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An analysis of the operation mechanism of price stabilization policy for vegetables and its effects on farmers’income 蔬菜价格稳定政策运行机制及对农民收入的影响分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.4.49
B. Ahn
In this study, working mechanism of the vegetable price stabilization policy is theoretically identified and the effects of this policy on farm household income is empirically assessed. Farm household income is evaluated to be increased by KRW 119.36 billion for the producers of winter radish, autumn radish, autumn cabbage and garlic, if the actual supply amount from the farmers participating in the policy is the same as the contract quantity under this policy. In addition, the income increase of non-participating farmers is estimated to be 107.3 billion won which is very high compared to 12.03 billion won for the income increase of participating farmers. The estimated overall effect is larger than the vegetable price stabilization policy cost of 106.9 billion won in 2021, which imply that the policy needs to be continuously implemented.
本研究从理论上确定了蔬菜价格稳定政策的作用机制,并对蔬菜价格稳定政策对农户收入的影响进行了实证评估。如果参与该政策的农户的实际供给量与合同供给量相同,冬萝卜、秋萝卜、秋白菜、大蒜生产者的家庭收入将增加1193.6亿韩元。另外,与参与农民的收入增加额(1203亿韩元)相比,未参与农民的收入增加额预计为1073亿韩元。总体效果比2021年的蔬菜价格稳定政策费用(1069亿韩元)要高,因此有必要继续实施。
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引用次数: 0
Farm Household Income Mobility and Its Determinants 农户收入流动性及其决定因素
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.4.27
Sung-Joo Yoon, Jae Bong Chang
This study examined income mobility of farm household and investigated the determinants of the income mobility in Korea. For the analysis this study used Farm Household Economy Survey (2003-2020), which is surveyed by Statistics Korea, and employed transition matrix and probit specification. According to empirical results, the income mobility of farm household in Korea had been weaken for the time periods. The probability of upward and downward income mobility had been decreased; however, the probability of staying same income quintile had been increased. In particular, the tendency of remaining same income quintile became stronger around 2013. Next, we found that many farm household-related variables have positive effects on upward income mobility, which is similar to the previous studyies. However, we found stronger association between public transer income and upward income mobility of farm household in the high-income quintile rather than low-income quintile. The empirical results imply that government policy for farmhouse income should be targeted on the low-income farm household for improving income distribution and mobility.
本研究考察了韩国农户的收入流动性,并探讨了韩国农户收入流动性的决定因素。本研究使用韩国统计局调查的《农户经济调查(2003-2020)》进行分析,并采用过渡矩阵和probit规范。实证结果表明,韩国农户的收入流动性在一定时期内有所减弱。收入向上和向下流动的可能性降低了;然而,保持同一收入五分位数的可能性增加了。特别是,2013年前后,保持同一收入五分之一的趋势变得更加强烈。其次,我们发现许多与农户相关的变量对收入向上流动有积极影响,这与之前的研究相似。然而,我们发现高收入五分之一家庭的公共转移收入与农民家庭向上收入流动性之间的联系比低收入五分之一家庭更强。实证结果表明,政府的农家乐收入政策应针对低收入农户,以改善收入分配和流动性。
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引用次数: 1
The Effect of Food Safety Incidents Experience on the Probability of Purchasing GAP-certified Agricultural Products 食品安全事件经历对gap认证农产品购买概率的影响
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.4.67
Jeong-Hun Ji, S. H. Lee
Consumers’ perception of food safety can be influenced not only by the information but also by relevant experiences. Nevertheless, only a few studies have investigated how consumer experiences affect food safety consumption behavior. This study analyzes whether consumers’ negative experience(incidents) regarding food safety impacts their probability of purchasing Good Agricultural Practices (GAP) certified agricultural products. The Consumer Behavior Survey for Food Data of the Korea Rural Economic Institute was used for empirical analysis. The results showed that consumers who experienced food safety incidents are more likely to purchase GAP agricultural products than those who did not. However, the GAP agricultural product consumption behaviors of elderly consumers and low-income consumers did not change noticeably even after they experienced food safety incidents.
