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Libertarian Paternalism: Taking Econs Seriously 自由意志家长主义:认真对待经济学
Pub Date : 2020-04-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3267724
D. Wade Hands
There is an extensive critical literature analyzing the libertarian paternalism (LP) of Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein. This paper is critical as well, but does so from a different perspective than most of the existing research. Thaler and Sunstein characterize LP by at least two key features: i) a sharp distinction between Econs (those whose behavior will be unchanged by LP policies) and Humans (who will, at least potentially, change their behavior as a result of LP policies), and ii) defining Econs explicitly as homo economicus: "the textbook picture of human beings offered by economists" (Thaler and Sunstein, 2009, p. 7). This paper will take their definition of Econs seriously and examine the implications for LP-based policies. The bottom line is that if we take Econs seriously, LP nudges end up being not only extremely weak policy tools, but they also fail to accommodate some of the most important insights of behavioral economics.
有大量的批评文献分析了理查德·塞勒和卡斯·桑斯坦的自由意志家长制(LP)。这篇论文也是至关重要的,但它是从与大多数现有研究不同的角度来研究的。塞勒和桑斯坦至少通过两个关键特征来描述低成本经济:1)经济主体(其行为不会因低成本政策而改变的人)和人类(其行为至少可能会因低成本政策而改变)之间的明显区别;2)将经济主体明确定义为经济人。“经济学家提供的人类教科书图片”(塞勒和桑斯坦,2009年,第7页)。本文将认真对待他们对经济的定义,并研究其对基于lp的政策的影响。最重要的是,如果我们认真对待经济学,LP推动最终不仅是极其软弱的政策工具,而且它们也无法容纳行为经济学的一些最重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Less is More Expensive: Income Differences in Bulk Buying 越少越贵:大宗采购中的收入差异
Pub Date : 2020-04-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3472425
Mallick Hossain
Quantity discounts are an effective way for households to save money. I explore how large these quantity discounts are, how bulk buying differs by income, and how other factors affect the bulk buying decision. Using Nielsen’s granular store- and household-level data, I establish two empirical facts. First, quantity discounts are large for a wide range of products. Second, low-income households are less likely to buy in bulk than high-income households. I estimate that low-income households could reduce their grocery expenditures by 5%, saving an aggregate of $5.4 billion annually, if they bought in bulk to the same extent as high-income households. I augment Nielsen data with new data that I collected on state-level unit-price regulations and on warehouse club entry. I find that a combination of cognitive costs, store preferences, budget constraints,and storage costs discourage low-income households from realizing these savings. I then estimate a discrete choice model of household purchasing behavior to quantify how bulk buying changes when cognitive costs and storage costs are reduced. Counterfactual simulations show that mandating the display of unit prices, which has only been adopted by nine states, would reduce the difference in how often the highest- and lowest-income households buy in bulk by 26%.
数量折扣是家庭省钱的有效方式。我探讨了这些数量折扣有多大,收入如何影响批量购买,以及其他因素如何影响批量购买决策。利用尼尔森的细粒度商店和家庭层面的数据,我建立了两个经验事实。首先,数量折扣很大,产品种类繁多。其次,与高收入家庭相比,低收入家庭不太可能批量购买。我估计,如果低收入家庭能像高收入家庭那样大批量购物,他们的食品杂货支出可以减少5%,每年总共节省54亿美元。我用我收集的关于国家级单价法规和仓储俱乐部进入的新数据增强了尼尔森的数据。我发现认知成本、商店偏好、预算限制和存储成本的组合阻碍了低收入家庭实现这些节省。然后,我估计了家庭购买行为的离散选择模型,以量化当认知成本和存储成本降低时批量购买的变化。反事实的模拟表明,强制显示单位价格(目前只有9个州采用)将使最高收入家庭和最低收入家庭批量购买的频率差异减少26%。
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引用次数: 1
Surplus del Consumatore e del Produttore (Consumer and Producer Surplus) 消费者和生产者剩余(消费者和生产者剩余)
Pub Date : 2020-04-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3521628
Maria-Augusta Miceli
Italian abstract: Derivazione del surplus del consumatore e del produttore in contesto di variabili continue e discrete.

