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Negotiation Applications最新文献

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New Economy, New Recession? 新经济,新衰退?
Pub Date : 2002-03-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.305505
E. Koenig, Thomas F. Siems, Mark A. Wynne
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) confirmed in November 2001 what many had long suspected - that the U.S. economy was in recession and had been since March 2001. Thus ended an economic expansion that had begun in March 1991, the longest in the NBER chronology that dates to the mid-1800s. During this expansion, many economists and policy analysts talked about a "New Economy" characterized by a higher sustained level of productivity growth brought on by new networking information-sharing technologies. What does the New Economy's new recession look like? This article examines the 2001 recession by comparing it with previous recessions and investigating whether an added degree of resilience and flexibility is evident in the economy. The downturn appears to have been relatively mild and to have been tempered by the productive use of information technologies. Paradoxically, the information technology sector itself was hit exceptionally hard.
美国国家经济研究局(NBER)在2001年11月证实了许多人长期以来的怀疑——美国经济自2001年3月以来一直处于衰退之中。由此结束了始于1991年3月的经济扩张,这是NBER自19世纪中期以来最长的一次经济扩张。在这一扩张期间,许多经济学家和政策分析人士谈到了“新经济”,其特点是新的网络信息共享技术带来了更高水平的持续生产率增长。新经济的新衰退是什么样子的?本文将2001年的经济衰退与以往的经济衰退进行比较,并调查经济中是否明显增加了一定程度的弹性和灵活性。经济下滑似乎相对温和,而且由于信息技术的有效使用而有所缓和。矛盾的是,信息技术行业本身受到了格外沉重的打击。
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引用次数: 6
How Can South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa Gain from the Next Wto Round? 南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲如何从世贸组织下一轮谈判中获益?
Pub Date : 2001-11-01 DOI: 10.11130/jei.2003.18.3.466
K. Anderson, S. Yao
If South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are to become constructively engaged in the next attempt by World Trade Organization (WTO) members to liberalize trade multilaterally, they need to be convinced that there will be sufficient gains from trade reform to warrant the inevitable costs of negotiation and adjustment. This paper provides new estimates of the likely economic effects on their economies of further liberalizing world trade post-Uruguay Round. The results show that the developing countries of South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa have much to gain from taking part in the next round. However, those gains will be far greater the more those countries are willing to embrace reform at home so as to enable their firms to take greatest advantage of the opportunities provided by the opening up of markets abroad.
如果南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲要建设性地参与世界贸易组织(世贸组织)成员为多边贸易自由化所作的下一次尝试,就必须使它们确信,贸易改革将带来足够的收益,以抵免谈判和调整的不可避免的代价。本文提供了乌拉圭回合后世界贸易进一步自由化对其经济可能产生的经济影响的新估计。结果表明,南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲的发展中国家可以从参加下一轮谈判中获益良多。但是,这些国家越愿意在国内进行改革,以便使它们的公司能够最大限度地利用开放国外市场所提供的机会,这些收益就会大得多。
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引用次数: 42
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Negotiation Applications
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