消费者对食品安全的认知不仅会受到信息的影响,还会受到相关经验的影响。然而,关于消费者体验如何影响食品安全消费行为的研究很少。本研究分析消费者在食品安全方面的负面经历(事件)是否会影响他们购买良好农业规范(GAP)认证农产品的可能性。实证分析采用韩国农村经济研究院的《食品数据消费者行为调查》。结果显示,经历过食品安全事件的消费者比没有经历过食品安全事件的消费者更有可能购买GAP农产品。而老年消费者和低收入消费者在经历食品安全事件后,GAP农产品消费行为并未发生明显变化。
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引用次数: 0
Choice Heuristics in Processed Food Purchases: The Case of Hotdog Purchase in the U.S. 加工食品购买中的选择启发式:以美国购买热狗为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.4.85
D. Moon, G. Tonsor
The classical discrete choice model assumes that decision-makers consider all attributes in choice situations. However, decision-making often relies on some heuristic process instead of full attribute assessment. Unlike previous literature based on stated choice data, this study attempted to accommodate attribute inattention into a discrete choice model using market data. Our test reports getting better models fit in where they include both choice heuristic and full attribute preservation rules than in the conventional assumption. Accordingly, the heterogeneous decision rules need to be considered in choice modeling as an alternative to the traditional assumption. It is expected that this approach will help to derive food marketing implications for the consumer segments corresponding to each decision rule, reflecting multiple decision-making rules.
经典的离散选择模型假设决策者在选择情境中考虑所有属性。然而,决策往往依赖于一些启发式过程,而不是全属性评估。与以往基于陈述选择数据的文献不同,本研究试图将属性不注意纳入使用市场数据的离散选择模型。与传统的假设相比,我们的测试报告在包含启发式选择和完整属性保存规则的地方得到了更好的模型。因此,在选择建模中需要考虑异构决策规则作为传统假设的替代。预计这种方法将有助于得出与每个决策规则相对应的消费者群体的食品营销含义,反映多个决策规则。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Plant-based Meat Intake Intention 植物性肉类摄入意向的决定因素
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.4.1
Seung-yeon Byun, D. Yoo
Plant-based meat is one of the most commercialized alternative protein foods, and its market size is increasing worldwide. Media often emphasizes such an increase is led by vegetarians’ preferences. This study begins with asking whether vegetarians’ roles are so crucial in the market and aims to understand their intake intention for plant-based meat. For this study, we use Decision-Tree model to identify vegetarians' characteristics and use logistic regression and ordered logistic regression to analyze the determinants of intake intention for plant-based meat. Results show the followings: First, main determinants of intake intention for plant-based meats were interest in health, food safety and the environment. Second, vegetarians' preferences for plant-based meat was not so high as media has emphasized. This study is meaningful in that it identifies determinants of intake intention for plant-based meat and suggests future strategies for consumption enhancement.
植物性肉类是最商业化的替代蛋白质食品之一,其市场规模在全球范围内不断扩大。媒体经常强调,这种增长是由素食者的偏好导致的。这项研究首先询问素食者在市场中的角色是否如此重要,并旨在了解他们对植物性肉类的摄入意图。在本研究中,我们使用决策树模型来识别素食者的特征,并使用逻辑回归和有序逻辑回归来分析植物性肉类摄入意向的决定因素。结果表明:首先,对健康、食品安全和环境的兴趣是植物性肉类摄入意向的主要决定因素。其次,素食者对植物性肉类的偏好并不像媒体强调的那么高。这项研究的意义在于,它确定了植物性肉类摄入意向的决定因素,并提出了未来提高消费的策略。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of African Swine Fever on Structural Change in China’s Meat Demand 非洲猪瘟对中国肉类需求结构变化的影响
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.3.169
Yiyang Qiao, B. Ahn
In 2018, African Swine Fever (ASF) first broke out in China and had a noticeable effect on China’s pork market and the entire meat market. This paper models China’s meat market, including pork, beef, mutton, and poultry, and examines how the outbreak of ASF impacts structural changes in China’s meat demand. We use the inverse almost ideal demand system (IAIDS) model and employ province-level meat consumption and price data to form the panel data set of 30 provinces of China from 2015 to 2020. Our results indicate that ASF has a significant impact on the demand for pork, poultry, and mutton. Based on the estimated price flexibilities and scale flexibilities, we find that the outbreak of ASF impacts structural change in China’s meat demand. Furthermore, our results show the heterogeneity of the ASF’s effects across different provinces in China.
