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Price Discrimination in the Transport Industry and the Gains from Trade 运输业的价格歧视与贸易收益
Pub Date : 2021-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3862530
Zheng Han
This paper shows that shipping industry could hamper the endogenous firm selection into production which is conducive to overall productivity enhancement and welfare gains, through its discriminatory price. Naturally, if the shipping industry charges higher transport price to more productive manufacturing firms sabotaging their competitive edges, those productive firms would not capable to expand as well as they otherwise would do under uniform transport fees, leaving enough space for less productive firms to survive. Therefore, the effect from another source of gains from trade –- firm selection is dampened. Elimination of this discriminatory practice could potentially increase the gains from trade.
研究表明,航运业的歧视性价格会阻碍内生企业进入有利于整体生产率提高和福利收益的生产。自然,如果航运业向生产率更高的制造企业收取更高的运输价格,破坏了它们的竞争优势,那么这些生产率更高的企业就无法像在统一运输费用下那样扩张,从而为生产率较低的企业留下足够的生存空间。因此,贸易收益的另一个来源——企业选择的影响被抑制了。消除这种歧视性做法可能会增加贸易的收益。
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引用次数: 0
From hermit kingdom to miracle on the Han: Policy decisions that transformed South Korea into an export powerhouse 从隐士王国到汉朝奇迹:将韩国转变为出口大国的政策决定
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.3386/w29299
Peterson Institute, D. Irwin
In 1960, South Korea’s exports were about 1 percent of GDP, and the country’s ability to import depended almost entirely on US aid. After changing its foreign exchange and trade policies in the mid-1960s, Korea saw a surge in exports to more than 10 percent of GDP by the end of the decade. What factors account for the shift in policy that enabled this dramatic export growth to occur? The United States helped initiate the process by withholding financial assistance, pressuring Korea to devalue its currency and reform its foreign exchange regime. Initially, the Korean government resisted taking these steps, but in 1964 it became firmly committed to an export promotion strategy to boost foreign exchange earnings and end its dependence on American aid.
1960年,韩国的出口约占GDP的1%,该国的进口能力几乎完全依赖于美国的援助。韩国在60年代中期改变了外汇和贸易政策,到60年代末,出口激增到GDP的10%以上。是什么因素导致了政策的转变,从而使这种戏剧性的出口增长得以发生?美国通过停止财政援助、迫使韩国货币贬值和改革外汇制度,帮助启动了这一进程。起初,韩国政府拒绝采取这些措施,但在1964年,它坚定地致力于出口促进战略,以增加外汇收入,结束对美国援助的依赖。
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引用次数: 1
Data Flows Rules in Preferential Trade Agreements: Design, Evolution and Implications 优惠贸易协定中的数据流动规则:设计、演变与启示
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3910408
Mira Burri
The purpose of this chapter is to shed light on the rules created in preferential trade agreements (PTAs), their evolution over time, and the positioning of the main stake-holders – the EU and the US. The mapping of the new data governance regime in trade agreements should not however be contained to these major players, and the chapter seeks to provide a more comprehensive mapping of data-related norms, found in other agreements, to help us understand better the big picture of the regulatory framework for digital trade, as well as highlight trends in rule-diffusion and their potential implications.
本章的目的是阐明优惠贸易协定(pta)中制定的规则,它们随着时间的推移而演变,以及主要利益相关者-欧盟和美国的定位。然而,贸易协定中新的数据治理机制的映射不应局限于这些主要参与者,本章试图提供其他协议中与数据相关的规范的更全面的映射,以帮助我们更好地了解数字贸易监管框架的大局,并强调规则扩散的趋势及其潜在影响。
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引用次数: 0
‘A Terrible Storm’: Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Sri Lanka “可怕的风暴”:COVID-19对斯里兰卡的经济影响
Pub Date : 2021-08-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3909178
D. Dissanayake
‘COVID-19’ has taken the world by storm, challenging the norm of ‘normal’ in most aspects of life. The pandemic situation ‘halted’ almost all economic activities of Sri Lanka. This review study comprehensively examines the impacts of COVID-19 on GDP, employment, poverty, tourism, household income, exchange rate and remittances in Sri Lankan context. The analysis reveals COVID-19 creates adverse impacts on both GDP and employment in Sri Lanka, despite magnitude of the impacts is significantly lower than that of South Asian average. Declining tourism receipts, declining export earnings and outstanding foreign debt repayments are essentially increasing the pressure on the foreign exchange rate. Accordingly, from the first week of March 2020, the Sri Lankan rupee began to depreciate against the major currencies. It reporting one of the highest depreciation in history. Moreover, COVID-19 adversely affected on tourism sector, construction, transport, hotel and apparel sectors while enhancing unemployment rate as a whole. Due to job lost, unemployment rate was increased while increasing the poverty line as well. Predictions show that under the current pandemic, poverty associated with all forms of poverty is likely to increase. Ultimately, the welfare impact of COVID-19, which is rising more than expected, will inevitably hamper the country's long-term economic development process. Therefore, appropriate measures should be taken to control the spread of the epidemic and to revive the economy.
