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Possibility and the temporal imagination 可能性和暂时的想象
Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231171797
K. Facer
There is a clock with three hands in my hometown of Bristol. It sits high up on the sandstone wall of the market hall, above the busy crowds below. One hand marks the hours, while 2 different minute-hands, one red one black, mark ‘time’ 10min apart. A short walk away, fixed into the pavement outside a supermarket on a busy road, beneath the feet of passers-by, you can see a small bronze plaque. This marks the place, it tells us, where ‘London time’ was first brought to the west country, via a telegram carrying the Greenwich Meantime signal to the city. The plaque and three-handed clock are both material reminders that time does not just ‘exist’ as a neutral container for human life waiting to be discovered; rather, the time measures we use are a product of people, technologies and political decisions. They remind us that any measure of time is always selected from many possible measures of change, some of which may be in conflict. And they remind us that such measures come to normalise particular social relations and naturalise particular non-inevitable ways of coordinating and organising ourselves in this case, bringing Bristol’s day-to-day working practices into alignment with the centre of power in London. Timing mechanisms today are wildly diverse, from the calculation of parts per million of carbon dioxide molecules in the atmosphere telling us that it is time for wealthy nations to reduce their consumption, to the rewriting of calendars by populists and demagogues as tools to ritualise collective memory and coordination social relations. The selection of timing practices reflects dominant values and has material, cultural and social effects, bring particular activities into alignment and coordination, alienating others, drawing attention to and valuing different forms of change. In turn, timing practices create what Barbara Adam calls ‘timescapes’, rhythms of life that coordinate human and non-human actors and that naturalise the values and structures of institutions, communities, particular places or whole societies (Adam, 1998; Lefebvre, 2004; Southerton, 2020). Consider the familiar organisation of schooling around the time of the clock and a set of progression targets rather than the non-linear, multidirectional learning practices of young children. Or the international timing mechanisms of ‘development’ used to position and compare nations against measures of industrial and infrastructural investment (Escobar, 2011).
在我的家乡布里斯托尔有一个有三个指针的钟。它高高矗立在市场大厅的砂岩墙上,俯视着下面熙熙攘攘的人群。一根指针显示小时,而两根不同的分针,一红一黑,间隔10分钟显示“时间”。走一小段路,固定在一条繁忙道路上的超市外的人行道上,在路人的脚下,你可以看到一块小小的铜牌。它告诉我们,这个地方标志着“伦敦时间”第一次被带到西部国家,通过一份将格林尼治时间信号传送到城市的电报。牌匾和三针钟都是物质上的提醒,提醒人们时间不仅仅是作为一个等待被发现的人类生活的中性容器而“存在”;相反,我们使用的时间计量是人、技术和政治决策的产物。它们提醒我们,任何时间度量总是从许多可能的变化度量中选择出来的,其中一些可能是相互冲突的。它们提醒我们,在这种情况下,这些措施是为了使特定的社会关系正常化,使特定的非必然的协调和组织方式自然化,使布里斯托尔的日常工作实践与伦敦的权力中心保持一致。今天的计时机制非常多样化,从计算大气中二氧化碳分子的百万分之一告诉我们,富裕国家是时候减少消费了,到民粹主义者和煽动家重写日历,作为将集体记忆和协调社会关系仪式化的工具。时间实践的选择反映了主导价值,并具有物质、文化和社会影响,使特定活动保持一致和协调,疏远其他活动,引起人们对不同形式的变化的注意和重视。反过来,计时实践创造了芭芭拉·亚当所说的“时间逃逸”,即协调人类和非人类行为者的生活节奏,并使机构、社区、特定地点或整个社会的价值观和结构自然化(亚当,1998;Lefebvre, 2004;Southerton, 2020)。考虑一下我们所熟悉的围绕时间和一套进步目标的学校组织,而不是幼儿的非线性、多向学习实践。或者国际“发展”的定时机制,用来根据工业和基础设施投资的措施来定位和比较国家(Escobar, 2011)。
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引用次数: 1
Reality studies: Reflections on the possible and actual 现实研究:对可能与现实的思考
Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231162311
Michael Hanchett Hanson
What can science and science fiction tell us about the intertwining of the actual and the possible, the relations of imagination and reality? What are some of the ways those relationships can work? Should we be foregrounding possibilities that come primarily from our imaginations or the realities that push our imaginations? Contrary to common assumptions, this essay argues that imagination itself tends to be quite limited, but in some situations can become dangerously ungrounded. In contrast, the challenges of reality are more likely to push us to imagine previously inconceivable and transformative possibilities.
