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Evaluation of Weight Decay Regularization Techniques for Stock Price Prediction using Gated Recurrent Unit Network 基于门控循环单元网络的股票价格预测的权值衰减正则化技术评价
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39379
Arjun Singh Saud, S. Shakya
Stock price forecasting in the field of interest for many stock investors to earn more profit from stock trading. Nowadays, machine learning researchers are also involved in this research field so that fast, accurate and automatic stock price forecasting can be achieved. This research paper evaluated GRU network’s performance with weight decay reg-ularization techniques for predicting price of stocks listed NEPSE. Three weight decay regularization technique analyzed in this research work were (1) L1 regularization (2) L2 regularization and (3) L1_L2 regularization. In this research work, six randomly selected stocks from NEPSE were experimented. From the experimental results, we observed that L2 regularization could outperform L1 and L1_L2 reg-ularization techniques for all six stocks. The average MSE obtained with L2 regularization was 4.12% to 33.52% lower than the average MSE obtained with L1 regularization, and it was 10.92% to 37.1% lower than the average MSE obtained with L1_L2 regularization. Thus, we concluded that the L2 regularization is best choice among weight regularization for stock price prediction.
股票价格预测是许多股票投资者感兴趣的领域,可以从股票交易中赚取更多的利润。如今,机器学习研究人员也开始涉足这一研究领域,从而实现快速、准确、自动的股票价格预测。本文利用权值衰减正则化技术评价了GRU网络预测NEPSE上市股票价格的性能。本研究分析了三种权值衰减正则化技术:(1)L1正则化(2)L2正则化和(3)L1_L2正则化。在本研究中,随机选择6只NEPSE股票进行实验。从实验结果中,我们观察到L2正则化对所有6只股票都优于L1和L1_L2正则化技术。L2正则化得到的平均MSE比L1正则化得到的平均MSE低4.12% ~ 33.52%,比L1_L2正则化得到的平均MSE低10.92% ~ 37.1%。因此,我们得出L2正则化是权重正则化中股票价格预测的最佳选择。
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引用次数: 0
Scientific Uncertainty and Biodiversity Inventory 科学不确定性和生物多样性清单
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39446
I. Subedi
All sciences, including biological science, have uncertainty, and they complicate theoretical questions. Uncertainty essentially is a mark of good science, and its efficacious communication is even essential for better decisions. Explaining the research work uncertainties indicates that the scientists are aware of the vital difference between the known and the unknown. Uncertainty is equally significant in biodiversity studies. Species composition of any area can’t be predicted with certainty because of interwoven relationships between species diversity and climatic and anthropogenic factors. Good survey planning with acceptable animal welfare practices could lead to asymptote for inventory of any particular area. Scientists can handle uncertainty in their studies by sensible statistics and reasonably large sample size.
所有的科学,包括生物科学,都有不确定性,它们使理论问题复杂化。不确定性本质上是优秀科学的标志,它的有效沟通甚至对更好的决策至关重要。解释研究工作的不确定性表明科学家们意识到已知和未知之间的重要区别。不确定性在生物多样性研究中同样重要。由于物种多样性与气候和人为因素之间的相互交织关系,任何地区的物种组成都无法确定地预测。良好的调查规划和可接受的动物福利做法可导致任何特定区域的库存渐近线。科学家可以通过合理的统计数据和合理的大样本量来处理研究中的不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Application of Multivariate Approaches to the Hydro-chemical Assessment of the Ghodaghodi Lake, Sudurpaschim Province, Nepal 多元方法在尼泊尔苏杜尔帕西姆省戈达戈蒂湖水化学评价中的应用
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39390
Ramesh Raj Pant, Khadka Bahadur Pal, K. Bishwakarma, Lal B Thapa, A. Dangol, B. Dawadi, P. Poudel, B. Bhattarai, Tarka Raj Joshi, Youb Raj Bhatt
Wetlands are considered the most diverse and productive ecosystems in the world, providing life-sustaining ecological services. Hydrochemical variables of the Ghodaghodi Lake situated in Far west Nepal were studied using multivariate statistical approaches to investigate the characteristics of water quality of the lake. A total of 10water samples were collected and analyzed for water temperature, pH, electrical conductivity, total dissolved solids, total hardness, salinity, dissolved oxygen, major ions, and dissolved Si in the pre-monsoon season during 2017.The water quality assessment was carried out by applying sodium percentage, sodium adsorption ratio, permeability index, Kelly’s ratio, magnesium adsorption ratio, action ratio of soil structural stability, and water quality index. Multivariate statistical techniques were used to evaluate the geochemical and anthropogenic processes and to identify factors influencing the ionic concentrations. The results revealed that the water was slightly alkaline with low ionic strength and remarkable spatial variations. The hydrochemistry of the lake was mainly controlled by rock weathering as the dominant Ca2+-HCO3- facies. The principal component analysis provided three major components exhibiting the diverse sources of natural and anthropogenic chemicals, including agricultural fertilizers, leakage of sewages near the human settlements, etc. The measured hydrochemical parameters indicate that lake water lies within the safe drinking water and irrigational standards. However, special consideration should be taken to control the concentrations of NO3- due to increasing anthropic activities.