English abstract: Derivation of consumer and producer surplus in the continuous and discrete case.
意大利摘要:在连续和离散变量的背景下,从消费者和生产者的盈余中派生出来。英语摘要:在大陆和谨慎的案例中,消费和生产过剩的派生。
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引用次数: 0
Household Consumption, Household Indebtedness, and Inequality in Turkey: A Microeconometric Analysis 土耳其的家庭消费、家庭负债和不平等:微观计量经济学分析
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3589407
Ö. Albayrak
This paper examines whether relative income and income inequality within reference groups affect household consumption. Using the explanations of consumption behavior based on Dusenberry's relative income hypothesis, we test if household consumption levels in Turkey are affected by the household's relative position and inequality in the reference group between 2005-12 by employing cross-sectional household-level data. We find that household consumption is negatively related to the relative income indicator after controlling for absolute income, and positively related to the income inequality of the reference group, as the literature suggests. The paper also shows that household indebtedness has a positive impact on household consumption when inequality in the reference group and the relative position of households are controlled for. We confirm that the results are not sensitive to chosen relative income indicators and income inequality.
本文考察了参照组内的相对收入和收入不平等是否会影响家庭消费。基于杜森贝瑞的相对收入假设对消费行为的解释,我们采用横断面的家庭层面数据,检验了土耳其家庭消费水平是否受到家庭在参照组中的相对地位和不平等的影响。我们发现,在控制了绝对收入后,家庭消费与相对收入指标呈负相关,与参考组的收入不平等呈正相关,如文献所示。本文还表明,在控制参照组不平等和家庭相对地位的情况下,家庭负债对家庭消费具有正向影响。我们确认结果对所选的相对收入指标和收入不平等不敏感。
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引用次数: 6
Modigliani Meets Minsky: Inequality, Debt, and Financial Fragility in America, 1950-2016 莫迪利亚尼与明斯基:美国的不平等、债务和金融脆弱性,1950-2016
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3601951
A. K. Bartscher, M. Kuhn, M. Schularick, Ulrike I. Steins
This paper studies the secular increase in U.S. household debt and its relation to growing income inequality and financial fragility. We exploit a new household-level dataset that covers the joint distributions of debt, income, and wealth in the United States over the past seven decades. The data show that increased borrowing by middle-class families with low income growth played a central role in rising indebtedness. Debt-to-income ratios have risen most dramatically for households between the 50th and 90th percentiles of the income distribution. While their income growth was low, middle-class families borrowed against the sizable housing wealth gains from rising home prices. Home equity borrowing accounts for about half of the increase in U.S. household debt between the 1970s and 2007. The resulting debt increase made balance sheets more sensitive to income and house price fluctuations and turned the American middle class into the epicenter of growing financial fragility.
本文研究了美国家庭债务的长期增长及其与日益严重的收入不平等和金融脆弱性的关系。我们利用了一个新的家庭层面数据集,该数据集涵盖了过去70年来美国债务、收入和财富的共同分布。数据显示,收入增长较低的中产阶级家庭借贷增加,在债务上升中发挥了核心作用。在收入分配的第50到90个百分位数之间的家庭,债务收入比上升得最为显著。虽然中产阶级家庭的收入增长很低,但他们借的是房价上涨带来的巨额住房财富。房屋净值贷款占上世纪70年代至2007年间美国家庭债务增长的一半左右。由此导致的债务增加使资产负债表对收入和房价波动更加敏感,并使美国中产阶级成为日益脆弱的金融中心。
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引用次数: 19
Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Is There a Difference between Rising and Falling Top Income Shares? 收入不平等与经济增长:最高收入份额上升与下降之间存在差异吗?
Pub Date : 2020-03-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3575643
Toni Juuti