关于现实与可能的交织,想象与现实的关系,科学和科幻小说能告诉我们什么?这些关系是如何运作的呢?我们应该强调那些主要来自我们想象的可能性,还是推动我们想象的现实?与通常的假设相反,这篇文章认为想象力本身往往是相当有限的,但在某些情况下,想象力会变得危险地没有根据。相比之下,现实的挑战更有可能推动我们想象以前不可想象的和变革性的可能性。
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引用次数: 5
Possible, yes, but useful? Why the search for possibilities is limited but can be enhanced by expertise 可能,是的,但是有用吗?为什么对可能性的探索是有限的,但可以通过专业知识来加强
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231172562
T. Ormerod
In creative domains such as art, design and science, the generation of novel possibilities is highly desirable. However, most human activity takes place outside of domains where the generation of novel possibilities is prescriptively optimal, and indeed to do so may be undesirable. In this paper, evidence for the paucity of possibility generation will be described, even in instances where generation of multiple possibilities might be desirable. Conversely, the value of focussing on currently explored rather than novel possibilities is demonstrated with reference to a computational model of insight problem-solving. It is suggested that, in domains where generation of creative possibilities is a task requirement, strategies acquired though domain expertise are needed to push thinking into new possibility spaces. These strategies are illustrated by case studies and data from domains of insurance fraud and police investigations, educational task design and puzzle solving.
在艺术、设计和科学等创造性领域,产生新颖的可能性是非常可取的。然而,大多数人类活动发生在新可能性的产生是规定最佳的领域之外,实际上这样做可能是不可取的。在本文中,将描述可能性生成的缺乏性的证据,即使在产生多种可能性可能是可取的情况下也是如此。相反,关注当前探索的价值,而不是新的可能性,通过参考洞察力问题解决的计算模型来证明。这表明,在产生创造性可能性是一项任务要求的领域,需要通过领域专业知识获得的策略来推动思维进入新的可能性空间。这些策略通过案例研究和来自保险欺诈、警察调查、教育任务设计和解谜领域的数据来说明。
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引用次数: 3
Possibilities in postnormal times 后正常时期的可能性
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231172435
A. Montuori
In a time of global unrest and “polycrises,” the study and utilization of possibilities is a matter of urgency. In this article I briefly review some of the current studies that point to a view of human beings as having greater capacities, potentials, and possibilities, from the cognitive to the relational and spiritual. I celebrate the birth of this journal in the hope that a greater awareness of human possibilities will lead to more attention and research and an awareness that current assumptions about human possibilities are too limited.
在全球动荡和“多重危机”的时代,研究和利用各种可能性是一件紧迫的事情。在这篇文章中,我简要回顾了一些当前的研究,这些研究指出,从认知到关系和精神,人类具有更大的能力、潜力和可能性。我庆祝这本杂志的诞生,希望对人类可能性的更大认识将带来更多的关注和研究,并意识到目前关于人类可能性的假设太过有限。
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引用次数: 2
Easing the sublime: Flow, daoism, and being-nature 放松崇高:心流、道学和自然
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231173344
Kiene Brillenburg Wurth
Comparative Literature brings to Possibility Studies the toolbox to closely read the generative materiality of things, and the resonances between them, from a plurality of cultural, temporal, affective, and critical perspectives. What is the agency of things in making people think and feel “otherwise”? In this article, I try to answer this question with a view to the idea of the sublime. I revise this idea within a Daoist theoretical perspective of wuwei (doing not-doing)—carefully differentiating it from Czíkszentmihályi’s idea of flow— and self/no-self: of entanglement. I call this re-vision easing the sublime, and I argue that such easing is crucial to the continued relevance of this esthetic category in Possibility Studies. As I conclude, easing the sublime ultimately boils down to an attitude of a being-at-ease with (without being indifferent to) the eternal transformation of things (wu hua).
比较文学为可能性研究带来了一个工具箱,可以从文化、时间、情感和批判的多个角度,仔细阅读事物的生成物质性,以及它们之间的共鸣。是什么让人们产生“不同”的想法和感觉?在这篇文章中,我试图从崇高的角度来回答这个问题。我从道家的无为(做而不做)的理论角度对这个观点进行了修正——仔细地将它与Czíkszentmihályi的“心流”和“自我/无我”的纠缠概念区分开来。我把这种重新审视称为崇高的放松,我认为这种放松对于可能性研究中这种美学范畴的持续相关性至关重要。正如我所总结的那样,放松崇高最终归结为一种态度,即对事物的永恒变化感到自在(而不是漠不关心)。
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引用次数: 0
Expanding our sense of the possible: Ten theses for possibility studies 拓展我们对可能性的认识:可能性研究的十篇论文
Pub Date : 2023-05-02 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231171448
Hanna Meretoja
By exploring our sense of the possible as a narratively mediated phenomenon, this essay brings possibility studies in dialogue with interdisciplinary narrative studies. It suggests that (1) the possible is entangled with actual life worlds that are heterogeneous spaces of possibility, (2) the possible is crucial to our temporal existence as being in the world with others, (3) narratives shape our sense of the possible, (4) possibility studies can contribute to strengthening our narrative agency, (5) narrative imagination has transformative power, (6) fiction can explore worlds as spaces of possibility, foster perspective awareness, and expand our sense of the possible, (7) the possible exists through processes of interpretation, and hence (narrative) hermeneutics is relevant to possibility studies, (8) our relationship to cultural models of sense-making is a possibility relationship, (9) possibility studies can bring to dialogue memory studies, futures studies and narrative studies, and (10) possibility studies should articulate and evaluate the ethico-political affordances and dangers of different discourses of the possible.
