首页 > 最新文献

Injury Prevention最新文献

英文 中文
Attitudes toward physician-provided gun safety counselling among current and prospective gun owners in the USA. 美国当前和未来枪支拥有者对医生提供的枪支安全咨询的态度。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045361
Tara D Warner

Background: Americans increasingly perceive that homes with guns are safer than those without, and physician counselling about in-home firearm safety and injury risks occurs infrequently, despite encouragement from major medical organisations (eg, American Medical Association, American Academy of Pediatrics). Safety counselling that does occur may be limited to gun owners at high risk of injury; however, given the increasing rates of first-time gun ownership in the USA, understanding attitudes toward firearms and firearm safety messaging among persons who may become firearm owners is needed to inform and support continued injury prevention efforts.

Methods: Survey data from a cross-section of firearm owners (n=396) and non-owners (n=551) collected in February 2023 was used to examine differences in perceptions about the safety of firearm households, openness toward firearm safety counselling and comfort with law enforcement compared with physician firearm safety discussions.

Results: Over three-quarters of current and possible future gun owners agreed that firearms make homes safer, compared with just over one-third of non-owners. All three groups favoured law enforcement over physicians for firearm safety messengers and were more comfortable speaking with law enforcement than physicians about firearm safety.

Discussion and conclusion: Public health and injury prevention safety counselling that combines messaging from law enforcement and medical perspectives may be similarly accessible for both current firearm owners and those considering owning firearms in the future.

背景:越来越多的美国人认为有枪的家庭比没有枪的家庭更安全,尽管主要医疗组织(如美国医学会、美国儿科学会)鼓励医生提供有关家庭枪支安全和伤害风险的咨询服务,但这种咨询服务并不多见。安全咨询可能仅限于具有高伤害风险的枪支所有者;然而,鉴于美国首次拥有枪支的比例不断上升,有必要了解可能成为枪支所有者的人对枪支的态度以及枪支安全信息,以便为持续的伤害预防工作提供信息和支持:方法:使用 2023 年 2 月收集的枪支拥有者(n=396)和非拥有者(n=551)的横截面调查数据,研究对枪支家庭安全的看法、对枪支安全咨询的开放性以及与医生枪支安全讨论相比对执法的舒适度的差异:超过四分之三的当前和未来可能的枪支拥有者同意枪支会使家庭更加安全,而非枪支拥有者中这一比例仅略高于三分之一。作为枪支安全使者,所有三个群体都更喜欢执法人员而不是医生,而且与执法人员讨论枪支安全问题比与医生讨论更自在:讨论和结论:结合执法和医疗视角的公共卫生和伤害预防安全咨询,可能同样适用于目前的枪支拥有者和将来考虑拥有枪支的人。
{"title":"Attitudes toward physician-provided gun safety counselling among current and prospective gun owners in the USA.","authors":"Tara D Warner","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045361","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045361","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Americans increasingly perceive that homes with guns are safer than those without, and physician counselling about in-home firearm safety and injury risks occurs infrequently, despite encouragement from major medical organisations (eg, American Medical Association, American Academy of Pediatrics). Safety counselling that does occur may be limited to gun owners at high risk of injury; however, given the increasing rates of first-time gun ownership in the USA, understanding attitudes toward firearms and firearm safety messaging among persons who may become firearm owners is needed to inform and support continued injury prevention efforts.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Survey data from a cross-section of firearm owners (n=396) and non-owners (n=551) collected in February 2023 was used to examine differences in perceptions about the safety of firearm households, openness toward firearm safety counselling and comfort with law enforcement compared with physician firearm safety discussions.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Over three-quarters of current and possible future gun owners agreed that firearms make homes safer, compared with just over one-third of non-owners. All three groups favoured law enforcement over physicians for firearm safety messengers and were more comfortable speaking with law enforcement than physicians about firearm safety.</p><p><strong>Discussion and conclusion: </strong>Public health and injury prevention safety counselling that combines messaging from law enforcement and medical perspectives may be similarly accessible for both current firearm owners and those considering owning firearms in the future.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"151-154"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142692979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk factors for suicide attempt among adolescents reporting suicidal ideation by sexual and gender minority status: Evidence from the 2022 Minnesota Student Survey. 按性少数群体和性别少数群体身份分列的报告有自杀倾向的青少年自杀未遂的风险因素:来自 2022 年明尼苏达学生调查的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045317
Joseph F Sexton, Kirsty A Clark

Background: Suicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents, yet most adolescents who report suicidal ideation do not attempt nor die by suicide. To prevent injury and death, it is thus vital to explore factors potentiating the transition from suicidal ideation to suicidal attempt, especially in high-risk groups like sexual and gender minority (SGM) adolescents. Guided by an "ideation-to-action" framework, we explored risk factors for suicide attempt (ie, "painful and provocative experiences") among adolescents reporting suicidal ideation by SGM status.

Methods: Data were drawn from the cross-sectional 2022 Minnesota Student Survey and restricted to 10 561 adolescents reporting past-year suicidal ideation (52.3% SGM; 47.7% non-SGM). Analyses first assessed prevalence of exposure to painful and provocative experiences (ie, non-suicidal self-injury, adverse childhood experiences, bullying) by SGM status. Then, in multivariable logistic regression models, analyses probed associations between these risk factors and past-year suicide attempt.

Results: Among adolescents reporting recent suicidal ideation, a higher proportion of SGM adolescents reported past-year suicide attempt than non-SGM adolescents (26.7% vs 21.6%, respectively). All examined painful and provocative experiences were more commonly reported among SGM adolescents. In analyses restricted to SGM adolescents, non-suicidal self-injury, sexual abuse by a family member, and bullying demonstrated the largest effect sizes of associations with suicide attempt.

Discussion: Guided by an "ideation-to-action" framework, this research identifies risk factors potentiating suicide attempt in SGM adolescents reporting recent suicidal ideation. Structural and clinical interventions focused on mitigating exposure to painful and provocative experiences may help to prevent suicide among SGM adolescents.

