism of factors affecting cigarette butt-based fuel ignition. In addition, the established prediction model provides a reference for human-caused forest fires and is highly significant for forest fire prevention.
当烟头掉落到森林表层燃料上时,首先会灼烧燃料,然后燃起火焰,并在一定条件下以森林火灾的形式蔓延开来。在这项研究中,研究对象是典型马尾松林下的针叶。在室内构建了不同含水量和包装比率的针床。在不同风速下进行了烟头点火实验,在不同条件下进行了 30 个实验周期。共有 5(填料比)×4(含水率)×6(风速)=120 组条件,共进行了 3600 次点火实验。结果表明:(1) 烟蒂的总着火概率为 2.36%,只有在燃料床含水率为 1 m/s 时才会发生。烟蒂的点燃时间在 2.73 至 7.25 分钟之间。随着含水量的增加,烟蒂的着火概率降低,而着火所需时间呈上升趋势。风速对点火有双重影响。风速为 4 米/秒时,点火效果最佳。随着风速的增大,点燃概率先增大后减小,点燃时间先减小后增大。(3) 填料比对点火概率没有明显影响,但随着填料比的增加,点火时间明显缩短。(4) 利用逻辑回归法(LRM)、一般线性法(GLM)和非线性回归法(NLM)建立了着火概率预测模型。GLM 的预测效果最差,LRM 次之,NLM 的预测效果最好。选择 GLM 建立点火时间模型,误差也在允许范围内。该研究阐明了影响烟蒂燃料点燃的因素的内在机理。此外,建立的预测模型为人为森林火灾提供了参考,对森林防火具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The Interacting Influence of Fire and Tree Characteristics on Douglas-Fir Beetle Host-Tree Selection Five Years Post-Fire 火灾和树木特征对火灾后五年花旗松甲虫寄主树木选择的交互影响
Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030064
Matt Young, M. Remke, Julie E. Korb
Fire injury stresses Douglas-fir trees (Pseudotsuga menziesii) that survive a wildfire event, allowing subsequent Douglas-fir beetle (Dendroctonus pseudotsugae) infection to kill trees that may have otherwise survived. This study aimed to determine how fire injury, stand, and tree characteristics drive Douglas-fir beetle host tree selection five years post-fire. We paired 28 adjacent beetle-infected and uninfected stands (infected N = 14) and 140 Douglas-fir trees (infected N = 70) within the 416 Fire burn area in Southwest Colorado. We found no statistically significant differences between infected and uninfected stand characteristics. Individual tree height, DBH, and bark char severity index were significantly higher in infected versus uninfected trees. We created a regression decision tree model to determine the influence of fire injury and tree characteristics on the probability of infection. Trees with a height ≥ 27 m, bark char height < 2.3 m, and DBH < 80 cm had the greatest probability of attack (100%). Trees with a height < 27 m, bark char severity index < 5.5, and DBH < 49 cm had the lowest probability of attack (3.7%). Understanding the influence of fire on Douglas-fir beetle host selection allows land managers to model potential epidemic outbreaks and guide proactive management actions that may reduce beetle outbreak severity or preserve high-value trees not killed by fire.
