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CHALLENGES OF THE INTRODUCTION OF THE DIGITAL EURO - SEARCH FOR A COMPATIBILITY MODEL FOR NORTH MACEDONIA 引入数字欧元的挑战——为北马其顿寻找一个兼容模型
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.06.02.22.p01
Andrej Ilijevski
The introduction of the digital euro will have an impact on the implementation of the financial policy of North Macedonia. Based on an assessment of its own interests and capabilities, North Macedonia can decide on a model for compatibility with the digital euro. The paper analyses three possible models for cross-border system compatibility. Assuming that a digital euro provides a new channel for the transmission of domestic monetary policy shocks, the basic cross-border effects of the introduction of the digital euro can be summarised as an increase in euroisation, a reduction in monetary policy independence and a reduction in the creditor function of last resort. These effects need to be countered with integrated smart features such as automatic remuneration and bilateral cooperation with the ECB or a combination of these models. According to the analysis, this functionality can be achieved through the model, which is a technological bridge between the systems, as opposed to the model, which is a separate system, or the model, which is integrated. Although the proposed model is the most desirable in terms of potential gains and addressing potential risks, this model involves the development of an own digital currency (digital denar).
数字欧元的引入将对北马其顿财政政策的实施产生影响。根据对自身利益和能力的评估,北马其顿可以决定与数字欧元兼容的模式。本文分析了三种可能的跨界系统兼容模型。假设数字欧元为国内货币政策冲击的传导提供了一个新的渠道,那么引入数字欧元的基本跨境效应可以概括为欧元化程度的提高、货币政策独立性的降低和最后债权人功能的减少。这些影响需要通过集成的智能功能来抵消,例如自动薪酬和与欧洲央行的双边合作,或者这些模式的组合。根据分析,这个功能可以通过模型来实现,模型是系统之间的技术桥梁,而模型是一个独立的系统,或者模型是集成的。尽管拟议的模型在潜在收益和解决潜在风险方面是最理想的,但该模型涉及开发自己的数字货币(数字第纳尔)。
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF DETERMINANTS OF CORPORATE CASH HOLDING OF LISTED MANUFACTURING COMPANIES ON THE MACEDONIAN STOCK EXCHANGE 马其顿证券交易所上市制造业公司现金持有量的决定因素分析
Pub Date : 2022-06-03 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.05.01.22.p01
Aleksandar Naumoski
In this study, we identify the determinants of cash holding in Macedonian manufacturing companies. The analysis was conducted using accounting data from publicly available financial statements of the sample of Macedonian industrial companies for the 2005 to 2019 period. The research was conducted through the prism of the postulates of the three main theories in corporate finance, i.e., the trade-off theory, pecking order theory,and thefree cash flow theory. To that end, we applied a panel regression analysis, while from the obtained results we assess which theoretical model best explains the cash management in Macedonian companies. We found that the cash to total assets ratio averaged 3.1%. The cash holding decreases with the decrease of the net working capital, financial leverage,cash flow variability, andcash conversion cycle. Cash holding increases with the increase of the company size, cash flow, debt maturity, and capital investments. We concluded that most of the results are in line with the pecking order theory, which indicates that Macedonian companies do not have predefined cash balances, and the cash holdings are abuffer between retained earnings and investments. The level of cash holding is not planned and is not optimized, but is determined during the work processes and depends on other business decisions.