2018年,非洲猪瘟(African Swine Fever, ASF)首次在中国爆发,对中国猪肉市场和整个肉类市场产生了明显影响。本文建立了中国肉类市场模型,包括猪肉、牛肉、羊肉和家禽,并研究了非洲猪瘟的爆发如何影响中国肉类需求的结构性变化。我们使用逆几乎理想需求系统(IAIDS)模型,并采用省级肉类消费和价格数据,形成了2015 - 2020年中国30个省份的面板数据集。我们的研究结果表明,非洲猪瘟对猪肉、家禽和羊肉的需求有显著影响。基于估计的价格弹性和规模弹性,我们发现非洲猪瘟的爆发影响了中国肉类需求的结构性变化。此外,我们的研究结果显示了中国不同省份非洲猪瘟效应的异质性。
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引用次数: 0
Increases in Land Price and Liquidity Gap between Beginning and Existing Farmers 土地价格上涨与新老农民流动性缺口
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.3.19
Youngjune Kim
Land price has increased significantly in recent years, affecting the liquidity gap between beginning farmers and existing farmers. The liquidity gap could result in widening inequalities in land size, asset gaps and loan alienation of beginning farmers. Using two 5-year farm-level panel dataset from the Korean Farm Household Economy Survey, this paper estimates the effect of increases in land price on borrowing with a developed identification strategy. Based on the estimates, this paper analyzes the extent of the liquidity gap between beginning farmers and existing farmers due to increases in land price. The results show that a 1% increase in farmland wealth is associated with farmers’ borrowing increase by 1.82%. The results also indicate that a 20% increase in farmland wealth leads to a 6.6 million won in liquidity gap between beginning farmers and existing farmers.
近年来,土地价格大幅上涨,影响了初耕农户与现有农户之间的流动性缺口。流动性缺口可能导致土地规模不平等、资产缺口和初级农民贷款异化的扩大。本文利用韩国农户经济调查的两个5年农场水平面板数据集,通过一种成熟的识别策略估计了地价上涨对借贷的影响。在此基础上,本文分析了土地价格上涨对初产农户和现有农户流动资金缺口的影响程度。结果表明,农地财富每增加1%,农户借贷增加1.82%。另外,农地财富每增加20%,新农和老农之间的流动资金差距就会增加660万韩元。
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引用次数: 0
Acreage Response to Price Support and Price Risk under Trade Liberalization 贸易自由化条件下种植面积对价格支持和价格风险的响应
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.3.193
Cherry Kim, Kwansoo Kim
An unexpected surge in sugar imports in 2008 under NAFTA resulted in a large U.S. sugar price fluctuation. This study explores the acreage decision for U.S. sugar beets in an environment where both price support and trade liberalization takes place at the same time. Our empirical analysis is based on county-level data for sugar beets and three substitute crops (corn, soybean and wheat) in twelve U.S. sugar beet growing states over 1997-2018. While we find that an increase in price fluctuation overall has adverse impacts on acreage, the results indicate that farmers respond to price risk differently before and after NAFTA and to the level of price risk. This suggests a need for more precise policy instruments that better protect against unexpected income loss rather than a fixed level of support and enable producers to deal with future extreme events.