This study contributes to the vast empirical literature on the interplay between income inequality and economic growth in two fronts. First, by using data from the World Inequality Database, potential cross-country heterogeneity, which is concealed in studies that use panel data, is addressed. Second, by adopting a flexible autoregressive distributed lag model, the growth of per capita GDP is allowed to have asymmetric responses to rising and falling top income shares. The analysis covers six countries over the period 1950-2010: Australia, Canada, France, India, Japan and the United States. In France and the United States, falling income shares of the highest-earning percentile were associated with lower subsequent economic growth. In India, growth was positively associated with a rising top income share. Thus, evidence is found for both cross-country heterogeneity and asymmetries. Adjustment processes to changes in inequality took place quickly in all countries suggesting that the empirical approach captures relatively direct economic mechanisms rather than slow-moving transmission channels. Furthermore, up-to-date data on the top income shares are used to briefly revisit previously used panel estimation techniques.
这项研究为从两个方面探讨收入不平等与经济增长之间相互作用的大量实证文献做出了贡献。首先,通过使用来自世界不平等数据库的数据,解决了在使用面板数据的研究中隐藏的潜在的跨国异质性。其次,通过采用灵活的自回归分布滞后模型,允许人均GDP的增长对最高收入份额的上升和下降产生不对称反应。该分析涵盖了1950年至2010年期间的六个国家:澳大利亚、加拿大、法国、印度、日本和美国。在法国和美国,最高收入百分位数的收入份额下降与随后较低的经济增长有关。在印度,经济增长与最高收入占比的上升呈正相关。因此,我们发现了跨国异质性和不对称性的证据。对不平等变化的调整过程在所有国家都发生得很快,这表明经验方法捕捉到的是相对直接的经济机制,而不是缓慢的传播渠道。此外,关于最高收入份额的最新数据用于简要回顾以前使用的面板估计技术。
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引用次数: 0
Political Scandal: A Theory 政治丑闻:一种理论
Pub Date : 2020-03-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3555120
Wioletta Dziuda, William G. Howell
We study a model that characterizes the conditions under which past misbehavior becomes the subject of present scandal, with consequences for both the implicated politician and the parties that work with him. In the model, both authentic and fake scandals arise endogenously within a political framework involving two parties that trade off benefits of continued collaboration with a suspect politician against the possibility of reputational fallout. Rising polarization between the two parties, we show, increases the likelihood of scandal while decreasing its informational value. Scandals that are triggered by only the opposing party, we also find, are reputationally damaging to both parties and, in some instances, reputationally enhancing to the politician. The model also reveals that jurisdictions with lots of scandals are not necessarily beset by more misbehavior. Under well-defined conditions, in fact, scandals can be a sign of political piety.
我们研究了一个模型,该模型描述了过去的不当行为成为当前丑闻的主题的条件,并对牵连的政治家和与他合作的政党产生影响。在该模型中,真实和虚假的丑闻都是在一个政治框架内内生产生的,涉及两个政党,它们权衡与可疑政客继续合作的利益与声誉受损的可能性。我们发现,两党之间日益加剧的两极分化增加了丑闻发生的可能性,同时降低了丑闻的信息价值。我们还发现,仅由反对党引发的丑闻对两党的声誉都有损害,在某些情况下,对政治家的声誉有提升作用。该模型还显示,丑闻多的司法管辖区并不一定受到更多不当行为的困扰。事实上,在明确规定的条件下,丑闻可以是政治虔诚的标志。
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引用次数: 13
The Role of Values for Social Cohesion: Theoretical Explication and Empirical Exploration 价值观对社会凝聚力的作用:理论解释与实证探索
Pub Date : 2020-03-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3553340
D. Nowack, Sophia Schoderer
Shared values are deemed necessary as a solid foundation for social cohesion by commentators and observers in many countries. However, when examining what kind of values this is based on, answers often come down to platitudes and national clichés. This discussion paper offers some clarification through both a theoretical explication and an empirical exploration concerning the general role of values for social cohesion.

