Frontiers in Earth Science最新文献

{"title":"Evaluating coastal lagoon sustainability through the driver-pressure-state-impact-response approach: a study of Khenifiss Lagoon, southern Morocco","authors":"Hamza El Behja, Abdelmounim El M’rini, Driss Nachite, Mohammed Bouchkara, Khalid El Khalidi, Bendahhou Zourarah, Md Galal Uddin, Mohamed Abioui","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1322749","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1322749","url":null,"abstract":"Coastal lagoons are valuable ecosystems, providing socioeconomic benefits and supporting human populations and biodiversity. However, these systems face several challenges, making them vulnerable to both natural and human factors. In this study, we apply the Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) Approach to conduct a comprehensive socioeconomic and environmental assessment of the Khenifiss Lagoon to promote sustainable development and support decision-makers. Located on the southern Atlantic coast of Morocco, the lagoon was designated a natural reserve in 1962, a biological reserve in 1983, and a protected wetland under the Ramsar Convention since 1980. This study represents the initial endeavor to conduct a comprehensive global and multidisciplinary environmental assessment of the lagoon by using a wide range of data sources, including relevant publications and reports, satellite images and remote sensing data, field observations, and interviews, all analyzed under the DPSIR framework. Our findings show that both natural and human factors have an impact on the ecosystem. Natural Factors associated with the geomorphological features of the region likely contribute to the silting of the lagoon, possibly intensified by a large shipwreck stuck at its inlet. Meanwhile, human factors encompass population growth (at a rate of 2% per year), tourism, shellfish farming, fishing, shellfish harvesting, and salt extraction. Our results reveal significant changes in the lagoon’s condition in recent years, including a reduction in water body extent, a probable decrease in depth, and an increase in the accumulation of solid waste, plastics, and wastewater in three sectors spanning a total surface area of 464 ha (equivalent to 7% of the lagoon), a substantial expansion of the salt mining area encompassing 368 ha, and a remarkable loss of biodiversity, manifested in declining fish stocks and seabird populations. This study showed that the lagoon is positioned as a potential site for economic growth and serves to alert stakeholders and the local population to the ecosystem’s environmental issues. Based on the findings of this study, we highly recommend regulating human activities within the lagoon, the removal of the wreck at the entrance, proper waste management, community awareness programs, and strict monitoring and enforcement of regulations to protect the environment.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141511387","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Experimental and numerical studies on CO2 injectivity in low permeability oil reservoirs","authors":"Fankun Meng, Lin Cao, Yuhui Zhou, Botao Liu, Chengyue Wen, Jia Liu","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1418087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1418087","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Contrary to the traditional recognition that CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> has large injectivity (the ratio of CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injection volume to pressure drop) in low permeability oil reservoirs to keep the formation pressure at a high level, the CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injection rate usually cannot attain the set value. It is essential to study the factors that influence CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity and propose the optimal strategies to improve the CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity.Methods: Therefore, in this study, several core samples collected from low permeability oil reservoirs are used to experimentally investigate the influences of CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injection rate, formation permeability, pressure and water saturation on CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity, and the corresponding pressure drop, oil and gas production are examined. To determine the primary factor that influences the CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity, orthogonal experimental design (ODE) and numerical simulations are utilized. In addition, to improve CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity, the techniques of mini-fracturing and radial perforation are presented, and the threshold values for these two parameters are determined.Result and discussion: The results demonstrate that according to the magnitude of the extent that influences CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity, the rank for the above factors is CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injection rate, reservoir pressure, formation water saturation and permeability. The oil recovery is mainly influenced by CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injection rate and formation permeability, and the influences of reservoir pressure and water saturation on oil recovery are smaller. The threshold values for radial perforation and fracture half-length are 25 m and 50m, respectively, which can provide some guidance for the strategies that should be taken to improve the CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub> injectivity and recover more oil from low permeability oil reservoirs.