火灾伤害会对在野火中幸存下来的花旗松树(Pseudotsuga menziesii)造成压力,使随后感染花旗松甲虫(Dendroctonus pseudotsugae)的树木死亡,否则这些树木可能会存活下来。本研究旨在确定火灾伤害、林分和树木特征如何在火灾后五年内驱动花旗松甲虫宿主树的选择。我们将科罗拉多州西南部 416 大火燃烧区内 28 个相邻的甲虫感染林分和未感染林分(感染林分 = 14)以及 140 棵花旗松树(感染林分 = 70)配对。我们发现,受感染和未感染林木的特征在统计学上没有明显差异。受感染树木的单株树高、DBH 和树皮炭化严重程度指数明显高于未受感染树木。我们创建了一个回归决策树模型,以确定火灾伤害和树木特征对感染概率的影响。高度≥27米、树皮炭化高度<2.3米、DBH<80厘米的树木受感染的概率最大(100%)。高度小于 27 米、树皮炭化严重指数小于 5.5 和 DBH 小于 49 厘米的树木受侵袭的概率最低(3.7%)。通过了解火灾对花旗松甲虫寄主选择的影响,土地管理者可以建立潜在流行病爆发的模型,并指导积极的管理行动,从而降低甲虫爆发的严重程度或保护未被火灾烧死的高价值树木。
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引用次数: 0
AgriFireInfo v1.0: An Open-Source Platform for the Monitoring and Management of Open-Field Crop Residue Burning AgriFireInfo v1.0:用于监测和管理露地农作物残留物焚烧的开源平台
Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030063
Guangyi Yang, Xuelei Zhang, A. Xiu, Chao Gao, Mengduo Zhang, Qingqing Tong, Wei Liu, Yang Yu, Hongmei Zhao, Shichun Zhang, Shengjin Xie
Open-field crop residue burning (OCRB) is a widespread agricultural practice with significant impacts on regional environments and public health. The effective management of OCRB remains a challenging task that requires timely access to various forms of monitored and forecasted information. Addressing this worldwide need, an open-source platform named AgriFireInfo v1.0, which is specifically tailored to monitoring and regulating regional OCRB activities, was developed. This technical note thoroughly illustrates the platform’s architecture, major modules, and visualization processes. Through AgriFireInfo v1.0, government agencies can access timely information about the spatial distribution of fire spots and emissions as well as meteorological conditions and air quality status. AgriFireInfo v1.0 also introduces an innovative Prevention Alarming Index, designed to identify regions prone to OCRB and promote comprehensive crop residue utilization. Furthermore, it offers the burning window and crop residue yields for controlled OCRB activities and can be used to analyze shifts in farmers’ burning behaviors and intensities. Future enhancements will focus on supplying holistic information on the burning windows and burning amounts of crop residues to further facilitate refined controlled burning activities and optimize decision-making processes. The flexibility and scalability of this platform can potentially allow users to easily customize and apply it to other regions or countries.
露地焚烧农作物残留物(OCRB)是一种普遍的农业做法,对区域环境和公众健康有重大影响。有效管理露地作物秸秆焚烧仍然是一项具有挑战性的任务,需要及时获取各种形式的监测和预测信息。为了满足这一全球需求,我们开发了一个名为 AgriFireInfo v1.0 的开源平台,该平台专门用于监测和管理区域性 OCRB 活动。本技术说明全面介绍了该平台的架构、主要模块和可视化流程。通过 AgriFireInfo v1.0,政府机构可以及时获取有关火点和排放物空间分布以及气象条件和空气质量状况的信息。AgriFireInfo v1.0 还引入了创新的预防预警指数,旨在识别易发生 OCRB 的区域,促进作物秸秆的综合利用。此外,它还提供了受控 OCRB 活动的焚烧窗口和作物残留物产量,并可用于分析农民焚烧行为和强度的变化。未来的增强功能将侧重于提供有关焚烧窗口和作物残留物焚烧量的整体信息,以进一步促进精细化控制焚烧活动并优化决策过程。该平台的灵活性和可扩展性可使用户轻松定制并应用于其他地区或国家。
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引用次数: 0
Birds of the Burn: Avian Community and Functional Guild Variation Five Years Post-Fire in Warm–Dry Mixed Conifer, Southwest Colorado 烧伤鸟类:科罗拉多州西南部暖干混交针叶林火灾五年后的鸟类群落和功能协会变异
Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.3390/fire7030062
Luke A. Scott, Julie E. Korb
Birds contribute to the trophic interactions within mixed conifer ecosystems and provide a suite of services, such as nutrient transport, seed dispersal, habitat creation, and insect regulation. Avian communities vary in response to the structure and composition of their habitat, which may be drastically altered by fire, the predominant disturbance of western mixed conifer forests. We conducted avian point count surveys during the peak breeding season, five years post-fire, across four burn severities (unburned, low, moderate, and high) within the 416 Fire perimeter, a 55,000-acre mixed-severity fire that burned near Durango, Colorado in 2018. Avian communities in each burn severity were evaluated for richness, diversity, differentiation, indicator species, and functional guild composition. Species assemblages were significantly different across all burn severities, excluding the low to moderate areas comparison, with differentiation driven by live tree and snag density. Avian species’ richness and diversity were not significantly different across burn severities, highlighting the importance of utilizing multivariate community analysis. Unburned and high-burn areas had significant variation in functional guilds and numerous indicator species. This study provides evidence of avian community differentiation by burn severity, suggesting that management practices promoting heterogenous stand structure in warm–dry mixed conifer will positively influence avian biodiversity.
