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Heterogeneity in the association between retirement and cognitive function: a machine learning analysis across 19 countries. 退休与认知功能之间关系的异质性:19个国家的机器学习分析。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf201
Koryu Sato, Haruko Noguchi, Kosuke Inoue

Background: Rising state pension ages in many developed countries may influence cognitive aging by delaying retirement, yet the cognitive consequences of retirement likely vary across individuals and contexts. This study investigates the heterogeneous association between retirement and cognitive function.

Methods: We analyzed harmonized data from three longitudinal studies: the Health and Retirement Study, the English Longitudinal Study on Ageing, and the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. The dataset encompassed three waves across 19 counties from 2014 to 2019. Our study included 12 811 individuals who worked in the first wave, from whom each survey collected covariate information. We assessed retirement status among participants aged 50-80 years in the second wave and measured cognitive function using word recall tests in the third wave. The analysis employed instrumental variable causal forests estimation, utilizing state pension age as an instrument for retirement.

Results: Among 7432 individuals with retirement propensity scores between 0.1 and 0.9, 2165 (29.1%) retired during the second wave. Analysis revealed that retirees recalled 1.348 more words than workers on average. The association between retirement and cognitive function was heterogeneous; greater cognitive benefits were observed among women, individuals with higher socioeconomic status, those with robust pre-retirement health, and those who engaged in physical activity before retirement.

Conclusions: The observed heterogeneous associations suggest policymakers should consider incorporating early retirement options into the pension system, allowing individuals to make retirement decisions based on their circumstances.

背景:在许多发达国家,提高国家养老金年龄可能会通过推迟退休来影响认知老龄化,但退休的认知后果可能因个人和环境而异。本研究探讨了退休与认知功能之间的异质性关联。方法:我们分析了来自三个纵向研究的统一数据:健康与退休研究、英国老龄化纵向研究和欧洲健康、老龄化和退休调查。该数据集涵盖了2014年至2019年19个县的三波数据。我们的研究包括了在第一波工作的12811个人,每次调查都收集了协变量信息。我们在第二波中评估了50-80岁参与者的退休状况,在第三波中使用单词回忆测试来测量认知功能。分析采用工具变量因果森林估计,利用国家养老金年龄作为退休工具。结果:7432名退休倾向得分在0.1 ~ 0.9之间的个体中,有2165名(29.1%)在第二次浪潮中退休。分析显示,退休人员比在职人员平均多记住1.348个单词。退休与认知功能的关系具有异质性;在女性、社会经济地位较高的个体、退休前健康状况良好的个体以及退休前从事体育活动的个体中,观察到更大的认知益处。结论:观察到的异质性关联表明,政策制定者应考虑将提前退休选项纳入养老金制度,允许个人根据自己的情况做出退休决定。
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引用次数: 0
Target-trial specification as a feasibility check: can we emulate a target trial to evaluate the effect of age at first-time pregnancy on mortality? 目标试验规范作为可行性检查:我们能否模拟目标试验来评估首次怀孕年龄对死亡率的影响?
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf178
Isaac Núñez, José Luis Rodríguez-Olivares, Jesús Alegre Díaz, Yanink Caro-Vega
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引用次数: 0
Cohort Profile: Brazilian High-Risk Cohort for Mental Health Conditions (BHRC). 队列概况:巴西精神健康状况高危队列(BHRC)。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf192
Giovanni A Salum, Carina de Giusti, Laila Souza, Juliana Juk, Rosângela Costa, Luisa Sugaya, Arthur Caye, André Simioni, Paula B Rocha, Gisele G Manfro, Lucas T Ito, Francisco Da Silva, Igor Duarte, Nathalia Esper, Mauricio Anés, Rodolfo F Damiano, Theodore D Satterthwaite, Carolina M Carvalho, Patricia Bado, Maurício S Hoffmann, Julia L Schafer, Caio B Casella, Sara Evans-Lacko, Carolina Ziebold, Rudi Rocha, André Zugman, Andrea Jackowski, Ary Gadelha, Marcelo Q Hoexter, Clarice Madruga, Rodrigo Grassi-Oliveira, Annamaria Cattaneo, Audrey Tyrka, Tomas Paus, Daniel S Pine, Ellen Leibenluft, Argyris Stringaris, Kathleen R Merikangas, Michael P Milham, Alexandre Franco, Marcos Santoro, João R Sato, Vanessa Ota, Guilherme V Polanczyk, Jair de J Mari, Rodrigo A Bressan, Eurípedes C Miguel, Luis A Rohde, Sintia Belangero, Pedro M Pan
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引用次数: 0
Cohort Profile: Our Future Health. 队列简介:我们的未来健康。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf171
Michael B Cook, Naomi Adams, Ashley Adjetey, Ryan Arathimos, Marko Balabanovic, Ros Blackwood, Adam Booth, Benjamin J Cairns, Ali Connell, Sidra Ellis, Ben Elsworth, Kate Evans, Alice Forman, Eva Gradovich, Cosima Gretton, Fiona Grimm, David J Hunter, Kamil Lipinski, Jodie Lord, Jane Luff, Fiona Maleady-Crowe, Rachel Moran, Sophie North, Alicia Peel, Diana van der Plaat, Kirstin Purves, Fiona Reddington, Andrew Roddam, Saskia C Sanderson, Tim Sprosen, Adam Steventon, Iain Turnbull, Emma Vestesson, Raghib Ali
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引用次数: 0
Cohort Profile: Growing up in Australia: the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC). 队列简介:在澳大利亚成长:澳大利亚儿童的纵向研究(LSAC)。
IF 7.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf168
Amanda R Cooklin,Meredith O'Connor,Jan M Nicholson,Donna Berthelsen,Paul Hockey,Agatha Faulkner,Ben Edwards,Lisa G Smithers,Tim Slade,Julie Moschion,Lyndall Strazdins,Ann V Sanson,Steve R Zubrick
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引用次数: 0
Data resource profile: the Intego-II primary care database. 数据资源简介:Intego-II初级保健数据库。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf200
Ahmed Medhat Zayed, Arne Janssens, Maarten Caspers, Pavlos Mamouris, Simon Gabriël Beerten, Tine De Burghgraeve, Pieter J K Libin, Thomas Neyens, Nicolas Delvaux, Gijs Van Pottelbergh, Bert Aertgeerts, Bert Vaes
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引用次数: 0
Association between dairy intake and all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a pooled analysis of 0.4 million Japanese adults from 10 population-based cohort studies. 乳制品摄入量与全因和特定原因死亡率之间的关系:来自10项基于人群的队列研究的40万日本成年人的汇总分析。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf180
Yukai Lu, Yumi Sugawara, Atsushi Hozawa, Motoki Iwasaki, Norie Sawada, Rieko Kanehara, Isao Oze, Hidemi Ito, Naoko Miyagawa, Yuriko N Koyanagi, Keiko Wada, Chisato Nagata, Sanyu Ge, Tetsuhisa Kitamura, Takashi Kimura, Akiko Tamakoshi, Mai Utada, Keitaro Matsuo, Yingsong Lin, Sarah Krull Abe, Manami Inoue