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141511389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Transition of dome formation to sudden explosive eruptions at Popocatépetl, Mexico: magnetic indicators","authors":"Ana Lillian Martin-Del-Pozzo, César Alberto Santos Morales","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1204859","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1204859","url":null,"abstract":"Transitions from effusive to explosive activity can increase hazards making it crucial to define early indicators such as changes in the magnetic signals. After more than 80 cycles of crater-dome extrusion and destruction from 1996 on, Popocatépetl volcano (Mexico) experienced changes in its behavior from March 15 to 18 July 2019, when no lava domes were observed. Some of the domes behaved as contained lava flows within the crater floor (pancakes) while others were more irregular-shaped. Activity decreased considerably over this 2019 interval except for the unexpected explosions in March and June, that produced ash plumes reaching up to 14,000 m a.s.l. In order to investigate the causes of the transition from effusive to explosive behavior in March and June, we analyzed the time series from the magnetic monitoring network at Popocatépetl volcano between October 2018 and December 2019. The raw signals were analyzed by weighted differences (WD) based on the elimination of non-local changes from the total intensity values of the geomagnetic field and the discrete-time continuous wavelet transform was used to evaluate the local variations of energy within the time series. The high energy periods (linked to negative magnetic anomalies) are induced by magma ascent associated with movement within the conduit. They indicate that the sudden explosions were due to the ascent of several magma batches that were slowed during ascent and were not able to reach the surface. Changes in the rheology of the lava are linked to the influx of several batches of magma with different compositions as well as to compaction by gas loss when ascending andesitic magma pushed out overlying more viscous degassed magma clearing the conduit, which can explain why these sudden explosions were more energetic. Several geophysical data sets as well as tephra compositions were integrated to support this conclusion. The correlated multiparameters also confirm that geomagnetic volcano monitoring has been essential in understanding the processes that drive the observed changes in eruptive behavior. We present new evidence for the detection of transient events produced by magma ascent and changes in the feeding system of Popocatépetl volcano with wavelet analysis. Detailed vulcanomagnetic processing, especially when it is correlated with other monitoring parameters, provides information on ascending magma and several conduit processes that would otherwise be camouflaged. Ascending batches may precede an eruption but they can also ascend in several pulses indicating how dome growth occurs.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141511392","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Quantitative analysis of crustal deformation, seismic strain, and stress estimation in Iran via earthquake mechanisms","authors":"Majid Nemati, Ahmad Rashidi, Maryam Ezati, Reza Derakhshani","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1408873","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1408873","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the variations in stress, strain, and deformation of the Earth’s crust in Iran arising from tectonic movements and seismic activities. We employed the Kostrov and Molnar methods to quantify these parameters, focusing on the influence of different zoning techniques on the estimations. Analyzing data from 637 earthquakes (moment magnitudes &amp;gt; 5.5) spanning 1909 to 2016, we determined the directions of maximum pressure, tension, and seismic strain through two primary approaches: comprehensive zoning and individual earthquake analysis. Additionally, we assess horizontal shortening and vertical crustal adjustments. Our methodology involves three distinct strategies: individual earthquake analysis, 1° × 1° zoning, and tectonic zoning. The findings demonstrate that the choice of zoning method significantly affects the direction and magnitude of seismic strain estimations. Although both methods identified significant deformations in the Dasht Bayaz and Qaen regions of Eastern Iran, differences between the Kostrov and Molnar methods in estimating seismic strain are observed. The high Zagros region shows signs of crustal thickening, whereas the Zagros foreland exhibits crustal thinning. Intriguingly, Eastern Alborz indicates uplift, and Western Alborz suggests subsidence, offering an alternative view to the conventional tectonic understanding of the Alborz range. These results highlight the critical role of zoning in stress analyses and the disparities between widely used estimation techniques. They underscore the necessity of careful method selection and interpretation in geodynamic studies, particularly in seismically active regions like Iran.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141511390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Seismically-induced permanent displacements of slopes using 3D Nested Newmark method","authors":"Qiang Li, Yan-Yang Tong, Jin-Nan Wang, Hui Xu","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1355767","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1355767","url":null,"abstract":"The Newmark method is a classic method for evaluating the permanent displacements of a slope under seismic loads. This study aims at proposing a three-dimensional nested Newmark method (3D-NNM) in the framework of the kinematic theorem of limit analysis. The classical three-dimensional rotational failure mechanism is discretized into a series of nested rotating wedges, each of which is subjected to a corresponding yield acceleration determined by employing the work rate balance, and each of which produces relative displacements under seismic excitations when it exceeds the yield acceleration. The total permanent displacement profile is further obtained by integration of the relative displacements from the slope toe to the slope crest. The obtained results show that the proposed 3D-NNM can effectively evaluate the permanent displacement profile of slopes under earthquakes, and the proposed 3D-NNM improves the Leshchinsky’s 2D nested Newmark method by 30.7%; the obtained total horizontal displacement at the slope middle height reduces with the number of nested blocks, but increases with the increasing of the slope-width-to-height ratios. Besides, the traditional Newmark method with a single sliding block tends to overestimate the permanent displacements of slope under seismic shakings.