湿地被认为是世界上最多样化和最具生产力的生态系统,提供维持生命的生态服务。采用多元统计方法对尼泊尔远西部戈达戈第湖的水化学变量进行了研究,探讨了该湖的水质特征。2017年季风前季节共采集了10个水样,对水温、pH、电导率、总溶解固体、总硬度、盐度、溶解氧、主要离子和溶解Si进行了分析。采用钠百分比、钠吸附比、渗透性指数、凯利比、镁吸附比、土壤结构稳定性作用比和水质指数进行水质评价。采用多元统计技术评价了地球化学和人为过程,并确定了影响离子浓度的因素。结果表明,水呈微碱性,离子强度低,空间差异显著。湖的水化学主要受岩石风化控制,以Ca2+- hco3 -相为主。主成分分析提供了三个主要成分,显示了自然和人为化学物质的不同来源,包括农业肥料、人类住区附近的污水泄漏等。测定的水化学参数表明,湖泊水处于安全饮用水和灌溉标准范围内。然而,由于人类活动的增加,应特别考虑控制NO3-的浓度。
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引用次数: 3
Factors of Production Influencing Gross Domestic Product in Nepal 影响尼泊尔国内生产总值的生产要素
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39389
P. Jha, Shiva Chandra Dhakal
This study has analysed the factors of production, viz; agricultural land, working force and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) of Nepal between 2000/01-2017/18 AD and has determined their effects on national income, viz; Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by using Cobb-Douglas regression function. The results showed an average growth rate of GDP, agricultural land, working force and GFCF to be 3.9%, 0.8%, 1.5% and 7.9%, respectively, with the values plummeting in 2015/16, due to occurrence of the devastating earthquake in 2015, but then again variable values skyrocketed following years. The regression analysis found that GDP was affected significantly by agricultural land and working force, but insignificant with GFCF. On an average, with the increase in agricultural land and working force by 1 %, GDP increased by 1.1% and 1.7%, respectively. Thus, policy regarding an increment of agricultural land use and employment of labour force must be framed to improve the Nepalese economy.
本研究分析了生产要素,即;2000/01-2017/18年间尼泊尔的农业用地、劳动力和固定资本形成总额(GFCF),并确定了它们对国民收入的影响,即;国内生产总值(GDP)采用柯布-道格拉斯回归函数。结果显示,GDP、农业用地、劳动力和GFCF的平均增长率分别为3.9%、0.8%、1.5%和7.9%,由于2015年发生了毁灭性的地震,2015/16年度变量值出现了暴跌,但随后几年变量值又出现了暴涨。回归分析发现,农业用地和劳动力对GDP的影响显著,GFCF对GDP的影响不显著。平均而言,农业用地和劳动力每增加1%,GDP分别增长1.1%和1.7%。因此,必须制定关于增加农业土地使用和劳动力就业的政策,以改善尼泊尔的经济。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of Multiparameter Eigenvalue Problems 多参数特征值问题的应用
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39434
N. Bora
It was mainly due to Atkinson works, who introduced Linear Multiparameter Eigenvalue problems (LMEPs), based on determinantal operators on the Tensor Product Space. Later, in the area of Multiparameter eigenvalue problems has received attention from the Mathematicians in the recent years also, who pointed out that there exist a variety of mixed eigenvalue problems with several parameters in different scientific domains. This article aims to bring into a light variety of scientific problems that appear naturally as LMEPs. Of course, with all certainty, the list of collection of applications presented here are far from complete, and there are bound to be many more applications of which we are currently unaware. The paper may provide a review on applications of Multiparameter eigenvalue problems in different scientific domains and future possible applicatios both in theoretical and applied disciplines.
