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Geographic and Temporal Variation in Housing Filtering Rates 住房过滤率的地理和时间变化
Pub Date : 2020-01-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3527800
Liyi Liu, Douglas A. McManus, Elias Yannopoulos
In Housing Economics, filtering is the process by which properties, as they age, depreciate in quality and hence price and thus tend to be purchased by lower-income households. This is the primary mechanism by which competitive markets supply low-income housing. While at the national level filtering is an important long-term source of lower-income housing, this research shows that there is a wide range of filtering rates both across and within metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) for owner-occupied properties. Notably, in some markets, properties “filter up” to higher-income households. This paper contributes to our understanding of filtering by demonstrating the heterogeneity of filtering rates. The analysis finds strong geographic and temporal variation in filtering rates.
在住房经济学中,“过滤”指的是房产在老化过程中质量和价格下降,从而倾向于被低收入家庭购买的过程。这是竞争性市场提供低收入住房的主要机制。虽然在国家一级过滤是低收入住房的重要长期来源,但这项研究表明,对于业主自住房产,在大都市统计区(msa)之间和内部都存在很大的过滤率。值得注意的是,在一些市场,房地产“过滤”到了高收入家庭。本文通过展示滤波速率的异质性,有助于我们对滤波的理解。分析发现,过滤率在地理和时间上存在很大差异。
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引用次数: 11
Real Estate Return in Hong Kong and Its Determinants: A Dynamic Gordon Growth Model Analysis 香港房地产收益及其决定因素:动态戈登增长模型分析
Pub Date : 2020-01-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3521646
Shizhen Wang, David J. Hartzell
We apply the dynamic Gordon growth model to the Hong Kong real estate market to analyze quarterly data on four kinds of real estate— housing, office, retail, and factory properties—from 1999 to 2020. We find that factories have the highest total returns among the four types of real estate, and also a larger Sharpe ratio. The total returns of these four kinds of real estate are highly correlated. The results of an autoregressive distributed lag model show that the gross domestic product growth rate is the key determinant of real estate returns, while changes in foreign direct investment also influence housing and retail returns. The expected value of the risk-free rate is the key factor that determines the rent-price ratio. The decline in the risk-free rate in Hong Kong is the main reason that the real estate price-rent ratio has increased from 20 to 40 in the last twenty years. Our research represents an early contribution that compares the performance of housing and commercial real estate at the city level, with both types of real estate having similar determinants. Finally, we find that the fall in risk-free interest rates worsens housing affordability in Hong Kong.
我们将动态戈登增长模型应用于香港房地产市场,分析了1999年至2020年四种房地产(住宅、写字楼、零售和工厂物业)的季度数据。我们发现,在四种房地产类型中,工厂的总收益最高,夏普比率也较大。这四种房地产的总收益是高度相关的。自回归分布滞后模型的结果表明,国内生产总值增长率是房地产回报的关键决定因素,而外国直接投资的变化也影响住房和零售回报。无风险利率的期望值是决定租金房价比的关键因素。香港无风险利率的下降,是过去二十年来,楼租比由20上升至40的主要原因。我们的研究代表了早期的贡献,比较了住房和商业房地产在城市层面的表现,这两种类型的房地产具有相似的决定因素。最后,我们发现无风险利率的下降恶化了香港的住房负担能力。
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引用次数: 1
Per-Customer Quantity Limit and Price Discrimination: Evidence from the U.S. Residential Mortgage Market 每客户数量限制和价格歧视:来自美国住宅抵押贷款市场的证据
Pub Date : 2020-01-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3517606
Chao Ma
Abstract Theoretically, if firms face a regulatory per-customer quantity limit, they should have an incentive to discriminatively charge high-demand customers higher prices and make them just willing to buy a quantity equal to the limit. In the U.S. residential mortgage industry, mortgages with origination balances above the conforming loan limits cannot be guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises, which make lenders face a per-customer quantity limit. This paper finds that borrowers bunching at the limit pay higher interest rates due to price discrimination. This study rules out the alternative explanation that those borrowers are of higher risk (lending cost) than other borrowers.