Background: The association between dairy intake and mortality remains unclear, particularly in populations with low dairy consumption, such as the Japanese population. Thus, we investigated the associations between dairy intake and mortality in a pooled analysis of 10 Japanese cohorts.

Methods: We analysed data from 180 267 males and 218 423 females aged ≥35 years at baseline (1983-2014) without a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) or cancer. Dairy consumption (milk, yogurt, cheese, and total dairy intakes) was assessed through self-reported food frequency questionnaires. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each study and pooled by using random-effects models to evaluate the associations with all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

Results: Over 11.5-24.4 years of follow-up, 41 218 males and 28 659 females died. In males, compared with consuming milk

Conclusion: Dairy intake, particularly daily milk intake, may reduce mortality risk, especially cerebrovascular disease mortality risk, in Japanese males and females.

背景:乳制品摄入量与死亡率之间的关系尚不清楚,特别是在乳制品消费量低的人群中,如日本人口。因此,我们对10个日本队列进行了汇总分析,研究了乳制品摄入量与死亡率之间的关系。方法:我们分析了基线(1983-2014)年龄≥35岁、无心血管疾病(CVD)或癌症史的180267名男性和218423名女性的数据。通过自我报告的食物频率问卷来评估乳制品消费(牛奶、酸奶、奶酪和总乳制品摄入量)。计算每项研究的多变量校正风险比(hr)和95%置信区间(ci),并使用随机效应模型进行汇总,以评估与全因和病因特异性死亡率的关联。结果:随访11.5 ~ 24.4年,死亡男性41 218人,女性28 659人。结论:日本男性和女性的乳制品摄入量,特别是每日牛奶摄入量,可降低死亡率风险,特别是脑血管疾病死亡率风险。
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引用次数: 0
Making DAGs even more useful: using augmented causal diagrams to depict counterfactual, study design, measurement, analytical, and interventional features. 使dag更有用:使用增强因果图来描述反事实、研究设计、测量、分析和介入特征。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf207
Onyebuchi A Arah, Matthew M Coates
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引用次数: 0
New evidence resurfaces old questions on the benefits and harms of mammography screening. 新的证据重新提出了关于乳房x光检查的利弊的老问题。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf204
Katy J L Bell, Philippe Autier, Karsten J Jørgensen
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引用次数: 0
Using Mendelian randomization to investigate etiologic heterogeneity across renal cell carcinoma subtypes. 采用孟德尔随机化方法研究肾细胞癌亚型的病因异质性。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf177
Timothy D Winter, Om Jahagirdar, Mattias Johansson, Paul Brennan, Mitchell J Machiela, Stephen J Chanock, Mark P Purdue, Diptavo Dutta

