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Background: Inconsistent findings about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cardiovascular disease diagnosis and consultations have been reported internationally. The objective of this study was to analyse the impact of the pandemic period (2020-2021) on the incidence rate of coronary heart disease (CHD) compared with the pre-pandemic period (2012-2019) in Bavaria, Germany.

Methods: We used health claims data of around 9 million statutorily insured residents (≥20 years) of Bavaria, Germany. We calculated quarterly age-standardised incidence rates for men and women diagnosed with CHD using the European Standard Population 2013. Interrupted time series regression models were used to analyse possible pandemic effects on the CHD incidence rates.

Results: Overall, 797 074 new CHD cases (47% women) were diagnosed from 2012 to 2021. Both pre-pandemic and pandemic incidence rates for women were lower than for men. Regression models showed decreasing incidence rates in the pre-pandemic period in men (-5.2% per year (p.a.), 95% CI: -5.7% to -4.7%) and in women (-6.6% p.a., 95% CI: -7.3% to -6.0%) and seasonal effects (higher in quarter 4 compared with Q1-Q3). During the pandemic period, there was no clear evidence of a level change in the incidence rates both in women and men. However, there are indications of a smaller decline in the incidence during the pandemic compared with the pre-pandemic period, in particular in women (-0.7% p.a., 95% CI: -6.0% to 4.8%) and less prominent in men (-1.7% p.a., 95% CI: -6.0% to 2.8%).

Conclusions: An overall decreasing CHD incidence rate was observed in men and women in the past decade but no clear impact of the pandemic was seen. These results show the importance of incidence monitoring beyond the pandemics to maintain chronic disease care.

Background: Immune disorders are key heart failure (HF) triggers, but little is known about whether the status of immunity affects the incidence of HF. To explore this, we used blood cell counts and derived ratios to investigate the association between immunity status markers and HF incidence.

Methods: The number and proportion of peripheral blood leucocytes in a physiological state are related to the body's immune status. Neutrophils, monocytes, SII (systemic immune-inflammatory index), NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), and PLR (platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio) serve as innate immunity status markers, while lymphocytes and LMR (lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio) serve as specific immunity status markers. 330 362 UK Biobank (UKB) participants were finally examined. Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the relationship between immunity status markers and HF incidence. Flexible parametric survival models were used to capture time-varying relationships between blood cell ratios and HRs for HF. Subgroup analyses were conducted by age, sex, and body mass index. Finally, sensitivity analyses were performed to validate the results.

Results: During a median follow-up of 14.1 years, 9611 (2.9%) participants developed HF. Neutrophils, monocytes, SII, and NLR were positively associated with HF incidence, with fully adjusted per SD increment HR (95% CI) of 1.20 (1.17 to 1.22), 1.09 (1.07 to 1.12), 1.12 (1.10 to 1.14), and 1.16 (1.14 to 1.18), respectively. Platelets, lymphocytes, and LMR were inversely correlated with HF incidence, with fully adjusted per SD increment HR (95% CI) of 0.97 (0.95 to 1.00), 0.97 (0.95 to 0.99), and 0.90 (0.88 to 0.92), respectively.

Conclusions: The innate immunity status markers were positively associated with HF incidence, while specific immunity status markers exhibited an inverse association, offering novel insights for HF prediction and intervention.

Degenerative mitral valve disease is common. Up to a quarter of patients with degenerative mitral valve disease may be asymptomatic despite having severe valve regurgitation. Current guideline indications for intervention in asymptomatic patient are centred on left ventricular dimensions and ejection fraction and may include consideration in atrial fibrillation, pulmonary hypertension and those with left atrial dilatation. However, despite intervention according to these recommendations, patients remain at risk of post-operative heart failure and mortality. Newer risk markers have been developed including left ventricular and atrial strain, myocardial fibrosis demonstrated using late gadolinium enhancement, mitral annular disjunction and ventricular arrhythmia burden. Translating newer markers into clinical practice will require integrating and identifying high-risk phenotypes that benefit from early intervention using machine learning techniques and artificial intelligence. Valve repair is the recommended intervention. However, repair rate and durability are dependent on both operator and centre volumes as well as valve characteristics. Recent advancements, including robotic surgery, may enhance repair rates; however, larger datasets are necessary to confirm these improvements. Efforts should focus on establishing high-volume regional centres of excellence for mitral valve repair.