背景:自杀是导致青少年死亡的主要原因之一,然而大多数有自杀意念的青少年既没有自杀企图,也没有死于自杀。因此,为了预防伤害和死亡,探索从自杀意念到自杀未遂的转变过程中的潜在因素至关重要,尤其是在性与性别少数群体(SGM)青少年等高危人群中。在 "从意念到行动 "框架的指导下,我们根据 SGM 状况,探讨了报告有自杀意念的青少年中自杀未遂的风险因素(即 "痛苦和挑衅性经历"):数据来自 2022 年明尼苏达学生调查的横截面数据,仅限于 10 561 名报告在过去一年中有自杀倾向的青少年(52.3% 为 SGM;47.7% 为非 SGM)。分析首先根据 SGM 状态评估了遭受痛苦和挑衅经历(即非自杀性自残、不良童年经历、欺凌)的流行率。然后,在多变量逻辑回归模型中,分析这些风险因素与过去一年自杀未遂之间的关联:结果:在报告最近有自杀倾向的青少年中,与非 SGM 青少年相比,有更高比例的 SGM 青少年(分别为 26.7% 和 21.6%)报告在过去一年中有自杀企图。在所有被调查的痛苦和挑衅经历中,SGM 青少年报告的比例更高。在仅限于SGM青少年的分析中,非自杀性自伤、家庭成员性虐待和欺凌与自杀未遂的关联效应大小最大:本研究以 "从意念到行动 "的框架为指导,确定了导致报告近期有自杀意念的 SGM 青少年企图自杀的风险因素。结构性干预措施和临床干预措施的重点是减少接触痛苦和挑衅性经历的机会,这可能有助于防止 SGM 青少年自杀。
{"title":"Risk factors for suicide attempt among adolescents reporting suicidal ideation by sexual and gender minority status: Evidence from the 2022 Minnesota Student Survey.","authors":"Joseph F Sexton, Kirsty A Clark","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045317","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045317","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Suicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents, yet most adolescents who report suicidal ideation do not attempt nor die by suicide. To prevent injury and death, it is thus vital to explore factors potentiating the transition from suicidal ideation to suicidal attempt, especially in high-risk groups like sexual and gender minority (SGM) adolescents. Guided by an \"ideation-to-action\" framework, we explored risk factors for suicide attempt (ie, \"painful and provocative experiences\") among adolescents reporting suicidal ideation by SGM status.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were drawn from the cross-sectional 2022 Minnesota Student Survey and restricted to 10 561 adolescents reporting past-year suicidal ideation (52.3% SGM; 47.7% non-SGM). Analyses first assessed prevalence of exposure to painful and provocative experiences (ie, non-suicidal self-injury, adverse childhood experiences, bullying) by SGM status. Then, in multivariable logistic regression models, analyses probed associations between these risk factors and past-year suicide attempt.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among adolescents reporting recent suicidal ideation, a higher proportion of SGM adolescents reported past-year suicide attempt than non-SGM adolescents (26.7% vs 21.6%, respectively). All examined painful and provocative experiences were more commonly reported among SGM adolescents. In analyses restricted to SGM adolescents, non-suicidal self-injury, sexual abuse by a family member, and bullying demonstrated the largest effect sizes of associations with suicide attempt.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>Guided by an \"ideation-to-action\" framework, this research identifies risk factors potentiating suicide attempt in SGM adolescents reporting recent suicidal ideation. Structural and clinical interventions focused on mitigating exposure to painful and provocative experiences may help to prevent suicide among SGM adolescents.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"141-146"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12041302/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142545269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Australian parental decisions about transitioning children from booster seats in a randomised trial: greater support may be needed. 在一项随机试验中,澳大利亚家长对儿童从加高座椅过渡的决定:可能需要更多支持。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2023-045207
Stacie Powell, Wennie Dai, Catherine Ho, Bianca Albanese, Lisa Keay, Tom Whyte, Lynne E Bilston, Julie Brown

Background: Premature graduation to an adult seatbelt is common and detrimental to optimal crash protection. While there is an existing tool (the 5-step test) to support a parent's decision to graduate their child, its effectiveness is unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate the 5-step test.

Method: A randomised controlled design was used. Participants were parents of children aged 7-12 years. After exposure to information about the 5-step test or control material, participants assessed belt fit in three seating conditions and 'thought aloud' while making their assessment. Seating conditions provided a good, poor and partially good seatbelt fit based on the child's anthropometry. Participants were also assessed on their knowledge of good seatbelt fit criteria.

Results: Participants exposed to the 5-step test (n=18) had significantly improved their knowledge of the criteria required to achieve good seatbelt with, on average, 1.0 higher score in the 6-point assessment (95% CI 0.23 to 1.7, p=0.012) than those in the control group. There was also a greater percentage of participants in this group (44.4% intervention vs 27.8% control) who made accurate decisions about seatbelt fit, but this difference did not reach significance (OR 2.08, 95% CI 0.52 to 8.34).

Conclusion: The results demonstrate that the 5-step test is effective in improving knowledge but are inconclusive about its effectiveness in promoting accurate decision-making. However, the proportion of participants making accurate decisions in the intervention group remained low. This suggests that parents may require greater assistance than what is currently provided.

