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GridWiseTM: The Benefits of a Transformed Energy System GridWiseTM:能源系统转型的好处
Pub Date : 2003-09-16 DOI: 10.2172/15010370
L. Kannberg, D. Chassin, J. DeSteese, S. Hauser, M. Kintner-Meyer, R. Pratt, L. Schienbein, W. Warwick
This report presents a preliminary scoping assessment conducted to envision the general magnitude of several selected benefits the GridWise™ concept could offer when applied nationally. These benefits accrue in the generation, transmission and distribution components of the power grid as well as in the customer sector. The total potential benefit of implementing these technologies over the next 20 years is conservatively estimated have a present value (PV) of about $75 billion. When estimated on the basis of a less conservative implementation scenario, the PV of these benefits is shown to essentially double.
本报告提出了一个初步的范围评估,以设想GridWise™概念在全国应用时可能提供的几个选定的好处的总体规模。这些好处在电网的发电、输电和配电组件以及客户部门都有体现。保守估计,在未来20年内,实施这些技术的总潜在效益的现值(PV)约为750亿美元。当在不太保守的实现方案的基础上进行估计时,这些好处的PV实际上会翻倍。
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引用次数: 62
Methods and Techniques of Complex Systems Science: An Overview 复杂系统科学的方法与技术:综述
Pub Date : 2003-07-09 DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-33532-2_2
C. Shalizi
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引用次数: 232
Flicker Noise in a Model of Coevolving Biological Populations 共同进化生物种群模型中的闪烁噪声
Pub Date : 2003-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-59293-5_5
P. Rikvold, R. Zia
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引用次数: 3
Graph Theory and the Evolution of Autocatalytic Networks 图论与自催化网络的演化
Pub Date : 2002-10-30 DOI: 10.1002/3527602755.CH16
Sanjay Jain, Sandeep Krishna
We give a self-contained introduction to the theory of directed graphs, leading up to the relationship between the Perron-Frobenius eigenvectors of a graph and its autocatalytic sets. Then we discuss a particular dynamical system on a fixed but arbitrary graph, that describes the population dynamics of species whose interactions are determined by the graph. The attractors of this dynamical system are described as a function of graph topology. Finally we consider a dynamical system in which the graph of interactions of the species coevolves with the populations of the species. We show that this system exhibits complex dynamics including self-organization of the network by autocatalytic sets, growth of complexity and structure, and collapse of the network followed by recoveries. We argue that a graph theoretic classification of perturbations of the network is helpful in predicting the future impact of a perturbation over short and medium time scales.
我们给出了有向图理论的自包含介绍,导致了图的Perron-Frobenius特征向量和它的自催化集之间的关系。然后我们讨论了一个特定的动态系统在一个固定的但任意的图,描述种群动态的相互作用是由图决定的物种。该动力系统的吸引子被描述为图拓扑的函数。最后,我们考虑一个物种相互作用图与物种种群共同进化的动力系统。研究表明,该系统表现出复杂的动力学,包括自催化集网络的自组织、复杂性和结构的增长以及网络的崩溃和恢复。我们认为,网络扰动的图论分类有助于预测扰动在中短期尺度上的未来影响。
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引用次数: 58
Boolean Dynamics with Random Couplings 布尔动态随机耦合
Pub Date : 2002-04-25 DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-21789-5_2
L. Kadanoff, S. Coppersmith, M. Aldana
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引用次数: 330
A model for predation pressure in colonial birds 种群鸟类捕食压力的模型
Pub Date : 2001-08-14 DOI: 10.1063/1.1386818
J. Tella, M. D. Cara, O. Pla, F. Guinea
Different explanations have been proposed for the existence of colonial breeding behavior in birds, but field studies offer no conclusive results. We analyze the interplay between learning habits and predation pressure by means of numerical simulations. Our analysis suggests that extremely simple learning processes and equally simplistic models of predation pressure lead to the formation of stable colonies.
对于鸟类群体繁殖行为的存在,人们提出了不同的解释,但实地研究没有提供确凿的结果。通过数值模拟分析了学习习惯与捕食压力之间的相互作用。我们的分析表明,极其简单的学习过程和同样简单的捕食压力模型导致了稳定群体的形成。
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引用次数: 2
Cooperation, Adaptation and the Emergence of Leadership 合作、适应和领导力的出现
Pub Date : 2001-05-02 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-56472-7_6
M. Zimmermann, V. Eguíluz, M. S. Miguel
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引用次数: 61
An Ecolab Perspective on the Bedau Evolutionary Statistics Bedau进化统计的生态学视角
Pub Date : 2000-04-17 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/1432.003.0032
R. Standish
At Alife VI, Mark Bedau proposed some evolutionary statistics as a means of classifying different evolutionary systems. Ecolab, whilst not an artificial life system, is a model of an evolving ecology that has advantages of mathematical tractability and computational simplicity. The Bedau statistics are well defined for Ecolab, and this paper reports statistics measured for typical Ecolab runs, as a function of mutation rate. The behaviour ranges from class 1 (when mutation is switched off), through class 3 at intermediate mutation rates (corresponding to scale free dynamics) to class 2 at high mutation rates. The class 3/class 2 transition corresponds to an error threshold. Class 4 behaviour, which is typified by the Biosphere, is characterised by unbounded growth in diversity. It turns out that Ecolab is governed by an inverse relationship between diversity and connectivity, which also seems likely of the Biosphere. In Ecolab, the mutation operator is conservative with respect to connectivity, which explains the boundedness of diversity. The only way to get class 4 behaviour in Ecolab is to develop an evolutionary dynamics that reduces connectivity of time.
在Alife VI大会上,Mark Bedau提出了一些进化统计作为对不同进化系统进行分类的方法。Ecolab虽然不是一个人工生命系统,但它是一个进化生态的模型,具有数学可追溯性和计算简单性的优势。Ecolab的Bedau统计数据定义得很好,本文报告了典型Ecolab运行的统计数据,作为突变率的函数。行为范围从1类(当突变关闭时),到3类(中等突变率),再到2类(高突变率)。类3/类2转换对应于错误阈值。以生物圈为代表的第4类行为,其特征是多样性无界增长。事实证明,艺康是由多样性和连通性之间的反比关系控制的,这似乎也可能是生物圈。在Ecolab中,突变算子在连通性方面是保守的,这解释了多样性的有界性。在艺康,获得4级行为的唯一途径是开发一种减少连接时间的进化动力。
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引用次数: 8
Why Patterns Appear Spontaneously in Dissipative Systems 为什么模式在耗散系统中自发出现
Pub Date : 1999-12-07 DOI: 10.15388/na.1999.4.0.15252
K. Staliūnas
It is proposed that the spatial (and temporal) patterns spontaneously appearing in dissipative systems maximize the energy flow through the pattern forming interface. In other words - the patterns maximize the entropy growth rate in an extended conservative system (consisting of the pattern forming interface and the energy bathes). The proposal is supported by examples of the pattern formation in different systems. No example contradicting the proposal is known.
提出在耗散系统中自发出现的空间(和时间)模式使通过模式形成界面的能量流动最大化。换句话说,模式在扩展保守系统(由模式形成界面和能量池组成)中使熵增长率最大化。该建议得到了不同系统中模式形成的实例的支持。没有任何与该提议相矛盾的例子。
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引用次数: 1
The Evolutionary Unfolding of Complexity 复杂性的进化展开
Pub Date : 1999-02-26 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-55606-7_4
J. Crutchfield, E. Nimwegen
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引用次数: 43
期刊
arXiv: Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
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