鸟类有助于针阔混交林生态系统内的营养相互作用,并提供一系列服务,如营养运输、种子传播、栖息地创造和昆虫调节。鸟类群落随其栖息地的结构和组成而变化,而西部针叶混交林的主要干扰因素火灾可能会使栖息地的结构和组成发生巨大变化。我们在火灾后五年的繁殖高峰期对 416 火灾周边地区的四种燃烧严重程度(未燃烧、低度、中度和高度)进行了鸟类点计数调查,416 火灾是 2018 年在科罗拉多州杜兰戈附近燃烧的一场 55,000 英亩的混合严重程度火灾。对每种燃烧严重程度下的鸟类群落的丰富度、多样性、分化、指示物种和功能行会组成进行了评估。除中低度地区比较外,所有焚烧严重程度的物种组合都有明显差异,差异由活树和树干密度驱动。鸟类物种的丰富度和多样性在不同焚烧等级之间没有明显差异,这突出了利用多元群落分析的重要性。未焚烧区和高焚烧区在功能区和众多指示物种方面存在显著差异。这项研究提供了鸟类群落因焚烧程度而分化的证据,表明在暖干混交针叶林中促进异质林分结构的管理措施将对鸟类的生物多样性产生积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated Grassland Fire-Danger-Assessment System for a Mountainous National Park Using Geospatial Modelling Techniques 利用地理空间建模技术为山区国家公园建立草原火灾危险综合评估系统
Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.3390/fire7020061
Olga D. Mofokeng, S. Adelabu, Colbert M. Jackson
Grasslands are key to the Earth’s system and provide crucial ecosystem services. The degradation of the grassland ecosystem in South Africa is increasing alarmingly, and fire is regarded as one of the major culprits. Globally, anthropogenic climate changes have altered fire regimes in the grassland biome. Integrated fire-risk assessment systems provide an integral approach to fire prevention and mitigate the negative impacts of fire. However, fire risk-assessment is extremely challenging, owing to the myriad of factors that influence fire ignition and behaviour. Most fire danger systems do not consider fire causes; therefore, they are inadequate in validating the estimation of fire danger. Thus, fire danger assessment models should comprise the potential causes of fire. Understanding the key drivers of fire occurrence is key to the sustainable management of South Africa’s grassland ecosystems. Therefore, this study explored six statistical and machine learning models—the frequency ratio (FR), weight of evidence (WoE), logistic regression (LR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) in Google Earth Engine (GEE) to assess fire danger in an Afromontane grassland protected area (PA). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve results (ROC/AUC) revealed that DT showed the highest precision on model fit and success rate, while the WoE was used to record the highest prediction rate (AUC = 0.74). The WoE model showed that 53% of the study area is susceptible to fire. The land surface temperature (LST) and vegetation condition index (VCI) were the most influential factors. Corresponding analysis suggested that the fire regime of the study area is fuel-dominated. Thus, fire danger management strategies within the Golden Gate Highlands National Park (GGHNP) should include fuel management aiming at correctly weighing the effects of fuel in fire ignition and spread.
草原是地球系统的关键,提供着重要的生态系统服务。南非草原生态系统的退化正在以惊人的速度加剧,而火灾被认为是罪魁祸首之一。在全球范围内,人为气候变化改变了草原生物群落的火灾机制。综合火灾风险评估系统为火灾预防和减轻火灾的负面影响提供了一个整体方法。然而,由于影响火灾燃点和行为的因素众多,火灾风险评估极具挑战性。大多数火险系统都没有考虑火灾原因,因此不足以验证对火险的估计。因此,火险评估模型应包括火灾的潜在原因。了解火灾发生的主要驱动因素是南非草原生态系统可持续管理的关键。因此,本研究在谷歌地球引擎 (GEE) 中探索了六种统计和机器学习模型--频率比 (FR)、证据权重 (WoE)、逻辑回归 (LR)、决策树 (DT)、随机森林 (RF) 和支持向量机 (SVM),以评估非洲蒙地草原保护区 (PA) 的火灾危险性。接收器工作特征曲线下面积结果(ROC/AUC)显示,DT 在模型拟合精度和成功率方面最高,而 WoE 的预测率最高(AUC = 0.74)。WoE 模型显示,53% 的研究区域易受火灾影响。地表温度(LST)和植被状况指数(VCI)是影响最大的因素。相应的分析表明,研究区域的火灾机制以燃料为主。因此,金门高地国家公园(GGHNP)的火险管理策略应包括燃料管理,目的是正确权衡燃料在火灾发生和蔓延过程中的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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