Background: Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) histological subtypes clear cell RCC (ccRCC; >75% of cases) and papillary RCC (papRCC; ∼15%) exhibit distinct molecular and genetic profiles, patient demographics, and prognoses. Previous epidemiologic studies have identified several risk factors for overall RCC, although few have explored differences in etiology across subtypes.

Methods: For this study, we applied two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to findings from a genome-wide association study of RCC (27 213 cases, 488 019 controls) to investigate the effects of RCC risk factors with ccRCC (15 507 cases) and papRCC (2103 cases). We also conducted case-only MR analyses contrasting ccRCC and papRCC cases to test for heterogeneity in risk factor effects across subtypes.

Results: MR for overall RCC confirmed associations with obesity, blood pressure, smoking, and several other suspected risk factors. In subtype-specific analyses, we observed stronger associations with ccRCC than for papRCC for anthropometric measures such as body mass index [ccRCC odds ratio (ORccRCC) = 1.58 per standard deviation increase, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.50-1.68; papRCC odds ratio (ORpapRCC) = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.07-1.42; Pheterogeneity = 2.7 × 10-4], while stronger associations with papRCC were observed for chronic kidney disease (ORccRCC = 1.07, 95% CI = 0.99-1.15; ORpapRCC = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.16-1.66; Pheterogeneity = 5.42 × 10-5), creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (ORccRCC = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.92-1.01; ORpapRCC = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.64-0.79; Pheterogeneity = 7.76 × 10-5), and telomere length (ORccRCC = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.93-2.06; ORpapRCC = 2.50, 95% CI = 2.28-2.72; Pheterogeneity = 6.2 × 10-3). Further analysis identified the colocalization of significant RCC risk loci and 20 risk factors along with potential target genes through transcriptomic analysis.

Conclusion: These results highlight the heterogeneous nature of RCC etiology and the importance of considering histologic subtypes in etiologic and genetic studies.

背景:肾细胞癌(RCC)的组织学亚型透明细胞癌(ccRCC,占75%)和乳头状肾细胞癌(papRCC,约15%)表现出不同的分子和遗传谱、患者人口统计学和预后。以前的流行病学研究已经确定了总体RCC的几个危险因素,尽管很少有研究探讨不同亚型的病因差异。方法:本研究采用双样本孟德尔随机化(MR)对RCC全基因组关联研究(27213例,488019例对照)的结果进行分析,探讨ccRCC(15507例)和papRCC(2103例)对RCC危险因素的影响。我们还进行了病例MR分析,对比ccRCC和papRCC病例,以检验不同亚型之间风险因素影响的异质性。结果:总体RCC的MR证实与肥胖、血压、吸烟和其他几个可疑的危险因素有关。在亚型特异性分析中,我们观察到体重指数等人体测量指标与ccRCC的相关性强于与papRCC的相关性[ccRCC优势比(ORccRCC) = 1.58 /标准差增加,95%可信区间(CI) = 1.50-1.68;papRCC优势比(ORpapRCC) = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.07-1.42;Pheterogeneity = 2.7×身手),尤其在强关联papRCC观察慢性肾脏疾病(ORccRCC = 1.07, 95% CI 0.99 = -1.15; ORpapRCC = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.16 -1.66; Pheterogeneity = 5.42×纯),creatinine-based估计肾小球滤过率(ORccRCC = 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 = -1.01; ORpapRCC = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.64 -0.79; Pheterogeneity = 7.76×纯),和端粒长度(ORccRCC = 1.98, 95% CI 1.93 = -2.06; ORpapRCC = 2.50, 95% CI = 2.28 -2.72; Pheterogeneity = 6.2×三分)。进一步的分析通过转录组学分析确定了重要的RCC风险位点和20个风险因素以及潜在的靶基因的共定位。结论:这些结果突出了RCC病因的异质性,以及在病因学和遗传学研究中考虑组织学亚型的重要性。
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International journal of epidemiology
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