背景:过早让孩子系成人安全带的现象很常见,而且不利于提供最佳的碰撞保护。虽然现有一种工具(5 步测试)可帮助家长决定是否让孩子系安全带,但其有效性尚不清楚。本研究旨在对 5 步测试进行评估:方法:采用随机对照设计。参与者为 7-12 岁儿童的家长。在接触了有关五步测试或对照材料的信息后,参与者在三种座椅条件下对腰带合身性进行评估,并在进行评估时 "大声思考"。根据儿童的人体测量结果,座椅条件可提供良好、较差和部分良好的安全带贴合度。此外,还对参与者对安全带合身标准的了解程度进行了评估:结果:与对照组相比,接受 5 步测试的参与者(18 人)对安全带佩戴标准的了解有了显著提高,在 6 点评估中平均得分提高了 1.0(95% CI 0.23 至 1.7,P=0.012)。此外,干预组中准确决定是否佩戴安全带的人数比例也高于对照组(干预组为 44.4%,对照组为 27.8%),但这一差异并不显著(OR 2.08,95% CI 0.52 至 8.34):研究结果表明,五步测试能有效提高参与者对安全带的认识,但在促进准确决策方面的效果尚无定论。然而,干预组中做出准确决定的参与者比例仍然很低。这表明,家长可能需要比目前提供的更多的帮助。
{"title":"Australian parental decisions about transitioning children from booster seats in a randomised trial: greater support may be needed.","authors":"Stacie Powell, Wennie Dai, Catherine Ho, Bianca Albanese, Lisa Keay, Tom Whyte, Lynne E Bilston, Julie Brown","doi":"10.1136/ip-2023-045207","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2023-045207","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Premature graduation to an adult seatbelt is common and detrimental to optimal crash protection. While there is an existing tool (the <i>5-step test</i>) to support a parent's decision to graduate their child, its effectiveness is unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate the <i>5-step test</i>.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>A randomised controlled design was used. Participants were parents of children aged 7-12 years. After exposure to information about the <i>5-step test</i> or control material, participants assessed belt fit in three seating conditions and 'thought aloud' while making their assessment. Seating conditions provided a good, poor and partially good seatbelt fit based on the child's anthropometry. Participants were also assessed on their knowledge of good seatbelt fit criteria.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Participants exposed to the <i>5-step test</i> (n=18) had significantly improved their knowledge of the criteria required to achieve good seatbelt with, on average, 1.0 higher score in the 6-point assessment (95% CI 0.23 to 1.7, p=0.012) than those in the control group. There was also a greater percentage of participants in this group (44.4% intervention vs 27.8% control) who made accurate decisions about seatbelt fit, but this difference did not reach significance (OR 2.08, 95% CI 0.52 to 8.34).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The results demonstrate that the <i>5-step test</i> is effective in improving knowledge but are inconclusive about its effectiveness in promoting accurate decision-making. However, the proportion of participants making accurate decisions in the intervention group remained low. This suggests that parents may require greater assistance than what is currently provided.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"i24-i33"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141912519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Knowledge, mobility and the built environment: assessing risk factors for road traffic incidents during children's school journeys in urban Blantyre, Malawi - an observational study. 知识、流动性和建筑环境:评估马拉维布兰太尔城市儿童上学途中道路交通事故的风险因素——一项观察性研究。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045562
Monica Nzanga, Dennis Mazingi, Alejandra Piragauta Ruiz, Prasanthi Puvanachandra, Linda Chokotho, Bosco Exson Chinkonda, Blaise Murphet, Steve Manyozo Posthumous, Margaret Peden

Introduction: Road injuries are a leading cause of death in the 5-19 age group and pedestrian school children are a key vulnerable group. However, the road crash risks faced by school children in Malawi remain understudied. This study aims to describe and quantify the prevalence.

Methods: We performed an observational study from July to December 2022. Data were collected through a knowledge, attitudes and practices survey, mobility survey, school-zone speed and pedestrian observations and star ratings for schools' assessments in six schools in Blantyre.

Results: We surveyed 2466 students aged 12-16 and conducted safety assessments in the areas around these schools. Among surveyed children, 134 (5.4%) and 732 (29.7%) had been involved in a crash or 'near-miss' in the last 6 months. Receipt of road safety education in the past was not associated with involvement in a crash. 63.4% of vehicle observations were above the standard 30 km/hour safe speed limit, and star ratings from 2 to 5 stars.

Discussion: Despite receipt of road-safety education, road crashes continue to affect students walking to school. Improvement of road markings, signs and pedestrian crossings is a key intervention to improve safety across all schools. Modest infrastructural improvements are required to raise star ratings to at least three in study sites.

Conclusions: Improving road safety for school children in Malawi requires targeted action focusing on ground truth assessments. Enhanced road safety awareness and practices at designated crossings, reduced speeds and improved infrastructure are potential targets.

