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Fluid restriction in patients with heart failure: a systematic review. 心力衰竭患者的液体限制:一项系统综述
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326784
Job J Herrmann, Rachna van Berlo, Hans-Peter Brunner-La Rocca, Sandra Sanders-Van Wijk, D H Frank Gommans, Roland R J van Kimmenade

Background: Fluid restriction is a commonly prescribed non-pharmacological intervention in the management of heart failure (HF). However, data on its efficacy and safety are scarce. Recent randomised clinical trial (RCT) data prompt reassessment of the available evidence.

Methods: CINAHL, EMBASE, PubMed and the Cochrane Library were searched up to 1 May 2025. RCTs were included if adults with HF were randomised to fluid restriction in comparison to a liberal or unrestricted intake, less strict restriction or usual care. Outcomes of interest were mortality, HF hospitalisation, quality of life (QoL), thirst distress, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and N-terminal pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide (CRD42022292319). No meta-analysis was performed due to high heterogeneity of the included trials.

Results: In total, four RCTs were included, comprising 682 randomised inpatient, recently discharged and stable outpatient patients (ranging from 46 to 504 patients per trial). Only one study had a low risk of bias. None of the four trials found a significant difference in mortality or HF hospitalisations. For QoL, the results are contradictory, but overall, there is no clear benefit for fluid restriction, but it resulted in more thirst distress. No significant differences in NYHA class or (NT-pro)BNP were observed.

Conclusion: Studies on fluid restriction in patients with HF are scarce, and most of the available studies are at high risk of bias. Although power is lacking, there is no evidence indicating that fluid restriction affects mortality or HF hospitalisations, but there is a signal of harm in terms of thirst distress. Taken together, the current evidence does not support the routine use of fluid restriction in patients with HF.

背景:限制液体是治疗心力衰竭(HF)的常用非药物干预措施。然而,关于其有效性和安全性的数据很少。最近的随机临床试验(RCT)数据提示对现有证据的重新评估。方法:检索截至2025年5月1日的CINAHL、EMBASE、PubMed和Cochrane Library。如果成年HF患者被随机分配到液体限制组,与自由或无限制摄入组、较不严格的限制组或常规护理组相比,则纳入rct。研究结果包括死亡率、心衰住院率、生活质量(QoL)、口渴窘迫、纽约心脏协会(NYHA)分级和n端前脑利钠肽(CRD42022292319)。由于纳入试验的异质性较高,未进行meta分析。结果:共纳入4项随机对照试验,包括682例随机住院患者、近期出院患者和稳定门诊患者(每项试验46 - 504例患者)。只有一项研究的偏倚风险较低。四项试验均未发现死亡率或心衰住院率有显著差异。对于生活质量,结果是矛盾的,但总的来说,限制液体没有明显的好处,但它会导致更多的口渴痛苦。NYHA类和(NT-pro)BNP未见显著差异。结论:关于心衰患者限制饮水的研究很少,而且现有的研究大多存在高偏倚风险。虽然缺乏动力,但没有证据表明限制液体会影响死亡率或心力衰竭住院治疗,但在口渴窘迫方面有危害的迹象。综上所述,目前的证据并不支持在心衰患者中常规使用液体限制。
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引用次数: 0
Heart failure and fluid restriction: time to let go? 心力衰竭和液体限制:是时候放手了?
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-327288
Ryosuke Sato, Constanze Schmidt, Stephan von Haehling
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引用次数: 0
Agreement of ethnicity reporting among patients with cancer with acute coronary syndrome: a national multiregistry analysis. 癌症合并急性冠脉综合征患者种族报告的一致性:一项全国多登记分析。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326988
Mohamed O Mohamed, Mamas A Mamas, Charlotte Manisty, Evangelos Kontopantelis, Fizzah A Choudry, Arjun K Ghosh, Clive Weston, Michael Peake, Avirup Guha, Andrew Wragg, Muhiddin Ozkor, Mark A de Belder, John Deanfield, David Adlam, Amitava Banerjee

Background: Ethnic inequalities exist in the management of patients with cancer with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Given their under-representation in trials, ethnic minority patients are often studied using large registries, but the quality of ethnicity coding in these datasets remains unclear.