本文通过探索我们对可能性的感知作为一种叙事中介现象,将可能性研究与跨学科叙事研究进行了对话。它表明:(1)可能性与现实生活世界纠缠在一起,而现实生活世界是异质的可能性空间;(2)可能性对于我们与他人一起生活在世界上的时间存在至关重要;(3)叙事塑造了我们对可能性的感觉;(4)可能性研究有助于加强我们的叙事代理;(5)叙事想象具有变革性;(6)小说可以作为可能性空间探索世界,培养视角意识;并扩大我们对可能性的认识,(7)可能性通过解释的过程而存在,因此(叙事)解释学与可能性研究相关,(8)我们与意义形成的文化模式的关系是一种可能性关系,(9)可能性研究可以带来对话记忆研究,未来研究和叙事研究,(10)可能性研究应该阐明和评估不同可能性话语的伦理政治启示和危险。
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引用次数: 1
Calibrating possibility 校准可能
Pub Date : 2023-05-02 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231166486
Kim Wilkins, L. Bennett, H. Marshall
This essay establishes a link between skills associated with creative writing and the generation of possibilities across other domains. While the essay is written mostly in first person (by Kim)
这篇文章建立了与创造性写作相关的技能和其他领域的可能性之间的联系。虽然这篇文章主要是用第一人称写的(作者Kim)
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引用次数: 1
Possibility space: The role of social sciences in understanding, mapping and shaping the future 可能性空间:社会科学在理解、描绘和塑造未来中的作用
Pub Date : 2023-04-29 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231170817
G. Mulgan
Social science no longer does enough to map out the possibilities for the future, at a time when there is a serious need for more options. There are many reasons for this including the structure of incentives within universities, and the impact of an otherwise healthy focus on evidence and data. This piece describes both how social sciences can better understand the future and their role in helping to shape options, including methods for creativity, and the relationship between broad goals and experimental methods to find pathways. It addresses the problems of ‘materiality bias’, a bias towards exaggerating the influence of material over non-material factors and concludes with a discussion of how to think about future consciousness.
在我们迫切需要更多选择的时候,社会科学在规划未来的可能性方面已经做得不够了。造成这种情况的原因有很多,包括大学内部的激励结构,以及对证据和数据的健康关注的影响。这篇文章描述了社会科学如何更好地理解未来,以及它们在帮助塑造选择方面的作用,包括创造力的方法,以及广泛目标和寻找途径的实验方法之间的关系。它解决了“物质性偏见”的问题,即倾向于夸大物质因素对非物质因素的影响,并以如何思考未来意识的讨论结束。
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引用次数: 2
How people think about possibilities 人们如何看待可能性
Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231171432
R. Byrne
Hypothetical thinking is an extraordinary human ability that allows people to think beyond the facts of a situation to imagine alternative possibilities. I first consider how people understand factual conditionals, such as, ‘if there was an apple in the fruit bowl there was a banana’, then how they understand counterfactual conditionals, such as, ‘if Pearl had studied harder she would have passed the exam’, and then how they understand counterpossible conditionals, that is, conditionals about impossibilities, such as, ‘if people were made of steel they would not bruise easily’. I discuss the theory that people understand conditionals by envisaging models of possibilities, and consider experimental evidence that corroborates its predictions for factual, counterfactual, and impossible conditionals.
假设思维是一种非凡的人类能力,它使人们能够超越事实去想象其他可能性。我首先考虑人们如何理解事实条件句,例如,“如果果盘里有一个苹果,那么就有一根香蕉”,然后他们如何理解反事实条件句,例如,“如果珀尔学习更努力,她就会通过考试”,然后他们如何理解反可能条件句,即关于不可能的条件句,例如,“如果人是钢做的,他们就不会轻易受伤”。我讨论了人们通过设想可能性模型来理解条件句的理论,并考虑了证实其对事实、反事实和不可能条件句的预测的实验证据。
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引用次数: 4
Welcome to possibility studies 欢迎来到可能性研究
Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.1177/27538699231171450
A. Escobar
A main goal of Possibility Studies is to explore the complex cultural-political work of imagining the future(s). As this brief note argues, this task is deeply shaped at present by the narrow notions of reality, and hence of the possible, inherited from Western modernity. Becoming aware of the onto-epistemic foundations of modernity thus becomes essential for the collective journey into the reinvention of possibility.
可能性研究的一个主要目标是探索想象未来的复杂文化政治工作。正如这篇简短的文章所论述的那样,这项任务目前深受继承自西方现代性的狭隘的现实观念的影响,因此也受到了狭隘的可能性观念的影响。因此,意识到现代性的本体-认识论基础对于重新创造可能性的集体旅程至关重要。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Possibility Studies & Society
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