从理论上讲,如果企业面临每客户数量的限制,它们应该有动机歧视性地向高需求客户收取更高的价格,使他们只愿意购买等于限制的数量。在美国住宅抵押贷款行业,初始余额超过合格贷款限额的抵押贷款不能得到政府支持企业的担保,这使得贷款机构面临每个客户数量的限制。本文发现,由于价格歧视,聚集在限额处的借款人支付更高的利率。这项研究排除了另一种解释,即这些借款人的风险(贷款成本)高于其他借款人。
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引用次数: 2
Students Awareness of Industrial Linkages Among The Universities 学生对大学间产业联系的认识
Pub Date : 2020-01-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3551971
Dr. G. Nedumaran, Manida M
The examination researched modern communications in arts, science, engineering and 'management' branches of four universities in Tamilnadu. Spurring variables and limitations saw by university divisions and the job of the legislature in starting and supporting communications were inspected. Various sorts of associations with industry were shown in the four chose universities. Some particular activities like making of infrequent focuses to encourage collaboration with industry were seen in most of the chose universities. Individual contact was demonstrated as the significant helper in the inception of linkages. The administration had taken some significant activities to reinforce the college business interface. The study focuses on the need of mounting further linkages with the goal that they can prompt, effective and commonly beneficial results for both college and industry. Further, the university circles welcome the industrialized society as it provides an occasion to occupation on real-life industrial problems. In addition, active commitment of commerce, human resources in academic activities along with exposure to students/ research scholars to industrial settings through internships help in the growth of the required skill-set.
该考试研究了泰米尔纳德邦四所大学的艺术、科学、工程和“管理”分支机构的现代传播。考察了大学部门和立法机关在启动和支持通信方面所看到的激励变量和限制。在这四所被选中的大学中,出现了各种与工业界的联系。一些特别的活动,如制作罕见的焦点,以鼓励与工业界的合作,在大多数被选中的大学都可以看到。证明个人接触在建立联系时起着重要的帮助作用。行政部门已经采取了一些重要的活动来加强大学的业务接口。这项研究的重点是需要进一步建立联系,以实现它们能够为学院和行业带来有效和共同有益的结果。此外,大学圈欢迎工业化社会,因为它提供了一个机会来解决现实生活中的工业问题。此外,商业的积极承诺,学术活动中的人力资源,以及通过实习让学生/研究学者接触工业环境,有助于所需技能的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Free Movement and Affordable Housing: Public Preferences for Reform in Uzbekistan 自由流动和经济适用房:乌兹别克斯坦公众对改革的偏好
Pub Date : 2020-01-08 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-9107
William Seitz
Uzbekistan has one of the lowest rates of internal migration in the world, leading to persistent economic imbalances. Drawing from a unique monthly panel survey called Listening to the Citizens of Uzbekistan and a survey experiment, this paper focuses on two factors that prevent domestic mobility: (i) restrictive propiska registration policies, and (ii) the exceptionally high cost of urban housing. Registration rules prohibit migration to urban centers, and urban housing costs push up the cost of living to as much as 550 percent of the national average, levels severely unaffordable for almost all rural residents. But the proposed government reforms in 2019 to address these challenges are very popular. The results show that about 90 percent of people support lifting all registration restrictions and over 80 percent favor increasing urban housing construction. The results of the experiment show that reform popularity increases when propiska rules and housing costs are referenced in randomly assigned vignettes. However, views may also be sensitive to perceptions of fairness. Recent high-profile involuntary demolitions coincided with a doubling of the share responding that policies are unfair. The increase was further associated with declining optimism and lower support for the wider government national development program, beyond urbanization issues.
乌兹别克斯坦是世界上国内移民率最低的国家之一,导致持续的经济不平衡。根据一项名为“倾听乌兹别克斯坦公民”的独特月度小组调查和一项调查实验,本文重点研究了阻碍国内人口流动的两个因素:(i)限制性的居民登记政策;(ii)城市住房成本过高。户籍制度禁止向城市中心迁移,城市住房成本将生活成本推高至全国平均水平的550%,这对几乎所有农村居民来说都是严重负担不起的。但2019年提出的应对这些挑战的政府改革非常受欢迎。结果显示,大约90%的人支持取消所有的户籍限制,超过80%的人支持增加城市住房建设。实验结果表明,在随机分配的小片段中,当参考政策规则和住房成本时,改革人气增加。然而,观点也可能对公平的感知很敏感。最近备受瞩目的非自愿拆迁,与此同时,回应政策不公平的比例翻了一番。这一增长进一步与乐观情绪下降和对更广泛的政府国家发展计划(城镇化问题之外)的支持下降有关。
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引用次数: 2
Rewarding Commitment to Attend School: A Field Study with Indigenous Australian High School Students 有回报的上学承诺:对澳大利亚土著高中生的实地研究
Pub Date : 2019-12-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3518966
Azhar Hussain Potia, Juliana Silva‐Goncalves, B. Torgler, U. Dulleck
We introduce a novel incentive program aimed at decreasing school absenteeism based on the effect of voluntary promises in motivating desirable behaviour. In contrast to a standard program, in which students receive a reward conditional on having achieved a school attendance rate of at least 90 percent, in the promise program, they receive the reward up front, conditional on their commitment to invest their best efforts to reach the attendance target. We assess the effectiveness of the promise program through a field study involving Indigenous Australian high school students, a population who tends to have lower education achievement and socioeconomic advantage than their non-Indigenous counterparts. We find that the promise program significantly decreased unexplained absences compared to the standard program but that it did not influence overall school absences. Our findings suggest that voluntary promises coupled with small gifts are effective in influencing behaviour of disadvantaged students. At the same time, we need further research on how to best design such programs to achieve positive effects in reducing school absenteeism.