Background: Bacteraemia and infective endocarditis (IE) are rare but severe complications of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Limited data exist on the incidence and microbiological profile of early bacteraemia in this population. This study aimed to evaluate the 6-month incidence of bacteraemia, IE and associated mortality following TAVI.

Methods: Using Danish nationwide registries, all patients who underwent TAVI from 2012 to 2021 were identified and matched 1:1 by age, sex and index year with patients who underwent elective coronary angiography (CAG). Outcomes were assessed with cumulative incidence functions and adjusted HRs.

Results: Among 5990 patients with first-time TAVI (57% male, mean age 80 years, SD 6.9), bacteraemia occurred in 4.2% within 6 months, compared with 2.6% in the CAG group (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.96). Common pathogens post-TAVI included Streptococci (20%), Coagulase-negative staphylococci (19%) and Enterococci (18%), differing from the CAG group, where Coagulase-negative staphylococci (22%) and Staphylococcus aureus (16%) predominated. IE developed in 1.1% of patients with TAVI versus 0.1% of patients with CAG (adjusted HR 20.01, 95% CI 5.97 to 67.48).

Conclusion: Bacteraemia and IE rates are substantially elevated within 6 months following TAVI compared with elective CAG. The bacterial profile post-TAVI suggests that current prophylactic antibiotic regimens may not provide adequate coverage.

Background: Little evidence is available about heart rate (HR) response to exercise as well as its relationship with functional capacity in amyloid cardiomyopathy. Then, in a multicentre cohort of patients with amyloid cardiomyopathy, we investigated the prevalence of chronotropic incompetence (CI) and its relationships with cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) variables.

Methods: Data from 172 outpatients with amyloid cardiomyopathy who performed a maximal CPET and who had no significant rhythm disorders were analysed.

Results: The prevalence of CI differed depending on the age-predicted peak HR (pHR%) cut-off value adopted, ranging from 16% to 59%. pHR% correlated non-linearly with peak oxygen uptake (pVO₂), either as expressed as a percentage of the maximum predicted or as mL/kg/min (p<0.001). Although to a lesser extent, pHR% correlated inversely with ventilatory efficiency (p<0.001). A pHR%≤75% resulted in the most accurate cut-off value in identifying a moderate-to-severe exercise impairment (sensitivity 72%; specificity 73%; area under the curve 77.2%).

Conclusions: CI is prevalent in patients with amyloid cardiomyopathy in sinus rhythm, its percentage varying according to the pHR% cut-off value. A blunted exercise-induced HR response correlated with a poor exercise capacity even in this setting of patients, a pHR%≤75% cut-off value being possibly useful in centres without CPET availability to identify a significant exercise impairment.

Background: Accurate discrimination of functionally significant coronary stenosis using intravascular imaging remains uncertain, particularly with regard to vessel size. This meta-analysis evaluates the diagnostic performance of intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) and optical coherence tomography (OCT) for identifying functionally significant coronary stenosis as confirmed by fractional flow reserve (FFR).

Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus and Google Scholar identified studies that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of IVUS and OCT by minimal luminal area (MLA) with FFR as the reference standard. Sensitivity and specificity were analysed across different vessel diameters including left main coronary artery (LM) lesions. Hierarchical models estimated the summary receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity and specificity.

Results: 31 studies involving 4039 patients and 4413 lesions were analysed. For IVUS, a median MLA threshold of 2.9 mm² (IQR: 2.6-3.2) predicted significant lesions, yielding an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76. In vessels≥3 mm, this threshold increased to 3.0 mm² (IQR: 2.7-3.1) with an AUC of 0.76 while in smaller vessels it decreased to 2.6 mm² (IQR: 2.4-2.7) with an AUC of 0.79. For LM lesions, the median threshold was 6.0 mm² (IQR: 4.9-6.2) with an AUC of 0.88. OCT demonstrated a median threshold of 2.0 mm² (IQR: 1.7-2.3) and an AUC of 0.82 with better performance in larger vessels (≥3 mm, median 3.0 mm², AUC 0.87) than in smaller ones (<3 mm, median 1.8 mm², AUC 0.75).

