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Drinking in despair: Unintended consequences of automation in China 在绝望中饮酒:中国自动化的意外后果。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4865
Wenyi Lu, Siyuan Fan

The side effects of technological progress on the economy have been discussed frequently, but little is known regarding its health consequences. By combining the national individual-level panel data of alcohol drinking with the prefecture-level robot exposure rate in China, we find that one more robot exposure rate could induce up to 2.2% points increase in the probability of problem drinking. Such a pattern of problem drinking is explained by negative emotions, which can be ascribed to job loss due to substitution, higher income vulnerability, and reduced organization participation. Further, we provide evidence that automation can incur health costs, particularly for easily substituted workers, which would exacerbate health inequality in China. This paper sheds light on the impact of automation and the social incentives of problem drinking, emphasizing the possibly heterogeneous health cost accompanied by the automation process.

人们经常讨论技术进步对经济的副作用,但对技术进步对健康的影响却知之甚少。通过将中国全国个人层面的饮酒面板数据与地市级的机器人接触率相结合,我们发现,多一个机器人接触率,问题饮酒的概率就会增加 2.2 个百分点。这种问题饮酒模式可以用负面情绪来解释,负面情绪可归因于替代品导致的工作损失、收入脆弱性增加以及组织参与度降低。此外,我们还提供证据表明,自动化会产生健康成本,尤其是对容易被替代的工人而言,这将加剧中国的健康不平等。本文揭示了自动化的影响和问题饮酒的社会诱因,强调了自动化过程可能带来的异质性健康成本。
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引用次数: 0
Public health economics: Should it be more offensive? 公共卫生经济学:它是否应该更具攻击性?
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4868
Richard Smith
<p>“<i>The soft drinks tax can be expected to result in more than 4000 job losses across the UK</i>” [ (Oxford Economics, <span>2016</span>, pg 3). As public health moves further away from government provided or regulated activities, such as clean water, traffic safety and vaccination, and into policies directly impacting goods and services provided by commercial actors, statements such as these are becoming increasingly commonplace for those seeking to develop, implement and evaluate public health interventions. As commercial actors have a history of marshalling economics to go on the “offensive” in opposing policies, the question arises of whether, and if so how and when, health economics should similarly be mobilised?</p><p>Public health is increasingly involved in policies and interventions that impact on commercial entities, generating a substantial literature and concern around the behavior of these actors (https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/commercial-determinants-of-health). This literature relates to the products or services that these commercial actors provide and the marketing and sales practices they engage in, of course, but also their use of, and response to, research and evidence related to policies that may negatively impact their activities. The tactics used by the tobacco industry to influence and negate public health campaigns to reduce smoking has long been subject to research (Saloojee & Dagli, <span>2000</span>). These tactics have been similarly observed and examined with respect to alcohol (Hawkins et al., <span>2012</span>). Most recently, with the emphasis for public health moving on to obesity and unhealthy diets, we have seen concern that the commercial food and beverage sector is operating in a similar manner (Brownell & Warner, <span>2009</span>). The commercial sector is clearly very willing, and very able, to mobilise economics for “offensive” means to try and sink public health policies that may impact commercial activities.</p><p>Health economics, as an academic research discipline, takes what may be seen as a more objective approach to its role. Put simply, health economics typically seeks to establish the costs and benefits of the policy or intervention that it is engaged to evaluate. The problem, generally, with this approach is that it does not explicitly consider the key elements that the commercial sector is concerned with, and which commercial actors then use in an “economic offensive”. Many public health interventions concerned with diet, for example, have very little direct impact on the health sector; impacts that do occur tend to be positive, as reductions in the consumption of alcohol, soft drinks or unhealthy foods will not place a financial demand on health systems, and any health benefits will reduce demand for services. Similarly, such interventions often have very little direct impact on government; tax receipts from VAT may fall due to reduced product purchasing (though typ
到了这一阶段,卫生经济学证据的措辞往往更加 "防御性"--挑战商业机构证据的证据可能尚未得到评估(因为没有通常的职权范围来关注特定城市的就业等问题),和/或商业部门指出的损失可能是真实的,但诉诸的手段往往是关注国家医疗服务体系(NHS)节省的重要开支或人口健康的(通常是长期的)收益。为了使公共卫生(政策制定)处于更加公平的竞争环境中,卫生经济学家必须解决这一脱节问题,使我们的(公共)卫生经济学处于更加积极主动和类似 "进攻 "的状态。我们必须超越对经验证据的客观评估和展示,转而利用超越我们学科常规的证据,共同制定和支持政策与干预措施(Smith &amp; Petticrew, 2010)。我们必须从关注更常见的干预措施本身的直接成本和效益,转向研究对商业行为者和更广泛的经济可能产生的影响(消极和积极影响)(Law 等人,2020a, 2020b)。我们必须准备好参与辩论,讨论对这些其他参与者、部门和经济要素的影响。商业部门生产并提供我们几乎所有的商品和服务,作为经济学家,我们承认利润动机的重要性、益处和合法性。事实上,如果不这样做,那就太天真了,与商业部门更紧密合作的必要性已在其他地方得到认可(White 等人,2020 年)。相反,这关系到平衡--证据、论证及其在围绕(可能的)新政策的关键利益上的时机的平衡。作为卫生经济学家,我们的责任不仅仅是作为客观的研究者参与评估新干预措施的成本和效益,而且要超越往往狭窄的职权范围,确保及时评估与商业参与者相关的方面。在最好的情况下,使用 "进攻性 "卫生经济学可以确定 "双赢 "的情况,或至少是 "双 不输 "的情况,这可能会积极支持更多的公共和商业合作,或至少表明可以驳斥商业 行为者提出的潜在损失。在最坏的情况下,它将指出哪些地方可能会出现 "双输 "的情况,在这种情况下,可以与我们的公共卫生同行讨论可能的缓解政策和/或确定可能出现损失的内容和地点,以便他们能够做好更充分的准备。"这是经济问题,笨蛋。"这句话与比尔-克林顿 1992 年的总统竞选有关,但这句话很好地概括了前面提到的 "大众 "经济学的首要地位,正如其他地方所概述的那样(Smith,2014 年)。当然,"经济 "是商业行为者试图展示政策(负面)影响的地方。这或许应该引起我们的反思:在经济影响往往压倒健康影响的情况下,作为卫生经济学家,我们的责任和对公共卫生同行的价值肯定是专注于评估这些更广泛的影响?是不是到了卫生经济学变得更加 "冒犯 "的时候了?
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引用次数: 0
Is anchoring at ‘dead’ a theoretical requirement for health state valuation? 锚定 "死亡 "是健康状态估值的理论要求吗?
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4863
Chris Sampson, David Parkin, Nancy Devlin