基于自愿承诺在激励可取行为中的作用,我们提出了一种新的旨在减少缺勤的激励方案。与标准项目不同的是,在标准项目中,学生必须达到至少90%的出勤率才能获得奖励,而在承诺项目中,他们必须承诺尽最大努力达到出勤率目标,才能预先获得奖励。我们通过一项涉及澳大利亚土著高中生的实地研究来评估承诺计划的有效性,他们的教育成就和社会经济优势往往低于非土著学生。我们发现,与标准计划相比,承诺计划显著减少了原因不明的缺勤,但对总体缺勤没有影响。我们的研究结果表明,自愿承诺加上小礼物对影响弱势学生的行为是有效的。与此同时,我们需要进一步研究如何最好地设计这些项目,以达到减少缺勤的积极效果。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Investors and the U.S. Housing Recovery 机构投资者和美国房地产复苏
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2019.45
Lauren Lambie‐Hanson, Wenli Li, Michael Slonkosky
We study the house price recovery in the U.S. single-family residential housing market since the outbreak of the mortgage crisis, which, in contrast to the preceding housing boom, was not accompanied by a rise in homeownership rates. Using comprehensive property-level transaction data, we show that this phenomenon is largely explained by the emergence of institutional investors. By exploiting heterogeneity in a county?s exposure to local lending conditions and to government programs that a?ected investors? access to residential properties, we estimate that the increasing presence of institutions in the housing market explains over half of the increase in real house price appreciation rates between 2006 and 2014. We further demonstrate that institutional investors contribute to the improvement of the local housing market by reducing vacancy rates as they shorten the amount of time distressed properties stay in REO. Addition-ally, institutional investors help lower local unemployment rates by increasing local construction employment. However, institutional investors are responsible for most of the declines in the homeownership rates.
我们研究了自抵押贷款危机爆发以来美国单户住宅市场的房价复苏,与之前的住房繁荣相比,这并没有伴随着住房拥有率的上升。利用综合的房地产交易数据,我们发现这种现象在很大程度上可以用机构投资者的出现来解释。利用一个县的异质性?美国对当地贷款条件和政府项目的敞口?尊敬的投资者?在住宅物业方面,我们估计,2006年至2014年期间,房地产市场中机构的增加解释了实际房价升值率增长的一半以上。我们进一步证明,机构投资者通过减少空置率来改善当地住房市场,因为他们缩短了不良房产在REO的停留时间。此外,机构投资者通过增加当地建筑业就业,帮助降低当地失业率。然而,机构投资者是房屋拥有率下降的主要原因。
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引用次数: 16
The Effects of Financial Aid Grant Offers on Postsecondary Educational Outcomes: New Experimental Evidence from the Fund for Wisconsin Scholars 财政援助资助对高等教育成果的影响:来自威斯康星学者基金的新实验证据
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26419
Deven E Carlson, Felix Elwert, Nicholas W. Hillman, Alex Schmidt, B. Wolfe
In this pre-registered study, we analyze the effects of need-based financial aid grant offers on the educational outcomes of low-income college students based on a large-scale randomized experiment (n=48,804). We find evidence that the grant offers increase two-year persistence by 1.7 percentage points among four-year college students. The estimated effect on six-year bachelor’s degree completion is of similar size—1.5 percentage points—but is not statistically significant. Among two-year students, we find positive—but not statistically significant—effects on persistence and bachelor’s degree completion (1.2 and 0.5 percentage points, respectively). We find little evidence that effects vary by cohort, race, gender or the prior receipt of food stamps. However, further exploratory results do suggest that the offers reduce associate’s degree completion rates for two-year community college students by around 3 percentage points, with no statistically significant evidence of effects on technical college students. We also estimate that the effects of actually receiving grant money are very similar, though slightly greater than the effects of merely receiving a grant offer. Overall, our results show only very small effects of the need-based grant offers on college students’ trajectories towards degree completion.