Conclusions: IVUS and OCT show moderate diagnostic accuracy for identifying functionally significant coronary stenosis with OCT providing improved accuracy in vessels≥3 mm. IVUS is more accurate in assessing LM lesions, suggesting that vessel size should guide modality selection.

Prospero registration number: CRD 42024514538.

Background: Deterioration of the cardiac conduction system is an important manifestation of cardiac ageing. Cellular ageing is accompanied by telomere shortening and telomere length (TL) is often regarded as a marker of biological ageing, potentially adding information regarding conduction disease over and above chronological age. We therefore sought to evaluate the association between leucocyte telomere length (LTL) on two related, but distinct aspects of the cardiac conduction system: ECG measures of conduction (PR interval and QRS duration) and incident pacemaker implantation in a large population-based cohort.

Methods: In the UK Biobank, we measured PR interval and QRS duration from signal-averaged ECG waveforms in 59 868 and 62 266 participants, respectively. Incident pacemaker implantation was ascertained using hospital episode data from 420 071 participants. Associations with LTL were evaluated in (Cox) multivariable regression analyses adjusted for potential confounders. Putative causal effects of LTL were investigated by mendelian randomisation (MR).

Results: Mean PR interval and QRS duration were 144.2 ms (± 20.4) and 92.3 ms (± 7.8), respectively, and there were 7169 (1.7%) incident pacemaker implantations, during a median follow-up period of 13.6 (IQR 1.5) years. LTL was significantly associated with PR interval (0.19 ms (95% CI: 0.03 to 0.35), per 1 SD shorter LTL, p=0.021), but not QRS duration. After adjusting for age, sex and cardiovascular risk factors, shorter LTL remained associated with an increased risk for incident pacemaker implantation (HR per SD decrease in LTL: 1.03 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.06), p=0.012). MR analysis showed a trend towards an association of shorter LTL with longer PR interval and higher risk of pacemaker implantation but was likely to be underpowered.

Conclusions: Shorter LTL was significantly, and possibly causally, associated with prolongation of atrioventricular conduction and pacemaker implantation, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Our findings support further research to explore the role of ageing on cardiac conduction beyond chronological age.

Background: Menopause is a timely opportunity to screen for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and intervene with healthier lifestyles. We investigated the association between premature/early menopause and the likelihood of CVD and whether a healthy lifestyle is associated with a lower likelihood of CVD in menopausal woman.

Methods: The Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study prospectively recruited participants aged ≥45 years (n=267 357) between 2005 and 2009 (New South Wales, Australia). Our study included women without prior CVD and reporting menopausal age at baseline. Primary outcome was new-onset CVD (self-reported heart disease/stroke) based on survey data at Wave 2 (2012-2015) and/or Wave 3 (2018-2020). Logistic regression models assessed the associations of premature (age <40 years) and early (age 40-44 years) menopause with CVD, compared with menopause between 50 and 52 years, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical variables. Healthy lifestyle adherence was assessed using a score of five factors: smoking, physical activity, sitting, sleep and diet.

Results: We included 46 238 women (mean age 62.1±8.2 years), with 5416 (11.7%) cases of CVD over 15-year follow-up. After adjustment, the odds of CVD was higher in women with premature menopause (OR 1.36, 95% CIs 1.17 to 1.59; p<0.0001) and early menopause (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28; p=0.013) compared with menopause between 50 and 52 years. Among all women, high (score 9-10) versus low (score 0-5) healthy lifestyle adherence led to 23% lower odds of CVD (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.86; p<0.0001), and in women with premature menopause, led to 52% lower odds of CVD (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.77, p=0.0022). Lifestyle effect did not significantly differ between menopause categories (interaction, p=0.71).

Conclusion: Women with premature/early menopause are at higher likelihood for CVD. Lifestyle modification is associated with consistent reduction of the likelihood of CVD in women and should be encouraged across the life course.