2019冠状病毒病席卷全球,在生活的大多数方面挑战着“正常”的准则。疫情使斯里兰卡几乎所有的经济活动都“停止”了。本综述研究全面考察了2019冠状病毒病对斯里兰卡国内生产总值、就业、贫困、旅游、家庭收入、汇率和汇款的影响。分析显示,COVID-19对斯里兰卡的国内生产总值和就业都产生了不利影响,尽管其影响程度远低于南亚平均水平。旅游收入下降、出口收入下降和未偿还的外债基本上增加了对外汇汇率的压力。因此,从2020年3月的第一周开始,斯里兰卡卢比对主要货币开始贬值。它报告了历史上最大的贬值之一。此外,新冠肺炎疫情对旅游、建筑、交通、酒店和服装等行业产生了不利影响,整体失业率上升。由于失业,失业率上升,同时也提高了贫困线。预测显示,在当前的大流行病下,与各种形式的贫穷有关的贫穷可能会增加。最终,超出预期的新型冠状病毒感染症(COVID-19)的福利影响将不可避免地阻碍经济的长期发展进程。因此,应采取适当措施控制疫情蔓延,振兴经济。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign Business Exposure, Policy Uncertainty and Capital Flight from Home: Evidence from China 外资敞口、政策不确定性与资本外逃:来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3904653
Xiaoxue Hu, Dongxu Li
Using a unique subsidiary-level data of 3,863 Chinese nonfinancial firms from 2000 to 2019, we show that the multinational firms have 5.3% higher capital expenditures than the domestic firms relative to the average. We use China’s joining WTO, Chinese historical cities, and diplomatic visits between China and foreign countries to identify the causal relationship. We find that the offshore investment increases with the policy uncertainty about the domestic markets. Our analysis suggests that in the face of domestic uncertainty, multinational firms switch to their offshore markets as a leeway to reallocate investment, rather than a response to offshore investment opportunities, access to foreign capital, or domestic competition. Overall, this paper helps us better understand the real options theory in a context of international business.
利用2000年至2019年3863家中国非金融企业的独特子公司数据,我们发现跨国公司的资本支出相对于国内公司的平均水平高出5.3%。我们使用中国加入WTO、中国历史名城和中国与外国之间的外交访问来确定因果关系。我们发现,随着国内市场政策的不确定性,海外投资增加。我们的分析表明,面对国内的不确定性,跨国公司将转向离岸市场作为重新配置投资的余地,而不是对离岸投资机会、获得外国资本或国内竞争的回应。总的来说,本文有助于我们更好地理解国际商业背景下的实物期权理论。
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引用次数: 0
Adapting Trade Rules for the Age of Big Data 适应大数据时代的贸易规则
Pub Date : 2021-08-11 DOI: 10.1017/9781108780919.025
Mira Burri
The chapter looks at some of the disruptive changes brought about by digital technologies that matter for trade and trade policy. It then analyzes the responses that trade policy has formulated to address these changes. The chapter focuses in particular on the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Transpacific Partnership (CPTPP), as the most advanced model so far and one that has now found continuation in the United States Mexico Canada Agreement (USMCA). The chapter goes on to contextualize and assess the impact of the existing legal framework, as shaped almost predominantly by free trade agreements. The chapter ultimately asks whether there are better ways to address the challenges of the data-driven economy and what the essential elements of a working regulatory model may be.