Values that accompany generic health measures are typically anchored at 1 = full health and 0 = dead. Some health states may then be considered ‘worse than dead’ (WTD) and assigned negative values, which causes fundamental measurement problems. In this paper, we challenge the assumption that anchoring values at ‘dead = 0’ is necessary for quality-adjusted life year (QALY) estimation. We summarise the role of ‘dead’ in health state valuation and consider three critical questions: (i) whether the measurement properties of health state values require ‘dead’; (ii) whether ‘dead’ needs to be valued relative to health states; and (iii) whether values for states WTD are meaningful or useful. We conclude that anchoring 0 at dead is not a requirement of health status measurement or cost-effectiveness analysis. This results from reframing QALYs as the relevant unit of measurement and reframing values as being derived from QALYs rather than the reverse.

通用健康测量值通常锚定为 1 = 完全健康,0 = 死亡。有些健康状况可能会被视为 "比死亡更糟"(WTD),并被赋予负值,这就造成了根本性的测量问题。在本文中,我们对将数值锚定在 "死亡 = 0 "对于质量调整生命年(QALY)估算是必要的这一假设提出质疑。我们总结了 "死亡 "在健康状态估值中的作用,并考虑了三个关键问题:(i) 健康状态值的测量属性是否需要 "死亡";(ii) "死亡 "是否需要相对于健康状态进行估值;(iii) WTD 状态值是否有意义或有用。我们的结论是,将 0 锚定为死亡并不是健康状况测量或成本效益分析的要求。这是因为我们将 QALYs 重新定义为相关的衡量单位,并将价值重新定义为从 QALYs 派生,而不是相反。
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引用次数: 0
Training labor and treatment behavior: Evidence from physician residency programs 培训劳动与治疗行为:来自住院医师培训项目的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-02 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4841
Brendan Rabideau, Michael R. Richards, Christopher M. Whaley