导言:道路伤害是5-19岁年龄组死亡的主要原因,步行学校的儿童是一个关键的弱势群体。然而,马拉维学龄儿童面临的道路交通事故风险仍未得到充分研究。本研究旨在描述和量化患病率。方法:我们于2022年7月至12月进行了一项观察性研究。在布兰太尔的六所学校中,通过知识、态度和实践调查、流动性调查、学校区域速度和行人观察以及对学校评估的星级评级来收集数据。结果:我们调查了2466名12-16岁的学生,并在这些学校周围地区进行了安全评估。在接受调查的儿童中,134名(5.4%)和732名(29.7%)在过去6个月内曾发生过交通事故或“险些”事故。过去接受道路安全教育与卷入车祸无关。63.4%的车辆观测值高于30公里/小时安全限速标准,星级从2星到5星。讨论:尽管接受了道路安全教育,道路交通事故继续影响着步行上学的学生。改善道路标记、标志和人行横道是改善所有学校安全的关键干预措施。为了将研究地点的星级提高到至少3星,需要适度的基础设施改善。结论:改善马拉维学龄儿童的道路安全需要有针对性的行动,重点是实地真相评估。在指定的十字路口加强道路安全意识和实践,降低速度和改善基础设施是潜在的目标。
{"title":"Knowledge, mobility and the built environment: assessing risk factors for road traffic incidents during children's school journeys in urban Blantyre, Malawi - an observational study.","authors":"Monica Nzanga, Dennis Mazingi, Alejandra Piragauta Ruiz, Prasanthi Puvanachandra, Linda Chokotho, Bosco Exson Chinkonda, Blaise Murphet, Steve Manyozo Posthumous, Margaret Peden","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045562","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045562","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Road injuries are a leading cause of death in the 5-19 age group and pedestrian school children are a key vulnerable group. However, the road crash risks faced by school children in Malawi remain understudied. This study aims to describe and quantify the prevalence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed an observational study from July to December 2022. Data were collected through a knowledge, attitudes and practices survey, mobility survey, school-zone speed and pedestrian observations and star ratings for schools' assessments in six schools in Blantyre.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We surveyed 2466 students aged 12-16 and conducted safety assessments in the areas around these schools. Among surveyed children, 134 (5.4%) and 732 (29.7%) had been involved in a crash or 'near-miss' in the last 6 months. Receipt of road safety education in the past was not associated with involvement in a crash. 63.4% of vehicle observations were above the standard 30 km/hour safe speed limit, and star ratings from 2 to 5 stars.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>Despite receipt of road-safety education, road crashes continue to affect students walking to school. Improvement of road markings, signs and pedestrian crossings is a key intervention to improve safety across all schools. Modest infrastructural improvements are required to raise star ratings to at least three in study sites.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Improving road safety for school children in Malawi requires targeted action focusing on ground truth assessments. Enhanced road safety awareness and practices at designated crossings, reduced speeds and improved infrastructure are potential targets.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144293714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
International Classification of Disease based Injury Severity Score (ICISS): a comparison of methodologies applied to linked data from New South Wales, Australia. 基于疾病分类的国际伤害严重程度评分(ICISS):应用于澳大利亚新南威尔士州链接数据的方法比较。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045260
Janneke Berecki-Gisolf, Ehsan Rezaei-Darzi, D Tharanga Fernando, Angelo DElia

Background: The International Classification of Disease Injury Severity Score (ICISS) provides an efficient method to determine injury severity in hospitalised injury patients. Injury severity metrics are of particular interest for the tracking of road transport injury rates and trends. The aims of this study were to calculate ICISS using linked morbidity and mortality datasets and to compare predictive ability of various methods and metrics.

Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of Admitted Patient Data Collection records from New South Wales, Australia, linked with mortality data. Using a split sample approach, design data (2008-2014; n=1 035 174 periods of care) was used to derive survival risk ratios and calculate various ICISS scales based on in-hospital death and 3-month death. These scales were applied to testing data (2015-2017; n=575 306). Logistic regression modelling was used to determine model discrimination and calibration.

Results: There were 12 347 (1.19%) in-hospital deaths and 29 275 (2.83%) 3-month deaths in the design data. Model discrimination ranged from acceptable to excellent (area under the curve 0.75-0.88). Serious injury (ICISS≤0.941) rates in the testing data varied, with a range of 10%-31% depending on the methodology. The 'worst injury' ICISS was always superior to 'multiplicative injury' ICISS in model discrimination and calibration.

Conclusions: In-hospital death and 3-month death were used to generate ICISS; the former is recommended for settings with a focus on short-term threat to life, such as in trauma care settings. The 3-month death approach is recommended for outcomes beyond immediate clinical care, such as injury compensation schemes.

背景:国际疾病分类伤害严重程度评分(ICISS)为确定住院伤害患者的伤害严重程度提供了一种有效的方法。伤害严重程度指标对于追踪道路交通伤害率和趋势具有特殊意义。本研究的目的是利用关联的发病率和死亡率数据集计算 ICISS,并比较各种方法和指标的预测能力:这是一项对澳大利亚新南威尔士州住院病人数据收集记录与死亡率数据关联的回顾性分析。采用分离样本法,利用设计数据(2008-2014 年;n=1 035 174 个护理期)得出生存风险比,并根据院内死亡和 3 个月死亡计算各种 ICISS 量表。这些量表适用于测试数据(2015-2017 年;n=575 306)。使用逻辑回归模型确定模型的区分度和校准:设计数据中有 12 347 例(1.19%)院内死亡和 29 275 例(2.83%)3 个月死亡。模型区分度从可接受到优秀不等(曲线下面积为 0.75-0.88)。测试数据中的重伤率(ICISS≤0.941)各不相同,视方法而定,范围为 10%-31%。在模型辨别和校准方面,"最严重伤害 "ICISS始终优于 "乘法伤害 "ICISS:使用院内死亡和 3 个月死亡来生成 ICISS;前者推荐用于注重短期生命威胁的环境,如创伤护理环境。对于即时临床护理以外的结果,如伤害赔偿计划,建议采用 3 个月死亡法。
{"title":"International Classification of Disease based Injury Severity Score (ICISS): a comparison of methodologies applied to linked data from New South Wales, Australia.","authors":"Janneke Berecki-Gisolf, Ehsan Rezaei-Darzi, D Tharanga Fernando, Angelo DElia","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045260","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045260","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The International Classification of Disease Injury Severity Score (ICISS) provides an efficient method to determine injury severity in hospitalised injury patients. Injury severity metrics are of particular interest for the tracking of road transport injury rates and trends. The aims of this study were to calculate ICISS using linked morbidity and mortality datasets and to compare predictive ability of various methods and metrics.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This was a retrospective analysis of Admitted Patient Data Collection records from New South Wales, Australia, linked with mortality data. Using a split sample approach, design data (2008-2014; n=1 035 174 periods of care) was used to derive survival risk ratios and calculate various ICISS scales based on in-hospital death and 3-month death. These scales were applied to testing data (2015-2017; n=575 306). Logistic regression modelling was used to determine model discrimination and calibration.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 12 347 (1.19%) in-hospital deaths and 29 275 (2.83%) 3-month deaths in the design data. Model discrimination ranged from acceptable to excellent (area under the curve 0.75-0.88). Serious injury (ICISS≤0.941) rates in the testing data varied, with a range of 10%-31% depending on the methodology. The 'worst injury' ICISS was always superior to 'multiplicative injury' ICISS in model discrimination and calibration.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In-hospital death and 3-month death were used to generate ICISS; the former is recommended for settings with a focus on short-term threat to life, such as in trauma care settings. The 3-month death approach is recommended for outcomes beyond immediate clinical care, such as injury compensation schemes.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"500-507"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12703290/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141603580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is legislation effective in reducing risks of all-terrain vehicle-related injuries? A systematic review. 立法是否有效降低全地形车辆相关伤害的风险?系统回顾。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045576
Natalie L Yanchar, Olutayo Toriola, Suzanne Beno, Alison K Macpherson, Ioana Bratu, Mary E Brindle

Background: Over decades, governments have enacted policies and legislation mandating strategies to reduce the incidence and severity of all-terrain vehicle (ATV)-related injuries. We performed a systematic review to determine the efficacy of laws and policies in reducing these injuries.