本章探讨了数字技术带来的一些颠覆性变化,这些变化对贸易和贸易政策至关重要。然后分析了为应对这些变化而制定的贸易政策的反应。本章特别关注《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(CPTPP),这是迄今为止最先进的模式,现在已在《美国-墨西哥-加拿大协定》(USMCA)中得到延续。本章接着对现有法律框架的影响进行了背景分析和评估,这些框架几乎主要是由自由贸易协定形成的。这一章最终提出的问题是,是否有更好的方法来应对数据驱动型经济的挑战,以及有效监管模式的基本要素可能是什么。
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引用次数: 1
L'impact du Brexit sur Israël et les États arabes voisins en période de crise du COVID-19 (The Impact of Brexit on Israel and Neighbouring Arab States in Times of the COVID-19 Crisis) 2019冠状病毒病危机期间英国脱欧对以色列和阿拉伯邻国的影响(2019冠状病毒病危机期间英国脱欧对以色列和阿拉伯邻国的影响)
Pub Date : 2021-08-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3901159
D. Kohnert
The English version of this paper can be found at http://ssrn.com/abstract=3900189 French Abstract: L'impact combiné du Brexit et de la pandémie de COVID-19 sur les relations étrangères et commerciales britanniques avec Israël et ses voisins arabes constitue un cas particulièrement sensible. Une déstabilisation de ces pays pourrait avoir de graves répercussions sur la stabilité et la sécurité, non seulement de la région du Moyen-Orient, mais du monde entier. Jusqu'à présent, les effets préliminaires sont ambivalents. Alors que les Britanniques nourrissaient un espoir raisonné d'un « miracle de Corona » et d'une merveilleuse reprise économique en 2021, les perspectives pour Israël, les territoires palestiniens occupés, le Liban, la Jordanie et l'Égypte étaient moins roses. Vraisemblablement, le Brexit est susceptible de nuire au Royaume-Uni à moyen et long terme. L'impact post-Brexit sur Israël et ses voisins arabes sera également négatif, mais ne se fera probablement sentir qu'à moyen et long terme également. Cependant, l'effet négatif direct et indirect de la crise mondiale du COVID-19 dépassera de loin l'impact du Brexit. English Abstract: The combined impact of Brexit and the COVID-19 pandemic on British foreign- and trade relations to Israel and its Arab neighbours constitute a particularly sensitive case. A destabilization of these countries could impact seriously stability and security, not just of the Middle-East region, but on the whole world. So far, the preliminary effects are ambivalent. Whereas Britons entertained reasoned hope for a ‘Corona miracle’ and a marvellous economic recovery in 2021, the prospects for Israel, the occupied Palestinian territories, Lebanon, Jordan and Egypt were less rosy. Presumably, Brexit is likely to harm the United Kingdom in the medium and long run. The post-Brexit impact on Israel and its Arab neighbours will be negative as well, but probably only be felt in the medium and long term also. However, the direct and indirect negative effects of the global COVID-19 crisis will by far outdo the Brexit impact. German Abstract:Die gemeinsamen Auswirkungen des Brexits und der COVID-19-Pandemie auf die britischen Außen- und Handelsbeziehungen zu Israel und seinen arabischen Nachbarn sind ein besonders heikler Fall. Eine Destabilisierung dieser Länder könnte die Stabilität und Sicherheit nicht nur im Nahen Osten, sondern auf der ganzen Welt ernsthaft gefährden. Bisher erscheinen die vorläufigen Effekte ambivalent. Während die Briten begründete Hoffnungen auf ein „Corona-Wunder“ und eine erstaunliche wirtschaftliche Erholung im Jahr 2021 hegen, sind die Aussichten für Israel, die besetzten palästinensischen Gebiete, den Libanon, Jordanien und Ägypten weniger rosig. Vermutlich wird der Brexit dem Vereinigten Königreich mittel- und langfristig schaden. Die post-Brexit Auswirkungen auf Israel und seine arabischen Nachbarn werden ebenfalls negativ s, aber vermutlich ebenfalls nur mittel- und langfristig zu spüren sein.