这主要归功于Atkinson的工作,他引入了基于张量积空间上的行列式算子的线性多参数特征值问题(LMEPs)。后来,在多参数特征值问题领域,近年来也受到了数学家们的关注,他们指出在不同的科学领域中存在着各种多参数混合特征值问题。这篇文章的目的是引入各种自然出现的lmep科学问题。当然,可以肯定的是,这里列出的应用程序的集合列表远远不够完整,而且肯定还有更多的应用程序是我们目前不知道的。本文综述了多参数特征值问题在不同科学领域的应用,并展望了多参数特征值问题在理论和应用领域的应用前景。
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引用次数: 2
Gynaecological Problems among Elderly Women Living in Old Age Homes of Kathmandu Valley 加德满都谷地养老院老年妇女的妇科问题
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39439
M. V. Shrestha, S. Joshi
Ageing is a natural process. The elderly population is increasing in Nepal.When there is presence of diseases, physical inability, and financial harshness, the elderly in Nepal have to face many problems. This study was thus conducted to assess the socio-economic milieu and spectrum of gynaecological problems among women living in old age homes of Kathmandu valley. For this a cross sectional study was conducted in 21old age homes of three districts of Kathmandu valley. In this study, they were 234 particants. Privacy and confidentiality of information about the individual were strictly maintained. One-third of the aged women living in the old age homes belonged to 70-80 years.50.9% were from outside Kathmandu valley, while 49.1% were from the valley. The elderly were mostly not visited by their relatives and friends. Most of them (74.4%) were interested in praying than other activities. Out of the total Urine samples (190), 68.4% were normal, and 9.4% had a urinary tract infection. There were only 15.6% uterine prolapse cases. Out of total, 70.9% of Pap smear report was normal, while 25.1% had inflammatory smear. This study revealed that the old age homes have become a shelter for most of elderly women. The socio-economic condition was poor. Gynaecological probems like UTI, Urinary incontinence were not high but the prolapse cases (uterine proplase, cystocele, rectocele) were remarkably high. Cervical cancer screening through Pap smear showed negative results.
衰老是一个自然过程。尼泊尔的老年人口正在增加。当出现疾病、身体残疾和经济困难时,尼泊尔的老年人必须面对许多问题。因此,进行这项研究是为了评估加德满都谷地老年之家妇女的社会经济环境和妇科问题的范围。为此,我们在加德满都山谷三个地区的21个养老院进行了横断面研究。在这项研究中,共有234名参与者。个人隐私和信息保密得到严格保护。居住在养老院的老年妇女中有三分之一的年龄在70-80岁之间,50.9%来自加德满都谷地以外,49.1%来自加德满都谷地。老人大多没有亲戚和朋友来看望。与其他活动相比,大多数人(74.4%)对祈祷感兴趣。在190份尿液样本中,68.4%正常,9.4%尿路感染。子宫脱垂仅占15.6%。其中,70.9%的子宫颈抹片报告正常,25.1%的子宫颈抹片报告有炎症。这项研究表明,养老院已经成为大多数老年妇女的庇护所。社会经济条件很差。尿路感染、尿失禁等妇科问题发生率不高,但脱垂(子宫脱垂、膀胱膨出、直肠膨出)发生率高。子宫颈抹片筛检结果为阴性。
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引用次数: 0
Potential Lethal Co-infections in COVID-19: A Study Based on Literature Review COVID-19潜在致命性合并感染:基于文献综述的研究
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39448
Shivjee Sah, Arjun Ghimire, R. Sah, Pradeep Kumar Sah, Neena Caplash, Prince Sharma
Co-infection with other respiratory pathogens has been reported in patients with COVID-19. Common respiratory pathogens can infect as co-pathogens during SARS-nCoV-2 infections. The aim of this article is to spread knowledge regarding possible co-infections during COVID-19, and reduce their occurrence. Google scholar was used to search the literature for possible co-infections in the people with COVID-19 and reviewed the existing published data. In most cases, co-infections are common due to Streptococcus pneumoniae, Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, Chlamydia pneumonia, Legionella pneumophila, and Acinetobacter baumannii.Prevalence of fungal and viral co-infections is low. However, Candida species and Aspergillus flavusare the common co-infective fungi. Viruses such as Influenza, Corona virus, Rhinovirus/ Enterovirus, Parainfluenza, Metapneumo virus, Influenza B virus, and Human immunodeficiency virus have also been reported as co-infecting agents during COVID-19. Influenza A was one of the most common co-infective viruses, which may have caused initial false-negative results of a real-time RT-PCR for severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The prevalence of co-infections could be up to 50% among non-survivors. Only newly developed syndromic multiplex panels that incorporate SARS-CoV-2 may facilitate the early detection of co-infections. The suitable antimicrobial agents can be recommended for the co-infections caused by other respiratory pathogens during COVID-19.