Values are notions about desirable, trans-situational end-states and behaviors. They fall into two categories, individual and societal values. We provide a critical discussion of the most prominent conceptualizations and their operationalization in the social sciences.

Values affect social cohesion in three possible pathways: First, when they are shared; second, when they promote behavior per se conducive to social cohesion and third, through their effect on policy choice and institutional design. We review evidence provided by the research literature for each of these pathways.

We further explore the third pathway by deriving from the research literature the conjecture that a cultural value emphasis on egalitarianism makes a universalistic scope of welfare institutions more likely, which in turn increases social and political trust. We first examine this conjecture with a series of regression models, and then run a mediation analysis. The results show that

(1.) egalitarian values are moderately strongly and positively linked to universalistic welfare institutions, but that

(2.) welfare institutions mediate the association of egalitarian values with social trust only to a small extent and that

(3.) more universalistic welfare institutions counteract a negative association between egalitarian values and institutional trust.
许多国家的评论员和观察家认为,共同的价值观是社会凝聚力的坚实基础。然而,当审视这种价值观的基础时,答案往往归结为陈词滥调和国家的陈词滥调。本文通过对价值观对社会凝聚力的一般作用的理论解释和实证探索,提供了一些澄清。价值观是关于理想的、跨情境的最终状态和行为的概念。它们分为两类,个人价值和社会价值。我们对社会科学中最突出的概念化及其操作化进行了批判性的讨论。价值观通过三种可能的途径影响社会凝聚力:第一,当价值观被分享时;第二,当它们促进有利于社会凝聚力的行为时;第三,通过它们对政策选择和制度设计的影响时。我们回顾了这些途径的研究文献提供的证据。我们进一步探索了第三条途径,从研究文献中得出这样的猜想:强调平等主义的文化价值更有可能使福利制度的普遍范围更大,从而增加社会和政治信任。我们首先用一系列回归模型来检验这一猜想,然后进行中介分析。结果表明:(1)平等主义价值观与普遍主义福利制度之间存在中等强度的正相关关系,但(2)福利制度对平等主义价值观与社会信任之间的中介作用很小,(3)更普遍的福利制度抵消了平等主义价值观与制度信任之间的负相关关系。
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引用次数: 13
A Model of Stochastic Choice From Lists 从列表中随机选择的一个模型
Pub Date : 2020-03-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3586922
Y. Ishii, Matthew Kovach, Levent Ülkü
Abstract We study stochastic choice from lists. All lists present the same set of alternatives albeit in different orders. Faced with a list , the decision maker makes her choice in two stages. In the first stage she searches through the list till she sees k alternatives. In the second stage she chooses from the alternatives she has seen. Both k and the choice rule governing her second stage behavior are random. We show that the underlying primitives of our model are revealed by the decision maker’s choice frequencies from lists. We characterize the model and two of its special cases. In the first special case the decision maker deterministically chooses the best observed alternative according to a given preference. In the second, the decision maker maximizes random preferences.
摘要研究列表随机选择问题。所有的列表都列出了相同的一组选择,尽管顺序不同。面对一份清单,决策者分两个阶段做出选择。在第一阶段,她在列表中搜索,直到她看到k个选择。在第二阶段,她从她看到的备选方案中做出选择。k和控制她第二阶段行为的选择规则都是随机的。我们展示了我们模型的底层原语是由决策者从列表中选择的频率揭示的。我们描述了这个模型和它的两个特例。在第一种特殊情况下,决策者根据给定的偏好确定地选择观察到的最佳备选方案。在第二种情况下,决策者将随机偏好最大化。
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引用次数: 4
The Dynamic Efficiency in Resource Allocation: Evidence from Vehicle License Lotteries in Beijing 资源配置的动态效率:来自北京市机动车牌照摇号的证据
Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3547563
Youming Liu, Shanjun Li, Caixia Shen
The efficiency of resource allocation is often analyzed in static frameworks with a focus on the cross-sectional heterogeneity in the willingness to pay among users. When the resource is durable in nature, the temporal heterogeneity could be important in assessing the efficiency properties of different allocation mechanisms. This paper uses a dynamic model to empirically quantify the efficiency outcome of using lotteries to allocate scarce resources among forward-looking consumers. In the context of the lottery policy for vehicle licenses in Beijing, our analysis shows that lotteries significantly affect intertemporal decisions in that households participate in lotteries at least four years earlier on average than they would be in a counterfactual environment of no quantity constraint. The welfare loss due to temporal heterogeneity and resulting changes in participation decisions accounts for over half of the total welfare loss from the lottery policy. The analysis highlights the importance of taking dynamic efficiency into account in designing resource allocation mechanisms.
资源分配效率通常在静态框架中进行分析,重点关注用户支付意愿的横断面异质性。当资源具有持久性时,时间异质性对评估不同分配机制的效率特性具有重要意义。本文运用动态模型实证量化前瞻性消费者使用彩票分配稀缺资源的效率结果。在北京机动车牌照摇号政策的背景下,我们的分析表明,摇号显著影响跨期决策,即家庭参与摇号的平均时间至少比在没有数量约束的反事实环境中提前四年。由于时间异质性和参与决策的变化导致的福利损失占彩票政策总福利损失的一半以上。分析强调了在设计资源配置机制时考虑动态效率的重要性。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Microeconomics: Welfare Economics & Collective Decision-Making eJournal
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