在这项研究中,我们确定现金持有在马其顿制造公司的决定因素。分析使用了2005年至2019年期间马其顿工业公司样本的公开财务报表中的会计数据。本研究是通过公司财务的三个主要理论的假设棱镜进行的,即权衡理论,啄食顺序理论和自由现金流理论。为此,我们应用了面板回归分析,而从获得的结果中,我们评估了哪个理论模型最能解释马其顿公司的现金管理。我们发现现金与总资产的比率平均为3.1%。现金持有量随着净营运资本、财务杠杆、现金流量变异性和现金转换周期的减少而减少。现金持有量随着公司规模、现金流量、债务期限和资本投资的增加而增加。我们得出的结论是,大多数结果符合啄序理论,这表明马其顿公司没有预定义的现金余额,现金持有量是留存收益和投资之间的缓冲区。现金持有水平没有经过计划,也没有经过优化,而是在工作过程中确定的,并取决于其他业务决策。
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引用次数: 0
SOFTWARE MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT IN MICRO SOFTWARE COMPANIES 微软软件公司的软件维护管理
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.05.01.22.p05
Ž. Stojanov
Software maintenance is one of the main processes in software companies. It is regarded as more complex and costly compared to software development, and therefore should be carefully planned and managed. Micro software companies are companies with up to 10 employees, and they represent a significant driver of economic development in many countries around the world. However, micro companies have specific internal organizations and a business model, but also have significant constraints on human and financial resources. After outlining the basic concepts of software maintenance and the characteristics of small and micro software companies, the paper presents the author’s experience in software maintenance management in a local micro software company in Serbia. Maintenance management was implemented through a project aimed at improving maintenance processes in the company. The main objective was the improvement of maintenance request processing, which resulted in the implementation of a technical solution related to the timeline of maintenance requests. Since the process improvement project fosters organizational learning and knowledge management activities, a knowledge identification and systematization project was implemented as a subproject. Presented experience gained through fieldwork in the company contributed to the overall knowledge base about software engineering practice in micro software companies, which can be beneficial to both researchers from academia and practitioners from industry.
软件维护是软件公司的主要流程之一。与软件开发相比,它被认为是更复杂和昂贵的,因此应该仔细地计划和管理。微软软件公司是拥有10名员工的公司,它们代表着世界上许多国家经济发展的重要推动力。然而,微公司有特定的内部组织和商业模式,但在人力和财力方面也有很大的限制。本文在概述了软件维护的基本概念和小微软件公司的特点后,介绍了笔者在塞尔维亚当地一家微软件公司进行软件维护管理的经验。维修管理是通过一个旨在改善公司维修流程的项目来实施的。主要目标是改进维护请求处理,从而实现了与维护请求时间表相关的技术解决方案。由于过程改进项目促进了组织学习和知识管理活动,因此将知识识别和系统化项目作为子项目实施。通过在该公司的实地考察所获得的经验有助于建立有关微软件公司软件工程实践的整体知识库,这对学术界的研究人员和工业界的实践者都是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
EMPIRICAL APPROACH TO GROWTH ANALYSIS – PECULARITIES FOR MODELING STRATEGY IN THE CASES OF BIG EXOGENIOUS SHOCKS 增长分析的实证方法——在大外生冲击的情况下建模策略的特点
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.05.01.22.p03
Natasha Trajkova Najdovska
Empirical investigation on growth, especially in the course of big exogenous shocks is still relatively ambiguous. While models of developed economies describe the growth process as a smooth movement along the balanced growth path, this pattern is altered in the cases of big exogenous shocks that hit economies. The later accumulation of evidence, including the big shocks due to pandemic and Russia - Ukraine war led to more realistic specifications of growth models as well, putting the emphasize on the impact of shocks on growth processes. Hence, the main objective of this paper is to provide a review of the papers that investigate empirically growth and its main determinants, with the accent on analysis of the impact of shocks on growth patterns. A distinction is made between studies that investigate developed economies and those that concentrate on developing or transition economies. The former ones usually apply the modelling strategy based on the neoclassical linear framework and, their review offers valuable insight and overview of the variables mostly used in growth studies. On the other side, the studies concerning developing or transition countries are rather focused on finding new ways of empirically modelling growth in specific conditions of shocks. Although still the majority of the analyses are based on the linearity assumption, in this review we shall treat only the ones that introduce non-linearity in the growth studies, assessing the ways they address the non-linearity observed in the data generating processes. Finally, the proposed strategy for modelling big shocks in the growth pattern is adjusted growth accounting formula with Markov Switching Vector Autoregressive modelling. The modest number of variables is due to the intention of the empirical exercise to put a focus on the shifts in growth rather than on the detailed determinants behind the shifts. Additionally, it should be emphasized that the informative purpose of this empirical model is limited by the lack of data for other possible variables and by the modelling procedure.