已报告COVID-19患者与其他呼吸道病原体合并感染。在SARS-nCoV-2感染期间,常见的呼吸道病原体可作为共病原体感染。本文的目的是传播有关COVID-19期间可能合并感染的知识,并减少其发生。谷歌scholar检索了COVID-19患者可能合并感染的文献,并审查了现有已发表的数据。在大多数情况下,由于肺炎链球菌、金黄色葡萄球菌、肺炎克雷伯菌、肺炎支原体、肺炎衣原体、嗜肺军团菌和鲍曼不动杆菌,合并感染很常见。真菌和病毒合并感染的流行率很低。然而,念珠菌和黄曲霉是常见的共感染真菌。流感病毒、冠状病毒、鼻病毒/肠病毒、副流感病毒、元肺炎病毒、乙型流感病毒和人类免疫缺陷病毒等病毒也被报道为COVID-19期间的共同感染因子。甲型流感是最常见的共感染病毒之一,这可能导致严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)实时RT-PCR的初始假阴性结果。在非幸存者中,合并感染的患病率可高达50%。只有新开发的包含SARS-CoV-2的综合征多重面板才能促进早期发现合并感染。对于COVID-19期间由其他呼吸道病原体引起的合并感染,可以推荐合适的抗菌药物。
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引用次数: 1
Green Synthesis of Silver Nanoparticles using Medicinal Plants BerberisAsiatica and Cassia Fistula and Evaluation of Antioxidant and Anti-bacterial Activities 利用药用植物小檗和决明子绿色合成纳米银及其抗氧化和抗菌活性评价
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39384
Deegendra Khadka, Rachana Regmi, Mitesh Shrestha, Megha Raj Banjara
The application of silver nanoparticles in various sectors including health related field is remarkably profound. Nowadays, the research of synthesizing metal nanoparticles (MNPs) using plant extracts is fascinating field as it offers the eco-friendly and cost-effective method for nanoparticle synthesis. In this study, we synthesized silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) using methanolic extract of B.asiatica and C. fistula regarding their ethnomedical importance. The synthesized AgNPs were characterized by UV-Visible spectroscopy, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) and X-ray diffractometer (XRD). UV-vis spectroscopy exhibited the characteristic Surface Plasmon Peak of silver nanoparticle~420 nm.FTIR data were measured to get a preliminary idea on the functional groups responsible for the stabilization of AgNPs. XRD data confirmed the natural crystal structure with a face centered cubic of AgNPs. The antibacterial activity of biosynthesized AgNPs was assessed by testing promptly available gram-positive Staphylococcus aureus and gram-negative Escherichia coli bacterial strain and antioxidant activity was calculated by DPPH assay. The overall outcomes of the studies concluded that the application of the biogenic synthesis of AgNPs of B. asiaticaas an antioxidant and antibacterial agent is more potent showing IC50 value 65.1±1.30 μg/mL and the highest zone of inhibition 15 mm in diameter against S. aureus.
纳米银在包括健康相关领域在内的各个领域的应用是非常深刻的。利用植物提取物合成金属纳米粒子是目前研究的热点,因为它提供了一种环保、经济的纳米粒子合成方法。在这项研究中,我们利用亚洲野蓟和C.瘘的甲醇提取物合成了银纳米粒子(AgNPs),考虑到它们的民族医学意义。利用紫外可见光谱、傅里叶红外光谱(FTIR)和x射线衍射仪(XRD)对合成的AgNPs进行了表征。紫外可见光谱显示出纳米银粒子的特征表面等离子体峰~420 nm。测量了FTIR数据,以初步了解负责AgNPs稳定化的官能团。XRD数据证实了AgNPs具有面心立方的天然晶体结构。通过检测可及时获得的革兰氏阳性金黄色葡萄球菌和革兰氏阴性大肠杆菌菌株来评估生物合成AgNPs的抗菌活性,并通过DPPH法计算其抗氧化活性。综上所述,应用生物源合成的抗氧化抗菌剂asiaticaas AgNPs对金黄色葡萄球菌具有较强的抑制作用,IC50值为65.1±1.30 μg/mL,最大抑制区直径为15 mm。
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引用次数: 3
Production and Economic Feasibility of Hydroponics Maize Fodder on Performance of Piglets 水培玉米饲料的生产及其对仔猪生产性能的经济可行性
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39445
S. Upreti, R. Ghimire, M. R. Tiwari, Niraj Banskota
An experiment was conducted to evaluate the effects of hydroponics maize fodder on growth and nutrient digestibility of weaned piglets from July 1st, 2017 to August 11th, 2017, for six weeks. The experiment consisted of 75 days old, 15 crossbreed piglets (Duroc x Nagpuri & Duroc) in a Completely Randomized Design with three treatments and five replications. Treatment 1 (T1) contained 100% concentrate feed, Treatment 2 (T2) 90% concentrate feed and 10% hydroponics maize fodder and Treatment 3 (T3) 80% concentrate feed and 20% hydroponics maize fodder in the diet. The study revealed that hydroponics maize fodder contained DM 13.80%, CP 12.54%, NDF 47.04%, and ADL 16.51%. The treatments had non-significant effect (P > 0.05) on daily weight gain, final weight and feed conversion ratio of the piglets. However, piglets fed with 90% concentrate and 10% hydroponics maize fodder had the highest final weight (35.8±5.0 kg), while the lowest (33.6±5.00 kg) was recorded in piglets fed with 80% concentrate and 20% hydroponics maize fodder. The cost of hydroponics maize fodder production was Rs. 20.62 per kg, which was higher than the cost in the Indian context. The difference in Feed Conversion Ratio (FCR) was also not significant. However, piglets fed with T2 (1:2.58) diet recorded higher FCR than T3 (1:2.56) and T1 (1:2.51). In conclusion, the inclusion of hydroponics maize fodder in piglets diet appeared promising in growth, nutrient digestibility and cost of production.