Methods: Agreement of ethnicity coding and outcomes for patients with cancer with ACS (2000-2018) was examined across four national datasets: National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service (NCRAS), Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP), British Cardiovascular Intervention Society database (BCIS) and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES). Three linkages were performed: NCRAS-MINAP, NCRAS-MINAP-BCIS, NCRAS-MINAP-HES, with four groups based on ethnicity agreement: Concordant, Discordant, Missing (1 and ≥2 datasets). Multivariable logistic regression and Cox's Proportional Hazards models assessed 1-year and long-term (≤5 years) cardiac and cancer-related death for each agreement group.

Results: Among three linkages, just over half of the ethnicities were concordant (range: 52.4%-53.8%). Discordance was relatively low (range 1.2%-5.5%) while missingness ranged between 28.6% and 43.4% in 1 dataset and 1.6%-12.6% in ≥2 datasets. Ethnicity correlation between individual datasets was poor, lowest between NCRAS and BCIS (r=0.318). We observed higher 1-year and long-term cardiac and cancer deaths in several of the Missing (1 and ≥2 datasets) groups across the three linkages, compared with the Concordant group.

Conclusion: Across four national datasets for patients with cancer with ACS, nearly half of patients had missing ethnicity in at least one dataset, which was associated with higher cardiac or cancer mortality. Inconsistency in ethnicity coding represents a missed opportunity to examine health inequalities in this high-risk and understudied population.

背景:在癌症合并急性冠脉综合征(ACS)患者的管理中存在种族不平等。考虑到他们在试验中的代表性不足,少数民族患者通常使用大型注册库进行研究,但这些数据集中的种族编码质量仍不清楚。方法:通过四个国家数据集(国家癌症登记和分析服务中心(NCRAS)、心肌缺血国家审计项目(MINAP)、英国心血管干预协会数据库(BCIS)和医院事件统计(HES))检查癌症ACS患者(2000-2018)的种族编码和结局的一致性。进行了三个关联:NCRAS-MINAP, NCRAS-MINAP- bcis, NCRAS-MINAP- hes,根据种族一致性分为四组:Concordant, disdant, Missing(1和≥2个数据集)。多变量logistic回归和Cox比例风险模型评估了每个协议组1年和长期(≤5年)心脏和癌症相关死亡。结果:在三个联系中,超过一半的种族是一致的(范围:52.4% ~ 53.8%)。不一致性相对较低(范围为1.2%-5.5%),而缺失度在1个数据集的28.6% - 43.4%之间,在≥2个数据集的1.6%-12.6%之间。各个数据集之间的种族相关性较差,NCRAS和BCIS之间的相关性最低(r=0.318)。我们观察到,与协和组相比,在三个关联中,缺失组(1个和≥2个数据集)中的几个组的1年和长期心脏和癌症死亡率更高。结论:在癌症合并ACS患者的四个国家数据集中,近一半的患者在至少一个数据集中缺少种族,这与较高的心脏或癌症死亡率相关。种族编码的不一致意味着错过了在这一高风险和研究不足的人群中检查健康不平等的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Clinical characteristics and outcomes of type A intramural haematoma and aortic dissection: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 6457 patients. A型壁内血肿和主动脉夹层的临床特征和结局:6457例患者的系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326602
Qianlei Lang, Chaoyi Qin, Hong Qian, Hongjia Ma, Julin Zhang, Kosgei Godwin Kiplimo, Wei Meng, Jia Hu

Background: Type A intramural haematoma (TAIMH) and type A aortic dissection (TAAD) are both managed surgically as acute aortic syndromes, but whether their clinical profiles and outcomes differ remains unclear. We performed the first comprehensive meta-analysis to compare patient characteristics, operative findings and complications between TAIMH and TAAD.

Methods: Systematic searches of six databases identified studies comparing TAIMH and TAAD, with data pooled using random-effects models and Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman corrections for small samples. Subgroup and meta-regression analyses assessed the influence of treatment strategy, geography and baseline factors. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality; secondary outcomes were 30-day, operative mortality and perioperative complications.