关于经济增长的实证研究,特别是在大的外生冲击过程中,仍然相对模糊。虽然发达经济体的模型将增长过程描述为沿着平衡增长路径的平稳运动,但在经济遭受巨大外生冲击的情况下,这种模式发生了变化。后来的证据积累,包括流行病和俄罗斯-乌克兰战争造成的大冲击,也导致了更现实的增长模型规格,强调了冲击对增长过程的影响。因此,本文的主要目的是对实证研究增长及其主要决定因素的论文进行回顾,重点分析冲击对增长模式的影响。调查发达经济体的研究与集中于发展中经济体或转型经济体的研究是有区别的。前者通常采用基于新古典线性框架的建模策略,他们的综述为增长研究中主要使用的变量提供了有价值的见解和概述。另一方面,关于发展中国家或转型期国家的研究更侧重于寻找在特定冲击条件下对增长进行经验模拟的新方法。尽管大多数分析仍然基于线性假设,但在本综述中,我们将只处理那些在生长研究中引入非线性的分析,评估它们处理在数据生成过程中观察到的非线性的方式。最后,提出了利用马尔可夫切换向量自回归模型调整增长核算公式来模拟增长模式中的大冲击的策略。变量数量有限是由于实证研究的目的是将重点放在增长的变化上,而不是放在变化背后的详细决定因素上。此外,应该强调的是,由于缺乏其他可能变量的数据和建模程序,这种经验模型提供信息的目的受到限制。
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引用次数: 0
FINANCING SUSTAINBLE GROWTH 为可持续增长融资
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.05.01.22.p06
Gligor Bishev
North Macedonia is relying on Market Failure theory for the role of Government in the economy. The Government should take a back seat and simply create condition for private sector to invest and generate growth. Thus, public expenditures are kept at 1/3 of GDP for many years. Private sector investments in fix assets are anchored on average in last two decades at 22.4 percent of GDP. Result has been a moderate growth, that is not sufficient in foreseeable future to close the gap in living standard between the North Macedonia and EU. Innovative ecosystem and de-risking private sector investments is perceived more adequate model for achieving smart, sustainable and green growth. Such policies must put innovation at heart of growth policies. The Government should have a mission to fund innovations, direct economy to green and smart. This will require public expenditures steadily to reach threshold of 40 percent of GDP. Higher private investments: domestic and foreign, should be attracted by de-risking private sector and by strong private public partnership. This should accelerate growth to 5 percent on long-run, make it more inclusive and secure swift living standard convergence towards EU.
北马其顿依靠市场失灵理论来解释政府在经济中的作用。政府应该退居次要地位,为私营部门投资和促进增长创造条件。因此,公共支出多年来一直保持在GDP的1/3。过去20年,私营部门固定资产投资平均占GDP的22.4%。结果是适度的增长,在可预见的未来,这不足以缩小北马其顿与欧盟之间的生活水平差距。创新生态系统和降低私营部门投资风险被认为是实现智能、可持续和绿色增长的更适当模式。此类政策必须将创新置于增长政策的核心位置。政府应该有一个使命,资助创新,引导经济走向绿色和智能。这将要求公共支出稳步达到GDP的40%的门槛。通过降低私营部门的风险和强有力的公私伙伴关系,应该吸引更多的国内和国外私人投资。这将使长期增长率加快到5%,使其更具包容性和安全性,生活水平迅速向欧盟趋同。
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引用次数: 0
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPENDITURE AND LABOR PRODUCTIVITY 支出与劳动生产率的关系
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.05.01.22.p04
R. Yilmaz
Theoretically, the relationship between health expenditures and labour productivity is ambiguous. On the one hand, health expenditures can enhance labour productivity by improving health of workers. Poor health impairs both the working hours and productivities of workers. When workers are healthy, they become physically and mentally more energetic and they have higher incentive to develop new skills and knowledge. On the other hand, increase in health expenditures may deteriorates labour productivity by crowding out physical capital investment. Causality between health expenditures and labour productivity is also ambiguous. This paper investigates the long-run relationship between health expenditures and labor productivity by utilizing a panel data covering the period between 2000 and 2015 and 35 OECD countries. Results of the study displays that there is a positive and statistically significant long-run association between health expenditures and labor productivity. Findings indicate that an increase in per capita health expenditure leads to a rise in labor productivity in terms of GDP per person employed. Results of the study also suggest that there is a mutual (bi-directional) causality relationship between health expenditures and labor productivity indicators.