本试验于2017年7月1日至2017年8月11日为期6周,研究水培玉米饲料对断奶仔猪生长和营养物质消化率的影响。试验选用75日龄的杂交仔猪(杜洛克×纳格普里和杜洛克)15头,采用完全随机设计,3个处理,5个重复。处理1 (T1)饲粮中添加100%精料,处理2 (T2)添加90%精料和10%水培玉米饲料,处理3 (T3)添加80%精料和20%水培玉米饲料。结果表明,水培玉米饲料中DM含量为13.80%,CP含量为12.54%,NDF含量为47.04%,ADL含量为16.51%。各处理对仔猪日增重、末重和饲料系数无显著影响(P < 0.05)。90%精料和10%水培玉米饲料的仔猪末重最高(35.8±5.0 kg), 80%精料和20%水培玉米饲料的仔猪末重最低(33.6±5.00 kg)。水培玉米饲料生产的成本为每公斤20.62卢比,高于印度的成本。饲料系数(FCR)差异也不显著。T2(1:2.58)饲粮的FCR高于T3(1:2.56)和T1(1:2.51)饲粮。综上所述,在仔猪日粮中添加水培玉米饲料在生长、养分消化率和生产成本方面具有良好的前景。
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引用次数: 2
Evaluation of Potato Genotypes for Plant and YieldCharactersin Field at Dailekh 大田马铃薯株系及产量性状基因型评价
Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.3126/njst.v20i1.39380
Binod Prasad Luitel, Bishnu Bahadur Bhandari, B. Thapa
A field experiment was conducted at Horticulture Research Station (HRS), Dailekh, in Mid-Western hills of Nepal during 2019 and 2020, to evaluate the performance of ten potato genotypes for plant, and tuber yield characters. The potato genotypes were evaluated during spring season in a randomized complete block design with three replications. The genotypes showed highly significant difference for all the traits except tuber emergence. The mean squares for the year were also significant for all the traits except tuber emergence, stem numberplant -1 and total tuber yield. The interaction between genotypes and years did not show significant differences in all the traits except stem numberplant -1. Genotype CIP392797.22 produced more marketable yield (27.5 tha -1) and total tuber yield (30.2tha -1) than all other genotypes. The genotype CIP392797.22 is characterized as medium maturing, oval-shaped and dark red-skinned one with shallow eye depth in the tuber, and it imparted 13.2% higher marketable yield than Kufri Jyoti (24.3 tha -1). Thus, the genotype CIP392797.22 is recommended to evaluate on-farm for the verification and up-scaling among farmers at Mid-Western Nepal.
2019年和2020年,在尼泊尔中西部山区的Dailekh园艺研究站(HRS)进行了田间试验,以评价10个马铃薯基因型的植株性能和块茎产量性状。采用3个重复的完全随机区组设计,在春季对马铃薯基因型进行评价。除块茎出苗外,各基因型间差异均极显著。除块茎出苗、茎数-1和块茎总产量外,其余性状的年均方差均显著。除茎数-1外,其余性状在基因型和年份的互作中均无显著差异。与其他基因型相比,CIP392797.22的市场产量(27.5比-1)和块茎总产量(30.2比-1)更高。CIP392797.22基因型为中成熟、椭圆形、暗红皮、块茎眼深浅的基因型,其可售产量比Kufri Jyoti(24.3比-1)高13.2%。因此,CIP392797.22基因型被推荐用于在尼泊尔中西部农民中进行验证和推广的农场评估。
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引用次数: 0
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Nepal Journal of Science and Technology
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