Methods: Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, 20 articles from the peer-reviewed literature were systematically selected. Associations between legislation/policy and changes or differences in injury numbers, rates or severity were queried.

Results: Data were available to examine age restrictions or child/youth-directed safety measures, use of helmets and vehicle-specific/engineering policies. Legislating age restrictions was associated with limited paediatric injury reduction in five of nine studies; sustained efficacy may require concurrent socialisation through media or regulated riding environments. Mandated helmet use was associated with reduced ATV-related mortality in five of six studies. However, the concurrent presence of other safety legislation precludes concluding the efficacy of helmet laws, alone. Legislation targeting vehicle design/engineering is limited, as are studies of their efficacy. A US federal decree for large-scale vehicle-related and industry-related changes was associated with a brief but dramatic decrease in ATV-related deaths; this reversed once the decree was lifted.

Conclusions: With the possible exception of helmet legislation, many laws aimed at reducing ATV-related injuries demonstrate little association with actual injury reduction. Most target changing individual behaviours and may be unsuccessful due to personal perceptions of low risk of injury. Enacting policies directed to industry, to address design and engineering interventions that can reduce risk during operation of these products, is more likely to result in substantive and sustained change.

背景:几十年来,各国政府制定了政策和立法,要求采取措施减少全地形车辆(ATV)相关伤害的发生率和严重程度。我们进行了系统回顾,以确定法律和政策在减少这些伤害方面的功效。方法:按照系统评价和荟萃分析指南的首选报告项目,系统地从同行评议文献中选择20篇文章。调查还询问了立法/政策与受伤人数、比率或严重程度的变化或差异之间的关系。结果:数据可用于检查年龄限制或儿童/青少年导向的安全措施,头盔的使用和车辆特定/工程政策。在9项研究中,有5项研究表明立法限制年龄与减少儿科损伤有关;持续的疗效可能需要通过媒体或规范的骑行环境进行同步社会化。在六项研究中,有五项研究表明强制使用头盔与降低全地形车相关死亡率有关。然而,同时存在的其他安全立法排除了结论头盔法的效力,单独。针对车辆设计/工程的立法有限,对其功效的研究也有限。一项针对大规模车辆相关和行业相关变化的美国联邦法令与全地形车相关死亡人数的短暂但急剧下降有关;这一情况在法令解除后发生了逆转。结论:除了头盔立法之外,许多旨在减少全地形车相关伤害的法律与实际减少伤害的相关性很小。大多数目标是改变个人行为,由于个人认为伤害风险低,可能不成功。制定针对行业的政策,解决设计和工程干预问题,以降低这些产品在操作过程中的风险,更有可能导致实质性和持续的变化。
{"title":"Is legislation effective in reducing risks of all-terrain vehicle-related injuries? A systematic review.","authors":"Natalie L Yanchar, Olutayo Toriola, Suzanne Beno, Alison K Macpherson, Ioana Bratu, Mary E Brindle","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045576","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045576","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Over decades, governments have enacted policies and legislation mandating strategies to reduce the incidence and severity of all-terrain vehicle (ATV)-related injuries. We performed a systematic review to determine the efficacy of laws and policies in reducing these injuries.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, 20 articles from the peer-reviewed literature were systematically selected. Associations between legislation/policy and changes or differences in injury numbers, rates or severity were queried.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Data were available to examine age restrictions or child/youth-directed safety measures, use of helmets and vehicle-specific/engineering policies. Legislating age restrictions was associated with limited paediatric injury reduction in five of nine studies; sustained efficacy may require concurrent socialisation through media or regulated riding environments. Mandated helmet use was associated with reduced ATV-related mortality in five of six studies. However, the concurrent presence of other safety legislation precludes concluding the efficacy of helmet laws, alone. Legislation targeting vehicle design/engineering is limited, as are studies of their efficacy. A US federal decree for large-scale vehicle-related and industry-related changes was associated with a brief but dramatic decrease in ATV-related deaths; this reversed once the decree was lifted.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>With the possible exception of helmet legislation, many laws aimed at reducing ATV-related injuries demonstrate little association with actual injury reduction. Most target changing individual behaviours and may be unsuccessful due to personal perceptions of low risk of injury. Enacting policies directed to industry, to address design and engineering interventions that can reduce risk during operation of these products, is more likely to result in substantive and sustained change.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"486-492"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144011300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trends of falls mortality among older adults in urban and rural China, 1987-2021. 1987-2021 年中国城乡老年人跌倒死亡率趋势。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2023-045225
Yu Wu, Binbin Su, Jiatong Gao, Panliang Zhong, Xiaoying Zheng

Background: Falls in older age pose a major public health concern, with unclear urban-rural patterns of falls mortality in China. This study examines the trends of late-life falls mortality in urban and rural China over a 35-year period.

Methods: Falls mortality data were sourced from China's National Health Commission. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine changes in trends and age-period-cohort modelling to estimate age, period and cohort effects on fall-related mortality from 1987 to 2021. Net drift, local drift, longitudinal age curves and period relative risks were also calculated.