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141511391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Frontiers | Numerical simulation of groundwater in hyporheic zone with coupled parameter stochastic scheme","authors":"Jing Wang, Tianye Wang, Shougang Zhao, Ruidong Sun, Yan Lan, Yibo Zhang, Mengke Du, Taihe Zhang, Jinyu Wu, Quanfu Zhang","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1426899","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1426899","url":null,"abstract":"Groundwater numerical modeling is a crucial scientific tool for understanding groundwater circulation and supporting regional water resource planning and management. The effectiveness of these models depends largely on the accuracy of hydrogeological parameters within aquifers, which are often spatially heterogeneous and randomly distributed due to complex geological and tectonic factors. Traditional modeling approaches frequently overlook this randomness, compromising the precision and resolution of groundwater simulations. This study focuses on a section of the Qingshui River in the Huaihe River Basin. Using field and laboratory data, probability distribution functions for key parameters like hydraulic conductivity, specific yield, and specific storage were developed. These functions were integrated into the groundwater model to reflect the inherent stochastic nature of aquifer properties. This integration significantly enhanced model accuracy, reducing the root mean square error of simulated water levels from 0.47–1.43 m to 0.13–0.16 m and improving the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients (NSE) from −2.96–0.73 to 0.94–0.98. Additionally, the model facilitated analysis of the interactions between river and groundwater, particularly in the hyporheic zone, under various scenarios. It identified spatial and temporal variations in groundwater recharge dynamics and delay effects at different distances from the river channel. For instance, recharge rates at 50 m and 150 m from the river were 0.295 m/day and 0.015 m/day, respectively, indicating stronger recharge closer to the river. The study also assessed the impact of varying river flows, riverbed permeability, and irrigation practices on water exchanges between the river and groundwater. These factors were found to significantly influence the intensity of water exchange, seepage, and groundwater reserves. This research provides valuable insights for managing river-groundwater interactions and analyzing the ecological environment of surrounding groundwater systems, underscoring the importance of incorporating stochastic characteristics into groundwater modeling.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572225","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Frontiers | Geological and glaciological controls of 21,700 active methane seeps in the northern Norwegian Barents sea","authors":"Pavel Serov, Karin Andreassen, Monica Winsborrow, Rune Mattingsdal, Henry Patton","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1404027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1404027","url":null,"abstract":"Due to tectonic uplift in the Cenozoic and numerous shelf-wide glaciations during the Quaternary, ∼1–2.5 km of sedimentary overburden has been eroded from the Barents Sea shelf, leading to the exhumation and partial uncapping of hydrocarbon accumulations. Widespread natural gas and oil leakage from the glacially eroded middle-upper Triassic reservoir directly into the water column has been documented at the Sentralbanken high in the northern Norwegian Barents Sea. However, it remains unclear whether the hydrocarbon leakage occurs only from the middle-upper Triassic reservoir units in geological settings exceptionally conducive to hydrocarbon leakage, or if other reservoir formations contributed to the release of hydrocarbons into the water column. It is also not clear whether complete erosion of the caprock is a prerequisite for widespread liberation of natural gas and oil from glacially eroded reservoirs across Arctic continental shelves. Here we analyze multibeam echosounder data covering ∼5,000 km2 and a suite of high-resolution P-cable seismic lines from a range of geological structures across the northern Norwegian Barents Sea. Our analyses reveal that ∼21,700 natural gas seeps originate from exhumed, faulted and variably eroded structural highs bearing a range of Mesozoic reservoir formations. All investigated structural highs fuel seabed methane release hotspots with no exception. Evident from observations of seismic anomalies, fluid accumulations are pervasive in the subsurface and likely to continue fuelling seabed gas seepage into the future. We also document that gas seepage through faults piercing overburden, caprocks and reaching potential reservoir levels is pervasive at all investigated structural highs. On the Storbanken high and the Kong Karl platform, such fault-controlled seepage is more prevalent than seepage from reservoir formations subcropping below the seafloor. Using a simple parametrization approach, we estimate that seeps identified within our multibeam data coverage produce a seabed methane flux of 61 x 107 mol/yr (9,803 ton/yr), which is one to two orders of magnitude higher than other globally known submarine methane seepage provinces. Fluxes of methane from sea water to the air above the thermogenic gas seep provinces in the northern Norwegian Barents Sea remain to be determined.