Public and private investments in physician human capital support a healthcare workforce to provide future medical services nationwide. Yet, little is known about how introducing training labor influences hospitals' provision of care. We leverage all-payer data and emergency medicine (EM) and obstetrics (OBGYN) residency program debuts to estimate local access and treatment intensity effects. We find that the introduction of EM programs coincides with less treatment intensity and suggestive increases in throughput. OBGYN programs adopt the pre-existing surgical tendencies of the hospital but may also relax some capacity constraints—allowing the marginal mother to avoid a riskier nearby hospital.

公共和私人机构对医生人力资本的投资,为未来全国范围内提供医疗服务的医疗队伍提供了支持。然而,人们对引进培训劳动力如何影响医院提供医疗服务却知之甚少。我们利用所有支付方数据以及首次推出的急诊医学(EM)和产科(OBGYN)住院医师培训项目来估算当地的就诊率和治疗强度效应。我们发现,在引入急诊医学项目的同时,治疗强度也有所降低,而吞吐量则有明显增加。妇产科项目采用了医院原有的手术倾向,但也可能放宽了一些能力限制--使边缘化的产妇能够避免到附近风险较高的医院就诊。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of birth timing manipulation around carnival on birth indicators in Brazil 狂欢节前后的出生时间安排对巴西出生指标的影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4858
Carolina Melo, Naercio Menezes-Filho

This paper studies the patterns and consequences of birth timing manipulation around the carnival holiday in Brazil. We document how births are displaced around carnival and estimate the effect of displacement on birth indicators. We show that there is extensive birth timing manipulation in the form of both anticipation and postponement that results in a net increase in gestational length and reductions in neonatal and early neonatal mortality, driven by postponed births that would otherwise happen through scheduled c-sections. We also find a reduction in birthweight for high-risk births at the bottom of the weight distribution, driven by anticipation. Therefore, restrictions on usual delivery procedures due to the carnival holiday can be both beneficial and detrimental, raising a double-sided issue to be addressed by policymakers.

本文研究了巴西狂欢节前后出生时间操纵的模式和后果。我们记录了狂欢节前后的生育时间变动情况,并估算了生育时间变动对生育指标的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在预期和推迟两种形式的出生时间操纵下,妊娠期净延长,新生儿死亡率和新生儿早期死亡率降低,这主要是由于推迟了本应通过剖腹产进行的分娩。我们还发现,在体重分布底部的高风险新生儿的出生体重也会因预期而下降。因此,狂欢节假期对常规分娩程序的限制既有利也有弊,提出了一个需要政策制定者解决的双面问题。
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引用次数: 0
Together in sickness and in health: Spillover of physical, mental, and cognitive health among older English couples 无论疾病还是健康都在一起:英国老年夫妇身体、精神和认知健康的溢出效应。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4860
Urvashi Jain, Mingming Ma

Using data from eight waves of the English Longitudinal Study of Aging, we study the cross-domain and cross-spouse spillover of health among married adults aged 50 and above in England. We apply the system generalized method of moments to linear dynamic panel models for physical, mental, and cognitive health, controlling for individual heterogeneity and the influence of marriage market matching and shared environments. Our findings reveal bidirectional spillovers between memory abilities and mobility difficulty among men, as well as between depressive symptoms and mobility difficulty among women. Worsening mobility increases the risk of depression in men, but not vice versa. Additionally, gender-specific cross-spouse effects are observed. Women's mental health is significantly influenced by their spouse's mental health, while this effect is weaker for men. Conversely, men's mental health is notably affected by their spouse's physical health. These results highlight the importance of considering spillovers within families and across health domains when developing policies to promote health and reduce health disparities among the elderly population.