根据北美自由贸易协定,2008年食糖进口意外激增,导致美国食糖价格大幅波动。本研究探讨了在价格支持和贸易自由化同时发生的环境下,美国甜菜种植面积的决定。我们的实证分析基于1997-2018年美国12个甜菜种植州的甜菜和三种替代作物(玉米、大豆和小麦)的县级数据。虽然我们发现价格波动的增加总体上对种植面积有不利影响,但结果表明,在北美自由贸易协定之前和之后,农民对价格风险的反应不同,对价格风险水平的反应也不同。这表明需要更精确的政策工具,以更好地防止意外收入损失,而不是固定水平的支持,并使生产者能够应对未来的极端事件。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of COVID19 on Household Food Waste covid - 19对家庭食物浪费的影响
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.3.55
Jeong-hwan Kim, Ji Yong Lee
The pandemic of COVID19 has significantly changed consumers' food consumption and waste behaviors. Specifically, the main section of households’ food consumption shifted from food awayfrom- home to eating at home which could be connected with household food wastes. This study estimated the effect of COVID19 on the amount of household food wastes by using Consumer Behavior Survey for Food(CBSF) data. We analyzed the effect of COVID19 on household food waste emissions using the ordered logit model given the theory that food waste emissions are influenced by food prices and opportunity costs of food utilizing. We found that household food wastes increase after COVID19, and a change of the opportunity cost of food utilizing causes increase in food wastes. Based on results, we provide policy implications regarding reduction in food wastes.
新冠肺炎疫情显著改变了消费者的食物消费和浪费行为。具体而言,家庭食品消费的主要部分从外出食品转向在家食用,这可能与家庭食品浪费有关。本研究利用消费者食品行为调查(CBSF)数据估计了2019冠状病毒病对家庭食物浪费量的影响。鉴于食物垃圾排放受食品价格和食物利用机会成本影响的理论,我们使用有序logit模型分析了covid - 19对家庭食物垃圾排放的影响。我们发现,2019冠状病毒病后,家庭食物垃圾增加,食物利用机会成本的变化导致食物垃圾增加。根据研究结果,我们提出了减少食物浪费的政策建议。
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引用次数: 1
Benefit Analysis of Online Korea Agri-Food Exchange 韩国农产品网上交易的效益分析
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.24997/kjae.2022.63.3.219
Dong Hwi Kim, Yoonhyung Kim
This study analyzed the benefits of the B2B online agricultural exchange, which is promoted by the government for digital transformation in the distribution sector as the Fourth Industrial Revolution technology is introduced and the agricultural distribution environment is changing rapidly owing to COVID-19. Currently, the Korean government is conducting the national B2B online agricultural exchange, where sellers, including producer organizations and agricultural corporations, can make direct transactions and buyers, including public market wholesale corporations, intermediaries, and trade participants, can purchase agricultural products through the online platform, regardless of time and location. Against this backdrop, we analyzed the potential benefits of the online agricultural exchange, divided into those from the reduction in distribution stages and from the increase in user convenience. For the analysis, benefits from the reduction in distribution stages are divided into logistics cost saving, shrinkage loss reduction, and commission reduction. Benefits from the increase in user convenience are divided into shipper’s saving of search cost and buyer’s saving of transaction cost. Assuming that the online agricultural exchange is worth KRW 500 billion, the expected economic benefit was analyzed to be about KRW 38.3 billion per year.
该研究分析了随着第四次产业革命技术的引进和新冠疫情等农业流通环境的急剧变化,政府为了流通领域的数字化转型而推动的B2B在线农业交易的效益。目前,韩国政府正在实施“全国B2B农产品在线交易”,生产者团体、农业企业等销售者可以直接进行交易,而公共市场批发企业、中间商、贸易参与者等购买者可以不分时间和地点通过在线平台购买农产品。在此背景下,我们分析了在线农业交易的潜在好处,将其分为减少分销阶段和增加用户便利性两部分。在分析中,减少配送阶段的收益分为物流成本节约、减少损耗和减少佣金。用户便利性的增加所带来的收益分为托运人节省的搜索成本和买方节省的交易成本。以5000亿韩元规模的网上农业交易为例,预计每年的经济效益将达到383亿韩元。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Korean Agricultural Economics Association
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