Results: The age-standardised falls mortality in older age showed a long-term trend of initial decline prior to 2003, followed by a steep increase thereafter, with notable distinctions between urban and rural patterns. The rise in rural populations, particularly among older males, was more conspicuous. In rural areas, the decline in falls mortality diminished with age, contrary to the urban trend. Falls mortality increased with age in both urban and rural older populations, peaking in the group aged 85-89. The period effect curves of falls mortality in urban and rural areas both approximated a U-shaped pattern while there were minor variations in early cohorts.

Conclusions: China has experienced a consistent rise in late-life falls mortality in recent years. Notably, there are significant urban-rural disparities in age, period and cohort effects of fall-related mortality among older adults. Rural residents, males and older age groups have potential higher fatal-falls risk. Targeted strategies should be implemented to prevent late-life falls.

背景:老年人跌倒是一个重大的公共卫生问题,而中国城乡之间的跌倒死亡率模式并不清晰。本研究探讨了 35 年间中国城乡晚年跌倒死亡率的变化趋势:方法:跌倒死亡率数据来源于中国国家卫生健康委员会。方法:跌倒死亡率数据来源于中国国家卫生健康委员会,采用连接点回归分析来研究趋势的变化,并采用年龄-时期-队列模型来估算1987年至2021年期间年龄、时期和队列对跌倒相关死亡率的影响。此外,还计算了净漂移、局部漂移、纵向年龄曲线和时期相对风险:结果:年龄标准化的老年人跌倒死亡率显示出一种长期趋势,即在 2003 年之前开始下降,之后急剧上升,城市和农村的模式有明显区别。农村人口,尤其是老年男性的上升更为明显。在农村地区,跌倒死亡率随着年龄的增长而下降,这与城市的趋势相反。在城市和农村老年人口中,跌倒死亡率随着年龄的增长而增加,在 85-89 岁年龄组中达到高峰。城市和农村地区跌倒死亡率的时期效应曲线均接近 U 形模式,而早期组群则略有不同:结论:近年来,中国晚年跌倒死亡率持续上升。结论:近年来,中国晚年跌倒死亡率持续上升。值得注意的是,老年人跌倒相关死亡率在年龄、时期和队列效应方面存在显著的城乡差异。农村居民、男性和老年群体的致命跌倒风险可能更高。应实施有针对性的战略来预防晚年跌倒。
{"title":"Trends of falls mortality among older adults in urban and rural China, 1987-2021.","authors":"Yu Wu, Binbin Su, Jiatong Gao, Panliang Zhong, Xiaoying Zheng","doi":"10.1136/ip-2023-045225","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2023-045225","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Falls in older age pose a major public health concern, with unclear urban-rural patterns of falls mortality in China. This study examines the trends of late-life falls mortality in urban and rural China over a 35-year period.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Falls mortality data were sourced from China's National Health Commission. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine changes in trends and age-period-cohort modelling to estimate age, period and cohort effects on fall-related mortality from 1987 to 2021. Net drift, local drift, longitudinal age curves and period relative risks were also calculated.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The age-standardised falls mortality in older age showed a long-term trend of initial decline prior to 2003, followed by a steep increase thereafter, with notable distinctions between urban and rural patterns. The rise in rural populations, particularly among older males, was more conspicuous. In rural areas, the decline in falls mortality diminished with age, contrary to the urban trend. Falls mortality increased with age in both urban and rural older populations, peaking in the group aged 85-89. The period effect curves of falls mortality in urban and rural areas both approximated a U-shaped pattern while there were minor variations in early cohorts.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>China has experienced a consistent rise in late-life falls mortality in recent years. Notably, there are significant urban-rural disparities in age, period and cohort effects of fall-related mortality among older adults. Rural residents, males and older age groups have potential higher fatal-falls risk. Targeted strategies should be implemented to prevent late-life falls.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"493-499"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141603581","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fatal and non-fatal civilian injuries sustained during law enforcement-reported encounters in California, 2016-2021. 2016-2021 年加利福尼亚州在执法报告的遭遇中发生的致命和非致命平民伤害。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045250
David G Dillon, Shannon McConville, Renee Y Hsia

Background: In 2015, California passed AB 71 to create a state-wide Use of Force Incident Reporting Database (URSUS) to tabulate law enforcement-reported encounters that resulted in serious bodily injury, death or discharge of a firearm. We use these data to analyse encounters that resulted in fatal and non-fatal civilian injuries in California between 2016 and 2021.

Methods: We performed a retrospective review of URSUS from January 2016 to December 2021. The main outcomes were the number of law enforcement encounters that involved civilian serious bodily injury or death and encounter-level characteristics.

Results: URSUS recorded 3677 incidents between 2016 and 2021 resulting in 942 civilian fatalities and 2735 instances of serious civilian injuries. Injury rates were highest for civilians who identified as Hispanic (1.80 injuries per 100 000 population) or black (5.17 injuries per 100 000 population). Injuries involving a firearm were usually fatal (58.9% fatality rate; 1471 injuries), while non-firearm incidents were more likely to result in serious injuries (4.2% fatality rate; 2929 injuries). We did not find statistically significant trends in rates of civilian injuries per 100 000 population.

Conclusion: Rates of law enforcement-related injuries were highest for Hispanic and black civilians in California between 2016 and 2021 and firearm-related injuries were overwhelmingly fatal. The URSUS database represents an important effort by law enforcement agencies to collect information on injuries and fatalities resulting from law enforcement encounters. Given similar databases exist in fewer than half of states, additional legislative efforts are needed to improve systematic national data collection on these encounters.