在这项预注册研究中,我们基于大规模随机实验(n=48,804),分析了基于需求的经济资助对低收入大学生教育成果的影响。我们发现有证据表明,这项资助使四年制大学生的两年坚持度提高了1.7个百分点。对6年制学士学位完成率的估计影响也差不多——1.5个百分点——但在统计上并不显著。在两年制学生中,我们发现在坚持和学士学位完成方面有积极的影响,但在统计上不显著(分别为1.2和0.5个百分点)。我们发现很少有证据表明,影响会因群体、种族、性别或先前的食品券收据而有所不同。然而,进一步的探索性结果确实表明,两年制社区大学学生的副学士学位完成率降低了约3个百分点,而对技术学院学生的影响没有统计上的显著证据。我们还估计,实际收到赠款的效果非常相似,尽管比仅仅收到赠款的效果略大。总体而言,我们的研究结果显示,基于需求的助学金对大学生完成学位的轨迹只有非常小的影响。
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引用次数: 7
Water Purification Efforts and the Black-White Infant Mortality Gap, 1906-1938 水净化工作和黑人-白人婴儿死亡率差距,1906-1938
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26489
D. Anderson, K. Charles, D. Rees, Tianyi Wang
Abstract According to Troesken (2004), efforts to purify municipal water supplies at the turn of the 20th century dramatically improved the relative health of Blacks. There is, however, little empirical evidence to support the Troesken hypothesis. Using city-level data published by the U.S. Bureau of the Census for the period 1906-1938, we explore the relationship between water purification efforts and the Black-White infant mortality gap. Our results suggest that, while water filtration was effective across the board, adding chlorine to the water supply reduced mortality only among Black infants. Specifically, chlorination is associated with a 9 percent reduction in Black infant mortality and a 10 percent reduction in the Black-White infant mortality gap. We also find that chlorination led to a substantial reduction in the Black-White diarrhea mortality gap among children under the age of two, although this estimate is measured with less precision.
根据Troesken(2004)的研究,在20世纪之交,净化市政供水的努力极大地改善了黑人的相对健康状况。然而,几乎没有经验证据支持特罗斯肯的假设。利用美国人口普查局公布的1906-1938年期间的城市数据,我们探讨了水净化工作与黑人-白人婴儿死亡率差距之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,虽然水过滤是全面有效的,但在供水中添加氯只会降低黑人婴儿的死亡率。具体来说,氯化与黑人婴儿死亡率降低9%和黑人与白人婴儿死亡率差距降低10%有关。我们还发现,氯化导致两岁以下儿童的黑白腹泻死亡率差距大幅缩小,尽管这一估计的测量精度较低。
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引用次数: 10
Asymmetric Information and Personal Affiliations in Brokered Housing Transactions 中介住房交易中的信息不对称与个人关联
Pub Date : 2019-10-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3464699
Luis A. Lopez
This research provides evidence on the role of information asymmetry and personal affiliations in housing transactions using a novel dataset that allows observation of detailed information about the property, broker, and seller. Sellers holding a real estate license are found to obtain about 1.6 percent (or $3,200) more for their properties than unlicensed sellers, and sellers personally affiliated to a real estate licensee (e.g., spouses, siblings, parents) also obtain a premium of about the same size, all else equal. There is evidence from appraisal training that knowledge of property valuation further increases the price disparities, while informative public property records reduce price disparities. Agents and personal affiliates appear to use information advantages to time the market and capture capital gains. These new findings provide insights into the behaviors of market participants in asymmetric information environments.
本研究利用一个新颖的数据集,提供了信息不对称和个人关系在住房交易中的作用的证据,该数据集允许观察有关房产、经纪人和卖方的详细信息。研究发现,持有房地产许可证的卖家比没有许可证的卖家多赚1.6%(或3200美元),而与房地产许可证持有者有个人关系的卖家(如配偶、兄弟姐妹、父母)也能获得大致相同数额的溢价,其他条件相同。来自评估培训的证据表明,财产估价知识进一步扩大了价格差距,而信息丰富的公共财产记录则减少了价格差距。代理商和个人附属机构似乎利用信息优势来把握市场时机并获取资本收益。这些新发现为非对称信息环境下市场参与者的行为提供了洞见。
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引用次数: 12
期刊
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Studies of Health
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