Results: 16 studies including 6457 patients (1288 TAIMH; 5169 TAAD) were analysed. Compared with TAAD, patients with TAIMH were older, more often female and had more hypertension but less connective-tissue disease, severe aortic regurgitation and malperfusion. TAIMH was associated with shorter aortic cross-clamp and cardiopulmonary bypass times and fewer total arch replacements. Perioperative mortality was significantly lower in TAIMH (in-hospital risk ratio (RR) 0.49, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.68; 30-day RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.40 to 0.88; operative RR 0.31, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.60), with fewer postoperative acute kidney injury (RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.42 to 0.76), consistent across eastern and western populations.

Conclusions: TAIMH differs pathophysiologically and prognostically from classical TAAD, demonstrating lower perioperative mortality despite affecting an older population. These findings support distinct risk stratification and tailored surgical strategies for TAIMH and should inform updates to future aortic-disease guidelines.

Prospero registration number: CRD42024599964.

背景:A型壁内血肿(TAIMH)和A型主动脉夹层(TAAD)均作为急性主动脉综合征进行手术治疗,但其临床特征和结局是否不同尚不清楚。我们进行了首次综合荟萃分析,比较TAIMH和TAAD的患者特征、手术结果和并发症。方法:系统检索了六个数据库,确定了比较TAIMH和TAAD的研究,并使用随机效应模型和小样本的Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman校正合并数据。亚组和荟萃回归分析评估了治疗策略、地理和基线因素的影响。主要结局是住院死亡率;次要结局为30天、手术死亡率和围手术期并发症。结果:16项研究纳入6457例患者(1288例TAIMH; 5169例TAAD)。与TAAD相比,TAIMH患者年龄较大,多为女性,高血压较多,结缔组织疾病较少,主动脉反流和灌注不良严重。TAIMH与更短的主动脉交叉夹夹和体外循环次数以及更少的全弓置换术相关。TAIMH患者围手术期死亡率显著降低(院内风险比(RR) 0.49, 95% CI 0.35 ~ 0.68;30天RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.40 ~ 0.88;手术RR 0.31, 95% CI 0.16 ~ 0.60),术后急性肾损伤较少(RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.42 ~ 0.76),在东西方人群中一致。结论:TAIMH在病理生理和预后上不同于传统TAAD,尽管影响的是老年人群,但其围手术期死亡率较低。这些发现支持对TAIMH进行明确的风险分层和量身定制的手术策略,并应为未来主动脉疾病指南的更新提供信息。普洛斯彼罗注册号:CRD42024599964。
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引用次数: 0
Progression of valvular heart disease: an academic concept or a clinical imperative? 瓣膜性心脏病的进展:是学术概念还是临床需要?
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-327550
Jaroslaw D Kasprzak
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引用次数: 0
Insomnia symptom trajectories and incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: a longitudinal cohort study. 老年人失眠症状轨迹和心血管疾病:一项纵向队列研究
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325362
Qing-Mei Huang, Hao-Yu Yan, Huan Chen, Jia-Hao Xie, Jian Gao, Zhi-Hao Li, Chen Mao

Background: Insomnia symptoms are prevalent in older adults and linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the role of long-term symptom trajectories remains unclear. We investigated associations between insomnia symptoms, their trajectories over time and incident CVD in a population-based cohort.

Methods: This longitudinal study included 12 102 participants aged ≥50 years without baseline CVD from the US Health and Retirement Study (2002-2018). Insomnia symptoms (non-restorative sleep, difficulty initiating/maintaining sleep, early awakening) were assessed at baseline; trajectories were modelled over 4 years (2002-2006) using latent class analysis. Cox models estimated HRs for incident CVD (heart disease or stroke), adjusted for sociodemographics, lifestyle and comorbidities.

Results: During a median of 10.2-year follow-up, 3962 incident CVD events occurred. Compared with no symptoms, participants with one, two, or three to four symptoms had higher CVD risk (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.27; HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.28; HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.38, respectively). Four trajectories were identified: persistent low (56.3%), decreasing (27.1%), increasing (7.2%) and persistent high (9.5%). Compared with persistent low, increasing (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.50) and persistent high (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.50) trajectories were associated with elevated CVD risk.