从理论上讲,卫生支出与劳动生产率之间的关系是模糊的。一方面,卫生支出可以通过改善工人的健康来提高劳动生产率。健康状况不佳会影响工人的工作时间和生产力。当工人健康时,他们在身体和精神上变得更有活力,他们有更高的动力去发展新的技能和知识。另一方面,卫生支出的增加可能会排挤实物资本投资,从而使劳动生产率恶化。卫生支出与劳动生产率之间的因果关系也不明确。本文利用覆盖2000年至2015年35个经合组织国家的面板数据,研究了卫生支出与劳动生产率之间的长期关系。研究结果显示,卫生支出与劳动生产率之间存在统计学上显著的正相关关系。调查结果表明,人均卫生支出的增加导致按人均就业国内生产总值计算的劳动生产率的提高。研究结果还表明,卫生支出与劳动生产率指标之间存在相互(双向)因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
OPERATING COSTS OF TRADE IN SERBIA 在塞尔维亚的贸易运营成本
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.20544/serbe.05.01.22.p02
R. Lukić
In order to achieve the target profit, it is necessary to manage costs and sales revenues as efficiently as possible. With this in mind, this paper focuses on the specifics of operating cost management in trade with special reference to Serbia. Among other things, the analysis of the efficiency of operating cost management in Serbian trade is based on the Super Radial DEA model. Consequently, according to Super Radial CCR-I and Super Radial CCR-O, efficient management of trade operating costs in Serbia was only in 2014, and inefficient in other years. According to Super Radial BCC-I, efficient management of trade operating costs in Serbia was in 2013, 2014 and 2020, and inefficient in other years. According to Super Radial BCC-O, efficient management of trade operating costs in Serbia was efficient in 2013, 2014 and 2015, and inefficient in other years. In order to improve the efficiency of operational cost management, as well as the overall business, in Serbian trade it is necessary, by applying modern concepts of cost management (for example, costing by activities) and new business models. organic products, etc.), more efficiently manage input elements (real growth rate of gross domestic product, number of employees, assets, capital, employees' salaries, purchase value of sold goods and operating costs), as well as output (sales, margin and net profit) .
为了实现目标利润,必须尽可能高效地管理成本和销售收入。有鉴于此,本文以塞尔维亚为例,着重探讨贸易经营成本管理的具体问题。其中,对塞尔维亚贸易经营成本管理效率的分析基于超径向DEA模型。因此,根据Super Radial CCR-I和Super Radial CCR-O,塞尔维亚仅在2014年实现了贸易运营成本的有效管理,其他年份则效率低下。根据Super Radial BCC-I,塞尔维亚的贸易运营成本管理在2013年、2014年和2020年是高效的,其他年份则是低效的。根据Super Radial BCC-O,塞尔维亚贸易运营成本的有效管理在2013年、2014年和2015年是有效的,而在其他年份则是低效的。为了提高塞尔维亚贸易业务成本管理的效率以及整个业务的效率,必须采用现代成本管理概念(例如按活动计算成本)和新的商业模式。有机产品等),更有效地管理投入要素(国内生产总值实际增长率、员工人数、资产、资本、员工工资、销货采购价值和经营成本)和产出要素(销售额、利润率和净利润)。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Southeast European Review of Business and Economics
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