本文的英文版本可在http://ssrn.com/abstract=3900189上找到:英国脱欧和COVID-19大流行对英国与以色列及其阿拉伯邻国外交和贸易关系的综合影响是一个特别敏感的案例。这些国家的不稳定不仅会对中东地区的稳定与安全,而且会对整个世界的稳定与安全产生严重影响。到目前为止,初步效果是矛盾的。虽然英国人有理由希望2021年出现“冠状病毒奇迹”和美妙的经济复苏,但以色列、巴勒斯坦被占领土、黎巴嫩、约旦和埃及的前景就不那么乐观了。从中期到长期来看,英国退欧可能会损害英国。英国退欧后对以色列及其阿拉伯邻国的影响也将是负面的,但可能只会在中长期内感受到。然而,全球COVID-19危机的直接和间接负面影响将远远超过英国退欧的影响。摘要:英国脱欧和COVID-19大流行对英国与以色列及其阿拉伯邻国的对外和贸易关系的综合影响是一个特别敏感的案例。这些国家的不稳定可能严重影响稳定与安全,不仅影响中东地区,而且影响整个世界。到目前为止,初步效果是矛盾的。虽然英国人对2021年出现“皇冠奇迹”和惊人的经济复苏抱有合理的希望,但以色列、被占领的巴勒斯坦领土、黎巴嫩、约旦和埃及的前景却不那么乐观。据推测,英国脱欧可能会在中长期损害英国。英国脱欧后对以色列及其阿拉伯邻国的影响也将是负面的,但可能只会在中期和长期内感受到。然而,全球COVID-19危机的直接和间接负面影响将远远超过英国退欧的影响。German文摘:Die gemeinsamen Auswirkungen Brexits und der COVID-19-Pandemie auf向ßen - und Die britischen Handelsbeziehungen Israel und zu,对于arabischen Nachbarn信德省ein besonders heikler Fall。Eine Destabilisierung angegebenen L nder k - o - t die 1981年初进一步恢复und im Sicherheit nicht nur Nahen, sondern auf der Osten ganzen Welt ernsthaft gef hrden初审。这是一个矛盾的结果。W诉hrend die Briten begründete Hoffnungen auf ein„Corona-Wunder“und eine erstaunliche wirtschaftliche Erholung Jahr 2021梅亨im,信德省die Aussichten Israel, fur die公司陷入pal stinensischen Gebiete约旦、登Libanon undÄgypten weniger rosig。Vermutlich wird der Brexit马克o’,K nigreich mittel - und langfristig schaden)。英国脱欧后,以色列和阿拉伯国家的失业率都在下降,但失业率却在下降,失业率在上升。新冠肺炎疫情的直接和间接负面影响是脱欧的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Import Competition and Informal Employment: Empirical Evidence from China 进口竞争与非正规就业:来自中国的经验证据
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3903140
Feicheng Wang, Zhe Liang, H. Lehmann
This paper investigates the effects of trade liberalisation induced labour demand shocks on informal employment in China. We employ a local labour market approach to construct a regional measure of exposure to import tariffs by exploiting initial differences in industrial composition across prefectural cities and then link it with the employment status of individuals. Using three waves of household survey data between 1995 and 2007, our results show that workers from regions that experienced a larger tariff cut were more likely to be employed informally. Further results based on firm-level data reveal a consistent pattern; tariff reductions increased the share of informal workers within firms. Such effects are more salient among smaller and less productive firms. Our findings suggest an important margin of labour market adjustment in response to trade shocks in developing countries, i.e. employment adjustment along the formal-informal dimension.
本文研究了贸易自由化引发的劳动力需求冲击对中国非正规就业的影响。我们采用当地劳动力市场方法,通过利用地级市之间产业构成的初始差异,构建一个衡量进口关税风险的区域指标,然后将其与个人就业状况联系起来。利用1995年至2007年间三波家庭调查数据,我们的结果显示,来自关税削减幅度较大地区的工人更有可能找到非正式工作。基于企业层面数据的进一步结果揭示了一种一致的模式;降低关税增加了企业中非正规工人的比例。这种影响在规模较小、生产率较低的企业中更为明显。我们的研究结果表明,在应对贸易冲击的发展中国家,劳动力市场调整的重要幅度,即沿正式-非正式维度的就业调整。
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引用次数: 0
The Rise of Investor-State Public Health Disputes: Lessons Learned from the Idiosyncrasy of Argentinian and NAFTA Cases in the Era of COVID-19 投资者-国家公共卫生纠纷的兴起:从COVID-19时代阿根廷和北美自由贸易协定案例的特殊性中吸取的教训
Pub Date : 2021-07-30 DOI: 10.18601/01236458.n56.05
Munia El Harti Alonso, Sophia Herbst
Argentina’s prominence in the history of ISDS makes for a seminal case study of the tension between state measures and FDI. Argentina, like other Latin American countries, has taken a proactive approach to mitigating the current pandemic. Notably, these emergency public health decisions may hinder FDI, thus leading to an increase in investment disputes. This paper aims to comparatively analyze the past Argentinian crisis and health related NAFTA cases, using lessons learned to provide guidance in anticipation of COVID-19 disputes. In order to explore this topic, a discussion of jurisdictional and procedural questions allow for a modern application of past issues.