我们利用英国老龄化纵向研究(English Longitudinal Study of Aging)八次波次的数据,研究了英国 50 岁及以上已婚成年人健康的跨领域和跨配偶溢出效应。我们将系统广义矩法应用于线性动态面板模型,研究身体、精神和认知健康,同时控制个体异质性以及婚姻市场匹配和共享环境的影响。我们的研究结果表明,男性的记忆能力与行动不便之间存在双向溢出效应,女性的抑郁症状与行动不便之间也存在双向溢出效应。流动性的恶化会增加男性患抑郁症的风险,但反之亦然。此外,还观察到配偶间的性别效应。女性的心理健康受到其配偶心理健康的显著影响,而男性的这种影响则较弱。相反,男性的心理健康则明显受到其配偶身体健康的影响。这些结果突出表明,在制定促进老年人群健康和减少健康差距的政策时,考虑家庭内部和不同健康领域的溢出效应非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Exposure to cigarette taxes as a teenager and the persistence of smoking into adulthood 青少年时期接触香烟税与成年后持续吸烟的关系。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4859
Andrew Friedson, Moyan Li, Katherine Meckel, Daniel I. Rees, Daniel W. Sacks

Are teenage and adult smoking causally related? Recent anti-tobacco policy is predicated on the assumption that preventing teenagers from smoking will ensure that fewer adults smoke, but direct evidence in support of this assumption is scant. Using data from three nationally representative sources and instrumenting for teenage smoking with cigarette taxes experienced at ages 14–17, we document a strong positive relationship between teenage and adult smoking: deterring 10 teenagers from smoking through raising cigarette taxes roughly translates into 5 fewer adult smokers. We conclude that efforts to reduce teenage smoking can have long-lasting consequences on smoking participation and, presumably, health.

青少年吸烟与成年人吸烟有因果关系吗?最近的反烟草政策基于这样一个假设,即阻止青少年吸烟将确保减少成年人吸烟,但支持这一假设的直接证据却很少。我们使用了三个具有全国代表性的数据来源,并用 14-17 岁时的卷烟税作为青少年吸烟的工具,记录了青少年吸烟与成人吸烟之间的密切正相关关系:通过提高卷烟税阻止 10 个青少年吸烟,就能减少 5 个成人吸烟者。我们的结论是,减少青少年吸烟的努力会对吸烟参与率以及健康产生长期影响。
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引用次数: 0
Information and vaccine hesitancy: The role of broadband Internet 信息与疫苗犹豫不决:宽带互联网的作用。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4856
Sofia Amaral-Garcia, Mattia Nardotto, Carol Propper, Tommaso Valletti

We examine the effect of Internet diffusion on the uptake of an important public health intervention: the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine. We study England between 2000 and 2011 when Internet diffusion spread rapidly and there was a high profile medical article (falsely) linking the MMR vaccine to autism. OLS estimates suggest Internet diffusion led to an increase in vaccination rates. This result is reversed after allowing for endogeneity of Internet access. The effect of Internet diffusion is sizable. A one standard deviation increase in Internet penetration led to around a 20% decrease in vaccination rates. Localities characterized by higher proportions of high skilled individuals and lower deprivation levels had a larger response to Internet diffusion. These findings are consistent with higher skilled and less-deprived parents responding faster to false information that the vaccine could lead to autism.

我们研究了互联网传播对麻疹、流行性腮腺炎和风疹(MMR)疫苗这一重要公共卫生干预措施的影响。我们对 2000 年至 2011 年间的英格兰进行了研究,当时互联网传播迅速,而且有一篇备受关注的医学文章(虚假地)将麻疹、腮腺炎和风疹疫苗与自闭症联系在一起。OLS 估计结果表明,互联网传播导致疫苗接种率上升。在考虑到互联网接入的内生性后,这一结果发生了逆转。互联网传播的影响是巨大的。互联网普及率每增加一个标准差,疫苗接种率就会下降约 20%。高技能人才比例较高、贫困程度较低的地区对互联网传播的反应更大。这些发现与技能较高、贫困程度较低的家长对疫苗可能导致自闭症的虚假信息反应较快的情况一致。
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引用次数: 0
Do time preferences predict diabetes outcomes? A combined survey and register-based study 时间偏好能否预测糖尿病结果?一项基于调查和登记的综合研究。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4857
Kristoffer Panduro Madsen, Trine Kjær