Conclusions: Greater burden of insomnia symptoms at baseline and trajectories over time were associated with higher CVD incidence in older adults.

背景:失眠症状在老年人中普遍存在,并与心血管疾病(CVD)有关,但长期症状轨迹的作用尚不清楚。我们在以人群为基础的队列中调查了失眠症状及其随时间变化的轨迹与CVD事件之间的关系。方法:这项纵向研究纳入了来自美国健康与退休研究(2002-2018)的12102名年龄≥50岁、无基线心血管疾病的参与者。在基线时评估失眠症状(非恢复性睡眠、难以开始/维持睡眠、早醒);使用潜在类别分析对4年(2002-2006)的轨迹进行建模。Cox模型估计了CVD(心脏病或中风)事件的hr,并根据社会人口统计学、生活方式和合并症进行了调整。结果:在中位10.2年的随访期间,发生了3962例CVD事件。与没有症状的受试者相比,有一种、两种或三到四种症状的受试者有更高的心血管疾病风险(HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 ~ 1.27;HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 ~ 1.28;HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.15 ~ 1.38)。确定了四种轨迹:持续低(56.3%)、下降(27.1%)、上升(7.2%)和持续高(9.5%)。与持续低相比,增加(HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.10至1.50)和持续高(HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15至1.50)的轨迹与CVD风险升高相关。结论:更大的基线失眠症状负担和随时间的发展轨迹与老年人更高的CVD发病率相关。
{"title":"Insomnia symptom trajectories and incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: a longitudinal cohort study.","authors":"Qing-Mei Huang, Hao-Yu Yan, Huan Chen, Jia-Hao Xie, Jian Gao, Zhi-Hao Li, Chen Mao","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325362","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325362","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Insomnia symptoms are prevalent in older adults and linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the role of long-term symptom trajectories remains unclear. We investigated associations between insomnia symptoms, their trajectories over time and incident CVD in a population-based cohort.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This longitudinal study included 12 102 participants aged ≥50 years without baseline CVD from the US Health and Retirement Study (2002-2018). Insomnia symptoms (non-restorative sleep, difficulty initiating/maintaining sleep, early awakening) were assessed at baseline; trajectories were modelled over 4 years (2002-2006) using latent class analysis. Cox models estimated HRs for incident CVD (heart disease or stroke), adjusted for sociodemographics, lifestyle and comorbidities.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During a median of 10.2-year follow-up, 3962 incident CVD events occurred. Compared with no symptoms, participants with one, two, or three to four symptoms had higher CVD risk (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.27; HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.28; HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.38, respectively). Four trajectories were identified: persistent low (56.3%), decreasing (27.1%), increasing (7.2%) and persistent high (9.5%). Compared with persistent low, increasing (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.50) and persistent high (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.50) trajectories were associated with elevated CVD risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Greater burden of insomnia symptoms at baseline and trajectories over time were associated with higher CVD incidence in older adults.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"153-158"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144158156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Phenotyping non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy: just the beginning of the journey. 表型非扩张型左室心肌病:只是旅程的开始。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326778
Pawel Rubis
{"title":"Phenotyping non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy: just the beginning of the journey.","authors":"Pawel Rubis","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326778","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326778","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"117-118"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144951530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction: Response to: Correspondence on 'Estimated sodium intake and premature ventricular complexes: data from the population-based Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage study' by Campbell. 更正:对Campbell关于“估计钠摄入量和过早心室复合体:来自基于人群的瑞典心肺生物图像研究的数据”的回应。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326620corr1
{"title":"Correction: <i>Response to: Correspondence on 'Estimated sodium intake and premature ventricular complexes: data from the population-based Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage study' by Campbell</i>.","authors":"","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326620corr1","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326620corr1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"e1"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145587200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Current and emerging treatment options for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy. 转甲状腺素淀粉样蛋白心肌病当前和新兴的治疗选择。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325184
Giuseppe Vergaro, Yu Fu Ferrari Chen, Adam Ioannou, Giorgia Panichella, Vincenzo Castiglione, Alberto Aimo, Michele Emdin, Marianna Fontana

Transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR) is a condition caused by TTR protein misfolding and amyloid deposition, particularly in the heart and nervous system, leading to organ dysfunction. Advances in therapeutic strategies have revolutionised the management of ATTR amyloidosis. Treatments available in clinical practice include TTR stabilisers (tafamidis and acoramidis), which prevent the dissociation of TTR tetramer into monomers and oligomers that subsequently form amyloid fibrils, and gene-silencing therapies (patisiran, inotersen and vutrisiran), which suppress the hepatic synthesis of TTR, which is the amyloid precursor protein. Novel treatment strategies that are at various stages of development include Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats-Cas9 gene-editing technology (nexiguran ziclumeran), which, if successful, offers the prospect of a single-dose treatment, and monoclonal (cormitug and ALXN220) and pan-amyloid antibodies (AT-02) that seek to target and remove amyloid fibrils that have deposited in the myocardium. Amyloid removal remains a significant unmet clinical need, and hence, the ability to promote amyloid degradation and clearance through the use of antiamyloid therapies would represent a groundbreaking advancement in the treatment of ATTR amyloidosis. The success of ATTR-specific disease-modifying therapies has already altered the treatment landscape and changed the perception of ATTR amyloidosis from a progressive and fatal disease to one that is treatable through the availability of highly effective disease-modifying therapies. However, important questions remain, including the long-term safety of these drugs, whether combining therapies with different mechanisms of action has an additive prognostic benefit and how best to monitor the treatment response.

转甲状腺素淀粉样变性(ATTR)是一种由TTR蛋白错误折叠和淀粉样蛋白沉积引起的疾病,特别是在心脏和神经系统,导致器官功能障碍。治疗策略的进步已经彻底改变了ATTR淀粉样变的管理。临床实践中可用的治疗方法包括TTR稳定剂(tafamidis和acoramidis),它们可以防止TTR四聚体解离成单体和寡聚体,从而形成淀粉样蛋白原纤维,以及基因沉默疗法(patisiran, intertersen和vutrisiran),它们抑制肝脏合成TTR, TTR是淀粉样蛋白的前体蛋白。处于不同发展阶段的新型治疗策略包括Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats-Cas9基因编辑技术(nexiguran ziclumeran),如果成功,它将提供单剂量治疗的前景,以及单克隆(commitug和ALXN220)和泛淀粉样蛋白抗体(at -02),它们寻求靶向并去除沉积在心肌中的淀粉样蛋白原纤维。淀粉样蛋白去除仍然是一个重要的未满足的临床需求,因此,通过使用抗淀粉样蛋白疗法促进淀粉样蛋白降解和清除的能力将代表着ATTR淀粉样变性治疗的突破性进展。atr特异性疾病修饰疗法的成功已经改变了治疗前景,并将ATTR淀粉样变性从一种进行性和致命性疾病转变为一种可通过高效疾病修饰疗法治疗的疾病。然而,重要的问题仍然存在,包括这些药物的长期安全性,不同作用机制的联合治疗是否具有附加的预后益处,以及如何最好地监测治疗反应。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the risk of motor vehicle crash in the first year after cardioverter-defibrillator implantation. 预测心脏转复除颤器植入后第一年发生车祸的风险。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326041
John A Staples, Daniel Daly-Grafstein, Mayesha Khan, Shannon Erdelyi, Nathaniel M Hawkins, Herbert Chan, Christian Steinberg, Andrew Krahn, Jeffrey Brubacher

Background: Baseline health and driving data might allow clinicians to personalise medical driving restrictions after implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation.

Methods: Using 22 years of population-based administrative data from British Columbia, Canada, we identified licensed drivers with a first ICD implantation between 1998 and 2018. After stratifying by ICD indication (primary vs secondary prevention of sudden cardiac death), we used baseline health and driving data and logistic regression to estimate each driver's 1-year crash risk. We assessed optimism-corrected discrimination and calibration of the final model using 200 bootstrapped samples.