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141586089","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Frontiers | Landslide susceptibility mapping using multiple combination weighting determination: a case study of collector roads in Pingshan County, Hebei Province, China","authors":"Hui Li, Kun Song, Xing Zhai, Mingjia Liang","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1403830","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1403830","url":null,"abstract":"The landslide susceptibility map estimates the quantitative relationship between known landslides and control factors, and it has been used for site selection of infrastructures and geo-disaster management. As landslides and rockfalls occur frequently in mountainous areas in Hebei Province, China, due to road construction, the managing government needs to evaluate the vulnerability of geo-disasters in the road slopes to avoid unfavorable site selection for subsequent road constructions. Some typical collector road slopes were used as the study area in Pingshan County, Hebei Province. By analyzing the landslide triggering factors, we determined classification criteria and proposed a comprehensive method for determining the weighting. The respective weighting was calculated by the AHP and CRITIC method, and the combination weighting was determined by the game theory method. The landslide susceptibility of collector roads was evaluated and mapped using the ArcGIS platform. The susceptibility map was validated using landslide field investigation. The validation results show the effectiveness of the susceptibility methods, given the good number of correctly classified landslides. The landslide susceptibility map could have a significant impact on reducing the vulnerability of infrastructure to landslides in Hebei Province, China.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Tracking the variability of the western Pacific warm pool heat content over 1980–2020","authors":"Liang Jin, Chunlei Liu, Ning Cao, Xiaoqing Liao, Yufeng Xue, Ruijuan Bao, Lingli Fan, Lingjing Zhu, Qianye Su, Ke Yang, Rong Zheng, Shujie Chang, Mei Liang","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1377715","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1377715","url":null,"abstract":"The western Pacific warm pool (WPWP) is a major thermal driver of atmospheric deep convection and global atmospheric circulation in the tropics, and changes in its ocean heat content (OHC) affect the local and global climates. Four state-of-the-art ocean reanalyses and one objective analysis were used to study the variations in the WPWP OHC, ocean heat content tendency (OHCT), and ocean heat transport (OHT). The variabilities of both the OHC and OHCT integrated from 0 to 300 m are consistent between the datasets and are closely related to the El-Niño southern oscillation cycle. The integrated OHC from 0 to 2000 m shows an overall increasing trend in the WPWP. The WPWP mainly gains heat from the eastern boundary and loses heat from the northern boundary. The heat transport through the eastern boundary of the WPWP is mainly facilitated by the westward flowing south and north equatorial currents as well as the equatorial countercurrent around the depth of the thermocline, whereas the OHT at the northern boundary is mainly driven by the western boundary current of the Pacific Ocean, which shows complex flow structures.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141341884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A coal bursting liability evaluation model based on fuzzy set theory and analysis of three influencing factors","authors":"Chao Wang, Zijun Jin, Xiaofei Liu, Tuanhui Wang, Yu Liu, Shaoyuan Zhang, Qiwei Wang","doi":"10.3389/feart.2024.1378956","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1378956","url":null,"abstract":"The classification of coal bursting liability is of great significance for the prevention and control of rock burst. To address the shortcomings in existing bursting liability classification methods, a comprehensive evaluation model for bursting liability based on a combination of weighted-fuzzy set theory and three influencing factor analyses is proposed. The model selects four evaluation indicators: dynamic failure time (DT), elastic energy index (WET), bursting energy index (KE), and uniaxial compressive strength (RC). Two types of membership functions, trapezoidal fuzzy numbers (TFN) and Gaussian fuzzy numbers (GFN), are used to quantitatively describe the fuzziness between indicator levels. The Delphi method and a random forest feature identification method are combined to obtain a subjective and objective combined weighting, determining the optimal combination weight of the four indicators. Based on Zadeh operator (ZO), maximum-minimum operator (MMO), weighted-average operator (WAO), and all-around restrictive operator (ARO), calculations are carried out for the synthesis of indicator weights and memberships. Maximal membership principle (MMP) and Credible identification principle (CIP) are utilized as evaluation principle to assess the bursting liability level, constructing 16 fuzzy comprehensive evaluation models. The impact of membership functions, fuzzy operators, and evaluation principle on evaluation results are systematically analyzed based on the discrimination results of 127 sample sets. The results show that the optimal fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is constructed using the trapezoidal fuzzy numbers, weighted average operator, and maximal membership principle (TFN-WAO-MMP), with a classification accuracy of 97.64%. Finally, the optimal model is applied to 10 engineering instances, and the evaluation results are consistent with the actual situation, verifying the reliability and effectiveness of the model. Overall, these findings contribute to the development of a more sophisticated and accurate method for assessing the rock burst tendency of coal specimens. By leveraging the theory of fuzzy sets, this approach provides a more nuanced and nuanced evaluation of rock burst tendency, and thus offers the potential to improve workplace safety and efficiency in the coal mining industry.","PeriodicalId":12359,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Earth Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141344426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}