Identifying determinants of heterogeneity in health outcomes continues to be a focus in the health economic literature. In this study, we analyze whether time preferences predict health outcomes in individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) who use insulin pump therapy to manage their condition. We collect data on time preferences using a hypothetical matching task and estimate aggregate as well as individual-level discounting parameters using the exponential, hyperbolic, and quasi-hyperbolic discounting models. These parameters are then regressed against essential diabetes-related health outcomes obtained from registries and medical records, including glycemic control, kidney function, BMI, and number of hospital contacts. Our analyses indicate that all three discounting models fit the data equally well. Except for hospital contacts, we find robust evidence that impatience, as reflected by higher discounting, predicts worse health outcomes. Additionally, present bias is associated with worse kidney function. Our findings suggest that time preferences can explain some of the heterogeneity in health among individuals with T1D and call for increased attention on the role of time preferences in the design of disease management programs for individuals with chronic conditions.

确定健康结果异质性的决定因素仍然是健康经济文献的一个重点。在本研究中,我们分析了时间偏好是否能预测使用胰岛素泵疗法控制病情的 1 型糖尿病(T1D)患者的健康结果。我们使用假设匹配任务收集时间偏好数据,并使用指数贴现、双曲贴现和准双曲贴现模型估算总体和个体水平的贴现参数。然后将这些参数与从登记簿和医疗记录中获得的糖尿病相关基本健康结果(包括血糖控制、肾功能、体重指数和医院接触次数)进行回归。我们的分析表明,所有三种贴现模型都同样适合数据。除医院接触次数外,我们发现有力的证据表明,较高的贴现率所反映的不耐烦可预测较差的健康结果。此外,现在偏差与肾功能较差有关。我们的研究结果表明,时间偏好可以解释 T1D 患者在健康方面的一些异质性,并呼吁在为慢性病患者设计疾病管理计划时更多地关注时间偏好的作用。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the 2014 Medicaid expansion on the health, health care access, and financial well-being of low-income young adults 2014 年《医疗补助计划》的扩展对低收入年轻成年人的健康、医疗保健获取和经济福祉的影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4839
Christal Hamilton

Prior to the 2014 Affordable Care Act (ACA) expansion, 37% of young adults ages 19–25 in the United States were low-income and a third lacked health insurance coverage—both the highest rates for any age group in the population. The ACA's Medicaid eligibility expansion, therefore, would have been significantly beneficial to low-income young adults. This study evaluates the effect of the ACA Medicaid expansion on the health, health care access and utilization, and financial well-being of low-income young adults ages 19–25. Using 2010–2017 National Health Interview Survey data, I estimate policy effects by applying a difference-in-differences design leveraging the variation in state implementation of the expansion policy. I show that Medicaid expansion improved health insurance coverage, health care access, and financial well-being for low-income young adults in expansion states, but had no effect on their health status and health care utilization. I also find that the policy was associated with larger gains in health coverage for racial minorities relative to their Non-Hispanic White counterparts. With the continued health policy reform debates at the state and federal levels, the empirical evidence from this study can help inform policy decisions that aim to improve health care access and utilization among disadvantaged groups.

在 2014 年《可负担医疗法案》(ACA)扩展之前,美国 19-25 岁的年轻成年人中有 37% 属于低收入人群,三分之一的人没有医疗保险,这两个比例在所有年龄段人群中都是最高的。因此,《美国医疗保险法案》的医疗补助资格扩展对低收入的年轻成年人大有裨益。本研究评估了 ACA 扩大医疗补助范围对 19-25 岁低收入青壮年的健康、医疗保健获取和利用以及财务状况的影响。利用 2010-2017 年全国健康访谈调查数据,我采用差异设计,利用各州在实施扩展政策方面的差异来估算政策效果。我的研究表明,医疗补助计划的扩展改善了扩展州低收入青壮年的医疗保险覆盖面、医疗服务获取和财务状况,但对他们的健康状况和医疗服务利用率没有影响。我还发现,相对于非西班牙裔白人而言,该政策对少数种族人群的医疗保险有更大的帮助。随着各州和联邦层面对医疗政策改革的持续争论,本研究的经验证据有助于为旨在改善弱势群体医疗服务的获取和利用的决策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
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Health economics
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