阿根廷在ISDS历史上的突出地位,为研究国家措施与外国直接投资之间的紧张关系提供了一个开创性的案例。阿根廷与其他拉丁美洲国家一样,采取了积极主动的办法来缓解当前的大流行病。值得注意的是,这些紧急公共卫生决定可能阻碍外国直接投资,从而导致投资争端增加。本文旨在比较分析过去阿根廷危机与卫生相关的NAFTA案例,利用经验教训为预测COVID-19争端提供指导。为了探讨这一主题,对管辖权和程序问题的讨论允许对过去的问题进行现代应用。
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引用次数: 0
Internationalisation Models and Trajectories of Gold Jewellery in Johannesburg: A Conjectural Discursive Approach 约翰内斯堡黄金首饰的国际化模式与轨迹:一种推测的话语方法
Pub Date : 2021-07-30 DOI: 10.21303/2504-5571.2021.001833
V. Mugobo, Muzi Jeremia Manzi
The gold jewellery industry is a lucrative sector. It operates within global consumer international networks. The underpinning models of internationalisation of gold jewellery from a theoretical standpoint, are key in comprehending export competitiveness potential. This means that for any company and country to achieve success, they ought to have competitive dominance in the export market, driven by a particular model. This study established that the main trends that characterise gold jewellery exports are underpinned by an aggressive internalisation thrust, which should be supported by market consolidation; market growth; a new channel landscape to push through the products; market consumption trends, absorption capacity, and global fast-fashion demand of gold jewellery. It emerged in this study, that the gold jewellery sector in Johannesburg has many dynamics that affect the ability of gold jewellery exporters to be competitive on the international market. There is a need to implement internationalisation strategies that include the creation of market linkages, standardisation and adaptation of products and services to the changing global market environment. The objective of this study was to investigate the efficacy of the internationalisation models, adopted by jewellery exporters in Johannesburg. The study used both theoretical and empirical data, obtained from the sector. The key finding from the study is that gold jewellery remains one of the most important export commodities in growing economies, such as South Africa. Exports bring the much-needed foreign currency, yet the sector in Johannesburg has very few corporates and individually owned businesses that are connected to the international markets to optimally exploit the opportunities in this sector. Using the mixed review methodology and empirical field data, the study offers propositions to enhance export competitiveness for companies, operating in developing countries.
黄金首饰业是一个利润丰厚的行业。它在全球消费者国际网络中运作。从理论的角度来看,黄金首饰国际化的基础模型是理解出口竞争力潜力的关键。这意味着,任何公司和国家要想取得成功,就必须在特定模式的推动下,在出口市场上占据竞争优势。本研究确定,黄金珠宝出口的主要趋势是由积极的内部化推动支撑的,这应该得到市场整合的支持;市场增长;全新的渠道格局,推动产品落地;黄金首饰的市场消费趋势、吸收能力及全球快时尚需求。这项研究表明,约翰内斯堡的黄金珠宝行业有许多动态因素影响着黄金珠宝出口商在国际市场上的竞争力。有必要执行国际化战略,其中包括建立市场联系、产品和服务的标准化和适应不断变化的全球市场环境。本研究的目的是调查约翰内斯堡珠宝出口商采用的国际化模式的功效。该研究使用了从该行业获得的理论和实证数据。该研究的主要发现是,黄金首饰仍然是南非等增长中经济体最重要的出口商品之一。出口带来了急需的外汇,但约翰内斯堡的该行业很少有公司和个人拥有的企业与国际市场相连,以最佳方式利用该行业的机会。本研究采用混合审查方法和实地经验数据,提出了提高在发展中国家经营的公司出口竞争力的建议。
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引用次数: 0
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International Political Economy: Trade Policy eJournal
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