背景:2015 年,加利福尼亚州通过了 AB 71 法案,建立了全州范围内的使用武力事件报告数据库 (URSUS),以统计执法部门报告的导致严重身体伤害、死亡或开枪的遭遇事件。我们利用这些数据分析了 2016 年至 2021 年期间加利福尼亚州导致致命和非致命平民伤害的遭遇事件:我们对 2016 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月期间的 URSUS 进行了回顾性审查。主要结果是涉及平民严重身体伤害或死亡的执法事件数量以及事件层面的特征:URSUS 在 2016 年至 2021 年期间记录了 3677 起事件,造成 942 名平民死亡,2735 名平民重伤。西语裔(每 10 万人中有 1.80 人受伤)或黑人(每 10 万人中有 5.17 人受伤)平民的受伤率最高。涉及枪支的伤害通常是致命的(58.9% 的死亡率;1471 人受伤),而非枪支事件更有可能导致重伤(4.2% 的死亡率;2929 人受伤)。我们没有发现每 10 万人口中平民受伤率有明显的统计趋势:2016 年至 2021 年期间,加利福尼亚州拉美裔和黑人平民的执法相关伤害率最高,枪支相关伤害绝大多数是致命伤。URSUS 数据库是执法机构收集执法过程中伤亡信息的一项重要工作。鉴于只有不到一半的州建立了类似的数据库,因此还需要更多的立法努力,以改善有关这些遭遇的系统性全国数据收集工作。
{"title":"Fatal and non-fatal civilian injuries sustained during law enforcement-reported encounters in California, 2016-2021.","authors":"David G Dillon, Shannon McConville, Renee Y Hsia","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045250","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045250","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In 2015, California passed AB 71 to create a state-wide Use of Force Incident Reporting Database (URSUS) to tabulate law enforcement-reported encounters that resulted in serious bodily injury, death or discharge of a firearm. We use these data to analyse encounters that resulted in fatal and non-fatal civilian injuries in California between 2016 and 2021.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed a retrospective review of URSUS from January 2016 to December 2021. The main outcomes were the number of law enforcement encounters that involved civilian serious bodily injury or death and encounter-level characteristics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>URSUS recorded 3677 incidents between 2016 and 2021 resulting in 942 civilian fatalities and 2735 instances of serious civilian injuries. Injury rates were highest for civilians who identified as Hispanic (1.80 injuries per 100 000 population) or black (5.17 injuries per 100 000 population). Injuries involving a firearm were usually fatal (58.9% fatality rate; 1471 injuries), while non-firearm incidents were more likely to result in serious injuries (4.2% fatality rate; 2929 injuries). We did not find statistically significant trends in rates of civilian injuries per 100 000 population.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Rates of law enforcement-related injuries were highest for Hispanic and black civilians in California between 2016 and 2021 and firearm-related injuries were overwhelmingly fatal. The URSUS database represents an important effort by law enforcement agencies to collect information on injuries and fatalities resulting from law enforcement encounters. Given similar databases exist in fewer than half of states, additional legislative efforts are needed to improve systematic national data collection on these encounters.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"561-566"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141603578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of the mechanism of suicide among Minnesota residents using data from the Minnesota violent death reporting system (MNVDRS). 利用明尼苏达州暴力死亡报告系统 (MNVDRS) 的数据预测明尼苏达州居民的自杀机制。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2024-045271
Daniel C Waller, Julian Wolfson, Stefan Gingerich, Nate Wright, Marizen R Ramirez

Background: Suicide remains a major public health problem, and firearms are used in approximately half of all such incidents. This study sought to predict the occurrence of suicide specifically by firearm, as opposed to any other means of suicide, in order to help inform possible life-saving interventions.

Methods: This study involved data from the Minnesota Violent Death Reporting System. Models evaluated whether data beyond basic demographics generated increased prediction accuracy. Models were built using random forests, logistic regression and data imputation. Models were evaluated for prediction accuracy using the area under the curve analysis and for proper calibration.

Results: Results showed that models constructed with social determinants and personal history data led to increased prediction accuracy in comparison to models constructed with basic demographic information only. The study identified an optimised 'top 20' variables model with a 73% chance of correctly discerning relative incident risk for a pair of individuals. Age, height/weight, employment industry/occupation, sex and education level were found to be most highly predictive of firearm suicide in the study's 'top 20' model.

Conclusions: The study demonstrated that the use of a firearm in a death by suicide, as opposed to any other means of suicide, can be reasonably well predicted when an individual's social determinants and personal history are considered. These predictive models could help inform many prevention strategies, such as safe storage practices, background checks for firearm purchases or red flag laws.

背景:自杀仍然是一个重大的公共卫生问题,在所有此类事件中,约有一半使用了枪支。本研究旨在预测枪支自杀(而非其他自杀方式)的发生率,以便为可能的救生干预措施提供信息:本研究涉及来自明尼苏达州暴力死亡报告系统的数据。模型评估了基本人口统计学数据之外的数据是否能提高预测准确性。使用随机森林、逻辑回归和数据估算建立了模型。使用曲线下面积分析和适当的校准对模型的预测准确性进行了评估:结果表明,与仅使用基本人口信息构建的模型相比,使用社会决定因素和个人历史数据构建的模型可提高预测准确性。研究确定了一个优化的 "前 20 个 "变量模型,该模型有 73% 的几率正确判定一对个体的相对发病风险。在该研究的 "前 20 个 "模型中,年龄、身高/体重、就业行业/职业、性别和教育水平对持枪自杀的预测性最高:该研究表明,如果考虑到个人的社会决定因素和个人历史,那么使用枪支自杀而非其他任何自杀手段致死的情况可以得到合理的预测。这些预测模型有助于为许多预防策略提供依据,例如安全储存方法、枪支购买背景调查或红旗法。
{"title":"Prediction of the mechanism of suicide among Minnesota residents using data from the Minnesota violent death reporting system (MNVDRS).","authors":"Daniel C Waller, Julian Wolfson, Stefan Gingerich, Nate Wright, Marizen R Ramirez","doi":"10.1136/ip-2024-045271","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2024-045271","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Suicide remains a major public health problem, and firearms are used in approximately half of all such incidents. This study sought to predict the occurrence of suicide specifically by firearm, as opposed to any other means of suicide, in order to help inform possible life-saving interventions.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study involved data from the Minnesota Violent Death Reporting System. Models evaluated whether data beyond basic demographics generated increased prediction accuracy. Models were built using random forests, logistic regression and data imputation. Models were evaluated for prediction accuracy using the area under the curve analysis and for proper calibration.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Results showed that models constructed with social determinants and personal history data led to increased prediction accuracy in comparison to models constructed with basic demographic information only. The study identified an optimised 'top 20' variables model with a 73% chance of correctly discerning relative incident risk for a pair of individuals. Age, height/weight, employment industry/occupation, sex and education level were found to be most highly predictive of firearm suicide in the study's 'top 20' model.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The study demonstrated that the use of a firearm in a death by suicide, as opposed to any other means of suicide, can be reasonably well predicted when an individual's social determinants and personal history are considered. These predictive models could help inform many prevention strategies, such as safe storage practices, background checks for firearm purchases or red flag laws.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"573-579"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141748063","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Firearm businesses as partners in suicide prevention: a cross-sectional study of the Gun Shop Project in Colorado, USA. 作为预防自杀合作伙伴的枪支企业:对美国科罗拉多州枪支商店项目的横断面研究。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2023-045178
Erin Wright-Kelly, Jessica Theresa Buck-Atkinson, Marian E Betz, Kate Little, Jani S Little, Beverly E Kingston, Eric Sigel, Sabrina Arredondo-Mattson