Results: In the first year after implantation, there were 352 crashes among 3652 primary prevention ICD recipients and 270 crashes among 3408 secondary prevention ICD recipients. Crash prediction models exhibited poor discrimination (c-statistics 0.60 and 0.61, respectively) but good calibration (calibration slopes 1.14 and 1.07). The strongest predictors of crash among primary prevention ICD recipients were male sex, active vehicle insurance in the past year and the number of crashes in the past year. The strongest predictors of crash among secondary prevention ICD recipients were male sex, no history of seizure, an active prescription for opioids and active vehicle insurance in the past year.

Conclusions: Crash prediction models based on health and driving data had a limited ability to distinguish individuals who subsequently crashed from individuals who did not. Observed crash risks are likely to be strongly influenced by unobserved changes in road exposure (the hours or miles of driving per week), limiting the application of these risk scores by clinicians and policy-makers.

背景:基线健康和驾驶数据可能允许临床医生在植入式心律转复除颤器(ICD)植入后个性化医疗驾驶限制。方法:利用加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省22年的人口管理数据,我们确定了1998年至2018年间首次植入ICD的持牌司机。根据ICD适应症(一级与二级预防心源性猝死)进行分层后,我们使用基线健康和驾驶数据以及logistic回归来估计每个驾驶员1年的碰撞风险。我们使用200个自举样本评估了乐观校正的判别和最终模型的校准。结果:植入后第一年,3652例一级预防ICD受术者发生碰撞352例,3408例二级预防ICD受术者发生碰撞270例。碰撞预测模型具有较差的判别性(c统计量分别为0.60和0.61),但具有良好的校准性(校准斜率分别为1.14和1.07)。在一级预防ICD接受者中,碰撞的最强预测因子是男性、过去一年的有效车辆保险和过去一年的碰撞次数。二级预防ICD接受者中碰撞的最强预测因子是男性,无癫痫发作史,在过去一年中有效的阿片类药物处方和有效的车辆保险。结论:基于健康和驾驶数据的碰撞预测模型区分随后发生碰撞的个体和未发生碰撞的个体的能力有限。观察到的碰撞风险可能受到未观察到的道路暴露变化(每周驾驶小时数或英里数)的强烈影响,这限制了临床医生和政策制定者对这些风险评分的应用。
{"title":"Predicting the risk of motor vehicle crash in the first year after cardioverter-defibrillator implantation.","authors":"John A Staples, Daniel Daly-Grafstein, Mayesha Khan, Shannon Erdelyi, Nathaniel M Hawkins, Herbert Chan, Christian Steinberg, Andrew Krahn, Jeffrey Brubacher","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326041","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326041","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Baseline health and driving data might allow clinicians to personalise medical driving restrictions after implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using 22 years of population-based administrative data from British Columbia, Canada, we identified licensed drivers with a first ICD implantation between 1998 and 2018. After stratifying by ICD indication (primary vs secondary prevention of sudden cardiac death), we used baseline health and driving data and logistic regression to estimate each driver's 1-year crash risk. We assessed optimism-corrected discrimination and calibration of the final model using 200 bootstrapped samples.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In the first year after implantation, there were 352 crashes among 3652 primary prevention ICD recipients and 270 crashes among 3408 secondary prevention ICD recipients. Crash prediction models exhibited poor discrimination (c-statistics 0.60 and 0.61, respectively) but good calibration (calibration slopes 1.14 and 1.07). The strongest predictors of crash among primary prevention ICD recipients were male sex, active vehicle insurance in the past year and the number of crashes in the past year. The strongest predictors of crash among secondary prevention ICD recipients were male sex, no history of seizure, an active prescription for opioids and active vehicle insurance in the past year.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Crash prediction models based on health and driving data had a limited ability to distinguish individuals who subsequently crashed from individuals who did not. Observed crash risks are likely to be strongly influenced by unobserved changes in road exposure (the hours or miles of driving per week), limiting the application of these risk scores by clinicians and policy-makers.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"144-152"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144484147","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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