Background: The Gun Shop Project aims to reduce firearm suicide and is widely implemented in the USA, yet little is known about the core firearm business practices and behaviours that might contribute to preventing firearm suicide.

Methods: Owners or managers of all firearm businesses identified as participants in Colorado's Gun Shop Project were invited to respond to a questionnaire. Data collection occurred from March to May 2021. Analyses included unweighted descriptive statistics with CIs and Pearson χ2 tests for categorical associations.

Results: 54 firearm businesses participated (response rate: 28%). Under half reported practices that are Gun Shop Project core aspects (range: 14%-45%). 22% of businesses frequently engaged customers on the importance of safe firearm storage in suicide prevention while 26% had denied a firearm sale and 14% had assisted with temporary secure storage in the past year with customers perceived to be in suicidal crisis. However, high proportions reported willingness to engage in these behaviours if a customer was in crisis: 74% were willing to refuse a sale of a firearm or ammunition, 70% were willing to discuss temporary secure storage options and 70% were willing to direct customers to mental health services.

Conclusions: This study suggests that efforts to continue educating and involving firearm businesses may have an impact on the adoption of organisational suicide prevention practices and behaviours. Ongoing efforts are needed to understand core components of Gun Shop Project to inform standardised recommendations for effective firearm business practices that prevent firearm suicide.

背景:枪支商店项目旨在减少枪支自杀,并在美国广泛实施,但人们对可能有助于防止枪支自杀的核心枪支业务实践和行为却知之甚少:方法:邀请科罗拉多州枪支商店项目中所有被确认为参与者的枪支企业的所有者或管理者回答调查问卷。数据收集时间为 2021 年 3 月至 5 月。分析包括非加权描述性统计和 CIs,以及分类关联的 Pearson χ2 检验:共有 54 家枪支企业参与(响应率:28%)。不到一半的企业报告了枪支店项目核心方面的做法(范围:14%-45%)。22% 的企业经常向客户宣传安全存放枪支对预防自杀的重要性,而 26% 的企业在过去一年中曾拒绝出售枪支,14% 的企业曾协助处于自杀危机中的客户临时安全存放枪支。然而,有很高比例的人表示,如果顾客处于危机之中,他们愿意采取这些行为:74%的人愿意拒绝出售枪支或弹药,70%的人愿意讨论临时安全存储方案,70%的人愿意引导顾客接受心理健康服务:这项研究表明,继续对枪支企业进行教育并让其参与进来,可能会对企业采取预防自杀的做法和行为产生影响。需要继续努力了解枪支商店项目的核心内容,以便为预防枪支自杀的有效枪支商业实践提供标准化建议。
{"title":"Firearm businesses as partners in suicide prevention: a cross-sectional study of the Gun Shop Project in Colorado, USA.","authors":"Erin Wright-Kelly, Jessica Theresa Buck-Atkinson, Marian E Betz, Kate Little, Jani S Little, Beverly E Kingston, Eric Sigel, Sabrina Arredondo-Mattson","doi":"10.1136/ip-2023-045178","DOIUrl":"10.1136/ip-2023-045178","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The Gun Shop Project aims to reduce firearm suicide and is widely implemented in the USA, yet little is known about the core firearm business practices and behaviours that might contribute to preventing firearm suicide.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Owners or managers of all firearm businesses identified as participants in Colorado's Gun Shop Project were invited to respond to a questionnaire. Data collection occurred from March to May 2021. Analyses included unweighted descriptive statistics with CIs and Pearson χ<sup>2</sup> tests for categorical associations.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>54 firearm businesses participated (response rate: 28%). Under half reported practices that are Gun Shop Project core aspects (range: 14%-45%). 22% of businesses frequently engaged customers on the importance of safe firearm storage in suicide prevention while 26% had denied a firearm sale and 14% had assisted with temporary secure storage in the past year with customers perceived to be in suicidal crisis. However, high proportions reported willingness to engage in these behaviours if a customer was in crisis: 74% were willing to refuse a sale of a firearm or ammunition, 70% were willing to discuss temporary secure storage options and 70% were willing to direct customers to mental health services.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study suggests that efforts to continue educating and involving firearm businesses may have an impact on the adoption of organisational suicide prevention practices and behaviours. Ongoing efforts are needed to understand core components of Gun Shop Project to inform standardised recommendations for effective firearm business practices that prevent firearm suicide.</p>","PeriodicalId":13682,"journal":{"name":"Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"527-533"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12703272/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141619880","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Injury Prevention
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1